On September 11 , 1890 , Austria , the black five countries, closed simultaneously to the law trade pass, the commodity embargo formally start. 1890年9月11日,德、比、奥、希、黑五国,同时关闭对法贸易通道,物资禁运正式开始。 Suddenly continental Europe is frightened by the slightest sound, everyone knows that this is the omen that the wind and rain wants, the European war perhaps is unavoidable. 一时间欧洲大陆风声鹤唳,所有人都知道这是风雨欲来的前兆,欧陆战争恐怕是无法避免。 Urged the French to yield? 劝法国人让步？ The commodity embargo of anti-France alliance, compelled the corner the Paris government directly. Drawing back one step is not boundless, but is the abyss hell. 反法联盟的物资禁运,直接将巴黎政府逼到了墙角。退一步不是海阔天空,而是深渊地狱。 Urged the anti-France alliance to be calm? 劝反法联盟冷静？ This is not better. The anti-France alliance is a victim, the French wants to invade Central Europe ambitiously, will not have this matter. 这更不行。反法联盟才是受害者,要不是法国人野心勃勃想要入侵中欧,根本就不会有这档子事。 Eats the worry of melon people, but the worry European war brings disaster to the mackerel shad, is not they have loves the peace, the true pacifist cannot be in power. 吃瓜群众们的担心,只是担心欧陆战争殃及池鱼,并不是他们有多么热爱和平,真正的和平主义者也掌不了权。 Palace of Versailles, Napoleon IV is going against the dark pouche, holds the political council again. Without the means that the waiting is most anxious. 凡尔赛宫,拿破仑四世顶着黑眼圈,再一次召开政治会议。没有办法,等待才是最让人焦虑的。 With the development of situation, wants to benefit from Belgium and Germany, now has evolved decisive battle that determines French future destiny. 随着局势的发展,原本只是想从比德两国捞好处,现在已经演变成了决定法兰西未来命运的大决战。 Foreign minister Karel Kadlec: „ Austria benefits has started to form the anti-France coalition, now has won over Belgium, the northern German federations, Greece and Montenegro four countries to join. 外交大臣卡雷尔・卡德莱茨:“奥地利已经开始着手组建反法同盟,现在已经拉拢了比利时、北德意志联邦、希腊、黑山四国加入。 Switzerland and Holland have started to blow hot and cold, in the Spanish government the sound of counter- law steadily is also surging upward, the mainstream opinion of Europe favors the anti-France coalition mostly. 瑞士、荷兰已经开始摇摆不定,西班牙政府中反法的声音也在不断高涨,欧洲的主流舆论大都倾向于反法同盟。 Recently, Austria benefitted strengthened with the Northern European the relation of federation and Portugal. If continues to tow, the situation even more will be only disadvantageous to us. ” 最近一段时间,奥地利又加强了同北欧联邦、葡萄牙的联系。如果继续拖下去,局势只会对我们越发不利。” The brain makes up is most fearful, the Austria Libyan government is frequent and politicians contact, but also announces to the public this enhances the commercial cooperation. 脑补是最可怕的,奥地利政府频繁和各国政要接触,还对外宣布这是加强商业合作。 The Austria Libyan government did not explain good, this explained that Karel Kadlec thinks did not suspect difficultly. 奥地利政府不解释还好,这一解释卡雷尔・卡德莱茨想不怀疑都难。 The free trade time, the government does not interfere with the economical running mostly, basic on no cooperation. 自由贸易时代,政府大都不干涉经济运转,根本就没什么合作的。 In fact is also so, Austria benefits with various countries contacts the frequency, although is high, has not actually signed a treaty, at least on does not have outwardly. 事实上也是如此,奥地利同各国接触频率虽然高,却没有签订一份条约,至少明面上没有。 Negotiated the content specifically, Karel Kadlec does not know, but represented to discuss that really happy news, he received. 具体谈判内容,卡雷尔・卡德莱茨不知道,可是代表相谈甚欢的消息,他还是收到了。 No matter intentionally disgusting France, really intends to join the anti-France coalition, this to the French government is not a good deed. 不管是故意恶心法兰西,还是真的有意加入反法同盟,这对法国政府来说都不是一件好事。 Prime Minister Terence Bourgin: „ Now we were in the diplomacy met not only troublesome, the strategic resources purchase also met troublesome. 特伦斯・布尔金首相:“现在我们不光是外交上遇到了麻烦,战略物资采购也遇到了麻烦。 The strategic resources price that in just several months, we must plan to purchase nearly multiplies, certain commodity prices even turn time directly. 在短短的几个月时间里,我们要计划采购的战略物资价格近乎倍增,某些商品价格甚至是直接翻倍。 Many countries are hitting the name that subsides the domestic price, raised and between us the tariff, dramatically increased the enterprise procurement cost. 不少国家打着平息国内物价的名义,调高了和我们之间的关税,大幅度增加了企业采购成本。 Raw material supply the influence that is insufficient by, some domestic enterprises have started to reduce the capacity, this will be disadvantageous to the forthcoming war. 受原材料供应不足的影响,国内部分企业已经开始削减产能,这对即将开始的战争非常不利。 All sorts of signs showed, all these are Austria benefit the control, they attempt to use these methods, beats us outside the battlefield! ” 种种迹象表明,这一切都是奥地利操控的,他们企图利用这些手段,在战场之外击败我们！” The war between great nations, not only in the battlefield, outside the battlefield also filled the fierce combat. 大国之间的战争,不光是在战场上,战场之外同样也充满了刀光剑影。 Is suffers a loss in this aspect France without doubt, the physical volume of foreign trade that Austria benefits is several times of France, the domestic market also far exceeds France. 在这方面法兰西无疑是吃亏的,奥地利的对外贸易量是法兰西的数倍,国内市场也远超法兰西。 The political economical affection of both sides, has not been a scale. In addition the influence of issue left over by history, the French government is almost inevitable in the disadvantage. 双方的政治经济影响,早就不是一个档次的。加上历史遗留问题的影响,法国政府处于劣势几乎是必然的。 A Napoleon IV brow wrinkle: „ Without is so serious, if various European countries really support the anti-France coalition, has joined together to our blockades. 拿破仑四世眉头一皱:“没有那么严重吧,欧洲各国要是真的支持反法同盟,早就一起加入对我们的封锁了。 So long as they join, we are not possible and all countries oppose, giving up the Central European strategy is the inevitable result. 只要他们都加入进去,我们是不可能和所有国家作对的,放弃中欧战略是必然的结果。 The present aspect, is more like Austria to benefit a control, is drawing various countries to the drama that we prepare, attempts to make us confuse own situations. ” 现在的局面,更像是奥地利一手操控,拉着各国给我们准备的大戏,企图让我们自乱阵脚。” Made so many year of Emperor, Napoleon IV has not been moe new little white. Politically does not have the secret, the national politics diplomacy launches regarding the benefit. 做了这么多年皇帝,拿破仑四世早就不是什么萌新小白了。政治上没有秘密,国家政治外交是围绕着利益展开的。 From the benefit angle, analyzing most is how favorable for a country, roughly can guess correctly that various countries want to do. 从利益角度入手,分析怎么才对一个国家最有利,就大致能够猜到各国想要干什么。 Without a doubt, law Austria most serves everyone interest mutually wounded. Under this background, except for the two not being able to shunt concerned overseas, everyone watches the fun does not dislike the matter big lord. 毫无疑问,法奥两败俱伤才是最符合大家利益的。这种背景下,除了比德两个躲不开的当事国外,大家都是看热闹不嫌事大的主。 Except that Greece and Montenegro this type without chooses, must support the country that Austria benefits, the remaining countries absolutely would have no truth to join the anti-France coalition. 除了希腊、黑山这种没得选择,必须要支持奥地利的国家,剩下的国家根本就没有道理加入反法同盟。 Falls to Napoleon IV eyes, now the action of various countries is adding fuel to the flames, provides encouragement to Austria altruistic, strengthens them the determination that battles against with France. 落到拿破仑四世眼中,现在各国的做法就是在推波助澜,给奥地利人加油打气,坚定他们和法兰西开战的决心。 Economy minister Elsa: „ Your majesty, cannot drag again. When we completed the war preparations, the enemy also completed the war preparations. 经济大臣艾尔莎:“陛下,不能再拖下去了。等我们完成了战争准备,敌人也完成了战争准备。 We are not one in free trade system, in purchase strategic resources, is in itself in an inferior position, the domestic economy is also not as good in Austria benefits, does not suit with the Austria advantage conducts the protracted war. ” 我们不是自由贸易体系中的一员,在购买战略物资方面,本身就处于劣势,国内的经济也略逊于奥地利,不适合同奥地利进行持久战。” Napoleon IV ravelled, was not the ministers was anxious, but was the domestic capitalists is anxious. 拿破仑四世弄明白了,不是大臣们急了,而是国内的资本家们急了。 Determined after the French government must implement the Central European strategy, the capitalists opened fully a horsepower production in abundance. 确定了法国政府要实施中欧战略后,资本家们纷纷开足了马力生产。 With the lapse of time, the commodity in everyone hand increases day-by-day, the floating capital reduces day-by-day, the war has not broken out, everyone thinks that anxiously is not good. 随着时间的推移,大家手中的商品一天天增加,流动资金一天天减少,战争还是没有爆发,大家想不急都不行。 If by some chance the midway has the big accident, suddenly said that the war does not hit, or will tow in the future for several years, everyone must end the calf. 万一中途发生大变故,突然说战争不打了,或者是往后拖个三年五载,大家就要完犊子了。 The commodity that sells is money, piles up the commodity in hand is not the asset, but is the debt, because stores up also needs the cost. 卖出去的商品才是钱,积压在手中的商品不是资产,而是负债,因为储存也是需要成本的。 The government purchases to think that ahead of time on line, is impossible to realize, the reason is simple: In the French government hand does not have so many warehouse that stores up the commodity. 政府提前采购想想就行了的,根本就不可能实现,原因非常简单:法国政府手中没有那么多储存物资的仓库。 Under this situation, the capitalists want to digest to switch hands the stock, can only make the war erupt ahead of time. 在这种背景下,资本家们想要消化掉手中的库存,只能让战争提前爆发。 The ministers clamored are launching the war ahead of time, not everyone was bought, was mainly knows that could not have blocked. 大臣们纷纷叫嚣着提前发动战争,并非大家都被收买了,主要是知道已经拦不住了。 Either the government provokes the war on own initiative, has the initiative in a war ; Either was the capitalists begins to provoke the war, how the situation to develop no one to know. 要么政府主动挑起战争,掌握战争主动权;要么就是资本家们动手挑起战争,局势会怎么发展就没人知道了。 Does not wait for Napoleon IV to make the decision, aide on hurriedly shouted loudly in out of the door: „Your majesty, frontline urgent military situation.” 不等拿破仑四世做出决定,侍从就急匆匆的在门外高呼:“陛下,前线紧急军情。” The European situation is tense, even if at this time the anti-France coalition first hit, everyone will not feel strange. 欧陆局势已经非常紧张了,这个时候就算是反法同盟先打过来,大家都不会感到奇怪。 Heard the urgent military situation, Napoleon IV naturally does not dare to neglect: „Takes quickly!” 听到了紧急军情,拿破仑四世自然不敢怠慢:“快拿进来！” ...... …… Instantly after the time, Napoleon IV said slowly: „Frontline spreads the news, three soldiers when we go on patrol with the Belgian intersection point, suddenly was attacked by enemy, two die is missing.” 刹那功夫后,拿破仑四世缓缓说道:“前线传来消息,三名士兵在我们和比利时交界处巡逻的时候,突然遭到了敌人袭击,两死一失踪。” The boundary friction the first time was not, was the situation of deceased person, has not actually happened. 边界摩擦不是第一次了,可是死人的情况,却是从来没有发生过。 Because of the situation tense key, in the boundary had strengthened the alert, the soldier goes out to go on patrol also forms groups, the neighboring distance will not be far. 因为局势紧张的关键,边界上早就加强了戒备,士兵外出巡逻也是成群结队,相邻距离都不会太远。 In the ordinary circumstances had the accident/surprise, the peripheral army will arrive immediately. The deceased people can also understand, being missing was thought-provoking. 一般情况下发生了意外,周边的部队马上就会抵达。死人还可以理解,失踪就耐人寻味了。 So long as Belgium and Germany the brain does not have the water penetration, will not do this rare and beautiful flowers matter. However in this crucial point, no one will care about so many. 比德两国只要脑子没有进水,就不会干这种奇葩事。不过在这个节骨眼上,没有人会关心那么多。 No matter is reasonable, the French government wanted to make war, this was the ready-made war excuse. 不管合不合理,法国政府想要开战了,这就是现成的战争借口。 That feared that clearly knows this inside has the issue, Napoleon IV is unable to go into seriously. Otherwise finds out anything to come, what finally loses face is the French government. 那怕明知道这里面有问题,拿破仑四世也无法深究下去。要不然查出点儿什么来,最后丢脸的还是法国政府。 However uncomfortable is at heart inevitable, but dead French soldier. Without dying in battlefield, because unexpectedly some people want to provoke the war ahead of time, was hit by the unexpected misfortune. 不过心里不爽是必然的,死者可是法国士兵。没有死在战场上,居然因为有些人想要提前挑起战争,就遭到了无妄之灾。 The people lowered the head do not speak, had this matter, they were also very awkward! 众人都低头不语,发生了这种事情,他们也很为难啊！ Early, 1 : 00 pm, Ok, the only present was not good at this time. 早一点,晚 1 点,都可以,唯独现在这个时候不行。 Just everyone lobbied Emperor to make war, immediately presented the war excuse, how to see that seemed like attempting the throne. 刚刚大家才游说皇帝开战的,马上就出现了战争借口,怎么看都像是在逼宫。 This misunderstanding, politically is very fatal. If traded domineering Emperor, they can go home now. 这种误会,在政治上是非常致命的。要是换了一个强势的皇帝,他们现在就可以回家了。 Under the Napoleon IV sharp vision, Prime Minister Terence Bourgin braces oneself saying: „ Your majesty, had this matter, we should immediately accountability to Belgium. 在拿破仑四世锐利的目光下,特伦斯・布尔金首相硬着头皮说道:“陛下,发生了这种事情,我们应该立即向比利时问责。 Ordered the Kingdom of Belgium to hand over the murderer in 48 hours, the soldier who the release seized, and compensated us to lose. 责令比利时王国在48小时内交出凶手,释放抓走的士兵,并且赔偿我们损失。 Wants... otherwise...... ” 要…要不然就……” Sees the Napoleon IV even more ugly/difficult to look at complexion, and finally, Prime Minister Terence Bourgin could not really be justified, the sound becomes off and on. 看到拿破仑四世越发难看的脸色,到了最后,特伦斯・布尔金首相实在是说不下去了,声音变得断断续续。 Seemed like feels similarly, Napoleon IV restrained the vision of murder, saying that coldly: „Meaning office that presses the prime minister, but should better not to go wrong again.” 似乎是觉得差不多了,拿破仑四世收敛了杀人的目光,冷冷的说道:“就按首相的意思办吧,不过最好不要再出什么乱子了。” ...... ……