A person, will the change of life path, have the major impact on the universe? 一个人,人生轨迹的改变,对宇宙会产生重大影响吗？ Han Xuan seems like that is the dust in this universe, but these years truly made the entire Earth have the unknown change, now this change expands the Solar System. 韩宣看似是这个宇宙中的尘埃,可这些年确实让整个地球产生了未知的变化,现在这种变化扩大到太阳系。 When he arrives at the meeting time, discovers people on the scene surprisedly, discussed named „a Phil” as if by prior agreement asteroid, and was worried that it ran upon Earth, everyone joined the discussion, has probably seen oneself by destruction scene. 当他来到聚会现场时候,惊奇发现在场人们,不约而同都讨论起一颗叫做“阿波菲尔”的小行星,并且担心它撞上地球,所有人都加入讨论,好像已经看到自己被覆灭的场景。 United States NASA once issued the warning, said that around Earth has more than 4000 asteroids to be threatening to Earth, but they ran upon the possibility of Earth is too young truly, the time possibly was ten thousand and 1 million, ten million/countless and even hundreds of millions years later, will present threatened on Earth truly all safety „the star of destruction”. 美国NASA曾发出警告,说地球周围有四千多颗小行星对地球具有威胁,但它们真正撞上地球的可能性太小了,时间可能是万、百万、千万、甚至几亿年后,才会出现真正威胁到地球上所有生命安全的“毁灭之星”。 This threat really exists, can dinosaur extinction is the best proof, is actually not the planet that human needs to be worried run upon Earth, but when will run upon, therefore initiates imposingly „interstellar immigration” big discussion, the meteorite and meteor and so on, are the foreign body hit Earth, the influence that but they can have is too small, Snow Mountain Ranch had also been pounded several times. 这种威胁真的存在,恐龙灭绝就是最好的证明,人类需要担心的不是行星究竟会不会撞上地球,而是什么时候会撞上,因此才引发轰轰烈烈的“星际移民”大讨论,陨石、流星之类的,都是外来物体撞击地球,只不过它们所能造成的影响太小,雪山牧场还被砸过几次呢。 Looks at their whole face sad appearance, Han Xuan was a little at heart blurry, guessed correctly that as if there is matter that anything did not know. 看他们满脸忧愁的模样,韩宣心里有点迷糊了,猜到似乎发生了什么自己不知道的事。 Collects, Premier Thethi Ismail who has met at the airport inquires to the morning: „ Good evening, Mister. 凑过去,对早晨在机场见过面的塞西-伊斯梅尔总理询问说:“晚上好,先生。 Sorry asked one, what you were chatting a moment ago, I heard saying that will have the asteroid to hit Earth? ” 很抱歉问一句,刚才你们在聊什么,我听到说会有小行星撞击地球？” „Yes, we receive the news that the United States official spreads in the afternoon, said in 2013, has a diameter to achieve 400 meters asteroid, may hit Earth.” “是的,我们下午接到美国官方传来的消息,说在2013年时候,有颗直径达到四百米的小行星,可能会撞击地球。” After hearing, Han Xuan has a scare, this is the previous generation has not had the matter, can make the United States government issue the news, explained that the possibility is very high, he rushed to closely examine saying: „Is the probability of then hitting how many?” 听见后韩宣吓一跳,这可是前世没发生过的事情,能让美国政府发布消息,说明可能性很高,他赶忙追问说:“那么撞击的概率是多少？” Premier Thethi Ismail, had not cared about this news before, was perplexed by the issue, looks the ponder look to think, told: „ I do not know, saw the digit, but has not recorded clearly. 塞西-伊斯梅尔总理,之前并没有过于在意这条消息,被问题难住了,面露沉思神色想了想,告诉说:“我不知道,看见数字了,但是没有记清楚。 Hey! Our honored guests came, anyone of you know, Phil asteroid does hit the probability of Earth? ” 喂！我们尊贵的客人来了,你们有谁知道,阿波菲尔小行星撞击地球的概率？” Was alarmed by the voice of Prime Minister Ismail, people respectively greeted to Han Xuan and Prince William, then talked at once to tell the digit that heard, some people said 2%, some people said 1/50, Han Xuan making, does not know whose words muddled should believe...... 被伊斯梅尔总理的声音惊扰,人们各自向韩宣和威廉王子打招呼,然后七嘴八舌讲述着自己听说的数字,有人说一百分之一,也有人说50分之一的,把韩宣给弄糊涂了,不知道应该相信谁的话…… This important news, succeeded to attract the Han Xuan attention, he at the scene after others fired off greeting, arrives at still by the charcoal fire of flaming combustion burnt is roasting the big camel by, smelled the fragrance to swallow the saliva, pulled out the cell phone to hit to the only familiar universe madman Eilon Musker. 这条重要消息,成功吸引到了韩宣的注意力,他在现场跟旁人打完招呼后,来到依然被熊熊燃烧的炭火灼烤着的大骆驼旁边,闻到香味吞咽口水,掏出手机打给唯一熟悉的宇宙狂人埃隆-马斯克。 Sudden, no matter also that side United States the present is several points, after the telephone was put through, inquired: „I only heard a matter, about possibly hits that asteroid of Earth, what is called Phil, how many do you know to it?” 事发突然,也不管美国那边现在是几点,等电话被接通后询问说:“我刚刚听说一件事,关于可能撞击地球的那颗小行星,就是叫做阿波菲尔还是什么的,你对它知道多少？” „ Truly is called Phil, did the young boss, you also hear the news? “确实叫做阿波菲尔,小老板,你也听说消息了？ Television station's noon news reported it, NASA has sounded five levels of dangerous warnings, I just telephoned with the friends, they told me to say last week the time, a professor of Massachusetts Institute of Technology, observed that menacing asteroid, the experts after the computation, determined that it was dangerous. 电视台中午的新闻节目报道了它,NASA已经发出五级危险警报,我刚跟朋友们通完电话,他们告诉我说上周时候,麻省理工学院的一位教授,观测到了那颗具有威胁性的小行星,各国专家经过计算,都确定它非常危险。 According to the report of Hawaii Observation Station, Phil asteroid currently from Earth, only has about 0.05 astronomical units, is almost 7.7 million kilometers. 根据夏威夷观测站的报告,阿波菲尔小行星目前距离地球,只有0.05个天文单位左右,也就是差不多七百七十万公里。 If marches forward at the present speed, probably in 2006 about, will arrive around Earth. 如果以现在的速度继续向前,大概在2006年左右,会到达地球附近。 By the computation, it is expected that it 1/380 probabilities, through Earth above gravity loop, and bumps into with Earth seven years later downward. 按照计算,预计它将有三百80分之一的概率,通过地球上空的重力锁眼,并在七年后往下与地球相撞。 Now the computation pre- difference of orbit about 8000 kilometers, the authenticity of this data still waits for calculating, as it approaches Earth unceasingly, the obtained conclusion will be more precise...... ” 如今运行轨道的计算预差在八千公里左右,这个数据的真实性还有待计算,随着它不断靠近地球,得出的结论会更加精确……” 1/380 this probability, 三百80分之一这个概率, Arrived has let the person to neglect its existence high sufficiently. So-called „terrestrial gravity loop”, refers to outside Earth nearby quite small special gravity region, it can change the motion trajectory of asteroid, and may affect it, then hits Earth. 已经高到足以让人不能忽视它的存在。所谓“地球重力锁眼”,是指地球外部附近一块比较小的特殊重力区域,它可以改变小行星的运行轨迹,并且有可能影响到它,进而撞击地球。 Han Xuan understands that these astronomy general knowledge, according to Musker's view, this planet should brush past with Earth, nearby region that but the gravity loop passes through in it at the appointed time exactly, making Phil hit the possibility of Earth, greatly enhances, 韩宣明白这些天文学常识,按照马斯克的说法,这颗行星本来应该跟地球擦肩而过,可到时重力锁眼恰好就在它经过的区域附近,使得阿波菲尔撞击地球的可能性,大大提高, According to the past experienced, the diameter surpassed one kilometer asteroid, every other hundreds of thousands of years bumped into with Earth one time, the diameter are bigger than six kilometers asteroid, every several other billions years bumped into with Earth one time, this degree of hit, caused the disaster exterminating sufficiently. 按照以往经验,直径超过一公里的小行星,每隔数十万年和地球相撞一次,直径大于六公里的小行星,每隔数亿年和地球相撞一次,这种程度的撞击,足以引发灭绝性灾难。 This human faces is everyone, Phil's volume, is not enough to pose the threat to the entire Earth, but if hit Earth, some areas will definitely receive its influence...... 此次人类面对的就是一个大家伙,阿波菲尔的体积,不足以对整个地球造成威胁,但假如撞击地球了,一部分地区肯定会受它的影响...... Han Xuan had a headache, pinches the forehead, inquired: „ How to discover it to the present? 韩宣头疼了,捏捏自己眉心,询问说:“怎么到现在才发现它？ Also, forecast where attended the meeting to hit? Through the supercomputer, should be able to calculate right? ” 还有,预测到会撞击在哪里吗？通过超级电脑,应该可以计算出来了对吧？” „ Several years ago, some people discovers it to be close, but had not cared initially. “早在好几年前,就有人发现它接近,但是当初没有在意。 That professor of this Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the surprise it hits the possibility of Earth to be extremely high, now all governments have been forewarning. 这次麻省理工学院的那位教授,意外发现它撞击地球的可能性极高,现在各国政府已经在预警。 According to the view of my friend, inferred it possibly to pass over gently and swiftly from the Siberia plain initially, after New York and other sky over big cities, bountifully one week later, finally crashed into some area of North Africa. 根据我朋友的说法,初步推断它可能会从西伯利亚平原掠过,经过纽约等大城市上空,饶地一周后,最后坠入北非的某个地区。 Temporarily is only the inference, the uncertainty was too high, must wait again for several years, can reach the accurate conclusion...... ” 暂时只是推断而已,不确定性太高了,要再等几年,才能得到准确结论……” Han Xuan thought that no wonder here is restless tonight that fiercely, originally is because the old nest of Egypt person was possibly smashed by the asteroid, might that more than 400 meters in diameter asteroid, can create, compared with nuclear detonation powerful innumerable times, destroying the entire Cairo was enough. 韩宣心想,难怪今晚这里闹腾得那么厉害,原来是因为埃及人的老窝可能被小行星砸到,直径400多米的小行星,所能够造成的威力,比原子弹爆炸强大无数倍,毁灭整座开罗城足够了。 Then said: „Probability has arrived needs in the vigilant digit, how do all governments plan to resolve possibly the crisis of arrival?” 接着说道:“概率已经到达需要警惕的数字内,各国政府打算怎么应对可能到来的危机？” „ Temporarily is not clear. “暂时还不清楚。 Before one hour, the United States Defense Secretary holds the reporter release conference urgently, said that must through UN, will hold the world leaders conference in the near future, jointly will discuss the countermeasure. 一个多小时前,美国国防部长紧急召开记者发布会,说要通过联合国,在近期举行各国首脑会议,共同商量对策。 According to my idea, if they really plan to deal, the most possible result is to restart the space shuttle project, carries the nuclear bomb to demolish. 按照我的想法,假如他们真打算应对,最可能的结果是重启航天飞机项目,搭载核弹进行爆破。 Before making clear the composition and structure of that asteroid, the nuclear bomb attack is not necessarily effective, moreover must intercept in exoatmosphere, the harm that otherwise causes, does not compare it to hit Earth to be small directly. 但是在没有搞清楚那颗小行星的组成结构之前,核弹攻击不一定奏效,而且必须在大气层外进行拦截,不然造成的危害,不比它直接撞击地球小。 I remembered in 1994 the time, Sumerian Levie No. 9 comet and Jupiter clashed, UN convened the security council of guard asteroid and comet three times, believes that has certain preparation and arrangement, that hit caused people to the influence that the external heavenly body can have, the understanding was more profound. 我记得1994年时候,苏梅尔-利维九号彗星与木星发生碰撞,联合国曾先后三次召开防范小行星及彗星的安全会议,相信已经有了一定的准备和安排,那次撞击使得人们对外来天体所能造成的影响,认识更加深刻。 The expert in our SpaceX Corporation, planned that studies it, applies to use the permission of Fatty supercomputer, you will make the best use of the time to pass right? ” 我们SpaceX公司的专家,也打算对它进行研究,申请使用胖丁号超级电脑的许可,你会抓紧时间通过对吧？” Restarts the space shuttle project and use human to kill the nuclear weapon to cope with the asteroid greatly, hears these two matter times, the Han Xuan eye was straight. 重启航天飞机项目、动用人类大杀器核武对付小行星,听到这两件事时候,韩宣眼睛都直了。 The first thought in the head having is „is impossible”, but if that asteroid really has the serious threat to Earth, perhaps really may pass. 脑袋里产生的第一个念头就是“不可能”,但假如那颗小行星真的对地球具有严重威胁,说不定真有可能通过。 Now the human science and technology is not developed, facing these external heavenly bodies, uses the nuclear weapon to seem like the only choice , to continue saying: „ Un, I will inform the Anthony executive officer, the supercomputer resources first use to you unconditionally. 如今人类科技还不发达,面对这些外来天体,动用核武器似乎是唯一的选择,继续说道:“嗯,我会通知安东尼执行官,超级电脑资源无条件先给你们使用。 First told me, if really arrived at that we did need to prepare to deal with it for a long time? I meant that restarts the space shuttle project, the foreign outer space launch nuclear bomb solution is troublesome. ” 先告诉我,假如真到那一步了,我们需要长时间来准备应对它？我是说重启航天飞机项目,对外太空发射核弹解决麻烦。” „...... At least ten years, the space shuttle was about to rust, the design information chart is also preserving, constructed to require the time. “……最少十年吧,航天飞机都快生锈了,设计资料图还保存着,重新建造需要时间。 Moreover, these space shuttles can carry the super nuclear bomb, must the guarantee full security, moreover must make 2-3, to prevent to have the accident/surprise, the fund of expenditure will not be few. ” 另外,那些航天飞机会搭载超级核弹,必须得保证十足的安全,而且还要制造2-3架,以防止发生意外,花费的资金不会少。” Eilon Musker said these words time, the tone was especially excited, regarding the super universe fan, this matter simply was the huge good news. 埃隆-马斯克说出这番话时候,语气格外兴奋,对于超级宇宙迷而言,这种事简直是天大的喜讯。 400 meters in diameter asteroid, can estimate the place close to time people, then makes nearby people evacuate, perhaps cannot die many people, may definitely have the serious influence on some stretch of area, no one hopes that it falls on the land of oneself country. 直径400米的小行星,接近时候人们可以预计降落地点,进而让附近群众撤离,或许死不了多少人,可必然会对某片地区造成严重影响,谁都不希望它落在自己国家的土地上。 Also chatted the little while, knows all situations from Musker mouth, Han Xuan hangs up the telephone heavyheartedly, looked up the bright nighttime sky, the group and especially was star-studded wonderful, he knows that in some place not far from earth, had greatly troublesome in speedy approach, several years later approached Earth. 又聊了会儿,从马斯克口中得知所有情况,韩宣才忧心忡忡挂断电话,抬起头看了看明朗夜空,群星璀璨、格外美妙,他知道在离地球不远的某个地方,有个大麻烦正在迅速接近,直到几年后靠近地球。 According to his estimate, in the impact probability reduces before certain value, do not count on that all governments can work as one to resolve the crisis. 按照他的估计,在撞击概率缩小到一定数值以前,别指望各国政府能够齐心协力应对危机。 The stock nuclear bomb of United States and Russia are many are, explodes a 400 meters in diameter little fellow to have more than enough to spare, but the space shuttle project burnt money, hoping it to leave the Earth distant point. 美国和俄罗斯的库存核弹多得是,炸颗直径400米的小家伙绰绰有余,但航天飞机项目太烧钱了,但愿它能离地球远点。 Han Xuan facing full is curious William and Anya, to them told news that oneself hear...... 韩宣面对满是好奇的威廉和安雅,向他们讲述自己听到的消息...... 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