Misfortune never come singly. 一波未平,一波又起。 When the UK , France Austria three countries arms races advance to the high tide, Central Asia begins the wind and cloud. 在英法奥三国军备竞赛迈向高潮的时候,中亚又再起风云。 On July 11 , 1887, Britain's Governor Li Dun in India informed the Afghan government suddenly, must send the delegation to visit Bush. 1887年7月11日,不列颠驻印度总督李顿突然通知阿富汗政府,要派代表团造访喀布什。 The yellow weasel pays new year's call to the chicken, naturally is the anxious good intention. 黄鼠狼给鸡拜年,自然是不安好心。 Although the distance previous UK , Afghanistan war had passed many years, but English's colonizing to Afghanistan had not stopped, between both countries always does not have the so-called friendship. 虽然距离上一次英阿战争已经过去了很多年,但是英国人对阿富汗的殖民活动一直都没有停止,两国之间从来都不存在所谓的友谊。 Afghan Folk Anti-UK sentiment has been strong, considering the security of delegation is unable to safeguard, as well as Russia person's response. 阿富汗民间反英情绪一直都非常严重,考虑到代表团的安全无法保障,以及俄国人的反应。 For does not annoy troublesome, Abdur Rahman Khan Emile turned down English's request. 为了不惹麻烦,阿布杜尔・拉赫曼汗-埃米尔婉拒了英国人的要求。 However Governor Li Dun is actually not the person of admitting defeat, the statement requirements again and again, have greatly do not comply on the meaning of vowing not to rest. 不过李顿总督却不是认输的人,三番五次的提出要求,大有不答应就誓不罢休的意思。 The entanglement of stubborn English, September time, Emile was forced to agree to English's request. 拗不过英国人的纠缠,9月份的时候,埃米尔被迫同意了英国人的要求。 The English went, the Russia person naturally cannot look that own little brother was bullied, the Tsar government also sent out the delegation. 英国人去了,俄国人自然也不能看着自己的小弟受欺负,紧接着沙皇政府也派出了代表团。 Behind had anything, Franz is not clear, UK and Russia's competition regarding Afghanistan launched in any case. 后面发生了什么,弗朗茨就不清楚了,反正英俄两国围绕着阿富汗的争夺展开了。 Franz asked: „How does the Russia person want us to support?” 弗朗茨问道:“俄国人想要我们怎么支持？” Austria benefits and Afghanistan is separated by over a thousand li (0.5 km), the middle is also away from a Achaemenid Empire. 奥地利和阿富汗相隔上千里,中间还隔着一个波斯帝国。 The Vienna government does not like putting out a hand randomly, this does not have any benefit, the place that also cannot suffice, naturally cannot have the influence that Austria benefits. 维也纳政府不喜欢乱伸手,这种没有任何利益,又够不到的地方,自然不会有奥地利的势力。 In the Afghan area, truly has the right to speak, only then British and Russian two. 在阿富汗地区,真正拥有发言权的,就只有英俄两家。 Under this background, the Tsar government wants to obtain Austria to benefit the support, how to see does not feel right. 这种背景下,沙皇政府想要获得奥地利支持,怎么看都觉得不对劲。 Foreign minister Wessenberg replied: „The Russia person hopes that we can help divert the attention of English, best to look for a matter to do to the British government.” 外交大臣韦森贝格回答道:“俄国人希望我们能够帮忙分散英国人的注意力,最好是能够给英国政府找点儿事做。” Recalls original space and time UK and Russia's competition about Afghan area carefully, the Franz discovery is not finally right, the second UK , Afghanistan war did not have. 仔细回忆原时空英俄两国关于阿富汗地区的争夺,弗朗茨终于发现不对劲,第二次英阿战争没了。 Realized that to later, Franz does not hint the people to rest for the time being, memoirs that quickly at the beginning of goes to the secret room to take out passes through writes down, consulted. 意识到不对之后,弗朗茨示意众人暂且休息,急忙前往密室中取出穿越之初写下的回忆录,查阅了起来。 Quick he stroked to be clear about the cause and effect, by the influence of Prussia war, a few years ago the Russia person could not be attended to Central Asia expands. 很快他就捋清楚了前因后果,受普俄战争的影响,前些年俄国人顾不上向中亚地区扩张。 Without the threat of Russia person, in addition the loss of First Anglo-Afghan War is serious, the desire of English's to capturing Afghan area is not naturally intense. 没有俄国人的威胁,加上第一次英阿战争的损失惨重,英国人对夺取阿富汗地区的欲望自然不强烈。 Right, British Austria both countries to compete for South Africa erupt „British arrange/cloth war”, plays the crucial role. 对了,英奥两国为了争夺南非爆发的“英布战争”,也起到了关键性的作用。 Spent over a hundred million pounds, the result of finally having achieved nothing, directly affected the colonial policy of British government. 花费了上亿英镑,最后一无所获的结局,直接影响到了英国政府的殖民政策。 Under various factors, without Afghanistan of many benefits, very lucky escaping. 在多方面因素之下,没有多少利益的阿富汗,非常侥幸的逃过一劫。 Now the Russia person stages a comeback, goal surrender Central Asia that will expand again, the small country of Afghan this pro- very soon was an eyesore very much. 现在俄国人卷土重来,再次将扩张的目标投降中亚地区,阿富汗这个亲俄的小国就很碍眼了。 Returned the conference room, Franz carried the teacup, after drinking one, said slowly: „You felt how we do find the way to provoke the second UK , Afghanistan war?” 重新回到了会议室,弗朗茨端起茶杯,喝上了一口后,才缓缓说道:“你们觉得,我们想办法挑起第二次英阿战争怎么样？” The sudden style reversal, the people you have a look at me, I have a look at you, is the expression that a face compels ignorant, does not know in completely the Emperor bottle gourd sells is what medicine. 突如其来的画风逆转,众人你看看我,我看看你,皆是一脸懵逼的表情,完全不知道皇帝的葫芦里卖得是什么药。 Sees the people not to respond, Franz told to the aide: „Takes the Central Asia map to come.” 见众人没有反应过来,弗朗茨对侍从吩咐道:“取中亚地图过来。” ...... …… „ You look here Afghanistan, north to Central Asia Khanate, south to British India, east is the Far East empire, west is Achaemenid Empire, can say the heart of Asia. “你们看这里阿富汗,北接中亚汗国,南临英属印度,以东是远东帝国,以西是波斯帝国,可以说亚洲的心脏。 Who grasped here, who grasped to the strategic initiative of Central Asia, West Asia and South Asia, to UK and Russia very important. 谁掌握了这里,谁就掌握了对中亚、西亚、南亚的战略主动权,对英俄两国都非常的重要。 A few years ago the Russia person was busy with the European issue, had no time to care about Central Asia, the English naturally can unhurriedly slowly infiltrated to the Afghan area. 前些年俄国人忙于欧洲问题,无暇顾及中亚地区,英国人自然可以不慌不忙的慢慢向阿富汗地区渗透。 Now the Russia person turns around, the expansion direction will place Central Asia again, the Afghanistan of pro- very soon made the English feel embarrassed. 现在俄国人掉头,重新将扩张方向放在了中亚,亲俄的阿富汗就令英国人为难了。 If the Russia person displays oversteps the limit some, after the diplomacy wins over Afghanistan is defeated, you thought that the English will feel relieved? ” 如果俄国人表现的出格一些,外交拉拢阿富汗失败后,你们觉得英国人会放心么？” Prime Minister Carl: „ Your majesty, making the Russia person stimulate the English is not difficult, the destruction English wins over the plan of Afghanistan is not difficult. 卡尔首相:“陛下,让俄国人刺激英国人不难,破坏英国人拉拢阿富汗的计划也不难。 Now is in the critical moment of arms race, the Afghan area is important, cannot compare the hegemonist status of royal navy to be important. 只是现在正处于军备竞赛的关键时刻,阿富汗地区再重要,也比不上皇家海军的霸权地位重要。 Even the feelings of British government are profound, before the arms race had not ended, they will not provoke the second UK , Afghanistan war. ” 就算是英国政府的感触再深,在军备竞赛没有结束之前,他们也不会挑起第二次英阿战争。” This is the most realistic issue, facing the law Austria two Challenger, how the English heart to be again big, must divide the weight anxiously slow. 这是最现实的问题,面对法奥两个挑战者,英国人再怎么心大,也要分轻重急缓。 Franz nods: „ Good! Normally, the English will not initiate the second War in Afghanistan in the arms race. 弗朗茨点了点头:“不错！正常情况下,英国人是不会在军备竞赛中发起第二次阿富汗战争的。 I had not counted on that the war will break out immediately, will delay the time in the future, similarly can also serve the purpose. 我也没有指望战争会立即爆发,把时间往后拖一拖,同样也可以达到目的。 Now we must do provides encouragement to the Russia person, tells Tsar government armament sports meeting to continue for several years the time, making them feel relieved bold and English resists. 现在我们要做的就是给俄国人加油打气,告诉沙皇政府这场军备竞赛会持续数年时间,让他们放心大胆的和英国人对抗。 When necessary, Ministry of Foreign Affairs can also help the Afghan government strengthen confidence directly, for example: Supports some guns and ammunitions. 必要的时候,外交部还可以直接帮阿富汗政府坚定信心,比如说:赞助一部分枪支弹药。 Two big powers stand in them behind, should be able to fool the person. Really is not good, simply the envoy who sends people to get rid of the English, intensifies the both sides contradictions. ” 两个列强站在他们身后,应该能够唬住人了。实在是不行,干脆派人干掉英国人的使节,激化双方矛盾。” The bottom line and moral integrity anything, can abandon at crucial moments. Method Franz that in order to cause the contradiction, even assassinates wants to come out. 底线、节操什么的,在关键时刻都可以抛弃。为了制造矛盾,连刺杀的方法弗朗茨都想出来了。 Naturally, the assassination turns over to the assassination, this pot throws off. Either lets on Afghani, either makes the Russia person carry, in any case and Austria advantage are not related. 当然了,刺杀归刺杀,这口锅还是甩掉的。要么让阿富汗人自己上,要么让俄国人来背,反正都和奥地利没有关系。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Your majesty, Afghanistan has been encircled by the English now in fact, once the war breaks out, we, the Russia people are beyond control. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“陛下,现在阿富汗实质上已经被英国人四面包围了,一旦战争爆发,无论是我们,还是俄国人都鞭长莫及。 Perhaps without our support, only by the strength of Afghanistan, how long could not insist. 没有我们的支持,仅凭阿富汗自身的力量,恐怕坚持不了多久。 If made the English occupy the Afghan area, the Russia person went south to go south again, was not the present is so simple. ” 如果让英国人占据了阿富汗地区,俄国人南下再想要南下,就不是现在这么简单了。” Has to acknowledge, the international situation that now Afghanistan faces is really bad. 不得不承认,现在阿富汗面临的国际局势真的非常糟糕。 The south borders on with the English directly ; The northern Central Asia Khanate is the little brother of English ; The western Achaemenid Empire is also pro- brave, or is forced pro- brave ; The east side is temporarily safe, but this line is also difficult to walk. 南部直接和英国人接壤;北部的中亚汗国是英国人的小弟;西部的波斯帝国也是亲英的,或者说是被迫亲英的;东边暂时还算安全,只不过这条线也不好走。 Once the war breaks out, Afghanistan will fall into the position that is isolated and cuts off from help immediately, even if there is an international aid, is still very difficult to transport. 一旦战争爆发,阿富汗马上就会陷入孤立无援的境地,就算是有国际援助,也很难运进去。 As an agricultural country, lost aid internationally, must resist with the English, the odds of success was really uncertain. 作为一个农业国,丧失了国际上的援助,要和英国人对抗,胜算实在是太渺茫了。 The strategic location of Afghanistan is also important, once made the English occupy here to operate, by the easily defensible terrain, Russia wanted to go south to be difficult again. 偏偏阿富汗的战略位置又非常重要,一旦让英国人占据了这里经营了起来,凭借易守难攻的地形,俄国再想要南下就难了。 Even the English can also in turn, coordinate several little brothers in Central Asia, puts to trouble to the Tsar government. 甚至英国人还可以反过来,策应中亚的几个小弟,给沙皇政府添麻烦。 Franz shakes the head: „ So long as we want to provide the support to them, can certainly deliver. 弗朗茨摇了摇头:“只要我们想给他们提供支持,就一定能够送进去。 At the worst sends the airship to them the airdropping freight, if the range is insufficient, returns directly in Persian landing and that's the end. 大不了派飞艇给他们空投物资,要是航程不够,返回的时候直接在波斯降落就是了。 Even the Persian government favors the English again, on this issue, they still can only pretend anything not to see. 就算是波斯政府再倾向于英国人,在这个问题上,他们也只能装作什么也没看见。 Do not despise Afghanistan, so long as has enough weapon, they can make the English badly battered, in a short time definitely could not finish. 不要小看阿富汗,只要拥有足够的武器,他们就能让英国人焦头烂额,短期内肯定是结束不了的。 Even if the situation really loses control, the English really occupied Afghanistan, we can still support Russia to hit along Central Asia. 即便是局势真的失控,英国人真的占据了阿富汗,我们也可以支持俄国沿着中亚一路打过去。 So long as does not give the English to operate the time of place, I believe that the Russia person is capable of beating the English. ” 只要不给英国人经营地方的时间,我相信俄国人还是有能力击败英国人的。” This is the real soul talk, Franz is really confident to Afghanistan, the empire cemetery does not have unearned reputation. 这是真心话,弗朗茨真的对阿富汗有信心,帝国坟场可不是浪得虚名。 Even if cannot win, the Afghan People still drag to win. The city lost also had the villages, the villages loses also had the mountain forest. 就算是打不赢,阿富汗民众也拖得赢。城市丢了还有乡镇,乡镇丢了还有山林。 The person is also living in any case, the fight continues. 反正人还活着,就战斗不止。 Original space and time several big empires in Afghan total defeat, burnt out by the serious military expenses. 原时空几大帝国先后在阿富汗折戟沉沙,都是被沉重的军事开销拖垮的。 Only if the English slaughters, comes up to conduct genocide, otherwise is very difficult to win. 除非英国人大开杀戒,一上来就进行种族灭绝,要不然很难获得胜利。 In comparison, the confidence also not foot of Franz to Russia person. The primary cause is the recent dozens years of three wars, hurt the vitality of Russian Empire. 相比之下,弗朗茨对俄国人的信心还不怎么足。主要原因是最近几十年的三场大战,伤到了俄罗斯帝国的元气。 If nothing else, looks at population Russian Empire only few compared with the history same time 30 million, the young population proportion at least lowers five percentage points compared with the history same time. 别的不说,单看人口俄罗斯帝国就比历史同期少三千万,青壮人口比例比历史同期至少低五个百分点。 Seemingly powerful Russian Empire, in fact is at the weakest condition, in a short time headstrong wave also good, the protracted war really cannot withstand. 看似强大的俄罗斯帝国,实际上正处于最虚弱的状态,短时间内莽一波还行,持久战真的顶不住。 If the English really do not count the cost, with A San and Russia person to putting together the gray draft animal, the Tsar government also really not necessarily can withstand. 英国人真要是不计成本,拿阿三和俄国人对拼灰色牲口,沙皇政府还真不一定顶得住。 Franz does not have the confidence to the Russia person, was not equal to that others did not have the confidence to the Russia person, the cabinet by the persuasive power. 弗朗茨对俄国人没有信心,不等于其他人对俄国人也没信心,内阁被说服力了。