The time, on April 28 , 1875, Franzincheershas coronatedin a hurryhastilyisJerusalemking, the historyopened the newpage.
时光匆匆匆而过,1875年4月28日,在一片欢呼声中弗朗茨加冕为耶路撒冷国王,历史又翻开了新的一页。Justcompleted the coronation ceremony, Franzreceived a sad news, uncleFerdinand Iwas critically ill.
刚刚完成加冕仪式,弗朗茨就收到了一个噩耗,伯父斐迪南一世病危。Godhas not cared forhim, eveninholy land, stillcannot suppress the illness.
上帝没有眷顾他,即便是在圣地,依然压制不了病魔。
The sickness of Ferdinand I am long-standing, caninsist that the presentis a miracle, wants„cure”, do not say the present, evento100yearslater the medical circlesare helpless.
斐迪南一世的病由来已久,能够坚持到现在本身就是一个奇迹,想要“治愈”,不要说现在,即便是到了一百年后医学界都无能为力。Saw the unconsciousuncle, Franzsighed. The birth and deathismost helpless, the originalspace and timeuncle was also this yearpassed away, the butterfly effectcannotchange the result.
看望了神志不清的伯父,弗朗茨叹了一口气。生老病死是最无奈的,原时空伯父也是这一年去世的,蝴蝶效应也没有能够改变结局。Personnon-vegetationwhocanbe brutal, Ferdinand I do not have the child, since childhoodFranz, when the biologicalsontreats, even can be calledspoils.
人非草木孰能无情,斐迪南一世无子,从小就把弗朗茨当亲儿子对待,甚至可以称得上是溺爱。AlthoughFerdinand Iwill violateonce for a whilemuddled, butthisis losslesstwo peoplesentiments. In the pastFranzalsobannerflickeringperson who flaunted the unclea lot, forgeimperial edictthatwasnothing out of the ordinary.
尽管斐迪南一世会时不时犯糊涂,但这无损两人的感情。当年弗朗茨也没少打伯父的旗号忽悠人,伪造诏书那更是家常便饭。Nowwantsto comecarefully, thenmanytimehas not given it away, perhaps the unclealsocarriedforhimon own initiativewas unjustly discreditedmuch.
现在仔细想来,那么多次都没有穿帮,恐怕伯父也主动替他背了不少黑锅。
......
……Emperoris doomedto be lonely, when the Franzrecollections, a newsbrokehimto be sentimental.皇帝注定是孤独的,就在弗朗茨感怀的时候,一则消息打断了他多愁善感。„Newsdetermination?”
“消息确定了么?”
It is not Franzis surprised due to ignorance, is the content is too surprising, has exceeded the imagination of Franz.
不是弗朗茨少见多怪,实在是内容太令人惊讶,已经超出了弗朗茨的想象。Prime MinisterFelixaffirmativereply: „ Has determined. The Ottomanempireis truly guiding the refugeeto go to the Persian border, foreignexplanationfordispersionplacement.
费利克斯首相肯定的回答道:“已经确定了。奥斯曼帝国确实在引导难民前往波斯边界,对外的解释是为了分散安置。RightOttomanempirealsoinwantonlyconscription, inrefugee16years old ~ 50 years old young, was recruitedcompletely, it is saidtosuppressrebellion.
对了奥斯曼帝国还在大肆征兵,难民之中16岁岁青壮,全部被征招了起来,据说是为了镇压叛乱。LondonEmbassyalsoconfirmedsome time ago the Englishprovided a loanto the Ottomanempire, andassigned to useatsuppressing the rebellion.
伦敦使馆也证实了不久前英国人向奥斯曼帝国提供了一笔贷款,并且指定了必须要用在镇压叛乱上。
The rebel army of Ottomanempireis a motley crew , the dispersionoperates independently, is not the opponent of government forces.奥斯曼帝国的叛军都是乌合之众,又分散各自为战,根本就不是政府军的对手。Ottomanempireintensifies the conscriptioneffort, perhapsisthinks , to launch the wartoPersia, shifts the domesticcontradiction. ”奥斯曼帝国这个加大征兵力度,恐怕是想要是想要对波斯发动战争,转移国内的矛盾。”
Does the OttomanempireattackPersia? Franzshakes the head, healwaysdoes not feelcredibly. Was just beaten mercilessly, immediatelyjumpedto do the matter, wasn't tired of living?奥斯曼帝国进攻波斯?弗朗茨摇了摇头,他总感觉不靠谱。刚刚被毒打了一顿,马上又跳出来搞事情,不是活腻了么?Do not look that the Ottomanempireis more powerful than severalpointsPersia, butcannot supporttheirpersonal enemiesto be many. Austriabenefits, isRussia, so long aspullstheirhind legs, will waste all previous efforts.
不要看奥斯曼帝国比波斯强大几分,但架不住他们仇人多。无论是奥地利,还是俄罗斯,只要扯一下他们的后腿,就会前功尽弃。Withoutwinningwar, what to do should also? Takes riskto launch the warwithit, might as wellfight the civil warto consider as finishedinternally, whenpopulationconsumptionwas similar, the internal contradictionwas also solved.
如果没有赢得战争,又该怎么办?与其冒险发动战争,不如在国内打内战算了,等人口消耗的差不多了,国内矛盾也就解决了。
„ Thisconclusionis not necessarily correct, now the urgent matter of Ottomanempireis the refugee crisis and suppressionrebellion, whatadvantageattacksPersia to them?
“这个结论未必正确,现在奥斯曼帝国的当务之急是难民危机和镇压叛乱,进攻波斯对他们来说有什么好处?Only ifYouthPartyisonegroup of fools, otherwiseshouldknow that the presentOttomanempirecannot withstand the war, evenwonPersia, the refugee crisiscould not solve. ”
除非青年党都是一帮傻子,不然就该知道现在的奥斯曼帝国经不起战争,就算是打赢了波斯,难民危机还是解决不了。”Shiftsusing the wardoes not have the issuecontradictory, the OttomanempireandPersia are also hatred/enemydeep like, attacksPersianot to have the pressure.
利用战争转移矛盾没有问题,奥斯曼帝国和波斯也是仇深似海,进攻波斯没有压力。
The issueisPersiais not the wealthylord, wantedto snatchenoughto pass the grain of crisisfromPersia, was almost the impossible mission.
问题是波斯也不是啥富裕的主,想要从波斯抢到足够度过危机的粮食,几乎是不可能完成的任务。Foreign ministerWessenberg: „ Your majesty, behindthispossiblyhas the Englishto be up to mischief. WeextendedMiddle East the influence, the Englishwill definitely take action.
外交大臣韦森贝格:“陛下,这背后可能有英国人在搞鬼。我们将势力延伸到了中东地区,英国人肯定会采取行动。Standsin the standpoint of Londongovernment, mustguaranteeIndiato be absolutely safe, bestto graspPersiain the hand, andwedivides the sphere of influenceintworiverbasins.
站在伦敦政府的立场上,要确保印度万无一失,最好是将波斯掌握在手中,在两河流域和我们划分势力范围。Howevermore than tenyears ago, the EnglishinvadesPersiato end in failurefinally, the Londongovernmentshould have a lingering fear. They might make the Ottomanpersonattract the attention, toinvadePersiancreationopportunityagain.
不过在十几年前,英国人入侵波斯最后以失败告终,伦敦政府应该还心有余悸。他们很可能会让奥斯曼人吸引注意力,为再次入侵波斯创造机会。
The issue of Ottomanempiresaid that smallbig, saidis not greatly big, nothing butis the issue of land tax. If under Britaingives up the qualification, was capable ofpassing the crisisforthem. ”奥斯曼帝国的问题说小不小、说大也不大,无非是钱粮的问题。如果不列颠舍得下本钱,还是有能力替他们度过危机。”
The land tax that the Ottomanempireneedsisastronomical figures, butthis„astronomical figures” are also relatively speaking.奥斯曼帝国所需要的钱粮是一笔天文数字,不过这个“天文数字”也是相对而言的。To the ordinarycountryis„astronomical figures”, butBritishalsoon a great sum of money, came out.
对普通国家来说是“天文数字”,但是对英国人来说也就一笔巨款,挤挤也就出来了。5 milliontonsgrain shortfall, soundsveryserious. Butthesegrainare not the disposableneeds, butgrain shortfallin the next 1-2 years.
五百万吨粮食缺口,听上去很不得了。可这些粮食不是一次性需要的,而是未来一两年内的粮食缺口。Ifcompletepurchasemost inexpensivepotatopowder, in factalsoon several millionaegises. The qualifications that the Ottomanpersonhas not selected food, havingateare good.
如果全部采购最廉价的土豆粉,实际上也就几千万神盾。奥斯曼人又没有挑食的资格,有得吃就不错了。
The onlyissueis the repayment capability of Ottomanempireworrisome, lendsthisbeing in a precarious statecountrymoney, the risk was really high.
唯一的问题就是奥斯曼帝国的还款能力令人忧心,把钱借给这种朝不保夕的国家,风险实在是太高了。„Refugee”and„boundary”......
“难民”、“边界”……
The Franzmiraculous glowflashes, understoodinstantaneously.弗朗茨灵光一闪,瞬间明白了过来。
„ Sends peopleto stare at the Ottomanpersonto disperseplacesrefugeesinboundary, Isuspected that YouthPartyiswishallows the refugeeto enterPersiato seek a livelihood.
“派人盯着奥斯曼人分散安置在边界上的难民人数,我怀疑青年党是想要让难民进入波斯就食。
The refugeequantity of Ottomanempirewere too many, had exceeded the withstandinglimit of thiscountry, wantedto provide relief is not not possiblecompletely.奥斯曼帝国的难民数量太多了,已经超过这个国家的承受极限,想要全部救济下来根本就不可能。Changesanybodyto be in powermust conduct the choices, if as expected, the Ottomanempirewill pursue the domesticnational minorityquickly.
换任何人执政都必须要进行取舍,如果不出意外的话,奥斯曼帝国很快就会驱逐国内的少数民族。For safety, the garrison troops of orderboundarystrengthen the alert, prohibitinganyillegal immigrantsfrom entering. EspeciallyDardanelles, to give the smuggling. ”
为了安全起见,命令边界的守军加强戒备,禁止任何非法移民进入。尤其是达达尼尔海峡,不要让人给偷渡了。”
It looks like inFranz, Ottomanpersonthisis a risky move, issets at the deathtrapthento livecompletely. Onceplansto present the least bitoversight, thiscountrywill explodeimmediately.
在弗朗茨看来,奥斯曼人这是一步险棋,完全是置之死地而后生。一旦计划出现半点儿疏漏,这个国家马上就会爆炸。EventradedFranz, similarlywill chooseto conduct gambling. Betalsohada slim chance of survival, did not betwaits for death.
即便是换了弗朗茨,同样会选择进行赌博。赌了还有一线生机,不赌就是等死。
The governmentdoes not havemoney, is incapable ofproviding relieft toso manyrefugees, thisis the practical problem, will not shiftwithindividualwill.
政府没钱,无力救济那么多难民,这是现实问题,不会以个人的意志而转移。At this timecannotlisten tomouthartilleryDangto talk irresponsibly, blew the smallpoxrottenlyto fall, changing the graincame is also in vainhowever. Saideasilytaking advantage of the foreign loan, however the capitalistis not silly, is impossibleto draw cashto throw away carelessly.
这种时候可不能听嘴炮党信口开河,吹得天花烂坠,变不出粮食来也是枉然。借外债说起来容易,然而资本家也不傻,不可能拿钱出来打水漂。Let the refugeego abroadto ask for the livelihoodto be no doubt brutal, the good and evil is also a freshhope, at leastsomelucky fellowscanlive, alwaysfeels better that keepsto wait for deathcompletely.
让难民出国讨生计固然残酷,好歹也是一个生的希望,至少有一部分幸运儿可以活下来,总好过全部留下来等死的强。Perhapswhen the time comes the refugeeattacks , is not only Persia, will also attackRussian EmpireandAustriabenefits.
或许到时候难民冲击的不光是波斯,还会冲击到俄罗斯帝国和奥地利。HoweverFranzwas not worried,Austriabenefits the region that and Ottomanempireborders oneitheris the boundless sea, eitheris some desertandfewoasis of stretching to the horizon is also the agriculturalfallowarea, several hundredli (0.5 km)desolate and uninhabitedthatis the normal operation.
不过弗朗茨不怎么担心,奥地利和奥斯曼帝国接壤的区域要么是茫茫大海,要么是一望无垠的沙漠、少部分绿洲那也是农业休耕区,几百里荒无人烟那才是正常操作。
......
……Ankara, after a political struggle, the newSultanAbdul Hamid II was born.
安卡拉,经过了一番政治斗争后,新的苏丹阿卜杜勒・哈米德二世已经诞生了。With the lapse of time, the refugee crisisalsomoves toward the high tideunceasingly. Although the rejection of Midkhatrighteousnessexpression the Englishproposedsinisterly, butactshonestlyactually.
随着时间的推移,难民危机也不断走向高潮。尽管米德哈特义正言辞的拒绝了英国人阴险提议,但行动上却非常的诚实。Does not know that isintendsorhas no intention, lots ofrefugeesdiverged the boundaryareain groups. OnlyimpactsPersiaenough?
不知道是有意还是无意,大量的难民成群结队分流到了边界地区。光冲击波斯怎么够呢?Persia is also an agricultural country, oneselfproductive forcesare limited, cannot raiseso manyrefugees. HasMidkhat of bottom line, wishmakesmorepeoplelive.
波斯也是一个农业国,自身生产力有限,养不起那么多难民。有底线的米德哈特,还是想要让更多的人活下来。Thereforeanothertwoneighbors are also thisfleeingdestination, Midkhatalsoarranges the personto mix in the refugeespeciallyto the five, preparesto leadthistimeflees the movement.
所以另外两个邻居也是这次逃荒的目的地,米德哈特还专门安排人混入难民对伍中,准备领导这次逃荒运动。In order toavoid the international friction, in namethisaction, is the fleeingmovement of peoplespontaneous action, has no relationswith the Ottomangovernment.
为了避免国际冲突,名义上这次行动,就是民众自发行动的逃荒运动,和奥斯曼政府没有任何关系。Asking that Abdul Hamid IIcares about: „Prepared, Prime minister?”
阿卜杜勒・哈米德二世关心的问道:“准备好了么,宰相?”Sitsinthisposition, knowsSultanis not easy. Abdul Hamid IIdoes not thinkdingydeposed, thendies a violent death.
坐在这个位置上,才知道苏丹的不容易。阿卜杜勒・哈米德二世不想灰溜溜的被赶下台,然后死于非命。Nowhemustdepend uponYouthParty, solves the domesticrefugee crisis. In comparison, the currentcivil war is not so important.
现在他必须要依靠青年党,解决国内的难民危机。相比之下,正在进行的内战都没有这么重要。
The nationalinsurrectionary armyfirstlimiting condition is „nationality”twocharacters, thisinnateconditionlimited the insurrectionary armyto grow strong.
民族起义军首先的限制条件就是“民族”二字,这个先天条件就限制了起义军发展壮大。
The national minorityquantitiesare limited, the nationalinsurrectionary armiesalsoonlymovedinoneselfthisnationalityregion, change the placenot to have the mass base, wanting the conscriptionto be difficult.
少数民族数量有限,民族起义军也只在自己本民族区域活动,换了地方没有了群众基础,想要征兵都困难。Underthisbackground, the refugee crisisseemsespeciallydazzling. The OttomanEmpireethnic conflictsare serious, wantingeveryoneto join up, whensought the survival.
这种背景下,难民危机就显得格外耀眼。奥斯曼帝国民族矛盾严重,想要大家联合起来,只有在求生存的时候。
The refugeesbrokethislimitexactly, the government, oncestopsprovide reliefing, toseeksurvival, the rebellion is almost the inevitableresult. Several millionpeoplerevolttogether, ****could not rescue the Ottomanempire.
难民恰好打破了这一限制,政府一旦停止救济,为了求生存,造反几乎是必然的结果。几百万人齐造反,****也救不了奥斯曼帝国。Midkhatnods: „Preparedwas similar, ifplansto conduct smoothly, it is expected that2 millionpeoplewill leave, goes toPersia, RussiaandAustriato benefit the three countriesto make a livingrespectively, when the time comes the domesticfood crisisis also easily solved.”
米德哈特点了点头:“已经准备的差不多了,如果计划顺利进行,预计会有两百万人离开,分别前往波斯、俄罗斯、奥地利三国谋生,到时候国内的粮食危机也就迎刃而解。”
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