The Afghan battlefield, passed through after a series of struggles, British armed forces successful defeated the government forces main force. 阿富汗战场,经过了一系列的苦战过后,英军成功的击败了阿富汗政府军主力。 On July 16 , 1888, British armed forces after paying with the casualties of more than 3000 people, successfully attacked and captured Kabul, the surviving Afghan government is forced to remove toward being popular the storehouse mountain range. 1888年7月16日,英军在付出三千多人的伤亡后,成功攻克喀布尔,残存的阿富汗政府被迫撤往兴都库山脉。 Won this great victory with great difficulty, the English had not covered-up, the London government first issues to announce to the outside world. 好不容易才赢得了这一伟大胜利,英国人没有藏着掖着了,伦敦政府第一时间向外界发布公告。 Looks at the English to show off the score, Franz also somewhat worries, this result was really unexpected, the Afghan government linked for a half year not to insist unexpectedly. 看着英国人炫耀战绩,弗朗茨也有些发愁,这个结局实在是太出乎意料了,阿富汗政府居然连半年都没有坚持住。 The English occupied Kabul, the Russia person were still engaging in fierce battle with Central Asia Khanate, once the British armed forces punctured Afghanistan, with Central Asia Khanate continually in one, the Russia person following war was directly difficult to hit. 英国人都占据了喀布尔,俄国人还在和中亚汗国鏖战,一旦英军打穿了阿富汗,直接和中亚汗国连在了一起,俄国人后面的战争就难打了。 This and beforehand plan is completely different, Franz is also thinking Afghanistan delays a time, making the Russia person advance British India the front, stimulates an English well. 这和事先的计划完全不一样,原本弗朗茨还想着阿富汗多拖点儿时间,让俄国人一路把战线推到英属印度,好好刺激一把英国人。 Without was stimulated, the London government will not definitely make a determined effort dead to knock with the Russia person mostly, may occupy the Afghan area to receive the hand very much. 没有受到刺激,伦敦政府肯定多半不会发狠和俄国人死磕,很有可能占据阿富汗地区就收手。 As for the Central Asia three Khanate, can rescue mostly , then rescues, if could not rescue, sold out them and Russia people compromises, possibly had. 至于中亚三汗国,多半是能救则救,要是救不了的话,卖掉他们和俄国人妥协,也不是没有可能。 Perhaps in the future, the Afghan area will become English's tremendous weight, but the Russia person has not actually received too big weakening. 或许在未来的岁月里,阿富汗地区会成为英国人的沉重负担,但是俄国人却没有受到太大的削弱。 Russian Empire this aggressive full ally, is too strong good, will otherwise make one unable to sleep. 俄罗斯帝国这种侵略性十足的盟友,还是不要太强的好,要不然会让人睡不着觉的。 After rubbing the forehead, Franz helpless saying: „The war loan of Russia person approved, now the Tsar government needs our support.” 揉了揉额头后,弗朗茨无奈的说道:“俄国人的战争贷款批了吧,现在沙皇政府需要我们的支持。” Without the means that could not affect the British government, can only agitate the Tsar government. Now can only hope that Russian bear is greedier, can dies to knock for India and English. 没有办法,影响不了英国政府,就只能鼓动沙皇政府了。现在只能希望毛熊贪婪一些,能够为了印度和英国人死磕到底。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Your majesty, at this time not the suitable release good intentions, appeared extremely desirably. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“陛下,这个时候不适合释放善意,显得太过刻意了。 The Russia person wants to obtain the war to loan, best or walks the regular procedure/program, making them put out to mortgage. 俄国人想要获得战争贷款,最好还是走正规程序,让他们拿出抵押来。 So as to avoid makes one discover, we want to provoke the British and Russian war, causes the unnecessary trouble. ” 免得让人发现,我们想要挑起英俄战争,引起不必要的麻烦。” The politics needs to mount. The Austria advantage wants to provoke the British and Russian war is not false, but wants to turn over to think, saying that is not possible. 政治是需要装裱的。奥地利想挑起英俄战争不假,可是想归想,说出来那是万万不可能的。 From the beginning the Vienna government gives own localization is: Has no interest in the Central Asia war, under suddenly Austria Union, makes a move to support the Russia person. 从一开始维也纳政府给自己的定位就是:对中亚战争没兴趣,迫于俄奥同盟,才出手支持俄国人的。 Provides encouragement to the Russia person, that is stemming from sharing a common hatred, has not done the meaning of matter absolutely. 给俄国人加油打气,那是出于同仇敌忾,绝对没有搞事情的意思。 No matter others do believe that in any case the Vienna government was the letter/believes. 不管别人信不信,反正维也纳政府是信了。 „Un!” “嗯！” Franz nods to approve, present situation Austria benefits is not truly suitable to do many. 弗朗茨点了点头表示认可,现在的情况奥地利确实不适合做得太多。 But anything does not do is not good, the ignores situation develops, the strategic target that Austria benefits is unable to be realized. 可是什么都不做又不行,放任局势自行发展下去,奥地利的战略目标又无法实现。 Prime Minister Carl: „ British and Russian governments are not the fool, the development present this step, must realize our strategic goals, starts is not not possible from the upper layer. 卡尔首相:“英俄两国政府都不是傻子,局势发展到现在这一步,要实现我们的战略目的,从上层下手已经不可能了。 Perhaps now we should transform the concept, must intensify both countries to be contradictory, and does not need the two governments to agree. 或许现在我们应该转换一下观念,要激化两国矛盾,并不一定要两国政府同意。 With the development of war, UK and Russia border on are sooner or later matter, once both sides did not have the cushion, must make the contradiction on easy many. 随着战局的发展,英俄两国接壤是早晚的事情,一旦双方没有了缓冲,要制造矛盾就容易的多了。 The war conducts now, the English also invested five Indian colonizing masters and few native armies, the battle efficiencies of these armies are limited. 战争进行到现在,英国人也只是投入了五个印度殖民师和少量的本土部队,这些部队的战斗力非常有限。 Copes with the Afghan government also to assemble, wants to deter the Russia person, is impossible. So long as we push secretly, making the radical factions of Russian force begin and that's the end. ” 对付阿富汗政府还凑合,想要震慑俄国人,根本就不可能。我们只要暗地里推一把,让俄军的激进派动手就是了。” Listened to prime minister's explanation, Franz suddenly to discover oneself fell into the erroneous zone, in the age of this law of the jungle, must speak with „strength”. 听了首相的解释,弗朗茨忽然发现自己陷入了误区中,在这个弱肉强食的年代,一切都要用“实力”说话。 The English seemingly got the winning side, but Indian colonizing master really does not blow the gathering place. Not is only unable to deter the Russia person, perhaps will also stimulate the ambition of Russia person. 英国人看似占据了上风,可是印度殖民师真的镇不住场子。不仅无法震慑俄国人,恐怕还会激发俄国人的野心。 To change this point is not good, immediately expands manpower the army, reassigns several hundred thousand regular armies to pass and Russia person from the native place confronts. 想要改变这一点不是不行,立即扩编陆军,从本土抽调几十万正规军过去和俄国人对峙。 Seemingly operates is not difficult, but the issue is the expansion of armaments must spend. 看似操作起来不难,可问题是扩军也是要花钱的。 This is not the disposable expenditure, but is the long-term expenses, so long as a Russian Empire day does not decline, Britain must deploy the large army in the Afghan area. 这不是一次性的花费,而是长期性的开销,只要俄罗斯帝国一天不没落,不列颠就必须要在阿富汗地区部署重兵。 Affected by this, Britain no longer is the pure thalassocracy country, similarly must develop land authority, although this „land” is not a native place, but the importance of India is also worse than to lose the native place. 受此影响,不列颠就不再是单纯的海权国家,同样也必须要发展陆权,尽管这“陆”不是本土,可印度的重要性也就比本土差一丢丢。 The army took massive military expenses, continuously for a long time hence will get down, definitely will affect the development of royal navy. 陆军占用了大量的军费,长此以往下去,势必会影响到皇家海军的发展。 Not is only these issues, Franz thinks also has. It seems like that the English occupied Kabul, is the resistance of afghan, has not stopped. 不光是这些问题,弗朗茨想到的还有更多。看似英国人占据了喀布尔,可是阿富汗人的抵抗,还是没有停下来。 In a short time cannot look, that is the domain that the English seizes is not big, after occupying the entire Afghanistan, can these Indian masters keep the place order are an issue. 短期内看不出来,那是英国人占领的地盘还不大,等占领了整个阿富汗后,这几个印度师能不能维持地方秩序都是一个问题。 Sees a chaotic Afghanistan, the Russia person have no reason not to move? 看到一个纷乱的阿富汗,俄国人没有理由不动心啊？ So long as the Russia person begins, does not accept a challenge on being beyond control British government. At the worst when a chapter of donor, putting up the cash lets UK and Russia PK. 只要俄国人动了手,就由不得英国政府不应战了。大不了当一回金主,砸钱让英俄两国pk。 Now spends a sum of money, simultaneously weakens two competitors ; Always feels better in the future spends more money, good that goes forth to battle to gamble personally. 现在花一笔钱,同时削弱两个竞争对手;总好过在未来花更多的钱,亲自上阵博弈的好。 „ Prime minister said well, we truly need to transform the concept now, went down a route. Shoulders matter that Britain , Russia conflict, gave the intelligence service to be responsible. “首相说得不错,我们现在确实需要转换观念,走下层路线了。挑起英俄冲突的事情,就交给情报部门负责了。 Ministry of Finance prepares first, besides the war loan of present this 50 million aegis, will prepare the funds of 300 million aegises to the Russia person in the next three years, this time we must support the Russia person to project on the bottom. ” 财政部准备先一下,除了现在这笔五千万神盾的战争贷款外,未来三年内给俄国人准备3亿神盾的资金,这次我们要支持俄国人打到底。” When the donor is not all money, pulls out by the Austria advantage, overwhelming majority war costs must be solved by Tsar government. 当金主不是所有的钱,都由奥地利掏,绝大部分战争成本还是要由沙皇政府自己解决的。 For example: The most common grain, in the warehouse of Tsar government has, transported on the line. 比如说:最常见的粮食,沙皇政府的仓库里就有很多,运过去就行了。 Relatively speaking, the gray draft animal economizes very much, so long as solved the problem of eating, each person rifle can on the battlefield. 相对而言,灰色牲口还是很省钱的,只要解决了吃的问题,每人一支步枪就可以上战场。 The great sum of money that the self-provided funds of Tsar government, Austria benefits in addition, several hundred thousand armies of enough Russia person have hit for many years. 沙皇政府的自筹经费,加上奥地利的这笔巨款,已经足够俄国人的几十万军队打好些年了。 „Yes, your majesty!” “是,陛下！” ...... …… Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Not is only the Central Asia battlefield needs to pay attention, continental Europe is also in the change in situation now the critical moment. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“不光是中亚战场需要关注,欧洲大陆现在也处于变局的关键时刻。 Since UK , France form an alliance, the French even more was wild. last week, the French government bought British Coal Association. 自从英法结盟过后,法国人就越发猖狂了起来。就在上个星期,法国政府收买了英国煤炭协会。 British Coal Association departed from the international coal exit|to speak alliance, has taken the lead to export the coal price of France to reduce 20, in the coal exit|to speak average prices with international market is equivalent. 英国煤炭协会背离了国际煤出口联盟,已经率先将出口到法国的煤价降低了20,和国际市场上的煤出口平均价格相当。 Now the French will exert pressure on Belgium and northern German federation, requesting them to export the coal total quantity of France to enhance 30%, and must drop 69 the price. 现在法国人正在向比利时和北德意志联邦施压,要求他们将出口到法国的煤总量提高百分之三十,并且还要将价下降69。 This price is not only much lower than the international coal price, even was lower than European several coal-producing country coal prices. 这个价格不仅仅远远低于国际煤价,甚至低于了欧洲几个产煤国本土的煤价。 In addition the expenses in various aspects, the fractional recovery difficulty big coal mine, will perhaps be in a state of loss directly. ” 加上各方面的费用,部分开采难度大的煤矿,恐怕会直接陷入亏损状态。” In fact, international coal exit|to speak average prices, is because the international coal exit|to speak alliance's sanction on the French, draws. 事实上,国际煤出口平均价,也是因为国际煤出口联盟对法国人的制裁,才拉上去的。 Without computation transport expense, benefit the average coal price of native place compared with Austria high about 20, but the coal price that France purchases must be higher than about 50. 在不计算运费的情况下,要比奥地利本土的平均煤价高20左右,而法兰西购买的煤价则要高出50左右。 The export price is so high, in addition various assorted expenses, to the buyer hand , the price surpassed half to have the possibility finally. 出口价格这么高,加上各种杂七杂八的费用,最后到了购买者手中,价格超出一半都有可能。 The coal just needed the product, because is British Austria jointly leads to act, before the French was incapable of resisting. 煤是刚需产品,因为是英奥联合带队行动,之前法国人无力抗争。 After UK , France form an alliance, the surrounding network was broken, the international situation gets better, the French government could not bear make a move. 英法结盟过后,包围网被打破,国际局势好转,法国政府就忍不住出手了。 After buying over the English, depends own fist to be hard, bullies Belgium and northern German federation. 收买了英国人后,就仗着自家的拳头硬,欺负比利时和北德意志联邦。 Benefits as for another coal exit|to speak alliance country Austria, in international coal export market the share of accounting for is minimal, directly by French disregarding. 至于另一个煤出口联盟国奥地利,在国际煤出口市场上的所占的份额微乎其微,直接被法国人给无视了。 Although does not have the calculator, Franz also knows that the goal of French the embarrassed aspect that is to break the domestic energy price stays at a high level, as for can only calculate next to various European countries probe. 尽管没有计算器,弗朗茨也知道法国人的目的是打破国内能源价格居高不下的窘迫局面,至于对欧洲各国试探只能算其次。 Although without the calculator, Franz drew the conclusion quickly, takes Austria to benefit the end product coal average retail price for 1 computation, the purchase price before France is 1.5. 尽管没有计算器,弗朗茨还是很快得出了结论,以奥地利成品煤平均零售价格为一计算,法国之前的购买价格就是1.5。 1.5 * ( 1-0.69 ) = 0.465 1.5*(1-0.69)=0.465 The French want by the 46.5 purchases of retail price, to be counted the profit of assorted taxes and fees, transport expense, wholesale and retailer, this price to French Enterprise with the hand, basically can realize the energy price to remain unchanged with the Austria advantage. 法国人就是想以零售价的46.5购买,算上杂七杂八的税费、运费、批发和零售商的利润,这个价格到了法国企业用手中,基本上能够和奥地利实现能源价格持平。 This is also only ties Austria to benefit, in fact produces Britain of coal great nation, the domestic average coal price must be lower, approximately lowers 35 percentage points. 这还只是追平奥地利,事实上产煤大国的不列颠,国内平均煤价还要更低一些,大约低三五个百分点。 Can look from these data, the French industry and commerce product does not have the competitiveness, has the reason. 从这些数据就可以看出来,法国工商业制品没有竞争力,不是没有原因的。 The coal industry sudden and huge profits are not false, may not have the sudden and huge profits to this share , the domestic suppliers cannot attain such low price. 煤炭行业暴利不假,可也没有暴利到这个份儿上,国内的供货商都拿不到这么低的价格。 According to pricing that the French gives now, only if Belgium and northern German federation exempt the complete tax revenue of coal manufacturing enterprise, otherwise overwhelming majority enterprises will fall into the loss. 按照法国人现在给出的定价,除非比利时和北德意志联邦免去煤生产企业的全部税收,要不然绝大部分企业都会陷入亏损。 The French want to reduce the energy cost not to have the issue, but the present issue is, the French government wants Belgium and German federation comes to pay for them. 法国人想要降低能源成本没有问题,可现在的问题是,法国政府想要比利时和德意志联邦来替他们买单。 Prime Minister Carl said with amazement: „ French this was insane, how did such price let Belgium and northern virtue accepts? 卡尔首相惊讶道:“法国人这是疯了吧,这样价格让比利时和北德如何接受？ Even the two governments chose acceptance under the military threat of French, perhaps the capitalists will not comply. ” 就算是两国政府迫于法国人的军事威胁选择了接受,恐怕资本家们也不会答应。” It is not „perhaps” is will definitely not comply, this year capital has started to internationalize, takes Rhineland area coal mine for instance, a large part of mines fell into British Austria two countries capital hand. 不是“恐怕”是肯定不会答应,这年头资本已经开始国际化了,以莱茵兰地区的煤矿为例,很大一部分矿山都落入了英奥两国资本手中。 These capitalists, how possibly accept this price that infringes the self-interest? 这些资本家,怎么可能接受这种损害自己利益的价格？ At the worst the business of non- approach people, has the foreign capital background not to fear. Finally was affected truly, perhaps these do not have the background...... 大不了不做法国人的生意,有外资背景根本就不怕。最后真正受影响的,恐怕还是那些没有背景的…… Franz nods: „ Wanting to make him perish, must the shilling its crazy. If the French is so wild, to us is also a good deed. 弗朗茨点了点头:“欲要令其亡,必先令其狂。如果法国人真这么猖狂,对我们来说也是一件好事。 These conditions have surpassed Belgium and northern Germany the bottom line, both countries are not possible to comply. 这些条件已经超过了比利时和北德意志的底线,两国是不可能答应的。 If the French dare to use strongly, Belgium and northern German federation will side with us, I did not mind that dispatches troops to fight a war for the ally with them. 法国人要是敢用强,比利时和北德意志联邦都会倒向我们,我不介意为了盟友出兵和他们打一仗。 However the French is not stupid, they have not completed the war preparations, now gets angry to them is no good, this mostly is only their probe. 不过法国人没有那么蠢,他们还没有做好战争准备,现在翻脸对他们没有任何好处,这多半只是他们的一次试探。 Present wanting to have a lion's share, but to test the bottom line in Belgium and Germany, pulls down both countries to anticipate at heart. 现在的狮子大开口,只不过是为了试探比德两国的底线,压低两国心里预期。 If as expected, in the following negotiations, the French will also offer a little good intentions slightly, both countries will choose the compromise. ” 如果不出意外的话,在接下来的谈判中,法国人还会略微释放一点儿善意,两国就会选择妥协。” This is the helplessness of small country, the weak one sorrowful...... 这是小国的无奈,弱者的悲哀……