The demand of Chinatoenergyhas the pressing, butactuallydoes not existto the aerospace.华国对能源的需求存在紧迫性,但对航天却不存在。Even if the success of Controlled Nuclear Fusionprojectfor the country the economicalenergy costincessantly2 trillion, thissum of moneyis impossibleto put the aerospace projectto come upevery year.
即便可控聚变工程的成功为国家每年节省的能源成本远不止两万亿,这笔钱也不可能放到航天项目上去。Whereeachsum of moneyspends, whatfunctionhas, needsto followonestrictprocedure/programto make the decision.
每笔钱花在哪里,产生什么样的作用,都是需要经过一套严格的程序来做决定的。Especiallywith the solution of rocketretrieval technique, before now the launchcostdoes not seem like .
尤其是随着火箭回收技术的解决,现在发射成本也不像是以前了。Takes the goalas the launch of low earth orbitsatelliteis the case, according toofferinternationally, the Space-Xfalconrockethas been ableto achieve1141US dollars/kilogram, contrastsDelta4rocket11660US dollars that nasadesignsin the 90's/kilogramcost, had reducedabouttentimes.
以目标为近地轨道卫星的发射为例,根据国际上的报价,spae-x的猎鹰火箭已经能做到1141美元/千克,对比nasa九十年代设计的德尔塔四型火箭11660美元/千克的成本来看,已经削减了将近十倍。ButChinacurrentlyinternationallymosthas the quickboat No. 1armorrocket of business benefit, the launchcostalsodropped to about 5000US dollarsfrom10000 dollars per kilogram.
而华国目前在国际上最具商业优势的快舟一号甲火箭,发射成本也从每公斤10000美元降至了五千美元左右。Ifcarries out a lunar manned landingplanto need the qualityprobablyfirstto deliver the low earth orbit about 50tonsspacecraft, neglecting the spaceshipmore than tentimesis not the satellite, cannotdivideinbygone daysto deliverthisrealisticfactor, part oflaunchcosts can also controltheoreticallyin250 millionUS dollars.
如果执行一次载人登月计划需要将质量大概在五十吨左右的航天器先投送到近地轨道的话,忽略掉飞船不是卫星、不能分十几次往天上送这种现实因素,这一部分的发射成本理论上也是可以控制在2亿5千万美元以内的。Therefore, buttoascend the words, simplyhave not constructed the Mass Drivernecessity.
因此,只是为了登上去的话,根本没有建造质量投射器的必要。ButLu Zhouthinksis notdeliversto insert a flagmerely, butestablisheshalfinMoonpermanent, and even the scientific research station of permanentnature, evenis the resourcesminingbase.
但陆舟所想的并非是仅仅把人送上去插个旗子而已,而是在月球建立半永久、乃至永久性质的科学考察站,甚至是资源开采基地。Consideringthislong-termgoal, withcostlowerlaunching mode, from the surfacedelivers the qualityto the exoatmosphericlow earth orbit a theoreticallyisquitenecessary.
考虑到这个长远的目标,采用一种理论上成本更低的发射方式,将质量从地表投送至大气层外的近地轨道还是相当有必要的。
If there is used the chemomotive forcerocket, whenlaunchbreaks throughthousandtimes, and evenrisestoten thousandthismagnitudes, making the space explorationturn into an industryfrom the research programtruly, not to mention the issue of cost, onlyfeared that is only environmental protectionissueenough makes one have a headache.
如果一直采用化学动力火箭,当发射次数突破千次,乃至上升到万次这个数量级,让太空探索真正从科研活动变成一项产业,且不说成本的问题,只怕光是环保这个问题就足够让人头疼的了。Dinitrogen tetroxideandDimethylhydrazine, but the belt/bringis poisonous.
要知道,四氧化二氮和偏二甲肼可是带毒的。Naturally, Lu Zhoualso is very at heart clear, this1 trillionlevels of project, is only impossibleto convince the elderinstitutedepending on an idea, particularlyinaerospacetypedoes not haveto urgently needin the project.
当然,陆舟心里也很清楚,这种万亿级的项目,仅凭一个想法是不可能说服长老院的,尤其是在航天这种不具备迫切需要的项目上。However , after believingheproducesenoughachievement, the words that hespeaksshouldhave the persuasive power.
不过,相信等到他拿出足够的成果之后,他说的话应该就更有说服力了。
The conferencedividestwoparts, in the morning conducted 12pointsto announcehalf time, after midwayeveryonehadconferenceJane/simpleCan, when1 : 30 pmbellconferencecontinued.
会议分两个部分,上午进行到了十二点宣布了中场休息,中途大家吃了个会议简餐之后,等到下午 1 点半钟会议继续进行。In the afternoon some conferences are mainly the home game of the researcherandengineer, the content of discussionalsomaincentralizedin the area of technology.
下午这部分会议主要是研究人员和工程师的主场,讨论的内容也都主要集中在技术领域。
The representatives of majorresearch institutionsspokeat the meetingenthusiastically, put forwardownviewpoint.
在会上各大研究单位的代表们都踊跃发言,提出了自己的观点。Besides the Hangkejituanshow a concept map of Long March 9 , many peopleoutlinedveryinterestingtechnicalconception.
除了航科集团秀了一把长征九号火箭的概念图之外,也有不少人提出了很有意思的技术构想。For examplemagnificenceKeyuanspace scienceandapplied researchcenterResearchertall, demonstration the model of plasma jet, besidesin the idea of detailandLu Zhou of acceleration technologydifferent, was a veryinterestingmentality.
比如华科院空间科学与应用研究中心的高研究员,展示的等离子体发动机的模型,除了在加速技术的细节上与陆舟的想法不同之外,也算是一个很有意思的思路了。Inthisconference, the speech of Lu Zhou are not many, butsaidsimplyoneselfconceptionaboutHall thrustertechnological line.
在这场会议中,陆舟的发言倒不算多,只是简单地说了说自己关于霍尔推进器这条技术路线的构想。Partishisviewpoint, another partishein the pppllaboratoryis the adviser the period, some ideas of when with the researcher of af-mpdteamchattedhaving.
这其中一部分是他自己的观点,另一部分则是他在pppl实验室担任顾问的期间里,和af-mpd项目组的研究员闲谈时产生的一些想法。Hethinksownviewpointalreadyenoughvanguard, the resulthad not thought ofalso the opinions of somepeoplecompared withhisscience fiction, the viewpoint of evennoworking substanceadvancingattainedat the meetingto giveto throw.
原本他以为自己的观点已经够前卫的了,结果没想到还有人的意见比他更科幻,甚至把无工质推进的观点拿到会上给抛了出来。In fact, noworking substanceadvancestocannot be completely the science fiction, nasatrulyhas at least done the research in thisaspect, even can also check the relatedpaperonarixv.
事实上,无工质推进到也不能完全算是科幻,至少nasa确实有做过这方面的研究,在arixv上甚至还能查到相关的论文。After allabout the futurematter, no onedares saying that anythingisabsolute. Even the most outstandingscholar, does not dareto„in the future”to make„is absolutely impossible” the assertion, eventhesethingsare unthinkablefrom that time's point of view.
毕竟关于未来的事情,没有人敢说什么是绝对的。就算是最杰出的学者,也不敢对“未来”做出“绝对不可能”的断言,即便那些事情在当时看来是匪夷所思的。
But how regardless to say,noworking substanceadvancesthistype of remotething, is not the topic of thistime.
但无论怎么说,无工质推进这种遥远的东西,都不属于这个时代的话题。Everyonelistenedalsoto smile, tootowardhas not goneat heart.
大家听过了也只是笑了笑,没有太往心里去。Thisseminaritalsohas no taboo, basicallyspoke freely, everyoneanythingwordscansay, will not present the baressence that rebuttaldid not only present argument.
这种研讨会本身也没什么忌讳,基本上就是畅所欲言,大家什么话都可以说,也不会出现那种只反驳不立论的杠精。As forusesthattechnological linefinally, naturallylooks at the achievement.
至于最后采用那条技术路线,自然还是看成果。Namely, will have a tendercongressby the year, inmost essential the bigcarrying capacityspacecraftregarding the moon landing projecttenders.
即,到了年中会有一场招标大会,对于登月计划中最关键的大载重航天器进行招标。No matter the rocketis also good, the space shuttleis also good, whocandeliver the earth-moon transfer orbit at least30tonsload , and safety beltcomes back, whois selectedhopefully.
不管是火箭也好,航天飞机也好,谁能将至少30吨的荷载投送到地月转移轨道并且安全地带回来,谁就有希望中标。Currently speaking, undertakesthisheavy responsibilityhopefullyprobablyisLong March 9.
目前来看,最有希望承担这一重任的大概是长征九号。However, 2028first flight-testtime, even if not postpone, haseightyearsfrom the present.
不过,2028年的首飞时间,哪怕不延期,距离如今也还有八年。If the nationalmoon landingprojectplansto complete the lunar manned landingin five years, toachieveto divertUS and Europeand othercountry's of the strategic goals, perhapsin additionLong March 9atdesign stagewill missthiscampaign.
如果国家登月工程打算在五年内完成载人登月,以达到牵制美欧等国的战略目的,尚且处在设计阶段的长征九号恐怕会错过这场战役。Underlike thisbigbackground, ifotherenterprisescanput out the costto be lower, the timelaunchplannear the top, hascertaincompetitiveness.
在这样的大背景下,如果其他企业能够拿出成本更低、时间更靠前的发射方案的话,也是具有一定竞争力的。Aboutmustcollectthislively......
关于要不要凑这个热闹……ActuallyLu Zhoudid not haveto think.
其实陆舟还没太想好。Regarding the electric propulsionengine, hein the research stage, did not say that merelycancome outto the reversion the technology in thatwreckage, after reversion, canusein the atmospheric environmenthas not said.
对于电推进引擎,他也仅仅只是在研究阶段而已,不说能不能把那具残骸中的技术给逆向出来,逆向了之后能不能用在大气环境内都还不好说。Said that does not permitthishighercivilized the spaceship, whatspacePortitselfassemblesin the space stationor? Othersdo not needto consider that completelyanythingbreaks through the atmospheric environmentsandfromsurfacelaunchinjectiontheseissues.
说不准这种高等文明的飞船,本身就是在空间站或者什么空间港上组装的呢?人家完全就不需要考虑什么突破大气环境、从地表发射入轨这些问题。Thispossibilityexistscompletely.
这种可能性是完全存在的。In brief, inwithout the absoluteassurance, orbeforerealization of technologyhas an explicitexpectation, the words that hespeaksalsoexpressedownviewpointmerely, as for that RFP program of year's end, will not participateprobably......
总之,在没有绝对的把握,或者对技术的实现有个明确的预期之前,他所说的话也仅仅是表达自己的观点,至于年终的那个招标项目,大概是不会参与的……
After the conferenceended, Lu Zhouwalkedfrom the conference site.
会议结束之后,陆舟从会场内走了出来。At this timehesuddenlydiscovered, when the person who outsidegathered roundhejustcame were more than enoughone.
这时他忽然发现,外面围着的人比他刚进来时多了足足一圈。
The long spearshortartillery that conducts the shoulderfromthemalsohas the microphone, theseperson of statushave not neededto guess,without a doubtis the reporters.
从他们身上扛着的长枪短炮还有话筒来看,这些人身份已经无需去猜,毫无疑问都是记者。When the representativesprolegs of penguinsandAlitheseenterprisesjusttrod the conference site, thesereportersimmediatelylikesmelling the shark of fishy smell, the noisy crowdencircled.
等到企鹅、阿里这些企业的代表们前脚刚踏出会场,那些记者们顿时像嗅到了腥味的鲨鱼一样,一窝蜂地围了上去。Looks at the movements of thesereporters, the eyebrow of Lu Zhoucannot bearjumpjumping, howeverhad not rejoicedwith enough timesurroundedis notoneself, soonthenhas the reporter of being sharp-eyedto discover that healsohere, the footstepsencircledimmediatelyfast.
看着这些记者们的动作,陆舟的眉毛忍不住跳了跳,然而还没来得及庆幸被围住的不是自己,很快便有眼尖的记者发现他也在这里,顿时脚步飞快的围了上来。Even ifthere isWang Pengto keep offinfront, microphonesoropportunisticalearth-boring augers.
即便有王鹏挡在前面,一只只话筒还是见缝插针地钻了过来。„Professorlandhello, weare the reporters of nethundred millionnewsscience and technologychannels, heard that Chinarestarts the lunar manned landingplanisyouproposes?”
“陆教授您好,我们是网亿新闻科技频道的记者,听说华国重启载人登月计划是您提议的吗?”„Professorland, we reporterfrompenguinnewsscience and technologychannel, onlinehearsayChinasoonwill hello realize the space travel, whatview do youhave?”
“陆教授您好,我们是来自企鹅新闻科技频道的记者,网上传闻华国很快将实现太空旅行,请问您有什么看法?”„...... Someperson of hearsayyouwill be the manned space flight programchief designer, is thisreal?”
“……有人传闻您将担任载人航天计划总设计师,请问这是真的吗?”Byscalp tingles that the issue of following asked that broke throughshortly is unlikely, Lu Zhoucatchesimmediatelytohisrecentreporter, unexpectedresentment: „False.”
被接踵而来的问题问的头皮发麻,眼瞅着突围是不太可能,陆舟立刻逮了个离他最近的记者,猝不及防地怼了回去:“假的。”Reporter: „...... That, thatpleaseask”
记者:“呃……那,那请问”Controlled the initiative, the Lu Zhoudeep breath the one breath, the expressionsaidrigorously: „Restarts the manned space flight programnotcompletelybecause ofmysuggestion, butwas the countryreallyhad the strategic requirement in thisaspect. As for the lunar manned landingchief designer, Ido not knownews where youhear, butIunderstand, the relevant departmentsinvitedmeto hold the post ofadviser.”
掌控了主动权,陆舟深呼吸了一口气,措辞严谨地说道:“重启载人航天计划不完全是因为我的建议,而是国家确实有了这方面的战略需要。至于载人登月总设计师,我不知道你们是从哪里听来的消息,但就我自己所了解的,有关部门只是邀请我担任了顾问一职而已。”Howeverat this time, does not know when walkshisnearbySecretaryslow, supplementedoneunexpectedwith a smile: „Is the adviser.”
然而这时候,不知何时走他旁边的徐书记,猝不及防地笑着补充了一句:“是总顾问。”Adviser!
总顾问!Thisshortthreecharacters, detonated the atmospherethoroughly......-
这短短的三个字,将现场的气氛彻底引爆了……-Thankbookfriend„the feather of this world and nether world” the pledgeenjoyedprincipal~
感谢书友“幽明之羽”的盟主打赏~Felt the debt that oneselfare were probably getting more and more, this monthcannotagain the salt fish...... qaq
感觉自己欠的债好像越来越多了,这个月不能再咸鱼了……qaq
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