After Austria benefits the agricultural economy conference ends, the Vienna government to the outside world announced: Before the new grain harvests, replaces some strategic grain reserves. 奥地利农业经济会议闭幕后,维也纳政府向外界宣布:在新粮收割前,更换部分战略储备粮。 This is almost happening every year, but generally is when the international grain price declines buys up, the price surges upward sells. 这几乎每年都在发生,只不过一般都是在国际粮价走低的时候买入,价格高涨的时候卖出。 These obviously is the exception time, although does not know that the Vienna government prepares to undersell how much grain to come out, in the international grain market caused the dramatic turmoil. 这一次显然是例外,尽管不知道维也纳政府准备抛售多少粮食出来,国际粮食市场上还是引发了剧烈动荡。 Compared with the beginning of the year time, grain price in the international market had fallen 9%, now the influence that was undersold by the Vienna government, the grain price falls suddenly suddenly four points. 较之年初的时候,国际市场上的粮食价格已经下跌了百分之九,现在受维也纳政府抛售的影响,粮食价格猛然暴跌了四个点。 The capitalists of tray could not have supported, the British and Russian transaction makes them lose seriously, Austria benefitted makes up a blade now. 托盘的资本家们已经撑不住了,英俄交易让他们损失惨重,奥地利现在又补上了一刀。 What is good announces because of the Vienna government is the replacement, rather than pure sell-off, this will influence be otherwise fiercer. 好在维也纳政府宣布的是更换,而不是单纯的抛售,要不然这个影响还会更加剧烈。 In London grain trading market, a middle-aged man who wears the magnificent dress, understands the price in the market as usual. 伦敦粮食交易市场上,一名身着华服的中年男子,照例在市场上了解价格。 The middle-aged man 's name is James, is a young capitalist, has a flour mill. Since the British and Russian grain agreement is signed, he flustered. 中年男子名叫詹姆斯,是一名小资本家,拥有一家面粉厂。自从英俄粮食协定签订过后,他就慌了。 The Russia inexpensive grain has not entered, the share has the capitalists of relations to carve up. Time that waits for James to respond, already late. 俄国的廉价粮还没有进入,份额就有关系的资本家们瓜分一空。等詹姆斯反应过来的时候,已经晚了。 Naturally, response quickly is also again useless, this type of fat is not he has the qualifications share. James is purchased the wheat of native place to process, now is not good. 当然,反应的再快也没有用,这种肥肉不是他有资格分享的。原本詹姆斯是收购本土的小麦进行加工,现在不行了。 Domestic Mike is not inexpensive, if pressed the purchase price, it is estimated that he will be hit directly. 国内的小麦可没有那么廉价,要是把收购价格压了下去,估计他会直接被人打出去。 In order to seek for inexpensive grain source, James looked at the grain trading market. By the international grain price influence, really here grain price decline was been much bigger. 为了寻找廉价的粮食来源,詹姆斯将目光投向了粮食交易市场。受国际粮食价格影响,果然这边的粮食价格下跌幅度要大得多。 Suddenly saw that on the billboard presented Austria to benefit the wheat, James stopped the footsteps immediately. Must know that the recent more than ten years, in the international market has rarely presented Austria to benefit the wheat, appeared has processed the bread flour that completes. 突然看到广告牌上出现了奥地利小麦,詹姆斯立即停下了脚步。要知道最近十几年,国际市场上已经很少出现奥地利小麦了,出现的都是已经加工完成的面粉。 „Lowell, what issue this batch of grain have, will the price why so low? I remember that Austria benefits the non- external trade wheat, should this not smuggle the goods?” “劳尔,这批粮食有什么问题,为什么价格会这么低？我记得奥地利不对外出口小麦的,这该不是走私货吧？” James's asking half jokingly, does not blame him to be surprised, is mainly this is not general low, but lowers the limit, a price that was above James to imagine. 詹姆斯半开玩笑的问道,不怪他感到惊讶,主要是这不是一般的低,而是低到了极限,一个超乎詹姆斯想象的价格。 „Mr. James, you will really chat. If really smuggles, we do not smuggle the grain! This type of staple product, transporting is not convenient, the tax rate lowers does not absolutely need adventure.” “詹姆斯先生,你真会说笑。真要是走私,我们也不走私粮食啊！这种大宗商品,运输起来不方便,税率又低根本就没有必要冒险。” James does not pay attention to Lowell's making fun, grasped a wheat to look, the initial judgment was the old grain, but this was not the price arrives at so the situation reason lowly. 詹姆斯不理会劳尔的打哈哈,抓起了一把小麦看了起来,初步判断是陈粮,不过这也不是价格低到如此地步的理由。 „Is short to me talks nonsense, said that what issue this batch of grain do have? Do not tell me, has this small advantage to occupy, but also turns to obtain us!” “少给我扯淡,说吧这批粮食有什么问题？不要告诉我,有这种便宜可以占,还轮得到我们！” Lowell gives a calm smile, put out a newspaper to give James. 劳尔淡然一笑,拿出了一份报纸递给了詹姆斯。 „ Mr. James, you looked, this batch of grain were the old grains. A short time ago the Vienna government announced the replacement grain reserves, the old grain in warehouse discounted outward the sale. “詹姆斯先生,你都看出来了,这批粮食都是陈粮。前不久维也纳政府宣布更换储备粮,仓库中的陈粮就对外打折销售。 You are also the professional, the price of clear old grain will definitely give a discount. Now this batch of grain depositing over three years, processing the bread flour taste will be definitely influential. 你也是专业人士,肯定清楚陈粮的价格会打一个折扣。现在这批粮食存放已经超过三年,加工成面粉口感肯定会有影响。 Benefits this type of grain usually not to process the bread flour in Austria, but is used to brew alcohol, or processes the feed. 在奥地利这种粮食通常都不会加工成面粉,而是用来酿酒,或者是加工成饲料。 The storehouse grain in storage that this Vienna government releases is big, flowed in the international market. Reason that is so cheap, naturally was London that group of bureaucrats does the good deed. 这次维也纳政府释放出来的库存粮较大,才流入了国际市场。之所以这么便宜,当然是伦敦那帮官僚干得好事了。 The new grain of Russia person is so cheap, these old grains naturally can only be cheaper, whom otherwise sold to? ” 俄国人的新粮都那么便宜,这些陈粮自然只能更加便宜,要不然卖给谁啊？” Can look, Lowell is the complaint is also quite deep to the London government. The British and Russian trade agreement, lets the enterprise and Russia person signing contract directly, the business of their these middle man naturally did not have. 看得出来,劳尔对伦敦政府也是怨念颇深。英俄贸易协定,直接让企业和俄国人签订合同,他们这些中间商的生意自然就没了。 Makes the sale the old grain that Austria benefits, they must go broke and close down. Grain price in the international market, may not have the Russia grain is so inexpensive. 要不是把奥地利的陈粮弄回来销售,他们就要关门大吉了。国际市场上的粮食价格,可没有俄国粮食那么廉价。 James put down the wheat in hand, stressed one to rub in the hand. 詹姆斯放下了手中的小麦,又抓了一把在手中搓了起来。 „You determined that these grain don't have the issue?” “你确定这些粮食都没有问题？” Lowell: „Naturally, if there is an issue, I go to hell!” 劳尔:“当然,如果有问题的话,我就下地狱！” Sees James also in hesitant, Lowell added: „ Mr. James, if there is a question, you can examine personally. 看到詹姆斯还在犹豫,劳尔补充道:“詹姆斯先生,如果有疑问的话,你可以亲自检察。 This picking up a bargain opportunity may be rarely seen, in the future the international grain price will be low, is impossible to fall to this share. 这种捡便宜的机会可不多见,未来国际粮食价格再低,也不可能跌到这个份儿上。 You should know, if according to this price sells, the farmers in the world will go bankrupt. This had broken the production cost price, such a batch. ” 你应该知道,要是按照这个价格销售,全世界的农民都会破产。这已经跌破了生产成本价,就这么一批。” James moved, if the grain does not have the issue, merely is only the old grain, completely has the purchase value. Clenches teeth, seems like sets firm resolve. 詹姆斯动心了,如果粮食没有问题,仅仅只是陈粮的话,完全有购买价值。咬了咬牙,似乎是下定了决心。 „I take 30,000 tons, can be cheaper?” “我要三万吨,能不能再便宜一些？” This is almost the complete fund that James can assemble, to seek bigger interests, he decided to bet. 这几乎是詹姆斯所能够调集的全部资金,不过为了谋取更大的利益,他还是决定赌了。 The price of this batch of grain, the grain that attains from the Russia person hand also wants 15% compared with the London government cheaply. Superficially, the old grain and new grain price have the difference are normal, in fact this price is the cheap excess. 这批粮食的价格,比伦敦政府从俄国人手中拿到的粮食还要便宜百分之十五。表面上来看,陈粮和新粮价格有差异是正常,实际上这个价格还是便宜的过分。 The reason of deep level, James wise has not inquired into. So long as in any case can get rich, he manages so many to do! 深层次的原因,詹姆斯明智的没有探究。反正只要能够发财,他管那么多干嘛！ ...... …… Starting from May, appears from the grain that Austria benefits in the British market rapidly. This inexpensive grain appearance, enjoyed praise of not good capitalists. 从五月份开始,来自奥地利的粮食迅速出现在英国市场上。这种廉价粮一出现,就受到了无良资本家们的追捧。 Everyone is a smart person, knows that this price is not normal, even some people guessed that this is Austria benefits the intention to destroy the British and Russian transaction, but this does not hinder them to get rich. 大家都是聪明人,知道这种价格不正常,甚至有人猜测这是奥地利意图破坏英俄交易,不过这不妨碍他们发财。 The grain is different from other commodities, depositing 35 years is not the issue. In any case was the old grains, returned again is the old grain. 粮食不同于其它商品,存放个三五年也不是问题。反正都是陈粮了,再放还是陈粮。 The taste variation, that is the small issue. Bread flour that so long as processes cheap a little, does not worry the sale in the market. 口感变差,那更是小问题。只要加工出来的面粉便宜一点儿,在市场上就不愁销路。 Can fill the belly was good, but also wants to pursue food taste, the ordinary British People did not have such heroic spirit. 能够填饱肚子就不错了,还想要追求食物口感,普通英国民众还没有这么豪气。 Such action on a grand scale, naturally brought to the attention of London government. However this action, is not Austria benefits the individual farming, one group of British capitalists participate. 这么大张旗鼓的行动,自然引起了伦敦政府的注意。不过这次行动,不是奥地利单干的,还有一帮英国本土资本家参与。 The transaction of London government and Russia person, similarly not possible everyone to be benefited, many capitalist or benefit damage. 伦敦政府和俄国人的交易,同样不可能人人受惠,很多资本家还是利益受损者。 If not take action, when the Russia grain floods into on a large scale, they want to survive to be difficult. 如果不采取行动的话,等到俄国粮食大举涌入,他们想要生存下去都非常困难。 Under this background, they naturally did not mind that benefitted the cooperation with Austria. Is the legitimate trade, the London government also has no right to interfere in any case. 这种背景下,他们自然不介意和奥地利合作了。反正都是合法贸易,伦敦政府也无权干涉。 To set the limiting condition, preventing Austria to benefit grain dumping. Sorry, congressional that pass/test can/but does not feel better, for own benefit opponents, lifts up high the free trade the flag, makes Benjamin cabinet be at a loss. 想要设置限制条件,阻止奥地利粮食倾销。抱歉,国会那一关可不好过,为了自己的利益反对者们,高举自由贸易的旗帜,就让本杰明内阁束手无策。 The free trade system cannot be overthrown, this is the core of British economic policy. Naturally, this worrying matter has minimal impact on Prime Minister Benjamin. 自由贸易体系可不能被推翻,这是不列颠经济政策的核心。当然,这种烦心事对本杰明首相影响不大。 The new round election result has come out, he now was former prime minister. What this/should worrying is forming Liberal Party Cabinet, this was also dug a pit to competitor William Ewert Gels. 新一轮的选举结果已经出来,他现在是前首相了。该发愁的是正在组建的自由党内阁,这也算是给竞争对手威廉-尤尔特-格尔斯顿挖了一个坑。 At the critical moment of changing session, Benjamin cabinet deals negatively, after completing the power transfer, the London government wanted to take the measure again already late. 在换届的关键时刻,本杰明内阁消极应对,等完成权利交接后,伦敦政府再想要采取措施已经晚了。 In this short several months, Austria benefitted had dumped 8.5 million tons rye to Britain, 3 million tons wheat, 4.3 million tons corn, 3.2 million tons soybean...... 就在这短短的几个月时间内,奥地利已经向不列颠倾销了八百五十万吨黑麦、三百万吨小麦、四百三十万吨玉米、三百二十万吨大豆…… Matter happening in Britain, affected the international grain market, this can be the real bloody collapse, fell suddenly suddenly 15%. 发生在英国的事情,也影响到了国际粮食市场,这会是真的血崩了,猛然间暴跌百分之十五。 The inexpensive grain of Russia person has not appeared in the international market, finally the price has fallen was similar. 俄国人的廉价粮还没有出现在国际市场上,结果价格都已经跌的差不多了。 The beginning of the year time, in the international grain market the rye is 25 aegis tons, now has fallen 18.6 aegis tons ; Corn also from 18.8 aegis tons ; Fell 14.1 aegis tons...... 年初的时候,国际粮食市场上黑麦还是25神盾吨,现在已经下跌到了18.6神盾吨;玉米也从18.8神盾吨;下跌到了14.1神盾吨…… In brief, all principal grains prices are collapsing, other farm prices are also greatly affected. People scared at heart, creates all these chief criminals. 总之,所有的主粮价格都在狂跌,连带着其它农产品价格也大受影响。人们的恐慌心里,就是造成这一切的罪魁祸首。 Arrived this step, everyone lost money together. Everyone was clear, the present price is also not a bottom, waits for after the fall harvest, the grain price will also welcome the new trough. 到了这一步,大家就一起赔钱好了。所有人都清楚,现在的价格还不是最低点,等秋收过后,粮食价格还会迎来新的低谷。 The grain supply in excess of demand, the auspicious days of major grain exporters ended. Without British and Russian grain loan agreement blasting fuse, without grain dumping of Vienna government, then this agricultural crisis gradual burst. 粮食供大于求,各大粮食出口国的好日子都结束了。如果没有英俄粮食贷款协定这根导火索,没有维也纳政府的粮食倾销,那么这场农业危机会缓慢爆发。 Now is impossible, the crisis just approached detonates directly. In 1872 was doomed is one year of tragedy, the grain will become the second half of the year hot topic unsalable. 现在不可能了,危机刚刚临近就直接引爆。1872年注定是悲剧的一年,粮食滞销将成为下半年的热门话题。 This is not the issue of price, but cannot sell. To stand firm the grain price, the best way is to cut the grain yield, destroys the surplus agricultural product. 这已经不是价格的问题了,而是根本就卖不出去。想要稳住粮食价格,最佳的办法就是削减粮食产量,销毁掉过剩的农产品。 As a responsible great nation, Austria benefitted naturally must take the positive measure. July time, Austria benefits Ministry of Agriculture to issue the summons to the world major grain production countries, hopes that various countries reduce the grain capacity simultaneously. 作为一个负责任的大国,奥地利自然要采取积极措施了。7月份的时候,奥地利农业部就向世界各大产粮国发出号召,希望各国同时削减粮食产能。 On August 12, the Vienna government released «Land Fallow Law», clearly stipulated by the law the land that planted the grain must the fallow. Specific fallow time, local government basis actual situation determination. 8月12日,维也纳政府出台了《土地休耕法》,以法律明文规定了种植粮食的土地必须休耕。具体休耕时间,地方政府根据实际情况确定。 It seems like very effective law, in fact the influence is limited. Austria benefits had the tradition of agricultural fallow, nothing but was this time made the stipulation explicitly. 看起来很有效的法律,实际上影响力却非常有限。奥地利本来就有农业休耕的传统,无非是这次明确做了规定。 According to the estimate of Ministry of Agriculture, such a the grain yield that comes Austria to benefit approximately can lower 2-3 percentage points. This is also a big number, can ease the overcapacity crisis. 按照农业部的估计,这么一来奥地利的粮食产量大约可以降低2-3个百分点。这也是一个不小的数字,可以缓解产能过剩危机。 On August 15, the Vienna government released «Opening up wasteland Land law», clearly stipulated that Europe new reclaimed land, within five years forbade to plant the wheat, corn, rye, potato and other crops. 8月15日,维也纳政府又出台了《开荒土地法》,明确规定欧洲地区本土新开垦土地,五年之内禁止种植小麦、玉米、黑麦、土豆等多种农作物。 These measures are slow aid will not help in an emergency, said no matter how, already type in crops, not possible pulling out. 这些措施都是远水解不了近渴,不管怎么说,已经种到了地里的庄稼,也不可能给拔了。 In 1872 Austria benefitted the grain yield, should still not reduce, in a short time could not affect the price of international grain market. 1872年奥地利粮食产量,仍然不会降低,短时间内影响不到国际粮食市场的价格。