Looks that the Russia person got the winning side in the battlefield, has the Berlin government of preparation also to calm down early, the following donor first could not sit still. 看着俄国人在战场上占据了上风,早有准备的柏林政府还能够沉住气,后面的金主先坐不住了。 „What owes money is Sir”. These words used exaggeratingly here, perhaps a little. But essentially has not changed, once federation defeats, the creditors were very difficult to arrive at money. “欠钱的是大爷”。这句话用在这里,或许夸张了一点儿。可本质上没有变,一旦普波联邦战败,债主们就很难要到钱了。 The Berlin government promises beforehand „collateral”, but must look that the Russia person is willing to recognize. 柏林政府事先许诺出来的“抵押品”,还要看俄国人愿不愿意认。 According to the Tsar government's consistent conduct attitude, disguises the possibility that cannot see Gundam/reaches as high as 80%, remaining 20% saw, will not acknowledge. 按照沙皇政府一贯的行事作风,假装看不见的可能性高达百分之八十,剩下的百分之二十是看见了,也不会承认。 In order to win this battlefield, the Berlin government did utmost is offering loans, various secret approximately do not know that signed many. 为了赢得这场战场,柏林政府是竭尽全力在举债,各种秘约不知道签订了多少。 If federation were finished, does not know the financial institution that many loans the debt will follow to be finished. The financial group wants to shift loses, a financial crisis is essential. 如果普波联邦完蛋,不知道有多少借出债务的金融机构会跟着完蛋。财团想要转移损失,一场金融危机是必不可少的。 Not is only the financial institution is hapless, entity industry also very many. Many enterprises seem like that makes the war wealth greatly, in fact was the profit in account, tail fell behind a big pile. 不光是金融机构要倒霉,实体产业也好不了多少。很多企业看似大发战争财,实际上很多都是账面上的盈利,尾款拖欠了一大堆。 Without the means that falling behind tail is in the commercial circulation the biggest stubborn illness, almost passed through each link of capitalist market economy. This is all production class enterprises, difficult problem that must face. 没办法,拖欠尾款是商业流通中最大的顽疾,几乎贯穿了资本主义市场经济的每一个环节。这是所有生产类企业,都要面临的难题。 No one knows how long this war must continue, no one knows that this war will spend how much money. In order to support a longer time, the Berlin government naturally must as far as possible little spent. 没有人知道这场战争要持续多久,更没有人知道这场战争会花多少钱。为了支撑更长的时间,柏林政府自然要尽可能的少花钱了。 „Debt” many have not related, the interest might also as well high, that is the happy worry. Only then won this war, they have necessity that considers these issues. “欠债”多没关系,利息高也无妨,那都是幸福的烦恼。只有赢得了这场战争,他们才有考虑这些问题的必要。 After the Prussia war breaks out, European all strategic resources export prices rise significantly. 普俄战争爆发后,欧洲所有的战略物资出口价格都大幅度上涨。 In name, enjoys dividend that this wave of commodity price rose, the enterprise made the large amount of profit ; In fact the Berlin government paid some funds, even only paid the advance payment, the remaining production costs need the capitalist to pay in advance. 名义上,享受到了这波商品价格上涨的红利,企业都赚取了巨额的利润;实际上柏林政府只是支付了部分款项,很多甚至只付了定金,剩下的生产成本都需要资本家先行垫付。 The Berlin government is rich, in the bank account also lay down many, well-informed people heard. 柏林政府是有钱的,银行账户里面还躺了不少,消息灵通的人都有所耳闻。 But purchases the commodity in mortgage, usually purchase next batch of cargos time, settled account on a lotpayment. 只不过采购物资的都在押款,通常采购下一批货物的时候,才结清上一批货款。 Looks in the high profit, the capitalists naturally cannot reject. Many economic strength weak enterprises to pay the fund, have to the bank loan. 看在高额的利润上,资本家们自然不会拒绝。很多经济实力薄弱企业为了垫付款项,不得不向银行贷款。 To a certain extent, federation had kidnapped the British economy through the debt, both sides are suffer if either one suffers. 某种程度上来说,普波联邦已经通过债务绑架了英国经济,双方是一损俱损。 „Risk” everyone naturally knows, but cannot support the benefit to be rich. In addition federation has won a Prussia war, the newspaper of London disparages the Russia person unceasingly, strengthened everyone's belief imperceptibly. “风险”大家自然知道,可是架不住利益丰厚。再加上普波联邦已经赢过一次普俄战争了,伦敦的报纸又不断贬低俄国人,无形中增加了大家的信心。 All these changed after Collins campaign, everyone discovered suddenly: „Russian Empire that European military police, federation as if must unable to wrap up”. 这一切在斯摩林斯克战役后发生了变化,大家猛然间发现:“俄罗斯帝国还是那个欧陆宪兵,普波联邦似乎要兜不住了”。 This is not good, has invested was so big, how cannot make federation be finished again! If really the Berlin government were finished, everyone will also follow unlucky. 这可不行,都已经投入这么大了,再怎么样也不能让普波联邦完蛋！真要是柏林政府完蛋,大家也会跟着倒霉。 The capitalists do not think that federation was finished, the London government does not want to see that similarly federation was finished. Supported a board game piece with great difficulty, did not have, no one is willing to see. 资本家们不想普波联邦完蛋,伦敦政府同样不想看到普波联邦完蛋。好不容易扶持了一颗棋子,就这么没了,谁也不愿意看到。 Suddenly the pressure of Prime Minister Benjamin increases, the domestic interest group requests the government to take action one after another, avoids the worst situation happening. 一时间本杰明首相的压力大增,国内的利益集团纷纷要求政府采取行动,避免最糟糕的情况发生。 Put down the document in hand, Benjamin's unbelievable asking: „Had situation to this situation, Britain been given kidnapping by the Prussia barbarian seriously unexpectedly?” 放下了手中的文件,本杰明难以置信的问道:“情况已经严重到了这个地步,不列颠居然被普鲁士蛮子给绑架了？” In foreheads the sentiment of thick despising, showed sufficiently his mood bad, brave relates has been very good, in the normal condition he will not use „barbarian” this insulting glossary. 眉宇间浓浓的鄙视之情,足以证明他的心情有多糟糕,英普关系一直都很不错,正常情况下他是不会用“蛮子”这种侮辱性的词汇。 First Lord of the Treasury Garfield: „ Situation is worse than this. I suspected federation won this war even, they not necessarily are capable of repaying these debts. 财政大臣加菲尔德:“情况比这还要糟糕。我怀疑普波联邦即便是赢得了这场战争,他们未必有能力偿还这些债务。 Fallen behind commodity tail does not raise for the time being, they also paid part of money, so long as the enterprise is not too greedy, basically also suffices the production cost, even if will compensate will not compensate many. 拖欠的物资尾款暂且不提,他们好歹也付了一部分钱,只要企业不是太贪心,基本上也够生产成本,就算是赔也不会赔多少。 What troubled is the loan and bond, once federation defeats, almost all collateral have not safeguarded. 麻烦的是贷款和债券,一旦普波联邦战败,几乎所有的抵押品都没有保障。 Gold that they take, but also insufficiently repays 1/10 debts. Even if the overseas assets of all federation people, cannot fill up this hole in addition. 他们拿出来的黄金,还不够偿还十分之一的债务。就算加上所有普波联邦民众的海外资产,也填不满这个窟窿。 In the situation of incomplete statistics, we even also discovered mortgages the situation of lending repeatedly, the loan agreement that particularly the Berlin government in secret and financial institution signs, mortgages the situation to be serious repeatedly. 在不完全统计的情况下,我们甚至还发现了多次抵押借贷的情况,尤其是柏林政府私下里和金融机构签订的借款协议,多次抵押情况非常严重。 Federation owes our debt, by far not only on outwardly these 180 million pounds, the ground truth perhaps is 200 million, perhaps is 300 million, no one knows except for the Berlin government. ” 普波联邦欠我们的债务,远远不只明面上这1.8亿英镑,真实数据或许是2亿、又或许是3亿,除了柏林政府没有人知道。” Nowadays Britain's monetary control is lax, the financial institution lends the loan in secret, the London government cannot manage. 这年头不列颠的金融管制不严,金融机构私下里发放贷款,伦敦政府根本就管不着。 The bond sale was more chaotic, on reported 1 million outwardly, in fact distributed 35 million is the common things. 债券销售就更混乱了,明面上报备一百万,实际上发行三五百万都是常有的事情。 Depends entirely on the artificial supervision age in this, must count these data is too difficult accurately, so long as does not have the problem, the British government will not inquire. 在这个全靠人工监督年代,要准确统计这些数据太难了,只要不出现问题,英国政府根本就不会过问。 If really has problems, the British government could not manage. The issue on finance, the small issue will not surface, once the major problem exposes the organization distance to go bankrupt is not far. 真要是出了问题,英国政府也管不着了。金融上的问题,小问题根本就不会暴露出来,大问题一旦暴露机构距离破产也不远了。 „Bankruptcy” is shirks the responsibility the best sharp weapon, the government are most also catches several scapegoats, more often the scapegoats could not even find. “破产”是逃避责任的最佳利器,政府最多也就抓几个替罪羊,更多的时候连替罪羊都找不到。 The specific debt digit of Berlin government, Prime Minister Benjamin has been disinclined to go into seriously, this is not meaningful. 柏林政府的具体债务数字,本杰明首相已经懒得深究了,这没有任何意义。 From the investment, this investment is the trash asset, the prompt stop-loss is the best choice. 从投资上来说,这笔投资已经是垃圾资产,及时止损是最好的选择。 Very regrettable, this is the not possible matter. Everyone is not willing to notice that own money throws away carelessly, the London government must be responsible for settling. 很遗憾,这是不可能的事情。所有人都不愿意看到自己的钱打水漂,伦敦政府必须要负责善后。 Original space and time UK , France use this move successfully drew in the chariot the American, although now has not arrived that step, makes Prime Minister Benjamin extremely have a headache. 原时空英法就用这一招成功的把美国人拉上了战车,现在虽然没有到那一步,还是让本杰明首相万分头疼。 „Damn barbarian, how suddenly became such sinister!” Prime Minister Benjamin complained “该死的蛮子,怎么突然变得这么阴险了！”本杰明首相抱怨道 „It is not right, these situations aim at us, do all countries have?” “不对,这些情况只是针对我们,还是所有的国家都有？” This issue is essential, if all countries were kidnapped by the debt of federation, then the issue also no longer is the issue. 这个问题非常关键,如果所有的国家都被普波联邦的债务绑架了,那么问题也不再是问题。 First Lord of the Treasury Garfield shakes the head: „ Very regrettable, Prime minister. Although other country had similar problem, the digit that however involves is not big. 财政大臣加菲尔德摇了摇头:“很遗憾,首相。别的国家虽然出现了类似问题,但是牵扯的数字都不大。 Possibly owes the debts of other countries to add federation, does not arrive at our 1/3. 可能把普波联邦欠其他所有国家的债务加起来,也不到我们的三分之一。 Besides us, the second largest creditor country of federation should be a French, is the German federation empire, the remaining countries can ignore. 除了我们之外,普波联邦的第二大债主国应该是法国人,然后是德意志联邦帝国,剩下的国家都可以忽略不计。 The Berlin government did not have the ability that the entire world lends money. ” 柏林政府还没有全世界借钱的能力。” Heard this news, Benjamin nearly air/Qi fainted, he pledged that this was this year hears the worst news. 听到这个消息,本杰明险些气晕了过去,他发誓这是本年度听到最糟糕的消息。 Primary cause that creates this situation, was the English was too rich, the folk had so much idle capitals ; Next is the foreign policy of London government. Without the support of government, the folk financial institution will not crave. 造成这一情况的主要原因,还是英国人太有钱了,民间有大量的闲散资金;其次是伦敦政府的外交政策。如果没有政府的支持,民间金融机构也不会这么热衷。 Believing that everyone takes for granted, the government will not make federation lose the war. Such being the case, what but also there is good to be worried that the Berlin government also does dare to repudiate a debt inadequately? 大家想当然的认为,政府不会让普波联邦输掉战争。既然如此,还有什么好担心的,难道柏林政府还敢赖账不成？ Other countries were different, is no one favors federation, is no one has the energy to safeguard the debt security. 其他国家就不一样了,不是谁都看好普波联邦,也不是谁都有底气保障债务安全。 For example: The financial circle in Austria benefit for the nation does not borrow Champ federation, the reason is realistic- the Vienna government is supporting the Russia person. 比如说:奥地利国内的金融界就不借钱普波联邦,原因非常现实-维也纳政府在支持俄国人。 By the political influence, everyone was not favored federation, naturally cannot some people lend them. 受政治上的影响,大家都不看好普波联邦,自然不会有人借钱给他们。 The European small country not to mention, can money guarantee to receive not to mention, in the key is they captures does not have many! 欧洲小国就更不用说了,且不说钱能不能保证收回来,关键是他们兜里也没有多少啊！ Under this background, France becomes the second largest creditor and German federation to become the third largest creditor is not strange. In who makes you capture rich, is also good with the Berlin government relations? 这种背景下,法国成为第二大债主、德意志联邦成为第三大债主也就不奇怪了。谁让你们兜里有钱,和柏林政府关系又不错呢？ Benjamin's unquestionable asking: „Then Russian Empire? Do not tell me, the Tsar government also borrowed the money from here!” 本杰明不容置疑的问:“那么俄罗斯帝国呢？别告诉我,沙皇政府也从我们这里借了一大笔钱！” Garfield's helpless nod of: „ Very regrettable, prime minister. The Tsar government truly owed us the money, naturally does not have federation so many, has about 560 million pounds. 加菲尔德无奈的点了点头:“很遗憾,首相阁下。沙皇政府确实欠了我们一大笔钱,当然没有普波联邦这么多,大约有五六千万英镑。 A large part is pre-war borrows, can calculate that imports the advanced payment of Russia person agricultural product, after some are the war breaks out, purchase the spare money that the commodity owes. 这其中很大一部分都是战前借的,也可以算进口俄国人农产品的预付款,还有一些是战争爆发后采购物资欠下的余款。 We roughly took inventory a foreign loan of Russia person, nothing accident/surprise, they biggest creditor country is Austria benefits, the outstanding amount should not lend federation compared with us few. 我们大致清点了一下俄国人的外债,没有任何意外,他们最大的债主国是奥地利,债务总额应该不比我们借给普波联邦的少。 Majority is the loan, as well as few bonds, rarely have tail that purchases the commodity. Because the Tsar government has had the precedent of repudiating a debt, most Austria benefit the enterprise to request to tie presently. ” 大部分都是贷款,以及少量的债券,很少有采购物资的尾款。因为沙皇政府有过赖账的先例,大部分奥地利企业都要求现结。” Seeming like the news was too heavy, after stopping the moment time, Prime Minister Benjamin recovers consciousness. 似乎是消息太沉重了,停顿了片刻功夫后,本杰明首相才缓过来。 „This is the worst aspect. We cannot look that federation defeats, the Vienna government is unable to look that the Russia person defeats, this war is not only only the matter of Prussia two countries!” “这是最糟糕的局面。我们不能看着普波联邦战败,维也纳政府也无法看着俄国人战败,这场战争已经不仅仅只是普俄两国的事情了！” British Austria resistance, or is British Austria both countries conducts a client war through Prussia. Any one type, the final result is less optimistic. 英奥对抗,又或者是英奥两国通过普俄进行一场代理人战争。无论是哪一种,最后的结局都不容乐观。 Especially now federation is at a disadvantage in the battlefield, to Britain passive. Wish makes federation overturn, the price that needs to pay was too big. 尤其是现在普波联邦在战场上处于下风,对不列颠来说更加的被动。想要让普波联邦翻盘,需要付出的代价太大了。 Foreign minister Edward: „ Situation is not bad, in fact by debt kidnapping is mainly we, Austria benefitted also retained the initiative. 外交大臣爱德华:“情况还没有那么糟糕,实际上被债务绑架的主要是我们,奥地利还保留了主动权。 The Russia person benefitted the loan only to involve several big banks from Austria, there is a territory to make the mortgage, although estimate value high a little, so long as can cash, they complete wipe-out. 俄国人从奥地利贷款只牵扯到了几家大银行,又有领土做抵押,尽管估值高了一点儿,只要能够兑现,他们就不会血本无归。 Judging from the present situation, I do not think that the Tsar government has the ability of violation. Was we troubles on the contrary in a big way, the person who the similar debt involved was actually hundreds of thousands, was as for over a million. ” 从目前的情况来看,我不认为沙皇政府有违约的能力。反倒是我们麻烦大了,同样的债务牵扯到的人却是数十万,乃至于上百万。” Does not have a headache is not good, simultaneously lends money to two seems like the scenery, swallows actually. Who wins who loses, the default, nothing but will be many issue. 不头疼都不行,同时借钱给两家看似风光,实则是有苦难言。无论是谁胜谁负,都会有一笔债务违约,无非是多少的问题。 The London government is unable to control the financial circle, the bankers invests comes according to the self-interest, the national interest is not in their consideration scopes. 偏偏伦敦政府无法控制金融界,银行家们投资都是根据自己利益来的,国家利益不在他们的考虑范围之内。 Can receive smoothly, in the event of the default, these financial groups will escape, mails out multipurpose „bankruptcy” big law. 能够顺利收回来也就罢了,一旦出现债务违约,这些财团又会金蝉脱壳,寄出万能的“破产”大法。 Naturally, there is a head is not miraculous, or is responds slowly, does not have the prompt risk transference, gives itself played the idiot. 当然,也有脑袋不灵光,或者是反应慢的,没有及时转移风险,把自己也给玩死了的蠢货。 The prestige of Russia person is not luckily good, the capitalist who is willing to lend their money are few, otherwise the London government must realize one time anything is the real dilemma. 幸好俄国人的信誉不好,肯借给他们钱的资本家少,要不然伦敦政府就要体会一次什么是真正的左右为难。 First Lord of the Treasury Garfield shakes the head: „ I do not think that this has anything to distinguish, the leeway that even the Vienna government chooses is bigger, their not possible ignores federation to win the war. 财政大臣加菲尔德摇了摇头:“我不认为这有什么区别,即便是维也纳政府选择的余地更大,他们也不可能放任普波联邦赢得战争。 Even they will also be glad to use our hands to weaken the Russia person very much, sweeps clean them to unify the big barrier of German area. 甚至他们还会很乐意借我们的手削弱一下俄国人,扫清他们统一德意志地区的一大障碍。 Thinks to look, federation defeats the disintegration, the Russian Empire vitality damages severely, our economies caused heavy losses to by the default, ratio this more ideal aspect? 想想看,普波联邦战败解体,俄罗斯帝国元气大伤,我们的经济受债务违约遭到重创,还有比这更理想的局面么？ In view of beneficiary, I have the reason to believe, at present this aspect is the Austria Libyan government plans single-handedly. 从受益者的角度出发,我有理由相信,眼下这种局面就是奥地利政府一手策划的。 Naturally, possibly is France, but I do not think that Napoleon IV that kid, has this ability. ” 当然,也可能是法兰西,不过我不认为拿破仑四世那个小屁孩,有这份儿能耐。” ...... ……