London, the thick fog fills the air. Steps this city visionally again, the mood of William I am especially different. 伦敦,还是浓雾弥漫。再次踏上这座梦幻般的城市,威廉一世的心情格外不同。 brave royal family relations are good, both sides were the doubly-related parents-in-law, the son of William I married the daughter of Queen Victoria. 英普王室关系还是不错的,双方是儿女亲家,威廉一世的儿子娶了维多利亚女王的女儿。 William I comes visiting, naturally received the high high-standard reception of British royal family. However the English is warm, has not made William I feel a warmth. 威廉一世来访,自然是受到了英国王室的高规格接待。然而英国人热情,却没有让威廉一世感受到一丝温暖。 Without the means that in the crowd of reception, has not presented the form of senior government officials official. Without a doubt, the London government to his arrival, does not regard as important. 没办法,在接待的人群中,没有出现英国政府高层官员的身影。毫无疑问,伦敦政府对他的到来,并不怎么看重。 Diplomatically this is the commonly used method, with the aid of this way indicated that the political stand, exerts pressure on the pressure, but is very effective. 在外交上这是常用的手段,借助这种方式表明政治立场、施压压力,但还是非常的有效。 Different from the first Prussia war, the London government donates money, to draw the offset frame does not hesitate to offend the Russia person to block Baltic Sea, was Prussia won the war to lay the foundation. 不同于第一次普俄战争,伦敦政府是出钱出力,为了拉偏架不惜得罪俄国人封锁波罗的海,为普鲁士赢得战争奠定了基础。 Now has declined Russian Empire, was unable to pose a threat to the interests of Britain. What replaces it is the law Austria two new threats, continue to suppress Russia not to need. 现在已经衰落的俄罗斯帝国,已经无法威胁到不列颠的利益。取而代之的是法奥两个新的威胁,继续打压俄罗斯已经没有必要。 Perhaps looks like in the London government, suddenly Austria Union has burst. Let Russian Empire retain certain strength, can divert part of strengths that Austria benefits in the back, keeping them from investing full power European strives for hegemony, helping continental Europe maintain the balance. 或许在伦敦政府看来,俄奥同盟已经破裂。让俄罗斯帝国保持一定的实力,可以在背后牵制奥地利的一部分力量,让他们无法全力投入欧陆争霸中,有利于欧洲大陆保持平衡。 Federation wants to earn the support of English in the war , without the international situation to do to use, can only take the benefit speech. 普波联邦想要在战争中获得英国人的支持,没有国际局势做可以利用,只能拿利益说话。 The welcoming banquet is held normally, attended the banquet is one group of aristocrats, the senior government officials still have not appeared. 欢迎宴会正常举行,参加宴会的都是一帮贵族,英国政府高层依然没有出现。 Downing Street prime minister observes Di within/inner, is conducting a cabinet meeting. It is not the London government efficiency is low, is mainly William I comes was too quick. 唐宁街首相观邸内,正在进行一次内阁会议。不是伦敦政府效率低,主要是威廉一世来的太快了。 In the queen ineffective situation, the power of British Cabinet is big, the work load is also naturally big. 在女王不管事的情况下,英国内阁的权力非常大,工作量自然也非常大。 The new round Prussia war, the London government truly attaches great importance to very much, but has not hit after all. 新一轮的普俄战争,伦敦政府确实很重视,可毕竟还没有打起来。 The war is not the child's play, according to the normal condition, drags for several months, or is 1-2 years, is the normal condition. 战争不是儿戏,按照正常情况,拖上几个月、或者是1-2,都是正常情况。 Prime Minister Benjamin: „ William I had come, Crown Prince Russia will also arrive next month, we need to make the choice now. 本杰明首相:“威廉一世已经来了,俄国皇储也会在下个月抵达,我们现在需要做出选择了。 For Britain, I hope that can the rational analysis, seize the biggest benefit for the empire. ” 为了不列颠,我希望诸位能够理性分析,为帝国攫取最大的利益。” The result of this Prussia war, to the London government, previous time is not essential. Who wins who loses, the patterns of three big empire control world, will not change. 这次普俄战争的胜负,对伦敦政府来说,已经没有上一次那么关键。无论是谁胜谁负,三大帝国主宰世界的格局,都不会发生变化。 Foreign minister Edward: „ Now most this/should care this issue should be Austria benefits, the result of Prussia war, will decide who they in the future the potential competitor is. 外交大臣爱德华:“现在最该关心这个问题的应该是奥地利,普俄战争的胜负,将决定他们未来潜在的竞争对手是谁。 Prussia resists mutually, in fact is a good choice. Now the Austria altruistic ignores Prussia war breaks out, it seems like that the Vienna government was not glad to the present situation. 普俄相互对抗,实际上就是一个不错的选择。现在奥地利人放任普俄战争爆发,看来维也纳政府又不甘于现状了。 The strength growth that recently for these years, Austria benefitted was rapid. Especially economically, prominent of especially performance. 最近这几年,奥地利的实力增长非常快。尤其是经济上,表现的尤为突出。 Besides the military power, Austria benefits has surpassed France comprehensively. If the French is unable to digest the Italian area for a long time, the strength of law Austria two countries will lose the balance sooner or later. ” 除了军事实力外,奥地利已经全面超越法兰西。如果法国人长时间无法消化意大利地区,法奥两国的实力早晚会失去平衡。” Now law Austria both countries are the enemies in Britain , there is nothing to do other only strength. law Austria both countries have strength that threatens the English, is the enemy of London government. 现在法奥两国才是不列颠的敌人,无关其它唯实力尔。法奥两国拥有威胁英国人的实力,就是伦敦政府的敌人。 The UK , France Austria three countries form an alliance, that is for the common interest. The paper treaty of alliance, can restrain everyone's behavior, the reduced colony conflicts, saves massive military spending. 英法奥三国结盟,那是为了共同的利益。有一纸盟约在,可以约束大家的行为,减少殖民地冲突,节省大量的军费开支。 Forms an alliance the conclusion pledge, the suppression and limit must have. The strength of limit law Austria two countries, has become one of the London government core strategies. 结盟归结盟,打压、限制还是要有的。限制法奥两国的实力,已经成为了伦敦政府的核心战略之一。 Colonizes minister Robert: „ French digested the Italian area, continental Europe will lose the balance similarly, but turned into France to exceed Austria to benefit. 殖民大臣罗伯特:“法国人消化了意大利地区,欧洲大陆同样会失去平衡,只不过变成了法国超越奥地利。 This is actually a red herring, France crushes Austria to benefit, the Austria advantage surpasses France, among them the power gap is not one day spreads out. 这其实是一个伪命题,无论是法兰西压倒奥地利,还是奥地利超越法兰西,他们之间的实力差距都不是一天拉开距离的。 We have enough time, makes the strategy adjustment. The present issue will be the forthcoming Prussia war, whom making win serves our benefits? ” 我们有足够的时间,进行战略调整。现在的问题是即将爆发的普俄战争,让谁胜利更符合我们的利益？” Robert favors the French, is the confidence that Napoleon gives. 罗伯特看好法国人,都是拿破仑给的信心。 In the past French armed forces swept away European were too big to the shadow that everyone cast, even if French armed forces in the new round of worldwide revolution in military affairs has not kept up with the rhythm, everyone still thought the French Army world first. 当年法军横扫欧陆给大家留下的阴影太大了,即便是在新一轮军事变革中法军没有跟上节奏,大家仍然认为法国陆军世界第一。 In the first Near East war the performance of French armed forces, strengthened the view of English. The weaponry replaces slowly, the army training stays dozens years ago, these issues were neglected accidentally by everyone. 第一次近东战争中法军的表现,更是坚定了英国人的看法。武器装备更换慢,军队训练停留在数十年前,这些问题都被大家无意中忽略掉了。 Internationally generally believes that in military suitable situation, French Army battle efficiency world first. 国际上普遍认为,在兵力相当的情况下,法国陆军战斗力世界第一。 According to experience that the anti-France war results, wants to beat the French, the best way is to spend more money, puts in more military. 根据反法战争得出来的经验,想要击败法国人,最好办法是砸更多的钱,投入更多的兵力。 Everyone thinks that the law Austria strength suitable basis also bases on this. French army sharper, Austria altruistic are more, the economic strength to be stronger, the mutual counter-balance is exactly impartial. 大家认为法奥实力相当的依据也是基于此。法国军队更精锐,奥地利人更多、经济实力更强,相互抵消恰好持平。 Foreign minister Edward: „ Austria intends to indulge Prussia to erupt altruistic, obviously is seeking the further expansion of territory. 外交大臣爱德华:“奥地利人有意放纵普俄爆发,显然是在谋求领土的进一步扩张。 Regardless of this war who wins who loses, the Vienna government is the biggest victor. The relations of geopolitics, after Prussia both sides decide the victory and defeat, can hinder the expansion that Austria benefits no one. 无论这场战争谁胜谁负,维也纳政府都是最大的胜利者。地缘政治的关系,普俄双方分出胜负后,将没有人能够阻碍奥地利的扩张。 A few years ago, French government internal fight was unceasing, recently two years, Napoleon IV gradually had the political power, the Paris government stabilized. 前些年,法国政府内斗不断,最近两年,拿破仑四世逐渐掌握了政权,巴黎政府才稳定了下来。 Because of the relations of benefit, front supports the capitalist who Napoleon III unifies the Italian area, now stood in the opposite of Paris government, is subsidizing the Italian independent body in secret. 因为利益的关系,前面支持拿破仑三世统一意大利地区的资本家,现在站在了巴黎政府的对立面,在暗中资助意大利独立组织。 In in not steady situation, the French has lost has benefitted the ability of balance to Austria, this is the Vienna government dares to indulge the primary cause that the Prussia war breaks out. 在内部不稳的情况下,法国人已经失去了对奥地利制衡的能力,这才是维也纳政府敢放纵普俄战争爆发的主要原因。 For the European balance, we must altruistic create an enemy to Austria again, diverts them from the back, Prussia both countries are alternative. 为了欧陆平衡,我们必须要给奥地利人再制造一个敌人,从背后牵制他们,普俄两国都是备选。 From the development potential, the threat of Russia person is obviously bigger. Once won this war, that being insufferably arrogant Russian Empire will come back again. 从发展潜力来看,俄国人的威胁明显更大。一旦赢得了这次战争,那个不可一世的俄罗斯帝国又会再次回来。 Perhaps their post-war vitality damaged severely, is incapable of striving for hegemony continental Europe, however in Central Asia and Far East area, will still pose a threat to our interests. ” 或许他们战后元气大伤,无力争霸欧洲大陆,但是在中亚和远东地区,仍然会威胁到我们的利益。” The Napoleon III years, the Italian issue is not serious. Depends on the strong statesmanship, suppresses one wave, to win over one wave, as a whole stability. 拿破仑三世时代,意大利问题还不算严重。靠着超强的政治手腕,打压一波、拉拢一波,总体上还是稳定的。 Being one's turn Napoleon IV was different, because the front Paris government is busy internal fight, neglected the domestic economic construction. 轮到拿破仑四世就不一样了,由于前面巴黎政府忙着内斗,忽视了国内的经济建设。 Especially formulated the wrong economic policy, making the two sides markets combine. After opening wide market, supports capitalist who merges with France, discovered oneself were swindled. 尤其是制定了错误的经济政策,让两边的市场合二为一。在敞开市场后,支持和法兰西合并的资本家,就发现自己上当了。 The seemingly fair competition, turned into France's economical plundering to Italian area actually. 看似公平竞争,实则变成了法国对意大利地区的经济掠夺。 It is not the Italian area capitalists, is really not the two sides industry power gap is too diligently big, is not the short time can catch up. 不是意大利地区资本家们不努力,实在是两边工业实力差距太大,根本就不是短时间可以赶上去的。 If only these issues , is not unsupportable, what is hapless is only the young capitalist. The powerful capitalist, can replace the new equipment, regains the competitiveness. 如果只是这些问题,也不是不能忍受,倒霉的只是中小资本家。实力雄厚的资本家,可以更换新设备,重新获得竞争力。 However, the Italian area and France have a common problem- resources are deficient. 然而,意大利地区和法兰西都有一个共同的问题-资源匮乏。 In order to fight for the resources, the capitalists have to show special prowess. Without a doubt, the buttocks of Paris government sit is very positive, competition sence time, favors the capitalist in native place. 为了争夺资源,资本家们不得不各显神通。毫无疑问,巴黎政府的屁股坐的很正,制定政策的时候,更倾向于本土的资本家。 In the course of contacts, the resentment saved. The capitalist of wanting to remain in limelight, controls the public opinion slowly, shoulders the people's dissatisfaction over French, attempts to force the Paris government concessions. 一来二去,怨气就积攒了下来。不甘寂寞的资本家,就慢慢操控舆论,挑起民众对法国人的不满,企图逼迫巴黎政府让步。 Finally the nature is self-evident, even the French government wants to yield, the capitalists in Paris will not comply. 结果自然不言而喻,就算是法国政府想让步,巴黎的资本家们也不会答应。 In the previous economic crisis, this type of contradiction was detonated directly. Some capitalist starts favor the independence, publicizes the nationalism in the Italian area. 在上一次经济危机中,这种矛盾直接被引爆。一部分资本家开始倾向于独立,在意大利地区宣扬民族主义。 To French discontented is not only only a capitalist, in fact local aristocrat similar disaffection. Everybody forging together, in the right assignment in French government, they attains were too few. 对法国人不满的不仅仅只是资本家,实际上当地的贵族同样不满。一个萝卜一个坑,在法国政府的权利分配中,他们拿到的太少了。 Although contradiction layer on layer/heavily, but the Italian area has not erupted the large-scale independence movement. The reason is very simple, although there are various illness, but the level of living of general public improves. 尽管矛盾重重,但意大利地区还是没有爆发大规模独立运动。原因很简单,尽管有各种不适,可普通民众的生活水平还是有所提高。 The local economy not good are not related, can the export labor force. Was a country, going out the work naturally was not the issue. 当地经济不行没有关系,可以输出劳动力。都是一个国家了,出门务工自然不是问题。 Compared with the Italian area, France, but proper high salary. This was also the win-win, ordinary Italian made more income, the French capitalists obtained the cheap labor. 和意大利地区相比,法兰西可是妥妥高薪。这也是双赢,普通意大利人获得了更多的收入,法国资本家获得廉价劳动力。 Some person of favorite some people are frustrated. Because of the labor force mobile reason, in just ten years, the labor cost of Italian area turned time. This is to make the Italian area capitalist clench jaws. 有人得意就有人失意。因为劳动力流动的缘故,在短短十年时间里,意大利地区的人工成本就翻了倍。这更是让意大利地区资本家咬牙切齿。 First Lord of the Treasury Belfort: „ What can federation give us? What can the Russia person give us? 财政大臣贝尔福:“普波联邦能够给我们什么？俄国人又能够给我们什么？ With all due respect, these two countries can take to our interest in be too few. Keeps in balance Austria to benefit merely, does not need us to meddle, who won who is the enemy who Austria benefits. 恕我直言,这两个国家能够带给我们的利益太少了。仅仅只是制衡奥地利,根本就不需要我们插手,谁赢了谁就是奥地利的敌人。 Now they seek help from us, to not seek international diplomacy support, what are more needs money. 现在他们向我们求助,不是为了寻求国际外交支持,更多的还是需要钱。 Decided the result of this war is not Prussia militaries of the two countries whether elite, what are more is looked that who can raise more money. 决定这场战争的胜负的不是普俄两国军队是否精锐,更多的还是看谁能够筹集到更多的钱。 Lending money is easy to them, but how to take back? 借钱给他们容易,可是怎么收回呢？ Although does not want to acknowledge, but has to acknowledge, our ability decides the result of this war directly. 尽管不想承认,但又不得不承认,我们能力直接决定这场战争的胜负。 If next the note, must complete wipe-out mistakenly finally. This is over a hundred million pounds investment, I oppose to make the choice now. ” 如果下错了注,最后就要血本无归。这可是上亿英镑的投入,我反对现在就做出选择。” „Money” character, poured to perform the essence of British diplomacy. Letting favors directly supporting federal foreign minister Edward shuts up. 一个“钱”字,倒尽了英国外交的本质。直接让倾向于支持普波联邦的外交大臣爱德华闭上了嘴。 Without the means that the risk was really big. He does not know that should want anything to federation, guarantees this debt the security. 没办法,风险实在是太大了。他都不知道该向普波联邦要什么,保证这笔债务的安全。 After hesitant moment time, Prime Minister Benjamin made decided: „ First searches the bottom of William I, having a look at them to have many chips. 犹豫了片刻功夫后,本杰明首相做出了决定:“先探探威廉一世的底,看看他们有多少筹码。 Federation wanted to win this war, at least needed the support of two great nations. If they can obtain Austria to benefit, or are the support of France, issues the war bond for them is not good. ” 普波联邦想要赢得这次战争,至少需要两个大国的支持。如果他们能够获得奥地利、或者是法兰西的支持,替他们发行战争债券也不是不行。” The international debt needs to consider the risk, even filthy rich John Bull is still the same. Does not look for the person assigned risk, they do not dare to put into over a hundred million pounds gambling directly. 国际债务是需要考虑风险的,即便是财大气粗的约翰牛也一样。不找人分担风险,他们也不敢直接投入上亿英镑赌博。 Supports the Russia person, is not in Benjamin's consideration range. The main reason is not the potential threat, because of money. 支持俄国人,根本就不在本杰明的考虑范围之内。最主要的原因不是潜在威胁,而是因为钱。 Depending on the credibility of Tsar government , he if dares to lend the Russia person, that was the head water penetration. 就凭沙皇政府的信誉,他要是敢借钱给俄国人,那就是脑袋进水了。 Do not consider that the collateral the issue, signed the contract even, similarly can break a contract. The warship of royal navy cannot come ashore, their deterrent force to the Russia person was too small. 不要考虑抵押品的问题,就算是签订了合同,同样可以违约。皇家海军的军舰又上不了岸,他们对俄国人的威慑力太小了。