Ericopenedmaterial that Chrishanded overto read.艾瑞克翻开克里斯递过来的资料读了起来。Comparesachieves the more than 80 billionprofit for the yearto surpass4billiontelecom industryjumboAT&Tinthis timemarket value, anothertwotriedto march the large-scaletelecommunication company and situation in mobile communications marketis well below.
相比于此时市值达到800多亿年利润超过40亿的电信行业巨无霸at-t,另外两家试图进军移动通信市场的大型电信公司和情况就远远不如了。
The predecessorwas in 1984telecommunicationridgesettles a lawsuitfromoriginalAT&T the dismembermentbyBell Atlantic Corporation that came out, aftertenyears of development and conformitycurrentmarket valueisbillion, buthas actually been at the achievementdoldrumin recent years, last yearlost money700 million54millionUSD.
的前身是1984年电信垄断案中从原at-t中被肢解出来的贝尔大西洋公司,经过十年的发展和整合目前的市值为0亿,不过最近几年却一直处于业绩低迷状态,去年更是亏损了7亿5400万美元。Compares, non-Bellis the family backgroundmarket value, only then10.5 billionUSD, but the operationconditionactuallyby farfeels better, 1994profit for the yearachieved800 million80 million, perhapsalsoreceivedthisgoodachievementstimulationto wantacross the country the layoutwireless telecommunications networkambitiously, thereforegot ridinaandblicense plateauction processcrazily, the wirelessfrequency spectrumlicense plate that finallyattainedhas even surpassed the sum total of AT&Tandtwobigtelecommunicationgiants will therefore also undertakereaches the 1.5 billionUSDfrequency spectrumauthorizationexpense, merelywas onlythisdisbursement, quiteinmaintainedunder the currentgoodservice conditiontwoyears of companynet profit.
相比起来,非贝尔系出身的市值只有105亿美元,不过的运营状况却远远好过,1994年的年利润达到8亿8000万,或许也正是受到这种良好的业绩刺激野心勃勃地想要在全国范围内布局无线通讯网络,于是在a、b段牌照拍卖过程中疯狂出手,最终拿到的无线频谱牌照甚至超过了at-t和两大电信巨头的总和也因此将承担多达15亿美元的频谱授权费用,仅仅只是这笔支出,就相当于一直保持当前良好营运状态下两年时间的公司净利润。Reads the materialthatEricalsoalmostunderstandswhyChrisjustwill sayandwill haul in the CDMAcampis notimpossible.
将资料看完,艾瑞克也差不多明白克里斯刚刚为什么会说将和拉进dma阵营并不是不可能的。Althoughthesetwocompaniesare the giantenterprises of United Statestelecom industry, actuallycannotcomparewithelder brotherAT&T.
这两家公司虽然算是美国电信行业的巨头企业,却远不能跟老大哥at-t相比。Becauseis more recentyearseveralmerger and acquisitionbehaviors, presentlyaccumulated the 8.9 billionUSDhuge debt, is equalto38% of companymarket value, this is also the primary cause of recentcontinuouslyloss, thisfrequency spectrumlicense plateauctionincreasedabout the 600 millionUSDdebtdisbursementforit. Butitwantsto complete the build of mobile communications network, andsuccessful operation, next few yearsdebtproportion likely over50%.
因为最近一些年的几起并购行为,当前已经累计了89亿美元的巨额债务,相当于公司市值的38%,这也是最近几年连续亏损的主要原因,这次的频谱牌照拍卖又为它增加了6亿美元左右的债务支出。而它想要完成移动通信网络的搭建并且成功运营,未来几年的债务比例很可能将超过50%。Howeversituationalsoandnot necessarilygood, althoughitsoperationconditionoriginallyis splendid. Butthiscompanythistimeis oversizedin the expansionstep of mobile communicationdomain, huge fund that the 1.5 billionUSDfrequency spectrumlicense platedisbursementas well as the construction of next few yearsnationwide charactermobile communications networkwill need. Evenpossiblymakesitstep onto the continuallossinfuturea long time the old route.
而的情况也并不见得有多好,虽然它原本的运营状况非常出色。但这家公司此次在移动通信领域的扩张步伐过大,15亿美元的频谱牌照支出以及未来几年全国性移动通信网络的建设所需要的巨额资金。甚至可能让它在未来很长一段时间走上连续亏损的老路。Filthy richAT&Tcanmaketo choose the GSMtechnologyasitsmobile communications networkstandarddecisionwithout hesitation, does not needto consider that completelyGSMwill possibly be eliminatedand other factorsbymore advancedthird-generationcommunicationin the future. Butfinancial situationveryanxious, actuallyneedsto considercost element of the technical standard that theythenchoosecarefullyincommunication networkconstruction process. Although the CDMAtechnologycannotrealizetemporarilycommercial, butteststo act according toenormous superiorities of certificateCDMAin the frequency spectrumcapacityandon the network constructioncostand othergenerations of digital communicationtechnologiestoGSM.
财大气粗的at-t可以毫不犹豫地做出选择gsm技术作为其移动通信网络标准的决定,完全不用考虑gsm将来可能被更加先进的第三代通信技术淘汰等因素。但财务状况非常紧张的和,却需要仔细斟酌他们接下来所选择的技术标准在通信网络建设过程中的成本因素。虽然dma技术暂时未能实现商用,但很多实验依据证明dma在频谱容量和网络建设成本上面相对于gsm等二代数字通信技术的巨大优势。Chrisand otherEricread offmaterialpatiently, said: „BesidesCDMAfactor, ifFireflyexpressedto the interest of telecom industry, anddisbursesQualcommpubliclyandwill be bigto the CDMAinclinedpossibility, because ofalong withfurtherexpansions of twocorporate debtburdens. Thencarries ondebtfinancingor the share finance, theywill gain the difficulty of fundsignificantlyto promote, butonFireflywill have the richfund that theywill earnestly seekextremely, even ifwewill not provide the directfinancial supporttothesetwocompanies, theywill also favorandhave the Fireflypowerful strengthto be the backingQualcommto carry out the technical collaboration.”克里斯耐心地等艾瑞克读完资料,说道:“除了dma本身的因素外,如果萤火虫表示出对电信行业的兴趣并且公开支出高通的话和会向dma倾斜的可能性非常大,因为随着两家公司债务负担的进一步扩大。接下来无论是进行债务融资还是股权融资,他们获取资金的难度都将大幅度提升,而萤火虫手上却拥有他们极度渴求的丰厚资金,哪怕我们并不向这两家公司提供直接的资金支持,他们也会倾向于和拥有萤火虫强大实力做后盾的高通进行技术合作。”Ericnodded, the body by sofa, the fingeris stroking gentlyin the material in handgently, actuallyhas other thoughtsat heart.艾瑞克点了点头,身体靠在沙发上,手指轻轻在手中的资料上摩挲着,心里却产生出一些其他的念头。Anycountry, the telecommunicationindustryis during certaingiants'monopolies, ifwere not in 1984thatfamoustelecommunicationcounter-ridgesettles a lawsuit. AT&Tdevelopsnow, absolutelywill be the United Statesmarket valuehighestcompany, even ifinitiallywere analyzedsevensubsidiary companies. At this time the market valueachievesmore than 80 billionUSDAT&TisUnited Statesis situatedas before the firstfivebusiness tycoons, butis situated the firstGeneral Electricmarket valuealsomore than 90 billionUSD.
无论是任何国家,电信产业都处于某些巨头的垄断之中,如果不是1984年那次著名的电信反垄断案。at-t发展到现在,绝对将是美国市值最高的公司,即使当初被拆分掉了七家子公司。此时市值达到800多亿美元的at-t依旧是美国排行前五的企业巨头,而排行第一的通用电气市值也才900多亿美元。AlthoughinUnited States, themonopoly of AT&Tdoes not occurwith the administrativesupport, evenAT&Twants to further expand, will also receive the restriction of Federal Governmentanti-monopoly department, even if experienced a large-scaleresolution, the AT&Trealitymonopolycondition is also very difficultto be broken, because ofafterAT&T of more than 100years of development, has a perfectnationwidefixed telephonecommunication network. Thisnetworknot onlyspendsgreatly, but also is notcancompletefor several yearseasily. The emergingenterprisewantsto developowntelecommunication service, the majority oftimesevenneedto rent the communication linkfrom the AT&Thand. In this case, the successorwantsto pursueevensurmountsAT&T, basicallyis impossible.
虽然在美国,at-t的这种垄断并不是在行政支持下发生的,甚至at-t想要进一步扩张,还会受到联邦正府反垄断部门的制约,但即使经历了一次大规模的拆分,at-t的现实垄断状态也很难被人打破,因为经过100多年发展的at-t,拥有一张完善的全国性固定电话通信网络。这张网络不但耗资巨大,而且也不是三年五载能够轻易建成的。很多新兴企业想要发展自己的电信业务,大部分时候甚至都需要从at-t手中租用通信线路。这种情况下,后来者想要追赶甚至超越at-t,基本上不可能。However, indozensyearsappeared the opportunityuncertainmattersin the past, along with the arrival of newtechnicaltide, presentedtwoto affect the professionpattern the important opportunity, the mobile communicationindustryandrising of line broadbandindustry. Presentlythesetwoindustriesare at the stage of onlystarting, except forEricthiscrossing over, nobodyknows that what scalethesetwoindustriescandevelop to the future, butEric is very clear, 20yearslater, the mobile communicationandany in line broadbandthesetwobigindustries, will be far in excess ofAT&Tat this timedepending onmaintainingownmonopolistic positionfixed telephoneservice, evenbefore the Ericrebirth, manyfamiliesno longerhas installed the fixed telephone, but the cell phone and wide bandactuallygraduallybecome the peoplelivemust.
但是,在以往几十年中都显得机会渺茫的事情,随着新科技浪潮的到来,却出现了两个非常打破行业格局的重要契机,移动通信产业和网络宽带产业的崛起。当前这两种产业都处于刚刚起步的阶段,除了艾瑞克这个穿越者,没有人知道这两种产业将来能够发展到一种什么样的规模,但艾瑞克却十分清楚,20年后,移动通信和网络宽带这两大产业中的任何一个,都将远远超越at-t此时赖以维持自身垄断地位的固定电话业务,甚至在艾瑞克重生以前,很多家庭都已经不再安装固定电话,但手机和宽带却逐渐成为人们生活中的必须品。Althoughrecentsectionlicense plateauction, becausethatreasonsomewhatincrediblelawsuitwas delayed, indicates that the successorwantsto enter the telecommunicationindustry, haslayer on layer the professionbarrieropenly or covertlyas before. ButthesebarriersgraspedEric of hugecapitalregarding the hand are not beinganything, with some webterminology of later generation, hedoes not needfrom the beginningto playlikethesenewvillagetrumpets, butcanput up the cashto buy a goodhigh-gradeaccount numberto enjoy the gamepleasuredirectly, at this timehisin the handhastwowell‚gameaccount number’.
虽然最近段牌照拍卖因为那起理由有些荒诞的诉讼被拖延下来,预示着后来者想要进入电信产业,依旧存在着重重或明或暗的行业壁垒。但这些壁垒对于手中已经掌握着庞大资本的艾瑞克来说并不算什么,用后世的一些网游术语来说,他根本不用像那些新手村小号一样从头玩起,而是可以砸钱买一个不错的高等级账号直接享受游戏乐趣,并且,此时他手中就拥有两个不错的‘游戏账号’。Ericregardingthesetwocompanyfutureprospects for developmentknowssomeandas well asAT&Tin the futureis the threegiants of United Statestelecommunicationindustry, hesuspected that thecondition of futureshouldbethreecompaniesespeciallyandcausesto the layout that the mobile communicationspares no effortnow, butat this timeUnited Statesother with strengthsuitablecarriersuch asBellSouth, Norteland othercompanies, shouldbebecausehas missedthisimportantindustrialtransformation, graduallywas eliminatedby the marketorbyotherenterpriseannexation.艾瑞克对于这两家公司将来的发展前景还是知道一些的和以及at-t在未来将是美国电信产业的三巨头,他猜想将来的这种状况应该是三家公司特别是和现在对移动通信不遗余力的布局导致的,而此时美国另外一些与和实力相当的电信企业诸如南方贝尔、北方电信等公司,也应该是因为错过了这次重要的产业变革,逐渐被市场淘汰或者被其他企业吞并。Moreover, because the paymentfrequency spectrumlicense plateauthorizationexpenseandconstructs the mobile communications networkacross the countryto need the hugefund, nowisto also buy stock the bestopportunities in thesetwocompanies, Ericknowsthatthisshouldalsobe the finaltime, missed was very perhaps difficultto have the opportunityagain, because the arrival of newtechnicaltide, in the next few years the NASDAQindexwill startto rise dramaticallycrazily, onlyneedstocirculation marketreleasefewstocks, canplanto takeenoughdevelopment funds, thereforewas impossibleto introduce the major stockholder who Fireflychanged the companystockholder's rightspatternlike thisagain, even, even iftheywanted, intwocompanymarket values. In the situation of rising suddenly, Fireflycould not takeenoughfund.
而且,因为支付频谱牌照授权费用和建设全国范围内的移动通信网络都需要庞大的资金,现在也是入股这两家公司的最佳时机,艾瑞克更知道,这应该也是最后时刻,错过了或许就很难再有机会,因为新科技浪潮的到来,当未来几年纳斯达克指数开始疯狂飙升时,无论是还是,只需要向流通市场发行少量股票,就可以筹取足够的发展资金,因此也根本不可能再引入萤火虫这样改变公司股权格局的大股东,甚至,即使他们愿意,在两家公司市值。暴涨的情况下,萤火虫也拿不出足够的资金了。ChrisseesEricto fall into the thinkingsuddenly, waited fora whilepatiently, asked: „Eric, what are youthinking?”克里斯见艾瑞克突然陷入思索,耐心地等待了一会儿,才问道:“艾瑞克,你在想什么?”Ericrecovers, raised hand the material, askedstraightforwardly: „Chris, youthought that withthesetwocompanies, which is easierto acceptourinvestments?”艾瑞克回过神来,扬了扬手中的资料,直截了当地问道:“克里斯,你觉得和这两家公司,哪一家更容易接受我们的投资?”Chrisraised the eyebrow, just about tospeaks, theirnearbyaircraft interphonedropdropmade a soundseveral, Ericset outto press down the talking keyto comply withoneconveniently, insidespread the voice of manorgate guard: „Mr. Williams, Mr.JacobandMr.Salmasiarrived.”( To be continued.)克里斯挑了挑眉,刚要说话,两人附近的通话器滴滴地响了几声,艾瑞克起身随手按下通话键应了一声,里面传出了庄园门卫的声音:“威廉姆斯先生,雅各布先生和萨尔玛西先生到了。”(未完待续。)
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