Passes through was a half year of negotiations, British Austria both countries finally reached an agreement. On November 12 , 1877, the two countries representatives signed «brave Austria Free trade agreement» in Paris, Austria benefitted officially joins the free trade system. 经过了长达半年的谈判,英奥两国终于达成了一致。1877年11月12日,两国代表在巴黎签订《英奥自由贸易协定》,奥地利正式加入自由贸易体系。 Has saying that the Paris conference is the comedy, originally to compromise various countries is contradictory, extinguishes the international friction, finally wants to do has not done, the unrelated treaty instead was born much. 不得不说巴黎会议就是喜剧,本来是为了调和各国矛盾,消弭国际冲突的,结果想干的没干成,不相干的条约反而诞生了不少。 Thinks also right, the good and evil is also various countries' high-level meeting, without a little achievement, how to feel all right? 想想也对,好歹也是各国高层会晤,没有一点儿成果,怎么好意思回去呢？ Changing the subject is inevitable, all for achievements. So far, in the Paris conference had had eight treaties, related to the European majorities of countries. 跑题是必然的,一切都是为了政绩。截止到目前为止,巴黎会议上已经先后产生了八个条约,涉及到了欧洲大部分国家。 This is on outwardly, many secret treaties, no one can know secretly, in brief the Paris conference does not have the plain boiled water. 这还是只是明面上的,暗地里有多少密约,就没有人能够知道了,总之巴黎会议没有白开。 ...... …… Palace of Versailles, Napoleon IV falls the cup, cursed angrily: „Damn English and damn Austria benefits the idiot, they certainly are intentionally!” 凡尔赛宫,拿破仑四世一摔杯子,怒骂道:“该死的英国佬、该死的奥地利蠢货,他们一定是故意的！” Speculation of Napoleon IV not wrong, British Austria free trade negotiations are in fact held in Vienna, go to Paris to sign the treaty, that is the English strongly requests. 拿破仑四世的猜测没有错,英奥自由贸易谈判实际上在维也纳进行,跑到巴黎去签订条约,那是英国人强烈要求的。 The reason was needless saying that the French arranged Queen Victoria, the London government also cannot do without responding! 原因自不用说,法国人那么编排维多利亚女王,伦敦政府也不能没有反应啊！ The diplomacy protested that may not have the means to shut the mouth of French, the French newspaper even Emperor bordered news dares to publish, let alone is Queen of England? 外交抗议可没有办法堵住法国人的嘴,法国报纸可是连皇帝的花边新闻都敢刊登,何况是英国女王呢？ From initial „curse”, has developed the peach-color news by the present, even presented the love story, the content indecently. 从最初的“诅咒”,到现在已经发展到了桃色新闻,甚至出现了艳情小说,内容是不堪入目。 The channel is unable the impediment entertainment Eight Trigrams (gossip) to disseminate, through disseminating these newspapers and novels, has crossed the seas to cross ocean to enter Britain, and was disseminating secretly. 海峡是无法阻隔娱乐八卦传播的,通过传播这些报纸、小说,早就漂洋过海进入了不列颠,并且在暗地里传播了出去。 The content crisp uncomfortable is a matter, but this was degrading the civic morality, making the British People unusual was not happy. Everyone rotten conduct that requests the London government to stop the French. 内容爽不爽是一回事,可是这太有辱国格了,让英国民众非常的不高兴。大家要求伦敦政府制止法国人的恶劣行径。 Naturally, British royal family should play the leading role. Under all pressure, the London government naturally must take action. 当然,这其中英国王室应该发挥了主要作用。迫于各方压力,伦敦政府自然要采取行动了。 Since is unable to shut the mouth of French, that promotes a flash news, diverts everyone's attention, strikes the French while convenient. 既然无法堵住法国人的嘴,那就搞一个大新闻,转移大家的视线,顺便敲打一下法国人。 «brave Austria Free trade agreement» without doubt is best trump card, hits directly in the strategic point of French. Once processing is not good, falling behind France, must really move toward the decline. 《英奥自由贸易协定》无疑是最好的杀手锏,直接打在法国人的要害上。一旦处理不好,本就正在掉队的法兰西,就要真的走向没落了。 First Lord of the Treasury Alan: „ Your majesty, now is not and they haggle over, the urgent matter affecting to minimize. 财政大臣艾伦:“陛下,现在不是和他们计较的时候,当务之急是把影响降到最低。 British Austria both countries have reached the agreement, how long it is estimated that could not want, both countries will take action, won over more countries to join the free trade system. 英奥两国已经达成协议,估计要不了多久,两国就会采取行动,拉拢更多国家加入自由贸易体系。 Now drifts away in European power beyond the free trade system, remaining we with Spain. How at present regardless of must stand firm the Spanish, otherwise we troubled in a big way. ” 现在游离在自由贸易体系之外的欧洲大国,就剩下我们和西班牙。眼下无论如何也要稳住西班牙人,不然我们就麻烦大了。” Has to acknowledge that the diplomatic means of English are fierce, in the past dozens years, won over Holland, Belgium, Portugal, Prussia, Russia and Northern European federation and other countries to join. 不得不承认英国人的外交手段就是厉害,在过去的几十年里,先后拉拢了荷兰、比利时、葡萄牙、普鲁士、俄罗斯、北欧联邦等国加入。 Now Austria benefitted joined the free trade system, then the remaining Switzerland and German federation empire, Greece and Montenegro, will naturally also join the free trade system. 现在奥地利又加入了自由贸易体系,那么剩下的瑞士、德意志联邦帝国、希腊、黑山,自然也会加入自由贸易体系。 France was isolated again, Spain that only remains must grasp in any event. Is good because , the Spanish royal family is Napoleon III supports, proper pro- law faction. 法兰西再次被孤立了,仅剩的西班牙无论如何都必须要抓紧。好在,西班牙王室是拿破仑三世拥立的,妥妥的亲法派。 Foreign minister Montero: „ Without is so simple, the Spanish this time is not necessarily able to stand with us. 外交大臣蒙特罗:“没有这么简单,西班牙人这次未必会和我们站在一起。 The chips in British Austria two national champion are too many, pricetag that they can give, will be much higher than us. 英奥两国手中的筹码太多,他们能够给出的价码,会比我们高得多。 Our advantages are mainly Spanish government own laws, in the face of the benefit, this advantage can play the major role is very difficult to say. 我们的优势主要是西班牙政府亲法,不过在利益面前,这种优势能够发挥多大作用也很难说。 The present situation is obvious, is one's turn us to make the decision. At present this half free trade pattern, is feasible before, now has become the worst choice. ” 现在的局势已经非常明显,轮到我们做出决定了。目前这种半自由贸易模式,在之前还可行,现在已经成为了最糟糕的选择。” „Half free trade system”, this is Napoleon III refers to the economic policy of various European countries, according to the actual situation in France, economic policy of formulation. “半自由贸易体系”,这是拿破仑三世参考欧洲各国的经济政策,根据法国的实际情况,制定的经济政策。 Simple, is to the industrial material that France needs, the implementation exempts the tariff, or is the low tariff, to commodity that itself can make, then implementation trade protectionism policy. 简单的来说,就是对法国需要的工业原材料,实施免关税、或者是低关税,对本国能够生产的商品,则实施贸易保护政策。 To a certain extent, before then the law Austria two countries economic policy is somewhat similar, is protecting the domestic industry and commerce. 某种程度上来说,在此之前法奥两国经济政策有些类似,都在保护国内的工商业。 It is a pity that the Austria advantage seized the second Industrial Revolution opportunity, took the lead to complete the industrial transformation, itself also had the agriculture to make the support, now is capable of participating in the international competition. 遗憾的是奥地利把握住了第二次工业革命的机遇,率先完成了工业转型,本身还有农业做支撑,现在已经有能力参与国际竞争中去了。 France was different, oneself resources deficient did not say, the domestic capitalists have not liked investing the manufacturing industry. 法兰西就不一样了,自身资源匮乏不说,国内的资本家们还不喜欢投资制造业。 Even if Napoleon III encourages to develop the manufacturing industry, cannot change the French capital the essence that likes lending money at high interest. 即便是拿破仑三世鼓励发展制造业,也没能改变法国资本更喜欢放高利贷的本质。 Inflow manufacturing industry is underfunded, the industrial development naturally lagged. Creates all these core elements, in fact is the French local industrial material lacks. 流入制造业的资金不足,工业发展自然就滞后了。造成这一切的核心因素,实质上就是法国本土工业原材料缺乏。 Although France is also the colonial empire, but also is the desert empire. The colony of length and breadth, majority is the desert, the colony delivers the relative insufficiency. 尽管法兰西也是殖民帝国,可同时也是沙漠帝国。广袤的殖民地,大部分都是沙漠,殖民地产出相对不足。 In addition annexed the resources more deficient Italy area, this makes the resources crisis of France more serious, has to rely on to import. 加上吞并了资源更加匮乏的意大利地区,这让法兰西的资源危机变得更加严重,不得不依赖进口。 Now surpasses 70% industrial material exits in the world, was given the monopoly by British Austria both countries. In order to attack the competitor, has British Austria of raw material pricing power, drives up the raw material market price artificially. 现在全世界超过70%的工业原材料出口,都被英奥两国给垄断了。为了打击竞争对手,拥有原材料定价权的英奥,人为哄抬原材料市场价格。 By the import industrial material development industry, the cost naturally came up. In international competition, the competitiveness obvious insufficiency of French industry and commerce product. 靠进口工业原材料发展工业,成本自然就上去了。在国际竞争中,法国工商业产品的竞争力明显不足。 First Lord of the Treasury Alan: „ Marquis, joined the free trade system to say easily, if really implemented, we must first consider that the domestic industry and commerce can withstand the impact. 财政大臣艾伦:“侯爵阁下,加入自由贸易体系说起来容易,真要是实施了,我们首先就要考虑国内的工商业能不能经得起冲击。 According to data that Paris-Journal counts, the industry and commerce product of our home production, the overall cost relative English must be higher than 2.9, must be higher than 2.7 compared with the Austria advantage. 根据巴黎日报统计的数据来看,我们国内生产的工商业制品,总体成本相对英国人要高出2.9,比奥地利要高出2.7。 But the home industry production cost high is the fact, if lets loose the market protection, will face directly the international competition we to be in the inferior position. ” 可国内工业生产成本高是事实,如果放开市场保护,直面国际竞争我们将处于不利地位。” The industrial production cost is high, this is a non-solution difficult problem. Only if hits the raw materials price, otherwise non-solution. 工业生产成本高,这是一个无解的难题。除非把原材料价格打下来,要不然无解。 Napoleon IV: „ If the industrial production cost differs 2-3 percentage points, seems unable to make up. 拿破仑四世:“如果工业生产成本相差2-3个百分点,似乎也不是无法弥补。 British Austria two countries capital also needs to make money, they not possible by cost price sale, then the domestic enterprise nothing but little gains. 英奥两国资本也是需要赚钱的,他们不可能以成本价销售,那么国内的企业无非是少赚一些。 The government can also through reducing the tax revenue, reduces this disparity. So long as has gone against the first wave of impact, I believe that the domestic enterprise can stand firm in the competition. 政府还可以通过降低税收,缩小这个差距。只要顶过了第一波冲击,我相信国内的企业能够在竞争中站稳脚跟。 Worst, we can also depend on the distance, the advantage saves the home market, will not make the aspect worse. ” 最不济,我们也能够靠距离,优势保住本土市场,不会让局面更加糟糕。” Listened to the words of Napoleon IV, First Lord of the Treasury Alan to have a scare, quickly dissuaded saying: „ Your majesty, matter is not so simple. This disparity is the overall disparity that all industries add. 听了拿破仑四世的话,财政大臣艾伦吓了一跳,急忙劝阻道:“陛下,事情没有这么简单。这个差距是所有产业加起来的总体差距。 If makes concrete to some industry, the cost disparity might also enlarge to 20-30%, this is not the adjustment tax rate can make up. ” 如果具体到某一产业,成本差距还有可能会放大到20-30%,这已经不是调整税率能够弥补的了。” Cracks a joke, data that in the newspaper publishes, god knows how much moisture contents, actually through data analysis, guessed baseless no one knows. 开玩笑,报纸上刊登的数据,天知道有多少水分,究竟是通过数据分析,还是凭空猜测都没有人知道。 The French government special statistical agency, has not needed the data time, is the economic expert is responsible for estimating, the government conducts the artistic processing according to the demand again. 法国政府没有专门的统计机构,需要数据的时候,都是经济专家负责估测,政府再根据需求进行艺术加工。 Alan does not want to change all these, he knows as the First Lord of the Treasury too many truth, the French People are unable to accept not to compare the fact of British Austria two countries. 艾伦没有想改变这一切,作为财政大臣他知道了太多的真相,偏偏法国民众又无法接受比不上英奥两国的事实。 Do not say now, after original space and time Franco-Prussian War, the French People did not acknowledge oneself cannot compare Germany. 不要说现在了,原时空普法战争过后,法国民众都不承认自己比不上德意志。 The First World War said that is Germany , France causes contradictory, in fact is also the pride of French causes. A war hit not to have the arrogance of French, had the lying down corpse of second war. 第一次世界大战说是德法矛盾导致的,实际上也是法国人的骄傲导致的。一战打没了法国人的傲气,才有了二战的躺尸。 Counts the real number not to dare to announce with it, might as well does not count simply, everyone installs to consider as finished together muddled. 与其统计出真实数字不敢公布,还不如干脆不统计,大家一起装糊涂算了。 The free trade system, the ordinary period shouted that the slogan was good, if takes seriously, that is the dead country's. 自由贸易体系,平常时期喊喊口号就行了,要是当了真,那是会死国的。 Besides the financial industry has the advantage, most industries of France will be attacked. The production of usury empire, has the reason. 除了金融业具备优势外,法国的大部分产业都会受到冲击。高利贷帝国的产生,不是没有原因的。 Napoleon IV deeply frowned, he hit the face without a doubt. This feeling is uncomfortable, appearing his Emperor is very ignorant. 拿破仑四世眉头紧锁,毫无疑问他又被打脸了。这种感觉非常不爽,显得他这个皇帝很无知。 „ How then should solve the present problem? British Austria both countries do the free trade system together, overwhelming majority European countries joined, how long the remaining countries could not insist. “那么该怎么解决眼下的问题呢？英奥两国一起搞自由贸易体系,绝大部分欧洲国家都加入了进去,剩下的国家也坚持不了多久。 When the time comes is not only Europe, the entire world is covered by the free trade system, can France really cultivate one's own moral worth? ” 到时候不光是欧洲,全世界都会被自由贸易体系所覆盖,法兰西真的可以独善其身么？” Napoleon IV is not clear, instead is looks too clearly. The free trade system that the English fiddle with is an open intrigue, even if knows cannot block. 拿破仑四世不是不明白,反而是看得太明白。英国人捣鼓的自由贸易体系本身就是一个阳谋,即便是知道了也挡不住。 Now the industry of France has not erupted, temporarily can also drift away outside. Once the domestic industry and commerce further develops, when the time comes under the reality, France must join. 现在法兰西的工业没有爆发,暂时还可以游离在外。一旦国内的工商业进一步发展,到时候迫于现实,法兰西还是要加入进去。 Naturally, but can also choose the challenge world. The original space and time German is because lacks the raw material and market, lacks the right to speak in the free trade system, will compel to provoke the war anxiously from now on. 当然,还可以选择挑战世界。原时空德国人就是因为缺乏原材料和市场,在自由贸易体系中又缺乏话语权,逼急了过后才挑起战争的。 Now the aspect in France, is naturally much better compared with Second German Empire , but the crisis remains. Only if not develop the manufacturing industry, otherwise the crisis will be detonated sooner or later. 现在法兰西的局面,比德二帝国自然要好很多,可是危机依然存在。除非不发展制造业,要不然危机早晚被引爆。