HRE :: Volume #7

#652: Extension of hegemony struggle


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In British Ministry of Foreign Affairs reception room, atmosphere especially strange. A side in negotiations is intense extremely, actually has to hang the smile ; Another side obviously does not have the interest, actually also pretends earnestly to listen attentively. 英国外交部会客厅内,气氛格外的诡异。谈判中的一方紧张万分,却不得不挂着笑脸;另一方明明毫无兴致,却也装作认真倾听。 This strange one, is brave two countries negotiations. Starts that moment from the negotiations, both sides on being in unequal status, 这诡异的一幕,正是英普两国谈判现场。从谈判开始那一刻,双方就处于了不平等地位, Does not have money with the average person pocket , the belly is also hungry, must borrow money to eat meal almost. In order to borrow money, that is...... 就和普通人兜里没钱,肚子又饿,要向人借钱吃饭差不多。为了借到钱,那是…… British foreign minister Edward beckons with the hand: Sorry, Count. This matter I am helpless. The loan is the business of bank, you should go to discuss with the bankers.” 英外交大臣爱德华摆了摆手:“抱歉,伯爵阁下。这件事情恕我无能为力。贷款是银行的业务,你应该去和银行家们谈。” By the attitude, taking advantage of does not bring in money merely obviously. Enough benefit, won't John Bull possibly have taken out money? 仅仅只是靠态度,显然是借不来钱的。没有足够的利益,约翰牛怎么可能会掏钱呢? Federal foreign minister Friedman: „ Knight, the bank that side we ditch had passed, needs your government to provide the endorsement. Please feel relieved, this time we have the sincerity. 普波联邦外交大臣弗里德曼:“爵士,银行那边我们已经沟通过了,需要贵国政府提供背书。请你放心,这次我们非常非常有诚意。 The interest can enhance 30 based on world average interest rate, we can also make the mortgage with the financial revenue, colony, railroad, mine and harbor. ” 利息可以在国际平均利率的基础上提高30,我们还可以用财政收入、殖民地、铁路、矿山、港口做抵押。” Although the international loan the profit is high, the risk that but has is also huge. Without government endorsement, who dares to make the international loan who is a fool. 国际贷款虽然利润丰厚,可是存在的风险也是巨大的。在没有政府“背书”的情况下,谁敢做国际贷款谁就是傻子。 Has government endorsement, in the event of the default, the government will involve to receive money. Although cannot guarantee that certainly can receive, may also increase the penalty cost of opposite party. 有政府“背书”,一旦出现债务违约,政府就会介入收款。虽然不能保证一定能够收回来,可也增加了对方的违约成本。 Without government endorsement, that oneself demands payment! Similar learning from another's mistakes may be many, for example: Front Tsar government debt violation. 要是没有政府“背书”,那就自己去要账吧!类似的前车之鉴可不少,比如说:前面沙皇政府债务违约。 Has all governments provide endorsement debt, finally solves through the negotiations, many can take back part. Does not have government endorsement the debt, was erased directly. 有各国政府提供“背书”的债务,最后是通过谈判解决的,多少能够收回一部分。没有政府“背书”的债务,直接被抹掉了。 This Prussia war result is difficult to predict, has federation after the war is an unknown, does not have the London government endorsement, the bankers naturally not to dare to meet this business again, the interest high is not again good. 这次普俄战争胜负难料,战后还有没有普波联邦都是一个未知数,再没有伦敦政府背书,银行家们自然不敢接这笔业务,利息再高也不行。 This year government is hardly strict to the money market regulation, but without obtaining government support, wants to raise over a hundred million pounds from the money market, that is not possible to achieve. 这年头政府对金融市场监管几乎不严,可是在没有获得政府支持的情况下,想要从金融市场上募集上亿英镑,那也是不可能做到的。 British foreign minister Edward shakes the head: „ Count, your sincerity I felt, but this had no function. 英外交大臣爱德华摇了摇头:“伯爵阁下,你们的诚意我感受到了,但这没有任何作用。 The destructiveness of war big, everyone is clear. Now the Prussia war is ready to be set off, only then your country wins, the debt may honor an agreement. 战争的破坏性有多大,大家都是一清二楚。现在普俄战争一触即发,只有贵国获得胜利,债务才有可能履约。 This also merely is only possible. Russian Empire is not easy to cope, even if your country can beat them again, should still pay a big price, after the war did your country repay these debts with what? 这也仅仅只是可能。俄罗斯帝国可不是那么容易对付,即便是贵国能够再次击败他们,也会付出不小的代价,战后贵国拿什么偿还这些债务? War indemnity? 战争赔款? With all due respect, if the Tsar government is rich, the war will not end. 恕我直言,沙皇政府要是有钱的话,战争就不会结束。 Spoils of war that your country can obtain, nothing but is the land, population and factory, these things are truly precious, what a pity cannot change presently. 贵国能够获得的战利品,无非是土地、人口、工厂,这些东西确实很宝贵,可惜变不了现。 Even because of the reason of war, your country must invest so much funds to reconstruct. In future a long time, in the finance bears. 甚至因为战争的缘故,贵国还要投入大量的资金进行重建。在未来很长一段时间内,财政上都是负担。 This is the most ideal condition. If the war falls into the deeply worried condition, turned into the long-term resistance, the aspect will be worse. 这还是最理想的状态。如果战争陷入焦灼状态,变成了长期对抗,局面还会更加糟糕。 If some day your country is not really able to honor an agreement, makes everyone take these collateral to live? 假如有一天贵国真的无法履约,难道让大家拿着这些抵押品过日子么? The Count you should be clear, to the banker, the collateral that your country puts out does not have the function in fact. ” 伯爵阁下你应该清楚,对银行家来说,贵国拿出的抵押品不存在实质上的作用。” Edward's words had restrained, had not said issue that federation defeats, but in the reality actually must consider. 爱德华的话已经非常克制了,没有说普波联邦战败的问题,可现实中却必须要考虑。 Won the war, is unable to safeguard the debt to fulfill normally, loses the war also to. 赢得了战争,都无法保障债务正常履行,输了战争还得了。 To this war, Friedman is confident. However he is confident, was not equal to that the English is also confident. 对这场战争,弗里德曼还是有信心的。然而他有信心,不等于英国人也有信心。 No matter acknowledged that the comprehensive national strength of Russia person above federation. 不管承不承认,俄国人的综合国力都在普波联邦之上。 They can win the previous war, that is because various European countries want the Russia person to lose, the Tsar government puts in the strength that and they battle truly, most also on half. 他们能够赢得上一次战争,那是因为欧洲各国都想要俄国人输,沙皇政府真正投入和他们作战的力量,最多也就一半。 At this time is different in those days, after weakening the Russian Empire has not received everyone to dread, wanting various countries to donate money to them helps, must speak with the benefit. 今时不同往日,削弱后的俄罗斯帝国没有那么受大家忌惮,想要各国出钱出力给他们帮忙,就要用利益说话。 After hesitant moment time, Friedman asked directly: Knight, what does your country want to obtain?” 犹豫了片刻功夫后,弗里德曼直接问道:“爵士,贵国想要获得什么?” Federation has not discussed that now the energy of condition, wastes the time with it in the negotiations, might as well lay cards on the table directly, so long as in any case the English is willing to take out money, all discussed well. 普波联邦现在没有谈条件的底气,与其在谈判中浪费时间,不如直接摊牌,反正只要英国人肯掏钱,一切都好商量。 British foreign minister Edward beckons with the hand: „ Count misunderstood. We have not wanted to obtain anything, you must believe the friendship between our two countries can withstand the test, but the bankers need a safeguard. 英外交大臣爱德华摆了摆手:“伯爵阁下误会了。我们并没有想要获得什么,你要相信我们两国间的友谊是经得起考验的,只是银行家们需要一个保障。 If your country can store Bank of England to make the guarantee the reserve, everyone greatly will certainly enhance to your confidence, your country at least can obtain 60 million pounds loan. ” 如果贵国能够把储备金存入英格兰银行做担保,大家对你们信心一定会大大提高,贵国至少可以获得6000万英镑的贷款。” Friedman complexion instantaneous ugly/difficult to look at, 60 million sterling credit sounds very attractive, in fact currently the reserve of federation release currency has 478.6 tons gold. 弗里德曼脸色瞬间难看了起来,6000万英镑贷款听起来很诱人,实际上现在普波联邦发行货币的储备金都有478.6吨黄金。 Naturally, because of the relations of international settlement, in federation hand must preserve some gold, can store the gold of Bank of England, the value probably also in 60 million pounds high and low. 当然,因为国际结算的关系,普波联邦手中还是要留存一部分黄金的,能够存入英格兰银行的黄金,价值大概也就在6000万英镑上下。 This is not only the issue of gold, but also involved the monetary issue. Once the gold fell into the hand of English, wanted to take carry back again is difficult. 这不仅仅是黄金的问题,还牵扯到了货币发行。一旦黄金落入了英国人的手中,想要再拿回来就难了。 The reserve in Englander's hands, the monetary issue of federation, has to be influenced by London government in the future. Is somewhat similar to the Federal Reserve of later generation, can affect the world economy through the monetary policy. 储备金在英国人手中,未来普波联邦的货币发行,就不得不受伦敦政府影响。和后世的美联储有些类似,可以通过货币政策影响世界经济。 It‘s nothing quite strange, the itself American learns from the English. Nothing but is the national strength of US is more powerful, the hegemony many that must stabilize compared with Britain. 没什么好奇怪的,本身美国人就是向英国人学习的。无非是美国的国力更加强大,霸权要比不列颠要稳定的多。 As a result of the Franz butterfly effect, the aegis force potential killed, the pound is unable the unshared currency hegemony. Under this situation, the English stares at federation is not strange. 由于弗朗茨的蝴蝶效应,神盾强迫势杀了出来,英镑无法独享货币霸权。在这种背景下,英国人盯上普波联邦就不奇怪了。 To the Berlin government, stores Bank of England the gold, not only lost the currency autonomy purely, is a politics stands in line. 对柏林政府来说,把黄金存入英格兰银行,不光是单纯的丧失了货币自主权,同时也是一次政治站队。 The choice support English, naturally can offend law Austria both countries. It is not right, should say that offended Austria to benefit. 选择支持英国人,自然会得罪法两国。不对,应该说是得罪了地利。 The relations that because the gold reserve is insufficient, in the struggle of this round of currency hegemony, the franc have been eliminated. 因为黄金储备不足的关系,在这一轮货币霸权之争中,法郎已经率先出局了。 How long without to hesitate, Friedman gave the answer: „ 60 million pounds loan were too few, the gold values in our hand are not lower than this number. Let alone also has the additional politics and economic value. 没有犹豫多久,弗里德曼就给出了答案:“6000万英镑的贷款太少了,我们手中的黄金价值就不低于这个数。更何况还有附加的政治、经济价值。 Once stores Bank of England the gold, we will offend Austria inevitably altruistic. In the following Prussia war, the right to speak that Austria benefits is heaviest. 一旦将黄金存入英格兰银行,我们势必会得罪地利人。在接下来的普俄战争中,地利的话语权是最重的。 In some time ago, the Vienna government also proposed similar request, the condition that they give may want rich many. ” 就在不久前,维也纳政府也提出了类似的要求,他们给出的条件可要丰厚的多。” The Vienna government set requirement, as the competitor, the English did not have the means to try to prove. Even if no, the Berlin government is willing to deliver, the Vienna government will not reject. 维也纳政府有没有提出要求,作为竞争对手,英国人没有办法去求证。就算是没有,柏林政府肯送上门去,维也纳政府也不会拒绝。 Edward shows a faint smile, makes the pretence to rise in prices with the Austria advantage to Friedman, he is not surprised, in the diplomacy this matter is very common. 爱德华微微一笑,对弗里德曼拿地利做幌子提价,他并不感到意外,外交上这种事情很常见。 However the first stand that William I will visit placed London, means that the Berlin government favors cooperates with them. 不过威廉一世将出访的第一站放在了伦敦,就意味着柏林政府更加倾向于同他们合作。 The exploratory nature said: „ Count, this issue can discuss slowly, we will not make the friend suffer a loss. 试探性说道:“伯爵阁下,这个问题可以慢慢谈,我们是不会让朋友吃亏的。 Bids as for the Vienna government is higher, that also wants them to fulfill the commitment to be good. Although suddenly Austria Union terminated, but suddenly Austria relations have not severed. 至于维也纳政府出价更高,那也要他们能够兑现承诺才行。俄同盟虽然终止了,可是俄关系还没有破裂。 In these 30 years, the economy of suddenly Austria two countries had tied up recently in one. Even if the Vienna government is willing to abandon the Tsar government, is not the short time can achieve. 在最近这三十年里,俄两国的经济已经捆绑在了一起。就算是维也纳政府肯抛弃沙皇政府,也不是短时间能够做到的。 What choice regardless of your country makes, Austria not possibly benefits for your country, makes cutting with the Russia person, this is the benefit decision. ” 无论贵国做出什么样的选择,地利都不可能为了贵国,就和俄国人做切割,这是利益决定的。” Friedman nods, this is the indisputable fact, economically suddenly Austria both countries truly stood in one. If not both countries has the ambition to the hegemony, suddenly Austria Union will not dismiss. 弗里德曼点了点头,这是不争的事实,经济上俄两国确实站在了一起。如果不是两国都对霸权怀有野心,俄同盟也不会解散。 The Berlin government rather chooses the prestige worse English cooperation, without to common origin, but the Austria advantage seeks help, because of dreading of heart deep place to suddenly Austria relations. 柏林政府宁愿选择声誉更差的英国人合作,也没有向同源而出的地利求助,就是因为内心深处对俄关系的忌惮。 Stopped, Edward continues to add: Your country wanted to win this war, but also need more supporters. As the friend, we are glad to provide the help for your country very much.” 停顿了一下,爱德华继续补充道:“贵国想要赢得这场战争,还需要更多的支持者。作为朋友,我们很乐意为贵国提供帮助。” Edward said that this saying has the energy, although Britain is not good because of the prestige of Europe, but the influence diplomatically was still huge. 爱德华说这话是有底气的,尽管不列颠在欧洲的声誉不好,可在外交上的影响力仍然是巨大的。 The small country do not suggest, what is most essential is the effect on France. Restores from Napoleon III starts, the Paris government is flooding massive pro-UK factions. 小国就不要提了,最关键的还是对法兰西的影响。从拿破仑三世复辟开始,巴黎政府就充斥着大量的亲英派。 If the British government is willing to go into action to handle these people, federation seeks the difficulty that the French supports greatly to reduce. 如果英国政府肯出马搞定这些人,普波联邦寻求法国人支持的难度将大大降低。 Friedman moved, is not short-sighted, is in federation hand the chip are too really few. 弗里德曼动心了,不是眼皮子浅,实在是普波联邦手中筹码太少。 So-called colony, on a scrap of South China Peninsula, the Berlin government has not operated, is not valuable. 所谓的殖民地,也就中南半岛的一小块,柏林政府都没怎么经营,根本就不值钱。 So-called financial revenue, is a joke. Recently have more than ten years, except for selling that year of place, when had the surplus? 所谓的“财政收入”,更是一个笑话。最近十几年,除了卖地的那一年,什么时候有过结余? Even with mortgaged, similarly must maintain the government to revolve, otherwise banker do collect taxes? 就算是拿出来抵押了,同样要维持政府运转啊,要不然银行家自己去收税? Railroad, mine and harbor , can only listen. These industrial majorities personal, those who truly are the Berlin government is only few. 铁路、矿山、港口,也就只能听听而已。这些产业大部分都是私人的,真正属于柏林政府的只是极少数。 The private property is sacred, the government naturally has no right handling, the Berlin government can mortgage, is the asset of government. 私有财产神圣不可侵犯,政府自然是无权处置,柏林政府能够抵押的,都是属于政府的资产。 ...... ……
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