Carried coffee sips, Lena Rander has taken a look at an opposite that youth once more carefully, looks that the Eric vision fell in the books dedicated, even if were passes the most time, in her eyes was bringing as before curiously.[ 端起咖啡抿了一口,塞布丽娜・兰德再次小心地打量了一眼对面的那个青年,看着艾瑞克目光专注地落在书本上,哪怕是已经过了大半个时间,她眼中依旧带着好奇。[ Half a month ago, Lena who was seeking the vacation concurrent job received oneself that in the telephone of institute very well known teacher, said that the great person wanted to look for a temporary family education, explained the elementary knowledge in some finance for him, every day only took in the morning 3 hours, can attain 2 00 USD reward. 半个月前,正在寻求假期兼职的塞布丽娜接到自己那位在学院很有名望的导师的电话,说有一个大人物想要找一名临时家教,为他讲解一些金融学方面的基础知识,每天只需要上午3个小时时间,就能拿到2oo美元报酬。 United States is top college fee is higher, this is also United States close 50% university students meets one of very big reasons the midway discontinues studies actually. Except for a small number of rich person juniors, the majority of United States university graduates, will shoulder some student loans more or less, to ease the economic pressures, many students will choose the concurrent job during the school. 美国越是顶级的大学学费越高,这其实也是美国接近一半大学生会中途辍学的很大原因之一。除了少数富人子弟,大部分美国高校毕业生,都会或多或少地背负一些助学贷款,为了缓解经济压力,很多学生在校期间都会选择兼职。 Lena also similarly so, before then, she majority of simply works, sometimes firewood in 1 o USD about. 塞布丽娜也同样如此,在此之前,她大部分简直工作,时薪都在1o美元左右。 Hears this daily three hours to gain the work of 2 00 USD, Lena prepared her resume to give that teacher impatiently, but, she has not reported too in a big way expected that she in the institute was in result, although was good, but compared with her hopes the competitor of the work splendidly took grasped simply big. 听到这份每天三个小时就能赚2oo美元的工作,塞布丽娜迫不及待地就准备了一份自己的简历交给了那位导师,不过,她也没有报太大期望,她在院系内的成绩虽然不错,但比她更加出色又希望拿的这份工作的竞争者简直一抓一大把。 But two days later, she receives the notice, she attained to work. 但两天后,她就接到通知,她拿到工作了。 Afterward, she saw Firefly Group a management of Vice Chairman rank, probably called Alan Fisman. She thinks that the opposite party is the object who must counsel, but the opposite party actually interviewed her, they discussed at will a half hour, she subsequently had been signed more than ten pages of security contracts by the request. 随后,她就见到了萤火虫集团的一位副总裁级别的高管,好像叫艾伦・菲斯曼。她以为对方就是自己所要辅导的对象,但对方却原来只是对她进行面试,两人随意谈了半个小时,她随后又被要求签署了一份长达十多页的保密合约。 Can let the Firefly Group Vice Chairman rank management, for this kind of not worthy of mentioning temp job acts, in Lena this process faintly has realized anything probably, but sees Eric finally I, Lena is the surprised chin almost falls. 能让萤火虫集团副总裁级别的高管为了这样一件微不足道的临时工作出面,塞布丽娜这个过程中大概就已经隐隐意识到了什么,但最终见到艾瑞克本人,塞布丽娜还是惊讶的下巴差点掉下来。 The work place in Southampton, has more than 100 kilometers to Manhattan Columbia University, for this temp job, Li Nat intent stayed overnight in somebody's home to a Southampton not far Brydges schoolmate family/home, every morning drove for a half hour, caught up to come to the cafe in Southampton. 工作的地点在南安普顿,离曼哈顿哥伦比亚大学有100多公里,为了这份临时工作,塞布丽娜特意借宿在了离南安普顿不远的布里奇斯市一位同学家里,每天一大早开车半个小时,赶来南安普顿的这家咖啡厅。 Most starts for several days, the Lena majority of times are Eric explained that much foundational knowledge nodes, are mainly at present this financial tycoon George Szo Ross writing the specialized term in «Finance Alchemy», self-examination the deviation of participant the falling time store of value and so on, these issues regarding the student of majority of financial professional, are the things of unusual foundation. 最开始几天,塞布丽娜大部分时候都是在为艾瑞克解释很多基础性的知识点,主要是眼前这本金融大亨乔治・索罗斯撰写的《金融炼金术》内的专业名词,反身性啊参与者的偏向啊掉期保值啊之类,这些问题对于大部分金融专业的学生来说,都是非常基础的东西。 Although does not dare to express, but occasionally, Lena inexplicably will have also some superiority feeling. 虽然不敢表达出来,但偶尔,塞布丽娜心里也会莫名地产生一些优越感。 But passes along with the day day-by-day, the Eric daily issue are also getting fewer and fewer, actually also appears more and more cunning, several times Lena had almost nothing to say in reply. 但随着日子一天天过去,艾瑞克每天的问题也都越来越少,却也显得越来越刁钻,有几次塞布丽娜都差点无言以对。 However, recently more time, Lena actually felt an own more and more likely vase, Eric except for the daily initial several issues, the majority of times, is only a person peacefully reads, occasionally pondered that or is dull. 不过,最近更多时间,塞布丽娜却感觉自己越来越像个花瓶,艾瑞克除了每天最初的几个问题,大部分时候,都只是一个人安静地阅读,偶尔思考,或者说呆。 Perhaps, several days, this reward rich work must discard. 或许,过不了几天,这份报酬丰厚的工作就要丢掉了吧。 At this time, thinks again the initial that superiority feeling, Lena cannot bear think, oneself really stupid. At present this grasps in the world to be most the individual wealth the youth, compares greatly two years old, Lena can think, perhaps two years later, most just obtained a stable work, to her once lifelong goal, but also bad long distance, but at present this youth, actually broke through the wealth limit that most people could have. 此时,再想到最初的那点优越感,塞布丽娜都忍不住觉得,自己真蠢。眼前这个掌握着世界上最多个人财富的青年,才比大两岁而已,塞布丽娜能够想到,或许自己两年后,最多只是刚刚获得一份稳定的工作,离她曾经的人生目标,还差十万八千里,而眼前这个青年,却已经突破了大部分人所能拥有的财富极限。 He has how much money to come, 46 500 million USD, are not right, that was the year before last, last year probably was, 67 700 million, made the person be incapable. 他有多少钱来着,465亿美元,不对,那是前年的,去年好像是,677亿,真让人无力啊。 Has been together over half a month, occasionally, Lena will also give birth to some Cinderella Cinderella Cinderella and so on thought that she always specially pays attention to her appearance to dress up in the subconscious for this reason these days, but also has bought one set of brand-new cosmetics specially, but so far, except for at present this «Finance Alchemy», Eric has not exchanged other too many things with her, even, she his dwelling has not gone, he definitely lives nearby this, but they can only meet in this family/home cafe every day, occasionally he, on will have the person to inform her to leave. 相处了大半个月,偶尔,塞布丽娜也会生出一些灰姑娘啊灰姑娘啊灰姑娘啊之类的念头,为此她这段时间总是在潜意识里特别注意自己的外貌装扮,还特意买了一套全新的化妆品,但到目前为止,除了眼前这本《金融炼金术》,艾瑞克都没有与她交流过其他太多的东西,甚至,她连他的住处都没有去过,他肯定住在这附近的,而两人每天只能在这家咖啡厅里见面,偶尔他不过来,就会有人通知她离开。 Notes the line of sight of Eric to leave the books once more, starts to be distracted, Lena suddenly has had the courage, said: „...... Eric, I last night, looked at «RMS Titanic» with friend.” 注意到艾瑞克的视线再次离开书本,开始走神,顿了顿,塞布丽娜突然鼓起勇气,道:“艾……艾瑞克,我昨晚,和朋友一起去看《泰坦尼克号》了。” These words said that Lena noted the Eric expression, gained ground, as if noted the opposite also to sit a person, immediately, his corners of the mouth showed the light happy expression, was a little hateful, as if saw through all happy expressions. 这句话说完,塞布丽娜就注意到艾瑞克表情顿了下,抬起头,似乎才注意到对面还坐着一个人,随即,他嘴角就露出淡淡的笑意,有点可恶的,仿佛看穿一切的笑意。 Felt that the cheeks burn slightly, Lena somewhat regretted inexplicably, but since the start to talk, she will persist in fermenting some little time idea to blurt out: „I, thought with friend of mine that this movie had been underestimated seriously, its Box Office should be higher.” 感觉脸颊微微烫,塞布丽娜莫名地有些后悔,但既然开口,她还是坚持将酝酿了好一会儿的想法脱口而出,的:“我,和我的朋友都觉得,这部电影被严重低估了,它的票房原本应该更高一些的。” The Eric slight bow, said: „Affirmation thank you, Lena, was very happy that you can like this movie.” 艾瑞克微微点头,道:“谢谢你的肯定,塞布丽娜,很高兴你能喜欢这部电影。” Eric said that takes up front books, the line of sight fell on the page once more. 艾瑞克说完,拿起面前的书本,视线再次落到了页面上。 The leopard cat searches claw saying something to smooth things over ends in failure, Lena actually instead relaxed many, cannot have once more driving start to talk courage at heart. 狸猫探爪似的的搭讪以失败告终,塞布丽娜心里却反而轻松了不少,心里也生不出再次主动开口的勇气。 So consistently to 12 : 00 pm, Lena packs own thing, Eric also stands up at this time, they go out of the cafe together, Lena is just about to say goodbye to Eric, arrives on nearby street to have a look to block the rental car or the while car(riage) goes back, actually put out a hand to block by Eric. 如此一致到中午12点,塞布丽娜将自己的东西收拾好,艾瑞克此时也站起身,两人一起走出咖啡厅,塞布丽娜正要向艾瑞克告辞,到附近的马路上看看能不能拦到出租车或者搭便车回去,却被艾瑞克伸手拦住。 „Waits a bit, I make the person deliver you to go back.” Eric said. “稍等一下,我让人送你回去吧。”艾瑞克说道。 Lena has gawked, subconscious nod, is at heart more inexplicable several points of warm feeling, she spoke thoughtlessly in the morning a vehicle has gone bad, has not thought that he has borne in mind. Before then, she had also thought that he is a chilly person, she suddenly thought that she was unfair to him. 塞布丽娜愣了一下,下意识点头,心里却莫名多了几分暖意,她早上只是随口说了一句自己车子坏了,没想到他就已经记在心里。在此之前,她还一直觉得,他是一个性格清冷的人,她突然觉得,自己冤枉他了。 Eric put out the cell phone to dial a telephone, they and others in the roadside outside cafe. 艾瑞克拿出手机拨了一个电话,两人等在咖啡厅外的路边。 Lena is carrying her package peacefully, a while, has set firm resolve saying: „Eric, you, no longer have probably needed me, perhaps, don't I need to come tomorrow again?” 塞布丽娜安静地拎着自己的包,顿了一会儿,下定决心道:“艾瑞克,你,可能已经不再需要我了,或许,我明天就不需要再过来了吧？” Eric looks to the girl, asked: „Your vacation should very be long, there are other matters to do?” 艾瑞克看向女孩,问道:“你的假期应该还很长吧,有其他事情要做吗？” Lena thinks, shakes the head honestly. 塞布丽娜想了想,还是诚实地摇头。 „That continues to accompany me to read,” Eric smiles, said: „I very likes myself reading, some side people are accompanying, your flavor also very nice-smelling.” “那就继续陪我看书吧,”艾瑞克笑笑,道:“我很喜欢自己看书的时候,身边有人陪着,还有,你身上的味道也很好闻。” Lena cheek red, said: „Eric, side you, should have...... Is the girl willing to accompany you to read?” 塞布丽娜脸蛋红了下,道:“艾瑞克,你身边,应该有很多……女孩愿意陪你看书吧？” „Yes,” Eric nods: „But, they to me will not explain that what is the engaged in self-examination theory.” “是啊,”艾瑞克点头:“不过,她们是不会给我解释什么叫反身性理论的。” That, Lena asked again cautiously: „Eric, I can ask, why will you be interested in the book of Somalian Mr. Ross?” 那,塞布丽娜再次小心翼翼地问道:“艾瑞克,我可以问一下,你为什么会对索罗斯先生的这本书感兴趣吗？” Eric replied ambiguous: „Some matters must live, therefore understands ahead of time.” 艾瑞克模棱两可地回答道:“有些事情要生了,所以提前了解一下。” Lena sees Eric not to the meaning of her detailed explanation, is tactful has not closely examined, after more than half a year, when the economic crisis of that world-shaking sweeps across entire Southeast Asia, Lena understands that Eric this time words mean anything. 塞布丽娜见艾瑞克没有对她详细解释的意思,识趣地没有追问,直到大半年后,当那场震惊世界的经济危机席卷整个东南亚,塞布丽娜才明白艾瑞克此时的话意味着什么。 The drivers drive the car(riage), Eric told that the opposite party delivers Lena to return to Brydges, oneself then return to the manor. 司机将车开过来,艾瑞克吩咐对方送塞布丽娜返回布里奇斯,自己这才返回庄园。 What is accidental, Chris and Emily do not know when has caught up, they during Christmas day, returned to Maryland to accompany Jeffrey, has not thought that so will be quick. 意外的是,克里斯和艾米丽不知道什么时候已经赶了过来,两人圣诞节期间回了马里兰州陪杰弗里,没想到会这么快回来。 Eric 11 hugged with them, was exchanging greetings at will, Chris noted that «Finance Alchemy» in Eric hand, said with a smile: „You had hired a young miss recently, specially accompanies you to read this book?” 艾瑞克与两人11拥抱了下,随意寒暄着,克里斯注意到艾瑞克手中的那本《金融炼金术》,笑着说道:“你最近雇了一个小姑娘,就是专门陪你看这本书？” Eric nods, has not forgotten to crack a joke: „Did this matter pass to Maryland?” 艾瑞克点头,还不忘开玩笑:“这件事已经传到马里兰州了？” „When is Emily and Joan telephone heard that” Chris explained one. “是艾米丽和琼通电话时听说的,”克里斯解释了一句。 Emily actually with a smile ridicules saying: „Who knows that this is hits anything to pay attention.” 艾米丽却是笑着揶揄道:“谁知道他这是又打着什么注意。” Eric has not paid attention to teasing of Emily, asked: „How such already to come back, aren't many treats for several days?” 艾瑞克没有理会艾米丽的调侃,问道:“怎么这么早就回来了,不多待几天？” „Also is not you, pushes that many work to Chris, oneself so are leisurely and carefree.” “还不是你,把那么多工作都推给克里斯,自己却这么悠闲。” Eric has sized up Emily several up and down, look at the infant her, this said: „If you marry Chris now, I pick off half his work immediately.” 艾瑞克上下打量了艾米丽几眼,将她看得毛毛的,这才道:“如果你现在就和克里斯结婚,我立刻把他身上的工作拿掉一半。” Emily hears these words, immediately by ko, is drawn Vicky to walk toward the villa, does not forget to argue: „We prepared the lunch, you chatted.” 艾米丽听到这句话,立刻被ko,拉着身边的维姬妮亚朝别墅走去,不忘辩解道:“我们去准备午餐了,你们两个聊吧。” Everybody leaves the chuckle sound. 大家都出轻笑声。 When the women leave, Chris once more returned to just «Finance Alchemy», said: „Did you also note acting of a period of time rope Ross?” 等女人们离开,克里斯才再次回到刚刚的《金融炼金术》上,道:“你也注意到最近一段时间索罗斯的动作了？” „” Rope Ross sang fades the opinion of Southeast Asia economy to have the security, how I possibly could not pay attention. „” “”索罗斯唱衰东南亚经济的言论有没有保密,我怎么可能注意不到。“” The Southeast Asia economic crisis in the people generally knew that in exploded in 1997, but in fact, at the beginning of this year, rope Ross started the frequent surface to look to fade the opinion of Southeast Asia economy, but, like several years ago United Kingdom thought that several hundred years of pound will not depreciate strongly absolutely, at this time, experienced more than ten years of false prosperity Southeast Asia various countries, similarly thought that own financial system will not be broken through by the trivial international idle fund, therefore has not adopted any effective measure guard in not however. 东南亚经济危机在人们普遍认识里爆于1997年,但实际上,早在今年年初,索罗斯就已经开始频繁地表看衰东南亚经济的言论,只不过,就像前几年英国觉得坚挺了几百年的英镑绝对不会贬值一样,此时,经历了长达十多年虚假繁荣的东南亚各国,同样觉得自家的金融体系不会被区区国际游资攻破,因此并没有采取什么有力的措施防范于未然。 At this time, some impatient international currencies confiscate family's property, perhaps started to establish the Southeast Asia state money the dead end cash, in the Eric memory, in February of next year, the international foreign exchange speculator of rope Ross representative, will start to move the probing attack to the Thai bhat. 此时,一些性急的国际货币抄家,或许已经开始建立东南亚国家货币的空头头寸,艾瑞克记忆中,明年二月份,索罗斯代表的国际外汇炒家,就已经开始对泰铢动试探性攻击。 Chris cannot help but remembers 90 years of that matter, asked: „This time, how do you see?” 克里斯不由得想起90年的那件事,问道:“这次,你怎么看？” Eric shrugs, said: „The Southeast Asia country this time must certainly arrive at the big mildew, they cannot support.” 艾瑞克耸耸肩,说道:“东南亚国家这次肯定要到大霉了,他们撑不住。” The Chris look flashes, said: Our times? 克里斯眼神闪动,说道:那我们这次？ „I also had been considering recently this issue” Eric said: „When our time definitely is unable to duplicate the Kuwaiti war Pe­tro­leum profit miracle, that returns is a level black swan event of time suddenly, almost all people did not think that Saddam dares to invade Kuwait, but he did. This difference, once rope Ross takes the lead in attacking the Southeast Asia money market, this at least is one time is a half year of even one year of long seesaw battle, the international idle fund scale of when the time comes, participating in far more than 100 billion, we will enter the arena with whom, will not have what superiority, the risk that will take will not compare other people lower.” “我最近也一直在考虑这个问题”艾瑞克道:“我们这次肯定无法复制科威特战争时的期货盈利奇迹的,那回是一次突性的级黑天鹅事件,几乎所有人都不觉得萨达姆敢入侵科威特,但他偏偏就那么做了。这次不同,一旦索罗斯带头攻击东南亚货币市场,这至少将是一次长达半年甚至一年的漫长拉锯战,到时候,参与进去的国际游资规模何止100000000000,我们跟谁进场,并没有什么优势,承担的风险也不会比其他人更低。” „How do you plan to do?” Chris also asked. “那你打算怎么做？”克里斯又问道。 „Plays casually, that hundreds of millions USD going in piece of work, although cannot play too in a big way, but we cannot anything not do, that does not conform to my style.” “随便玩玩吧,那几亿美元进去小打小闹一下,虽然不能玩太大,但我们也不能什么都不做,那可不符合我的风格。” Recently, Eric also in considering various forthcoming Southeast Asia economic crisis issues, he has certainly thought five years ago went all out, but presently, this is invalid afterward. 这些日子,艾瑞克也一直在考虑即将到来的东南亚经济危机各种问题,他当然想过像五年前那样大干一场,但随后却现,这根本行不通。 Very simple truth, by the Firefly Group present inside story, Eric can raise 2 billion USD fund with ease in a short time, when necessary, Firefly Group can in the short-term lend out the 1 billion USD above fund in the United States major banks similarly. 很简单的道理,以萤火虫集团现在的底蕴,艾瑞克可以轻松地在短时间内筹集2o亿美元的资金,如果有必要,萤火虫集团在美国各大银行同样可以短期内贷出十亿美元以上的资金。 Then, according to the perfect condition, by 2 billion USD fund, establishes the Southeast Asia currency dead end cash according to five times of safety levers, the overall dead end scale will achieve 1 o billion USD. 那么,按照理想状态,以2o亿美元的资金,按照五倍的安全杠杆建立东南亚货币空头头寸,那么,整体的空头规模就将达到1oo亿美元。 In memory, Southeast Asia various countries currency, after experiencing financial crisis, basically the depreciation scope in 50% about, then, when the time comes, Eric on this 1 o billion USD dead end cash, can yield about 5 billion USD incomes. 记忆中,东南亚各国的货币,在经历金融危机后,基本上贬值幅度都在5o%左右,那么,到时候,艾瑞克在这1oo亿美元的空头头寸上,将可以获得5o亿美元左右的收益。 5 billion USD, this is very strong gain digit, after all, United States ranks first several enterprise jumbos, one year of profit also only then this digit. 5o亿美元,这已经是非常丰厚的盈利数字,毕竟,美国排名前几的企业巨无霸,一年的盈利也只有这个数字。 But the fact is, in the Eric memory, Southeast Asia suffers the financial crisis most serious Asia four small tigers, the foreign exchange reserves of several countries put together, 1000 hundred million USD, the currency congenially is different from international Pe­tro­leum, taking over a business is mainly encounters the attack various countries' mansion bank, the source of funds is also the foreign exchange reserves of various countries. 但事实是,艾瑞克记忆中,东南亚遭受金融危机最严重的亚洲四小虎,几个国家的外汇储备加在一起,也才1000多亿美元,货币投机不同于国际期货,接盘者主要是遭到攻击的各国正府银行,资金来源也是各国的外汇储备。 Then, does not raise later to various countries' stock market and bond even the real economy and other profession of plundering, merely by currency congenial, altogether 1000 hundred million USD ‚fat’ in situation that in the group wolf observes the situation, Eric is in any event impossible to establish the scale to achieve the 1 o billion USD dead end cash. 那么,不提后期对各国股市、债券甚至实体经济等行业的搜刮,仅仅以货币投机来说,一共才1000多亿美元的‘肥肉’在群狼环视的情况下,艾瑞克无论如何都不可能建立起规模达到1oo亿美元的空头头寸。 You use 2 billion USD capital to swallow 1/10, when others that thousand hundred million USD international idle funds have not existed. 你一个人利用2o亿美元的本金就想吞掉1,当别人那过千亿美元的国际游资不存在啊。 The Southeast Asia financial crisis in original space and time, rope Ross pressed own complete family property at that time, has gained finally also 2 o hundred million USD. 原时空中的东南亚金融危机,索罗斯当时压上了自己的全部家底,最终也才赚了2o多亿美元而已。 Therefore, perhaps these small investors, in forthcoming this financial crisis, take risk boldly one time, can harvest several times of profits, but when the floating capital scale is the certain extent, the profit proportion substantially will instead drop, finally can harvest 0% two 30 profits, even if good.( To be continued.) 8 因此,或许那些小型投资者,在即将到来的这次金融危机中,大胆冒险一次,能够收获几倍的利润,但当游资规模达到一定程度,盈利比例反而会大幅下降,最终能够收获0二三十的利润,就算是不错的了。(未完待续。)8