With the eruption of second Industrial Revolution, various countries' industry total quantity makes a snowman expands, is also increasing day by day to the market and industrial material demand. 随着第二次工业革命的爆发,各国工业总量滚雪球般的壮大,对市场和工业原材料需求也在与日俱增。 The Vienna government sharply is promoting the free trade, besides the domestic economic development need, also has the secretive strategic goal. 维也纳政府急着推动自由贸易,除了国内经济发展需要外,同样还有不可告人战略目的。 Once enters the free trade time, occupies Austria of advantage in the emergent industry, will enlarge this advantage inevitably, set a higher threshold afterward. 一旦进入自由贸易时代,在新兴产业占据优势的奥地利,势必会放大这种优势,给后来设置更高的门槛。 If the progress is smooth, in the near future will appear: The English occupy the traditional textile industry and ship-building industry ; Austria occupies the world industry pattern of emerging electric power, communication and internal combustion engine industry. 如果进展顺利的话,在不久的将来就会出现:英国人占据传统的纺织业、造船业;奥地利占据新兴电力、通讯、内燃机产业的世界工业格局。 It can be said that almost duplicates virtue two empires road of the economic rise, but the Austrian family property is thicker, is in itself the Europe's largest agricultural product exporter, the colony of length and breadth is the backing. 几乎可以说是复制德二帝国的经济崛起之路,只不过奥地利家底厚实一些,本身就是欧洲第一大农产品出口国,还有广袤的殖民地做后盾。 UK and Austria carved up the world industry main body, remaining countries what to do? 英奥两国瓜分了世界工业主体,剩下的国家怎么办？ Especially is next to France of two countries, the English competes with the tradition, competes with the emergent industry with Austria, they do not have the advantage. 尤其是仅次于两国的法兰西,无论是英国人竞争传统,还是和奥地利竞争新兴产业,他们都没有优势。 It is not technically cannot follow, is mainly the industrial material supply does not have the means solution. Different from the later generation, the transportation of this age is not developed. Once the distance is too far, the cost came up. 不是技术上跟不上,主要是工业原材料供应没有办法解决。不同于后世,这个年代的交通没有那么发达。一旦距离太远,成本就上去了。 In the military beats the French risk is too big, the present France is population about 60 million great nations, even the Italian has not contributed militarily, may still be able to strive in the logistics. 军事上击垮法兰西风险太大,现在的法兰西已经是一个人口将近六千万的大国,就算是意大利人在军事上没有贡献,可在后勤上仍然可以出力。 When the snipe and clam grapple , the fisherman profits. 鹬蚌相争,渔翁得利。 Only if can end the war in a short time, defeats the opposite party thoroughly, otherwise the victor is an elderly fisherman. 除非能够在短时间内结束战争,彻底打垮对方,要不然胜利者就是渔翁。 So long as has a look at the map, the people of common military knowledge were a little clear slightly, France and Austria are impossible to decide the victory and defeat in a short time, this is the geographical position decides. 只要看看地图,稍微有点儿军事常识的人都清楚,法奥两国不可能在短期内分出胜负,这是地理位置决定的。 In comparison, economically beats France, the risk is much smaller, and success ratio also wants high many. 相比之下,在经济上击垮法兰西,风险就要小得多,并且成功率也要高的多。 Economic aspect UK , France and Austria are the competitor, even if the London government likes playing the European balance, that still can only be the balance on military, economically may not have the means to play the balance. 经济方面英法奥三国都是竞争对手,即便是伦敦政府喜欢玩儿欧陆平衡,那也只能是军事上的平衡,经济上可没有办法玩平衡。 France and Austria economy the imbalance, the English has not thought must make a move Lafayette people, this means to support the enemy. 法奥两国经济早就失衡了,英国人也没有想过要出手拉法国人一把,这意味着资敌。 Do not discuss the strategy, the capitalists not that high moral integrity. Making money is first, can beat a competitor, makes more profits, why can reject? 不要谈战略,资本家们没有那么高的节操。赚钱才是第一位的,能够干掉一个竞争对手,赚取更多的利润,为什么要拒绝？ The threat of Austria is big, that will also be the future issue, capitalist impossible for potential danger, gave up making money. 奥地利的威胁再大,那也是未来的问题,资本家不可能为了潜在的危险,就放弃赚钱了。 The most typical case, is the original space and time Soviet Union uprising. single view threatens, this may be much more terrorist than the present Austria, cooperates with the Soviet for the benefit capitalist in the same old way. 最典型的案例,就是原时空苏联崛起。单论威胁来说,这可比现在的奥地利恐怖得多,为了利益资本家照样和苏联人合作。 The free trade time, the economy was decided by the market, the interference effort of government is relatively small. Takes this age London government for instance, they hardly interfere with the market. 自由贸易时代,经济由市场决定,政府的干涉力度相对较小。以这个年代的伦敦政府为例,他们几乎不干涉市场。 Great, once Austria joins the free trade system, those with vested interests will also promote the two governments to unite, drags into the remaining countries the free trade system completely. 没得说,一旦奥地利加入自由贸易体系,既得利益者也会推动两国政府联合,将剩下的国家全部拉入自由贸易体系中。 Energy that without a doubt, the European majorities of countries have not rejected, when everyone joins the free trade system, the French troubled. 毫无疑问,欧洲大部分国家都没有拒绝的底气,等大家都加入自由贸易体系,法国人就麻烦了。 Joins game circle, they do not have the competitiveness, does not join the circle, will fall into the awkward position of single plane. 加入其中游戏圈子,他们没有竞争力,不加入圈子,又会陷入单机的尴尬境地。 Originally France was pushed aside in continental Europe, Napoleon III tried hard for 20 years to force by everyone to be accepted, now played the single plane to return to the former condition. 本来法兰西在欧洲大陆就受排挤,拿破仑三世努力了二十年才勉强被大家接受,现在玩儿单机又回到了从前状态。 Perhaps the English will give up the free trade system in one day, but impossible to support France absolutely gives up. So long as is the advantage outweighs the shortcoming, the free trade is the signboard of English. 或许英国人在某一天会放弃自由贸易体系,但绝对不可能为了支持法兰西而放弃。只要是利大于弊,自由贸易就是英国人的招牌。 Judging from the present situation, so long as do not do, in the next several years, the British industry and commerce can maintain the competitiveness, this is the background of established industrial power. 从目前的情况来看,只要不自己作死,未来数十年内,英国工商业都能够保持竞争力,这是老牌工业强国的底蕴。 ...... …… Franz: „What does public opinion have to respond?” 弗朗茨:“国内舆论有什么反应？” Prime Minister Felix: „The sound of sound and opposition of support is almost the same, both sides quarrelled very fiercely, in a short time feared could not divide the victory and defeat.” 费利克斯首相:“支持的声音和反对的声音相差无几,双方吵得非常厉害,短时间内怕是分不出来胜负。” Support free trade , is not only the emergent industry, the venture in agroindustry, they are the competitive industries of Austria, has the enough confidence participation international competition. 支持自由贸易的不光是新兴产业,还有农产品加工业,他们都是奥地利的优势产业,有足够的信心参与国际竞争。 Joins the free trade system, reduces the import-export tariff, these industries are those with vested interests. 加入自由贸易体系,降低进出口关税,这些产业都是既得利益者。 Some people make a profit some people of benefits to be naturally damaged, for example: The cotton manufacturing industry is the firmest opponent, once gave up the tariff barrier, the English will rob their part of markets inevitably. 有人获利自然有人利益受损,比如说:棉纺织业就是最坚定的反对者,一旦放弃了关税壁垒,英国人势必会强夺他们的一部分市场。 Naturally, if these enterprises enough make every effort to succeed, there is an opportunity to run to capture the market of English. After all, these industrial technology contents are low, everyone's disparity technically is not big. 当然,如果这些企业够争气,也有机会跑出去抢英国人的市场。毕竟,这些产业技术含量较低,大家在技术上的差距并不大。 If not mysterious is the African labor cost to be higher, it is estimated that the domestic cotton manufacturing industry will move, once enters the free trade time, the cost control becomes enterprise essential one point. 如果不是奥属非洲人工成本更高,估计国内的棉纺织业都会搬家了,一旦进入自由贸易时代,控制成本就成为了企业必不可少的一环。 Franz: „That provides the platform to them, lets the supporter and opponent debated, by eating...... the people are the referee.” 弗朗茨:“那就给他们提供平台,让支持者和反对者进行辩论,由吃……民众来做裁判。” Originally Franz wants saying that „eats melon people”, but had words on the tip of the tongue, feels inopportune, changed to „people” promptly. 本来弗朗茨是想说“吃瓜群众”的,只是话到嘴边了,觉得不合时宜,及时改成了“民众”。 „Your majesty, such a comes perhaps to make fiercely. Many people to the police station, have applied to demonstrate.” Prime Minister Felix persuaded “陛下,这么一来恐怕会闹得更厉害。已经很多人向警察局,申请游行示威了。”费利克斯首相劝说道 Franz shakes the head: „Because the matter makes in a big way, needs to make them debate. Does not give them one to vent the channel, how these benefit damage will be resigned?” 弗朗茨摇了摇头:“正是因为事情闹得大,才有必要让他们辩论。不给他们一个发泄渠道,这些利益受损者岂会甘心？” Let the capitalist and capitalist to spurting, always compared with good of government personally fate. The result of regardless of debating how, the reform needs to conduct. 让资本家和资本家对喷,总比政府亲自下场的好。无论辩论的结果如何,改革都是需要进行的。 But were many a cushion, making benefit damage distract the hatred attention. 只不过多了一层缓冲,让利益受损者转移了仇恨目标。 This is the inherent connotation, as those with vested interests of reform, cannot light/only take the advantage not to do things, drawing the hatred is one of their responsibility. 这是应有之义,作为改革的既得利益者,也不能光拿好处不干事,拉仇恨就是他们的责任之一。 ...... …… First Lord of the Treasury Carl: „ Your majesty, we and English's negotiations are blocked, as a whole both sides had achieved consistently, but the English requests our open financial industry. 财政大臣卡尔:“陛下,我们和英国人的谈判受阻,总体上双方已经达成了一致,只是英国人要求我们开放金融业。 Strength of by domestic financial circle, once opened the money market, we are very difficult to have the advantage. ” 以国内金融界的实力,一旦开放了金融市场,我们很难占据优势。” Do not say has the advantage, the strength of Austrian financial circle could not have compared the French, not to mention compared with English. If relaxed the limit, basically was hung the destiny that hits. 不要说占据优势,奥地利金融界的实力还比不上法国人,更不用说和英国人相比。要是放开了限制,基本上是被吊打的命运。 After hesitant moment time, Franz: „ Relaxing the financial limit is impossible, the domestic capital must be limited, is the external capital possibly unzoned? 犹豫了片刻功夫后,弗朗茨:“放开金融限制是不可能的,国内资本都要受到限制,外来资本怎么可能不受限制呢？ Continues to discuss with the English, can allow the British capital to enter the stock market, but must observe the relevant law. 继续和英国人谈,可以允许英国资本进入证券市场,但必须要遵守相关法律。 If the English continues to pester in the financial problem, at the worst we sign the agreement, the two countries capital do not enter the opposite party money market mutually, this was fair. ” 如果英国人继续在金融问题上纠缠,大不了我们签订协议,两国资本互相不进入对方金融市场,这就公平了。” Austria has not prohibited the external capital from entering the money market, limiting condition that but receives quite a lot. To gallop in the finance freely, waits to be confiscated by the control section! 奥地利从来都没有禁止外来资本进入金融市场,只是受到的限制条件颇多。想要在金融自由驰骋,就等着被管理部门没收吧！ Different from the London money market, the rule makers left behind the back door intentionally, the Vienna financial industry market, that often has the patch. 不同于伦敦金融市场,规则制定者们故意留下了后门,维也纳金融业市场,那是时常打补丁。 Exploited the loopholes of rule, was not equal to that can make money, but also needs the speed be quick enough, before the control section responded completes the operation. 钻了规则的空子,不等于就能够赚钱了,还必须要速度足够快,在管理部门反应过来之前完成操作。 Underwent so many years patching, now the loophole of Austrian money market is few, wants the unscrupulous scissors wool, the difficulty coefficient considerably increases. 经过了这么多年的修补,现在奥地利金融市场的漏洞已经很少了,想要肆无忌惮的剪羊毛,难度系数大大增加。 „Does not enter the opposite party money market”, this is cracking a joke completely. “互不进入对方金融市场”,这完全就是在开玩笑。 To Austria no matter, domestic financial industry also in accumulation of capital stage, even to reach out the London money market, does not have the sufficient strength. 对奥地利来说无所谓,国内的金融业还在资本积累阶段,即便是想向伦敦金融市场伸手,也没有足够的实力。 Stands in the standpoint of English, that was different. But the London money market the financial center of the world, gathered the capital from the world to gamble here. 站在英国人的立场上,那就不一样了。伦敦金融市场可是全世界的金融中心,汇聚了来自世界各地的资本在这里博弈。 Besides few lucky fellows, can make money from inside, the remaining overwhelming majorities were given harvesting by British Financial group. 除了极少数的幸运儿,能够从里面赚到钱外,剩下的绝大多数都被英国财团给收割了。 Enters the external capital of London money market, to the British financial conglomerate is the fat sheep of delivering, why can refuse others to enter? 进入伦敦金融市场的外来资本,对英国金融财团来说都是送上门的肥羊,为什么要拒绝人家进入？ The English complete the Industrial Revolution earliest, long ago by the advantage of industrial workshop of the world, accumulated massive capital, 20 years ago started to present the overcapitalization. 英国人是最早完成工业革命的,早年凭借世界工厂的优势,积累了大量的资本,从二十年前开始就出现了资本过剩。 The original space and time US can rise, is the English to divulge the domestic unnecessary capital, the day electing country does not have is so easy to develop otherwise. 原时空美国能够崛起,就是英国人为了宣泄国内多余的资本,要不然天选之国也没有那么容易发展起来。 Austria can rise, long ago also drew support from the capital of English. But Franz uses the economic crisis, with the advantage of rule maker, in midway pit British capital. 奥地利能够崛起,早年也借助了英国人的资本。只不过弗朗茨利用经济危机,和规则制定者的优势,在中途坑了英国资本。 Now the English wants the Austrian open money market, in fact was also feared by the pit. 现在英国人想要奥地利开放金融市场,实际上也是被坑怕了。 Ahead of time detonates the economic crisis, this can only be the method is insufficient, next attention on line. 提前引爆经济危机也就罢了,这只能算是自己手段不够,下一次注意就行了。 But the rule limits, that was desperate. The seemingly common rule, has minimal impact in the ordinary period, once the economic crisis breaks out, often can erupt fatally strikes. 可是规则限制,那就令人绝望了。很多看似不起眼的规则,在平常时期影响不大,一旦经济危机爆发,往往就能够爆发致命的一击。 These rules, formulates beforehand, and is public. In the game rule, has not noticed, that is own issue, making them have bitter being able to say. 偏偏这些规则,又是事先制定的,并且还是公开的。属于游戏规则内,没有注意到,那是自己的问题,让他们有苦说不出。 The similar move, the English is also playing. The London money market also has similar rule, specially foreign family that is used for the pit not to know the circumstances of the matter. 同样的招数,英国人也在玩儿。伦敦金融市场同样有类似的规则,专门用来坑不知情的外来户。 The person like the double target, oneself use rule pit others, that is the method is wise ; Was used the regular pit by others, that cannot endure. 只是人都是喜欢双标的,自己利用规则坑别人,那是手段高明;被别人用规则坑了,那就不能忍了。 Experience teaching. After having had the experience, the British capitalists want to remove these rule restriction. 吃一堑,长一智。有过经验教训后,英国资本家就想要取消这些规则限制。 Franz is also very awkward, he wants to tell the English, this considered thoroughly completely. 弗朗茨也很为难,他很想告诉英国人,这完全是多虑了。 The similar move is impossible to play, with the unceasing standard of market, absolutely does not have so many traps to establish. 同样的招数不可能一直玩下去,随着市场的不断规范,根本就没有那么多陷阱可以设置。 It is a pity that this says some people not to believe that carries out the running water and railroad monopoly that project sinkhole from the Vienna government at first, to little while ago ahead of time detonates the economic crisis, makes the British capital losses serious. 遗憾的是这说出来也不会有人信,从最初维也纳政府搞出来的自来水、铁路垄断项目天坑,到前不久的提前引爆经济危机,都让英国资本损失惨重。 Stands in the standpoint of Austria, this is the normal operation, fully conforms to the game rule ; But stands in the British capital standpoint, these are the endocraters. 站在奥地利的立场上,这都是正常操作,完全都是符合游戏规则的;可是站在英国资本立场上,这些都是巨坑。