The content that the Vienna palace, brave negotiated had arrived in the Franz hand. It is not the intelligence service powerful, is the English divulges completely intentionally. 维也纳宫,英普谈判的内容已经到了弗朗茨手中。不是情报部门有多给力,完全是英国人故意泄露的。 This top-level negotiations, insider, only then few several people, is the ministerial senior officials, is not the intelligence organization can buy. 这种高层次谈判,知情者只有寥寥数人,又都是部长级高官,根本就不是情报组织能够收买的。 Federation closes up to the English is not strange, no matter how said that John Bull is the thalassocracy country, is impossible to become mainland hegemon, among brave does not have the direct conflict. 普波联邦向英国人靠拢并不奇怪,不管怎么说约翰牛都是海权国家,不可能成为大陆霸主,英普之间不存在直接冲突。 In comparison, Austria benefitted is different. The Vienna government was shouting daily unifies the German area, federation core territory in the German area, the Berlin government is not worried to be strange. 相比之下,奥地利就不一样了。维也纳政府天天喊着统一德意志地区,普波联邦核心领土都在德意志地区,柏林政府不担心才怪。 Stands in standpoint that in Austria benefits, Prussia both countries most serve the self-interest mutually wounded. Benefits the cooperation with Austria, seeks an impossibility. In having situation of choice, Berlin government propensity in English. 站在奥地利的立场上,普俄两国两败俱伤最符合自身利益。和奥地利合作,就是与虎谋皮。在有选择的情况下,柏林政府自然倾向于英国人。 „English must promote the law popularization to relate unexpectedly, you thought that what conspiracy this back does have?” “英国人居然要推动普法关系,你们觉得这背后有什么阴谋？” Until now, the English are thinking the means isolated French, now suddenly promotes the law popularization to close up, is very difficult to make Franz not estimate by the biggest evil intention. 一直以来,英国人都在想办法孤立法国人,现在突然推动普法靠拢,很难让弗朗茨不以最大的恶意去揣摩。 The foreign minister Wessenberg analysis said: „ Your majesty, this possibly has two reasons. 外交大臣韦森贝格分析道:“陛下,这可能有两个原因。 This Prussia war result is difficult to predict, only to guarantee that depending on the English ability federation wins, benefit that does not want to give up delivering, they must find the person to share the risk. 这次普俄战争胜负难料,仅凭英国人能力保证普波联邦获得胜利,又不想放弃送上门的利益,他们必须要找人分摊风险。 If won over the French, UK , France jointly, even the war is disadvantageous, they can still preserve federation and ensure the investment is insufficient complete wipe-out. 如果拉拢了法国人,英法联手之下,即便是战局不利,他们也能够保住普波联邦,确保投资不至于血本无归。 Moreover comes to us. The London government thinks that the law Austria strength the imbalance, has needed to win over the ally to the French , to continue to maintain the European balance. 另外就是冲着我们来的。伦敦政府认为法奥实力已经失衡,需要给法国人拉拢盟友,继续维护欧陆平衡。 Latter's possibility is not big, by the prestige that Napoleon leaves behind, the English will only overestimate the strength of France, is impossible to underestimate. 后者的可能性不大,以拿破仑留下的威名,英国人只会高估法兰西的实力,不可能低估。 Since supporting the Spanish royal family restores, the French in the strategic situation in Europe has reversed. The London government still is seperate Western France Union has a headache, without the truth continues to give them to win over the ally. ” 自从支持西班牙王室复辟后,法国人在欧洲的战略局势已经逆转。伦敦政府还在为拆分法西同盟而头疼,没有道理继续给他们拉拢盟友。” In the mid-19 th century, after Napoleon III restored, France broke the fetter of Vienna system, military power full blood resurrected. 19世纪中期,拿破仑三世复辟后,法国打破了维也纳体系的束缚,军事实力满血复活。 The European countries are worried about the military threat from France, in Austria benefitted under the leadership, Germany , Switzerland, Belgium , Holland and other countries to sign the Joint Defense Treaty, the French strategy fell into the passive condition. 欧洲各国担心来自法兰西的军事威胁,在奥地利主导下西、普德、瑞、比、荷等国签订了共同防御条约,法国战略陷入被动状态。 Naturally, expanding Zhang Zhilu of French had not died of suffocation. For example: Austria scatters the relations to be bad, the Sardinia kingdom was excluded from the joint defense organization, the French only then expands a road to the Italian area. 当然,法国人的扩张之路没有被堵死。比如说:奥撒关系恶劣,撒丁王国被排斥在联合防御组织之外,法国人只有向意大利地区扩张一条路。 In order to change embarrassed on diplomacy, Napoleon III took a series of political diplomacy action, improves the relations with various European countries. 为了改变外交上的窘迫,拿破仑三世采取了一系列的政治外交行动,改善同欧洲各国的关系。 After the Spanish civil strife erupts, government support Alfonso XII restores, Spain announced that quits the joint defense organization, the strategic blockade declares bankruptcy. 西班牙内乱爆发后,法国政府支持阿方索十二世复辟,西班牙宣布退出联合防御组织,战略封锁宣告破产。 The relations of geopolitics, closing up of France and Spain, John Bull could not sleep. For oneself strategic security, the English has been finding the way to split up France and Spain. 地缘政治的关系,法西两国的靠拢,约翰牛就睡不着觉了。为了自身战略安全,英国人一直都在想办法分化法西两国。 Prime minister Felix: „ No matter what reason, the law popularization closes up has become the fact. Without the English coordination, is very difficult to stop all these to happen depending on us. 首相费利克斯:“不管是什么原因,普法靠拢已经成为了事实。没有英国人配合,仅凭我们很难阻拦这一切发生。 The French are ambitious, has wanted to capture the European hegemony, federation that is impossible to refuse to deliver. 法国人野心勃勃,一直都想要夺取欧陆霸权,不可能拒绝送上门的普波联邦。 both sides have the benefit foundation of cooperation, even if not form an alliance, the relations will still go a step further. We need to prepare for ahead of time, so as to avoid being caught off guard when the time comes. ” 双方已经拥有合作的利益基础,就算是不结盟,关系也会更进一步。我们需要提前做好准备了,免得到时候措手不及。” Without the means that federation chose the English, Austria benefitted can only support the Russia person, this was the national interest decision. 没办法,普波联邦选择了英国人,奥地利就只能支持俄国人,这是国家利益决定的。 Franz has no interest in the European hegemony, but this saying cannot say! Austria benefits to continental Europe does not have the ambition, this saying said that Franz do not believe. 弗朗茨对欧陆霸权没兴趣,可是这话不能说出来啊！奥地利对欧洲大陆没野心,这话说出去弗朗茨自己都不信。 This is not the ambition issue, is mainly decided by the strength. No matter wants, so long as the strength arrived, the interest group will push the government to clash upward. 这不是野心的问题,主要是由实力决定的。不管愿不愿意,只要实力到了,利益集团就会推着政府往上冲。 Now the Austria advantage has not moved, that is this game is also in progress. The awe-inspiring prowess of French, on the law Austria two countries military power is equivalent especially outwardly, some English in side. 现在奥地利没有动,那是这场游戏还在进行中。法国人的虎威尤在,明面上法奥两国军事实力相当,又有英国人在侧。 The rise that Austria benefits is one point of military nine points of politics, the domestic radical faction are quite few. Most people's ideal strategy also unifies the German area, dominates the world in not planning the range. 奥地利的崛起是一分军事九分政治,国内的激进派比较少。大多数人的理想战略也就统一德意志地区,称霸世界不在计划范围内。 Naturally, this and interest distribution also has the relations. Austria benefits and many, as those with vested interests who in the colonizing movement attains, has not naturally resented the world and detested mundane affairs, must sharply break the world order. 当然,这和利益分配也有关系。奥地利在殖民运动中拿到的并不少,作为既得利益者,自然没有那么愤世嫉俗,要急着打破世界秩序。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Situation is not serious, the law popularization closes up is not the misdemeanor, at least the German federation must side with us. If the luck is good, but can also win over Belgium. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“情况没有那么严重,普法靠拢也不全是坏事,至少德意志联邦要倒向我们了。如果运气不错,还能够拉拢比利时。 So long as the Russia person has not dropped down, federation will be diverted forever, we need to face mainly France. 只要俄国人没有倒下,普波联邦永远都会受到牵制,我们需要面对的主要还是法兰西。 Made not determine the choice of English one had a headache only. However this is not difficult to solve, in the London government the anti-France faction, sends absolutely many compared with Anti-Austria, in the diplomacy the advantage is bigger. 唯一令人头疼的是不确定英国人的选择。不过这也不难解决,伦敦政府中反法派,绝对比反奥派多,外交上我们的优势更大。 Is Belgium and German federation, the London government is impossible to neglect little brother's interest completely, suppresses the French possibility to be higher with us jointly. ” 况且,还是比利时和德意志联邦,伦敦政府不可能完全忽视小弟的利益,和我们联手压制法国人可能性更高。” The reality puts at present, the French must import more than ten million tons coal from Belgium , Germany every year, this digit also in continue increase. 现实摆在眼前,法国人每年都要从比、德两国进口上千万吨的煤,这个数字还在持续增加中。 This has seriously affected the development of French economy, particularly the heavy industry domain, France has fallen behind British Austria both countries comprehensively. 这已经严重影响到了法国经济的发展,尤其是重工业领域,法国已经全面落后于英奥两国。 Even if the French government wants to maintain the restraint, the domestic capitalists will not comply. If the Paris government does not want to see that the Italian issue promotes, must solve the energy issue. 就算是法国政府想要保持克制,国内的资本家们也不会答应。如果巴黎政府不想看到意大利问题升级,就必须要解决能源问题。 Looks all around, besides Belgium and German federation, nearby coal rich resources on the remaining British Austria both countries. This choice question, radically is the fixed answer. 环顾四周,除了比利时和德意志联邦外,附近煤资源丰富的就剩下英奥两国了。这个选择题,根本就是固定答案。 At present has not arrived that step, the French is still seeking for the coal mine actively, anticipated that can harvest in the North African colony. After they prospect completes, will adopt the most extreme way. 眼下还没到那一步,法国人还在积极寻找煤矿,期待能够在北非殖民地有所收获。当他们探矿完成后,才会采取最极端的方式。 Everyone is the realist, the French moves, Belgium , Germany will discover the English to be unreliable, only have Austria to benefit an option. 大家都是现实主义者,法国人一动,比、德两国就会发现英国人靠不住,只有奥地利一个选项。 Franz shakes the head: „ Without is so simple, the hatred is unable to control the decision of English, they will only be affected by the benefit. 弗朗茨摇了摇头:“没那么简单,仇恨无法左右英国人的决定,他们只会受利益影响。 Judging from the present situation, France's demand to resources increases unceasingly, most over 20 years, the French will not reach Belgium and Germany the hand for the resources. 从目前的情况来看,法兰西对资源的需求量不断增加,最多不超过二十年,法国人就会为了资源把手伸向比德两国。 When the time comes we enter the stadium either passively, either actively participates in gambling. The English will continue their balanced strategies, who suppresses anyone. 到时候我们要么被动入场,要么主动参与博弈。英国人还是会继续他们的平衡战略,谁强就打压谁。 From economic data, French already drift off. In order to sustain rapid economic growth, does not know that which talent wants to come out to develop the industry chain centered on financial industry. 从经济数据上来看,法国人已经跑偏了。为了保持经济高速增长,不知道哪个天才想出来发展以金融业为核心的产业链。 According to the present development speed, you thought how long law Austria can also maintain balanced? ” 按照现在的发展速度,你们觉得法奥平衡还能够维持多久？” The essence of usury empire has not changed, since Napoleon III dies, the French government cannot suppress the domestic capitalist, the economy cannot help but leans toward the finance. 高利贷帝国的本质没有变,自从拿破仑三世死后,法国政府就压不住国内的资本家,经济不由自主的向金融上倾斜。 With intensifying of energy crisis, the French industrial cost increases unceasingly, this situation becomes gets stronger and stronger, the manufacturing industry accounts for the proportion to be getting more and more low in the gross national product. 随着能源危机的加剧,法国工业成本不断增加,这种情况变得愈演愈烈,制造业在国民生产总值中所占比例越来越低。 In a short time, the illusory number covered contradictory everyone unable to watch the crisis. But once the war breaks out, all issues will erupt. 短期内,虚幻的数字掩盖了矛盾大家还看不出来危机。可一旦战争爆发,所有的问题都会爆发出来。 Great, the world eldest children must always suppress the second child. The bubble of French was punctured, is Austria benefits and English gets angry. 没得说,世界老大总是要打压老二的。法国人的泡沫被戳破,就是奥地利和英国人翻脸的时候。 Economy minister Rinehart Hall Degen: „ How long the balance on military can maintain, this must look at the change of international situation. However economically, the balance had been broken. 经济大臣莱因哈特・哈尔德根:“军事上的平衡能够维持多久,这要看国际局势的变化。不过在经济上,平衡早就被打破了。 According to statistics bureau acquired data analysis, industrial strength of France, only then 68.1 of English, only then our 58.6, this proportion also in continually drop. 根据统计局收集到的数据分析,法国的工业实力只有英国人的68.1,只有我们的58.6,这个比例还在持续下降中。 The heavy industry domain disparity is bigger, taking steel industry for instance: The French steel production only then the English 37.2, do not arrive at our 1/3. 重工业领域差距更大,以钢铁产业为例:法国钢铁产量只有英国人37.2,不到我们的三分之一。 The coal output is more disparate, 1/3 of insufficient English, are insufficient our 1/4. 煤产量更加悬殊,不足英国人的三分之一,不足我们的四分之一。 These data have been able to show many issues, what is worth mentioning is the new Italian area, has almost not made the contribution to the French heavy industry, the coal output can neglect, the steel only has several small workshops. ” 这些数据已经能够说明很多问题,值得一提的是新增的意大利地区,几乎没有为法国重工业做出贡献,煤产量可以忽略,钢铁只有几个小作坊。” Does not despise the Italian area, the local area really does not have many resources. The capitalists are willing to support Napoleon III initially, to obtain inexpensive industrial material. 不是轻视意大利地区,当地真的就没多少资源。资本家们当初愿意支持拿破仑三世,就是为了获得更多廉价的工业原材料。 No one has thought, France is also the resources is also barren. Annexed the Italian area to increase the national strength of France merely in name, what in fact were more was the burden. 谁也没有想到,法国同样也是资源贫瘠。吞并了意大利地区仅仅只是名义上增加了法兰西的国力,实际上更多的还是负担。 If nothing else, without the Italian area, resources of France absolutely deficiently less than now this degree. 别的不说,没有意大利地区,法国的资源绝对匮乏不到现在这种程度。 After hesitant moment time, Franz made decided: „ Speeds up with the negotiation process of Russia person. So long as the Russia person is willing to store Austria Libyan State Bank the gold of reserve, the insufficient part accepts their territory mortgage. 犹豫了片刻功夫后,弗朗茨做出了决定:“加快和俄国人的谈判进程。只要俄国人肯将储备的黄金存入奥地利国家银行,不足的部分就接受他们的领土抵押。 If the Tsar government agrees 90% funds, will be used to purchase Austria to benefit the commodity, we accept them to use the industrial material to redeem the debt. ” 如果沙皇政府同意将其中百分之九十的资金,用来采购奥地利商品,我们就接受他们用工业原材料抵偿债务。” Coming back that the loan does receive is unimportant, since federation made the choice, Austria benefits cannot do without responding. 贷款收不收的回来已经不重要了,普波联邦既然做出了选择,奥地利就不能没有反应。 This was also been doomed. With the international reputation of Tsar government, besides the Austria advantage, who dares to lend them? 况且,这也是早就注定的。以沙皇政府的国际信誉,除了奥地利外,谁敢借钱给他们？ If the Vienna government does not support the Russia person, this war has not started, has decided the victory and defeat. 要是维也纳政府不支持俄国人,这场战争还没开始,就已经分出胜负了。 The First Lord of the Treasury Carl complexion big change, advises to say hastily: „ Your majesty, the financial conditions of Russia person are bad. Even if won the war, they do not have the ability to render back the money. 财政大臣卡尔脸色大变,连忙劝阻道:“陛下,俄国人的财政状况非常糟糕。即便是赢得了战争,他们也没有能力还钱。 The golden mortgage does not have the issue. But the territory mortgage does not need completely, Austria benefits does not need these waste lands now. 黄金抵押没有问题。可是领土抵押完全没必要,奥地利现在不需要这些烂地。 Carving up federation is completely a bounced check, now the English has decided to support federation, the French supports their probability is very big. 瓜分普波联邦完全就是一张空头支票,现在英国人已经决定支持普波联邦,法国人支持他们几率也很大。 Has UK , France to be the backing, the Russia person, even if can win, cannot destroy completely federation, most also takes back the Polish area, we do not need these waste lands. ” 有英法做后盾,俄国人就算能够获胜,也灭不掉普波联邦,最多也就收回波兰地区,我们不需要这些烂地。” Carl repeatedly emphasized „waste land”, Franz also unusual headache. From African localization, the Vienna senior government officials did not have in the expansion desire of continental Europe. 卡尔一再强调“烂地”,弗朗茨也非常的头疼。从非洲本土化开始,维也纳政府高层在欧洲大陆的扩张欲望就没了。 Did not say that the Russia person took the land of mortgage really to be rotten, on the contrary was very fertile, the cost that mainly needs to pay was too high. 不是说俄国人拿出来抵押的土地就真的烂了,相反还很肥沃,主要是需要付出的成本太高。 Franz braces oneself to explain: „ This is the strategic requirement, we need Prussia to be mutually wounded, simultaneously eliminates two potential threats. 弗朗茨硬着头皮解释道:“这是战略需要,我们需要普俄两败俱伤,同时消除两个潜在威胁。 Doesn't give the Tsar government to provide the fund, the Russia person hits with what? 不给沙皇政府提供资金,俄国人拿什么去打？ The issue of collateral, but can also slowly and Russia person discussed. Can first flicker the Tsar government, so long as they won the war, can trade with federation territory. 抵押品的问题,还可以慢慢和俄国人谈。可以先忽悠沙皇政府,只要他们赢得了战争,可以拿普波联邦的领土换。 The native land that any German area, we can replace according to 1 : 3 proportion, makes them mortgage the Ukrainian area as far as possible. 凡是德意志地区的故土,我们可以按1:3的比例置换,尽可能的让他们抵押乌克兰地区。 If the Tsar government insisted that takes the Bulgarian area to make the mortgage, makes them add on Constantinopolis. Also can allow them to redeem, but wants the interest on interest. ” 如果沙皇政府坚持拿保加利亚地区做抵押的话,就让他们加上君士坦丁堡。还可以允许他们进行赎回,不过要利滚利。” First Lord of the Treasury Carl is heavyhearted: „With the credibility of Tsar government, is very difficult to make them fulfill the treaty, when the time comes perhaps is a dispute.” 财政大臣卡尔忧心忡忡道:“以沙皇政府的信誉,恐怕很难让他们履行条约,到时候恐怕又是一场纷争。” It is not „perhaps”, but definitely will have the dispute. With the prestige of Russia person, on own initiative the possibility that fulfills the commitment is almost zero, when the time comes must look at the strength. 不是“恐怕”,而是必然会发生纠纷。以俄国人的信誉,主动兑现承诺的可能性几乎为零,到时候还是要看实力。 This point Franz felt relieved very much, federation is not weak, the post-war Russian Empire did not die must delaminate the skin. 这一点弗朗茨很放心,普波联邦不弱,战后的俄罗斯帝国不死也要脱层皮。