Had/Left Palace of Versailles, Aleksandrowicz does not have the interest of tour, obviously trip to Paris is not smooth. 出了凡尔赛宫,亚历山德罗维奇已经没有了游览的兴致,显然这次巴黎之行并不顺利。 Napoleon III to Russian release good intentions, is only for the pure political need, demonstrates to various European countries, does not mean that France really must win over Russia. 拿破仑三世向俄罗斯释放善意,只是为了单纯的政治需要,向欧洲各国示威,并不意味着法兰西就真的要拉拢俄罗斯了。 Not " Frankfurt Peace treaty » humiliation, the arrogant French could not have had a liking for Russian this going down in the world barbarian. 没有《法兰克福和约》的屈辱,高傲的法国人还看不上俄罗斯这个落魄的野蛮人。 Especially after the UK , France Austria three countries form an alliance, the pressure on French diplomacy does not exist, the entire world could not find the enemy who makes them seriously treat again, at least in the surface is so. 尤其是英法奥三国结盟后,法兰西外交上的压力也不复存在,全世界再也找不到一个让他们认真对待的敌人,至少表面上是如此。 Before Aleksandrowicz's visit to Paris , the St. Petersburg government placed the great expectations, attempted to win over the opportunity in Russia using the French, gained the aid in fund. 亚历山德罗维奇出访巴黎之前,圣彼得堡政府还是寄予厚望的,企图利用法国人拉拢俄罗斯的机会,获取资金上的援助。 Reality very brutal, the money of usury empire is not good to take. The bankers are astute, particularly to losing prestige Tsar government. 现实非常的残酷,高利贷帝国的钱也不好拿。银行家们都是精明的,尤其是对丧失了信誉的沙皇政府。 500 million francs loan that pledged beforehand, now has the problem, the French requested them to take gold and silver to make the mortgage. 就连事先承诺的五亿法郎贷款,现在都出现了问题,法国人要求他们拿金银做抵押。 Do not find it strange, Alexander II is also carrying out the monetary reform, the step of just taking is very small, now the French is hitting the attention of their reserve. 不要觉得奇怪,亚历山大二世也在进行货币改革,只不过迈出的步伐很小,现在法国人就在打他们储备金的注意。 Since Alexander II reforms, develops the industry, to start construction the railroad and agricultural reform to become the three grand strategies of government. 自从亚历山大二世改革后,发展工业、兴修铁路、农业改革成为了政府的三大战略。 Although the plan is good, but this needs the financial support. Because of the reason of war, causing the Russian Empire gold and silver to flow out massively, creates the own capital serious deficiency. 计划虽然好,可这都需要资金支持。因为战争的缘故,导致了俄罗斯帝国金银大量外流,造成自有资本严重匮乏。 The way that the Tsar government finds to come out is to absorb the foreign capital, regrettable European Bank refuses to provide the loan to them, invests discretely also. 沙皇政府想出来的办法是吸纳外资,遗憾的欧洲银行都拒绝向他们提供贷款,就连投资也非常的谨慎。 Alexander II reforms compared with historically is much better, the next door has a ready-made example to study. Other issue can try to find the solution, raised money only study not. 亚历山大二世改革比历史上要好一些,隔壁有一个现成的例子可以学习。别的问题都可以想办法,唯独筹钱学不了。 The Austria advantage develops present this step, midway several foreign issue debentures, raised the funds of several hundreds of millions aegises. Arrived the present, the Vienna government the demand for restitution has returned ten million/countless the debt of aegis every year. 奥地利发展到现在这一步,中途都几次对外发行债券,募集了数亿神盾的资金。一直到现在,维也纳政府每年都要偿还上千万神盾的债务。 Because of the prestige reason, the Tsar government cannot borrow money. Even if has no function with the right of way and tax revenue mortgage, the Tsar government said that repudiates a debt repudiates a debt. 因为信誉的缘故,沙皇政府根本就借不到钱。就算是拿路权、税收抵押都没有任何作用,沙皇政府说赖账就赖账。 In the past under the debt crisis, Alexander II has to announce the default, the present sequela erupted. 当年迫于债务危机,亚历山大二世不得不宣布债务违约,现在的后遗症就爆发了。 Did not mean that the decision of Alexander II is not right, if not repudiate a debt the finance to be crashed by the foreign loan, the situation will be only worse. 并不是说亚历山大二世的决策不对,要是不赖账的话财政就会被外债压垮,情况只会更加糟糕。 To put it bluntly, even if not repudiate a debt, they cannot borrow how much money. The bankers were too astute, will not lend money to without lord of repayment capability. 说白了,就算是不赖账,他们也借不到多少钱。银行家太精明了,根本就不会借钱给没有还款能力的主。 The original space and time French lends money the Russia person, that was forced. The national defense pressure is too big, must win over the ally to share the pressure. 原时空法国人借钱俄国人,那是被逼无奈。国防压力太大,必须要拉拢盟友分担压力。 France in the comprehensive national strength after the late 19 th century falls behind suddenly, has the reason in this aspect. The government lots of money borrows, the fund of domestic development were few. 法国在进入19世纪末期后综合国力突然掉了队,就有这方面的缘故。政府把大量的钱借了出去,国内发展的资金就少了。 Now does not need to consider, the French will definitely not explode the liver to support their. Even if lends money at high interest, the French will still only lend money to having the lord of repayment capability. 现在不用考虑,法国人肯定不会爆肝支援他们的。就算是放高利贷,法国人也只会借钱给有还款能力的主。 For example Austria benefits, now is in the French the debt. Also develops the native place, develops the colony, definitely is only insufficient depending on the financial revenue of Vienna government. 比如说奥地利,现在就欠了法国人一屁股债。又是发展本土,又是开发殖民地,仅凭维也纳政府的财政收入肯定是不够的。 The private capital that Austria benefits accumulates is not very rich, under this background Franz naturally borrows the foreign loan. Naturally, is not the pure international loan, overwhelming majority debts exist in the bond form. 奥地利的民间资本积累也不够丰富,这种背景下弗朗茨自然是借外债了。当然,并不是单纯的国际贷款,绝大部分债务都是以债券形式存在的。 In this most bonds, raise money in the name of project, the debt is not the Vienna government. 这里面的大部分债券,都是以项目为名筹钱的,债务并不都是维也纳政府的。 Lends money to build a railroad with the American almost, railroad mortgage to Bank of England, with borrowing money construction railroad. 就和美国人借钱修铁路差不多,把铁路抵押给英国银行,用借出来的钱建设铁路。 If by some chance comes across the economic crisis, the railway company went bankrupt, Bank of England was also locked. 万一遇到经济危机,铁路公司破产了,英国银行也就被套牢了。 Many projects that Austria benefits also so, owed the bank a big debt, issued one pile of bonds to the folk, the government invests merely is the start fund. 奥地利的很多项目也是如此,欠了银行一大笔债务,又向民间发行了一堆债券,政府投入的仅仅是启动资金。 In any case these projects are the standard commercialization operations, if had the accident/surprise, at the worst is an enterprise goes bankrupt. 反正这些项目都是标准的商业化运营,万一出现了意外,大不了就是一家企业破产。 Closing up in economy, is an important factor that the UK , France Austria three countries form an alliance. From perspective of globalization, so long as UK , France had the economic crisis, the Austria advantage will be involved, otherwise is also however. 经济上的靠拢,也是英法奥三国结盟的一个重要因素。从全球化的角度来说,只要英法发生了经济危机,奥地利都会受到牵连,反之也是亦然。 To break out of this aspect, is actually very also simple, one character-. After the domestic private capital completed the accumulation, outside does not need to go to lend money again. 想要摆脱这种局面,其实也很简单,就一个字-等。等国内的民间资本完成了积累后,就不需要再去外面借钱了。 Everyone also accords to his need, a side overcapitalization urgently needed output, another side development needs to lack the fund, both sides happen to cooperate. 大家也是各取所需,一方资本过剩急需输出,另外一方发展需要缺乏资金,双方正好进行合作。 The original space and time American develops, without the world war, they do not have to turn over/to stand up quickly, is turned into the creditor nation by the debtor nation. 原时空美国人就是这么发展起来的,如果没有世界大战,他们也没有那么快翻身,由债务国变成债权国。 Naturally, the debtor nation and creditor nation are not in the absolute significances. The money of domestic enterprise foreign bank, the domestic bank also has the development, similarly is also lending the loan outward. 当然,债务国和债权国并不是绝对意义上的。国内的企业外国银行的钱,国内的银行也有走出去发展的,同样也在对外发放贷款。 Even the Russian Empire capital is deficient, similarly has the bank to the overseas export capital. This is the normal economic activity, mainly for benefit. 即便是俄罗斯帝国资本匮乏,同样有银行在向海外输出资本。这都是正常的经济活动,主要还是为了利益。 Made clear the standpoint of French, Aleksandrowicz has not continued to pester. After visiting the industry of France, he goes by boat to go to London directly. 搞清楚了法国人的立场,亚历山德罗维奇没有继续纠缠下去。在参观了法国的工业后,他直接乘船前往伦敦。 This time he relaxed, the Tsar government may not have the fantasy to obtain the loan from a native of Britain hand. Only if banker brain water penetration of Britain, otherwise this situation is impossible to happen. 这次他放松了,沙皇政府可没有幻想从英国人手中获得贷款。除非英国的银行家脑子进水了,不然这种情况就不可能发生。 Cannot count on that the London government help does guarantee? But both sides enemy, even if Russian Empire declines, ranking in the competitor of English has gone lower, the hatred of earlier accumulating is not easy to reduce and solve. 总不能指望伦敦政府帮忙担保吧？双方可是敌人,即便是俄罗斯帝国没落,在英国人的竞争对手中排名已经靠后,前期积累下来的仇恨也不是那么容易化解的。 Prussia and Poland are the little brothers of English, that feared that for does not make the subordinate disappointed, cannot do. 况且,普鲁士和波兰都是英国人的小弟,那怕是为了不让手下人寒心,也不能这么干。 ...... …… The diplomatic initiatives of Russia person, brought to the attention of Prussia kingdom. Even without Bismarck, William I still controlled the Prussia kingdom. 俄国人的外交行动,还是引起了普鲁士王国的重视。即便是没有了俾斯麦,威廉一世仍然驾驭住了普鲁士王国。 After a series of political struggles, Junker aristocrat who because the war short time joins up, now has been split up. 经过一系列的政治斗争后,因为战争短时间联合起来的容克贵族,现在已经四分五裂。 For example: Industrial Junker, financial Junker, operational Junker, palace Junker, legislative body Junker and village Junker. 比如说:工业容克、金融容克、作战容克、宫廷容克、议院容克和乡村容克。 The subordinates no longer were the monolithic bloc, the right of king naturally also consolidate. The politics of Prussia kingdom starts to return to the normalization, the influence of military is very big, actually also no longer is one monopolizes. 手下人不再是铁板一块,国王的权利自然也就巩固了。普鲁士王国的政治开始回归正常化,军方的势力还是非常大,却也不再是一家垄断。 The interior formed the new right balance, William I looked at continental Europe. As the enemy, to every action and every movement of Russia person, he knows from A to Z. 内部形成了新的权利平衡,威廉一世将目光投向了欧洲大陆。作为敌人,对俄国人的一举一动,他都是了如指掌。 The Russia person wants through the diplomatic activities, got rid by the isolated aspect, William I naturally cannot comply. 俄国人想要通过外交活动,摆脱被孤立的局面,威廉一世自然不能答应了。 In the Berlin royal palace, the Prussia kingdom military administration high level is assemble, how the business destroys the diplomatic initiatives of Russia person. 柏林王宫中,普鲁士王国军政高层齐聚一堂,商业如何破坏俄国人的这次外交行动。 „ Crown Prince Russia trip to Europe is at the invitation of French, between France and Russia has certainly the benefit transaction, the possibility that but both countries form an alliance is not big. “俄国皇储这次欧洲之行是受法国人邀请的,法俄两国之间肯定存在着利益交易,不过两国结盟的可能性不大。 The UK , France Austria three countries have formed an alliance, at this time the French not with the foundation that the Russia person formed an alliance. The French win over the Russia person should from raising the worth, wants to attain heavier right to speak in the triple alliances. 英法奥三国已经结盟了,这个时候法国人没有和俄国人结盟的基础。法国人拉拢俄国人应该是自抬身价,想要在三国同盟中拿到更重的话语权。 Now what the Russia person most lacks is the money, but the French also has massive capital, Aleksandrowicz first visits the French main purpose to be for the loan. 现在俄国人最缺的是钱,而法国人又有大量的资本,亚历山德罗维奇首先出访法国主要目的应该是为了贷款。 Economically, the credibility of Tsar government has completely lost now, no banker will not be silly ** lending money to them. 从经济上出发,现在沙皇政府的信誉已经完全丧失,没有哪个银行家会傻不**的借钱给他们。 The Russia person's only hope is the usual political interest exchange...... ” 俄国人唯一的希望是通常政治利益交换……” Is listening to foreign minister Mike Kate's line of gab, William I deeply frowned, is not only the Russia person is short of money, Prussia is also short of money now. 听着外交大臣麦克凯特的夸夸其谈,威廉一世眉头紧锁,不光是俄国人缺钱,普鲁士现在也缺钱。 The fiscal situation of Berlin government, even is worse than the Tsar government. At least the Russia person repudiated a debt, does not need to repay the debt again, but Prussia actually must undertake the heavy debt. 柏林政府的财政情况,甚至比沙皇政府还要糟糕。起码俄国人赖账了,不用再偿还债务,而普鲁士却必须要承担沉重的债务。 In recent years, the Prussia kingdom runs the person who the Austria advantage seeks a livelihood increasingly to increase, a large part of reasons are the tax burden are excessive. 最近几年,普鲁士王国跑去奥地利讨生活的人日渐增多,很大一部分原因就是税务负担过重。 In order to repay debt, the Berlin government has to increase domestic populace's burden. The people that cannot withstand, took to one's heels to travel. 为了偿还债务,柏林政府不得不增加国内民众的负担。承受不了的民众,就撒丫子跑路了。 William I do not dare to stop, family whose fortunes are on the decline of mostly travelling, lost the livelihood internally, remaining is a hidden danger. 威廉一世可不敢阻拦,跑路的大都破落户,在国内丧失了生计,留下来就是一个隐患。 Can nearby immigrate, the Prussia home wanted the rocket to rise from all directions. Those who won Russian Empire to bring was only the glory, the land of new expansion is unable to transform as the wealth in a short time, in addition in investment stage. 要不是可以就近移民,普鲁士国内就要狼烟四起了。打赢了俄罗斯帝国带来的只是荣耀,新扩张的土地短时间内无法转化为财富,尚且处于投入阶段。 The people have not gained advantage in the practical significance, merely one great power status, could not deceive the belly. 民众们没有获得实际意义上的好处,仅仅一个大国地位,还是欺骗不了肚子。 Naturally the spiritual harvest is very useful, even if everyone's day does not feel better, the people the support to the government are very high. 当然精神上的收获还是很有用的,即便是大家的日子不好过,民众们对政府的支持度还是很高。 Even if could not mix, was still only the immigrant leaves, has not run to make revolution. 就算是混不下去了,也只是移民离开,没有跑去闹革命。 This aspect and some Japanese shapes, but Japan does not have the flood discharge window, the belly hungry anxious must make trouble, for example snatches the meter/rice. 这方面和日本有些像,只不过日本没有泄洪窗口,肚子饿急了还是要闹事的,比如说抢米。 William I hits to block the way: „What does Ministry of Foreign Affairs have to plan? No matter the Russia person has what goal, now what we need to do is only the destruction.” 威廉一世打断道:“外交部有什么计划？不管俄国人有什么目的,我们现在需要做的只是破坏。” Does not need any reason, the matter that the enemy must do, making them do the non- achievement to be right. 不需要任何理由,敌人要干的事情,让他们干不成就对了。 The domestic reform of Tsar government, they cannot meddle, but the international diplomacy activity, Prussia can actually disturb. 沙皇政府的内部改革,他们插不上手,但是国际外交活动,普鲁士却可以捣乱。 With other country compared with the diplomatic means that William I do not have the confidence, but compares with the Russia person, he has confidence. 和别的国家比外交手段,威廉一世没有信心,但是和俄国人比,他还是有把握的。 Stopped for several seconds, foreign minister Mike Kate replied: „ Your majesty, the Russia person wants from the outside world the possibility that receives the fund is not big, the biggest political objective should be to improve the diplomatic relations with various countries. 停顿了几秒钟,外交大臣麦克凯特回答道:“陛下,俄国人想要从外界获得资金的可能性不大,最大的政治目的应该是改善同各国的外交关系。 Now France , Russia close up, stimulated the Vienna government. Until now, suddenly Austria Union cannot bring the political interest in the Austria advantage, diplomatically instead is a burden. 现在法俄靠拢,也刺激到了维也纳政府。时至今日,俄奥同盟已经不能给奥地利带来政治利益,在外交上反而是一个负担。 From suddenly Austria Union conclusion few years, Ministry of Foreign Affairs has planned to enlarge among them the fissure, does not let suddenly Austria two countries supplementary contract. ” 距离俄奥同盟结束已经没有几年时间了,外交部计划放大他们之间的裂痕,不让俄奥两国续约。” Destroying suddenly Austria Union is unusual to the Prussia kingdom significance, this was directly related with the result of next Prussia war. 破坏俄奥同盟对普鲁士王国意义非常,这直接关系到了下一次普俄战争的胜负。 Prime minister Moltke shakes the head saying: „ This is insufficient, suddenly Austria Union is not only the political interest, but also along with massive economic significances. 首相毛奇摇了摇头说:“这还不够,俄奥同盟不仅仅是政治利益,还伴随着大量的经济意义。 The present Russian Empire, is almost the commodity dumping place that Austria benefits. Austria benefitted occupied 63 of Russian total amount of import-export trade alone, such big benefit Vienna government will not easily drop. ” 现在的俄罗斯帝国,几乎就是奥地利的商品倾销地。奥地利独自占据了俄罗斯进出口贸易总额的63,这么大的利益维也纳政府不会轻易放手。” The benefit forever is the best tie, nothing cannot compromise in the face of the benefit. Even if suddenly Austria both countries have a big conflict, but looked that both sides is still maintaining the ally relations in the share of benefit. 利益永远是最好的纽带,在利益面前没有什么是不能够妥协的。即便是俄奥两国存在着不小的冲突,可是看在利益的份儿上双方依然保持着盟友关系。 Foreign minister Mike Kate explained: „ Right, prime minister. However we must look at one group of data, in recent years suddenly Austria total trade volume in continually drop. 外交大臣麦克凯特解释道:“没错,首相阁下。但是我们也要看一组数据,最近几年俄奥贸易总额在持续下降中。 The Tsar government is getting rid diligently economically to the dependence that Austria benefits, to develop the home industry, the Russia person had raised the tariff repeatedly. 沙皇政府正在努力摆脱经济上对奥地利的依赖,为了发展国内工业,俄国人已经多次提高了关税。 If not the Russia industry is really backward, the product does not have the market competitiveness, Austria altruistic unable to preserve the present market share. 如果不是俄国工业实在是太落后,产品没有市场竞争力,奥地利人也保不住现在的市场份额。 Alexander II carries out the opening up wasteland movement, had produced the achievement greatly, this year the Russia agricultural product becomes the foregone conclusion unsalable. 亚历山大二世推行的大开荒运动,已经出了成果,今年俄国农产品滞销成为了定局。 Crown Prince Russia after trip to Europe, may open the domestic market to UK , France very much, received exchange for the domestic agricultural product being able to enter the international market. 俄国皇储这次欧洲之行过后,很有可能对英法开放国内市场,换取国内的农产品能够进入国际市场。 Austria benefits, in losing monopolized after the Russia market, but must face the impact of Russia agricultural product in international grain export market, the relations between the two countries will definitely be greatly affected. 奥地利在丧失了对俄国市场垄断后,还要面临俄国农产品在国际粮食出口市场上的冲击,两国关系肯定会大受影响。 Now the Russia person and UK , France reached the agreement more, the benefit that the Austria advantage lost was bigger. Short-time permits is not obvious once in a while, 35 years later this change was obvious. 现在俄国人和英法达成了协议越多,奥地利损失的利益就越大。短时间或许不明显,三五年后这个变化就非常明显了。 So long as makes Austria see a bigger benefit altruistic, abandoning suddenly Austria Union is not not possible. 只要让奥地利人看到更大的利益,抛弃俄奥同盟也不是不可能。 For example: 比如说: Let them believe that so long as in the next round Prussia war we won the victory, they can obtain the Ukrainian area and very soon are the Balkan Peninsula, cuts off the grain export channel of Russia person. ” 让他们相信,只要在下一轮普俄战争中我们赢得了胜利,他们就可以获得乌克兰地区和俄属巴尔干半岛,断绝俄国人的粮食出口通道。” The people complexion big change, was frightened by the Mike Kate's astonishing opinion obviously. 众人脸色大变,显然被麦克凯特的惊人言论吓倒了。 Indoor suddenly peaceful, was only left over the breathing of people, indistinct heartbeat. 室内突然安静了下来,只剩下了众人的呼吸声,还有隐隐约约的心跳声。 ...... ……