Going to the capital. 上京。 Chang'an Avenue. 长安街。 Held a morning conference, walks magnificence Shiyou Mr. Wang Yongping from the conference room, is reading the conference note in hand, expression somewhat subtle complex on face. 开了一上午的会议,从会议室里走出来的华石油老总汪永平,看着手中的会议笔记,脸上的表情有些微妙的复杂。 Starting from the beginning of the month, the high level then made a series of adjustments regarding the energy development strategy, but in the previous conference, was made the detailed deployment to domestic several energy enterprise development projects over the next five years. 从月初开始,高层对于能源发展战略便进行了一系列的调整,而在先前的会议上,更是对国内几个能源企业未来五年的发展规划做出了详细的部署。 On content that in the conference decides...... 就会议上决定的内容而言…… At least to the magnificence petroleum is not a good deed. 至少对华石油来说不是一件好事。 First was the foreign investment scale upper limit is truncated probably 130 billion US dollars, next was the signed contract maintains again invariably, in three years stopped expansion wait of overseas oil-gas field. 首先是海外投资规模上限被削了大概一千三百亿美元,再其次是已经签订的合约维持不变,三年内停止海外油气田的扩张等等。 Not only so, „two years 50,000 sufficient terminal rods”, „in a year highway gas station each site at least installs over four sufficient terminal rods along the way” wait a series of absolute requirements. 而且不只是如此,还有“两年五万个充电桩”,“一年内高速路沿途加油站每个站点至少安装四个以上充电桩”等等一系列的硬指标。 From all sorts of signs, the country seems like iron core the plan fuel attribute, excised from the civil petroleum product. 从种种迹象来看,国家似乎是铁了心打算将燃料这一属性,从民用石油产品中摘除了。 Actually, he pours is not cannot understand the decision that the high level makes, after all China every year in the foreign exchange reserves that in energy import this consumes, was really astonishing. 其实,他倒也不是不能理解高层做出的这种决策,毕竟华国每年在能源进口这一项上消耗的外汇储备,实在是太惊人了。 However the understanding turns over to the understanding, must say that in the heart a feeling of meat pain does not have, that is impossible. 然而理解归理解,要说心中一点肉痛的感觉都没有,那是不可能的。 Especially foreign investment this, is the perquisite fattest place. 尤其是海外投资这块,可是油水最肥的地方。 Such a blade gets down, many made him feel some meat pains. 这么一刀下来,多少还是让他感到了些肉痛。 However they are also not most miserable. 不过他们还不是最惨的。 At least compares the coal enterprise that bank note was done to fall face down, they also calculate luck. 至少相比起那一票子被干趴下的煤炭企业来说,他们还算幸运的了。 If nothing else, only that goes to the capacity superficially, does not know many to rub a hair of place. 别的不说,单是那一句轻描淡写地去产能,就不知道得让多少人捋掉一地的头发。 Especially the local finances of placements and several coal-producing provinces of lay-off staff...... 尤其是下岗员工的安置、几个产煤大省的地方财政…… These issue Wang Yongping think for them, feels scalp tingles. 这些问题汪永平只是替他们想想,都觉得一阵头皮发麻。 In addition, not only their these energy exploitation company, two large power systems and five big electric power groups also assigned the respective duty. 除此之外,不只是他们这些能源开采公司,两大电网和五大电力集团也分配到了各自的任务。 Especially regarding the fusion reactor electricity generation total the adjustment scheme of installed capacity and industrial electricity price and residential electricity price, made the explicit stipulation. 尤其对于聚变堆发电总装机量和工业电价与居民电价的调整方案,都做出了明确的规定。 However compares these prices of paying, the power company fished many advantage in this conference on the other hand. 不过相比起付出的那些代价,电力公司相对来说在这次会议上还是捞到了不少好处的。 Especially to cross-regional electric transmission project of Laos and Burma. 尤其是通往老挝、缅甸的跨区域输电项目。 If this project were completed, can make money actually next, this is the achievements of red fruits...... 这工程要是完成了,能不能赚钱倒是其次,这可是红果果的政绩啊…… Outputs the energy to the neighboring country, means that the country will have stronger right to speak in this/should area. 向邻国输出能源,就意味着国家在该地区将拥有更强的话语权。 Wang Yongping acknowledged, oneself eyes were red. 汪永平承认,自己眼红了。 This is the person sits simply at home, the merit automatic falls toward the head. 这简直是人坐在家里,功劳自动往头上掉。 But without the means that who wants others luck to be good? 但没办法,谁要人家运气好呢？ ...... …… With the breakthrough of Controlled Nuclear Fusion technology, home overseas politics. Governs the situation, in this new round productive forces transformation, will welcome new round shuffle. 随着可控聚变技术的突破,无论是国内还是国外的政.治局势,都将在这新一轮的生产力变革中,迎来新一轮的洗牌。 But these, naturally some people like, some people worry. 而这其中,自然是有人欢喜,有人发愁。 However individual destiny, in the transformation of time, is often insignificant. 然而个人的命运,在时代的变革中,往往是微不足道的。 Is irreversible like the tidal current of history is the same, nothing can prevent its forwarding. 就如同历史的潮流不可逆一样,没有什么东西能阻止它的向前。 Under such environment, entire in 2020 will not be perhaps tranquil. 在这样的大环境下,恐怕整个2020年都不会平静。 However, compares is bustling about in the stage „actor”, begins for this new times Lu Zhou oneself, actually appears relaxed. 不过,相比起在舞台上忙碌着的“演员”来说,为这个新时代拉开序幕的陆舟本人,倒是显得轻松许多。 Even the time, goes to nearby television station to drop around. 甚至还有时间,去旁边的电视台串个门。 In the new year the day before, light of program studio science, in auditorium sea of people. 新年的前一天,科学之光节目演播室现场,观众席上人山人海。 Entered the studio amid an applause, steps onto Lu Zhou of stage to wave to them with a smile, later sits, in prepared on the good sofa for him beforehand. 在一片掌声中走进了演播室,走上舞台的陆舟笑着向他们挥了挥手,随后坐在了事先为他准备好的沙发上。 Sits on sofa, Lu Zhou sized up audience one under stage simply. 坐在沙发上的时候,陆舟简单地打量了台下的观众一眼。 The faces of these audience are quite young, seems like should be the student of local university mostly, some from the nearby high school even are the Junior High School elementary schools. 这些观众们的面孔都比较年轻,大部分看上去应该是本地大学的学生,也有的来自附近高中甚至是初中小学。 When sees him, the expression on everyone face is very excited, the applause under stage also quite warm. 在看到他的时候,大家脸上的表情都很激动,台下的掌声也相当的热烈。 Only not clear is, does not know that these people of the groups of being the television station invites develop...... 唯一不清楚的就是,不知道这些人是不是电视台请来的群演…… emmmm...... emmmm…… When was not good. 就当不是好了。 Sits in the Lu Zhou opposite, host what Ying looks at Lu Zhou, smiles was saying. 坐在陆舟的对面,主持人何莹看着陆舟,微笑着说道。 „Professor land, you felt healthy to select?” “陆教授,您感觉身体好点了吗？” Lu Zhou nods with a smile: „Restored was similar, or I will not sit here.” 陆舟笑着点头:“已经恢复的差不多了,要不我也不会坐在这里了。” That side the auditorium heard the well-meaning laughter. 观众席那边传来了善意的笑声。 With that arranges beforehand, the camera of suspension above studio, came several feature articles to the expression of audience. 和事先安排好的一样,悬吊在演播室上方的摄像机,给观众的表情来了几个特写。 That side the propaganda department hopes that he through this program, sends the signal that the health changes for the better to the public and international community. 宣传部门那边希望他通过这个节目,向公众以及国际社会传递自己健康状况好转的信号。 Although is not clear does whether has the objection, but Lu Zhou complied with their request joyfully. 虽然不清楚这么做是否存在异议,但陆舟还是欣然答应了他们的请求。 After all own body truly good was similar. 毕竟自己的身体确实好的差不多了。 Let so many people worry for own health, many makes him a little feel sorry. 让这么多人为自己的健康操碎了心,多少还是让他心里有点过意不去。 After exchanging greetings of active atmosphere, what Ying smiling said to Lu Zhou: „Before the program starts, I want first to ask your several questions for our viewer friends.” 经过了一番活跃气氛的寒暄之后,何莹笑盈盈的向陆舟说道:“在节目开始之前呢,我想先替我们的观众朋友们问您几个问题。” Index finger on knee overlapping, smiles by Lu Zhou in sofa: „Asked that so long as is I can reply that I definitely speak out frankly.” 食指在膝盖上交叉,靠在沙发上的陆舟笑了笑说:“问吧,只要是我能回答的,我肯定知无不言。” „This Professor land you could rest assured that to you is very definitely easy.” Saying, what Yingfan started the card, said with a smile, „the first issue is to come from Su Sheng a netizen.” “这个陆教授您放心,对您来说肯定很容易。”说着,何莹翻了下手中的卡片,笑着说道,“第一个问题是来自一位苏省的网友。” „In the inquiry, he possibly intensifies the global warming to express to the thermal pollution that Controlled Nuclear Fusion brought worried how did Professor land you view this issue?” “在提问中,他对可控聚变带来的热污染可能加剧全球变暖表示了担忧,请问陆教授您怎么看待这个问题？” Unexpectedly also do some people know the dowtherm pollution? 居然还有人知道热污染？ The eyebrow lifted lifting interestingly, the Lu Zhou expression appeared a accident/surprise. 眉毛饶有兴趣地抬了抬,陆舟的表情浮现了一丝意外。 It seems like this audience level is good. 看来这一届的观众水平还不错啊。 Had not at least asked that some „fusion reactor explosion power can be bigger than the fission reactor?” Issue that this letting person does not know whether to laugh or cry. 至少没问些“聚变堆爆炸威力会不会比裂变堆更大？”这种让人哭笑不得的问题了。 By the sofa, Lu Zhou thought a moment later, smiles saying: „Global warming is a systematic topic, we first do not discuss the possibility that for the time being this friend said that considers this issue from the angle of scientific thought only.” 靠在了沙发上,陆舟思索了片刻之后,笑了笑开口说道:“全球变暖是一个系统性的话题,咱们暂且先不去讨论这位朋友所说的这种可能性,单从科学思维的角度来考虑这个问题。” what Ying: „Scientific thought?” 何莹:“科学思维？” Lu Zhou: „Right, the Junior High School physics will mention probably, we when studying a mobile, what must first do selects an appropriate reference system, then studies the relative motion of this/should object to reference system.” 陆舟:“没错,初中物理大概会提到,我们在研究一个运动物体时,首先要做的是选取一个合适的参考系,然后再研究该物体对参考系的相对运动。” „For example a running athlete, we discussed when his speed, will not study his step alone the size or the frequency, will not wield the speed of arm to discuss to him, but him as a whole, with runway or other thing as reference system, discusses him compared to the displacement as well as time of runway, conducts also discussed.” “比如一个奔跑的运动员,我们讨论他的速度时,不会单独研究他步子的大小或者频率,也不会对他挥动手臂的速度进行讨论,而是将他作为一个整体,以跑道或者别的东西作为参考系,来探讨他相对于跑道的位移以及时间,进行同时讨论。” „Regarding a huge system, for example Earth. We when study it, cannot only study in the system isolated some sample, but should from comes up the overall discussion with it coordinated distance scale and time scale.” “对于一个庞大的系统,比如地球。我们在研究它的时候,不能只孤立地研究系统中某一个样本,而是应该从与之对等的空间尺度和时间尺度上去整体的讨论。” „Takes alone Controlled Nuclear Fusion, places in the coordinated position with the terrestrial environment, itself is the approach of counteracting the scientific thought.” “将可控聚变单独拿出来,和地球环境放在对等的位置上,本身便是一种有悖于科学思维的做法。” „Because of the thermal power or the nuclear power, are only the electricity generation ways. But what decision social product life overall heating value is not the electricity generation way, but is the demand.” “因为无论是火电还是核电,都只是发电途径。而决定社会生产生活总热值的并非发电途径,而是需求。” what Ying: „Demand?” 何莹:“需求？” Lu Zhou nods: „Right.” 陆舟点了点头:“没错。” To a certain extent, Controlled Nuclear Fusion will accelerate the development of productive forces, but without the nuclear fusion productive forces doesn't develop? This obviously is impossible. 一定程度上,可控聚变会加速生产力的发展,但没有核聚变生产力就不发展了吗？这显然是不可能的。 The demand that so long as develops exists, with the lapse of time, the civilization will develop finally that step, but walks relatively is slower, was heavier in the price on the road paying. 只要发展的需求存在,随着时间的推移,文明最终还是会发展到那一步,只是走得相对慢一些,在路上付出的代价更沉重了一些罢了。 Looks the expression that on the audience face appears to understand but not really understand, Lu Zhou then guessed correctly they have not understood mostly, therefore then changed a easier to understand view to reply. 看着台下观众们脸上似懂非懂的表情,陆舟便猜到他们多半是没有听懂,于是便换了个更通俗易懂的说法回答道。 „In short time scale, the Controlled Nuclear Fusion technology helps alleviate the global warming. The energy conversion efficiency of traditional thermal power technology takes the figure probably is about 35%, this also means that we produce the electrical energy of 1 unit, needs to release 2.85 total heat through the combustion coal, and releases has wait with the corresponding carbon dioxides as well as other sour gas.” “在较短的时间尺度上,可控聚变技术是有利于缓解全球变暖的。传统火电技术的能量转换效率取其中位数大概是35%左右,这也就意味着我们生产一单位的电能,需要通过燃烧煤炭释放2.85的总热量,并且释放与之相应的二氧化碳以及其他含硫气体有等等。” „But Controlled Nuclear Fusion actually does not have this problem. According to the magnetohydrodynamic generator group in star-2 DEMO, the theory energy conversion efficiency has been able to achieve 50% at present, moreover there is a further room for improvement. According to 50% this data calculates sincerely, produces the electrical energy of 1 unit, we only need to release the total heat of 2 unit, simultaneously does not have the emission of greenhouse gas.” “但可控聚变却不存在这个问题。根据star-2示范堆上的磁流体发电机组,目前理论能量转换效率已经可以达到50%,而且还有进一步的提升空间。谨根据50%这个数据来计算,生产一单位的电能,我们只需要释放二单位的总热量,同时不存在温室气体的排放。” „China is the energy consuming country, the coal that every year consumes accounts for this world total consumption level half. If we changed in the carbon emission issue, because the whole world we change.” “华国是能源消费大国,每年消耗的煤炭占这个世界总消费水平的一半。如果我们在碳排放问题上做出了改变,整个世界都会因我们改变。” As for long time scale, that not only consideration human behavior, but must consider other periodic longer factors. 至于较长的时间尺度上,那就不仅仅得考虑人类行为了,还得考虑其他周期性更长的因素。 For example, periodic law of solar activity. 比如,太阳活动的周期规律。 In the mid-21 st century, the solar activity has the big probability to enter the Munder minimum period, arrives at the heat of Earth compared with the enormous time want 0.3% slightly. 在二十一世纪中叶,太阳活动有较大概率会进入蒙德极小期,到达地球的热量要比极大期要小0.3%。 But what concept this are 0.3%? 而这个0.3%是什么概念？ Refers to Venerable Coching Chu «China Meteorology History», historically four little ice ages happen to are the special periods that flourishing Zhou Jiaoti, the end of Han three countries and Tang end Five Dynasties and at the End of the Ming dynasty and Beginning of the Qing dynasty these four dynasty alternated. Taked at the end of Ming for instance, according to the historical record, the Zhengde Emperor Zhengde 7 winter, Dongting Lake iced up one foot, the Yangtze River freeze month was puzzled, then obviously its might. 参考竺可桢老先生的《华国气象史》,历史上四次小冰河期正好是殷周交替、汉末三国、唐末五代、明末清初这四个朝代更迭的特殊时期。以明末为例,根据史料记载,明武宗正德七年冬,洞庭湖结冰一尺,长江封冻匝月不解,便可见其威力。 Compared to the solar activity, these heats that the human activities release, at all not in a magnitude. 相对于太阳活动而言,人类活动所释放的那些热量,根本不在一个量级上。 At least at present, but also misses too. 至少目前,还差得太远。 However the time is limited, these things, do not need excessively to expand in the program and that's the end...... 不过时间有限,这些东西,没必要在节目中过多引申就是了……