St. Petersburg, since receiving UK , France the news that prepares to form an alliance, Alexander III cannot take a seat. 圣彼得堡,自从收到英法准备结盟的消息后,亚历山大三世就坐不住了。 He was counting on wins over the French, the strength of attack English collection France , Russia Austria three countries, without thinking of such quick situation turned. 原本他指望着拉拢法国人,集法俄奥三国之力打击英国人,没有想到这么快局势就发生了逆转。 Alexander III hopeful asking: „News determination?” 亚历山大三世满怀期待的问:“消息确定了么？” The heart deep place, he hopes that this is only a rumor. 内心深处,他非常希望这只是一个谣言。 Once UK , France form an alliance, Austria benefits the navy is incapable of contending with UK , France to collaborate, the Vienna government not possible refutes on the navies and both countries. 英法一旦结盟,奥地利海军是无力抗衡英法联手的,维也纳政府不可能在海军上和两国硬顶下去。 The current UK , France Austria three countries arms races, must end. 正在进行的英法奥三国军备竞赛,就要结束了。 Before the Vienna government, pledged that diverts the plan of English with the arms race, will naturally also become the bubble. 维也纳政府之前承诺用军备竞赛牵制英国人的计划,自然也会成为泡影。 Although from the beginning, Austria benefits has not prepared to honor an agreement, and prepared the excuse, but the Russia person does not know. 尽管一开始,奥地利就没准备履约,并且准备好了借口,但俄国人不知道。 After all the credibility of Vienna government is good enough, so many years without disobeying making, Alexander III absolutely would have no to suspect. 毕竟维也纳政府的信誉足够好,这么多年都没有违过约,亚历山大三世根本就没有怀疑过。 The arms race ended, Russian Empire must face is a wealth male potential big Britain. 军备竞赛结束,俄罗斯帝国要面对的就是一个财雄势大的不列颠。 The relations that because UK , France form an alliance, Austria will benefit also to be diverted by France, Russian Empire can only resist with the English alone. 因为英法结盟的关系,奥地利也会被法兰西牵制住,俄罗斯帝国只能和英国人单独对抗。 Foreign minister Austria Scar Jimenez replied: „ News has verified, British Foreign Secretary George half a month ago, has arrived in Paris early, both countries has been conducting to form an alliance the negotiations. 外交大臣奥斯卡・希门尼斯回答道:“消息已经核实了,英国外交大臣乔治早在半个月前,就已经抵达了巴黎,两国正在进行结盟谈判。 Ministry of Foreign Affairs has ordered embassy in Paris close attention negotiation process, so long as there is a news to pass on immediately. ” 外交部已经下令驻巴黎使馆密切关注谈判进程,只要有消息都会立即传回来。” Prevents, interfere and destroy? 阻止、干涉、破坏？ These do not exist, UK , France are one of the entire world most powerful countries, does not care about the attitude of Russia person. 这些都是不存在的,英法都是全世界最强大的国家之一,根本就不在乎俄国人的态度。 clear(ly) knows that the not possible matter, the Russia person naturally cannot bring contempt upon oneself. Now besides the close attention, the Tsar government can do are not many. 明知道不可能的事情,俄国人自然不会去自取其辱。除了密切关注之外,沙皇政府现在能做的并不多。 „Oh!” “唉！” After sighing, Alexander III asked slowly: „It is not able to prevent UK , France to form an alliance, we had lost the best fighter aircraft, you thought that Central Asia does capture must continue?” 叹了一口气后,亚历山大三世缓缓问道:“无法阻止英法结盟,我们已经丧失了最佳战机,你们觉得中亚攻略还要继续么？” Essentially, provoked the Central Asia war at this time, besides rescue ally Afghanistan, what were more was to pick up a bargain. 本质上,在这个时候挑起中亚战争,除了救援盟友阿富汗外,更多的还是为了捡便宜。 According to the plan, the Tsar government prepares to take back Central Asia during the UK , France Austria three countries arms races, thrusts Afghanistan the boundary line. 按照计划,沙皇政府准备在英法奥三国军备竞赛期间收回中亚地区,将边界线推入到阿富汗一带。 In the plan has not gone south India, this is not the Tsar government does not have the ambition to India, the key is the present Russian Empire did not have to attack and occupy the strength of India. 计划中没有南下印度,这不是沙皇政府对印度没有野心,关键是现在的俄罗斯帝国还不具备攻占印度的实力。 Secretary of war Para Dru Grunwald: „ Naturally must continue! Even if UK , France form an alliance, the French is impossible to dispatch troops to help the English go to war. 陆军大臣帕拉德鲁・瓦尔德:“当然要继续！就算是英法结盟,法国人也不可能出兵帮英国人打仗。 So long as our speeds are fast enough, before the English perishes Afghanistan attacked and captured Bracha Khanate, the initiative of war in our hands. 只要我们的速度够快,在英国人灭亡阿富汗之前攻克布拉哈汗国,战争的主动权就在我们手中了。 If missed this opportunity, making the English destroy completely Afghanistan, in the future we want to capture Central Asia, the price that needs to pay was bigger. 要是错过了这个机会,让英国人灭掉了阿富汗,未来我们想要夺取中亚,需要付出的代价就更大了。 We must consider the international influence. Just concluded the treaty of alliance with Afghanistan, immediately gave to sell them, how did this make our allies see? ” 况且,我们还要考虑国际影响。刚刚和阿富汗缔结盟约,马上就把他们给卖了,这让我们的盟友们怎么看？” Copes with British Army, the Russia military has self-confidently. 对付英国陆军,俄国军方还是有自信的。 At this time is different in those days, although Russian Empire loses twice seriously in the Prussia war, but the Russia person also made an elite army. 今时不同往日,虽然俄罗斯帝国在两次普俄战争中损失惨重,但是俄国人也打出了一支精锐部队。 What is most essential is the British government is very difficult to set firm resolve- invests 1 million principal force and Russian Empire competes for Central Asia. 最关键的是英国政府很难下定决心-投入百万主力部队和俄罗斯帝国争夺中亚。 Is only Indian colonizing army, that is to make the Russian force hang to hit completely. Running free weaponry that this type does not have the pressure, all along is the Russia military most likes. 仅仅只是印度殖民军,那完全就是让俄军吊打。这种没压力的顺风仗,一贯都是俄国军方最喜欢的。 Alexander III nods, the international reputation of Russian Empire is very bad, does not arrive as a last resort, he has not wanted to conduct the back to betray the infamy of ally. 亚历山大三世点了点头,俄罗斯帝国的国际声誉已经很糟糕了,非到万不得已,他还不想背上出卖盟友的骂名。 Do not look that the later generation Russia person betrays the ally frequently, but this year Tsar government rarely betrays the ally, recently dozens years had not at least appeared. 别看后世俄国人经常出卖盟友,但是这年头沙皇政府还是很少出卖盟友的,至少最近几十年没有出现过。 Naturally, the most primary factor betrays the income of ally is too few, must pay the price is also high, generally speaking is not worthwhile. 当然,最主要的因素还是出卖盟友的收益太少,要付出代价又太高,总体来说不合算。 This time is no exception, betraying Afghanistan is easy, the idea that but Austria benefits, they actually have to have scruples. 这次也不例外,出卖阿富汗容易,但是奥地利的想法,他们却不得不顾忌。 Thought back on the past years, Alexander II for the Danish ally, made war with Prussian. 遥想当年,亚历山大二世可是为了丹麦盟友,和普鲁士人开战的。 Although loses seriously, but also was the Tsar government won the reputation. Built the solid foundation for extension of suddenly Austria Union, at least the Tsar government thinks. 虽然损失惨重,但也为沙皇政府赢得了声誉。为俄奥同盟的延续打下了坚实基础,至少沙皇政府是这么认为的。 After all suddenly Austria Union to the early 90's, cannot take away too many benefits to the Austria advantage, is the Tsar government benefits on the contrary. 毕竟俄奥同盟到了九十年代初,已经不能给奥地利带去太多的利益了,反倒是沙皇政府从中获益匪浅。 Sees Tsar to have an intent to move, anti-war First Lord of the Treasury Alisher Gurov quickly opposes saying: „ Marquis, you looked that the issue was too one-sided. 见沙皇有所意动,反战的财政大臣阿利舍尔・古洛夫急忙反对道:“侯爵,你看问题太片面了。 The Central Asia vast in territory, that three Central Asia Khanate have a grudge with us, is impossible to surrender. 中亚地域辽阔,那三个中亚汗国都和我们有仇,根本就不可能投降。 Even our armies progress in the battlefield again smoothly, is impossible to still Central Asia in just several months. 就算我们的军队在战场上进展再顺利,也不可能在短短几个月时间内平定中亚。 However the Kingdom of Afghanistan is different, the English only needs the forces of two groups, can make the Afghan government compromise. 但是阿富汗王国不一样,英国人只需要两个团的兵力,就能够令阿富汗政府妥协。 The terrain of Afghan area as we all know, if the English first we one step controls the Afghan area, the following war was not easy to hit. 阿富汗地区的地形大家都知道,如果英国人先我们一步控制阿富汗地区,后面的战争就不好打了。 So long as is unable to end the war in a short time, finally will evolve a battle of attrition. The English back on India, having is the manpower and financial resource and we consumes. 只要短时间内无法结束战争,最后就会演变成一场消耗战。英国人背靠印度,有得是人力、财力和我们耗下去。 In recent years, the finance of empire, although has changed for the better, but this is only temporary. 最近几年,帝国的财政虽然有所好转,但这只是暂时的。 The agricultural crisis is approaching, according to the acquired intelligence analysis, Ministry of Finance estimated that this year's grain export income will reduce 11, next year reduces will be more. 农业危机正在逼近,根据收集到的情报分析,财政部估计今年的粮食出口收益将减少11,明年减少的还会更多。 The English did not have the arms race to implicate, the empire could not put together them in the financial resource. Insisting that conducts this watches war not to the end, the final result can only be indebted. 英国人没有了军备竞赛拖累,帝国在财力上是拼不过他们的。坚持进行这场看不到头的战争,最后的结果只能是债台高筑。 Considering the complex international situation, Ministry of Finance suggests solves Central Asia conflict at present with the diplomatic means that maintains the present situation as far as possible. ” 鉴于目前复杂的国际局势,财政部建议用外交手段解决中亚冲突,尽量维持现状。” Without the means that the Central Asia three Khanate had attached to the Tsar government. But the appetite of Russia person is too big, must eat them. In the first Prussia war, was given the instigation by the English. 没有办法,中亚三汗国曾经是依附过沙皇政府的。只不过俄国人的胃口太大,要吃掉他们。在第一次普俄战争中,就被英国人给策反了。 Some things cannot turn head, since were the rebel, that can only die to knock with the Russia person. 有些事情是回不了头的,既然做了叛徒,那就只能和俄国人死磕到底了。 This means that Central Asia not possible war, in addition the English supports in the back, the possibility that the war continues is big. 这就意味着中亚地区不可能一战而下,加上英国人在背后支持,战争持续下去的可能性非常大。 In comparison, the Afghan government has not been favored. -and-a-half do slavery semi-feudal agricultural country, and English hit with what? 相比之下,阿富汗政府就没不被人看好了。一个半奴隶制半封建的农业国,拿什么和英国人打？ Using the technique of that John Bull habitually uses, is the diplomacy and military employs two methods to achieve one goal, the possibility that forces the Afghan government compromise is big. 以约翰牛惯用的手法,都是外交和军事双管齐下,逼迫阿富汗政府妥协的可能性非常大。 Similar successful case are too many. 类似的成功案例已经太多了。 In fact, the original space and time Afghan government also chose the compromise, the appetite of English is too just big, prepares one to swallow them. 事实上,原时空阿富汗政府也是选择了妥协的,只不过英国人的胃口太大,准备一口把他们吞下。 Nothing accident/surprise, British armed forces very relaxed defeated the Afghan government. Then the surprise, without Afghanistan of government is more fearful. 没有任何意外,英军非常轻松的就打垮了阿富汗政府。然后才意外发现,没有政府的阿富汗更可怕。 This point, later generation US , Soviet have also confirmed personally. Defeating Afghanistan is simple, what troubled rules Afghanistan. 这一点,后世美苏也亲自验证过。打败阿富汗非常简单,麻烦的是统治阿富汗。 Now has not confirmed that what everyone sees is only the power of Afghan government, two British armed forces regular groups have had more than enough to spare. 现在还没有验证过,大家看到的只是阿富汗政府的力量,两个英军正规团已经是绰绰有余。 The military issue, is the small issue. So long as rich, the Tsar government is fearless. 军事的问题,还是小问题。只要有钱,沙皇政府就无所畏惧。 Opens the history book to discover, the financial resource are the Russian Empire biggest weak area, besides some special period, the Russia government has not been short of money. 翻开历史书就会发现,财力是俄罗斯帝国最大的短板,除了某一个特殊时期外,俄国政府就没有不缺钱的时候。 Because the agricultural tax allows to pay the relations of material object, the grain export becomes a Tsar government most important income, occupied the majority of export trade total amount. 因为农业税允许缴纳实物的关系,粮食出口就成为了沙皇政府最重要的一笔收入,占据了出口贸易总额的一多半。 This agricultural crisis, is the eldest child, the second child and third child is gambling, the fourth child as Europe's largest unprocessed food grains exporter, the Russia person received the unexpected misfortune completely. 这次农业危机,就是老大、老二、老三在博弈,作为欧洲第一大原粮出口国的老四,俄国人完全是受了无妄之灾。 The grain export income reduces, was not the total grain output of saying reduced, but was the international grain price falls. 粮食出口收益减少,并不是说出口的粮食总量减少了,而是国际粮食价格下跌了。 No matter how said, the grain of English self sufficient, the ranch project of French, is some achievements. 不管怎么说,英国人的粮食自足计划、法国人的大农场计划,还是有一些成果的。 The total grain output that although both countries import every year only dropped the insignificant 1-2 percentage points, but responded that in the international grain sales market was still terrorist. 虽然两国每年进口的粮食总量只下降了微不足道的1-2百分点,但反应到国际粮食销售市场上仍然是恐怖的。 The market whole in the supply in excess of demand, the unprocessed food grains bargain price naturally drops sharply. The grain price fell, the wallet of Tsar government, naturally also can only follow injured. 市场整体处于供大于求,原粮交易价格自然是大跌。粮价跌了,沙皇政府的钱包,自然也只能跟着受伤了。 Not having money is not able to go to war, under this situation, runs the First Lord of the Treasury of government purse, becomes in the Russia government passively the leader of anti-war faction. 没钱是打不起仗的,在这种背景下,掌管政府钱袋子的财政大臣,被动成为了俄国政府中反战派的领袖。 Secretary of war Para Dru Grunwald remains unmoved saying: „ Government finance deteriorates, that must conduct this war. 陆军大臣帕拉德鲁・瓦尔德不为所动道:“政府财政恶化,那就更要进行这场战争了。 So long as our plans are smooth, first captures Central Asia, in the future will attack and occupy India again, all issues were easily solved. 只要我们的计划顺利,先夺取中亚,未来再攻占印度,所有的问题都迎刃而解了。 Launches this war, the issue that government underfinanced, is only temporary, Ministry of Finance can find the way to raise. 发动这场战争,政府财力不足的问题,只是暂时性的,财政部可以想办法去筹措。 If not conduct this war, we cannot break out of the financial trouble forever. ” 要是不进行这场战争,我们永远都摆脱不了财政困境。” Does not have the problem, the English every year the wealth of India plundering, is higher than the financial revenue of Tsar government. 没有毛病,英国人每年从印度掠夺的财富,都比沙皇政府的财政收入高。 If really captured India, the financial trouble that the Tsar government faces, truly can be easily solved. 真要是夺取了印度,沙皇政府面临的财政困境,确实可以迎刃而解。 Perhaps suffered the hardship in westbound, no one wants to come again for the second time, the Russia military basically went south the supporter in India. 或许是在西进中吃到了苦头,谁也不想再来第二次了,俄国军方基本上都南下印度的支持者。 This viewpoint, many supporters in the Tsar government. 这一观点,在沙皇政府中也不乏支持者。 After all carries out to go south to capture the strategy of India, enemy who must face only then English ; But the enemy who the strategy of westbound Europe, must face is actually all European countries. 毕竟执行南下夺取印度的战略,要面对的敌人只有英国人一家;而西进欧洲的战略,要面对的敌人却是所有欧洲国家。 To English, even if were defeated, price that they need to pay, is still limited. 对上英国人,就算是失败了,他们需要付出的代价,也非常有限。 How the English open again hang, is impossible to enter Siberia along Central Asia, they have are the opportunity stage a comeback. 英国人再怎么开挂,不可能一路沿着中亚打进西伯利亚,他们有得是机会卷土重来。 Westbound European was different, if the operate miss, encountered ganging up on various European countries, that consequence was much more serious. 西进欧陆就不一样了,万一操作失误,遭到了欧洲各国的群殴,那后果就严重得多了。 Loses lightly seriously, drops a vitality to damage severely and be paralyzed, heavy also has the possibility direct perishing country. 轻则损失惨重,落下个元气大伤、半身不遂,重则还有可能直接亡国。 From this perspective, the Prussia war is meaningful to the European world. Hit to awake the greedy polar bear, made the brilliant contribution to the peace and stability of European world. 从这方面来说,普俄战争对欧洲世界是有意义的。打醒了贪婪的北极熊,为欧洲世界的和平与稳定做出了杰出贡献。 ...... ……