SATS :: Volume #14

#1316: Influence, not only physics


LNMTL needs user funding to survive Read More

Has a pair of strange combination in Princeton. 在普林斯顿有一对奇怪的组合。 That is Paul Krugman and Albert Lazslo Para Brazil teaches. 那便是保罗・克鲁格曼和艾伯特-拉斯洛・巴拉巴西教授。 Reason that said this to combining very strangely, because actually not between two people what happened, but is the topic average person who they study is unreadable. Even after Ys Golub Headmaster of ideological vanguard has listened, still gave a being a long story look, does not make any appraisal. 之所以说这对组合很奇怪,倒不是因为两个人之间发生了什么事情,而是他们研究的课题一般人根本难以理解。即便是思想前卫的伊斯格鲁布校长听过了之后,也只是给出了一个一言难尽的眼神,不做任何评价。 Speaking of experience that two people are acquainted, filled many accidents/surprises. 说到两人相识的经历,也是充满了诸多的意外。 At first is because after an academic conference , the exchange name card in evening banquet, to where big proposition afterward in discussion human will go in the future to two people opinion unexpected being in harmony, hence and produced through the mathematical model comes quantitative analysis this evolutionary process the brain hole. 最初是因为一场学术会议之后晚宴上的互换名片,到后来在探讨人类未来将去向何方的大命题上两人意见意外的合拍,并由此而产生了“通过数学模型来定量分析这一演化过程”的脑洞。 Two people craves in the economist of natural sciences, another craves in Physics of sociology, happen to can form supplementarily with the opposite party in the respective professional field. 恰好两人一个是热衷于自然科学的经济学家,另一个是热衷于社会学的物理学家,在各自的专业领域正好能够与对方形成互补。 Although in St. Petersburg, cannot succeed Lu Zhou initially regrettably joins a group studies that forecast future mathematical model together, but does not have the help of this entire world most outstanding mathematician even, two people still had not given up continue try hard in this direction. 虽然当初在圣彼得堡的时候,很遗憾地没能成功将陆舟拉入伙一起研究那个预测未来的数学模型,但即使是没有这位全世界最优秀的数学家的帮助,两个人仍然没有放弃在这个方向上继续努力着。 Although so far the related research has no distinct progress and that's the end...... 虽然到目前为止相关的研究都没有什么明显的进展就是了…… In the cafe near classroom building. 教学楼附近的咖啡厅里。 If in the past were the same, two people sit relatively, is enjoying the time of afternoon tea, topic that while some recent things, chatting some are difficult to understand. 如往常一样,两人相对坐着,一边享受着下午茶的时间,一边就最近发生的一些事情,聊着一些令人难懂的话题。 „...... Among the high-speed travel regarding interstellar, the theory of relativity decided has the phenomenon of time dilation in the different coordinate systems. If the pair of twin brothers, some day Elder Brother will ride the spaceship to go to a civilization to make the long-distance space travel, but the younger brother kept Earth. After the Elder Brother returns to Earth, we will discover that he keeping the younger brother of Earth was younger than...... I to explain to have no issue like this.” “……对于星际间的高速旅行,相对论决定了在不同的坐标系内存在着时间膨胀的现象。假如有一对孪生兄弟,某天哥哥坐上宇宙飞船前往a文明做长途太空旅行,而弟弟则留在了地球。当哥哥回到地球后,我们会发现他比留在地球的弟弟更年轻了……我这样的解读没什么问题吧。” Is listening to Professor Krugman's speech, Albert nods interestingly, said: No issue...... what, but does this mean in the economics?” 听着克鲁格曼教授的发言,艾伯特饶有兴趣地点了点头,说道:“没什么问题……但这在经济学上意味着什么呢?” Is only such words to does not mean anything merely, but if we change into two engaging in speculation merchants to the twin brothers this, finally was entirely different. You know, in the business dealing, the time is a very important cost, if trade route a regular interest of profit also non- stepmother on-board bank, that this flight had no benefits to be gained.” “仅仅只是这样的话到不意味着什么,但如果我们把这对孪生兄弟换成两个投机倒把的商人,结果就截然不同了。你知道,在商业行为中,时间是一项很重要的成本,如果一趟贸易路线的利润还不如母星上银行的定期利息,那这趟航班就无利可图了。” Here involves to a formula,” wrote down one line of mathematical formulas on the short note paper illegibly, Krugman advanced the front of Professor Albert it with the index finger, it is all beginnings.” “这里涉及到一条公式,”在便签纸上潦草地写下了一行算式,克鲁格曼用食指将它推到了艾伯特教授的面前,“它是一切的起点。” Pe * qe pa / pa * ≥( c + pe qe) ( 1 + r ) 2 n.】 【pe*・qe・pa/pa*≥(c+pe・qe)・(1+r)2n。】 Approached to look at formula on that short note paper, Albert cannot help but lifted under the eyebrow. 凑近过去看了一眼那张便签纸上的公式,艾伯特不由自主地抬了下眉毛。 „...... Very strange formula.” “……很奇怪的公式。” „Very strange, but these contained a very important theory- that is my interstellar trade's first theorem,” Krugman boasts smiles , to continue saying that among the stars of same inertial coordinate system trade time, the computation of interest should use the star eastward deflection clock, rather than the clock of spaceship department. Meanwhile, sets the interest rate of Earth bank is r, when only when the inequality establishes, this travel cannot losing money.” “是挺奇怪,不过这其中却包含了一条非常重要的理论-那便是我的星际贸易第一定理,”克鲁格曼自夸地笑了笑,继续说道,“相同惯性坐标系的星球间贸易的时候,利息的计算应该采用星球惯性系的时钟,而非飞船系的时钟。与此同时,设地球银行的利率为r,当且仅当不等式成立,这趟旅行才不会‘亏本’。” Albert: Very interesting viewpoint...... said that since there is the first theorem, the second theorem?” 艾伯特:“很有意思的观点……说起来,既然有第一定理的话,还有第二定理吗?” Naturally, as a result of existence of trade competition, the star of same inertial coordinate system will gradually tend to the same interest rate, this is the second theorem......, but, they become invalid now the general idea,” old person exuded giggle the laughter, what although said is full of the regrettable result, but his sound actually sounded quite happy, these theories established in the theory of relativity absolutely correct situation, namely, we had not found to exceed the speed of light the standard.” “当然,由于贸易竞争的存在,相同惯性坐标系的星球将逐渐趋于同一利率,这就是第二定理……不过,他们现在都作废了大概,”老人发出了咯咯的笑声,虽然说出来的是充满遗憾的结果,但他的声音却听起来相当的愉快,“这些理论全部都是建立在相对论绝对正确的情况下,即,我们没有找到超越光速的标准。” Although now the theory of relativity is still correct, but before we had found one, shortcut that the shortcut of star...... at least has outward theoretically. When the time will not have the inflation, the time of flight was also shortened, we do not need to consider that the long journey may annihilate the simple arbitrage behavior.” “现在虽然相对论依旧正确,但我们已经找到了一条前往外星球的捷径……至少是在理论上存在的捷径。当时间不会发生膨胀,飞行的时间也缩短了,我们就不必去考虑漫长的旅途可能会消灭掉简单的套利行为。” In fact, truly what I want to say is...... you have not noticed? That hyperspace theory influence, not only Physics, but also affected the economics.” “事实上,我真正想说的是……你没注意到吗?那个超空间理论影响的不只是物理学,还影响了经济学。” Hears these words, Professor Albert is lost in thought. 听到这句话,艾伯特教授陷入了沉思。 After crossing for a long time, he sighed gently. 过了许久之后,他轻轻叹了口气。 You said right, the scientific progress brought the enormous uncertainty to the mathematical model, even is perfect, the rigorous computation, is still very difficult to estimate this non-linear jump. Even our mathematical models successfully forecast over the next 100 years the possible matter, so long as in presents one in the hundred years Professor land, can overthrow our forecasts completely.” “你说得对,科学的进步给数学模型带来了极大的不确定性,即使是再完美、再严谨的计算,也很难对这种非线性的跃进进行预估。就算我们的数学模型成功预测了未来100年可能发生的事情,但只要这一百年里出现一个‘陆教授’,就能将我们的预测全部推翻。” Krugman nods gently. 克鲁格曼轻轻点了点头。 I worry this, studies the overall change of civilization to attenuate personally in the role that in the civilization plays, but works as individual function is noticeable, this process not again such conformed to the objective law.” “我所担忧的正是这个,研究文明的整体变化必须弱化个人在文明进程中扮演的角色,但当个人的作用不可忽视的时候,这个过程就不会再那么的符合客观规律了。” At this time, outside the cafe walked young people quickly. 就在这时候,咖啡厅外面快步走来了一位年轻人。 He wears a gray suit, seeming like look some are not quite common, looked like just saw or heard any unthinkable matter was the same. Saw only this man to arrive at side of two professors directly, with seeming like having a dream the same tone to say. 他穿着一身灰色的西装,看起来神色有些不太寻常,就像是刚刚看到或者听说了什么匪夷所思的事情一样。只见这个男人径直走到了两位教授的旁边,用像是在做梦一样的语气开口说道。 Professor......” “教授……” Good afternoon, Dr. Mearson,” looked up one is own assistant, Professor Krugman smiles in a friendly way, was anything makes you show the so surprised expression.” “下午好,米尔森博士,”抬头看了一眼是自己的助理,克鲁格曼教授友好地笑了笑说,“是什么让你露出如此惊讶的表情。” You make me collect that day warehouse beyond five information of galaxy colonizing fund......” “您让我搜集那个天仓五外星系殖民基金的信息……” Had the news?” “有消息了吗?” Has,” wooden nods, that assistant hesitant some little time, said with the difficult tone, that fund...... seems like Xiao Tong to be responsible for managing.” “有,”木木地点了点头,那位助理犹豫了好一会儿,才用艰难的语气开口说道,“那只基金……好像是小彤在负责管理。” „...... Xiao Tong?” “……小彤?” Krugman was shocked. 克鲁格曼愣住了。 Separated recovered some little time, sat him from the chair, with cannot believe that looks at own assistant, asked that wait, was your meaning...... your Junior Sister? That Xiao Tong?” 隔了好一会儿才回过神来,从椅子上坐正了的他,用不敢相信地看着自己的助理,问道,“等等,你的意思是……你的师妹?那个小彤?” The assistant smiles bitterly was saying. 那助理苦笑着说道。 Is...... this is the public matter.” “是的……这已经是公开的事情了。” Seriously opens mouth, after silent some little time, Krugman says. 表情木然地张了张嘴,沉默了好一会儿之后,克鲁格曼才开口说道。 I knew...... temporarily first this.” “我知道了……暂时就先这样吧。” The assistant nods, turns around to leave. 那助理点了点头,转身走掉了。 By the chair, Krugman somewhat pinched under the forehead again troublesome. 重新靠在了椅子上,克鲁格曼有些伤脑筋地捏了下眉心。 In his plan, he also planned thought the means and this contacted recently in the manager of fund the economic circles show off, drank cup of afternoon tea anything together, exchanged the academic on issue, was good to complete itself that topic that formed in one's mind. 原本在他的计划中,他还打算想办法和这个最近在经济学界出尽了风头的基金的经理接触一下,一起喝杯下午茶什么的,交流一下学术上的问题,好完成自己正在构思的那个课题。 However now...... 然而现在…… He has not really thought, this person can be own student unexpectedly. 他实在是没有想到,这个人居然会是自己的学生。 Cannot believe that......” sits in opposite Albert opens mouth, a face compels to look at Professor Krugman ignorant, unexpectedly is...... your student is handling this fund.” “不敢相信……”坐在对面的艾伯特张了张嘴,一脸懵逼地看着克鲁格曼教授,“居然是……你的那个学生在打理这支基金。” That is 10 billion! 那可是一百亿! Rather than graduation thesis that casual matter! 而不是毕业论文那么随便的事情! Suspects the Xiao Tong ability actually not, but will the normal person give the postgraduate candidate who has not graduated to manage so much money? 倒不是怀疑小彤的能力,只是正常人会把这么多钱交给一个还没毕业的博士生去管理吗? This sounded somewhat is truly unthinkable......” put down according to the index finger and thumb in forehead, on the face of Professor Krugman appeared a complex expression, „...... matter that but, truly he came out probably competently.” “这听起来确实有些匪夷所思……”放下了按在眉心上的食指和拇指,克鲁格曼教授的脸上浮现了一丝复杂的表情,“……不过,确实像是他能干出来的事情。” In fact, the Xiao Tong ability is good, usually also suitable hard-working. 事实上,小彤的能力是不错的,平时也相当的刻苦 Must say only lacks anything, probably was the experience of practice. 唯一要说缺乏什么,大概就是实践的经验了。 Actually perhaps according to the viewpoint of his teacher, starts to start from a young assistant will be quite to her good, begins such very difficult work directly, the risk was really big...... 其实按照他这位导师的观点,也许从一个小助理开始做起对她来说会比较好,直接就上手这么高难度的工作,风险实在是太大了…… But how can I say? 但怎么说呢? If not care about several hundred million successes and failures, pours can also neglect these issues. 如果不在意几个亿的得失,倒也可以忽略这些问题。 Elder Brother who some such are not short of money, is one of her advantages...... 有这么一个不差钱的哥哥,也算是她的优势之一吧…… „...... And I have taught other students are not quite same, she is can rare between the person who the theories and applied economics achieve the balanced development, particularly in Princeton this place, wants to give dual attention to both and achieves the prominent situation is not easy completely.” “……和我教过的其他学生不太一样,她是少有能够在理论和应用经济学之间做到均衡发展的人,尤其是在普林斯顿这种地方,想要兼顾两者并全部做到突出的地步非常不容易。” Albert drank coffee, asked curiously. 艾伯特喝了一口咖啡,好奇问道。 „Does she have the talent very much?” “她很有天赋吗?” „It is not considered as that most talented,” Krugman shakes the head, „, but she probably is most diligently.” “不算是最有天赋的,”克鲁格曼摇了摇头,“但她大概是最努力的。” And, the beginning wants high many compared with the average person. 并且,起点比一般人要高的多。 Is going against the Nobel Prize winner blood younger sister's halo, even if Lu Zhou anything does not do, light by him in the academic circle prestige as well as with Princeton many professor's relations, can fight for the biggest resources for her. 顶着诺贝尔奖得主亲妹妹的光环,哪怕陆舟什么也不做,光是凭借他在学术界的威望以及和普林斯顿众多教授的关系,也能够为她争取到最大的资源。 A letter of recommendation of this probably celebrity is the same. 这就好像一封名人的推荐信一样。 Her surname, is in itself a very flamboyant letter of recommendation . Moreover the academic circle general, not that uses to shine on own initiative. 她的姓氏,本身就是一张非常非常牛逼的推荐信,而且还是学术界通用、不用主动亮出来的那种。 In such a case, diligently will not mix is very bad, do not say that she was one is not inferior in the diligent aspect in her elder brother's miss...... 在这样的情况下,就算是不努力也不会混的很差,更不要说她本身还是一个在勤奋方面丝毫不逊色于她哥哥的姑娘了…… „The future economic model is a very potential direction, compares other domains, our research to this domain are few. But now is at a time of rapid growth exactly, the old theory is very difficult to adapt to the new change, even if it at that time is seeming like very in advance...... before me that «Interstellar Trade theory» that said.” “未来的经济学模型是一个很有潜力的方向,相比起其他领域,我们对这个领域的研究非常少。而现在恰好又处在一个高速发展的时代,旧的理论已经很难适应新的变化,即便它在当时看起来非常超前……就像我之前说的那个《星际贸易理论》一样。” , Professor Krugman continued. 顿了顿,克鲁格曼教授继续说。 „I see the selected topic of her recent paper, exactly then with recently very hot outside galaxy colonizing fund related. No matter applied economics or theoretical economics, this to her, is an opportunity.” “我了解过她最近论文的选题,恰好便和最近很火的‘外星系殖民基金’有关。不管是应用经济学方面还是理论经济学方面,这对于她而言,都是一个机会。” Professor Albert: Opportunity?” 艾伯特教授:“机会?” Krugman nods. 克鲁格曼点了点头。 Unifies the theory and application, and found some balance point the opportunity.” “一个将理论和应用相结合,并在其中找到某种平衡点的机会。” „The entire economic circles day warehouse beyond five galaxy colonizing fund that ‚’ are treating as the research human civilization in the future the sample of social and economic activity, but as the manager of this sample. I believe that with her insight, should not be difficult to discover anything...... she most is close to truth after all person, even I can understand the material that not necessarily are more than her.” “整个经济学界都在将那个‘天仓五外星系殖民基金’当做研究人类文明未来社会、经济活动的样本,而作为这个样本的管理者。我相信以她的洞察力,应该不难从中发现些什么……毕竟她是最接近‘真相’的人,即使是我能够了解到的资料也不一定比她更多。” If...... I meant if, she can summarize rule, discovers some different things in view of the hyperspace theory later human economy activity.” “如果……我是说如果,她能够总结其中的规律,针对超空间理论之后的人类社会经济活动发现一些不一样的东西。” Faces Professor Albert gradually to turn into the surprised expression, Krugman with not seeming like said in the tone of cracking a joke. 面对着艾伯特教授渐渐变成惊讶的表情,克鲁格曼用不像是在开玩笑的语气说道。 Perhaps in the lifetime, she really touched to the Nobel prize hopefully......” “或许在有生之年,她真的有希望摸到诺贝尔奖……”
To display comments and comment, click at the button