The European two big camp oppositions, most were worried that is actually not four country concerned. suddenly Austria, UK , France, have the respective advantage, sufficiently self-preservation. 欧洲两大阵营对立,最担心却不是四个当事国。无论是俄奥、还是英法,都有各自的优势,足以自保。 What is truly hapless is clamps in two big alliance's middle small countries. Now two big camp contradictions have not intensified, everyone can also deal with reluctantly. 真正倒霉的还是夹在两大联盟中间的小国。现在两大阵营矛盾尚未激化,大家还可以勉强应付。 Once the both sides contradictions promote, everyone must be forced to stand in line. In fact, the geopolitics had decided the standing in line direction of various countries, cannot allow them to choose. 一旦双方矛盾升级,大家就要被迫站队了。事实上,地缘政治已经决定了各国的站队方向,根本就容不得他们自己选择。 The western Europe can only support UK , France, Eastern Europe, Northern Europe and southern Europe must support suddenly Austria, the Central European countries compels most painstakingly, from the start does not know how should elect. 西欧各国只能支持英法,东欧、北欧、南欧各国则必须支持俄奥,中欧各国最苦逼,压根儿不知道该咋选。 Neutrality? 中立？ Temporarily without issue, once two big unions to, they became the earliest sacrificial victim. 暂时没有问题,一旦两大同盟对上了,他们就成为了最早的牺牲品。 Which side regardless of reverses, will be beaten violently by another side. Especially Belgian this pain compels, the bad strategic location decided they are unable to cultivate one's own moral worth. 无论倒向哪一方,都会被另外一方狠揍。尤其是比利时这种苦逼,糟糕的战略位置决定了他们无法独善其身。 Naturally, this is the worst result. In a short time, two big alliances could not have seen the sign of eruption war. 当然,这是最糟糕的结局。短时间内,两大联盟还看不出有爆发战争的迹象。 Sense of crisis intense advantage Austria Poland , Germany second could not have sat still. British Austria is the accurate ally of Belgium, everyone resists the French to expand to Central Europe together. 忧患意识强烈的利奥波德二世已经坐不住了。原本英奥都是比利时的准盟友,大家一起抵制法国人向中欧扩张。 Now the situation had the fundamental change, UK , France formed an alliance, protection Belgium that then the English pledged initially safely also effective? 现在情况发生了根本性的变化,英法结盟了,那么英国人当初承诺的保护比利时安全还有效么？ Foreign minister Joule said prudently: „Your majesty, Austria benefitted Ministry of Foreign Affairs to send in the note, inviting us to conclude one to maintain the European peace stable treaty with Switzerland, the northern German federation and Spain.” 外交大臣朱尔慎重说道:“陛下,奥地利外交部发来了照会,邀请我们和瑞士、北德意志联邦、西班牙缔结一份维护欧洲和平稳定条约。” Opens the map to know, the above national capitals are the good neighbors of French. After removing French, concludes such a treaty, what aims is who is self-evident. 打开地图就知道,上述各国都是法国人的好邻居。在排除法国人之后,缔结一份这样的条约,针对的是谁不言而喻。 This can definitely be regarded as to a counter-attack that UK , France form an alliance, the Austria money pouch prepares to show with practical action, without the English participates can surround the French in the same old way. 这完全可以看做是对英法结盟的一次反击,奥地利是准备用实际行动证明,没有英国人参与照样可以围堵法国人。 Benefits asking of Austria Poland , Germany second doubts: „Austria altruistic only invited four countries to participate, country that has not continued to invite?” 利奥波德二世疑惑的问:“奥地利人就只邀请了四国参与,没有继续邀请的国家啦？” Theoretically, the above four countries must face directly the threat of French, having deep sorrow is closes up to the Austria advantage easily. 理论上来说,上述四国都要直面法国人的威胁,有切肤之痛是最容易向奥地利靠拢的。 But „counter- law”, is always various European countries common matter, rather than an independent country issue. The sudden transformation, the command benefits Austria Poland , Germany second to be hard to accept. 可是“反法”,从来都是欧洲各国共同的事情,而不是单独一国一家的问题。突然的转变,令利奥波德二世难以接受。 Foreign minister Joule's affirmative reply: „ Austria benefitted truly only invited our four countries, it is said was the Vienna government was worried that other country did not have deep sorrow, contained taking a firm stand of French, may accept the buy of French, did the destruction in the alliances. 外交大臣朱尔肯定的回答道:“奥地利确实只邀请了我们四国,据说是维也纳政府担心别的国家没有切肤之痛,遏制法国人的立场不坚定,有可能会接受法国人的收买,在联盟中间搞破坏。 Perhaps looks like in the Vienna government, contains the French to expand to the outside world, five countries are jointly enough. ” 或许在维也纳政府看来,遏制法国人向外界扩张,五国联手已经足够了。” This is also most people's view, although France is powerful, actually without opens the qualitative disparity with Austria Lillah, in addition after Thebes Read four countries, the anti-France coalition was steady. 这也是大多数人的看法,法兰西虽然强大,却没有和奥地利拉开质的差距,加上西比瑞德四国后,反法同盟就稳了。 The alliance that compares an internal split, might as well has the common interests, the small alliance that can each other cooperate is more credible. 相比一个内部分裂的联盟,还不如一个有共同利益,能够彼此合作的小联盟更靠谱。 Prime minister Austria Guste sighs: „ If so, then, we greatly were troublesome. 首相奥古斯特叹了一口气道:“如果是这样,那么接下来,我们就有大麻烦了。 Does not have various European countries to participate to share the pressure together, the Spanish government of own law will not participate mostly, after all the French now the westbound possibility is almost zero, their pressures are not big. 没有欧洲各国一起参与分担压力,亲法的西班牙政府多半不会参与,毕竟法国人现在西进的可能性几乎为零,他们的压力并不大。 Switzerland's relations because of geographical position, their standpoints is in fact unimportant. If the Swiss government insists the neutrality, Austria will benefit will not force mostly. 瑞士因为地理位置的关系,他们的立场实质上并不重要。如果瑞士政府坚持中立,奥地利多半也不会逼迫。 Makes the choice in law Austria, the northern Germany federation is supports certainly Austria to benefit, even if UK , France tied the pledge, they will still favor Austria to benefit. 在法奥之间做选择,北德意志联邦肯定是支持奥地利的,就算英法结了盟,他们也会更加倾向奥地利。 Because of the relations of strength, in a short time, the northern Germany federation also has temporarily the neutral strength. 因为实力的关系,在短时间内,北德意志联邦还拥有暂时中立的实力。 So long as two big alliances do not make war, they can act as the cushion between law Austria, temporarily does not need to stand in line explicitly. 只要两大联盟不开战,他们就可以充当法奥之间的缓冲,暂时不用明确站队。 It seems like that exploratory invitation, in fact is forcing us to stand in line. One side suddenly Austria and UK , France, we must elect. ” 看似试探性的邀请,实际上就是在逼迫我们站队。在俄奥和英法之间,我们必须要选一边。” Most tragedy was this, others might hide, Belgium that remaining compelled painstakingly could not avoid. 最悲剧的莫过于此了,别人都有可能躲过去,就剩下苦逼的比利时躲不开。 Without the means that the French schemes the ambition of Belgium, always needs the person to contain. 没有办法,法国人图谋比利时的野心,总是需要人去遏制的。 Those who undertook this heavy responsibility is British Austria both countries, now the English turns around to form an alliance with the French, can continue to contain the French ambition was only left over Austria to benefit. 原本承担这项重任的是英奥两国,现在英国人转身和法国人结盟,能够继续遏制法国人野心的就只剩下奥地利了。 Now refused Austria to benefit, will then encounter France invaded the time in the future, Belgium can only fight single-handedly. 现在拒绝了奥地利,那么未来遭遇法国入侵的时候,比利时就只能孤军奋战了。 As for the English, everyone really does not have the confidence. Even if the London government is willing to dispatch troops to intervene, does not wait for British Army to expand manpower completes, Belgium passed away. 至于英国人,大家实在是没有信心。就算是伦敦政府肯出兵干预,不等英国陆军扩编完成,比利时都作古了。 After hesitant over and over, benefits Austria Poland , Germany second to say slowly: „ Ministry of Foreign Affairs sends people to discuss with Austria, the condition of common defense French we can sign, but the prerequisite must strictly keep secret. 犹豫了再三后,利奥波德二世缓缓说道:“外交部派人和奥地利谈,共同防御法国人的条件我们可以签,但前提条件是必须要严格保密。 The Austria advantage can not care to offend the French, we may not have that ability to stir up trouble. Remembers that in the treaty content agreement, the Austria advantage must provide the safekeeping of security to us. 奥地利可以不在乎得罪法国人,我们可没那份儿能耐去惹事。记得在条约内容约定,奥地利必须要给我们提供安全保护。 Simultaneously sends people to strengthen us with northern German federation, Switzerland, Holland and other country's of the relations, really to critical moment, their standpoints also very important. ” 同时派人加强我们和北德意志联邦、瑞士、荷兰等国的联系,真到了关键时刻,他们的立场也非常的重要。” Belgium reverses to Austria to benefit also has no recourse, what now is ambitious about them is the French, rather than separated by several hundred li (0.5 km) Austria to benefit. 比利时倒向奥地利也是迫不得已,现在对他们野心勃勃的是法国人,而不是相隔数百里的奥地利。 Joins UK , France, seeks an impossibility. The status of ally, is not worth a red cent in the face of the benefit. An operation is not good, was given fresh to peel Huotun. 加入英法一方,就是与虎谋皮。盟友的身份,在利益面前一文不值。一个操作不好,就被人给生剥活吞了。 The choice signing secret treaty, in fact benefits Austria Poland , Germany second the plan of risk aversion. 选择签订密约,实际上就是利奥波德二世的避险之策。 Can practice trickery well, really cannot conceal the truth, can late day expose , a day takes the risk late. 能瞒天过海最好,实在是瞒不过去,能晚一天暴露,也晚一天承担风险。 ...... …… Compared with Belgium, the northern Germany federation lived it up, support of opposition to mention just a few. 和比利时相比,北德意志联邦就热闹了,反对的支持的不一而足。 Originally reaches an agreement the security, the result does not wait to argue that a result comes out, news already run all over the place. 本来说好保密的,结果不等争论出一个结果出来,消息就已经满天飞了。 Nothing accident/surprise, when the matter was placed on the desktop, means winning over plan fail that Austria benefitted. 没有任何意外,当事情摆在了桌面上时,也意味着奥地利的拉拢计划失败了。 Under the pressure of UK , France, Spain and Switzerland turned down the proposition of Vienna government, is also contacting as for Belgium in secret, on the Belgian government does not dare to stand in line outwardly similarly. 迫于英法的压力,西班牙和瑞士先后婉拒了维也纳政府的提议,至于比利时也只是暗中在接触,明面上比利时政府同样不敢站队。 ...... …… The news of failure comes, Franz has not felt strange. No one is the fool, Austria benefits acts to do the anti-France alliance now essentially in the drawing cannon fodder, could not deceive the smart person. 失败的消息传来,弗朗茨并没有感到奇怪。谁都不是傻子,奥地利现在出面搞反法联盟本质上就是在拉炮灰,根本就骗不了聪明人。 With the restoration of French economy, the voice of domestic war party is getting more and more loud. 随着法国经济的恢复,国内主战派的声音越来越大。 The military headed by aristocrat wants the meritorious military service, the capitalist to solve the coal supply problem, these are the war can be solved exactly. 以贵族为首的军方想要战功,资本家想要解决煤炭供应问题,这些恰好都是战争能够解决的。 Must otherwise, will not present the English to eject a bait, the French government is willing to give up the hundred years between two countries hating- forms an alliance. 要不然的话,也不会出现英国人抛出一个诱饵,法国政府就愿意放弃两国之间的百年仇恨-结盟。 Foreign minister Wessenberg put out a document, said: „ Your majesty, this is the first fruits of Belgian government negotiations, at present the biggest problem is the assignment of rights and obligations. 外交大臣韦森贝格拿出了一份文件,说道:“陛下,这是和比利时政府谈判的初步成果,目前最大的问题就是权利与义务的分配。 The Belgian government gave a pretext the strength to be insufficient, is only willing to shoulder some war responsibility. 比利时政府借口自身实力不足,只愿意承担部分战争责任。 Only limited to: The French invade Central Europe, they will dispatch troops to enter the war. 仅限于:法国人入侵中欧,他们才会出兵参战。 If we and French erupt into the war in the Italian area, Belgium only complies to give the aid on commodity, on they must remain neutral outwardly. ” 如果我们和法国人在意大利地区爆发战争,比利时只答应给予物资上的援助,明面上他们要保持中立。” The limited war responsibility, is in fact equivalent does not shoulder the war responsibility. 有限战争责任,实际上就相当于不承担战争责任。 Opens the European map to know, the French breaks into the best route in Central Europe, encroaches upon from Belgium. 打开欧洲地图就知道,法国人入侵中欧的最佳路线,就是从比利时借道。 The enemies got the gate, even did not have the joint defense treaty, Belgium still can only brace oneself to force up. 敌人都打上门了,就算是没有联合防御条约,比利时也只能硬着头皮顶上去。 Seemingly bright Austria benefitted somewhat suffered a loss, in fact this was the relatively fair treaty. 看似明奥地利有些吃亏了,实际上这才是相对公平的条约。 On the mass of Belgium, if really law Austria starts in the Italian area, they join not to play the role. 就比利时的体量,真要是法奥在意大利地区开打,他们加入进来也起不到作用。 A French auxiliary military force can beat them, when the time comes Austria benefits dispatches troops to rescue unavoidably. 法国人一支偏师就可以击败他们,到时候奥地利还是免不了出兵救援。 Wins over the maximum value of Belgium, did not count on that Belgium can erupt strong battle efficiency, the display major role. 拉拢比利时的最大价值,不是指望比利时能够爆发多强的战斗力,发挥多大的作用。 Mainly is the Austria army in the battlefield gets after the winning side, can from Belgium encroach upon to push directly into, wins the strategical initiative. 主要是奥军在战场上占据上风过后,可以从比利时借道长驱直入,获得战略上的主动权。 Not hesitant, Franz made decided: „ Accepts their requests, but must add on requirements of encroaching upon. 没怎么犹豫,弗朗茨就做出了决定:“答应他们的要求,不过要加上一条借道的要求。 If we and French erupt into the war, needs to encroach upon, they must allow to pass as the ally, and help maintains the good logistics. 如果我们和法国人爆发战争,需要借道的时候,作为盟友他们必须要放行,并且帮忙维护好后勤。 In return, after victory , the spoils of war have their one, France and Belgium have the contested territory, can entirely belong to them. ” 作为回报,战争胜利后战利品也有他们的一份,法比两国存在争议的领土,可以全部归他们所有。” The bounced check who will not open, promised in any case what is the French territory, Belgium, if had the appetite to deliver them to be good. 空头支票谁不会开,反正许诺出去的是法国领土,比利时要是有胃口就送他们好了。 Not is only Belgium, as long as in fact has the ally to join, Franz did not mind that they obtain land in France. 不光是比利时,实际上但凡是有盟友加入,弗朗茨都不介意他们在法兰西获得一块土地。 Treats the enemy, naturally must weakening ruthlessly. The Franco-Prussian War of original space and time, cannot receive the officer perfectly, has not weakened France in the true sense. 对待敌人嘛,自然是要狠狠的削弱。原时空的普法战争,没有能够完美收官,就是没有从真正意义上削弱法兰西。 Indemnity, cedes territory, can only make people feel the anxiety, could not send the life. 无论是赔款,还是割地,都只能让人感觉肉疼,根本就致不了命。 If Prussia kingdom at that time diplomacy again flexible a little, flickered Spain, Belgium, Switzerland, Italy and other countries, drew everyone to come up to divide the booty together, perhaps the result was entirely different. 要是普鲁士王国当时外交再灵活一点儿,忽悠住了西班牙、比利时、瑞士、意大利等国,拉着大家一起上去分赃,或许结局就大不相同了。 After all neighbors took the advantage, everyone was in the same front. As the victor, no one hopes to see the enemy revives again. 当所有的邻居都拿了好处后,大家处于了同一战线上。作为胜利者,没有人希望看到再次敌人复兴。 When the time comes, is everyone jointly suppresses France together. The Paris government even again fierce, cannot withstand so many enemies to look after together. 到时候,就是大家一起联合打压法兰西。巴黎政府就算是再厉害,也顶不住那么多敌人一起照顾。