„...... Forecast in the future?” “……预测未来？” Traces the whiskers of crawling full chin, Perelman is frowning saying that „what relations this and math does have?” 摸了摸爬满下巴的络腮胡,佩雷尔曼皱着眉头说道,“这和数学有什么关系吗？” Schultz also nods, the whole face looks at Albert who puzzled stands from the sofa, „with all due respect, this sounds is more like the concept that in the Hollywood blockbuster can present.” 舒尔茨也点了点头,满脸困惑地看着从沙发上站起来的艾伯特,“恕我直言,这听起来更像是好莱坞大片中才会出现的概念。” „Naturally has the relations!” Albert replied with the exciting tone, „through the method forecast of math in the future, this is our current topics!” “当然有关系！”艾伯特用激动的语气回答道,“通过数学的方法预测未来,这就是我们正在进行的课题！” In the apartment fell into again peacefully. 公寓里再次陷入了安静。 A Krugman face had a headache puts out a hand to draw Albert, but the latter has not actually obeyed his reminder, but his hand casting off, continued the flashing eyes to stare at Perelman, the hope can his approval. 克鲁格曼一脸头疼地伸手拉了艾伯特一把,但后者却并没有听从他的提醒,而是将他的手给甩开了,继续目光炯炯地盯着佩雷尔曼,希望能够得到他的认同。 However...... 然而…… His prospect failed obviously. 他的指望显然是落空了。 Not only this time Perelman, even on Schultz's face, showed the strange expression. 这次不只是佩雷尔曼,连舒尔茨的脸上,也露出了古怪的表情。 Looks like looking at the fool same...... 就像是在看傻子一样…… „I felt you think were too many.” “我觉得你们想的太多了。” Coughed gently, broke in the room silent Schultz, continued to open the mouth to say own idea. 轻轻咳嗽了一声,打破了房间中沉默的舒尔茨,继续开口说出了自己的想法。 „Forecast in the future this is not the category of math, I thought that even is not the physics, I thought that this is the domain that the philosopher ponders. After all you looked, there is a many uncertain factor to control our ideas, but we are also blow hot and cold every so often, for example today, if rains, perhaps I will not appear here” “预测未来这已经不是数学的范畴,我觉得甚至也不是物理,我觉得这已经是哲学家思考的领域了。毕竟你看,有那么多不确定的因素会左右我们的想法,而我们自己很多时候也是摇摆不定的,比如今天如果下了场雨,也许我就不会出现在这里了” „But the weather can forecast! A traveling schedule change of person is unpredictable, but itinerary of one group of people can actually anticipate, New York nearly 5 years of traffic condition data and weather forecasts can support my viewpoint!” “但天气是可以预测！一个人的行程变动是难以预料,但一群人的行程却是可以预期的,纽约市近五年的交通状况数据和天气预报都能够支撑我的观点！” Interrupted Schultz's words strongly-worded, Albert continues to say with the firm and exciting tone, „human actually has no difference essentially with float in the dust in water, our whole time are also the movement continue, the difference is the perturbation that we receive is not the small not obvious atomic collision and standpoint interferes merely, but was transformed a series of duty, responsibility as well as motive the tremor of not obvious neuron urges!” 措辞强硬地打断了舒尔茨的话,艾伯特用坚定且激动的语气继续说道,“人类跟悬浮在水中的尘埃其实没什么本质上的不同,我们大部分时间也是运动不止,区别仅仅是我们受到的扰动不是微小不可见的原子碰撞与立场干涉,而是被转化成一系列任务、责任以及动机的不可见的神经元的颤动所驱使！” „We have many tools to trace the activity of human, for example the Internet, for example our mobile equipment...... count the data that all we can forecast, so long as we can its analyze, we can achieve not only to them fixed-point push advertisement bored matter, we even can sentence in advance ten minutes and ten days, and even the remote future!” “我们有很多工具都能够追踪人类的活动,比如互联网,比如我们的移动设备……统计所有我们能够预测到的数据,只要我们能够对其加以分析,我们能做到的将不只是给他们定点推送广告这种无聊的事情,我们甚至能够预判十分钟、十天、乃至更久远的未来！” „You did not think that this does sound very thrilling?” “你不觉得这听起来很令人激动吗？” The voice falls, Professor Krugman is applauding. 话音落下,克鲁格曼教授鼓起了掌。 However, applause probably also only then he...... 然而,鼓掌的好像也只有他一个人…… Perelman or Schultz, the idea in heart have almost written on the face. 无论是佩雷尔曼还是舒尔茨,心中的想法几乎已经写在脸上了。 However, although the idea of Lu Zhou and they are similar, similarly thought that this idea is a little absurd, but he actually recalled at this time suddenly, the previous time in Shanghai, Professor Krugman and discussed seemed this issue. 不过,虽然陆舟的想法和他们差不多,同样觉得这个想法有点荒唐,但这时候他却忽然回忆起来,上次在沪上的时候,克鲁格曼教授和自己商量的似乎就是这个问题。 Through the mathematical modeling, to the human society behavior and livelihood of large scale conducts the modeling, will thus serve the forecast future purpose. 通过建立数学模型,对大尺度的人类社会行为以及生产生活进行建模,从而达到预测未来的目的。 „This sounds very interesting,”, although has not applauded, but Lu Zhou is interested said, „your view lets I remembered Asimov ‚psychohistory’...... this set of theory you from «Base» in copies?” “这听起来很有趣,”虽然没有鼓掌,但陆舟还是感兴趣地说道,“你的说法让我想起了阿西莫夫的‘心理史学’……这套理论你是从《基地》里抄来的吗？” „It is not! I from the angle of science was explaining my theory...... good, I acknowledged, Asimov a little inspires to my theory, but here must discuss is not the viewpoint in some science fiction, but is a serious academic issue!” “并不是！我是从科学的角度在解释我的理论……好吧,我承认,阿西莫夫对我的理论有一点启发,但我这里要讨论的可不是某本科幻小说中的观点,而是一个严肃的学术问题！” „Good, we supposed the collective behavior that human truly can be forecast, is how...... this can?” Schultz wrinkled under the eyebrow saying that „your any behavior, even was the observation, will have the unpredictable influence on the experimental result. This not only does not have the significance, but also achieves very much difficultly.” “好吧,我们假设人类的集体行为确实是可以被预测的,可是……这又能怎样呢？”舒尔茨皱了下眉毛说,“你的任何行为,甚至是观测本身,都会对实验结果产生难以预料的影响。这不但毫无意义,而且很难去做到。” „To be how good! Does the wave-particle duality that God, we study the light make what for the direction photon? You did not think that I forecast in the future is an exciting topic? Even if we proved merely this matter is feasible, our names also went down in history sufficiently!” “怎样都好！上帝,我们研究光的波粒二象性难道是为了指挥光子去做什么吗？你不觉得我预测未来本身就是一个激动人心的课题吗？哪怕我们仅仅只是证明了这件事情是可行的,我们的名字也足以被载入史册了！” Obviously, Albert and Professor Krugman, to convince Perelman join to their plans, the choice comes to St. Petersburg. 显然,艾伯特和克鲁格曼教授,是为了说服佩雷尔曼加入到他们的计划,才选择来圣彼得堡的。 First only then the scholar of Perelman this rank, may complete their huge plans, but what is most essential, the wind of academic circle comments, Perelman is also that type of quite good speech. 一来是只有佩雷尔曼这种级别的学者,才有可能完成他们这个庞大的计划,而最关键的是,在学术界的风评来看,佩雷尔曼也是属于比较好说话的那种类型。 Even initially solved the Poincaré conjecture the cause, is when he talked with Hamilton on the way of the visit to US, hears about a kind of name that the latter mentioned is called „cigar” singular point, and complained that this issue puzzled oneself many years to start...... 甚至于当初解决庞加莱猜想的起因,就是因为他在访美途中与哈密尔顿交谈时,听到后者说起的关于一类名称叫做“雪茄”的奇点,并抱怨这个问题困扰了自己许多年而开始的…… However, because encounters the rebuttal one after another, Albert is getting more and more excited, the persuasion has started to change flavor the quarrel. 然而,因为接二连三地遭遇反驳,艾伯特的情绪越来越激动,劝说已经开始变味儿成了争吵。 Krugman tries to remind oneself friend to pay attention, but no use. 克鲁格曼试图提醒自己的友人注意一下,但没有什么用处。 But the final result can also foresee, Perelman rejected them at the scene. 而最后的结果也是可以预见的,佩雷尔曼当场拒绝了他们。 Although with not looking at the idiot same vision of visits them, but indicated with the expression firm tone, he has not seen any interesting place, does not think that the math is used to do this bored matter. 虽然没有用看白痴一样的目光看着他俩,但还是用措辞坚定的语气表示,他既没有看到任何有趣的地方,也不认为数学是用来干这种无聊的事情的。 As for Schultz, devotes to obtains him of higher achievement in the math, naturally will not have the interest in the topic of this type of heresy, therefore is only the polite expression, which day will wait for he to have the words of time perhaps to consider to study. 至于舒尔茨,致力于在数学上取得更高成就的他,当然不会对这种旁门左道的课题产生兴趣,因此只是礼貌的表示,等哪天他有时间的话也许会考虑研究研究。 As for this day is, possibly only then he knew. 至于这一天到底是什么时候,可能只有他自己才知道了。 As for Lu Zhou...... 至于陆舟…… To be honest, he regarding this mentality novel issue is a little interest. 说实话,他对于这种思路新奇的问题还是有点兴趣的。 Unlike Schultz and Perelman, he is the approval radiates the influence of math to other divisions/disciplines on own initiative, and changes other science to go with the math. 与舒尔茨和佩雷尔曼都不同,他是赞成主动将数学的影响力辐射到其他学科中,并用数学去改变其他科学去的。 Moreover also such just as Professor Krugman said that forecast that in the future is one is full of the romanticist color topic. 而且也正如克鲁格曼教授所说的那样,预测未来本身就是一个充满浪漫主义色彩的话题。 Although he has no interest in the economics, the research to the social science does not catch cold, but seems like establishes regarding this type the topic in in the air garret, in the heart is actually accidental/surprised hasn't repelled? 他虽然对经济学没什么兴趣,对社科类的研究也丝毫不感冒,但对于这种看起来像是建立在空中阁楼上的课题,心中却是意外的没有很多排斥？ However he has not promised two people immediately. 不过他也没有立刻答应两人。 „I require the little time to consider, at least before I solve the Riemann hypothesis, I did not plan to study other issues again.” “我需要一点点时间考虑,至少在我解决黎曼猜想之前,我不打算再研究其他的问题了。” However, after hearing these words, Albert's shoulder actually dangles, the expression on face had turned into the deep disappointment. 然而,在听到了这句话之后,艾伯特的肩膀却是垂下,脸上的表情已经变成了深深的失望。 In his opinion, these words are probably same as Schultz's that set of excuse, even it can be said that rejection is tactless...... 在他看来,这句话大概和舒尔茨的那套说辞是一样的,甚至于可以说是拒绝的毫不委婉了…… „After solving the Riemann hypothesis,...... God, I have not listened compared with this more tactful rejection!” “解决了黎曼猜想之后……上帝,我没听过比这更委婉的拒绝了！” The expression on Krugman face also wrote all over the regret, looked at a Perelman, looked at Lu Zhou, sighed to say. 克鲁格曼脸上的表情也是写满了遗憾,看了一眼佩雷尔曼,又看了一眼陆舟,叹了口气说道。 „No matter how said, I hope you can seriously consider.” “不管怎么说,我还是希望你能认真考虑一下。” Lu Zhou: „Actually I have an issue is very puzzled.” 陆舟:“其实我有个问题一直很困惑。” Krugman: „...... What issue?” 克鲁格曼:“……什么问题？” Thinks, Lu Zhou continues saying: „If really can be forecast in the future, this to us is really a good deed?” 想了想,陆舟继续说道:“如果未来真的是可以被预测的话,这对于我们来说真的是一件好事吗？” Krugman silent a while said: „This means I am very difficult to reply you, this was the academic beside issue. Like Mr. Albert, I believes he writes «Link» this work time, has not thought that own theory the Internet giants and advertising agents by Silicon Valley will take away to squeeze the wallet of consumer......” 克鲁格曼沉默了一会儿说道:“这个办法我很难回答你,这就是学术之外的问题了。就像艾伯特先生,我相信他写出《链接》这本著作的时候,也没想到自己的理论会被硅谷的互联网巨头和广告商们拿去压榨消费者的钱包……” Hears these words, Albert is not glad immediately, shouts was saying. 一听到这句话,艾伯特顿时不乐意了,嚷嚷着说道。 „Hey, don't reach an agreement? The use of big data may, not only in advertisement! We various urban planning wait issues enjoyed the advantage of this technology in the anti-terrorist, medical and, why aren't you this point always putting?” “嘿,别这么说好吗？大数据的用处可不只是在广告上！我们在反恐、医疗、城市规划等等各种问题上都享受到了这项技术的好处,你为什么总是就着这一点不放？” Has not paid attention to Albert's crying out, Professor Krugman continues to say. 并没有理会艾伯特的叫唤,克鲁格曼教授继续说道。 „...... Had the day he by to find me suddenly, said that was the plan becomes the reality the theory in «Eruption» this work, my first response was this fellow has not definitely planned to do the matter, but I ultimately accepted his invitation.” “……有天他由忽然找到我,说是打算把《爆发》这本著作中的理论变成现实,我的第一反应就是这家伙肯定没打算干什么好事儿,但我最终还是接受了他的邀请。” Lu Zhou: „Why?” 陆舟:“为什么？” „Because the fundamental research is also good, the research of applied science is also good, should be a technology whether conducts evilly qualitative should not be the scholar. The nuclear fission technology is evil? Stood in the point pondered in 1945 this time, perhaps most people believe that but stands in today then looked, because perhaps had like this super weapon, our world can, in a super power moved toward the collapse in the extreme condition still to maintain the peace, put before for half a century, this does not dare to imagine.” “因为无论是理论研究也好,应用科学的研究也好,该为一件技术是否邪恶进行定性的不应该是学者。核裂变技术是邪恶的吗？站在1945年这个时间点上思考,也许大多数人都会这么认为,但站在今天回头去看,也许正是因为拥有这样的超级武器,我们的世界才能在一个超级大国走向崩溃的极端情况下依然保持和平,放到半个世纪之前这都是不敢想象的。” „Therefore I felt, we discuss merely is only an academic issue, the research forecast merely theoretically the future possibility, rather than will handle anything with it.” “所以我觉得,我们探讨的仅仅只是个学术问题,研究的仅仅是在理论上预测未来的可能,而不是用它去做什么事情。” „As for must use this technology, even to this technology qualitative, our civilizations naturally can make the choice.” “至于要不要去使用这项技术,甚至于给这项技术定性,我们的文明自然会做出选择。” After listening to these words, looks at Professor Krugman the sincere line of sight, Lu Zhou after silent a while, nods gently. 听完了这一番话之后,看着克鲁格曼教授真诚的视线,陆舟在沉默了一会儿之后,轻轻点了点头。 „Your meaning I understood.” “你的意思我明白了。” „Later if possible, we chat this issue again well.” “以后有机会的话,我们再好好聊聊这个问题。” Krugman nods, sits made a helpless expression in his nearby Albert, shrugs saying: „Hope really has this opportunity, hopes that on the day of I can wait till.” 克鲁格曼点了点头,坐在他旁边的艾伯特则是做了个无奈的表情,耸了耸肩说道:“希望真的有这个机会,也希望我能够等到那天。” Even if he is the research physics, still has regarding the difficulty of Riemann hypothesis hear. 即便他是研究物理的,对于黎曼猜想的困难也是有所耳闻的。 Other conjecture difficult turning over to be difficult, but at least can see the way of solving the problem. 其他数学猜想难归难,但至少看得到解决问题的途径。 But the Riemann hypothesis, actually an alone mountain, stands erect probably alone there. 而黎曼猜想,却像是一座孤零零的大山,独自矗立在那里。 No one knows, it must stand erect several centuries...... 谁也不知道,它还要矗立几个世纪…… At that time he also, was an issue. 那时候他还在不在了,都是个问题。