IAIH :: Volume #3

#265: Cisco

LNMTL needs user funding to survive Read More

Sees Eric to nod, Chris relaxed, said: „But, Eric, if, I meant if you can guarantee Firefly to be able the rapid growth like the present, then can not go on the market should better not go on the market. Many companies go on the market for many years later, will seek the privatization fully. Because goes on the market, although can obtain big financing, actually also means more responsibility and risks. With Hollywood, several big Film Studio had almost encountered the malicious purchase, recent one time was in 1984, Disney by the Saul Steinberg evil intention ambush, finally Disney has spent 3. The 2.5 billion USD price can redeem the 11.1% stocks in Steinberg hand, must know, at that time Disney's market value also less than 2 billion USD. The 300 million multi- USD cash makes Disney have a fracture, has to give up the family -type management, outside hires helmsman of Michael Eisner as company.” 见艾瑞克点头,克里斯松了一口气,又说道:“不过,艾瑞克,如果,我是说如果你能确保萤火虫能够像现在这样快速发展的话,那么能不上市最好还是不上市。很多公司上市多年以后,都会全力谋求私有化。因为上市虽然能够获得大笔的融资,却也意味着更多的责任和风险。就拿好莱坞来说,几大电影公司几乎都曾经遭遇过恶意收购,最近一次是1984年,迪斯尼被索尔.斯坦伯格恶意狙击,最后迪斯尼花费了3.25亿美元的代价才得以赎回斯坦伯格手中的11.1%的股份,要知道,那个时候迪斯尼的市值还不到20亿美元。三亿多美元的现金让迪斯尼伤筋动骨,不得不放弃家族式的管理,外聘迈克尔.艾斯纳作为公司的掌舵人。” Here, Chris has smiled, said: „Naturally, showed now that Disney had made a very correct decision at that time, is turns misfortune into a blessing. However is not each company has this good luck, such rapid that Firefly develops now, once goes on the market, coveting of causing will be more.” 说到这里,克里斯笑了下,道:“当然,现在也证明,迪斯尼那个时候做了一个非常正确的决定,算是因祸得福。不过不是每一家公司都有这种好运气的,萤火虫现在发展的如此迅速,一旦上市,引起的觊觎会更多。” Eric is listening patiently, often nods. Waited for Chris saying that Eric had decided that simple Firefly will never go on the market. 艾瑞克耐心地听着,不时点点头。等克里斯说完,艾瑞克已经打定了主意,干脆萤火虫永远都不上市好了。 „Chris, you said that if Firefly did not go on the market, like this?” “克里斯,你说如果萤火虫一直都不上市,这样可以吗？” „Naturally,” Chris wants not to say: „Majority of companies go on the market to gain many development funds, in my opinion, Firefly is not short of money, why can go on the market?” “当然可以,”克里斯想也不想就说道:“大部分公司上市都是为了获取更多的发展资金,在我看来,萤火虫又不缺钱,为什么要上市？” Two people were chatting, Jeffrey walked from the kitchen, greeted them to prepare to eat meal. 两个人正聊着,杰弗里从厨房里走出来,招呼两人准备吃饭。 In the dining room Eric also saw the Chris girlfriend. Named Emily Brighton, a tall and slender stature, gold/metal bluing eye. The appearance is very fashionable, introduced that Eric knows the opposite party is Vice Chairman of Brighton apparel company. According to the surname and name of apparel company girl. In addition the age of girl possibly does not start from scratch, does not need to guess also knows that the opposite party definitely is this apparel company Boss daughter it. 餐厅里艾瑞克也见到了克里斯的女朋友。名叫艾米丽.布莱顿,一副高挑的身材,金发蓝眼。打扮很时尚,介绍中艾瑞克知道对方是一家名叫布莱顿服装公司的副总裁。根据女郎的姓氏和服装公司的名字。再加上女郎的年龄不可能是白手起家,不用猜也知道,对方肯定是这家服装公司老板的千金之。 Emily Brighton many that Chris is more talkative, saw that Eric also sends out a movie fan to have the small scream that expressed that likes the Eric movie and so on. Not only on the dining table introduced blow-by-blow account that oneself and Chris know, but also always keeps instigating Aniston to be the spokesman in their family/home fashionable clothing company. 艾米丽.布莱顿要比克里斯健谈的多,见到艾瑞克还发出一声影迷才有的小尖叫,表示非常喜欢艾瑞克电影云云。饭桌上不但介绍了自己和克里斯认识的详细经过,还总是不停地怂恿安妮斯顿做她们家时装公司的代言人。 How Aniston does not know facing the Emily Brighton enthusiasm shirks, can only pray for rescue looks to Eric. Although little girl now is also only television Actor, but relies on 《Friends》 also prominence. But the fashion company of Emily Brighton does not have what fame. If Aniston ran to represent somewhat falls the status. 安妮斯顿面对艾米丽.布莱顿的热情也不知道怎么推脱,只能求救似的看向艾瑞克。虽然小丨妞现在还只是电视演员,但凭借着一部《老友记》也已经声名鹊起。而艾米丽.布莱顿家的时装公司却没有什么名气。安妮斯顿要是跑去代言就有些掉身份了。 Has not waited for the Eric start to talk, Chris to note the Aniston’s embarrassment, driving solution contour: „Does Amy, eat meal peacefully? Your family company was too small, now that two stars are the spokesman I to think was enough.” 还没等艾瑞克开口,克里斯注意到安妮斯顿的窘态,主动解围道:“艾米,安静吃饭好吗？你们家公司太小了,现在那个二线明星做代言人我觉的已经足够了。” Hears this saying Emily not to want, is angry no wonder that: „Has not blamed you, you stirred the matter of listing yellow, our company has constructed now in that three factories in Florida, Asia order of that value 9 million USD......” 听到这话的艾米丽不愿意了,嗔怪道:“还不都怪你,要不是你把上市的事情搅黄了,我们家公司在佛罗里达州的那三家工厂现在已经建好了,还有亚洲的那笔价值900万美元的订单……” „How this can blame me, is your Papa is too obviously greedy. Made a false report the corporate data to be looked up.” “这怎么能怪我,明明是你爸爸太贪心。虚报了公司资料被查了出来。” „Was looked up by you obviously!” Emily reveals an appearance of injured fawn, blamed: „All companies go on the market time will do such, we are not why good!” “明明是被你查了出来的！”艾米丽露出一副受伤小鹿的模样,责备道:“所有公司上市的时候都会这么做,凭什么我们就不行！” Chris puts down the knife and fork in hand. Enhanced the sound to refute: „You have not known how many your Papa has made a false report? Was looked up by me fortunately, if SEC looks up, now your family company had been punished goes bankrupt.” 克里斯放下手中的刀叉。提高了声音反驳道:“你难道还不知道你爸爸虚报了多少吗？还好是被我查了出来,要是sec查出来,现在你们家公司已经被罚破产了。” Emily hears in the Chris expression the faint anger, shrank under the neck afraid, mumbled low voice: „Afterward my Papa obviously changed, you also......” 艾米丽听到克里斯语气里隐隐的怒意,心虚地缩了下脖子,小声嘟囔道:“后来我爸爸明明改了的,你还……” „That is Mr. Hawk Ritchie overrules, do not forget you almost to make him lose the work, he had not investigated that was good.” “那是霍克里奇先生否决的,别忘了你们差点让他丢了工作,他没有追究已经不错了。” Drew and Aniston of Eric with sitting about in oneself looks at each other in blank diamay. 艾瑞克与坐在自己左右的德鲁和安妮斯顿面面相觑。 This...... Probably quarrelled? 这……好像吵起来了？ At the scene do not bid good-bye, otherwise they may be big on the crime today. 可别当场分手啊,要不然他们三人今天可就罪过大了。 Was praying at heart secretly. Sat in Jeffrey leisure light cough on head two: „cough cough, good. Do not quarrel.” 心里正暗暗祈祷着。坐在上首的杰弗里慢悠悠的轻咳了两声:“咳咳,好了。别吵了。” ‚Entered condition’ Chris and Emily hear the Jeffrey sound, immediately sobers. Has closed the mouth hastily. For Eric does not make the scene calm, starts to provoke the topic on own initiative, the atmosphere of supper gradually enlivens. 本来已经‘进入状态’的克里斯和艾米丽听到杰弗里的声音,立刻清醒过来。连忙闭上了嘴巴。艾瑞克为了不让场面冷静,主动开始挑起话题,晚餐的气氛才渐渐活跃起来。 After the food, Emily hauled in the room to egg on a quarrel Aniston and Drew together, in living room only remaining three male chauvinists. 饭后艾米丽将安妮斯顿和德鲁一起拉进了房间里说小话,客厅里只剩下三个大男人。 At this time Eric apology: „Sorry, Chris, just on dinner table......” 此时艾瑞克才歉意道:“抱歉,克里斯,刚刚在餐桌上……” „Eric, this has not related with you, you do not need to care,” Chris shook the head. “艾瑞克,这跟你没关系,你不用放在心上,”克里斯摇了摇头。 Jeffrey also has the feeling to say at this time in a soft voice: „This is also good, occasionally quarrelled two, actually, Szo Lenah, our two also frequently quarrelled.” 杰弗里此时也带着感慨轻声道:“这样也挺好的,偶尔吵两句,其实,索琳娜在的时候,我们两个也经常吵嘴。” „Papa, do not say these matters again?” “爸爸,不要再说那些事情好吗？” „Good, I did not say that” Jeffrey knows son for oneself good, nodded. “好吧,我不说了,”杰弗里知道儿子是为自己好,点了点头。 Chatted is chatting, Eric pulled the topic to some topics that in oneself compared to be interested in gradually: „Chris, are you familiar with foreign currency trading?” 聊着聊着,艾瑞克渐渐地将话题扯到自己比较感兴趣的一些话题上:“克里斯,你对外汇交易熟悉吗？” „Also calculates to know, but I have not participated in this project, I at present in negotiable securities department work.” “还算知道一些,不过我没有参与过这种项目,我目前在证券部门工作。” „You will bid up the foreign exchange, for example the Japanese Yen, isn't the Japanese Yen the appreciation is now fierce?” “那你会炒外汇吗,比如说日元,现在日元不是升值非常厉害吗？” Chris shook the head: „Now Japanese Yen already appreciation entire one time, even if rich, now entered the arena unable to make how much money.” 克里斯摇了摇头:“现在日元已经升值整整一倍了,就算有钱,现在进场也赚不了多少钱。” Eric has gawked staring, somewhat regretted that previous life has not paid attention to the history of this matter Japan economy, heard Chris saying that he was also forced to give up, but, another enormous opportunity has not actually approached, Eric said: „, The ruble, did you know about the Soviet Union ruble?” 艾瑞克愣了愣,有些后悔前世没有多关注一下这段事情日本经济的历史,听到克里斯这么说,他也只好作罢,不过,另外一个巨大的机会却还没有来临,艾瑞克道:“那么,卢布呢,你对苏联的卢布了不了解？” Chris urged: „Eric, I thought that you honestly make the movie to well, the foreign exchange market is no one can play. Like Japanese Yen, although the Japanese Yen had appreciated for these years entire one time. But the international idle fund has not obtained you to think in the foreign exchange market the terrifying profit. The federal government through the Japanese Yen appreciation, making the Japan commodity lose the competitive power in the international trade, the Japan domestic fund and enterprise flees massively. Eventually causes the Japan economic bubble to burst, economic stagnation.” 克里斯劝道:“艾瑞克,我觉得,你还是老老实实做电影为好,外汇市场不是谁都能玩得起的。就像日元,虽然这几年来日元升值了整整一倍。但国际游资在外汇市场上并没有获得你想想中的恐怖利润。联邦政府只是通过日元升值,让日本商品在国际贸易中失去竞争力,日本国内资金和企业大量出逃。最终导致日本经济泡沫破裂,经济停滞。” „Good. I meant that you had not discovered that Soviet Union now isn't quickly good?” “好吧。我是说,难道你们没发现,苏联现在快不行了吗？” Chris shrugs: „Really has this possibility, who knows when Soviet Union can not be good . Moreover the Soviet Union economy collapsed, because this country forced to stipulate the ruble foreign exchange proportion, therefore we could not meddle.” 克里斯耸耸肩:“确实有这种可能,但谁知道苏联到底什么时候会不行呢,而且就算苏联经济崩溃了,因为这个国家强制规定了卢布的外汇比例,所以我们也插手不进去。” „Good, have you thought this kind of possibility. The Soviet Union dozens alliance countries disintegrate, restores the capitalist system, at that time, because of the turbulence of economy, the ruble will definitely fall suddenly, that definitely is a very good opportunity, is right?” “好吧,你们想没想过这样一种可能。苏联几十个加盟国家解体,全部恢复资本主义制度,那个时候,因为经济的动荡,卢布肯定会暴跌,那肯定是一个非常好的机会,对不对？” Chris and Jeffrey have looked at each other one, looks together strangely to Eric, after a while, Chris said with a smile: „Eric. If your this viewpoint throws, will be welcome by the world. If Soviet Union has disintegrated, everybody did not need to worry about the threat of nuclear war. In the past has exploded the entire arctic circle ‚Nagyivan’ frightened the world unbearably.” 克里斯与杰弗里对视了一眼,一起奇怪地看向艾瑞克,过了一会儿,克里斯才笑道:“艾瑞克。你这个观点要是抛出去,会受到全世界的欢迎的。如果苏联真的解体了,大家就再也不用担忧核战争的威胁了。当年炸了整个北极圈的‘大伊万’可是把全世界吓得够呛。” Eric is somewhat helpless. Although the Eastern European drastic change occurred, thing Germany also unifies in August of this year, but Soviet Union disintegration in the present range memory also has almost two years, in addition between US , Soviet is the half century competition, although Soviet Union was smeared repeatedly, but the strength is without a doubt, little person thinks that such Congress disintegrates in the several months time. 艾瑞克有些无奈。虽然东欧剧变已经发生,东西德国也在今年八月统一,但现在距离记忆中的苏联解体还有差不多两年时间,再加上美苏之间长达半个世纪的竞争,苏联虽然被反复丑化,但实力毋庸置疑,很少人会想到那样一个大国会在短短几个月时间分崩离析。 „That when we supposed that” Eric then said: „If possible, Soviet Union disintegration. The ruble depreciates one-sided large scale, at that time I took 1 billion USD fund to cook up the ruble. With several hundred times of release levers, can rise dozens times this fund?” “那就当我们来假设一下好吧,”艾瑞克接着道:“如果可能的话,苏联解体。卢布一边倒地大幅度贬值,那个时候我拿出10亿美元资金去炒卢布。用几百倍的杠杆,能不能将这笔资金翻上几十倍？” Jeffrey had not responded. Chris actually with one looked that the appearance of idiot looks at Eric: „Let alone is 1 billion, even if you put out 10 billion, if dares to use over 100 times of release levers, in that fierce financial shock that you said that perhaps several minutes compensated.” 杰弗里没有反应。克里斯却用一副看白痴的模样看着艾瑞克:“别说是10亿,就算你拿出100亿,如果敢用超过100倍杠杆的话,在你说的那种剧烈金融震荡中,或许几分钟就赔进去了。” Eric stayed: „That...... Good, I do not understand this.” 艾瑞克呆了呆:“那个……好吧,我不是太懂这个。” Chris knows that Eric has not gotten up including the university, is only an ordinary high school graduate, therefore explained patiently: „Takes 100 times of release levers that you said that if you invest 1 billion USD, then can enlarge this sum of money to 100 billion USD scales carries out the foreign currency trading. But your 1 billion USD is only equal to 100 billion 1%, means that you can withstand the foreign exchange rise and drop the scope to have 1%. Even if a currency overall trend is falls, because of gambling of round turns, in this process also will present the fierce about fluctuation, so long as this currency will surpass 1% in the increase scope of some stage, your sum of money no matter 1 billion, will be 10 billion, is levelled immediately. Generally, the release lever of foreign exchange market usual use is 20 to about 30 times, occasionally also some people will take risk to use 50 times of release levers.” 克里斯知道艾瑞克连大学都没上过,只是一个普通的高中毕业生,于是耐心地解释道:“就拿你说的100倍杠杆来说吧,如果你投资10亿美元,那么能够将这笔钱放大到1000亿美元的规模进行外汇交易。但你的10亿美元只相当于1000亿的1%,也就意味着你能够承受外汇涨跌的幅度只有1%。就算一种货币整体的趋势是下跌的,因为买卖双方的博弈,这个过程中也会呈现剧烈的上下波动,只要这种货币在某一阶段的涨幅超过1%,你的这笔钱不管是10亿,还是100亿,都会立刻被平仓。一般情况下,外汇市场通常使用的杠杆都是20到30倍左右,偶尔也有人会冒险使用50倍的杠杆。” „Volume, good,” Eric smiled awkwardly, shrugs: „When I had not said.” “额,好吧,”艾瑞克尴尬地笑了笑,耸耸肩:“就当我没说。” Saw the Eric awkward appearance, Chris and Jeffrey has smiled, Chris supplemented saying: „Is fierce monetary disturbance, to ensure fund security, the release lever of use is lower, meets the good opportunity, goes in 1 billion qualification, can double is very fierce.” 看到艾瑞克尴尬的模样,克里斯和杰弗里都笑了起来,克里斯补充说道:“越是剧烈的金融动荡,为了确保资金安全,使用的杠杆越低,真遇到好机会,拿10亿本钱进去,能够翻一番就算是很厉害的了。” Since the foreign exchange has not handled, Eric thinks or invests the quite familiar domain be quite good, but he is most familiar, besides movie, be only in the next 20 years will develop quickest IT Industry. 既然外汇玩不转了,艾瑞克觉得还是投资自己比较熟悉的领域比较好,而他最熟悉的,除了电影之外,也只有未来20年内发展最快的it产业。 Several big software companies did not have opportunity, Internet has not developed, various Internet companies have not arrived at the opportunity. Hardware, Eric early kept thinking about Apple Inc., what a pity now Master Qiao uncertain future, Apple has not entered the bankrupt edge, what did that have to come? 几大软件公司是没机会了,因特网还没有发展起来,各种网络公司也没到时机。硬件方面,艾瑞克老早就惦记上了苹果公司,可惜现在乔帮主前途未卜,苹果也没有进入破产边缘,那还有什么来着？ Has pondered over the moment, a name dodged. 琢磨了片刻,一个名字闪了出来。 Cisco? 思科？ Cisco! 思科啊！ Eric pats the forehead, almost pleasantly surprised jumps, previous life that was the market value once rose 500 billion USD jumbos. ( to be continued ) 艾瑞克一拍脑门,差点惊喜地蹦起来,前世那可是市值一度蹿升到了5000亿美元的巨无霸。(未完待续)
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