The Habsburg family does not participate in the throne competing is also a good deed, stands in the standpoint of observer, can make the most advantageous decision. 哈布斯堡家族不参与王位争夺也是一件好事,站在旁观者的立场上,才能够做出最有利的决定。 Present Spanish kingdom rotten matter one pile, must handle the internal problem, is not that easy. 况且,现在的西班牙王国烂事一堆,要搞定内部问题,也不是那么容易的。 The officials have a common problem through the ages, does not like the domineering monarchy. The inheritance system of Europe is perfect, the situation also wants many, without leeway that they display. 古往今来臣子们都有一个通病,不喜欢强势的君主。欧洲的继承制度完善,情况还要好些,没有他们发挥的余地。 This Spain elected the king to be different, the foreign family kings could not leave the support of local strongman, therefore final Spanish King mostly was an incompetent Mr . 这次西班牙选王就不一样了,外来户国王离不开地方实力派的支持,所以最后的西班牙国王多半是一位无能之君。 Had had unlucky egg Mexico Emperor, if has an incompetent king again, Franz suspects the Habsburg family's glory also to be able the remaining several points. 已经出了一个倒霉蛋墨西哥皇帝,要是再出一个无能的国王,弗朗茨非常怀疑哈布斯堡家族的荣耀还能够剩下几分。 After all, the palm back of the hand is the meat. The son too slightly neglects, both younger brother also several collateral branch princes have the similar opportunity, Franz is not meddlesome. 毕竟,手心手背都是肉。儿子太小忽略掉,两个弟弟还有几个旁支王子都有同样的机会,弗朗茨不好干涉。 Originally Spain is difficult to do, comes an ability bad king again, doesn't make the issue complication? 本来西班牙就难搞,再来一位能力差的国王,不是让问题更加复杂化么？ Does not need to suspect, the Habsburg family trains the second quality item is also many, besides Maximiliano this idealist, playboys of making merry. 不用怀疑,哈布斯堡家族培养出来次品也不少,除了马西米连诺这位理想主义者外,还有吃喝玩乐的纨绔子弟。 From the destructive power, the playboys cannot compare the idealist by far. But counted on that these people accomplish, that is also not possible. 从破坏力上来说,纨绔子弟远远比不上理想主义者。可是指望这些人成事,那也是不可能的。 Prime minister Felix said: „ Your majesty, judging from the present situation, the struggle of Spanish throne was not the short time can end. 首相费利克斯说道:“陛下,从目前的情况来看,西班牙王位之争也不是短时间能够结束的。 The additional next door Polish throne competes again, to decide, perhaps then the European situation slowly even more anxiously. 再加上隔壁的波兰王位争夺,也迟迟为定下来,恐怕接下来欧洲局势会越发的紧张。 In order to cope with the following complex situation, we need prepare ahead of time, so as to avoid being caught off guard when the time comes. ” 为了应对接下来的复杂局势,我们有必要提前进行准备,免得到时候措手不及。” Will continental Europe now erupt into the war? This issue no one can reply, sparking a conflict accidentally is flash's matters. 欧洲大陆现在会爆发战争么？这个问题没有人能够回答,擦枪走火都是一瞬间的事。 Stands in the angle of Vienna government, naturally does not want to see, at this time Europe erupted into the war. 站在维也纳政府的角度上,当然是不想看到,这个时候欧洲爆发战争了。 The second Industrial Revolution just started, Austria benefitted arrived at the world's most front with great difficulty, the war, once erupted all previous accomplishments coming to nothing. 第二次工业革命刚刚开始,奥地利好不容易走到了世界最前沿,战争一旦爆发就全功尽弃了。 Franz can control Austria to benefit, does not have the means to control other European countries. Now everyone smell of gunpowder is so strong, if which two goods provoked the war, then on tragedy. 弗朗茨控制得住奥地利,却没有办法控制其余的欧洲国家。现在大家火药味这么浓,万一哪个二货挑起了战争,那就悲剧了。 The struggle of original space and time Spain throne produced the Franco-Prussian War, now Prussian does not have the courage and French PK, who can guarantee that the French doesn't do the matter on own initiative? 原时空西班牙王位之争引发了普法战争,现在普鲁士人是没胆子和法国人PK了,谁又能够保证法国人不主动搞事情呢？ Nowadays the French has God to be biggest, their second symptoms. The sea English can also suppress them, on the land that is who does not pay attention. 这年头法国人已经有上帝最大,他们第二的苗头了。海上英国人还能压制住他们,陆地上那是谁都不放在眼里。 If the French invades Austria to benefit, then Franz smiled, the relaxed pile dies they. If they attack Prussia and German federation or are Belgium, this made one intertwine. 要是法国人入侵奥地利,那么弗朗茨就笑了,轻松堆死他们。要是他们进攻普鲁士、德意志联邦或者是比利时,这就令人纠结了。 The native place battles, Franz has the full assurance to gain the victory. The cross-boundary combat, must hit knows. 本土作战,弗朗茨有十足的把握取得胜利。跨境作战,就要打了才知道。 The thing that the war must consider are many, in the different areas, the strength that can invest is also different. 战争要考虑的东西很多,在不同的地区,能够投入的实力也是不一样的。 The Russia person is material for negative education, limited to the transportation, cannot display the advantage in military, finally by person counterattack. 俄国人就是一个反面教材,受限于交通,没有能够发挥出兵力上的优势,结果被人逆袭了。 France and Austria of original space and time benefit, has not displayed the complete strength with enough time, knelt material for negative education. 原时空的法兰西、奥地利,都是没有来得及发挥出全部实力,就跪了的反面教材。 law Austria Union compared with suddenly Austria Union also or credible, both sides are only because the benefit needs temporary to form an alliance. Absolutely does not have traditional friendship that thing, opening the two countries history is a war history. 法奥同盟比俄奥同盟还要不靠谱,双方只是因为利益需要临时性结盟。根本就没有传统友谊那东西,翻开两国历史就是一部战争史。 Starting from the middle ages, the Habsburg dynasty consumed with the French, both sides the road of death knocking started to make. 从中世纪开始,哈布斯堡王朝就和法国人耗上了,双方开始了作死的死磕之路。 Charles V period also achieved: Fights with the fists Ottoman, foot play Lancy. 查理五世时期还做到了:拳打奥斯曼,脚踢法兰西。 Naturally, must be more by the time that others hit. Generally speaking has the victory and defeat mutually, this point also lives from three can show. 当然,被人家打的时间还要更多一些。总体来说是互有胜负,这一点从三家都还活着就可以证明。 Since without historic burden, then tore up the treaty of alliance would have no pressure. Prestige that contraption, will not have the monarchy strictly to observe from Maximilian I Joseph from now on again. 既然没有历史负担,那么撕毁盟约也就没有压力了。信誉那玩意儿,从马克西米利安一世过后就再也没有君主严格遵守了。 So far, Franz has not disobeyed making, if the luck is good, can perhaps break this record. 目前为止,弗朗茨还没有违过约,如果运气好的话,没准可以打破这个记录。 Now everyone's prestige, establishes under the benefit insufficient premise. So long as the benefit arrived, the treaty of alliance is the scrap paper. 现在大家的信誉,都是建立在利益不够的前提下。只要利益到位了,盟约就是废纸。 „ First conducts limited preparation, for example increases the inactive duty training, do not expand the army quantity blindly, so as to avoid stimulated various countries, making the situation more complex. “先进行有限度的备战,比如增加预备役训练,不要盲目扩充军队数量,免得刺激到了各国,让局势更加复杂。 Now continental Europe erupts into all -out war is very likely, does not need to make to be nervous, the situation loses control even suddenly, everyone has not prepared, we will not suffer a loss. ” 现在欧洲大陆爆发全面战争的可能性很小,没有必要弄得神经紧张,就算是局势突然失控,大家都没有准备,我们也不会吃亏。” Franz does not think that now will erupt the war, only if everyone collective head convulsion, even if otherwise had the conflict, can still press forcefully. 弗朗茨不认为现在会爆发大战,除非是大家集体脑袋抽风,不然就算是发生了冲突,也可以强行按下去。 On this issue, the English is the ally that Austria benefits, both sides have demand that maintains the European stability of equilibrium state. 在这个问题上,英国人是奥地利的盟友,双方都有维持欧洲平衡稳定的需求。 The role of butterfly effect is powerful, the original space and time obtains the French to support, succeeds to the king throne Amadei Austria first, now encountered the vigorous opposition of Napoleon III. 蝴蝶效应的作用是强大的,原时空获得法国人支持,继承王王位的阿马德奥一世,现在遭到了拿破仑三世的强烈反对。 Without the means that Napoleon III annexed the Sardinia kingdom, at that time did not have to catch up with leave office the Sardinia royal family directly, both sides have become enemies. 没办法,拿破仑三世吞并了撒丁王国,当时没有直接把撒丁王室赶下了台,双方已经结了仇。 Must strive for hegemony European, the French must first stand firm Spain. Napoleon III is naturally impossible to look Spanish King who a counter- law is born, this is eliminated directly Amadei Austria. 要争霸欧陆,法国人首先就要稳住西班牙。拿破仑三世自然不可能看着一个反法的西班牙国王诞生,这直接把阿马德奥淘汰出局。 Candidates one after another was removed, Franz somewhat loved dearly Spain. Almost the support level high candidate, was given the denial by the French. 候选人一个接一个的被排除,弗朗茨都有些心疼西班牙了。几乎支持率高的候选人,都被法国人给否定了。 If Spain of heyday, naturally does not care about the attitude of French. Now is not good, forcefully the monarchy who if supports a French vigorous opposition, Napoleon III must certainly dispatch troops to interfere. 如果是全盛时期的西班牙,自然不在乎法国人的态度。现在不行了,如果强行拥立一个法国人强烈反对的君主,拿破仑三世肯定要出兵干涉。 The provisional government to the French had not said the energy, has to continue to elect. Support level high was eliminated, even if the behind support level low candidate succeeded to the throne, is very still difficult to make everyone be convinced. 临时政府没有对法国人说不的底气,不得不继续选。支持率高的被淘汰了,后面支持率低的候选人就算是继承了王位,恐怕也很难让大家心服。 It can be said that French anything has not done, Spain died by the pit quickly. A support level insufficiently high king, wants to control this country, in the future will have the pleasure to look. 可以说,法国人什么都还没有干,西班牙就快被坑死了。一个支持率不够高的国王,想要掌控这个国家,未来有乐子瞧了。 Franz has not prepared to intervene, the French does the drift off, have the Spanish to divert the final result to be the same. 弗朗茨没有准备干预,法国人已经跑偏,有没有西班牙人牵制最后的结果都一样。 Without their diversions, French in doing on the path can also walk away. Such being the case, why to cause complications. 没有他们的牵制,法国人在作死的道路上还可以走远一些。既然如此,何必节外生枝。 Puts and the harvest must be proportional, the energy that Austria benefits is not infinite, invested in the Spanish issue were many, were few on the investment in other place nature. 付出和收获是要成正比的,奥地利的精力不是无限的,在西班牙问题上投入多了,在别的地方自然就投入少了。 ...... …… Good fortune never come in pairs, misfortune never singly comes. 福无双至,祸不单行。 In 1868 was doomed is the hard times of Spanish people, in the first half of the year the pain of conservative economic crisis, welcomed flame of war are flying in the second half of the year. 1868年注定是西班牙人民的苦日子,上半年保守经济危机之苦,下半年又迎来了战火纷飞。 The present situation before Spanish kingdom revolution is: The land annexation is serious, the farmer does not have may plant ; The city factory goes bankrupt massively, the unemployed people avenue is. 西班牙王国革命前的现状是:土地兼并严重,农民无地可种;城市工厂大量破产、失业人员满大街都是。 After revolutionary success , the situation has not gotten better unceasingly, instead becomes the aggravation, increased a public security to collapse. 革命成功后局势不断没有好转,反而变得更加恶化,增加了一个治安崩坏。 The provisional government does not have the governing experience, control situation ability. Just had the political power, on taking for granted abolished the police power of Isabel II. 临时政府既没有执政经验,也控制局势的能力。刚刚掌握政权,就想当然的废除了伊莎贝尔二世的警察部队。 The kuai child hand of suppression revolution did not have, the public security in Madrid also followed to be finished. The insurrectionary armies do not represent the discipline to be strict, more often motley crew. 镇压革命的侩子手没了,马德里的治安也跟着完蛋了。起义军并不代表着军纪严明,更多的时候还是乌合之众。 The Spanish insurrectionary armies go to war compared with motley crew, but in keeping the peace that is a motley crew. In those days by the kuai child hand police who they hated, in fact was also the protector of order. 西班牙起义军打仗比乌合之众强,可是在维持治安上那就是一支乌合之众。往日里被他们痛恨的侩子手警察,实际上也是秩序的守护者。 After without restraint, robs and rapes, murder...... and other bad criminal events, unceasing performs in Madrid. 没有了约束后,抢劫、强奸、杀人……等恶性犯罪事件,不断的在马德里上演。 The rotten order also compares not to have, before the Madrid people did not understand, now they understand finally. 再烂的秩序也比没有好,之前马德里人民不理解,现在他们总算是明白了。 As the price, Madrid becomes the entire European most chaotic capital. Was supported into the insurrectionary army in city by the people, discarded the popular sentiment in the shortest time. 作为代价,马德里成为了全欧洲最乱的首都。被人民拥戴入城的起义军,又在最短的时间内丢掉了民心。 These small issues, the provisional government could not attend, choose the king is the important matter, other issues are the small issues. 这些小问题,临时政府是顾不上了,选国王才是大事,其它的问题都是小问题。 The quick major problem came, in October 1868, Cuba ten thousand-mile away erupted the large-scale revolt, the rebel army makes a snowman expands, the Cuban crisis broke out. 很快大问题就来了,1868年10月,远在万里之外的古巴爆发大规模起义,叛军滚雪球般的壮大,古巴危机爆发了。 To Spain, this is heavy strikes. But Cuba one of the Spanish wealthiest colonies, can provide the large amount of wealth for Spain every year. 对西班牙来说,这是沉重的一击。古巴可是西班牙最富裕的殖民地之一,每年都能够为西班牙提供巨额的财富。 Before then, the American once bid 100 million US dollars purchase Cuban , Spanish governments to test had not considered, flatly refused directly. 在此之前,美国人就曾经出价一亿美元购买古巴,西班牙政府考都没有考虑,就直接一口回绝了。 Obviously, value of Cuba also by far above this. Since Spain declines, the blood transfusion of Cuban colony, maintains the important safeguard of Spanish big powers position. 显然,古巴的价值还远远在这之上。自从西班牙没落后,古巴殖民地的输血,也是维持西班牙列强地位的重要保障。 Not was only the government was anxious, domestic many those with vested interests were anxious. Wealth that Cuba enhances, majority entered individual belt-bag, without the day of this income many adelantado will be very sad. 不光是政府急了,国内的很多既得利益者都急了。古巴提高的财富,大部分都进入了个人的腰包,要是没有了这笔收入很多西班牙贵族的日子会很难过。 The Francisco administration that was just in power faced the first challenge, if cannot properly deal with the Cuban issue, Spanish kingdom the finance, was economical, is going to cause heavy losses. 刚刚掌权的弗朗西斯科政府遇到了第一个挑战,如果不能妥善处理古巴问题,西班牙王国无论是财政、还是经济,都将要受到重创。 Capitalists and aristocrats' support to government, will therefore be affected. In any event, Francisco must suppress this rebellion. 资本家、贵族对政府的支持,也会因此受到影响。无论如何,弗朗西斯科都必须要镇压掉这次叛乱。 Without a doubt, this rebellion is not simple, the back also has the international strength ginseng/partake to gather, otherwise the dependence local area indigenous is not possible sudden. 毫无疑问,这次叛乱并不简单,背后还有国际实力参合,不然依靠当地土著是不可能突然爆发的。 Although the US divides into two, but these did not represent them to be law-abiding. Front also supported the Mexican civil war, agitates Indian Tribe to make Austria to benefit in Central America instead. 美国虽然一分为二,可这些并不代表着他们就安分了。前面还支持了墨西哥内战,又在中美洲地区鼓动印第安部落造奥地利的反。 Now was one's turn Spain to have bad luck, interfered with the four big big powers of US civil war, counted them should better to bully. Now the American starts to probe, starts from Spain. 现在轮到西班牙倒霉了,干涉美国内战的四大列强,就数他们最好欺负。现在美国人开始试探,也是从西班牙开始的。 Before then, supports the Mexican Rebel army, agitates Central American Indian Tribe rebellion, conducts in secret. 在此之前,无论是支持墨西哥叛军,还是鼓动中美洲印第安部落造反,都是暗中进行的。 Those who are responsible for carrying out is the arms smuggling merchant, the evidence that keeps, cannot involve the federal government. When Cuba does the matter, the situation changed, the movement scope is much bigger. 负责执行的是军火走私商人,留下的证据,根本就牵扯不到联邦政府。在古巴搞事情的时候,情况就发生了变化,动作幅度要大得多。 Almost all people know, the American is supporting the Cuban independent body. This time support intensity is too big, cannot keep. 几乎所有人都知道,美国人在支持古巴独立组织。这次的支持强度太大,根本就藏不住。 This is the trouble that the economic crisis causes, British Austria both countries conduct commodity dumping to the US, making the US fall into the economic crisis. 这是经济危机惹的祸,英奥两国向美国进行商品倾销,让美国陷入了经济危机中。 The southern confederation is good, their industries are in any case not much, the brought loss is not very big. The northern federal government was miserable, is completely horrible to look. 南方邦联还好,反正他们的工业不咋地,带来的损失并不是很大。北方的联邦政府就惨了,完全是惨不忍睹。 New York, had a person of rain. Now New Yorker after Wall Street time, must pay attention in the top of the head, otherwise is hit by the unexpected misfortune, was battered to death was unjust. 纽约,都下起了人雨。现在纽约人经过华尔街的时候,都要留心头顶上,要不然遭到无妄之灾,被砸死了就冤枉了。 At this time Cuba erupted revolted against the revolt that Spain rules, to break out of the economic crisis, the federal capitalists will look at Cuba. 恰好这个时候古巴爆发了反抗西班牙统治的起义,为了摆脱经济危机,联邦的资本家们将目光投向了古巴。