Beginning of the spring , the Eastern European battlefield gunsmoke filled the air again. Prepared after one in the winter, the situation is entirely different. 开春过后,东欧战场硝烟再次弥漫了起来。经过了一个冬天准备,情况已然大不相同。 The Berlin official organization people built massive castle forts in the boundary area, the action of Cossack cavalry was restricted. To grab money, must stronger the attacking a city fort fort. 柏林政府组织民众在边界地区修筑了大量的城堡要塞,哥萨克骑兵的行动受到了限制。想要劫掠财货,就必须要强攻城堡要塞。 The battle efficiency of Cossack cavalry establishes in the benefit. The people were prepared, the robbed difficulty increases unceasingly, the casualties and harvest that every so often pays with are not proportional, the enthusiasm of Cossack cavalry also came under the attack. 哥萨克骑兵的战斗力是建立在利益上的。民众有了准备,抢劫的难度不断增加,很多时候付出的伤亡和收获不成正比,哥萨克骑兵的积极性也受到了打击。 Initiative and passive, the battle efficiency that erupts is entirely different. 主动和被动,爆发出来的战斗力是截然不同的。 Although Cossack cavalry is still sending out, the victory of obtaining actually getting smaller. Every so often is only the destruction farmland and infrastructure, the soldiers is not willing is not affraid of difficulties. 尽管哥萨克骑兵还在出动,不过取得的战果却越来越小。很多时候都只是破坏农田、基础设施,士兵们不愿意去啃硬骨头。 Now is not the middle ages, so long as in pocket rich, can buy the grain the place to be many. Is only the boundary area farmland is damaged, the Berlin government can also withstand. 现在已经不是中世纪了,只要兜里有钱,能够买粮的地方很多。仅仅只是边界地区农田受损,柏林政府还可以承受。 To a certain extent, William I must thank the Tsar government, is Russia person ruthless spicy method, letting the Pole has to rely on them. 某种程度上来说,威廉一世还要感谢沙皇政府,正是俄国人这种狠辣手段,让波兰人不得不依赖他们。 The destructive power of Cossack cavalry drops, was not equal to that the scorched earth strategy of Tsar government failed. 哥萨克骑兵的破坏力下降,并不等于沙皇政府的焦土战略就失败了。 In front of the war, human is frail. In order to avoid the flames of war, many boundary area's people are tied down by care of one's family toward the inland run, many areas turned into the unpopulated area. 在战争面前,人类是脆弱的。为了躲避战火,很多边界地区的民众都拖家带口往内陆跑,不少地区都变成了无人区。 It is not the Berlin government has not stopped, the issue cannot achieve. The fleeing from calamity crowd in groups runs toward the rear area, the government brought the serious economic burden to the Berlin. 不是柏林政府没有制止,问题是根本就做不到。成群结队的逃难人群往后方跑,还是给柏林政府带来了沉重的经济负担。 The coastal area loses seriously, the port city of federation degenerates into the ruins under the fire mostly, extremely individual survival city is also trembling. 沿海地区损失最惨重,普波联邦的港口城市大都在炮火下沦为废墟,极个别的幸存城市也在瑟瑟发抖。 These are only the small issues, since the Dane closes after the channel, the sea line of communication of federation almost broke, the strategic value of port city has greatly reduced. 这些都只是小问题,自从丹麦人封锁海峡过后,普波联邦的海上交通线就差不多断了,港口城市的战略价值已经大大降低。 What is worst was the Russia person supplemented the military of southern line lost, Moltke attacked and captured the plan of Kiev to fail, now the Tsar government uses the most conservative strategy and federation puts together the consumption. 最糟糕的是俄国人补充了南线的兵力损失,毛奇攻克基辅的计划破产,现在沙皇政府采用最保守的战略和普波联邦拼消耗。 Fights steadily, pure meeting the tough head-on with toughness, general army is unable to display the advantage in tactic. Even if there is a Moltke such star, is unable to reverse the battlefield to not to favor federation the direction developing. 稳扎稳打,单纯的硬碰硬,普军无法发挥战术上的优势。即便是有毛奇这样的名将,也无法逆转战场向不利于普波联邦的方向发展。 The bad situation in battlefield, has affected the federation domestic atmosphere, often the anti-war sound braves, even the most man of optimism is still heavyhearted about this war. 战场上的糟糕形势,已经影响到了普波联邦的国内气氛,不时还有反战的声音冒出来,即便是最乐观的人也对这场战争忧心忡忡。 Berlin royal palace 柏林王宫 William I roared: „ War conducts now, we lost 300,000 armies, the obtained victory is few. 威廉一世咆哮道:“战争进行到现在,我们损失了三十万军队,取得的战果却寥寥无几。 You gave for three months that I guaranteed to win the war beforehand, now in three months three months, the third three months will end immediately, does not have any sign of achievement. 你们事先给我保证的三个月赢得战争,现在过了三个月又三个月,马上第三个三个月都结束了,都没有任何获胜的迹象。 Who can tell me also to pay how many prices, can win this war? ” 谁能够告诉我还要付出多少代价,才能够赢得这场战争？” It is not William I self-control is insufficient, is the recent pressure is too big. In the battlefield general Jun's performance, is far from arriving at the anticipation. 不是威廉一世涵养不够,实在是最近的压力太大。战场上普军的表现,远远没有到达预期。 So-called „three months won war”, in fact are only the southern line plans of Moltke. Theoretically so long as cuts off the trade line between Prussia, this war they won most probably. 所谓的“三个月赢得战争”,实际上只是毛奇的南线计划。理论上只要切断普俄之间的贸易线,这场战争他们就赢了大半。 What a pity the battle efficiency of Russian force, them estimated that is much more intrepid. Perhaps cannot compare general army in the field operation, may defend does not have the issue. 可惜俄军的战斗力,比他们预想中要强悍得多。或许在野战中比不上普军,可防守还是没问题的。 The strategic planning of Moltke pains design does not have the issue, was only with mistakenly the object. If changes a country, beats hundreds of thousands armies one time, will have a fracture absolutely. 毛奇苦心设计的战略计划本身没有问题,只是用错了对象。如果换一个国家,一次性干掉十几万军队,绝对会伤筋动骨。 It is a pity that met Russian bear, the annihilating the enemy speed is also faster than the supplement of Tsar government. Had a winter cushion, the military supplement full strength that the Tsar government will not only lose, the total military strength also rose. 遗憾的是遇到了毛熊,歼敌速度也就比沙皇政府的补充快一点点。有了一个冬天的缓冲,沙皇政府不仅将损失的兵力补充满员,总兵力还上涨了。 Moltke braces oneself to reply: „ Your majesty, the Russia person by this offends somebody completely, the casualties of Russian force are older than us, gets down the Russia person, even if can win the war is still only the hard victory. 毛奇硬着头皮回答道:“陛下,俄国人完全是以本伤人,俄军的伤亡比我们还大,这么下去俄国人就算能够赢得战争也只是惨胜。 Now the Russia person got the winning side in the battlefield, the Tsar government definitely does not need to choose the mutually wounded fighting method. 现在俄国人在战场上占据了上风,沙皇政府完全没有必要选择两败俱伤的打法。 So long as we expose weaknesses at an appropriate time, the Russian force will definitely not let go the opportunity. Once the Russia person adjusts the tactic, our opportunities came. 只要我们在恰当的时候露出破绽,俄军肯定不会放弃机会。一旦俄国人调整战术,我们的机会就来了。 In order to win this war, I suggested to give up some areas when necessary, first tempted from the fortification the Russia person. ” 为了赢得这场战争,我建议必要的时候可以放弃部分地区,先把俄国人从工事中引诱出来。” Related to over a million people, the continuous several hundred kilometers front, wants to make the tactical adjustment is also very difficult, the coordination between light all troops can make person „move”. 涉及上百万人,连绵数百公里的战线,想要进行战术调整也是非常困难的,光各部队之间的配合都会令人“感动”。 The organizational ability is shortcoming of Tsar government, even passed through Alexander II to reform, the organizational ability of Russia person was not as good. 组织能力一直都是沙皇政府的硬伤,即便是经过了亚历山大二世改革,俄国人的组织能力还是略逊一筹。 In the battlefield originally the mistake that who makes many, the mistake that who makes is fatal. 战场上本来就是比谁犯的错误多、谁犯的错误致命。 Now the Russian force besides in the median line attack, other area is defending. Hides does not come out in the fort, perhaps is unable to grasp the fighter aircraft, similarly not model/pattern fatal mistake. 现在俄军除了在中线进攻外,别的地区都在防守。躲在要塞之中不出来,或许无法把握住战机,同样也不会范致命的错误。 Moltke does not want dies to knock in the median line and Russian force main force, that is unable to display the general Jun's maneuver capability, is only the pure fighting to the last ditch all-round strength. 毛奇不想在中线和俄军主力死磕,那无法发挥普军的机动能力,只是单纯的死拼综合实力。 William I do not determine saying: „Do you want to give up Collins?” 威廉一世不确定道:“你想要放弃斯摩林斯克？” Collins usually had the name of Moscow gateway, controlled here, general army has to attack the initiative of Moscow. 斯摩林斯克素来有莫斯科门户之称,控制了这里,普军就拥有进攻莫斯科的主动权。 After the Prussia war breaks out, the Russian force has died to knock here, to ensure the security of Moscow, avoids being divided into two by general army. 普俄战争爆发后,俄军一直死磕这里,就是为了确保莫斯科的安全,避免被普军一分为二。 Moltke nods: „ Your majesty, we have tried many plans, the Russia person is the nest does not come out in the defense line. 毛奇点了点头:“陛下,我们已经尝试过了很多方案,俄国人就是窝在防线里面不出来。 The loss of storm is too big, is completely the gain does not equal the loss. Except that discards Collins, puts the Russian force to come outside, in a short time we are very difficult to break at present the deadlock in battlefield. ” 强攻的损失太大,完全是得不偿失。除了舍弃斯摩林斯克,放俄军进来外,短期内我们很难打破目前战场上的僵局。” Without the means that the both sides military disparity is too big, central offensive that the Russian force launches, diverted lots of general army, the mobile military in Moltke hand was limited. 没办法,双方兵力差距太大,俄军发起的中部攻势,又牵制住了大量的普军,毛奇手中的机动兵力有限。 Excelled at Moltke that concentrates the superior force and enemy fights a decisive battle, the helpless discovery cannot achieve. Especially after the Russian force uses the scorched earth plan, he does not dare adventure. 原本擅长集中优势兵力和敌人决战的毛奇,无奈的发现根本做不到。尤其是俄军采取焦土计划后,他更加不敢冒险。 The army that reassigns any direction, may create hundreds of thousands, and even over a million people are destitute and homeless. 抽调任何一个方向的军队,都有可能造成数十万、乃至上百万人流离失所。 If can win the war, put in certain sacrifice is also acceptable. The issue is such war, is not 1-2 campaigns can decide. 如果能够赢得战争,付出一定的牺牲也是可以接受的。问题是这样的战争,根本就不是1-2战役能够决定的。 Annihilates tens of thousands Russian force, produces several hundred thousand refugees, actually to owe, gained, this issue was very difficult to talk clearly. 歼灭几万俄军,产生几十万难民,究竟是亏了、还是赚了,这个问题很难说清楚。 Wanted to sacrifice in any case, might as well do a ticket to be big. If can lure the enemy in deep, battles the advantage that to destroy the Russian force main force using the native place, then the big loss can also accept. 反正都要有所牺牲,不如干一票大的。如果能够诱敌深入,利用本土作战的优势一举歼灭俄军主力,那么再大的损失也可以接受。 „Some big assurances?” “有多大的把握？” William I hesitated, these bet the national destiny. Won no doubt can turn around the situation ; If lost, federation must die in bed of old age/be exhausted, can defend the Prussia kingdom of shrinkage version is a question mark. 威廉一世犹豫了,这一把赌上了国运。赢了固然可以扭转战局;要是输了,普波联邦就要寿终正寝,能不能保住缩水版的普鲁士王国都是一个问号。 Moltke calm reply: „Discards some areas in the most areas and Poland in Belarus, places the Warsaw area the battlefield, summoned that the Polish People revolt against the invasion of Russia person, our odds of success at least have 60%.” 毛奇冷静的回答道:“舍弃白俄罗斯的大部分地区和波兰的部分地区,将战场放在华沙地区,号召波兰民众起来反抗俄国人的入侵,我们的胜算至少有60%。” The war is gambling, federation on a vulnerable side, can have 60% odds of success, is very high proportion. 战争本来就是一场赌博,普波联邦本来就处于弱势的一方,能够有60%的胜算,已经算是很高的比例了。 „” A sound, William I fierce pounds on the table. “啪”的一声响,威廉一世猛的一拍桌子。 „Gambling!” “赌了！” „Marshal, according to your plan conducts, the government will coordinate your plan.” “元帅,按照你的计划进行吧,政府会配合你的计划。” It is not William I am resolute, what are more does not have the means. The war conducted this step, no one had the means hind leg, Prussia both countries to a minute/share of victory and defeat in the battlefield come out. 不是威廉一世果决,更多的还是没有办法。战争进行到了这一步,谁都没有办法后腿,普俄两国必须要在战场上分个胜负出来。 Even if William I am not willing to bet, the Junker aristocrat will still help him make the decision. Similar to the war of original space and time, after Russian Empire collapses, William II midway wanted to end the war, the Junker aristocrat was built on stilts the Emperor Continuation War directly. 就算是威廉一世不愿意赌,容克贵族也会帮他做决定。就如同原时空的一战,俄罗斯帝国崩溃后威廉二世中途想要结束战争,容克贵族直接架空了皇帝继续战争。 The present situation is also similar, with the eruption of war, the right of military is getting bigger and bigger, the government degenerated into the rear services headquarters of army, the right balance is broken. 现在的情况也差不多,随着战争的爆发,军方的权利越来越大,政府沦为了军队的后勤部,权利平衡早就被打破了。 As William I of king, has to compromise to the military every so often. 作为国王的威廉一世,很多时候也不得不对军方妥协。 ...... ……