MOTGAR :: Volume #19

#1834: Conscience of Wall Street

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„Sorry!” “抱歉！” The surroundings is a little noisy, therefore Han Xuan increased the sound , to continue to shout: „The matter about raising interest rate I is not quite temporarily clear, regarding the Internet bubble crisis, I wants to explain one to the investors actually!” 周围有点吵,于是韩宣加大了声音,继续喊道:“关于加息的事情我暂时不太清楚,对于互联网泡沫危机,我倒是想对投资者们解释一句！” After these words spread, the nearby was instantaneously peaceful! 这句话传出后,附近瞬间就安静了！ Even prepares to move toward Han Xuan these, usually relates the good big shot with him , the subconsciousness stops the footsteps, plans to listen to him to the opinion of Internet industry. 连准备走向韩宣的那些,平时跟他关系挺好的大佬们,也下意识停下脚步,打算听一听他对互联网产业的见解。 Must say that recent people most pay attention to anything in economic, the Internet bubble crisis ranks first absolutely, since the crisis later Han Xuan not to make an appearance, people highly care about his view. 要说最近人们在经济学方面最关注什么,互联网泡沫危机绝对排第一,自从危机发生之后韩宣一直没露面,人们非常在意他的看法。 Many high-yield social classes lose seriously in the crisis, particularly the shareholders of Han Xuan these listed companies, they earnestly hope to hear the news, many people lose all of a sudden exceed 1/5, even 1/4 wealth, currently still holds the hope to the stock market return to warmer weather. 不少中高产阶级在危机中损失惨重,尤其是韩宣那些上市公司的股东们,他们迫切希望听到好消息,许多人一下子损失超过五分之一、甚至四分之一的财富,目前依然对股市回暖抱有希望。 The holiday almost soon ended, the exchange also makes a fresh start quickly, before the stock disaster erupts, presented many indications, Han Xuan and these financial big alligators shorted the NASDAQ index together, has not started to deliver, pounded the index again downward makes sure him to be good. 节日差不多快要结束,交易所也快重新开始,股灾爆发前出现许多征兆,韩宣和那些金融大鳄们一起做空了纳斯达克指数,还没开始交割,再次把指数往下砸一砸对他有好处。 The NASDAQ market is in any case tattered and torn, like the steamship that sinks downward, falling to the valley is sooner or later matter, does not plan to dump the stock again, regardless of the rise falls does not matter to him. 反正纳斯达克市场已经千疮百孔,就像一艘往下沉的大船,跌到谷底是迟早的事,不打算再抛售股份,所以无论上涨下跌对他来说都无所谓。 A «New York Times» reporter, the microphone in the hand gives Han Xuan very much intimately, shouts: „Do you need it?” 《纽约时报》的一位记者,很贴心地将手中话筒递给韩宣,喊道:“你需要它吗？” After Han Xuan hears shakes the head, the mouth said: „ Does not use. 韩宣听见后摇了摇头,嘴里说道:“不用了。 As of late, I found the time carefully to study the recent years, was mainly the NASDAQ transaction data in the past five years, and operation development situation of Internet industry, drew some conclusions. 最近这段时间,我抽时间仔细研究了近几年,主要是最近五年来的纳斯达克交易数据,以及互联网产业的经营发展情况,从中得出了一些结论。 The application of Internet in human society is more widespread, it is representing our future, but must say in the recent several years, making these Internet enterprises create many wealth truly, I thought that will be very difficult. 互联网在人类社会中的应用更加广泛,它代表着我们的未来,不过要说最近几年内,让那些互联网企业真正创造出多少财富,我觉得会很难。 Especially under the present stock value that high premise, the soaring investment and return is not proportional, moreover for example takes the risk, is the risks of these stock momentarily depreciation, can only say that in the future will be bright, but currently also needs a long time accumulation. ” 尤其是在如今股票价值那么高的前提下,高昂的投入和回报不成正比,而且还比如承担风险,也就是那些股票随时贬值的风险,只能说未来是光明的,但目前还需要很长一段时间的积累。” „Your meaning is, will the Internet bubble also continue to fall? A long time won't have the favorable turn?” “你的意思是,互联网泡沫还会继续下跌？很长一段时间内都不会出现转机？” Some «San Francisco La Cronica» reporters asked him to say loudly, thought this was an important issue, therefore other reporters had the tacit understanding no longer to ask randomly, because if too caused not to hear clearly Han Xuan to say anything noisily, that was really undeserved. 有位《旧金山纪事报》的记者大声问他说,觉得这是个重要的问题,因此其他记者们有默契地不再乱问,假如因为太吵导致没听清韩宣说什么,那真是太冤枉了。 Han Xuan nods, the complexion then said calmly: „ Yes, I think the bubble in NASDAQ stock market, is far from reaching the reasonable level. 韩宣点点头,脸色平静接着说道:“是的,我认为纳斯达克股市里的泡沫,远远没有达到合理水平。 Therefore in a short time will further also fall, squeezes out these moisture contents at the same time, cannot adapt to the development environment the company to eliminate part is eliminated, this to the market is a good deed. 所以短期内还会进一步下跌,挤掉那些水分的同时,将一部分不能适应发展环境的公司清除出局,这对市场来说是件好事。 Perhaps when ten years, perhaps are 15 years later, Internet this emergent industry is more perfect, when the time comes they can support the so high market value truly, and brings the true benefit for the investors, rather than false income prospect. 或许等到十年,也许是十五年之后,互联网这个新兴产业更加完善,到时候它们才能真正支撑起如此高的市值,并且为投资者们带来真正利益,而不是虚假的收入前景。 I favor its future very much, recently heard certain sounds saying that the Internet industry is not good and so on, they in the development of resistance entire society, the next century are the Internet and artificial intelligence inevitably. 我很看好它的未来,最近听到某些声音说,互联网产业不行了之类,他们是在对抗整个社会的发展,下个世纪必然属于互联网和人工智能。 Ok, I must attend the banquet . Moreover, greeted one ahead of time, everyone Happy New Year...... ” 好了,我还要去参加宴会,另外,提前问候一声,大家新年快乐……” Han Xuan said, leaves free and easy, if continues whatever that group of reporters inquired, when it is estimated that the evening banquet ended cannot leave, leaves behind one group, because holds the flash news, but excited reporters, he holds the hand of Anya to move toward Donald, Rudy Mayor and the others. 韩宣说完之后洒脱离开,如果继续任由那帮记者们询问,估计等到晚宴结束也走不掉,留下一帮因为抓住大新闻而激动的记者们,他牵着安雅的手走向唐纳德、鲁迪市长等人。 In the crowd also some people look the dying embers, the reason pierces the bubble with Han Xuan, will certainly cause in the new year , the exchange restores to trade the time, welcomed round to fall newly. 人群里面也有人面露死灰,原因是随着韩宣捅破泡沫,必将导致新年以后交易所重新恢复交易时候,迎来新一轮下跌。 Recently these investment institutions and investors, were sheared the wool repeatedly, media often tell has fallen, these experts will also say fall, will rebound later, the created result will be continually some people wells up to fill the pit. 最近那些投资机构和股民们,反复被人剪羊毛,媒体方面经常告诉说已经跌到底,那些专家们也说跌到底,随后会反弹,造成的结果是不断有人涌进来填坑。 Most investors and investors follow blindly very much, compared with wanting to hear the sound that oneself want to hear, for example „has fallen” and „the present to start to rebound” wait/etc, Han Xuan also such pit many investors. 绝大多数股民和投资者们很盲从,比较希望听见自己想听的声音,例如“已经跌到底”、“现在入手会反弹”等等,韩宣自己也这样坑了不少股民。 The young private investors mostly are not too rich, had not just planned that said passes, thinks that couple days ago about some New York old man, was forced to carry out the news of sanatorium because of the request investment failure, Han Xuan suddenly felt, these rich and powerful people including oneself is very rich, does not need to continue to harvest again produces and even the wealth of low productivity social class make money. 小散户们多半不是太有钱,刚刚本来没打算说得太透,想到前几天一篇关于纽约某位老头,因为委托投资失败而被迫搬出疗养院的新闻,韩宣突然觉得,包括自己在内的这些富豪们已经很有钱,没必要再继续收割中产、甚至低产阶级的财富来赚钱。 Does not have how much money to oneself, but to these average people, possibly was all savings, gave to smash the tray simply directly, avoidance made more people meet with a disaster, is willing to listen as for the investors, that was their matters, reminded them to calculate to show extreme tolerance. 对自己来说没有多少钱,但对那些普通人而言,可能就是所有的积蓄了,索性直接把盘子给砸烂,避免让更多人遭殃,至于投资者们愿不愿意听,那是他们自己的事,提醒他们已经算仁至义尽。 This is also normal, the manipulators in Wall Street are the person, will be the person will ponder, not like machine icy, they make money from the stock disaster each time, means that many people fell into the middle of abyss of suffering, in the conscience more or less will feel sorry, many dealers will suffer from the depression and so on psychological disease. 这也正常,华尔街的操纵者们是人,是人就会思考,不会像机器一样的冷冰冰的,每次他们从股灾中赚到钱,同时也就意味着很多人陷入了水深火热当中,良心上或多或少会过意不去,还有不少交易员患上抑郁症之类的心理疾病。 New York of the end of December is very cold, in the past few days had. the flurry, the roadside can also see, in the evening in the time city is hanging the biting blast, those present were very cold, after entering the hall, greet mutually 十二月末的纽约很冷,前些天下了场小雪,路边还能看见,晚上时候城市里挂着刺骨寒风,在场的人都很冷,进入大厅后才互相打招呼。 Mayor Rudy and Han Xuan shake hand, the mouth said: „ For a long time does not see, is really a bad weather. 鲁迪市长和韩宣握手,嘴里说道:“好久不见,真是个糟糕的天气。 The evening banquet was seized by these bored fellows, President Greenspan also, me thinks that they are certainly glad to see you very much. ” 晚宴被那些无聊的家伙们占领了,格林斯潘主席也在,我想他们一定很乐意见到你。” „Almost freezes the heart disease.” Donald made the assistant take the facial tissues to oneself, made an effort to twist the clean nasal mucus, continued: „Very is truly bored, thinks that my disbursing money makes this fellows enjoy, the mood is very bad, I think that is very interesting situation.” “差点冻出心脏病。”唐纳德让助手拿了张面巾纸给自己,用力拧干净鼻涕,继续说:“确实很无聊,想到我出钱让这帮家伙们过来享受,心情就挺糟糕,我以为是很有趣的场合。” „Is unamusing?” “不好玩吗？” Han Xuan with their 11 handshakes, said with a smile: „ Is interesting strange, the official host discussed the interest rate, where will be interesting. 韩宣跟他们一一握手,笑道:“有趣才奇怪吧,官方主持商量利率,哪会有意思。 Tonight attended the party, tomorrow the official meeting I will not go, otherwise falls asleep in the meeting time like the previous time, will become the joke...... ” 今晚参加完派对,明天正式会议我就不去了,要不然像上次一样在开会时候睡着,又会成为笑话……” Since this year, the United States gdp robust growth, the unemployment rate drops to 4%, the year before last Federal Reserve cut 75 basic points the interest rate, to deal financial crisis in Asia. 今年以来,美国gdp强劲增长,失业率降至百分之四,前年美联储将利率下调七十五个基点,以应对亚洲金融危机。 Last year starting from, the Internet upsurge made it invest to grow, the economy presented the overheated tendency, the Federal Reserve starts the deflation policy again, from 4.75% raised a percentage point the interest rate. 去年开始,互联网热潮令it投资增长,经济出现过热倾向,美联储再次启动紧缩政策,将利率从百分之四点七五上调一个百分点。 After Internet bubble and NASDAQ bubble burst, can foresee the economy to go into the recession again, Federal Reserve this meeting, to discuss stops raising interest rate, and will start the continual rate cut at the beginning of next year the matter...... 互联网泡沫和纳斯达克泡沫破灭之后,可以预见经济将再次陷入衰退,美联储这次开会,就是为了商量停止加息,并于明年年初开始连续降息的事情…… Tired must die, to the family/home, the whole body hurt, where was climbs a mountain, felt hit likely...... 累的要死,到家了,浑身疼,哪里是爬山,感觉像被打了……
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