IAIH :: Volume #11

#1077: By counter- ultra popularity


LNMTL needs user funding to survive Read More

The Firefly cinema city, sits the rest area near figure domain work LOFT two building armored glass curtain walls, AOL Chairman Robert Pittman is looking at the horizon gradually by the incarnadine red cloud, slightly has not seen at heart when actually this grand setting sun scene joyfulness. 萤火虫影城,坐在数字领域办公LOFT二楼钢化玻璃幕墙边的休息区,美国在线总裁罗伯特・皮特曼望着天边渐渐被染红的火烧云,心里却丝毫没有看到这壮阔夕阳场景时的愉悦。 Eric few days ago accepted the 《The New York Times》 interview that article, causes the global innumerable media discuss at the same time, gave the new tech industry of serious bubble to be stimulant once more. Even if passed one week of multi- time, the influence that this interview brings has not dissipated as before. However, as one of the NASDAQ most important new technology corporations, should profit from AOL of this interview, actually because of tossed about being in chaotic situation of Eric commentary in interview. 艾瑞克前些日子接受《纽约时报》采访的那篇文章,引起全球无数媒体热议的同时,也再次给已经严重泡沫化的新科技产业注入了一针强心剂。哪怕已经过去了一周多时间,这篇专访带来的影响力依旧没有消散。不过,作为纳斯达克最重要的新科技企业之一,原本应该受益于这篇专访的美国在线,却因为艾瑞克在专访中的一些评论而被折腾的鸡飞狗跳。 The same day of Yahoo listing, the AOL stock price received to implicate to appear lowers obviously. Past one week, came under the influence of that interview, the Yahoo market value breaks through 100 billion USD smoothly, the AOL market value actually shakes to slide from peak 66 700 million USD, at present fell 60 billion USD edges. 雅虎上市的当天,美国在线的股价就已经受到牵累出现明显下挫。过去一周,受到那篇专访的影响,雅虎市值顺利突破1000亿美元,美国在线市值却从巅峰的667亿美元一路震荡下滑,目前已经滑落到了600亿美元的边缘。 However, this is also not most serious. 不过,这还不是最严重的。 Eric in the interview disclosed suddenly the Firefly Group clover fund actually also has AOL to reach 3.1% stocks much, this matter lets other entire AOL management and even shareholders is restless, even affected AOL and Time Warner is being actively conducted the merger negotiation. 艾瑞克在专访中突然透露萤火虫集团旗下三叶草基金竟然还持有美国在线多达3.1%的股票,这件事才让整个美国在线管理层乃至其他股东如坐针毡,甚至影响到了美国在线时代华纳正在紧张进行的合并谈判。 Therefore, although in the heart chokes with rage, but the AOL management has to face this issue. 因此,虽然心中窝火,但美国在线管理层还是不得不面对这个问题。 When Steve when Kyes sets firm resolve to relate Eric, Eric actually suddenly vanished in the field of vision of media, he not only left Manhattan, did not have chapter of Los Angeles, even did not have the form of opposite party including London. Steve Kyes telephones personally Firefly Group, obtains is Mr. Williams is actually taking vacation does not hope that was disturbed the response that this type is conscientious in discharging official duties completely, AOL not to have this situation when the Firefly system. 只是,当史蒂夫・凯斯下定决心联系艾瑞克时,艾瑞克却突然消失在了媒体的视野中,他不但离开了曼哈顿,也没有回洛杉矶,甚至连伦敦都没有对方的身影。史蒂夫・凯斯亲自打电话到萤火虫集团,得到的却是‘威廉姆斯先生正在度假不希望被人打扰’这种完全公事公办的回应,美国在线还在萤火虫体系内时可从来没有发生过这种情况。 But, Steve Kyes is thick the facial skin to Yahoo CEO Ian Gonul inquired, although obtained the Eric person in the news of Maryland, but was also reminded should better not to disturb the opposite party. Steve Kyes can only comply, but is hearing Eric to return to the Los Angeles message the first time, sends own assistant Robert Pittman flew at the same night. 无奈之下,史蒂夫・凯斯厚着脸皮向雅虎CEO伊恩・格尼尔打听,虽然得到了艾瑞克人在马里兰州的消息,但也被提醒最好不要去打扰对方。史蒂夫・凯斯只能照做,只是在听到艾瑞克返回洛杉矶消息的第一时刻,就打发自己的副手罗伯特・皮特曼连夜飞了过来。 The red-orange red cloud transfers gradually dark red, Robert Pittman looked at the watch, again to the staff will inquire that Eric when Williams gets off work, just set out, saw that Eric and another attire optional middle-aged person walk from a corridor end office, Robert Pittman moved forward to meet somebody hastily. 橘红色的火烧云逐渐转为暗红,罗伯特・皮特曼看了看手表,正要再次向工作人员询问一下艾瑞克威廉姆斯什么时候下班,刚刚起身,就看到艾瑞克和另外一个衣着随意的中年人从走廊尽头一间办公室里走出来,罗伯特・皮特曼连忙迎了上去。 Good afternoon, Mr. Williams,”, although in heart deeply worried, Robert Pittman is bearing the temper politeness and Eric greets. “下午好,威廉姆斯先生,”虽然心中焦灼,罗伯特・皮特曼还是耐着性子礼貌地和艾瑞克打招呼。 Bob, you called me Eric,” Eric was smiling with Robert Pittman has grasped starting, introduced: This is Robert Byron, the special effect director of my this movie.” “鲍勃,你还是叫我艾瑞克吧,”艾瑞克微笑着与罗伯特・皮特曼握了下手,又介绍道:“这是罗伯特・拜伦,我这部电影的特效总监。” Robert Pittman and Robert Byron has greeted, said: Prestige...... Eric, I have subscribed the position in a nearby dining room, has the supper together?” 罗伯特・皮特曼又和罗伯特・拜伦打过招呼,才又道:“威……艾瑞克,我在附近的一家餐厅订了位置,一起吃顿晚餐好吗?” Robert Byron knows that Eric and Robert Pittman has the matter to discuss that said goodbye to leave on own initiative. Eric gazes after Robert Byron leaves, to Robert Pittman said: I under and others must attend a cocktail party, we eat on the steamship of next door.” 罗伯特・拜伦知道艾瑞克罗伯特・皮特曼有事要谈,主动告辞离开。艾瑞克目送罗伯特・拜伦离开,对罗伯特・皮特曼道:“我等下还要参加一个鸡尾酒会,咱们就在隔壁的大船上吃吧。” Robert Pittman wants to obtain one with the opportunity that Eric discussed that naturally cannot oppose. 罗伯特・皮特曼只是想要得到一个与艾瑞克商谈的机会,自然不会反对。 They rush to the dining room on next door steamship, just sat down, Robert Pittman then impatiently said: Eric, AOL wants to buy back the 3.1% stocks in clover fund hand, you thought how many offers is appropriate?” 两人赶到隔壁大船上的餐厅里,刚刚坐下,罗伯特・皮特曼便迫不及待地说道:“艾瑞克,美国在线想要买回三叶草基金手中的3.1%股份,你觉得多少报价才算合适?” Eric had not replied that Robert Pittman's words, saw that another completely strange pretty female attendant should walk, completely has disregarded opposite Bits Pittman, the look inquired earnestly he wants to eat anything. Knits the brows slightly, Eric should say to the female attendant: Makes George come, I had the matter and he said.” 艾瑞克没有回答罗伯特・皮特曼的话,看到又一个完全陌生的靓丽女侍应走过来,完全无视了对面的罗比特・皮特曼,眼神热切地询问他想要吃点什么。微微皱眉,艾瑞克对女侍应道:“让乔治过来,我有事情和他说。” The female attendant should stare, realized George that Eric said should be is responsible for on the steamship several dining room management Manager George Watrin, although in the heart has doubts, she nods, turns around to leave. 女侍应愣了下,才意识到艾瑞克说的乔治应该是负责大船上几家餐厅经营的经理乔治・瓦特林,虽然心中疑惑,她还是点点头,转身离开。 After a while, informed George Walient has caught up in a hurry, said respectfully: Mr. Williams, do you look for me?” 过了一会儿,得到通知的乔治・瓦林特匆匆赶了过来,恭敬道:“威廉姆斯先生,您找我?” Eric referred to standing in not far away female attendant should, said: Do not trade again, otherwise I replace you.” 艾瑞克指了指站在不远处的女侍应,道:“不要再换了,要不然我就把你换掉。” George Walient cold sweat has braved all of a sudden. 乔治・瓦林特冷汗一下子就冒了出来。 Because can contact Hollywood some important personages frequently, several dining rooms, bars on and banquet hall RMS Titanic, especially this feeds specially the attendant position of Firefly Group high-level internal dining room, is Hollywood pursues in the dream men and women heart absolutely innumerably the long-awaited superior shortcut. For these years, although Eric I in the attendant to dining room have not had any thoughts, but also really had many lucky fellow to be regarded as important by the Hollywood great people. 因为能够频繁地接触到好莱坞的一些重要人物,泰坦尼克号上的几家餐厅、酒吧和宴会厅,特别是这间专供萤火虫集团高层的内部餐厅的侍应生职位,绝对是好莱坞无数追梦男女心中梦寐以求的上位捷径。这几年来,虽然艾瑞克本人并没有对餐厅里的侍应生动过什么心思,但也确实有不少‘幸运儿’被好莱坞的大人物们看重。 Therefore, although is only ordinary Manager of Firefly Group lowest level dining entertainment department, because is grasping on the steamship the personnel appointment and dismissal of attendant team power, George Walient also naturally becomes the object who many people have flattered to flatter. 因此,虽然只是萤火虫集团最底层餐饮娱乐部门的一个普通经理,但因为掌握着大船上侍应生团队的人事任免‘大权’,乔治・瓦林特也自然成了很多人巴结讨好的对象。 Hollywood most does not lack is the cheek attractive stature hot pretty girl, you wanted the steamship being swindled attendant, does not want to pay some prices additionally, why? For these years, is too flagrant, but George that although does not dare to do Walient really has actually enjoyed several quality very high beautiful women, in the circle under bringing both sides together of some people, he also in secret has even bought stock Hollywood Brokerage Firm, the attendant in this dining room, has signed the proxy contract with that Brokerage Firm completely. 好莱坞最不缺的就是脸蛋漂亮身材火辣的靓丽女郎,你想要来大船上当侍应生,又不想额外付出一些代价,那凭什么?这几年,虽然不敢做的太明目张胆,但乔治・瓦林特却着实享受过几个质量非常高的美女,在圈子里一些人的牵线搭桥下,他甚至还暗中入股了一家好莱坞经纪公司,这间餐厅里的侍应生,全部都与那家经纪公司签署了代理合约。 George why Walient has had doubts Eric that comes to the dining room to eat meal in the attendant to dining room not to have the interest by the dealings frequently, this does not conform to the Big Boss disposition. At this time Eric spoke thoughtlessly to expose, he understood finally. Hollywood may not have the fool, let alone is the present youth. 乔治・瓦林特以往还一直疑惑经常来餐厅吃饭的艾瑞克为什么一直都没有对餐厅里的侍应生产生过兴趣,这可不符合大老板的性格。此时艾瑞克随口点破,他终于明白过来。好莱坞可没有傻子,更何况还是眼前的青年。 How now to say. 现在怎么说。 Must to Big Boss guarantee haven't one bumped any female attendant in this internal dining room should? 难道要向大老板保证自己从来没有碰过这间内部餐厅里的任何一个女侍应? He truly has not bumped. 他也确实没有碰过。 Can seek this kind of important position, George Walient not deficient astute side. If the other high levels of Eric or group settled on some girl, afterward realized this girl had signed with by his Brokerage Firm, perhaps will only dismiss with a smile. But if these big shots discovered the girl who one settle on unexpectedly by the person has enjoyed ahead of time secondhand goods, his fate will be absolutely pitiful. 能够谋到这样一个重要的职位,乔治・瓦林特并不缺乏精明的一面。如果艾瑞克或者集团的其他一些高层看中了某个女孩,事后意识到这女孩原来已经被他的经纪公司签了约,或许只会付之一笑。但如果这些大佬发现自己看中的女孩竟然是被人提前享用过的‘二手货’,那他的下场绝对会非常凄惨。 Hollywood is flooding too many transactions and desires, Eric does not have what moral cleanliness, but spoke thoughtlessly to strike George Walient. He has not thought replaces the opposite party, the steamship exhibition hall under own nose, Eric can look, the dining department on ship handled unusual is good, let alone, changes a person, the matter may not present anything to change. 好莱坞充斥着太多的交易和欲望,艾瑞克并没有什么道德洁癖,只是随口敲打乔治・瓦林特一番。他也没想过把对方换掉,大船展览馆就在自己眼皮底下,艾瑞克还是能够看得出来,船上的餐饮部门还是被打理的非常不错的,更何况,换一个人,事情也不一定会出现什么改变。 Looks at present complexion pallid George Walient, Eric some does not beckon with the hand to hint the opposite party to leave patiently, but stops by calling him immediately, said: You relate Kelly Ms. Haynes, making her be responsible for giving this dining room to incur several attendants, other places my being disinclined manages, but do not make me hear to have any at sixes and sevens matter to pass on.” 看着眼前脸色煞白的乔治・瓦林特,艾瑞克有些不耐烦地摆摆手示意对方离开,但立刻又喊住他,道:“你联系一下凯莉海恩斯女士,让她负责给这间餐厅重新招几个侍应生,其他地方我懒得管,但也千万不要让我听到有什么乱七八糟的事情传出来。” George Walient nods hastily, but on the face flashes through feels embarrassed the expression, his rank may unable to achieve to relate the situation of Eric assistant director by far. 乔治・瓦林特连忙点头,但脸上又闪过为难表情,他的级别可远远达不到能够联系艾瑞克助理办公室主任的地步。 However, saw that Eric did not have the patience, he does not dare to ask that said goodbye to leave hastily. One cannot relate, the head in exhibition hall campus, or the chieftains of upper group theme park operation department can always relate again on, but, oneself must have probably be tossed about a skin. 不过,眼看艾瑞克已经没有了耐心,他也不敢多问,连忙告辞离开。自己联系不上,展览馆园区的负责人,或者再上层集团旗下主题乐园运营部门的头目总能联系的上,只不过,自己少不得要被折腾掉一层皮了。 Sent George Walient, Eric and Robert Pittman ordered a supper, Eric continued saying: Where we just talked about, Oh, do you want to buy back the stock in clover fund hand?” 打发走了乔治・瓦林特,艾瑞克罗伯特・皮特曼点了一份晚餐,艾瑞克才继续道:“我们刚刚谈到哪里了,,你们想要买回三叶草基金手中的股票?” Robert Pittman by oneself forgot as far as possible just small interlude, he does not dare to have any disgruntledness, replied: Yes, Eric.” 罗伯特・皮特曼尽量让自己忘掉刚刚的小插曲,他也不敢有什么不悦,回答道:“是的,艾瑞克。” Reason?” Eric closely examined one, adds: „The AOL stock price also has big rise space, I do not want to sell now.” “理由呢?”艾瑞克追问了一句,又补充道:“美国在线的股价还有很大的上涨空间,我现在可不想卖。” Robert Pittman hesitant, braces oneself to explain: That side Time Warner, does not hope that both sides merge later Firefly Group to new company direct holding.” 罗伯特・皮特曼犹豫了下,还是硬着头皮解释道:“时代华纳那边,不希望双方合并之后萤火虫集团对新公司直接持股。” Eric nods, as if has approved this reason, said: Your that side negotiations progress how?” 艾瑞克点点头,似乎认可了这个理由,又道:“你们那边谈判进度怎么样了?” Robert Pittman knows in the necessity that in front of Eric does not have anything to conceal, said quickly: Started to discuss that both sides merge the later management authority ownership, the audit of balance sheet also started, the general idea, most latter Ming dynasty year in February, the merger can submit to SEC( federation trades committee) to verify. Eric, if Firefly Group persists in having this 3.1% stocks, when the time comes, will directly likely affect SEC that side manner.” 罗伯特・皮特曼知道在艾瑞克面前没什么隐瞒的必要,很快道:“已经开始讨论双方合并之后的管理层职权归属,资产负债表的审计也已经启动,大概,最晚明年二月份,合并案就能够提交到SEC(联邦交易委员会)进行审核。艾瑞克,如果萤火虫集团坚持持有这3.1%的股份,到时候,很可能会直接影响到SEC那边的态度。” Eric recalled carefully, if according to Robert the merge progress that Pittman gives, compared with the original space and time, the merge of AOL and Time Warner has been ahead of time exactly for one year. 艾瑞克仔细回忆了一下,如果按照罗伯特・皮特曼给出的合并进度,与原时空相比,美国在线时代华纳的合并恰好提前了一年时间。 Meanwhile, although not clear specific detail, but Eric can also affirm that at this time broke through 2600 points NASDAQ indices, the same period must be higher than to the original space and time. 同时,虽然不清楚具体细节,但艾瑞克也敢肯定,此时已经突破2600点的纳斯达克指数,相对于原时空中同时期要高出很多。 In other words, now history of NASDAQ, already, because the appearance of Eric had very obvious deviation. This deviation has also been doomed to cause ahead of time crashing of NASDAQ index. 也就是说,现在纳斯达克的历史,已经因为艾瑞克的出现发生了非常明显的偏差。这种偏差也已经注定会导致纳斯达克指数的提前崩盘。 In fragmentary memory, around 2000 fell into the crazy NASDAQ index to rush to 5000 points from 3000 points, has used merely only for four months, the rise speed is faster than the beforehand four years. 零星的记忆中,2000年前后已经陷入疯狂的纳斯达克指数从3000点冲到5000点,仅仅只用了四个月时间,上涨速度比之前的四年时间还要快。 Then, to 2600 points to 3000 points also compare the rise speed of restraint at present, even if takes one month to calculate according to every 100 points, is away from NASDAQ 5000 points crashing peak, only remaining eight months. Eight months, from the present, just to July of next year, is the fulfillment deadline of that 30% forward equity transaction contracts Yahoo and Microsoft decide. 那么,以目前2600点到3000点还比较克制的上涨速度,哪怕按照每100点需要一个月时间来计算,距离纳指5000点的崩盘巅峰,就只剩下八个月时间。八个月时间,从现在算起,刚好到明年七月,也就是雅虎微软商定的那30%远期股权交易合约的履行期限。 However, the Microsoft actually also three months of hesitant times, can decide whether fulfill the contract as well as fulfill the contract degree. 不过,微软却还有三个月的犹豫期,可以决定是否履行合约以及履行合约程度。 This is not good matter. 这可不是什么好事情啊。 Once NASDAQ crashes, Yahoo stock price decline range absolutely far ultra Microsoft. 一旦纳指崩盘,雅虎股价的跌幅绝对会远超微软 Although knows that concrete NASDAQ index trend is impossible such simply to understand, the possibility that but at least, next year NASDAQ that looks like conceives ahead of time will crash is big, wants not to be profited by Microsoft, the NASDAQ index at least must be able to support in October of next year. 虽然知道具体的纳斯达克指数走势不可能像自己设想的这么简单明了,但至少,明年纳指提前崩盘的可能性非常大,想要不被微软占便宜,纳斯达克指数至少要能够撑到明年10月份。 But this matter, no one can guarantee. 但这种事情,谁也不敢保证。 Once historical, one of blasting fuses NASDAQ crashed was losing a lawsuit that the Microsoft counter- ridge settled a lawsuit, Eric speaks the word of praise at the 《The New York Times》 interview for Microsoft, originally was not pure temporary emerging, only hopes that Ministry of Justice can drag longer to the investigation that the Microsoft counter- ridge settled a lawsuit, towed to letting it go is best. 曾经的历史上,纳指崩盘的导火索之一就是微软反垄断案的败诉,艾瑞克《纽约时报》专访上替微软说好话,本就不是单纯的一时兴起,只希望司法部对微软反垄断案的调查能够拖得更久一些,拖到不了了之最好了。 Thinks carefully, if no blasting fuse that the Microsoft counter- ridge settled a lawsuit to lose a lawsuit, perhaps, at the crazy degree of future NASDAQ index, since can rush to 5000 points, that continued to rush to 6000 points, even was higher, possibly had. 仔细想想,如果没有微软反垄断案败诉的导火索,或许,以将来纳斯达克指数的疯狂程度,既然能够冲到5000点,那继续冲到6000点,甚至更高,也不是没有可能。 Naturally, if NASDAQ receives other blasting fuses ahead of time stimulation, crashes before 5000 : 00, is actually not impossible. 当然,如果纳指提前受到其他导火索的‘刺激’,在5000点之前崩盘,其实也不是不可能的。 Present AOL, is actually a very unstable factor. 眼前的美国在线,其实就是一个非常不稳定的因素。 Although gave up the AOL Board of Directors seat, no longer meddles the management of AOL, but, Eric since at heart this types worried, naturally not to the AOL extremely to ignore. 虽然放弃了美国在线董事会的席位,不再插手美国在线的管理,不过,艾瑞克心里既然有这种担忧,自然也不会对美国在线太过放任。 In the mind is combing these information rapidly, the Eric short lost moment, to Robert Pittman said: I had said before, I will not do to the AOL disadvantageous matter, because this infringes the Firefly benefit similarly. Although Firefly has sold the majority of AOL stock, but you also saw that our ownership percentages achieve 10.7%. Therefore, I initially promised as before effectively. Wants the stock in clover fund hand as for you, I can agree, but is not now.” 脑海中迅速梳理着这些信息,艾瑞克短暂的出神片刻,就对罗伯特・皮特曼道:“我以前就说过,我不会做对美国在线不利的事情,因为这同样是损害到萤火虫的利益。虽然萤火虫已经卖出了大部分美国在线的股票,但你也看到,我们的持股比例还是达到10.7%。所以,我当初的许诺依旧有效。至于你们想要三叶草基金手中的股票,我可以同意,但并不是现在。” Robert Pittman expression anxiety, in expression has several points to request: Eric, you should also understand our difficulty, now AOL and most critical phase of Time Warner negotiations.” 罗伯特・皮特曼表情愁苦,语气里带着几分请求:“艾瑞克,你也应该理解一下我们的难处,现在正是美国在线时代华纳谈判的最关键阶段。” You did not say that submits the SEC verification to wait by February of next year?” Eric remains unmoved, said: You can reply Steve also to have that side Time Warner, in February of next year, if you also insisted that must take back some stocks, I can sell to you, naturally, the price must according when the time comes stock price computation.” “你不是说提交SEC审核要等到明年二月吗?”艾瑞克不为所动,道:“你可以回复史蒂夫还有时代华纳那边,明年二月份,如果你们还坚持要收回这部分股票,我可以卖给你们,当然,价格必须按照到时候的股价计算。” Although the stock price shakes these days, but everybody also understands that this is only temporary. Starting from this week of trading day, along with gradual cooling of last week media unrest, the Yahoo stock price had the obvious call-back sign, definitely will show on the other hand the upward stance in the AOL stock price that the North America Internet service provider domain leads the field. 虽然这段时间股价震荡,但大家也都明白,这只是暂时的。这周交易日开始,随着上周媒体风潮的逐渐冷却,雅虎的股价就已经出现了明显的回调迹象,相对来说,在北美互联网服务提供商领域独占鳌头的美国在线股价也肯定会表现出上行姿态。 In February of next year, wants to buy back the stock in clover fund hand again, the price that AOL needs to pay will be without doubt higher. 明年二月份,想要再买回三叶草基金手中的股票,美国在线需要支付的代价无疑会更高。 But looks meaning that Eric has not made concessions slightly, Robert Pittman also can only accept the reality, both sides dined while chatted some details, Eric to let AOL felt relieved, but also complied to draw up a transfer of share rights intention statement ahead of time. 但看着艾瑞克丝毫没有退让的意思,罗伯特・皮特曼也只能接受现实,双方一边用餐一边聊了一些细节,艾瑞克为了让美国在线放心,还答应提前拟定一份股权转让意向书。 Has had the supper, Robert Pittman hastily leaves, Eric also hurries to Santa Monica city north halfway up the mountainside Amy the mansion of Pascal, attended the cocktail party that the opposite party holds. 吃过晚餐,罗伯特・皮特曼匆匆离开,艾瑞克也赶去圣莫妮卡市北部半山腰艾米帕斯卡尔家的豪宅,参加对方举办的鸡尾酒会。
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