HRE :: Volume #6

#540: The feudalism remains is very powerful


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The change in grain futures market, directly affected the grain price, capitalists price hike as if by prior agreement. 粮食期货市场上的变化,直接影响到了粮食价格,资本家们不约而同的进行涨价。 This rises in prices is only restricted in the bargain price, the grain procurement price still does not have many changes, affects from the downstream market the upstream market, this needs the time fermentation. 这个涨价仅限于交易价格,粮食收购价格依然没有多少变化,从下游市场影响到上游市场,这需要时间发酵。 Raises the grain bargain price, to get rich essentially. Starting from last year, the long-term low grain price, has seriously affected everyone's interests. 提高粮食交易价格,本质上就是为了发财。从去年开始,长期低迷的粮价,已经严重影响到了大家的利益。 The grain price of improvement, the significance in fact, the issue of grain overcapacity, has not been solved fundamentally. Nothing but the capitalist wants to seize the chance to gain one, makes up for the loss in agricultural crisis. 好转的粮价,并没有实质上的意义,粮食产能过剩的问题,没有从根本上得到解决。无非资本家想要趁机赚上一笔,弥补在农业危机中的损失。 Franz has not felt optimistic, if responsible for dealing is the grain capitalists, that for own benefit, superelevation, and stands firm the grain price, most serves their interest. 弗朗茨没有感到乐观,如果负责操盘的都是粮食资本家,那么为了自己的利益,超高、并且稳住粮食价格,才是最符合他们利益的。 Very regrettable, the European three big grain futures markets, relatively are at present strong besides the grain capitalist strength that Austria benefits, have certain right to speak, UK and France are the financial capital are to lead. 很遗憾,目前欧洲三大粮食期货市场,除了地利的粮食资本家实力相对强劲,有一定话语权外,英法两国都是金融资本为主导。 Even if Austria benefits the strength that the grain capitalists have not dealt, even in addition the related agricultural products processing industrial capital, has this strength reluctantly. 即便是地利粮食资本家都没有操盘的实力,即便是加上相关的农产品加工产业资本,才勉强有这份儿实力。 UK , France not to mention, only if the entire real economy capital binds together, otherwise in the futures market forever is the domains of financial capital. 英法就更不用说了,除非是整个实体经济资本绑在一起,要不然期货市场上永远都是金融资本的地盘。 The short cycle , fast return , high effectiveness, forever is the best pursue of capital, sets one's mind at ease to do business, is not the goal of financial capital, this means that the grain market has the possibility to crash anytime two times. 短平快,永远都是资本的最佳追求,沉下心来做生意,可不是金融资本的目的,这就意味着粮食市场随时都有可能二次崩盘。 Now everyone still in makes the high grain price together jointly, the uniform expansion similar, attracted enough speculator to go to take over a business, this/should end arrived. 现在大家还在一起联手做高粮价,等涨得差不多了,吸引了足够的投机者进去接盘,就该末日降临了。 ...... …… The Vienna palace, Franz summoned agriculture minister Horss. 维也纳宫,弗朗茨召见了农业大臣霍尔斯。 Grain price is in restores, but the issue of overcapacity has not been solved as before, Ministry of Agriculture's following work still reduced production. “粮食价格正处于恢复中,不过产能过剩的问题依旧没有解决,农业部接下来的工作仍然是减产。 Does not need to be worried about the grain to be insufficient, even if encountered the situation, we still have enough strategic reserve emergency. ” 不用担心粮食不够,就算是遇到了突发情况,我们也拥有足够的战略储备应急。” The government cannot interfere with the market casually, moreover game of futures market international capital to betting, is not the Austria Libyan government can intervene. Only if the UK , France Austria three governments intervene the market simultaneously, will otherwise only play the side effect, causes bigger losses. 政府不能随便干涉市场,况且期货市场这种国际性的资本对赌游戏,也不是地利政府能够干预的。除非英法三国政府同时干预市场,不然只会起到副作用,造成更大的损失。 By the agricultural crisis influence, Austria was benefitted also presents the grain to be unsalable, the lowest subsidy price policy that the government carries out, quick purchased large quantities of grain. 受农业危机影响,地利也出现了粮食滞销,政府执行的最低保护价政策,很快就收购了一大批粮食。 The Vienna government is the food consumption wealthy and powerful family, was not worried that the grain storage are too many. The governmental agency, school and army, in addition has millions people to eat meal. 维也纳政府本身就是粮食消耗大户,根本就不担心粮食储存太多。政府机关、学校、军队,加起来有好几百万人要吃饭呢。 Affected by Franz, since long the government has the custom of storing up the grain. Besides satisfied for oneself, usually also when the grain price is low swallows, grain price high time ejects. 弗朗茨影响,长期以来政府都有储存粮食的习惯。除了满足自用外,通常还会在粮食价格低的时候吃进,粮食价格高的时候抛出。 Naturally, this is only the ordinary period, after the agricultural crisis fully breaks out, the Vienna government does not dare to open wide the purchase. Continues to play, will really go bankrupt. 当然,这只是平常时期,农业危机全面爆发后,维也纳政府也不敢敞开收购了。继续那么玩儿,真的会破产。 Agriculture minister Horss: Your majesty, we are planning agricultural summit meeting a time, inviting the big capitalist and large landed estate that Europe is engaged in the agricultural sector to participate together. Unites everyone's strength, together output stable grain price.” 农业大臣霍尔斯:“陛下,我们正在策划一次农业峰会,邀请欧洲从事农业领域的大资本家、大农场主一起参加。联合所有人的力量,一起出力稳定粮食价格。” Franz stares, along with and responded. This type is the normal operation, as the world's first agricultural export great nation, came across the agricultural crisis possibly to deal passively? 弗朗茨一愣,随及反应了过来。这种才是正常操作,作为世界第一农产品出口大国,遇到了农业危机怎么可能被动应对呢? Must know before the agricultural crisis breaks out, internationally agricultural product trade pricing power, continuously in Austria benefits in the hand. 要知道农业危机爆发前,国际上农产品贸易的定价权,一直都在地利手中。 The Russia person did not defend the custom and English plays the bundle loan sale, broke Austria to benefit monopoly in the pricing power, thus caused the grain price to be flowing. 俄国人不守规矩和英国人玩儿起了捆绑贷款销售,打破了地利定价权上的垄断,从而导致粮食价格一泻千里。 After this wave, the capitalists naturally realized the dire consequence of this no rule competition, stuck together at this time again is almost inevitable. 经过这一波后,资本家们自然意识到了这种无规则竞争的可怕后果,这个时候再次抱团几乎是必然的。 Ministry of Agriculture fiddles with this plan, perhaps cannot leave the influence of capital. Aristocrat who perhaps is engaged in the agricultural production, the capitalist of relevant area, may in the behind-the-scenes force. 农业部捣鼓这项计划,恐怕也离不开资本的影响。或是从事农业生产的贵族,或是相关领域的资本家,都有可能在幕后推手。 Knows to turn over to know, Franz has not gotten to the root of uncovers the bottom the meaning, this matter is inevitable. The method of capital influence government policy decision are many, every so often the litigant has not responded, had the rhythm. 知道归知道,弗朗茨没有追根揭底的意思,这种事情是不可避免的。资本影响政府决策的方法很多,很多时候当事人还没有反应过来,就被带节奏了。 Sounds very good, but why to carry out? Even if at the agricultural summit meeting achieves many achievements, without having compulsory restraint strength, can play the major role? “听起来很不错,只是凭什么落实呢?就算是农业峰会上达成再多的成果,在不具备强制约束力的情况下,能够发挥多大的作用? If cannot solve this problem, might as well find the way to push up the unprocessed food grains trade tariff, increases the cost of competitor. 如果不能解决这个问题,不如想办法推高原粮贸易的关税,增加竞争对手的成本。 Many and large landed estate lord contacts, believes that they will have the similar interest, encouraging them to mobilize the broad masses of rural masses, exerts pressure on the government together. ” 多和大农场主主接触一下,相信他们会有同样的兴趣,鼓动他们发动广大农民群众,一起给政府施压。” This idea is cruel, to industrially underdeveloped country, very disadvantageous. Perhaps develops finally, may evolve forms a pair all agricultural products to levy additional taxes the tariff. 这个主意非常阴损,对工业落后的国家来说,非常的不利。或许发展到最后,可能会演变成对所有农产品加征关税。 However Franz was not worried, affected nothing but is the profit low primary processing industry. In a short time to some Austria advantage influences, but in the long run, actually helps further promote the industrial upgrading. 不过弗朗茨丝毫不担心,受影响的无非是利润较低的初级加工企业。短期内对地利会有些影响,但长期来看,却有助于进一步促进产业升级。 Cannot count on that rubs for a lifetime the surface? The enterprises of this not many technique contents, sooner or later extruded having no benefits to be gained. 总不能指望磨一辈子面吧?这种没有多少技术含量的企业,早晚会被挤压的无利可图。 If not develop an added value higher new product to come out, this technique content is low, stands in the processing industry that same place is not willing to go forward, how long in this brutal world unable to survive. 要是不开发附加值更高的新产品出来,这种技术含量低,又站在原地不愿意前进的加工企业,在这个残酷的世界上是存活不了多久的。 These on outwardly, without the incomes in other aspects, this is kills the enemy 1000 to damage 800 tactics, Franz possibly does use? 这些都只是明面上的,如果没有其它方面的收益,这就是杀敌一千自损八百的战术,弗朗茨怎么可能用呢? Raises the grain price most affected is the industry, the price rise enterprise has to pay more wage, otherwise the worker did not go on living. 抬高粮食价格受影响最大的就是工业,物价上涨企业不得不支付更多的薪水,不然工人就活不下去了。 This is the Franz primary purpose, perhaps in the short-term, this influence is not obvious, is with the lapse of time, are more to the agricultural import tariff, the sequela must come out. 这才是弗朗茨的根本目的,或许短期来看,这种影响还不明显,可是随着时间的推移,对农产品进口关税越加越多,后遗症就要出来了。 The high labor cost will cause the artificial crowded enterprise to become has no benefits to be gained, for a higher benefit, the capitalists will invest the fund into the income higher financial arena inevitably. 高昂的人工成本会导致人工密集企业变得无利可图,为了更高的利益,资本家们势必会将资金投入到收益更高的金融领域。 The original space and time first cannot support is a French. After Franco-Prussian War, without government's suppression to the capital, France started to dash about wildly along the road of no return in usury empire. 原时空最先撑不住的就是法国人。普法战争过后,没有了政府对资本的压制,法国就沿着高利贷帝国的不归路开始狂奔。 The English are also follow, with from abandoning martial arts. Otherwise the World War II, German Air force is unable four sky over British Isles to plunder, not to mention blocks the sea transportation by the submarine. 英国人也是紧随其后,跟着自废武功。要不然二战时期,德国空军也无法在英伦三岛上空肆掠,更不用说靠潜艇封锁海上运输。 Looks the agriculture minister who does not understand, Franz had not explained. This vague method, is not the few words, can explain clearly. If by some chance divulged, caused the vigilance of various countries, instead is not beautiful. 看着不理解的农业大臣,弗朗茨没有进行解释。这种隐晦手段,根本就不是三言两语,就能够解释清楚的。万一泄露了出去,引起了各国的警惕,反而不美。 After matter, then exposed that not to matter. The government can reduce the tariff, first looked that the domestic farmer does comply. 等事情发生后,再暴露出来那就无所谓了。政府可以降低关税,先看国内的农民答不答应。 Even forcefully implemented, can count on that is then inadequate in the capitalist who the financial arena gets to know the benefits of? 就算是强行实施了,难道还能够指望在金融领域尝到了甜头的资本家回头不成? Has not gotten to know the benefits of does not need to consider, is different from the real economy, plays the finance to compensate, that is the commonly seen matter. 没有尝到甜头的更不用考虑,不同于实体经济,玩儿金融一赔到底,那是司空见惯的事情。 Earns is the sudden and huge profits, compensates is also the really gold/metal silver. The wealth is a number, today the billionaire, in rooftop will see tomorrow. This matter London, Paris and Vienna several financial centers, each will perform after a period of time. 赚得是暴利,赔出去的也是真金白银。财富就是一个数字,今天亿万富翁,明天天台上见。这种事情伦敦、巴黎、维也纳几个金融中心,每过一段时间都会上演。 The next evil behind-the-scenes manipulator turns over to the evil behind-the-scenes manipulator, this/should production cut must reduce production. Opens the window, looks at the sky, Franz adds: „ These conducted in secret were OK, do not do it is well known. 下黑手归下黑手,该减产的还是要减产。打开窗户,望了望天空,弗朗茨补充道:“这些暗中进行就可以了,不要搞得人尽皆知。 Key of Ministry of Agriculture, if wants the means to reduce the grain capacity , to promote the industrial crop planter. The government can encourage the enterprise and farmer signing planter contract, making them feel at ease. 农业部的工作重点,还是要想办法削减粮食产能,推广经济作物种植。政府可以鼓励企业和农民签订种植合同,让他们安心。 I look at certain areas, agricultural cooperative that the aristocrats fiddle with, is good means. Everyone joined up the planter scale to come up, had the energy with the enterprise negotiations. 我看某些地区,贵族们捣鼓出来的农业合作社,也是一个不错的办法。大家联合起来种植规模上去了,和企业谈判也更加有底气。 The government can promote to establish similar semi-official mission, or is the pure non-governmental organization. By the people are decided freely whether participates, the management agency also to make them elect. ” 政府可以推动一些建立类似的半官方机构,或者是单纯的民间机构。由民众自由决定是否参与,管理机构也让他们自己选举。” The agricultural cooperative was not the new business, in European many areas, had the organization that this cooperation won. 农业合作社也不是新事务了,在欧洲很多地区,都有这种互助共赢的组织。 Develops truly in the Austria advantage, abolishes the serfdom and after the agrarian revolution. Initial goal to not help mutually, is mainly the aristocrats wants to maintain the influence in place, acted to establish this type of organization. 真正在地利发展起来,还是废除农奴制和土地革命过后。最初的目的也不是为了互助,主要是贵族们想要保持在地方上的影响力,就出面建立了这种组织。 Even to the present, is no one can join. The feudal dregs find at everywhere, joins these organizations is not a retainer, is the original serf, refuses to accept other to join. 即便是到了现在,也不是什么人都能够加入的。封建糟粕随处可见,加入这些组织的不是家臣,就是原来的农奴,拒绝接受其他加入。 Especially after Austria benefits the colonizing time opens, saw that has the aristocrat through this pattern after the shortest time internal bracing has private army, almost all fiefdom aristocrats realized agricultural cooperative the function, acted. 尤其是地利殖民时代开启后,看到有贵族通过这种模式在最短的时间内拉出一支支私军后,几乎所有的封地贵族都意识到了“农业合作社”的作用,纷纷行动了起来。 The fact also showed, this knowing the whole story private army, mercenary credible many of compared with outside recruiting. 事实也证明,这种知根知底的私军,要比外面招募的雇佣兵靠谱的多。 The African continent is not good, particularly after gets rich, betrays and betrays is almost performing every day, the event that the mercenary kills the employer also spreads in the folk widely. 非洲大陆可不是什么善地,尤其是发了财过后,背叛、出卖几乎每天都在上演,雇佣兵杀死雇主的事件也在民间广为流传。 Perhaps is because loyal, can perhaps be inescapable the monk, cannot escape the temple. Franz had not heard that which aristocrat, was revolted ka to scratch by own private army. 或许是因为忠诚,或许是跑得了和尚,跑不了庙。弗朗茨还没有听说哪个贵族,被自家的私军造反给咔擦了。 Loyal does not give for nothing, must make others work oneself to death, needs to pay the price. The ordinary period buys the hearts of the people, is essential. 忠诚也不是白给的,要让人家卖命,也是需要付出代价的。平常时期收买人心,就是必不可少的。 For example: The grain procurement season, will act to negotiate with the merchant as the aristocrat of agricultural cooperative lead goat, or is the direct organization people transports/fortunes the sale the grain, avoided keeping prices down by the merchant. 比如:粮食收购季节,作为农业合作社领头羊的贵族会出面和商人交涉,或者是直接组织人把粮食运出去销售,避免了被商人压价。 Also for example: The promoted agriculture work technology and coordinated folk are contradictory, occasionally also the concurrent job makes loans to help in an emergency. 又比如说:推广农业耕耘技术、协调民间矛盾,偶尔还兼职放贷救急。 This aspect established big aristocrat does well, they have eaten to the full and washed came ashore white/in vain, will not easily crack a joke with oneself prestige. 这方面老牌大贵族做得更好一些,他们早就吃饱、洗白上岸了,不会轻易拿自家声誉开玩笑。 ...... …… Luckily this is continental Europe, otherwise on the approaches of these fellows, has fallen the head. 幸好这是欧洲大陆,要不然就这些家伙的做法,早就掉脑袋了。 Franz has thought must remain to kick out these feudalism, afterward considered oneself is also the feudalism remains, chose being able to see silently. 弗朗茨都想过要不要把这些封建残留踢出去,后来考虑到自己也是封建残留,默默的选择了看不见。 Buys the hearts of the people, buys the hearts of the people. Moves in their original domain in any case, has not extended the claw randomly, has not wanted to revolt, Franz also being disinclined managed. 收买人心,就收买人心吧。反正都只是在他们原来地盘上活动,又没有乱伸爪子,更没有想要造反,弗朗茨也懒得管了。 Some these people look in the place, but can also protect the borders and set people's minds at ease, the mountain thief, bandit and revolutionary party and so on, were at least taken away to trade the military exploit by them. 有这些人在地方上看着,还可以保境安民,至少山贼、土匪、革命党之类的,都被他们拿去换了军功。 Right, catches the revolutionary party in the Austria advantage is also the military exploit, to existence that these dare to revolt, Franz is the attack of sparing no effort. 没错,在地利抓革命党也是军功,对这些敢造反的存在,弗朗茨是不遗余力的打击。 Gives shelter , the harbor revolutionary party, then sorry, no matter who do not want to feel better, issue that nothing but how dead. 窝藏、包庇革命党,那么对不起,不管是谁都不要想好过,无非是怎么死的问题。 Learns from another's mistakes still, exiles the unlucky egg aristocrats in Arctic Ocean most to have the right to speak. Naturally, if several hundred years later is technologically developed, can save the frozen condition person, perhaps they have the opportunity to complain the Franz atrocity. 前车之鉴犹在,流放北冰洋的倒霉蛋贵族最有发言权。当然,如果几百年后科技发达,能够把冰封状态的人救活,没准他们还有机会控诉弗朗茨的暴行。 Except for organized, has not naturally organized. Since these organizations have the positive role, Franz naturally does not mind the promotion. 除了有组织的,自然就是没有组织的了。既然这些组织有积极作用,弗朗茨自然不介意推广。 Must make the agricultural restructuring, must convince the general farmers is too difficult. The government enforces. Will only make the matter is worse. 要进行农业结构调整,要说服广大农民太难了。政府强制执行。只会把事情弄的更糟糕。 Does not make the farmer plant crops, what can tell this/should plants? This matter, Franz really cannot believe the bureaucrat. 不让农民种粮,总得告诉该种植什么吧?这种事情,弗朗茨真不敢相信官僚。 The bureaucrats can the buttocks tap the head to make the decision, can the industrial crop that then the racket, plants when the time comes sell, no one knew. 官僚们可以屁股一拍脑袋就做出了决定,然后拍拍屁股走人,到时候种植出来的经济作物能不能卖出去,就没有人知道了。 This consequence is too much more serious than the grain yield, the grain cannot sell out even, but can also keep to eat, at least ensure the farmer will not have an empty stomach. 这个后果比粮食产量过剩更严重,粮食就算是卖不掉,还可以留着自己吃,至少保证农民不会饿肚子。 If the industrial crop cannot sell, that can only in the waste land. A year gets no crop can clench teeth to support, if for successive several years were so, this terrifying consequence, thinks that Franz was afraid. 经济作物要是卖不出去,那就只能烂地里了。一年绝收能够咬牙支撑,要是连续几年都是如此,这个恐怖后果,想想弗朗茨就不寒而栗。 Horss does not oppose to establish the agricultural cooperative, has had many successful cases, truly is conducive to the development of agricultural production, so long as continued the duplication successful experience to be OK. 霍尔斯不反对建立农业合作社,已经有过很多成功的案例,确实有利于农业生产的发展,只要延续复制成功经验就可以了。 Slightly after thinking, agriculture minister Horss replied: Yes, your majesty.” 略加思索过后,农业大臣霍尔斯回答道:“是,陛下。” ...... ……
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