HRE :: Volume #5

#455: Impulse pattern


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No matter the method is crude, without the people of strength did not play. First did not say that the earlier fund invests, how the light gangs up with on the Russia aristocrats is a difficult problem. 甭管手段多么粗暴,没有实力的人都玩儿不了。先不说前期的资金投入,光怎么勾搭上俄国贵族都是一个难题。 Russia aristocrat, but European most conservative existence. A capitalist wants to come to sell, it is estimated that the person could not even see, drove out. 要知道,俄国贵族可是欧洲最保守的存在。一个资本家想要上门推销,估计连人都见不到,就被赶了出去。 Even sold successfully, if ran into the greedy aristocrat, but might also by the person direct black the bond, the last shilling could not attain. 就算是推销成功了,万一遇到了贪婪的贵族,还有可能被人直接黑了债券,最后一个先令都拿不到。 Although is not worried about the competitor, but the secret is done, otherwise the Tsar government has a patch ahead of time, behind can only wait for Alexander III to render back the money. 尽管不担心竞争对手,不过保密工作还是做的,不然沙皇政府提前打个补丁,后面就只能等亚历山大三世还钱了。 On the surface, this age is gold and silver standard time, the currency seems like has not depreciated. In fact looks like in Franz, so long as gold and silver output increases again unceasingly, the inflation is avoidless. 表面上看来,这个年代是金银本位时代,货币似乎是没有贬值。实际上在弗朗茨看来,只要金银产量再不断增加中,通货膨胀就无法避免。 Price stability that also relative, more than ten years change a lot sufficiently. In the second Industrial Revolution gusty area, so long as invested right, several times of profits were also not easy. 物价稳定那也是相对的,十几年时间足以改变很多事情。在第二次工业革命这个风口上,只要投资对了,几倍的利润还不是轻而易举。 The project that the Industrial Revolution involves are too many, Franz was impossible to assume full responsibility of completely, at this time the venture capital company can be published. 工业革命涉及到的项目太多,弗朗茨也不可能全部都包揽了,这个时候风投公司就可以问世了。 Venture capital this concept, although had not been raised, in fact has existed. Hearing can ripe is Lu Buwei, hoarding as a rare commodity is a successful venture capital. “风投”这个概念虽然没有被提出来,实际上一直都存在。耳闻能熟的就是吕不韦,奇货可居就是一次成功的风投。 Europe also has Spain to subsidize Columbus to discover the new continent, thus opened the big navigation time, founded the first empire on which the sun never sets. 欧洲也有西班牙资助哥伦布发现新大陆,从而开启了大航海时代,建立了第一个日不落帝国。 This is only the successful case, the case of failure must be more. The history book had told the world the venture capital, is the high venture capital. 这只是成功的案例,失败的案例还要更多。历史书已经告诉了世人风投,属于高风险投资。 Risk big Franz can withstand, this age investment emergent industry cost is very low. Basically funds the technical research and development, had the achievement to invest to put up a factory again. 风险大弗朗茨可以承受,这个年代投资新兴产业成本很低。基本上都是资助技术研发,有了成果再投资建厂。 Even invests the failure, so long as harvests has the related patented technology, the business does not calculate that owes. 就算是投资失败,只要收获的有相关专利技术,生意就不算是太亏。 It is a pity that the project is not easy to look, this is the second Industrial Revolution, the project does not have later generation so many. By communication inconvenient influence, is very difficult to achieve the efficient regulation. 遗憾的是项目不好找,这才是第二次工业革命,项目没有后世那么多。况且,受通信不便的影响,也很难做到有效监管。 Over and over after hesitates, Franz gave up plan that starts the venture capital company. In the world never lacks the smart person, the venture capital of this age is not does not exist, but limits in a small area. 再三犹豫过后,弗朗茨放弃了建立风投公司的计划。世界上从来不缺聪明人,这个年代的风投也不是不存在,只不过都局限在小范围内。 Wants likely later generation that type, a venture capital company invests several hundred projects, this is completely not possible. The operation cost of light enterprise, can crash the company. 想要像后世那种,一家风投公司投资几百个项目,这完全是不可能的。光企业的运营成本,都能够将公司压垮。 After all the real economy is not the Internet, is impossible to get huge windfall wealth, before not being able to see the profit, wanting the listing circle money to be difficult. 毕竟实体经济不是互联网,不可能一夜暴富,看不到利润之前,想要上市圈钱都难。 ...... …… The action of rich country securities, quick brought to the attention of person with high aspirations. Just started everyone to think that rich country securities in deliberate release good news, or was suddenly Austria negotiations had the favorable turn. 富国证券的行动,很快就引起了有心人的注意。刚开始大家以为富国证券在故意释放利好消息,或者说是俄谈判有了转机。 However September time, the two countries negotiations settle down. The Russia person will continue to fulfill the debt, but was postponed this time for five years. Collateral that pledged, now merely is only nominal cash. 不过9月份的时候,两国谈判尘埃落定。俄国人将继续履行债务,不过这个时间被延后了五年。原本承诺的抵押品,现在仅仅只是名义上的兑现。 For example: The tariff of mortgage, in the Russia revenue tax some funds will be used to repay the debt now. The concrete this amount, somewhat was touching, every month about 200,000 aegises about. 比如说:抵押的关税,现在俄国关税收入中部分资金会用来偿还债务。具体这个数额,就有些感人了,每月大约20万神盾左右。 The numerous collateral incomes add, aggregate amount not over 500,000 aegises, but also 1/6 of insufficient actual need payments fund. 林林总总的抵押品收益加起来,总金额也不超过50万神盾,还不足实际需要支付资金的六分之一。 The penalty naturally does not exist, the Tsar government does not have money, can repay the capital and some interest shows due respect for the feelings even. 违约金自然是不存在的,沙皇政府没钱,能够偿还本金和部分利息就算是给面子了。 Without the means that what debt is a Sir. The Vienna government also can only receive many to calculate many, remaining after and other Tsar government finances return to normal, again slowly also! 没有办法,欠债的是大爷。维也纳政府也只能收多少算多少,剩下的等沙皇政府财政恢复正常过后,再慢慢还吧! Altogether on so much money, naturally must first cash the policy-related loan that the government guarantees. As for the folk loan, is regrettable can only wait to consider in the future again. 一共就这么多钱,当然要优先兑付政府担保的政策性贷款了。至于民间贷款,就非常遗憾只能等未来再考虑。 The bond not to mention, expired discussed again this issue, ahead of time cashed that is not possible, the Tsar government was not good to speak. 债券更不用说,到期了再讨论这个问题,提前兑付那是不可能的,沙皇政府可不好说话。 Since dares to keep thinking about the high interest that they give, must complete to compensate the plan of capital. The Prussia war breaks out time, has the expert of finance to issue the warning. 既然敢惦记他们给的高利息,就要做好赔上本金的打算。普俄战争爆发的时候,就有金融专家发出过警告。 Although the Russia person had not said that , everyone is very clear, perhaps these bonds are cash very much difficultly normally. 尽管俄国人没有说不还了,大家心里还是非常清楚,这些债券恐怕是很难正常兑付。 The Tsar government finance changes for the better, this is a red herring. So long as the Russia bureaucracy can not arrive at the purification, the administrative style and achievements of local officials issue cannot be solved, the finance will never possibly change for the better. 沙皇政府财政好转,这是一个伪命题。只要俄国官僚体系不得到净化,吏治问题得不到解决,财政永远都不可能好转。 Must eliminate the administrative style and achievements of local officials, this is more difficult than 100 times the system reform. Regardless how to formulate the rule, needs the person to carry out, this is the loophole. 要肃清吏治,这比体制改革更难一百倍。无论怎么制定规则,都需要人去执行,这就是漏洞。 The murder sets up the prestige is a good way, tradition that it is a pity that Europe has not killed the aristocrat, Alexander II has not opened the courage of beginning. 杀人立威是一个好办法,遗憾的是欧洲没有杀贵族的传统,亚历山大二世也没有开先河的胆子。 Franz fiddled with the civil service examination system, similarly cannot solve the problem of corruption. Even the bureaucrats from an ordinary family, embezzling more ruthless. 弗朗茨捣鼓出了公务员考试制度,同样没有能够解决腐败问题。甚至平民出身的官僚,贪污起来还更狠。 But this gave Franz to create the murder to set up the prestige the condition. The bureau of struggle against corruption has to do, can often catch several idiots to punish one as a warning to others, stands erect shocks the bureaucratic group typically. 只不过这给弗朗茨创造了杀人立威的条件。反贪局有了事做,可以时常抓几个蠢货杀鸡儆猴,竖立典型震慑官僚集团。 After having the contrast, the reprocessing aristocrat bureaucrat, everyone will not think that Emperor was ruthlessly spicy. 有了对比之后,再处理贵族官僚,大家就不会觉得皇帝狠辣了。 Had a look at others to commit a crime is decapitated, the aristocrat committed a crime is only seizes the nobility and squatting prison, how saying that also looked. 看看其他人犯事都被杀头了,贵族犯事只是夺爵、蹲监狱,怎么说也是照顾了。 This seizes the nobility, but also was only the lifelong system aristocrat was finished, the hereditary system aristocrat title will be inherited by the second position successor again. 况且这个夺爵,还只是终身制贵族完蛋,世袭制贵族爵位还是会由第二顺位继承人再次继承的。 The reason is also not the crime, but insulted the glory of aristocrat. Right, the European aristocrat culture also has requirement, and high standard. 理由还不是犯罪,而是侮辱了贵族的荣耀。没错,欧洲贵族文化也是有要求的,并且还是高标准。 How to do secretly are not related, gets up whom outwardly, if went against the aristocrat standard of conduct, will be is attacked by everyone. 暗地里怎么做没关系,明面上谁要是违背了贵族行为准则,也是会受到大家抨击的。 After many aristocrat bureaucrats commit a crime is caught, cannot bear the pressure of public opinion, the direct selection commits suicide. The person dead account disappears, matter naturally also on the past. 很多贵族官僚犯事落网后,受不了舆论的压力,直接选择自杀了事。人死帐消,事情自然也就过去了。 Perhaps looks like this to be very laughable in the later generation, cannot die in any case, the spending several years in jail crest of wave passed came out again, has continued the life of member of the upper-class, why needs to commit suicide? 或许在后世看来这很可笑,反正又死不了,蹲几年监狱风头过了再出来,继续过上等人的生活,为什么需要自杀呢? But is higher than the age of life in this glory, to defend family glory, individual life instead is next. 但在这个荣耀高于生命的年代,为了维护家族荣耀,个人的生命反而是其次。 Under external pressure, although cannot cease the corruption, at least made them restrain., Openly conducts the matter that demands bribes like Tsar government that type of direct embezzling public funds, benefits few officials to dare to do in Austria. 在外在压力下,虽然杜绝不了腐败,至少让他们收敛了。像沙皇政府那种直接贪污公款、公然进行索贿的事情,在地利没有几个官员敢干。 This operation, is the Russia person is too difficult to learn. On the one hand is the aristocrat strength is too big, including Alexander II this reform, is the national salvation movement that the upper crust initiates. 这种操作,偏偏又是俄国人学不来的。一方面是贵族实力太大,包括亚历山大二世这次改革,也是贵族阶级内部发起的救亡运动。 On the other hand, is the issue of popularizing knowledge. Compares various European countries, the literacy rate of Russia person is common, even if conducts the civil service examination, still few civilian juniors. 另一方面,则是知识普及的问题。相比欧洲各国,俄国人的识字率普遍偏低,就算是进行公务员考试,也没有几个平民子弟。 Without sufficient quantity, how can also the bureaucrats bring the pressure on the aristocrat? If only several people, it is estimated that they just entered the government, was given to suppress. 没有足够的数量,也如何能够给贵族官僚们带来压力呢?要是只有区区几个人,估计他们刚刚进入官场,就被人给打压下去了。 The compulsory education was conducted so many years, even if only then 1% people enter the university, Austria benefits also 20,000-30,000 people to enter the university every year, can enlarge more than ten times to middle school stage number. 义务教育进行了这么多年,哪怕只有百分之一人进入大学,地利每年也有20,000-30,000人进入大学,到了中学阶段这个数字还可以放大十几倍。 Large reserves of capable people, are Austria benefit the biggest advantage. 大量的人才储备,才是地利最大的优势。 The quantitative change causes the qualitative change, many original space and time obscure existences, become the leader of time now ; Once the famous character, currently instead has vanished however the people the meaning. 量变引起质变,很多原时空默默无闻的存在,现在成为了时代的领军人物;曾经大名鼎鼎的人物,现在反而有泯然众人矣的意思。 Facts showed, the environment really can change a person. Franz in the superstitious celebrity effect, he does not believe that the role of butterfly effect is huge. 事实证明,环境真的能够改变一个人。弗朗茨不在迷信名人效应,他相信蝴蝶效应的作用是巨大的。 Before producing achievement, in his celebrity of eye Central Plain space and time, with average person not many differences. 在没有拿出成果之前,在他眼中原时空的名人,和普通人没有多少差别。 After all the scientific study filled coincidence, perhaps traded a day, changed a laboratory, the final result may change. 毕竟科学研究充满了巧合性,或许换了一个日子,换了一间实验室,最后的结局都有可能发生改变。 Even Austria of birth 1 : 00 pm benefitted the scientist, perhaps did not have by the butterfly. This matter was too common, so long as the original parents have the accident/surprise, or is the time of good sexual intercourse changes, the sperm and egg that finally becomes pregnant changed. 甚至出生晚 1 点儿的地利科学家,没准就被蝴蝶没了。这种事情太常见了,只要原来的父母发生意外,或者是行房事的时间发生变化,最后受孕的精子、卵子都变了。 Even has the similar name, in fact has changed a person. Must achieve this point, merely is only working overtime, or has a vacation enough. 就算拥有同样的名字,实际上已经换了一个人。要做到这一点,仅仅只是一次加班,或者是放假就够了。 The celebrities foster the plan, from the beginning is a fallacy. Does these is not indefinite with it, might as well conduct the impulse good. 名人养成计划,从一开始就是一个谬论。与其搞这些不确定的,不如进行冲量的好。 The talent number came up, the talent quantity naturally also increased. In fact, this age can go to college is the elite in elite. 人才数量上去了,天才数量自然也增加了。实际上,这个年代能够上大学的都是精英中的精英。 Own ability is insufficient, wants to go to college, that can only take out money to audit, if matures slowly, finally adopted the graduation inspection, similarly can attain the diploma. 自身能力不足,想要上大学,那就只能掏钱旁听了,万一大器晚成,最后通过了毕业考核,同样可以拿到毕业证。 According to Franz knows, at present Austria benefits each university to have one group of auditors. These people for the diploma, do not want to sharpen the ability merely. 弗朗茨所知,目前地利各个大学都有一堆旁听生。这些人不是为了毕业证,仅仅只是想要提高自身能力。 After all can pull out money, that is ready the proper rich and powerful people social class, has that paper diploma not to matter. 毕竟能够掏得起钱的,那都是妥妥的富豪阶级,有没有那一纸文凭都无所谓。 No one takes the school expense of obtaining tens of thousands aegises, this is a price of Vienna villa. If converts in the 21 st century, that is many hundred million. 可不是谁都拿得出几万神盾的学费,这可是维也纳一栋别墅的价钱。要是折算到21世纪,那就是好多个亿。 Ministry of Education intends to increase the university quantity, provides an educated platform to these wealthy family juniors specially. After all these people are the donors, can charge the high pay, every year can also make a lot of money. 教育部都有意增加大学数量,专门给这些富家子弟提供一个受教育的平台。毕竟这些人都是金主,可以收取高额学费,每年还可以赚不少钱。 Franz is clear, this university will appeared sooner or later matter. The rich men want the higher education, is not always the difficult matter. 弗朗茨清楚,这种大学出现是早晚的事情。有钱人想要接受高等教育,从来都不是什么难事。 The home does not have, hasn't been able to go to the overseas abroad study? Now Austria benefits is unpopular goes abroad to study, that is domestic educational quality is world's top, has the large amounts of personal connection resources. 国内没有,还不能去国外留学么?现在地利不流行出国留学,那是国内的教育质量本来就是世界顶尖的,又拥有大量的人脉资源。 To many capitalists, delivers the children to go in the learn/study, to accumulate the human relations, will build the foundation to the future development. 对很多资本家们来说,送子女进去学习,就是为了积累人脉关系,给未来的发展打下基础。 Without these advantage, goes abroad to study this expense at least to save majority, why they do want dead to knock with the domestic university? 要是没有这些好处,出国留学这个费用至少可以节省大部分,他们为什么要和国内大学死磕? Take University of Vienna for instance, was admitted to the university officially, several years of school expense adds, only has more than 1000 aegises, but can also apply for the student loans. 以维也纳大学为例,正式考入大学的,几年的学费加起来,都只有一千多神盾,还可以申请助学贷款。 But the expense of auditor fried 80,000 aegises directly, do not dislike expensively, altogether such 30 quotas, fell short of demand completely. If doesn't matter, cannot take. 而旁听生的费用直接炒到了八万神盾,不要嫌贵,一共就这么三十个名额,完全是供不应求。如果没有关系,根本就拿不到手。 This price not only learns the knowledge the price, added value that the human relations network brings. Benefits the peak school as Austria, on value price. 这个价钱不仅仅只是学习知识的价格,还有人脉关系网带来的附加值。作为地利最顶尖的学府,就值这个价。 The Austria advantage has the every large or small more than 40 universities, each university every year enrollment population basically is only 500-600 people, most also 1000 people. 地利拥有大大小小四十余家大学,每家大学每年的录取人数基本上都只有500-600人,最多的也就一千来号人。 The situation in the university not increasing enrollment, this quota naturally very precious as gold. Only if really relates the direct access to the highest authorities, otherwise again richly most also on an auditor quota. 在大学不扩招的情况下,这个名额自然就很金贵了。除非真的是关系通天,不然再有钱最多也就一个旁听生名额。 According to Franz knows, every year goes through the motions to enter the big children of the nobility of university, is the number in the units place, most time are one do not have. 弗朗茨所知,每年走后门进入大学的大贵族子弟,都是个位数,大多数时间还是一个都没有。 Big children of the nobility, if adopted the family education, but also cannot be admitted to a university, then only has two situations: Either is not suitable to study ; Either is the playboys. 大贵族子弟,如果通过了家族教育,还考不上大学,那么只有两种情况:要么是不适合读书;要么就是纨绔子弟。 Thinks to look, the setting the topic teacher attended class to you daily, you cannot be admitted to a university, what can this also say? Did not say that percentage hundred original topics, at least each format you have done. Such big advantage, cannot come ashore really not to have the means. 想想看,出题老师天天给你上课,你都考不上大学,这还能够说什么?不说百分百原题,至少每个题型你都是做过的。这么大优势,都不能上岸就真的没办法了。 Since is the waste, for the face, everyone will not admit the university to lose face these juniors. 既然是废物,为了面子,大家也不会把这些子弟放进大学丢人。 Increasing a university is easy, but are some people really convinced? Enters the university during the accumulation human relations, never doesn't have the heart that the parents hope that a son will grow up to be successful? 增加一所大学容易,可是真的有人买账么?进入大学在积累人脉关系的同时,又何尝没有父母望子成龙的心呢? But one is the school of this person, reduced from the scale. Besides mixing diploma, can learn many knowledge, the Franz unusual suspicion. 而一家都是这种人的学校,从档次上就降低了。除了混文凭外,能够学到多少知识,弗朗茨非常的怀疑。 The reputation of auditor is not truly of pleasant to hear, but had some auditors to realize the counterattack every year, finally attained the diploma. 旁听生的名声确实不好听,可是每年都有一部分旁听生实现了逆袭,最后拿到了毕业证。 These successful cases, is a factor that the trend everyone is advancing uninterruptedly. 这些成功的案例,也是趋势着大家前赴后继的一个因素。 Accumulates the human relations network, to put it bluntly is strong the person to contact with, if the surroundings are the same or is a lower level, this relations have not in a big way affected. 积累人脉关系网,说白了就是和比自己强得人接触,要是周围都是一样或者是更低层次的,这种关系也没有那么大作用。 The scale reduced, the expense may be irreducible. Otherwise final demand Ministry of Education allocates funds to maintain the school to revolve, Franz might as well take these money to establish a university again, trains to the contributive talent. 档次降低了,费用可不能降低。要不然最后需要教育部拨款维持学校运转,弗朗茨不如拿这些钱再建立一所大学,培养对社会有用的人才。 ...... ……
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