The English establish the grain reserves system, affected the international grain trading market, the grain price that has fallen stood firm finally. 英国人建立粮食储备体系,也影响到了国际粮食交易市场,一直下跌的粮食价格终于稳住了。 However there is no egg to use, supply in excess of demand still has not been solved. Being unjustly discredited that the grain price falls suddenly although fell the Russia head/number of people, but the smart people know that the Vienna government was also the chief criminal. 不过这没有什么卵用,供过于求的局面仍然没有得到解决。粮食价格暴跌的黑锅虽然落到了俄国人头,但是聪明人都知道维也纳政府也是罪魁祸首。 Since is the smart person, naturally can weigh the advantages and disadvantages. The black Russia person does not matter, even Tsar government were familiar with be been black. 既然是聪明人,自然会权衡利弊。黑俄国人无所谓,连沙皇政府自己都习惯被黑了。 Austria benefitted was different, Vienna government's the first half of the year grain dumping, without various countries' capitalists participated, will not be smooth. 奥地利就不一样了,维也纳政府上半年的粮食倾销,要是没有各国内部的资本家们参与,可不会那么顺利。 Once this cover opened, the interest group that involves must greatly. This offending the person matter, few people are willing to do. 这个盖子一旦揭开,牵扯到的利益集团就大得去了。这种得罪人的事情,很少有人愿意去做。 Christmas approaches, Vienna has the atmosphere of holiday. In 1872 winter of Vienna, weather especially warm. Without snowing, the cold wind is also few. 圣诞节临近,维也纳已经拥有了节日的气氛。1872年维也纳的冬天,天气格外的暖和。没有下雪,就连寒风也很少。 Troubled to visit at this time, on December 21 , 1872, the Polish government benefitted the diplomacy to send out the note to Austria: Requests the Austria advantage to hand over usurps the land of Poland, otherwise the consequence is proud. 就在这个时候麻烦上门了,1872年12月21日,波兰政府向奥地利外交发出照会:要求奥地利交出强占波兰的土地,否则后果自负。 Good, after receiving this note diplomatique, the Vienna government was shocked, Franz was also scared, he really thinks that does not understand will have what terrifying consequence. 好吧,接到这份外交照会后,维也纳政府就惊呆了,弗朗茨也被吓着了,他实在是想不明白会有什么恐怖后果。 Recently Polish Anti-Austria arrogance surges upward, Franz knows. However he has not regarded a matter this, the powerhouse always does not care about the idea of weak one. 最近一段时间波兰反奥气焰高涨,弗朗茨是知道的。不过他没把这当成一回事,强者从来都不在乎弱者的想法。 In his opinion, Pole again how restless, shouted several accent numbers at home, supported also to present several points of diplomatic written protest, why should. 在他看来,波兰人再怎么闹腾,也就是在家里喊几声口号,撑死了也就递交几分外交抗议书,然后就该干嘛干嘛。 In order to take back the Prussia Austria three countries carved up Poland in the past , the Polish government is set up old, set the request to the Vienna government repeatedly. 为了收回当年普俄奥三国瓜分波兰的旧地,波兰政府建立过后,也多次向维也纳政府提出要求。 This behavior Franz is the understanding, coming back that no matter receives, the government must set the example, how otherwise to confess to the people? 这种行为弗朗茨是理解的,不管收不收的回来,政府都必须要做做样子,不然怎么向民众们交代呢？ The Vienna government had not responded to the Pole, when directly they do not exist. The one who lets Franz not think, the Polish government dares to submit an tone so intense note diplomatique unexpectedly. 维也纳政府一直都没有回应过波兰人,直接当他们不存在。让弗朗茨万万没想到的是,波兰政府居然敢递交一份语气如此强烈的外交照会。 This is not a minor matter, the official note diplomatique and grumbles in secret differently, this is needs to take responsibility. 这可不是一件小事,正式外交照会和私底下发发牢骚不一样,这是需要负责任的。 Don't even go there, Franz held the cabinet meeting immediately, prepares to seek the unluckiness of Polish government. 没什么好说的,弗朗茨当即召开了内阁会议,准备寻波兰政府的晦气。 „What Pole this was receives to stimulate, some people gave them the energy, thinks can be put on a high and mighty act to us?” “波兰人这是受了什么刺激,还是有人给了他们底气,自认为可以对我们趾高气昂了？” Understood that the Franz people know, this was the vitality/angry. Poland can be independent, Austria benefits also strives in secret, without demanding the return , the Polish government rubs the nose upper eyelid now unexpectedly. 了解弗朗茨的人都知道,这是生气了。波兰能够独立,奥地利也是暗中出了力的,没有索求回报也就罢了,现在波兰政府居然蹭鼻子上脸。 Opens the history book to discover, the Austria wave territorial dispute, is bad debts. In this case, who naturally is who holds true. 翻开历史书就会发现,奥波领土纷争,就是一笔烂账。这种情况下,自然是谁强谁有理。 Foreign minister Wessenberg explained: „ Your majesty, Poland is a large agricultural nation, after the agricultural crisis breaks out, the agricultural product import and export volume of Poland suddenly drops. 外交大臣韦森贝格解释道:“陛下,波兰是一个农业大国,农业危机爆发后,波兰的农产品进出口额急剧下降。 A while ago to resolve crisis, we raised the tariff of Polish agricultural import, caused the strong resentment of Polish government. 前段时间为了应对危机,我们提高了波兰农产品输入的关税,引发了波兰政府的强烈不满。 The agricultural product of Poland about 34 are exits Austria to benefit, after the processing is completed, sells to the international market, after the improvement tariff , the two countries agricultural product trade volume sharply fell 2/3. 波兰的农产品大约有34是出口到奥地利,加工完成后再销往国际市场,提升关税后两国农产品贸易额锐减了三分之二。 This directly caused the Polish domestic a lot of agricultural products to be unsalable, has caused the serious social crisis, the Polish political situation is not steady. 这直接导致了波兰国内大量的农产品滞销,已经造成了严重的社会危机,波兰政治局势已经不稳。 The Poles sent out the note diplomatique at this time, possibly has the relations with their domestic situations, the government wants to take the opportunity the specialized internal contradiction. ” 波兰人这个时候发出外交照会,可能和他们国内的局势有关系,政府想要借机专业国内矛盾。” This does not have the matter of means that the international market is retracting unceasingly, the Austria advantage has to reduce the capacity, the capitalists who are engaged in the agricultural products processing much start to transform. 这是没有办法的事情,国际市场在不断萎缩,奥地利不得不削减产能,不少从事农产品加工的资本家都开始转型。 Under this background, must certainly protect the domestic agriculture, reduces the agricultural import import becomes inevitable. 这种背景下,肯定要保护国内农业,减少农产品进口进口成为了必然。 Before the agricultural crisis breaks out, the Vienna government completed preparation that gives up the venture in agroindustry. Without the means that this industrial many technique contents, cannot only be initially generation of industries. 早在农业危机爆发前,维也纳政府就做好了放弃农产品加工业的准备。没有办法,这个产业没有多少技术含量,只能作为初代工业。 Recently these years, agricultural products processing enterprise mushroom growth of various European countries braved, market competition even more intense. The Austria advantage can preserve the venture in agroindustry the hegemon position, mainly controlled most unprocessed food grains capacities. 最近这些年,欧洲各国的农产品加工企业都雨后春笋般冒了出来,市场竞争越发的激烈。奥地利能够保住农产品加工业的霸主地位,主要是控制了大部分原粮产能。 Obviously this situation is unable to continue, erupts from the agricultural crisis, the venture in agroindustry of various countries is not worrying for the raw material, the cost advantage that Austria benefits does not exist. 显然这种情况无法持续下去,从农业危机爆发过后,各国的农产品加工业就不在为原材料发愁,奥地利的成本优势不复存在。 Under this background , to continue to expand the investment dead again to knock in this above, might as well put in the strength into the emergent industry, promoting the second Industrial Revolution to widen everyone's power gap. 这种背景下,再继续加大投入在这上面死磕,不如将力量投入到新兴产业中,推动第二次工业革命拉开大家的实力差距。 Without the government supported with emphasis, profit high agricultural products processing manufacturing industry, but can also continue to survive, but in the flour mill lacks the technique content the enterprise day not to feel better. 没有了政府重点扶持,利润较高的农产品加工制造业,还可以继续生存下去,而面粉厂之内缺乏技术含量的企业日子就不好过了。 This is the inevitable result of economic development, a technique content higher enterprise, is more obvious in the advantage that in the competition has. Without the enterprise of technique content, can only fall into the strange circle of price war, goes a step further very much difficultly. 这是经济发展的必然结果,技术含量越高的企业,在竞争中占据的优势越明显。没有技术含量的企业,就只能陷入价格战的怪圈,很难更进一步。 At this time, the enterprise transformed either, either conducted the technology upgrade. For example develops more new products, in the later generation supermarket various dazzling food, by reality compelling. 这个时候,企业要么进行转型,要么进行技术升级。比如开发更多的新产品,后世超市中琳琅满目的各种食品,都是被现实给逼出来的。 The agricultural products processing enterprise to survive, cannot process together the product purely, must increase the link, raises the technique content, increases the value good. 农产品加工企业为了生存下来,就不能单纯的加工一道产品,必须要增加环节,提高技术含量,增加产品附加值。 From the long-term development, this agricultural crisis also urged Austria to benefit the upgrade of venture in agroindustry. The biscuits, canned food and various junk food types that in 1872 in the Vienna market increased, be more than sum total of over the past five years increasing. 从长远发展来看,这次农业危机也促使了奥地利农产品加工业的升级。1872年维也纳市面上增加的饼干、罐头、各类垃圾食品种类,就要比过去五年增加的总和都要多。 These high added value products appeared, making many enterprises fall into the new student/life, radiated the vigor. Responded the slow enterprise, still in struggled desperately. 这些高附加值产品出现,让很多企业陷入了新生,重新焕发出了活力。反应迟钝的企业,仍然在苦苦挣扎中。 From the vision of later generation, the competition of this age is not anything. Even most competitive flour mill, so long as manages appropriately, the good profit, from doing business at a loss to gain calls. 从后世的眼光来看,这个年代的竞争根本就不算啥。即便是竞争最激烈的面粉厂,只要管理得当,都还有不错的利润,距离赔本赚吆喝还远着呢。 Prime Minister Felix severe saying: „No matter what reason, the Pole provokes us to give the strong response, making them know fiercely. The necessary time can take the military action, lets Pole sober.” 费利克斯首相严厉的说道:“不管是什么原因,波兰人挑衅我们都要给予强硬回应,让他们知道厉害。必要时候可以采取军事行动,让波兰人清醒一下。” Takes the military action, a Franz brow wrinkle. He thought that the matter is not in the surface is so simple, even the Pole brain convulsion, did not have the truth to provoke Austria to benefit. 采取军事行动,弗朗茨眉头一皱。他觉得事情不是表面上这么简单,就算是波兰人脑子抽风了,也没有道理招惹奥地利。 Does not need the Franz opens the mouth, First Lord of the Treasury Carl to propose the opposing opinion. 不待弗朗茨开口,财政大臣卡尔就提出了反对意见。 „ Teaching the Pole is easy, even attacks and captures Warsaw is not difficult, what advantage is the issue we can gain? “教训波兰人容易,就算是攻克华沙都不难,问题是我们能够获得什么好处呢？ The present international situation not suitable expansion, the Kingdom of Poland is also poor, only if accepts the agricultural product of Poland to make the compensation, perhaps otherwise we cannot receive the military expenses. ” 现在的国际局势不适合对外扩张,波兰王国又穷得叮当响,除非接受波兰的农产品做赔偿,否则我们恐怕连军费都收不回来。” The anger raises forces, is the military commander taboo. 怒而兴师,乃兵家大忌。 Although the land of Poland is good, but Franz really could not mention the ambition. Passed through the war of independence, the nationalism of Pole has risen, wanted to digest them is really difficult. 波兰的土地虽然不错,但弗朗茨实在是提不起野心。经过了独立战争,波兰人的民族主义已经崛起,想要消化他们实在是太难了。 For land that suits planting crops, lays down the fission to the empire the hidden danger, is completely the gain does not equal the loss. This indefinite tense bomb, who likes being probable to turn over to anyone, Franz does not prepare to put in any case at home. 就为了一片适合种粮的土地,给帝国埋下分裂的隐患,完全是得不偿失。这个不定时炸弹,谁爱要就归谁,反正弗朗茨不准备放在家里。 Accepts the agricultural product of Poland to make the compensation, that is a joke. Was similar to one post-war, UK , France accepted the industrial product of Germany to pay off a debt in labor. 接受波兰的农产品做赔偿,那更是一个笑话。就如同一战后,英法接受德国的工业制品抵债。 The Germans cannot open the market of UK , France by the war for the domestic industry and commerce, instead served the purpose through the post-war indemnity. 德国人靠战争没有能够为了国内工商业打开英法的市场,反而通过战后赔款达到了目的。 Seeks after the temporary advantage UK , France, paid the grievous cost for this reason. By the inexpensive industry and commerce product impact from Germany, UK and France industry was moved toward the decline. 贪图一时之利的英法,也为此付出了惨痛代价。受来自德国的廉价工商业制品冲击,英法两国工业走向了没落。 The second war began, as the side of defeated nation, the German industry exceeded the sum total of UK , France unexpectedly, this has saying that was a satire. 二战开场,作为战败国的一方,德国工业居然超过了英法的总和,这不得不说是一个讽刺。 This foolish matter, the Vienna government may be unable to do. Protects the domestic agriculture also without enough time, how possibly for some benefits, neglected the basis. 这种蠢事,维也纳政府可干不出来。保护国内的农业还来不及,怎么可能为了些许利益,就忽略了根本。 „First warned the Polish government, ordered them to subside the domestic Anti-Austria movement before the Christmas, otherwise we reviewed troops in Warsaw.” “先警告一下波兰政府,责令他们在圣诞节前平息国内的反奥运动,要不然我们就在华沙阅兵。” Has no interest in Poland, was not equal to that cannot use the threat in force. If Polish government real brain water penetration, then Franz did not mind that braces oneself to fight a war. 对波兰没有兴趣,不等于不能采用武力威胁了。如果波兰政府真的脑子进水了,那么弗朗茨也不介意硬着头皮打一仗。 Such a, cheap Russia person. If attacked remnantly Poland, the Franz suspicion next Prussia war, the Prussia kingdom hit by anything. 只是这么一来,就便宜了俄国人。要是打残了波兰,弗朗茨非常怀疑下一次普俄战争,普鲁士王国靠什么去打。 Alexander II, Alexander III are not easy with it generation, the war-making potential of Russian Empire, above Prussia. 无论是亚历山大二世、还是亚历山大三世都不是易与之辈,俄罗斯帝国的战争潜力,远在普鲁士之上。 Ate one time had owed, the Russia person was very difficult to advance recklessly in the corrupt merit. So long as the Tsar government fights steadily, the war turned into the battle of attrition, the Prussia kingdom may not consume the Russia person. 吃过了一次亏,俄国人很难在贪功冒进。只要沙皇政府稳扎稳打,战争变成了消耗战,普鲁士王国可耗不过俄国人。 At this time the Kingdom of Poland, seemed important. If ruthless a little, since the Kingdom of Poland recruits 1 million cannon fodders, when facing the gray draft animal, Prussia is also insufficient to be submerged in the human wave attack. 这个时候波兰王国,就显得至关重要了。如果狠一点儿,从波兰王国征招百万炮灰,那么在面对灰色牲口的时候,普鲁士也不至于被淹没在人海战术中。 Other Franz cannot affirm, but can determine that was this Tsar government will not lack the grain. 别的弗朗茨不敢肯定,但是有一条可以确定,那就是这一次沙皇政府不会缺粮了。 Even the transportation of Russian Empire is still not able to solve, Tsar government still before the war breaks out stockpiles enough strategic resources. 就算俄罗斯帝国的交通仍然无法解决,沙皇政府也会在战争爆发前储备足够的战略物资。 This Prussian is unable to hit Russia person one to be caught off guard, before completing preparation, the Tsar government is not possible to provoke the war again on own initiative. 这一次普鲁士人无法打俄国人一个措手不及,在完成准备前,沙皇政府是不可能再主动挑起战争的。 The suddenly Austria Union several years, during this period, the Prussia kingdom was unable to launch the attack on own initiative, otherwise drags to launch the Austria advantage. 俄奥同盟还有几年时间,在这期间,普鲁士王国也无法主动发起进攻,不然就把奥地利拖下了水。 Swayed a head, Franz dropped these at sixes and sevens ideas. Manages do so many do, the international situation is ever changing, no one can guarantee that tomorrow will have anything. 摇晃了一下脑袋,弗朗茨打消了这些乱七八糟的想法。管那么多干嘛,国际局势千变万化,谁也不能够保证明天会发生什么。 Perhaps when the Prussia war breaks out, the situation changed. The strength that now Austria benefits also in the rapid growth, perhaps waits for the Prussia war to erupt the time, Austria benefitted to fling by far them behind. 或许等到普俄战争爆发时,局势又发生了变化。现在奥地利的实力也在快速增长,或许等普俄战争爆发的时候,奥地利已经远远把他们甩到了身后。 So long as strength enough, any challenge nothing to be worried. Perhaps when the time comes, the Prussia logic of war, becomes to the Austria advantage immaterial. 只要自身实力足够强,任何挑战都不足为虑。或许到时候,普俄战争的结果,对奥地利来说也会变得无关紧要。