The sudden Russia , Poland conflict, was shattered the complete plan of Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji. Processing is not good, Russia and Poland will erupt into all -out war. 突如其来的俄波冲突,破灭了东布罗夫斯基首相的全部计划。一个处理不好,俄波两国就会爆发全面战争。 Under this background, without the support of Prussia kingdom, the strength of Polish war does not have continually. It can be said that Tsar government this helped busy of Prussian, compelling the Polish government to make the compromise. 这种背景下,要是没有普鲁士王国的支持,波兰连一战之力都没有。可以说沙皇政府这是帮了普鲁士人的大忙,逼得波兰政府不得不做出妥协。 Is matter so simple? Tsar is not silly, without enough benefit, why they to help own enemy? 事情有这么简单么？沙皇又不傻,如果没有足够的利益,他们凭什么帮助自己的敌人？ The Polish government is still compelling the condition ignorant, has made clear the long and short of the story in Franz of Vienna. Nothing but was Prussia both countries made the deal in secret, carved up the Kingdom of Poland together. 波兰政府还在懵逼状态,远在维也纳的弗朗茨已经搞清楚了事情的来龙去脉。无非是普俄两国暗中达成了交易,共同瓜分波兰王国。 In front of the benefit does not have the enemy, the Tsar government to restore the lost territory, Prussian wants the strength, both sides stare at the Pole. 利益面前没有敌人,沙皇政府想要收复失地,普鲁士人想要壮大实力,双方都盯上波兰人。 Several years ago both sides also hit life and death, the scabs of war have not eliminated, both sides united. 几年前双方还打得你死我活,战争的伤疤都还没有消去,双方又联合了起来。 In average person opinion, perhaps this very inconceivable, but the reality talked nonsense. 在普通人看来,或许这非常的不可思议,但现实就这么扯淡。 To the Prussia kingdom, having sole possession of Poland is no doubt attractive, but the mass of Kingdom of Poland is too big, has the Prussia kingdom 70-80%, if swallows down, could not do well to be choked. 对普鲁士王国来说,独吞波兰固然诱人,可波兰王国的体量太大,都有普鲁士王国七八成,要是一口吞了下去,搞不好就被噎死了。 Under this background, the choice and person carve up to reduce the operation difficulty, to share the international pressure, is the best choice. 这种背景下,选择和人瓜分降低操作难度、分摊国际压力,就是最好的选择。 The Berlin government and Russia person cooperate are also compelled. The country that borders on with Poland on Prussia Austria three, Austria benefits the strength is too strong, seeking an impossibility matter Prussian does not dare to do, rather the choice and enemy cooperate. 柏林政府和俄国人合作也是被逼的。和波兰接壤的国家就普俄奥三家,奥地利实力太强,与虎谋皮的事情普鲁士人不敢做,宁愿选择和敌人合作。 Even Franz can also speculate boldly, Prussian prepares goods to sell two certainly. Perhaps at this time, has sent people to benefit Ministry of Foreign Affairs to contact with Austria. To Austria benefits the territory promise that the Russia person settles on, seizes the chance to shoulder the contradictions of suddenly Austria two countries. 甚至弗朗茨还可以大胆推测,普鲁士人准备货卖两家。没准这个时候,已经派人和奥地利外交部接触了。把俄国人看中的领土许诺给奥地利,趁机挑起俄奥两国的矛盾。 Puts down the information in hand, the Franz not paying attention to. Not wants, therefore not strove, originally did not dare the interest in the Polish area, Franz naturally does not care about conspiring of Prussia two countries. 放下手中的情报,弗朗茨就不在理会。无欲故无求,本来就对波兰地区不敢兴趣,弗朗茨自然不在意普俄两国的密谋。 How casual they plan, Austria benefits, so long as stands one's ground steadfastly, all schemes and tricks will be pale and weak in the face of the absolute strength. 随便他们怎么算计,奥地利只要岿然不动,一切阴谋诡计在绝对的实力面前都会苍白无力。 More full of Prussia two countries preparation, the next war will hit miserably. If the two governments are the smart people, at this time most should do is a pull people launches, best the country that watches the fun Europe to drag down together. 普俄两国准备的越充分,下一次战争就会打得越惨。如果两国政府都是聪明人,这个时候最应该做的就是拉人下水,最好是把欧洲看热闹的国家一起拉下水。 Must otherwise, in the next war Prussia both countries not be the victor. So long as the watching the fun UK , France Austria three countries the midway inserts one, can make their efforts waste. 要不然的话,下一次战争中普俄两国都不会是胜利者。看热闹的英法奥三国只要中途插一手,就可以让他们的努力白费。 What a pity everyone is not a fool, UK , France Austria can form an alliance explained many issues. The expert who Prussia both countries do not play the diplomacy, wants to break up the triple alliances, and draws oneself, the difficulty of operating was really big. 可惜大家都不是傻子,英法奥能够结盟就说明了很多问题。普俄两国都不是玩儿外交的高手,想要拆散三国同盟,并且把人拉到自己一方,操作起来的难度实在是太大了。 Austria benefits does not want to expand in continental Europe, the French does not have the time to go to war, behind Britain stirs the excrement stick always to like holding the knife, wanting them to go on stage personally, is ok! 奥地利不想在欧洲大陆扩张,法国人是没功夫打仗,英国搅屎棍从来都喜欢背后捅刀子,想要他们亲自上场,还是算了吧！ The three countries are not good to draw, light/only this fate fee/spent is not Prussia both countries can undertake, the spatial glove white wolf UK , France Austria three countries compared with mindful that they play. 三国都不是那么好拉的,光这个下场费就不是普俄两国能够承担起的,空手套白狼英法奥三国都比他们玩儿的顺溜。 Theoretically between the UK , France Austria three countries has struggle of the world supremacy, between three great nations should be contradictory layer on layer/heavily, what a pity these contradictions have not arrived at the eruption the time. 理论上英法奥三国之间存在之世界霸权之争,三个大国之间应该是矛盾重重,可惜这些矛盾还没到爆发的时候。 For example: The sea hegemony of English, law Austria both countries are very interested, what a pity are restrained the strength, both countries have not challenged British sea hegemony the strength. 比如说:英国人的海上霸权,法奥两国都很有兴趣,可惜受制于实力,两国都没有挑战英国海上霸权的实力。 Also for example: law Austria two countries the struggle of European hegemony, should be life and death outwardly. In the reality, Austria benefits to the European hegemony interest lacks, basically is disinclined to struggle ; The French are busy handling the internal problem, temporarily can ignore the European hegemony. 又比如说:法奥两国的欧陆霸权之争,明面上来看应该是你死我活。现实中,奥地利对欧陆霸权兴趣缺乏,基本上是懒得去争;法国人忙着处理内部问题,暂时顾不上欧陆霸权。 In the overseas colonizing movement, the three countries are those with vested interests. If holds mutually the knife, the colony maintenance cost of various countries will rise a big truncation, if the three countries compromised, everyone can save big expenses. 在海外殖民运动中,三国都是既得利益者。要是互相捅刀子,各国的殖民地维护成本都会上涨一大截,要是三国妥协了,大家都可以节省一大笔开销。 So long as the UK , France Austria three countries do not hold mutually the knife, even if other country wants to fish in troubled waters, must consider that can take the consequence of exposition. 只要英法奥三国不互相捅刀子,别的国家就算是想要浑水摸鱼,都要考虑能不能承担暴露的后果。 Does not need to look that now the UK , France Austria three countries colony conflicts often happen, before the three countries form an alliance already many of restraining. At least without presented over a hundred people of colonizing search parties again, blurry has been annihilated. 不用看现在英法奥三国殖民地冲突还是时常发生,比起三国结盟前已经克制的多了。至少没有再出现过上百人的殖民探索队,迷迷糊糊就全军覆没了。 Now the UK , France Austria three countries have started about the colony influence division negotiations, according to the current progress, will cross probably again for 1-2 years later will have a result, when the time comes in the three-country overseas colonizing conflicts will further also reduce. 现在英法奥三国关于殖民地势力划分谈判已经开始,按照目前的进度,大概再过1-2后就会有一个结果,到时候三国海外殖民活动中的冲突还会进一步减少。 Promotes all these is not Franz, is not Napoleon III, but as stirring John Bull of excrement stick. 推动这一切的不是弗朗茨,也不是拿破仑三世,而是作为搅屎棍的约翰牛。 Everyone opens the colony to make money, to not do business at a loss to gain said. The colony of English are most, has conflict in the overseas and various countries is also most. 大家开辟殖民地都是为了赚钱的,可不是为了赔本赚吆喝。英国人的殖民地最多,在海外和各国发生冲突的次数也是最多。 Since the late 19 th century, the maintenance costs of major colonial empires are rising suddenly. If fights again, everyone did not need to make money. 进入19世纪后期,各大殖民帝国的维护成本都在急剧攀升。要是再这么斗下去,大家都不用赚钱了。 For his benefit, John Bull must establish one set of rule system, restraint various countries in overseas colonizing, so as to avoid everyone holds daily mutually the knife, cannot happy money-making. 为了自身的利益,约翰牛也要建立一套规则体系,约束各国在海外殖民活动,免得大家天天互相捅刀子,不能愉快的赚钱。 Naturally, this is only restricted in has the place of lord everyone acknowledged. When the without owner colony competes, is how ruthless how to come, no one will show mercy. 当然,这仅限于被大家承认的有主之地。在无主殖民地争夺的时候,还是怎么狠怎么来,谁也不会手下留情。 This international situation, is completely different from the original space and time. Now the European main international contradiction, instead is the Prussia contradiction. 这种国际格局,和原时空完全不一样。现在欧洲主要的国际矛盾,反而是普俄矛盾。 In comparison, British Austria contradictions, the UK , France contradictions and law Austria turned into the secondary contradiction contradictory. UK , France Austria can form an alliance, proved common interests between the three countries were bigger than the contradiction. 相比之下,英奥矛盾、英法矛盾、法奥矛盾都变成了次要矛盾。英法奥能够结盟,就证明了三国之间的共同利益大过了矛盾。 What John Bull wants is the European balance, rather than wants continental Europe to hit all day pitch-dark. 约翰牛想要的是欧陆平衡,而不是想要欧洲大陆整天打得昏天黑地。 The war means the uncertainty, without grasping provokes the war, no one can guarantee the final situation trend. 战争意味着不确定性,在没有把握的情况下挑起战争,谁也不能保证最后的局势走向。 If by some chance the situation loses control, what to do hit is hitting was making a jumbo? Napoleon's learning from another's mistakes is not far, that potential difference succeeded a little. 万一局势失控,打着打着打出了一个巨无霸怎么办？拿破仑的前车之鉴可不远,那位差一点儿就成功了。 Now law Austria both countries divert mutually, Prussia both countries are mutually hostile, continental Europe is at a subtle state of equilibrium. 现在法奥两国互相牵制,普俄两国互相敌对,欧洲大陆恰好处于一个微妙的平衡状态。 Regardless of which country has the accident, may trigger the chain-reaction. The previous Near East war, used the fact to tell the English, easily meddled the European war to need to pay the price. 无论哪一个国家发生变故,都有可能引发连锁反应。上一次近东战争,就用事实告诉了英国人,轻易插手欧陆战争是需要付出代价的。 Stands in the angle of English, the situation in best continental Europe is so balanced. Various countries had the contradiction, they worked as the pacificator on the line. 站在英国人的角度上,最好欧洲大陆的局势就这么平衡下去。各国发生了矛盾,他们当仲裁者就行了。 ...... …… On May 18 , 1874, the Tsar government sent out the note diplomatique to the Kingdom of Poland, ordered the Polish government: Hands over „the murderer in boundary conflict” in 24 hours, and cedes the Kiev area to make the compensation to Russian Empire. 1874年5月18日,沙皇政府向波兰王国发出外交照会,责令波兰政府:在24小时内交出“边界冲突中的凶手”,并且割让基辅地区给俄罗斯帝国做赔偿。 Such condition, is not the Polish government can accept obviously. Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji is infuriated, is helpless. 这样的条件,显然不是波兰政府能够接受的。东布罗夫斯基首相火冒三丈,却又无能为力。 The standing army of Russian Empire Gundam/reaches as high as 876,000, but the Kingdom of Poland does utmost, the standing army such 136,000, power gap of both sides absolutely does not have the means to make up. 俄罗斯帝国的常备军高达87.6万,而波兰王国竭尽全力,常备军也就那么13.6万,双方的实力差距完全没有办法弥补。 Warsaw, an office that only has two table, four chair and a filing cabinet, is the business location of Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji. 华沙,一间只有两张桌子、四把椅子、一个文件柜的办公室,就是东布罗夫斯基首相的办公地点。 The Polish government is poor, sets an example as head of government character Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji, compression work funds as far as possible. 波兰政府穷,作为政府首脑人物东布罗夫斯基首相以身作则,尽可能的压缩办公经费。 From this perspective, Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji does impeccablly. What a pity a country, by thrifty cannot govern. 从这方面来说,东布罗夫斯基首相做得无可挑剔。可惜一个国家,不是靠节俭就能够治理好的。 Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji: „How big powers said, they can intervene the action of Russia person?” 东布罗夫斯基首相:“列强怎么说,他们会不会干预俄国人的行动？” The Polish government is unable to accept the condition of Russia person, the war had started the countdown, Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji has to place hopes in international interferes on. 波兰政府无法接受俄国人的条件,战争已经进入了倒计时,东布罗夫斯基首相不得不寄希望于国际干涉上。 Foreign minister rune/symbol Lu Bo Levsky: „ British minister complies to mediate this conflict, French minister has not given the answer explicitly, possibly and other resolutions of Paris government. 外交大臣瓦・符卢勃列夫斯基:“英国公使答应调停这次冲突,法国公使没有明确给出答案,可能在等巴黎政府的决议。 Prussian complies to support us, they pledged, if the war breaks out, will send first to dispatch troops to support us. 普鲁士人答应支持我们,他们承诺如果战争爆发,会派第一时间出兵支援我们。 The Austria advantage has not taken a stand, because the relations of suddenly Austria Union, they most are also remain neutral, is impossible to stand us. 奥地利没有表态,不过因为俄奥同盟的关系,他们最多也就是保持中立,不可能站在我们这边。 The remaining various European countries are waiting and seeing the situation, they will make anything to choose, but also needs to wait for the situation to determine bright from now on. ” 剩下的欧洲各国在观望局势,他们会做出什么选择,还需要等局势明朗过后才能够确定。” Listened to after this result, Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji had not felt that the half a point is gratified. 听了这个结果过后,东布罗夫斯基首相没有感到半分欣慰。 The response of various European countries made him very disappointed, as the gate guard for various European countries guard Russian Empire, the Kingdom of Poland also did one's best, the UK , France Austria three great nations did not have an explicit statement to support them unexpectedly. 欧洲各国的反应令他非常寒心,作为替欧洲各国看守俄罗斯帝国的门卫,波兰王国也是尽心尽力,英法奥三个大国居然没有一个明确表态支持他们。 Seemingly earns the support of Prussia kingdom, in fact these support need to pay the price. 看似获得普鲁士王国的支持,实际上这些支持都是需要付出代价的。 Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji is certain, if William I am not able to hold a concurrent post of Polish king, Prussian in this war definitely will delimit the water. 东布罗夫斯基首相可以肯定,如果威廉一世无法兼任波兰国王,在这次战争中普鲁士人必然会划水。 Now the Tsar government has not completed the war preparations, punches the Kingdom of Poland one not to have the issue, wants to destroy completely the Kingdom of Poland, the Tsar government must first consider that in capture the money to be sufficient. 现在沙皇政府没有做好战争准备,揍波兰王国一顿没有问题,想要灭掉波兰王国,沙皇政府先要好好考虑一下自己兜里的钱够不够用。 The Prussia kingdom has the stroke of water motive, a half-dead Kingdom of Poland, happen to facilitates them to annex, can minimize the rebound. 普鲁士王国有划水的动机,一个半死不活的波兰王国,正好方便他们吞并,可以将反弹降到最低。 Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji promptly made decided: „Immediately conducts the national mobilization, we must prepare for with that the Russia person fights to the death.” 东布罗夫斯基首相当机立断做出了决定:“立即进行全国动员,我们要做好和俄国人决一死战的准备。” The big powers could not count on for a short time, the French has no free time to pay attention to them, Austria benefits is the ally of Russian Empire, the English thinks not to know credibly. 列强一时半会儿指望不上了,法国人没空理会他们,奥地利又是俄罗斯帝国的盟友,英国人想想都知道不靠谱。 The mediation said easily, in fact must look that completely the Russia person is willing to be convinced. The 24 hours of diplomatic note of Tsar government, has passed most probably, it is estimated that the note diplomatique of English had not arrived in the Tsar government hand, the Russian force has killed. 调停说起来容易,实际上完全是要看俄国人肯不肯买账。沙皇政府的24小时通牒,已经过去了大半,估计英国人的外交照会还没到沙皇政府手中,俄军就已经杀过来了。 The Kingdom of Poland only prospect is the Prussia kingdom, Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji has prepared modus vivendi. In front of the life and death, a lot can yield. 波兰王国唯一的指望是普鲁士王国,东布罗夫斯基首相已经做好了暂时妥协的准备。生死存亡面前,很多事情都是可以让步的。 No matter how said, the Kingdom of Poland mass is so big, the Prussian appetite is even good, is not a short time can swallow down. 不管怎么说,波兰王国体量还有这么大,普鲁士人就算是胃口再好,也不是一时半会儿能够吞下去的。 Before then, they must block the first wave of soldier/weapon front of Russia person. Without, when the Prussia reinforcements, the Kingdom of Poland have defeated, that was miserable. 在此之前,他们还要挡住俄国人的第一波兵锋。要是没等到普鲁士的援兵,波兰王国就已经战败,那就惨了。 Cannot count on that Prussia helps restore the lost territory, hurries back to the native place the Russia person? 总不能指望普鲁士帮忙收复失地,将俄国人赶回老家去吧？ Do not have a liking for a war they to win, Prussia in the national strength still cannot catch up with the Russia person. Without the donor subsidizes, Prussia is not the opponent in Russian Empire. 不要看上一次战争他们赢了,在国力上普鲁士依然赶不上俄国人。要是没有金主资助,普鲁士根本就不是俄罗斯帝国的对手。 The Tsar government did not have money, the Berlin government in fact also very many. If some day heard that the Berlin government went bankrupt, do not find it strange, they have been in the bankrupt the edge. 沙皇政府没钱,柏林政府实际上也好不了多少。如果某一天听说柏林政府破产了,不要觉得奇怪,他们一直处于破产的边缘。 Was the Prussia kingdom beat the Russia person, rather was behind the donor spends money to be battered to death the Tsar government. 与其说是普鲁士王国击败了俄国人,不如说是背后金主用钱砸死了沙皇政府。 The European countries disburse money to subsidize together, UK , France give money generously to make loans, such good deed is impossible to have daily. The borrowed money must, so many year of both countries to repay a debt to try hard. 欧洲各国一起出钱资助,英法慷慨解囊放贷,这样好事不可能天天有。借的钱也是要还的,这么多年普波两国都在为还债而努力。 Downsizing from now on Russian Empire, cannot make Europe be afraid, everyone's subsidization naturally did not have. 瘦身过后的俄罗斯帝国,已经不能令欧洲感到恐惧,大家的资助自然也就没有了。 Under this background, Prime Minister Dongbuluofusiji does not think Prussia has the strength to hang the dozen of Russia people. If there is this strength, the Berlin government has annexed Poland, does not need to wait till the present. 这种背景下,东布罗夫斯基首相可不认为普鲁士有实力吊打俄国人。要是有这份儿实力,柏林政府早就吞并波兰了,根本就不用等到现在。 The Polish government has not neglected „preparation” work, but according to beforehand estimate, this war more than ten years later, therefore Polish government preparation is not full. 波兰政府从来没有忽视过“备战”工作,只不过按照事先的估计,这场战争会在十几年后,所以波兰政府准备的并不充分。 Russia , Poland conflict too suddenly, the Polish government just obtained the news, the ultimatum of Tsar government came, simply has not left behind the setup time to them. 俄波冲突来得太突然,波兰政府才刚刚得到消息,沙皇政府的最后通牒就来了,根本没有给他们留下准备时间。 To complete the combat readiness work in 24 hours, that simply is fantasy story. Only if the small country of Monaco that village head rank, several hours can complete the nation to mobilize. 想要在24小时内完成战备工作,那简直就是天方夜谭。除非是摩纳哥那种村长级别的小国,几个小时就可以完成全国动员。 Poland starts to mobilize, the Russia person has not been idling. Has the Tsar government of preparation early, had concentrated 20 infantry divisions and 5 cavalry divisions in Russian and Polish border, concentrated 20 infantry divisions in the Prussia boundary. 波兰开始动员,俄国人也没有闲着。早有准备的沙皇政府,已经在俄波边界集中了20个步兵师和五个骑兵师,在普俄边界上也集中了20个步兵师。 Obviously, the Tsar government does not trust Prussian, had the large army in the boundary. 显然,沙皇政府并不信任普鲁士人,才在边界上驻扎了重兵。 At this time is different in those days, the Tsar government stored up a number of grain beforehand, the eating meal issue of Russian force soldier had solved. The logistics pressure of Russia person, has reduced greatly. 今时不同往日,沙皇政府事先囤积了一批粮食,俄军士兵的吃饭问题已经解决了。俄国人的后勤压力,已经大大减轻。 20 infantry division masters could not perhaps have done to the Prussia kingdom, but the defensive boundary actually has more than enough to spare. Even if the Berlin government wants to use the trick, still must first consider own strength. 20个步兵师师或许还奈何不了普鲁士王国,但是防守边界却是绰绰有余。柏林政府就算是想要耍花招,也先要考虑一下自身的实力。 Without the means that the soldier many can be willful. Casual, the Tsar government transferred 500,000 armies, this has exceeded the sum total of two countries standing armies. 没办法,兵多就可以任性。随随便便,沙皇政府就调动了五十万大军,这已经超过了普波两国常备军的总和。 What tragedy is the Polish government had not detected beforehand unexpectedly, even if Prime Ministers Dongbuluofusiji do not know that must have many facing the enemy. 悲剧的是波兰政府事先居然没有察觉,即便是现在东布罗夫斯基首相都不知道要面对敌人有多少。 From this perspective, the Polish government is really unqualified. Will have grand plans but little skill the incisiveness of performance, does not attach great importance to the intelligence completely. 从这方面来说,波兰政府真的不合格。将眼高手低表现的淋漓尽致,对情报工作完全不重视。