IAIH :: Volume #9

#871: Last chance

LNMTL needs user funding to survive Read More

Beverly Hills Manor, Eric lived in the girl's over the two days situated in the mansion in Trousdale manor, he has not stayed up most all night like Paramount many high levels, although is on Saturday, gets out of bed as before on time, washing, the morning exercise, have the breakfast, sits read new day of newspaper on can the bird's eye view entire Los Angeles mansion flat roof. 比弗利山庄,艾瑞克这两天住在丫头位于特劳斯代尔庄园的豪宅里,他没有像派拉蒙很多高层那样熬上大半个通宵,虽然是周六,依旧准时起床,洗漱,晨练,吃早餐,坐在可以俯瞰整个洛杉矶的豪宅露台上阅读新一天的报纸。 As if was wants to make certain counter-attack, Paramount announced Friday one-day Box Office ranking on newspaper impatiently. 似乎是想要做出某些反击,派拉蒙迫不及待地在报纸上公布了周五的单日票房排行榜。 The twin takes away the tableware on round table peacefully, the girl sits in the Eric opposite, similarly read 《Los Angeles Times》 that on the tabletop was spreading out, said with amazement: „First weekend three days of anticipated 40 million, that first week must surpass 60 million USD, is similar to first part, did our forcing out plan to be defeated?” 双胞胎安静地将圆桌上的餐具收走,丫头坐在艾瑞克对面,同样读着桌面上摊开的一份《洛杉矶时报》,惊讶道:“首周末三天预期4000万,那首周岂不是要超过6000万美元,跟第一部差不多,我们的封杀计划岂不是失败了？” Eric shakes the head with a smile, said: „Usual movie is equal according to your this working day to weekend 50% many algorithms yes right, the animated film is different, especially 2D Animation, because the majority of audiences are the children who needs the parents to accompany, the Box Office proportion of working day will be lower. 70% of «The Lion King» first weekend three days of Box Office close first weeks, this sequel definitely also similar, therefore its first week surpasses the 60 million USD possibility not to be big, should in 5 5 million USD about.” 艾瑞克笑着摇摇头,道:“通常的电影按照你这种工作日相当于周末一半多的算法是没错的,动画电影就不一样了,特别是2d动画,因为大部分观众都是需要父母陪伴的儿童,工作日的票房比例会更低。《狮子王》首部周末三天票房就接近首周的70%,这部续集肯定也差不多,所以它首周超过6000万美元的可能性不大,应该在5500万美元左右。” „First week 5 5 million USD, how many that total will Box Office have?” “首周5500万美元,那总票房会有多少？” Eric was reading a «Con Air» movie criticism, thinks that said: „This did not say certainly. «The Lion King 2» total Box Office many, before mainly look at it, all around Box Office performance. This week later, next week is «Godzilla», again next week is «Finding Nemo» and «Ultra Space and time Contact», then also has «Batman And Robin», these can create the movie of very big threat to «The Lion King 2», if these movie Box Office performance are good, «The Lion King 2» definitely will be attacked, otherwise, «The Lion King 2» Box Office close first part is not impossible.” 艾瑞克读着一篇《空中监狱》的影评,想了想,道:“这个说不准。《狮子王2》的总票房多少,主要看它前四周的票房表现。这周之后,下周是《哥斯拉》,再下周是《海底总动员》和《超时空接触》,接下来还有《蝙蝠侠与罗宾》,这些都是能够对《狮子王2》造成很大威胁的影片,如果这些影片票房表现太好,《狮子王2》肯定会受到冲击,反之,《狮子王2》票房接近第一部都不是不可能的。” Actually, according to the previous life memory, in the Eric heart already had some details. 其实,根据前世的记忆,艾瑞克心中早就有了一些底细。 Movie that the following three weeks will soon show, «Godzilla» and «Batman And Robin» throws the possibility of street to be big, has «Finding Nemo» is the «The Lion King 2» most direct match. 接下来三周即将上映的影片,《哥斯拉》和《蝙蝠侠与罗宾》扑街的可能性非常大,也只有《海底总动员》才是《狮子王2》最直接的对手。 However, present «Con Air» as if has Box Office not to reach the anticipated trend, first date 770 ten thousand USD, the first week also can only receive about 35 million USD probably, under following several weeks of big piece bombing, finally North America Box Office whether can break hundred million is very dangerous. The low performance of «Con Air», let the Box Office prospect of Eric to «Finding Nemo» has not affirmed, he had watched several this 3D Animation Large expanse, although with compared not to be inferior, but because promoted the time to be ahead of time for six years compared with original, whether can also display once that impressive Box Office explosive force, Eric cannot affirm. 不过,眼下的《空中监狱》似乎有票房不达预期的趋势,首日770万美元,首周大概也只能收3500万美元左右,在接下来几周的大片轰炸下,最终北美票房是否能够破亿还是非常悬的。《空中监狱》的低迷表现,让艾瑞克对《海底总动员》的票房前景也就不那么肯定了,他已经看过好几次这部3d动画的成片,虽然与原本比起来丝毫不逊色,但由于比原版推出时间提前了六年,是否还能表现出曾经那种让人惊叹的票房爆发力,艾瑞克就不敢肯定了。 The girls listened to Eric saying that lowered the head flipped on the entertainment version, found summer the movie running schedule table of files, looked at a while, gained ground saying: „That, looks like, summer files global Box Office possibly approaches 1 billion USD, had «Godzilla» and our «Casino Royale».” 丫头听艾瑞克这么说,低头在娱乐版上翻了翻,找到暑期档的影片档期表,看了一会儿,抬头道:“那,看起来,暑期档全球票房可能接近10亿美元的,就只有《哥斯拉》和我们的《皇家赌场》了呢。” „You also by «RMS Titanic» exciting heavy, global 1 billion that are that easy, Hollywood can have a global Box Office 1 billion Box Office dark horse every year is lucky, this year, um,” Eric has hesitated, has not said the «Finding Nemo» name, said: „This year may have, but definitely is not «Godzilla» and «Casino Royale».” “你也被《泰坦尼克号》刺激的不轻,全球10亿那是那么容易的,好莱坞每年能够出一部全球票房10亿的票房黑马就算是幸运的了,今年,嗯,”艾瑞克迟疑了下,没有说出《海底总动员》的名字,顿了顿,道:“今年或许会有,但肯定不会是《哥斯拉》和《皇家赌场》。” „, Don't you have confidence?” “啊,你也没信心啊？” The Eric analysis said: „You look, on «GoldenEye» global Box Office is 350 million USD, does not count the inflation the words, this was 007 best results, actually this has also demonstrated originally the 007 Box Office potential of form. This time «Casino Royale» can, my revision to the movie form , the indefinite audience like at present. But synthesizes 007 brand, my Box Office rallying point as well as agent movie universe corona in addition holds, this movie global Box Office surpasses the 500 million USD issue not to be big, if erupts some slightly, could achieve 700 million, but 1 billion needed very big chance.” 艾瑞克分析道:“你看啊,上一部《黄金眼》的全球票房是3.5亿美元,不计通胀的话,这算是007的最好成绩了,其实这也显示了原本形式的007的票房潜力。这次的《皇家赌场》,我对影片形式的修改,目前还不确定观众会不会喜欢。但综合007品牌、我个人的票房号召力以及特工电影宇宙的光环加持,这部影片全球票房超过5亿美元问题还是不大的,如果稍微爆发一些,或许能够达到7亿,但10亿就需要很大机缘了。” The girl eyeball transferred the revolutions, said: „That, when the final decisive battles of three big agent organization and spirit party, can achieve 1 billion USD?” 丫头眼珠子转了转,道:“那,等到三大特工组织与幽灵党的最终大决战时,有可能达到10亿美元吗？” Eric thinks in the derivation space and time, after «The Avengers» first part screens, «Captain America» and «Thor» these two first Box Office mediocre series sequel Box Office almost realized turned time of rise, originally popularity very high «Iron Man» Box Office broke through 1 billion USD. Reason that will have this situation, to a great extent because of building up of many Superhero, has promoted originally the popularity and Box Office rallying point of single body hero. 艾瑞克想起原时空中,《复仇者联盟》第一部上映之后,《美国队长》和《雷神》这两个首部票房平庸的系列续集票房几乎都实现了翻倍上涨,原本人气就非常高的《钢铁侠》票房更是突破了10亿美元。之所以会出现这种情况,很大程度上就是因为多位超级英雄的集结,提升了原本单体英雄的人气和票房号召力。 «007» and «Mission: Impossible» and 《Charlie's Angels》 three agent movie series human spirits originally were high, «Casino Royale» is three big series realizes the first plot overlapping movie exactly, after this movie, the movie fans of three big agent series also will definitely present the fusion. Even if the promotion effect of «Casino Royale» on series were inferior «The Avengers» is so formidable, but in following series sequel movie, so long as maintains the overlapping continuity on this plot, perhaps before the final spirit party decisive battle, can present the global Box Office 1 billion movie also perhaps. 《007》、《碟中谍》和《霹雳娇娃》三个特工电影系列原本的人气就已经非常高,《皇家赌场》恰好是三大系列实现第一次情节交叉的影片,这部影片之后,三大特工系列的影迷肯定也会出现融合。即使《皇家赌场》对原本系列的提升作用不如《复仇者联盟》那么强大,但接下来的系列续集影片中,只要保持这种情节上的交叉连贯性,或许在最终的幽灵党大决战之前,就能出现全球票房10亿的影片也说不定。 „Naturally has the possibility, even does not need to wait till finally decisive battle Nà.” “当然有可能,甚至不需要等到最终决战吶。” Eric nods, has thought of anything suddenly, puts down newspaper in hand, has established blank documents on nearby notebook, raps the keyboard while said: „But, I think suddenly that in the following series, you should pay attention to some issues, I write a memorandum to you.” 艾瑞克点着头,又突然想到了些什么,放下手中的报纸,在旁边笔记本电脑上建立了一个空白文档,一边敲击键盘一边道:“不过,我突然想到,接下来的系列中,你们应该注意一些问题,我写一份备忘录给你们吧。” The girls collect curiously, said: „What?” 丫头好奇地凑过来,道:“什么啊？” Eric continues to type on the keyboard, explained: „About the supporting role, you looks, «007» or «Mission: Impossible», as well as 《Charlie's Angels》, has the supporting role who the comparison loses face, Madame m and Dr. q wait/etc. these people. After «Casino Royale», the agent movie universe series shoots 10 again is not the issue, if so, wish makes three big series of leads of be a guest performer to realize the linkage, the production cost will become very soaring, at this time, making the supporting role in series realize this alternation effect, the performance-to-price ratio was high. Even, like «Mission: Impossible», Kevin the Costner salary initial price is getting higher and higher, if final both sides are hard to cooperate again, we even can begin using supporting role originally to continue to lead ‚impossible duty department’ , to continue the «Mission: Impossible» series.” 艾瑞克继续敲着键盘,解释道:“关于配角的,你看啊,无论是《007》还是《碟中谍》,以及《霹雳娇娃》,其中都有比较出彩的配角,m夫人、q博士等等这些人。《皇家赌场》之后,特工电影宇宙系列再拍上10部都不是问题,但这样的话,想要让三大系列的主角相互之间客串实现联动,制作成本就会变得非常高昂,这时候,让系列中的配角来实现这种穿插效果,性价比就非常高了。甚至,像《碟中谍》这样,凯文・科斯特纳的片酬开价越来越高,如果最终双方难以再合作下去,我们甚至可以启用原本的配角继续领导‘不可能任务部门’,将《碟中谍》系列继续下去。” The girls look memorandum documents that Eric fast knocks, was approximately clearer, nodded to say grinningly: „Complies with Chris like you by «Casino Royale» in Angela does the status that results in play that speeding car movie such?” 丫头看着艾瑞克飞快敲出的备忘录文档,大致明白了些,笑嘻嘻地点头道:“就像你答应克丽丝以《皇家赌场》里的安吉拉・琳得的身份出演那部飞车电影那样吗？” Eric rapped the finger of keyboard, has patted on the round table, said: „Yes, I almost this movie forgetting, to have blamed too being recently busy, over the two days I found time to write the program, you looked for several appropriate screenwriter to fill script.” 艾瑞克敲击键盘的手指顿了顿,在圆桌上拍了下,道:“是啊,我差点把这部电影给忘了,都怪最近太忙了,这两天我抽空把大纲写出来,你去找几个合适的编剧填补剧本吧。” „Hehe,” girl smiled, said: „Gives back to us, Liz will definitely be angry, perhaps Jeffrey also will have opinion Oh.” “呵呵,”丫头笑了笑,道:“还给我们啊,莉兹肯定会更生气呢,说不定杰弗瑞也会有意见哦。” Eric these years truly gave the girl to fill too many greatly hot movies, the agent movie universe did not say that «Night at the Museum» and «Resident Evil» and «Forrest Gump» and other movies were the greedy incomparable popular project, following Towle gold/metal China , Turkey epic poem series, that made Film Studio eat sufficiently for ten years. 艾瑞克这些年确实给丫头塞去了太多大热电影,特工电影宇宙就不说了,《博物馆奇妙夜》、《生化危机》、《阿甘正传》等影片都是让人眼馋无比的热门项目,接下来的托尔・金中土史诗系列,那更是足以让一家电影公司吃上十年了。 It looks like, Drew hope that Eric such noticeably do not favor again. 看起来,德鲁自己都希望艾瑞克不要再这么明显地偏袒了。 Has kissed on the girl cheek with a smile, Eric said: „This time on consider as finished, you continues with, I hope that this vehicle race series can realize the linkage with the agent movie universe, if places other Film Studio, although can realize the plot as before overlapping, because the theme differs quite in a big way, such will do appears too desirably, will have the copyright disputes of many not being clear. Firefly did not lack project. That side Fox, they are making «Star Pre-war Biography» now, Miramax these two years performance are also outstanding, Julia this Box Office actor playing role of pretty young woman supports the field, that side Film Industry service besides being short of some big manufactures, is not worse than you many, said again, the Fox background may be more abundant than Metro Goldwyn Mayer.” 笑着在丫头脸蛋上吻了下,艾瑞克道:“这次就算了,你继续拿着,我希望这部赛车系列能够与特工电影宇宙实现联动,如果放在其他电影公司,虽然依旧可以实现剧情交叉,但因为题材相差比较大,这么做就会显得太刻意,也会产生很多扯不清的版权纠葛。萤火虫这边一直都不缺项目的。福克斯那边,他们现在正在做《星战前传》,米拉麦克斯这两年的表现也非常抢眼,还有茱莉亚这位票房花旦撑场,那边的电影业务除了少了些大制作外,并不比你们差多少,再说了,福克斯的底子可比米高梅雄厚多了。” Fox had taken over more than ten years by News Corp, although these years Film Industry service are not too splendid, but with the support of News Corp powerful strength, the Fox operation condition is very stable. 福克斯已经被新闻集团接手了十多年时间,虽然这些年的电影业务并不算太出色,但在新闻集团雄厚实力的支持下,福克斯的运营状况还是非常稳定的。 Compares, the Metro Goldwyn Mayer current service is only restricted in the movie as before, although under the stimulation of a series of popular big piece, the vitality starts to recover, but the overall strength in seven major and medium is the setting the base condition as before. 相比起来,米高梅目前的业务依旧仅限于电影,虽然在一系列热门大片的刺激下,元气开始复苏,但整体实力在七大中依旧属于垫底状态。 The girls also know certainly that Eric is hopes Metro Goldwyn Mayer is as soon as possible formidable, plays the major role in the media system of Firefly. 丫头当然也知道艾瑞克是希望米高梅尽快强大起来,在萤火虫的传媒体系中发挥更大的作用。 Nodded, has not rejected again, girl said: „Was right, Eric, previous Amy also with me discussed that we recently had the opportunity to purchase wired TV Station.” 点了点头,没有再拒绝,丫头道:“对了,艾瑞克,上次艾米还跟我商量呢,我们最近恰好有机会收购一家有线电视台呢。” Metro Goldwyn Mayer wants to go a step further, definitely needs to expand to the television profession, the Eric initial thought hopes that Metro Goldwyn Mayer can purchase CBS and Columbia Film Industry in Sony hand, but because the new technical tide rises, now the CBS value over 20 billion USD, Sony has not let go similarly the thought of Film Industry service, these two ideas are temporarily invalid. 米高梅想要更进一步,肯定需要向电视行业扩张,艾瑞克最初的念头是希望米高梅能够收购bs和索尼手中的哥伦比亚影业,但由于新科技浪潮崛起,现在bs的价值已经超过200亿美元,索尼同样没有脱手电影业务的念头,这两种想法暂时都是行不通的。 Then, expands to the cable TV profession, has become a good choice. The next 20 years, North America public TV Network is doomed to decline, the cable TV profession will enter the heyday. 那么,向有线电视行业扩张,也就成了一个不错的选择。未来20年,北美公共电视网注定衰落,有线电视行业将进入全盛时期。 The memorandum that Eric will write issues Metro Goldwyn Mayer CEO Amy the Pascal mailbox, asked that the girl said: „Which TV Station is?” 艾瑞克将写好的备忘录发给米高梅eo艾米・帕斯卡尔的邮箱,问丫头道:“是哪家电视台啊？” „E! Entertainment.” “e！娱乐。” Eric selects the eyebrow slightly, immediately thinks that is in the original space and time broadcasts and big...... Oh not, with that TV Station of Shan colleague. 艾瑞克微微挑眉,立刻想起来,就是原时空中播放与大……哦不,与卡戴珊一家同行的那家电视台。 Nods, Eric said: „This TV Station, I have heard, but too does not pay attention.” 点点头,艾瑞克道:“这家电视台啊,我听说过,只是不太注意。” The girls introduced: „I have read the material, e! The entertainment is mainly broadcasts and fashion related movie, television and music and so on program, Oh, Hollywood gossip.” 丫头介绍道:“我看过资料了,e！娱乐主要是播放与时尚相关的电影、电视、音乐之类的节目,哦,还有好莱坞八卦。” Eric asked subconsciously: „Doesn't have Reality Show?” 艾瑞克下意识问道:“没有真人秀吗？” Girls crooked head: „Probably, no, but, if we can buy, can definitely manufacture Reality Show.” 丫头歪了歪脑袋:“好像,没有吧,不过,如果我们能买下来,肯定可以自己制作真人秀啊。” „This TV Station, did not broadcast Reality Show too to waste the resources, but also needs to plan well,” Eric was saying, asked: „Now e! Property rights on that company?” “这种电视台,不播放真人秀就太浪费资源了,不过也需要好好规划一下,”艾瑞克说着,又问道:“现在e！的所有权在那家公司手上？” „This was a little complex, e! The entertainment is Warner wired, Comcast, telematics and mainland television also has the foundation wired five companies jointly to buy stock the establishment at first, these years have conformed several times, the mainland television and foundation wired withdrew, this time is Time Warner also wants to withdraw, is seeking for the customer who is interested, we most can buy about 40% stocks, but, Connors that side meaning, if we take over Warner to have the stock in informer, should be able to attain e! The operation power of entertainment.” “这个有点复杂了呢,e！娱乐最初是华纳有线、康卡斯特、远程通讯、大陆电视还有基础有线五家公司联合入股成立的,这些年整合了几次,大陆电视和基础有线都退出了,这次是时代华纳也想退出,正在寻找感兴趣的买主,我们最多能够买下40%左右的股份,不过,康纳斯特那边的意思,如果我们接手华纳有线手中的股份的话,应该能够拿到e！娱乐的运营权。” The North America cable TV started to rise from the 80's, at that time to dodge the investment risk as well as made full use of various resources, basically was the pooling capital forms, like ae TV Network and ESPN that TV Station such Firefly and Hearst Communications as before together have now. 北美的有线电视从八十年代才开始崛起,当时为了规避投资风险以及更充分地利用各家资源,基本上都是合股形式,就像萤火虫与赫斯特集团现在依旧共同持有的ae电视网和espn电视台那样。 „That first buys 40%, in the future will have the opportunity to eat up entire TV Station again.” “那就先买下40%吧,将来有机会再吃下整个电视台。” „But I feel somewhat expensively, e! The entertainment adds on several child stages, the present subscription user also 50 million, last year earning had 370 million, but also lost money 13 million USD. Less than 40% stocks, Warner wired offered 750 million, Amy said that this price can also discuss, but will not be lower than 600 million USD finally.” “但是我感觉有些贵呢,e！娱乐加上几个子台,现在的订阅用户还不到5000万,去年的营收只有3.7亿,还亏损了1300万美元。不到40%的股份,华纳有线报价7.5亿,艾米说这个价格还能谈,但最终也不会低于6亿美元。” If the charge wired stage, about the 50 million subscription user can definitely make the shareholder gain overturns, but e! The entertainment obviously is divided by the advertisement and operator as the foundation wired stage of come income. 如果是收费有线台,5000万左右的订阅用户肯定能让股东赚翻掉,但e！娱乐显然是靠广告和运营商分成作为主要收入的基础有线台。 In the two years, like CBS, public TV Network wired TV Station, receives the stimulation of new technical tide, the price rises suddenly. 这两年,就像bs一样,无论是公共电视网还是有线电视台,受到新科技浪潮的刺激,价格都是猛涨。 If several years ago, according to current financial situation, e! The hub value of entertainment will not surpass 750 million USD that Warner wired sent out, but now, Warner to e! The entertainment 40% stock 750 million USD offers are not too odd, the Time Warner financial situation recent is not good, the Warner wired estimate is also hitting the top digit leverage simultaneously the thought of throwing away burden. 如果是几年前,按照当前的财务状况,e！娱乐的整体价值都不会超过华纳有线报出的7.5亿美元,但现在,华纳对e！娱乐40%股份7.5亿美元报价也不算太离谱,时代华纳最近几年的财务状况都不是太好,华纳有线估计也是打着高位套现同时甩脱包袱的念头。 „Buys as far as possible,” thinks that Eric said to the girl: „In several years, wants to buy to estimate that others will not buy.” “尽可能买下吧,”想了想,艾瑞克就对丫头说道:“再过一些年,就是想买估计别人也不会买了。” In recent years the final moment of North America media profession conformity, waits for all to settle down, the wired TV Station development momentum is also getting better and better, several big media groups that has formed the jumbo, again easily will definitely not let go wired TV Station that has, can say that in recent years almost is also Metro Goldwyn Mayer to the last chance that the television profession expands. 最近几年正是北美传媒行业整合的最后关头,等所有一切尘埃落定,有线电视台的发展势头也越来越好,已经形成巨无霸的几大传媒集团,肯定不会再轻易脱手持有的有线电视台,可以说,最近几年差不多也是米高梅向电视行业扩张的最后机会。 The girls do not doubt the judgment of Eric, nod said: „Good, I give Amy to telephone now.” 丫头丝毫不怀疑艾瑞克的判断,点头道:“好吧,我现在就给艾米打个电话。” Was saying, Natasha walks from villa, in the hand is taking the cordless telephone, gives Drew saying: „Boss, is Miss Harrelson telephone.”( To be continued.) 正说着,娜塔莎从别墅里走出来,手里拿着无绳电话,递给德鲁道:“老板,是哈德森小姐的电话。”(未完待续。)
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