Looks all around around one, Hirobumi Itou braces oneself to reply: „ Your majesty, this European war is out of the ordinary. In the surface was the French expands in Europe, causes the disaffection that Austria benefitted to erupt into the war, in fact the struggle of European hegemony. 环顾一眼四周,伊藤博文硬着头皮回答道:“陛下,这次欧陆战争非比寻常。表面上是法国人在欧洲扩张,引起了奥地利的不满爆发了战争,实质上还是欧陆霸权之争。 Because UK and Russia the War in Afghanistan involved the energy, in a short time interferes weak European, making Austria both countries see the opportunity of defeating the competitor. 英俄两国因为阿富汗战争牵扯了精力,短期内无力干涉欧陆,让法奥两国看到了击败竞争对手的机会。 So far, Europe has the law, Austria, ratio and German , Greece, black, the Asian seven countries to be involved in the war, although the remaining various European countries are still waiting and seeing, but does not rule out the possibility of being involved. 截止到目前为止,欧洲已经有法、奥、比、德、希、黑、亚七国卷入了战争,剩下的欧洲各国虽然还在观望,但是也不排除卷入的可能。 Although France is powerful, but they fight single-handedly, if the war continues, more European countries are involved, perhaps they are also the fierce tiger difficult enemy group wolves. 法兰西虽然强大,但他们是孤军奋战,如果战争持续下去,更多的欧洲国家卷入进去,恐怕他们也是猛虎难敌群狼。 The information that transmits from Europe, the French has mobilized 5 million armies, the anti-France coalition to mobilize 7 million armies, if the resistance of law Austria two countries colony, this number must considerably increase in addition. 从欧洲传来的情报,法国人已经动员了五百万军队,反法同盟更是动员了七百万军队,如果加上法奥两国殖民地的对抗,这个数字还要大大增加。 A more than ten million people of war, is not we have the strength to mix. In my opinion, before the European war decides the victory and defeat, any going south strategy is unwise. ” 一场上千万人的大战,根本就不是我们有实力能够掺合的。在我看来,欧陆战争分出胜负前,任何南下战略都是不明智的。” Without the problem, politically look, so long as proclaimed the war, even if the making up the number country must be. Greece, Montenegro and Armenia three waving the flag and shouting adzuki bean Ding, similarly are also the member nations of anti-France coalition. 没有毛病,从政治上看,只要是宣了战,哪怕是凑数的国家也要算。希腊、黑山、亚美利亚三个摇旗呐喊的小豆丁,同样也是反法同盟的成员国。 Others also make the important contributions to the counter- law enterprise, although in military does not have any achievement, but the political contribution is not small. 人家也是为反法事业做出重要贡献的,虽然军事上没有什么作为,可是政治上的贡献一点儿也不小。 The average people cannot look, the politicians are clear. Can define this European war to oppose the aggressive war of French, the Austria advantage depends is this group of little brothers follows to wave the flag and shout. 普通人看不出来,政客们却非常明白。能够将这次欧陆战争定义为反对法国人的侵略战争,奥地利靠的就是这帮小弟跟着摇旗呐喊。 France is unpopular in Europe, this is well-known, flamboyant after all Napoleon Great Emperor roars gave to hang to hit everyone, the Bonaparte dynasty is pushed aside has the issue. 法兰西在欧洲不受待见,这是人尽皆知的,毕竟拿破仑大帝牛逼哄哄的把大家都给吊打了一遍,波拿巴王朝不受排挤才有问题。 But by European half of country resistance, the remaining neutral countries was also being held back to them directly, falling to Hirobumi Itou eyes in this is the absolute failure on French diplomacy. 可是直接被欧洲一半的国家抵制,剩下的中立国也在给他们拖后腿,落到伊藤博文眼中这就是法兰西外交上的绝对失败。 According to the past experience, the French was so flamboyant certainly the meeting to be beaten mercilessly, no one knows that tomorrow can have the new country to be involved in the war. Judged from the political diplomacy, Hirobumi Itou did not favor the French to win the war completely. 根据以往的经验,法国人这么牛逼肯定会要遭到毒打,谁也不知道明天会不会有新的国家卷入战争。从政治外交上判断,伊藤博文完全不看好法国人能够赢得战争。 Does not favor the French, was not equal to that the Japanese government can bet. A big tangled warfare of more than ten million army, do not say Japan, even in the human history is the first time. 不看好法国人,不等于日本政府就能够下注了。一场上千万军队的大混战,不要说日本了,就算是人类历史上都是第一次。 Although initially completed Meiji Restoration, but Japan was still only a small and weak agricultural country, compared with increased military power and top big powers, differed is too far. 虽然初步完成了明治维新,但是日本仍然只是一个弱小的农业国,增加的军事实力和顶尖列强相比,还是相差太远了。 Depending on domestic these more than ten Wan Xinjun, the battle efficiency cannot only compare Belgium, the big army of later generation that vertically and horizontally/able to move unhindered East Asia, the present is babies and infants. 仅凭国内这十几万新军,战斗力连比利时都比不上,后世那支纵横东亚的大陆军,现在还是一个婴幼儿。 The land power disparity is disparate, the navy similarly is also so. To UK , France Austria such naval power, before two , the dread naught can hang to hit Japanese Navy, but such warship others are double-digit. 陆军实力差距悬殊,海军同样也是如此。对英法奥这样的海军强国,两艘前无畏舰就能够把日本海军吊打一遍,而这样的主力舰人家都是两位数。 „ European war involves really broadly, qualifications that we have not truly participated. However attacks the Philippines is not difficult, Spain had declined, absolutely does not have the qualifications to continue to hold the fertile colony. “欧陆战争牵扯甚广,我们确实没有参与进去的资格。不过进攻菲律宾却不难,西班牙早就没落了,根本就没有资格继续占有肥沃的殖民地。 The British and Russian Austria method four big big powers are making war, have no time to have scruples the Far East practice, best time that we begin. 英俄奥法四大列强都在开战,无暇顾忌远东实务,正是我们动手的最佳时机。 Do not look that the Spanish is also going against the big powers reputation, in fact in the new round military revolution, they have fallen behind comprehensively. 不要看西班牙人还顶着列强的名头,实际上在新一轮的军事革命中,他们已经全面落后了。 According to information that the navy collects, Spain deploys in the fleet of Philippines mostly is the sail battleship, the only two armored vessels are also several years ago products, the navy have the confidence to solve them with ease. 根据海军搜集到的情报,西班牙部署在菲律宾的舰队大都是风帆战舰,仅有的两艘铁甲舰也是十几年前的产物,海军有信心轻松解决掉他们。 The Suez Canal has stopped up now, so long as beat the Philippine fleet of Spanish, when they receive the message to send out the reinforcements to come again, most quickly will also be six months matter. 苏伊士运河现在已经堵塞了,只要干掉了西班牙人的菲律宾舰队,等他们收到消息再派出援兵过来,最快也是半年后的事情了。 So long as the army can seize Philippines in six months, without the foothold Spanish, does not have the tiger of tooth nothing to be worried. ” 只要陆军能够在半年之内占领菲律宾群岛,没有落脚点的西班牙人,就是没牙的老虎不足为虑。” Minister of the navy Tsugumichi Saigou's superficial saying, seems incapable of mixing the European war is a natural matter, is not wronged. 海军大臣西乡从道轻描淡写的说道,仿佛无力掺合欧陆战争是一件理所应当的事情,丝毫不觉得委屈。 The gratitude and grudges that the struggle of Japanese flood and field involves can trace upward for several hundred years, „long province valve” and „Satsuma valve” the historical contradiction, continued directly. 日本海陆之争牵扯的恩怨能够往上追溯几百年,“长州阀”和“萨摩阀”的历史矛盾,直接延续了下来。 Facing despising of navy, secretary of war Yamagata Aritomo refuses to admit being inferior saying: „ So long as your navy can solve the fleet of enemy, our army can seize Philippines in six months. 面对海军的蔑视,陆军大臣山县有朋不甘示弱道:“只要你们海军能够解决敌人的舰队,我们陆军就能够在半年之内占领菲律宾群岛。 Feared that feared you cannot fight a battle to force a quick decision, consumed with Spanish Navy, in vain waste precious time. ” 怕就怕你们不能速战速决,和西班牙海军耗上了,白白浪费宝贵的时间。” The navy and army do not have on the bar, to Hirobumi Itou is writing Shipai of head, this is one is absolutely bad cannot the bad news. 海军和陆军没有杠上,对伊藤博文为首的文始派来说,这绝对是一个坏得不能再坏的消息。 No matter going south of later generation Japan Military headquarters goes north the struggle to be intense, now strategic difference of both sides, is not in fact big. 甭管后世日本军部的南下北上之争多么激烈,现在双方的战略分歧,实质上并不大。 Before has not attained Joseon this springboard, Japanese forces goes south and go north, the main force must be the navy, this is everyone's consensus. 没有拿到朝鲜这个跳板前,日军无论是南下、还是北上,主力都必须是海军,这是所有人的共识。 Pure superficially, present Japanese Navy, seemingly is also not the opponent of Beiyang fleet, but from the warship tonnage is so. 单纯从表面上来看,现在的日本海军,貌似还不是北洋舰队的对手,只是从军舰吨位上来看是如此。 Without by the Japanese ruler who the victory becomes confused the mind, now instigates compels, not only does not dare to participate in the European war, the neighbor in counter septum also has the awe. 没有被胜利冲昏头脑的日本统治者,现在还是怂得一逼,不仅不敢参与欧陆战争,就连对隔壁的邻居也心怀敬畏。 In order to guarantee to win the war, under the common interest, flood and field both armies conducts the short union, is the logical matter. After all the Japanese present family property was weak one time, loses not to have. 为了确保赢得战争,在共同的利益之下,海陆两军进行短暂的联合,也是顺理成章的事情。毕竟日本现在的家底弱,输一次就全没了。 Seeing the military opinion was about to unify, First Lord of the Treasury Shigenobu Ookuma grand Jimang opposed saying: „ It is not good, Spain is a European country, attacks a Caucasian country rashly, who knows that can trigger the reaction of European big powers? 见军方意见快统一了,财政大臣大隈重信隆急忙反对道:“不行,西班牙是一个欧洲国家,冒然进攻一个白人国家,谁知道会不会引起欧洲列强的反弹？ If by some chance causes interferences of other big powers, even if we seized Philippines, finally spits, will also be retaliated by Spain. 万一引起其他列强的干涉,就算是我们占领了菲律宾群岛,最后还是吐出来,甚至还会遭到西班牙的报复。 Do not look at the Spanish to decline, but their all-round strengths above us, our only advantages were the Philippines were too still far from them. 别看西班牙人没落了,但他们的综合实力仍然在我们之上,我们唯一的优势是菲律宾距离他们太远。 But if has the European big powers to support them, the situation was entirely different. They can form a large-scale fleet to seek our unluckiness with ease. ” 可如果有欧洲列强支持他们,情况就截然不同了。他们可以轻松组建一支规模庞大的舰队来寻我们的晦气。” This is the fact, the Japanese naval vessel buys from Europe, the Spanishs in continental Europe thinks that the purchase warship will be only simpler. 这是事实,日本海军军舰都是从欧洲买的,地处欧洲大陆的西班牙人想购买军舰只会更加简单。 The naval construction ability of Spain is not weak, is next to the UK , France Austria three countries, is in the second echelon in the entire world, Japan that did not only start can compare. 况且人家西班牙的造舰能力也不算弱,仅次于英法奥三国,在全世界都处于第二梯队,根本不是刚刚起步的日本能够比的。 In fact, Shigenobu Ookuma also has the words not to say. This year most popular navy theory is „hundred years of navy that” the English ejects, various countries deeply by its influence. 实际上,大隈重信还有话没有说出口。这年头最流行的海军理论是英国人抛出的“百年海军”,各国都深受其影响。 Spanish Navy declines again, the ancestor is also extravagant, tactic and experience that inherits, is not new Japanese Navy can compare. 西班牙海军再没落,祖上也是阔过的,传承下来的战术、经验,不是新生的日本海军能比的。 , The Japanese naval power far exceeds Spanish fleet stationed in Philippines outwardly, but if really hit, can take them is also an unknown. 明面上来看,日本海军实力远超西班牙驻扎在菲律宾的舰队,可真要是打起来了,能不能拿下他们也是一个未知数。 If by some chance cannot fight , the Spanish and they circles the protracted time, after the waiting domestic reinforcements arrive, fights a decisive battle, that trouble was big. 万一不能一战而下,西班牙人和他们兜圈子拖延时间,等待国内援兵抵达后再决战,那就麻烦大了。 Minister of the navy Tsugumichi Saigou analyzes saying: The big powers that „ Okuma Monarch, you are worried about interfere are not the issue. Spain and English have the long hatred, these year of English have been suppressing the development of Spain, is impossible to support them. 海军大臣西乡从道分析道:“大隈君,你所担心的列强干涉根本就不是问题。西班牙和英国人有宿怨,这些年英国人一直都在压制西班牙的发展,根本就不可能支持他们。 The Spanish government is the following French mixed, Alfonso XII is the French supports, but recently the Spanish domestic power change, the Pro-Austria faction grasps the political power and French goes separate ways. 原本西班牙政府是跟着法国人混的,阿方索十二世都是法国人扶持起来的,但是最近一段时间西班牙国内权力更替,亲奥派掌握了政权和法国人分道扬镳。 If so, has nothing at the worst, is unable to trade an ally. What a pity Spanish Pro-Austria at the same time, has not reversed to Austria to benefit truly, instead started the person with no mind of his own. 如果只是如此,也没什么大不了的,无法是换了一个盟友。可惜西班牙人亲奥的同时,并没有真正倒向奥地利,反而做起了墙头草。 Properly speaking, this European war is the Spanish best opportunity, so long as they dispatch troops to hold the French ass eye from the rear area, the anti-France coalition can win the war immediately. 按理来说,这次欧陆战争是西班牙最好的机会,只要他们从后方出兵捅法国人腚眼,反法同盟立即就可以赢得战争。 Some UK and Russia in the side, the Austria advantage want to control the European hegemony smoothly, but also needs a powerful ally, is impossible to drop out Spain, they can logical and Austria benefits the share fruits of victory. 有英俄两个大国在侧,奥地利想要顺利主宰欧陆霸权,还需要一个强力盟友,根本就不可能抛下西班牙,他们可以顺理成章的和奥地利分享胜利果实。 Such a chance of a lifetime, the Spanishs gave up, but also wants the Austria advantage to go all-out to help them not be possible. 这样一个千载难逢的机会,西班牙人都放弃了,还想要奥地利尽全力帮他们根本就不可能。 Now begins, we even may earn the support of French, the excuse first sweep clean the stumbling obstacle on going south path, then attacks Austria to be Southeast Asia with them. 现在就动手,我们甚至有可能获得法国人的支持,借口先扫清南下道路上的绊脚石,再和他们一起进攻奥属南洋。 The French government does not have to choose now, they fight single-handedly in continental Europe, the only British ally is still battling with the Russia person. If were not forced, they will not look for us. ” 法国政府现在没得选择,他们在欧洲大陆孤军奋战,唯一的英国盟友还在和俄国人作战。如果不是被逼无奈,他们也不会找上我们。” Looking for the ally is not acts unreasonably, this year is to despise the chain strongest age exactly, normally, the European country will not unite with the Asian small country, because of this unusual losing face. 找盟友也不是乱来的,这年头恰好是鄙视链最强的年代,正常情况下,欧洲国家是不会和亚洲小国联合的,因为这会非常的丢面子。 The French government from winning over the Japanese starts, had been taken lightly, not only plans. Becoming the senior government officials, did not favor the French to win one of war reasons. 法国政府从拉拢日本人开始,就已经被人看轻了不只一筹。成为了日本政府高层,不看好法国人能赢得战争的原因之一。 This is difference in the eastern culture and western culture, to European nation, face, although important actually cannot compare the benefit in fact ; Changed to the Eastern situation, the face surpassed the benefit every so often. 这是东西方文化上的差异,对欧洲国家来说,面子虽然重要却比不上实质上的利益;到了东方情况就发生了变化,面子很多时候都超过了利益。 Judged by the inherent concept, believing that the senior government officials take for granted, the French soon could not support, the looking ally of turning to any doctor one can find when critically ill world. 以自己固有观念判断,日本政府高层想当然的认为,法国人是快要撑不住了,才病急乱投医满世界的找盟友。 If not Austria benefits disregards to them directly, discussed that the opportunity of condition not to them, perhaps in the Japanese government some people will also advocate to join the anti-France coalition, seizes the chance to capture the French South China Peninsula. 如果不是奥地利直接对他们无视,连谈条件的机会都不给他们,没准日本政府中还会有人主张加入反法同盟,趁机夺取法国人中南半岛。 Hirobumi Itou scolded sternly: „ Xixiang Monarch, this absolutely is a stupid idea. Once we reveal to the intention that the French closes up, will definitely encounter hostility that Austria benefits. 伊藤博文厉声呵斥道:“西乡君,这绝对是一个馊主意。我们一旦流露出向法国人靠拢的意图,肯定会遭到奥地利的敌视。 Even if Austria benefitted to be diverted by the French, without the ability directly interfered with our actions, was not equal to they would have no short rope/obstruction of means under to us. 就算是奥地利被法国人牵制住了,没有能力直接干涉我们的行动,可不等于他们就没办法给我们下绊子了。 Do not forget the Southeast Asia area also to have the Dutch, if the Austria advantage takes the lead, agitating Holland to intervene, we may not have the ability simultaneously to going to Spain and Holland. ” 别忘了南洋地区还有荷兰人,如果奥地利出面牵头,鼓动荷兰出手干涉,我们可没有能力同时对上西荷两国。”