HRE :: Volume #7

#654: Austria benefits the deterrence theory


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After trip to London of William I, the international situation becomes even more bright. brave relates to elevate temperature, just finished suddenly Austria both countries of union depending again in one, decided option that Europe the situation will move toward in the future, to a native of France hand. 威廉一世的伦敦之行后,国际局势变得越发明朗。英普关系升温,刚刚结束了同盟的俄两国再次靠在了一起,决定欧洲未来局势走向的选择权,又到了法国人手中。 If the Paris government support Russia person, the result of this war has decided ahead of time. Otherwise if supports federation, then this war must hit has known. 如果巴黎政府支持俄国人,这场战争的胜负已经提前决定了。反之要是支持普波联邦,那么这场战争还要打过才知道。 Palace of Versailles, Napoleon IV is satisfied the present aspect. Prussia both countries strive to be the first to win over France, feeling that about this type Europe will move toward in the future, was really wonderful. 凡尔赛宫,拿破仑四世非常满意现在的局面。普俄两国争先拉拢法兰西,这种左右欧洲未来走向的感觉,实在是太美妙了。 Foreign minister Dumbledores: Your majesty, the Russia delegation suddenly changed the traveling schedule, cancelled trip to London, it is expected that three days later will arrive in Paris.” 外交大臣邓布利多:“陛下,俄国代表团突然改变了行程,取消了伦敦之行,预计三天后就会抵达巴黎。” Napoleon IV shows a faint smile, he knows that the Tsar government was anxious. Comprehensive national strength Russian Empire federation even better, but war ratio , is not only the comprehensive national strength, external force. 拿破仑四世微微一笑,他知道沙皇政府急了。综合国力俄罗斯帝国比普波联邦更胜一筹,但是战争比的不光是综合国力,还有外力。 Federation had earned the support of English, if earned the support of French again, even if Russia gains the support that Austria benefitted, should still suffer a loss. 普波联邦已经获得了英国人的支持,如果再获得了法国人的支持,即便是俄罗斯取得了地利的支持,仍然会吃亏。 The brutal reality told the Russia person, without money cannot. The UK , France two big donors in the financial resource add, the fund that can provide definitely takes the Austria advantage are more. 残酷的现实告诉俄国人,没钱是万万不能的。在财力上英法两大金主加起来,能够提供的资金肯定比地利拿出来的更多。 To put it bluntly, this war is the war of Russia person, is not the war that Austria benefits, the Vienna government can support them, is impossible the unlimited investment. 说白了,这场战争是俄国人的战争,不是地利的战争,维也纳政府可以支持他们,却不可能无限度的投入。 Only if can end the war in a short time, otherwise finally spells is the financial resource. Has had the lesson of previous war, the Tsar government does not have the fantasy of quick victory. 除非能够在短期内结束战争,要不然最后拼的就是财力。有过上一次战争的教训,沙皇政府已经没有了速胜的幻想。 Napoleon IV shakes the head: Now starts to take action, the Russia person feared that was not silly!” 拿破仑四世摇了摇头:“现在才开始行动,俄国人怕不是傻了吧!” The Russia mission snatched arrived before William I's visit to Paris, superficially was not definitely late. However Napoleon IV said the evening, reasonable. 俄国使团抢在威廉一世访问巴黎前抵达,表面上来看肯定不算晚。不过拿破仑四世说晚,也是有道理的。 Once France and Russia had the opportunity of mutual closing up, what a pity both sides have not treasured. This is the issue left over by history, the two countries contradictions that the anti-France war brings, in the Near East war enlarges again. 曾经法俄两国有相互靠拢的机会,可惜双方都没有珍惜。这是历史遗留问题,反法战争带来的两国矛盾,近东战争中又再一次放大。 Napoleon III once wanted to relax French and Russian relations, was blocked by British Austria two countries, finally ends in failure. 拿破仑三世一度想要缓和法俄关系,遭到了英两国的阻挠,最后以失败告终。 After territory trades, France , Russia lost the benefit hub jointly, the opportunity of last time alliance is shattered. 普德领土交易过后,法俄丧失了联手的利益枢纽,最后一次联盟的机会破灭。 In this world does not have the regret after the fact, with changing constantly of international situation, France already not with the need that the Russia person forms an alliance. 这个世界上没有后悔药,随着国际局势的风云变幻,法国已经没有和俄国人结盟的需要。 Young Napoleon IV, is also ambitious, wants to exceed the father, establishes a bigger merit. 年纪轻轻的拿破仑四世,同样也是野心勃勃,想要超越父亲,建立更大的功绩。 Therefore, what France needs is only the little brother, rather than competitor. 因此,法兰西需要的只是小弟,而不是竞争对手。 Russian Empire is impossible to persist in the haughty manner to become the little brother, even if Alexander II can steel oneself for revenge, the Russia people will not comply. 俄罗斯帝国不可能放下架子给人当小弟,就算是亚历山大二世能够卧薪尝胆,俄国民众也不会答应。 Foreign minister Dumbledores beckons with the hand: „ The diplomacy of Russia person has compared along with the nature, does not have any quite strange. 外交大臣邓布利多摆了摆手:“俄国人的外交一直都比较随性,没有什么好奇怪的。 Formed an alliance to start from the past Nicholas I and Austria advantage, succeeded to the throne own sparse Austria strategy that from now on will execute to Alexander II, got angry to Prussia again afterward, as well as suddenly Austria Union breakage was so. 从当年尼古拉一世和地利结盟开始,到亚历山大二世继位过后执行的亲普疏战略,再到后来普俄翻脸,以及俄同盟破裂都是如此。 The foreign policy of Tsar government, was been too big by individual will influence. Not only does not have the long-term plan, but also often changes, even is self-contradictory. ” 沙皇政府的外交战略,受个人意志影响太大了。不仅没有长远规划,还时常发生变化,甚至是自相矛盾。” As if realized anything, Dumbledores chooses to stop decisively. The foreign policy of Tsar government is chaotic, the foreign policy of French government actually does not have many. 似乎意识到了什么,邓布利多果断的选择就此打住。沙皇政府的外交政策乱,法国政府的外交政策其实也没有好多少。 What in the European power the foreign policy continues is best is British Austria both countries, the European balance policy of British Austria two countries, finished after the anti-France war has continued now. 欧洲大国中外交政策延续最好的是英两国,英两国的欧陆平衡政策,从反法战争结束后一直持续到现在。 Although in midway has had the accident, but the big direction has not changed. The present European political pattern, is British Austria European balance the product under policy. 中途虽然发生过变故,但大的方向从来没有变化过。现在的欧洲政治格局,都是英“欧陆平衡”政策下的产物。 Napoleon IV nods: „ Ok, this is also a good deed. The Russia person came, I am good and federation discuss the price. 拿破仑四世点了点头:“算了,这也是一件好事。俄国人来了,我才好和普波联邦谈价钱。 Continental Europe was too small, cannot accommodate so many great nations. Austria benefits, an England, suffices us to receive, cannot present fourth. ” 欧洲大陆太小了,容不下这么多大国。一个地利、一个英格兰,就够我们受的了,再也不能出现第四极了。” The cake is so big, three minutes/shares cannot satisfy everyone's appetite, come to one home to be divided the cake again, no one will welcome. 蛋糕就这么大,三家分就已经不能满足大家的胃口了,再来一家分蛋糕的,谁都不会欢迎。 In issue that in suppressing the successor rises, the standpoints of UK , France Austria three countries' are it can be said that consistent. Supports federation, supports Russian Empire, has a prerequisite- cannot make them grow strong. 在压制后来者崛起的问题上,英法三国的立场可以说是一致的。无论是支持普波联邦,还是支持俄罗斯帝国,都有一个前提条件-不能让他们发展壮大。 The UK , France Austria three countries this time are divided into two waves, seems like that because of benefit, in fact everyone had come to a consensus: Cannot make Prussia two countries any win the war with ease. 英法三国这次分成两波,看似是因为利益,实际上大家心里早就达成了默契:不能让普俄两国任何一家轻松赢得战争。 In this round of diplomatic competition, the Russia person lost from the beginning. Regardless of the Tsar government diligently, is not how impossible to obtain supports. 在这一轮外交竞争中,俄国人从一开始就输了。无论沙皇政府如何努力,都不可能获得更多支持。 Foreign minister Dumbledores: „ Your majesty, the news that spreads from London, William I am seeking the great nation to form an alliance, the English had rejected them clearly. 外交大臣邓布利多:“陛下,从伦敦传来的消息,威廉一世在寻求大国结盟,英国人已经明确拒绝了他们。 If as expected, William I will also seek with us forms an alliance. This issue relations are major, we are prudent. ” 如果不出意外的话,威廉一世还会寻求和我们结盟。这个问题关系重大,我们必须要慎重。” Law popularization forms an alliance, if 20-30 years ago, the French government looks forward to an ally to share the pressure. Even more than ten years ago, the French government can still complying without hesitation. “普法结盟”,如果是在20-30年前的话,法国政府巴不得有一个盟友分担压力。即便是在十几年前,法国政府也会毫不犹豫的答应。 Now was different, regardless of the UK , France Austria triple alliances for the time being, French Spain ally, have not eaten what is offered to the demand of ally. 现在不一样了,英法三国同盟姑且不论,法国还有一个西班牙盟友,对盟友的需求再也不是那么饥不择食了。 Napoleon IV sneers saying: Has nothing to consider. Federation wants to form an alliance with us, that must first beat the Russia person to say again. If they lost the war, what qualifications but also there is we discussed that forms an alliance?” 拿破仑四世冷笑道:“没什么好考虑的。普波联邦想要和我们结盟,那也要先击败俄国人再说。如果他们输了战争,还有什么资格和我们谈结盟?” Now forms an alliance, French government besides fulfilling duty, what advantage can receive? 现在法普结盟,法国政府除了承担义务外,能够拿到什么好处? Even if federation won, Napoleon IV must measure the advantages that the law popularization forms an alliance well. At least the attitude of British Austria two countries, they have to consider. 即便是普波联邦获得了胜利,拿破仑四世都要好好权衡普法结盟的利弊。至少英两国的态度,他们就不得不考虑。 ...... …… The grand welcome ceremony ended, visited Aleksandrowicz of Paris( Alexander III) on crown prince face to reveal the worried again. 盛大的欢迎仪式结束,再次造访巴黎的亚历山德罗维奇(亚历山大三世)皇储脸上露出了浓浓的忧愁。 The seemingly grand welcome ceremony, is actually mixing with the meaning of thick alienation. Without a doubt, the Paris People do not welcome their. 看似盛大的欢迎仪式,却夹杂着浓浓的疏远之意。毫无疑问,巴黎民众是不欢迎他们的。 If not the Bonaparte family wants to integrate in the European royal family circle, takes seriously the formality, perhaps the face-saving project was disinclined to do. 如果不是波拿巴家族想要融入欧洲王室圈子里,非常重视礼节,恐怕面子工程都懒得做了。 Just started is a demonstration of authority, Aleksandrowicz does not hold the hope to the following negotiations. 刚开始就是一个下马威,亚历山德罗维奇对接下来的谈判已经不抱有希望。 Originally according to his meaning, the first stand visits Denmark, treats as the public relations key point the Northern European federation, listened to the destiny as for the UK , France completely human affairs on the line. 本来按照他的意思,第一站是访问丹麦的,将北欧联邦当做公关重点,至于英法尽人事听天命就行了。 Very regrettable, Russian Empire has not been one's turn his crown prince to take responsibility. Even he has participated in government affairs many years, the right to speak on diplomacy was still very low. 很遗憾,俄罗斯帝国还轮不到他这个皇储做主。即便是他已经参与政务很多年,外交上的发言权仍然很低。 Wins over UK , France, seems like the return to be rich, can secure the victory directly, in fact absolutely does not have the successful possibility. 拉拢英法,看似回报丰厚,可以直接锁定胜局,实际上根本就没有成功的可能。 The most essential issue is chip, the Tsar government cannot put out the benefit that made them move. 最关键的问题是“筹码”,沙皇政府根本就拿不出令他们动心的利益。 Makes the mortgage with the gold? Sorry, Tsar does not dare. UK , France untrustworthy Russia person, Tsar government similarly also untrustworthy UK , France. 拿黄金做抵押?抱歉,沙皇不敢。英法信不过俄国人,沙皇政府同样也信不过英法。 Different benefits from Austria in, if the Austria altruistic violation, they can also real swords and spears makes a war. The war cost obviously in taking away to mortgage above the gold, these benefits are also not enough to make the Vienna government violation. 不同于地利就在跟前,如果地利人违约,他们还可以真刀真枪的干一仗。战争成本明显在拿去抵押黄金之上,这些利益还不足以令维也纳政府违约。 UK , France were different, is a thousand-mile away, the Russia person cannot reach them, if which day disobeyed making sadly, the Russia economy will collapse immediately, the opportunity of even retaliating does not have. 英法就不一样了,远在千里之外,俄国人根本就够不着他们,万一哪天心情不好违了约,俄国经济马上就会崩溃,连报复的机会都没有。 Territory mortgage? don't said the mortgage, even if sells or is the cession, they are willing to give UK , France not to dare to want. 领土抵押?莫说抵押,即便是出售或者是割让,他们肯给英法也不敢要。 Normally, does not have any European country is willing to make the ally with the Russia person. UK , France are the colonial empire, does not lack together the administrative enclave. 正常情况下,没有任何一个欧洲国家愿意和俄国人做盟友。英法都是殖民帝国,根本就不缺一块飞地。 Without the diplomacy of benefit, is playing the hooligan. Crown Prince Aleksandrowicz at completely human affairs, natural interest high. 没有利益的外交,都是在耍流氓。亚历山德罗维奇皇储只是在尽人事,自然兴致高不起来。 Your highness, tomorrow William I must arrive in Paris, the French arranges in the welcoming banquet together, clearly is the anxious good intention.” An official in the Department of Foreign Affairs indignant say/way of accompanying “殿下,明天威廉一世就要抵达巴黎了,法国人把欢迎宴会安排在一起,分明就是不安好心。”一名随行的外交部官员愤愤不平道 After silent moment time, saying that Aleksandrowicz coldly: Said that my is not healthy, the tomorrow's banquet will not participate.” 沉默了片刻功夫后,亚历山德罗维奇冷冷的说道:“就说我身体不舒服,明天的宴会就不参加了。” As crown prince Aleksandrowicz is also arrogant, how might be willing to receive this humiliation? 作为皇储亚历山德罗维奇也是傲气十足的,怎么可能愿意受这种屈辱呢? As the crown prince, now Aleksandrowicz is only Archduke, but William I am a king, puts together in the status first lowers a scale. 作为皇储,现在亚历山德罗维奇只是一名大公,而威廉一世是国王,放在一起身份上就先低一个档次。 In Prussia war forthcoming during, this inopportune meeting, who knows that what news outside newspaper can arrange? 普俄战争即将爆发的当口,这种不合时宜的会面,谁知道外面的报纸会编排出什么新闻来? But, Your highness. If not go, the outside world meets......” “可是,殿下。如果不去的话,外界会……” Does not need he saying that Aleksandrowicz hits to block the way: „ Without so many, but, what will the outside world say? Nothing but was arranges some us to fear the piece. 不待他说完,亚历山德罗维奇就打断道:“没有那么多可是,外界会说什么?无非是编排一些我们怕了段子。 Relates in France , Russia, you thought that the French newspaper can speak our words of praise? If wanted to listen to others to speak the word of praise, you can put up the cash directly, this was more effective than anything. ” 就凭法俄之间关系,你觉得法国报纸会说我们的好话么?如果想要听人家说好话,你可以直接砸钱,这比什么都管用。” More is understands France, Aleksandrowicz more does not have the confidence. Thought back on the past years, for the Polish independence movement, the French organized the volunteer troops unexpectedly. 越是了解法国,亚历山德罗维奇越没有信心。遥想当年,为了波兰独立运动,法国人居然组织了志愿军。 Although this volunteer troops have not trod the entrance finally, may be unable to block from the Russian thick evil intention. Under this background, wants to conduct an opinion warfare in Paris, except for putting up the cash to have no alternative. 虽然最后这支志愿军没有踏出国门,可对俄罗斯浓浓的恶意还是遮不住的。这种背景下,想要在巴黎进行一场舆论战,除了砸钱别无选择。 If France in the republican time, the public opinion can affect the government policy decision, then put up the cash also to pound. Obviously now is not, spends much money also to throw away carelessly. 如果法国处于共和时代,舆论能够影响到政府决策,那么砸钱也就砸了。显然现在不是,砸再多的钱也是打水漂。 Aleksandrowicz deliberately compels William I, William I also to hide from Aleksandrowicz, two people as if came to a consensus, does not appear in the same place absolutely. 亚历山德罗维奇刻意逼着威廉一世,威廉一世也在躲着亚历山德罗维奇,两人似乎达成了默契,绝对不在同一个地方出现。 Seemed like looked through the sinister intention of French, two people are deliberately avoiding clashing directly, this let want to look at the eating melon people of good play disappointedly. 似乎是看破了法国人的险恶用心,两人都在刻意避免直接爆发冲突,这让想要看好戏的吃瓜群众失望不已。 Palace of Versailles, Napoleon IV is meeting with William I, the scene is the harmony happiness, seems the good friend who many years has not seen gathers. 凡尔赛宫,拿破仑四世正在和威廉一世会面,场面是其乐融融,仿佛是多年没见的好朋友相聚。 Another side, two countries representatives are revolving the benefit to start battle of words. Sees the short time unable to make the breakthrough, federal foreign minister Friedman shifts the topic decisively. 另一边,法普两国代表正围绕着利益开始唇枪舌战。见短时间无法取得突破,普波联邦外交大臣杰弗理・弗里德曼果断的转移话题。 Your excellency, current international situation, is not only disadvantageous to us , is also very disadvantageous to your country.” “阁下,目前的国际局势,不光是对我们不利,对贵国同样也很不利。” law foreign minister Dumbledores shakes the head: „ Count, has no need to say things just to frighten people here. The present international political pattern, to France, is in recent centuries the best period. 法外交大臣邓布利多摇了摇头:“伯爵,用不着在这里危言耸听。现在的国际政治格局,对法兰西来说,可是近百年来最好的时期。 Most difficult day, we, let alone is the present! Some threats, are not worth mentioning. ” 最艰难的日子,我们都挺过来了,何况是现在呢!些许威胁,根本就不值得一提。” This is the fact, about hundred come to France to be in the European politics vortex, was hostile and aims by everyone. 这是事实,近百来法兰西一直都处于欧洲政治漩涡中,被大家敌视、针对。 Friedman carried the coffee, drank a small mouth, then asked: Real? Austria of strength rapid rise benefits, can't you feel the threat?” 杰弗理・弗里德曼端起了咖啡,喝了一小口,然后问道:“真的么?难道实力急剧增长的地利,你们也感受不到威胁?” Dumbledores sneers saying: „ Austria benefits is truly powerful, quick of also development, but could not have threatened great France. 邓布利多冷笑道:“地利确实很强大,发展的也很快,但还威胁不到伟大的法兰西。 Is your country needs to face directly the pressure that Austria benefits on the contrary, the boundary line of Austria two countries is so long, now the Vienna government is supporting the Russia person. ” 反倒是贵国才需要直面地利的压力,普两国的边界线那么长,现在维也纳政府又在支持俄国人。” Austria benefitted the threat, the French government naturally feels, but did not have federation is so obvious. The boundary line of two countries is not long, France to own military power is the self-confidence of fan, naturally feels not many. 地利威胁,法国政府自然感受到了,只是没有普波联邦那么明显。两国的边界线不长,法国对自家的军事实力又是迷之自信,自然感受不多。 Friedman put out the prepared material, gave Dumbledores. 杰弗理・弗里德曼拿出了事先准备好的资料,递给了邓布利多。 This is Austria that we collect benefits some information, your excellency can have a look.” “这是我们搜集到的地利部分情报,阁下可以看看。” Since has offended Austria to benefit, that achieves the bottom simply. In order to avoid the Vienna government draws the offset frame in the following war, the Berlin government naturally must look for an enemy to the Austria advantage. 既然已经得罪了地利,那就干脆做到底。为了避免维也纳政府在接下来的战争中拉偏架,柏林政府自然要给地利找一个敌人。 Looks over the world, has the strength to divert only has UK and France that Austria benefits. The English were too sly, is not good to deceive, benefits with Austria is far away, cannot feel the threat that Austria benefits. 纵观世界,有实力牵制住地利的就只有英法两国。英国人太狡猾了,不好糊弄,和地利又相距甚远,根本就感受不到地利的威胁。 Was different as the French of neighbor, both countries are the competitors, next door a little slightest sign of trouble, they will care. 作为邻居的法国人就不一样了,两国一直都是竞争对手,隔壁一点儿风吹草动,他们都会关心。
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