The war is not the child's play, looks for the war excuse to neglect, but the move troops and collection strategic resources, these must have. 战争不是儿戏,寻找战争借口可以忽略,不过调动部队、筹集战略物资,这些还是少不了的。 Do not look at the Egyptian weak chicken, that must look that, compared with whom, at least others shoulder the target in the African continent, is known as Africa's first powerful nation. 不要看埃及弱鸡,那也要看和谁比,至少人家在非洲大陆还是扛把子,号称非洲第一强国。 Their biggest competitors are Ethiopia, but this opponent English helped weaken, when they fired off Ethiopia is also finished. 他们的最大竞争者是埃萨俄比亚,不过这个对手英国人帮忙削弱了,等他们打完了埃萨俄比亚也就完蛋了。 Does not need to suspect, the big powers attach great importance to face-saving. Only if Afghan that cockroach, otherwise for the face, the English must hit remnant Ethiopia. 不用怀疑,列强还是要面子的。除非是阿富汗那种小强,不然为了面子,英国人也要打残埃萨俄比亚。 hegemon needs to maintain with the military force, loses to the same European big powers, losing to Africa indigenous is not good. 霸主需要用武力维护,输给同等的欧洲列强可以,输给非洲土著就不行。 The Paris government is very practical, for does not make to laugh, they conduct the careful preparation. Napoleon III decided that politics and military parallel, first defeats the Egyptian government to win over own law person again. 巴黎政府还是很务实的,为了不闹出笑话来,他们进行精心准备。拿破仑三世决定政治与军事并行,先击败埃及政府再拉拢亲法人士。 This is also various European countries the commonly used method in overseas colonizing expanding, benefits including Austria in Central America has also used, the African continent situation special is the exception. 这也是欧洲各国在海外殖民扩张的常用手段,包括奥地利在中美洲地区也使用过,非洲大陆情况特殊是例外。 London, the news of Suez Canal navigation comes, in the money market stirred the controversy. Many person pessimistic believing , the big navigation time will soon finish. 伦敦,苏伊士运河通航的消息传来,金融市场上就引起了轩然大波。很多人悲观的认为,大航海时代即将结束。 This is according , after the Suez Canal is open, Austria benefitted the range to Indian Ocean to reduce more than 12,000 kilometers, France and range from Spain to Indian Ocean also reduced more than 10,000 kilometers. 这还是依据的,苏伊士运河通航后,奥地利通往印度洋的航程缩短了一万两千多公里,法国和西班牙通往印度洋的航程也缩短了一万多公里。 The English range reduces few, was in the absolute disadvantage in this aspect. In the capital market looks to fade the British local enterprise, was engaged in the Indian Ocean, Southeast Asia, Southeast Asia and other area of the export enterprises, the stock has cliff to fall. 英国人航程缩短最少,在这方面处于了绝对劣势。资本市场上看衰英国本土企业,从事印度洋、东南亚、南洋等地区的出口企业,股票都发生了断崖式下跌。 This falls, affected the entire London market, the upstream and downstream relevant industry naturally cannot cultivate one's own moral worth, with fell suddenly together, the stock disaster erupted. 这一跌,就波及到了整个伦敦市场,上下游相关产业自然不能独善其身,跟着一起爆跌,股灾爆发了。 Capitalist country economical a slight move in one part that may affect the whole situation, the stock disaster erupted other industry do not want to cultivate one's own moral worth, first received affect was the financial industry. 资本主义世界经济牵一发而动全身,股灾爆发了别的产业也不要想独善其身,最先受到影响的就是金融业。 From the beginning of 1868, the London street queues. The stock disaster caused the congenial financial institution and bank to go bankrupt, stirring the panic of people, the run crisis to follow to erupt. 从1868年初开始,伦敦街头就排起了长龙。股灾导致投机的金融机构、银行破产,引发了民众的恐慌,挤兑危机跟着爆发了。 This is only a start, link on a cyclical economy chain has the problem, must involve other links inevitably. 这只是一个开始,循环经济链上的一个环节出现问题,势必要牵连到其它环节。 Without a doubt, the run crisis breaks out, the bank to protect oneself to stop loaning outward, the financial crisis affected the enterprise. 毫无疑问,挤兑危机爆发,银行为了自保停止了对外放款,金融危机波及到了企业。 The Suez Canal was open is only the blasting fuse of detonation economic crisis, the British economy had had the problem, Britain several years ago presented the overcapacity. 苏伊士运河通航只是引爆经济危机的导火索,英国经济早就出现了问题,早在几年前英国就出现了产能过剩。 This and rise of law Austria also has the relations, the market of the world was so big, were many competitor who captured the market, causing the British industry and commerce product to continue to decline in the international market percentage. 这和法奥的崛起也有关系,全世界的市场就那么大,多了抢市场的竞争对手,导致英国工商业产品在国际市场占有率持续走低。 The market was small, the capacity has not reduced, was naturally surplus. But first is the US civil war, was the Prussia war, the war delayed the crisis eruption. 市场小了,产能没有削减,自然就过剩了。只不过先是美国内战,接着又是普俄战争,战争延缓了危机爆发。 Now the war ended, the commodity that makes does not have the sale, the economic crisis has been fermenting. At this time, the Suez Canal was open exactly detonated the crisis ahead of time. 现在战争结束了,生产出来的商品没有销路,经济危机已经在酝酿中。这个时候,恰好苏伊士运河通航提前引爆了危机。 The original space and time since 1864, the economic crisis erupted from Britain. Now the time is postponed for 34 years, the overcapacity is also naturally more serious. 原时空从1864年开始,经济危机就从英国爆发。现在时间被延后了三四年,产能过剩自然也更加严重。 This is poor communication, the market news is not quick causes. The capitalists have not kept up with the rhythm adjustment production of market, causing the capacity to be serious. 这是通讯不便,市场消息不灵通导致的。资本家们没有跟上市场的节奏调节生产,导致了产能严重过剩。 No new trick, the economic crisis breaks out the nature, if wants the means to winter. Does not have the enterprise of strength to go bankrupt directly, the powerful industry also starts to lay off and reduce the capacity. 没有任何新花样,经济危机爆发自然要想办法过冬了。没有实力的企业直接破产,实力雄厚的产业也开始裁员、削减产能。 In the summer of 1868, the great depression arrived at London. British Rail construction project reduced 78, more than ten big and small railway companies announced the bankruptcy, is constructing more than 20 railroads to announce that shut down indefinitely. 1868年夏,大萧条降临伦敦。英国铁路建设规模就缩减了78,十几家大小铁路公司宣布破产,在建二十余条铁路宣布无限期停工。 The ship-building industry also reached the high point of production in 1867, then started to contract, to the end of 1868, the industry scale shrank 34. 造船业也是在1867年达到生产的最高峰,然后开始收缩,到了1868年底,行业规模缩水了34。 The textile industry, is the disaster area of this crisis. Was benefitted the impact of cotton spinning industry by Austria, they discarded the market of Central Europe and Eastern Europe, the Western European market were under the French impact. 纺织业,更是这次危机的重灾区。受奥地利棉纺业的冲击,他们丢掉了中欧、东欧的市场,西欧市场又受到了法国人冲击。 English pillar industry, was damaged in this economic crisis, five worker numbers surpass 100,000 jumbo enterprises, goes bankrupt in the economic crisis. 英国人这项支柱产业,在这次经济危机中遭到了重创,五家工人数量超过十万的巨无霸企业,在经济危机中破产。 The person avenue of bankruptcy is, six months ago or the scenery infinite big rich and powerful people, degenerate into the street refugee on sink into now. 破产的人满大街都是,半年前还是风光无限的大富豪,现在就沦沦为了街头难民。 Meanwhile, was affected by the economic crisis, exit|to speak sudden atrophy. The gold outflow is serious, the fund shortage, the bank and enterprise bankruptcy, the English welcomed 11 th crisis in the economic history- canal crisis. 同时,受经济危机影响,出口急剧萎缩。黄金外流严重,资金紧张,银行、企业纷纷破产倒闭,英国人迎来经济史上的第十一次危机-运河危机。 After the economic crisis breaks out, the British government has not taken the corresponding measure promptly, but whatever the crisis four plunder, making the crisis loses control. 经济危机爆发后,英国政府没有及时采取应付措施,而是任由危机肆掠,让危机变得失控。 The innumerable unemployed peoples go to the London street to demonstrate, the capitalists also complained incessantly. The incumbent party attacks the government non- achievement in the newspaper, the economic crisis caused the political crisis. 无数的失业人群走上伦敦街头游行示威,资本家们也是叫苦连天。在野党在报纸上抨击政府不作为,经济危机又引发了政治危机。 Since John Russell cabinet had met took office the biggest confidence crisis. However, this really does not close their matters, according to the British law stipulated, the government has no right to interfere with the free economy. 约翰-罗素内阁遇到了上任以来最大的信任危机。然而,这真的不关他们的事,根据英国法律规定,政府是无权干涉自由经济的。 The mouth artillery party will not manage so many, in any case is the mistakes of government. Prime Minister John Russell has not interfered with the market luckily, otherwise he must bear „disturbance free economy, causes the charge of economic crisis”. 嘴炮党不会管那么多,反正都是政府的错。幸好约翰-罗素首相没有干涉市场,不然他还要背上“干扰自由经济,导致经济危机的罪名”。 Great, the politicians met unable to solve the problem, most commonly used method- resignation. 没得说,政客们遇到解决不了问题,最常用的手段-辞职。 ...... …… Vienna, the sudden economic crisis initiated attaching great importance to of Franz. Only if the planned economy, otherwise overcapacity this contraption, radically unavoidable. 维也纳,突如其来的经济危机引发了弗朗茨的重视。除非是计划经济,否则产能过剩这玩意儿,根本就无法避免。 Since Britain had the problem, then Austria benefits do not want to cultivate one's own moral worth, affecting that is sooner or later issue. 既然英国出现了问题,那么奥地利也不要想独善其身,波及过来那是迟早的问题。 Asking that Franz cares about: „Economic crisis came, what measure does the cabinet have?” 弗朗茨关心的问道:“经济危机又来了,内阁有什么措施？” Prime minister Felix replied: „ Your majesty, the situation of Britain transmitting, this economic crisis will influence be big. 首相费利克斯回答道:“陛下,从英国传来的情况来看,这次经济危机影响会非常大。 In order to break out of crisis, the cabinet decided that makes the state-owned enterprise start to keep in stock, leans to sell to the entire world the commodity stocks low price. 为了摆脱危机,内阁决定让国有企业开始去库存,把库存商品低价倾销往全世界。 We must race against time with the English and French, the market is so big, responded that must pound slowly in the hand. ” 我们要和英国人、法国人抢时间,市场就这么大,反应慢了就要砸在手中了。” The economic crisis period, does not haggle over the profit time. Sells the product, received exchange for a lot of cash in the hand, lets the enterprise survival is most important. 经济危机时期,已经不是计较利润的时候了。把产品都销售出去,换取大量的现金在手,让企业生存下来才是最重要的。 Let the state-owned enterprise keep in stock, but needed together the administrative order enough. Everyone conscientiously will definitely carry out, few bureaucrats will be silly to do against with the government. 让国企去库存,只是需要一道行政命令就够了。大家肯定会认真执行,没有几个官僚会傻到和政府对着干。 The private business was different, this type of government directly interferes with market's order, may not have under the means. The capitalist economy market, the government cannot interfere with the enterprise normal operation. 私企就不一样了,这种政府直接干涉市场的命令,可没有办法下。资本主义经济市场,政府是不能干涉企业正常运行的。 The function law maker, the government was naturally impossible to be illegal. Can't so many enterprise overcapacities, the direct administrative order, ordering them to reduce production? 作用法律制定者,政府自然不可能违法了。况且,那么多企业产能过剩,总不能直接行政命令,勒令他们减产吧？ In the market superior win and inferior wash out, must always die in any case one batch. The long pain is inferior to the short pain, who lives who died respectively depending on the skill. 反正市场上优胜劣汰,总是要死掉一批的。长痛不如短痛,谁生谁死就各凭本事了。 The cabinet chooses first rescues the state-owned enterprise not to have the problem, the biological son must always be given favored treatment. The state-owned enterprise unsalable products outlet, the domestic overcapacity pressure also reduced. 内阁选择先救国企没有毛病,亲儿子总是要受到优待的。国企滞销的产品出口了,国内的产能过剩压力也就减小了。 Franz continues to ask: „Did contingency plan complete?” 弗朗茨继续问道:“应急预案做好了么？” The private business is not does not rescue, mainly must look at the special details of economic crisis, according to the actual situation takes the measure. 私企不是不救,主要还是要看经济危机的具体情况,根据实际情况采取措施。 The government is not a nanny, is impossible to guarantee that the enterprise does not go bankrupt. Can survive, must look at capitalist own judgment. 政府不是保姆,不可能保证企业不破产。能不能生存下来,就要看资本家自己的判断力了。 If oneself do, that will really die. The smart people see the big sound of state-owned enterprise, very early in the morning started to follow. 要是自己作死,那就真的会死。聪明人看到国企的大动静,一早就开始跟风了。 Cannot respond that gets what one deserves unlucky. Had not looked that the imperial family industry is escaping? 反应不过来的,那就活该倒霉。没看皇室产业都在逃命了么？ Royal Bank can be regarded as Austria to benefit the economical the windvane, so long as the bank tightens the money market, one was the economy had the problem. 皇家银行都可以看做是奥地利经济的风向标,只要银行收紧银根,一准是经济出现了问题。 The public economic crisis is more impossible, is dry/does, does not have the economic crisis, will artificially cause the economic crisis. 公开经济危机更加不可能,那么干,没有经济危机,也会人为制造出经济危机来。 The market happens scared, the brought loss is more fearful than the economic crisis. According to the experience of Franz, the economic crisis is competing, who runs is quick who is a winner, who met the plate who gets what one deserves unlucky. 市场一旦发生了恐慌,带来的损失比经济危机更加可怕。根据弗朗茨的经验,经济危机就是在比赛,谁跑的快谁就是赢家,谁接了盘谁就活该倒霉。 Prime Minister Felix explained: „ Your majesty, this economic crisis was different from the past, is completely the pure overcapacity. Not is only we, overwhelming majority European countries presented the overcapacity. 费利克斯首相解释道:“陛下,这次经济危机不同于以往,完全就是单纯的产能过剩。不光是我们,绝大部分欧洲国家都出现了产能过剩。 The US civil war and Prussia war, making this crisis more serious. Before the war, various countries presented the overcapacity symptom. 美国内战、普俄战争,让这种危机变得更加严重。战争发生前,各国就出现了产能过剩的苗头。 If the crisis broke out at that time, the market will adjust quickly. Now was different, the preliminary estimate domestic capacity should surpass the market demand 30, certain industries possibly surpass the market demand half, the possibility is higher. 如果当时危机爆发,市场很快就会自我调节过来。现在不一样了,初步估计国内的产能应该超过市场需求的30,某些产业可能超出市场需求的一半,还有可能更高。 Besides letting market superior win and inferior wash out, eliminates the weak one, we have no alternative radically. The entire world could not find such big market, raises releases such big capacity. ” 除了让市场优胜劣汰,淘汰掉弱者外,我们根本就别无选择。全世界都找不到这么大的市场,掀泄这么大的产能。” This was makes the war wealth the sequela, Russia person in time of war most commodities were Austria benefit the monopoly supply, this caused Austria to benefit many industry overcapacity. 这是发战争财的后遗症了,俄国人战争时期大部分物资都是奥地利垄断供应的,这就导致了奥地利很多行业产能过剩。 After the war ended, the market conducted certain self- adjustment. However, the economic transformation is not several months can be completed. 战争结束后,市场进行了一定的自我调节。然而,经济转型不是几个月就能完成的。 Now the economic crisis came, responded a step enterprise naturally could not escape slowly. 现在经济危机来了,很多反应慢了一步的企业自然就逃不掉了。 Naturally, the impact on the big enterprise perhaps is not too fatal, after all first two years made the war wealth, accumulated the capital strength. 当然,对大企业的冲击或许不是太致命,毕竟前两年发了战争财,积累了资本实力。 Without the thoughtless expansion, in the pocket also some money, has ammunition that now passed this crisis. 只要没有盲目扩张,现在兜里都还有些钱,拥有度过这次危机的弹药。 The overcapacity is serious, this also means that by the foreign output, is unable to break out of the crisis. The economic crisis breaks out, the international market will retract quickly, belongs to the market that Austria benefits only then native place and colony. 产能过剩严重,这也意味着靠对外输出,无法摆脱危机。经济危机爆发,国际市场很快就会萎缩,属于奥地利的市场就只有本土和殖民地。 Other overseas market is not worth mentioning, is not the issue of market size, but is the issue of purchasing power size. 别的海外市场根本就不值得一提,不是市场大小的问题,而是购买力大小的问题。 No matter how said, Austria benefitted is also this age world's largest economy. The population surpasses the country that Austria benefits also to have two, however the market is actually not able by far in comparison. 不管怎么说,奥地利也是这个年代世界第一大经济体了。人口超过奥地利的国家还有两个,然而市场却远远无法与之相比。 Naturally, the words of computation colony, this ranking retroceded. The English are still the King of this age, no one can compare with them. 当然,计算殖民地的话,这个排名就后退了一位。英国人依然是这个年代的王者,没有人可以和他们比。 Franz nods, the means have, but does not conform to this time. The economic crisis breaks out, making the traditional industry crisis break out. 弗朗茨点了点头,办法不是没有,只不过不符合这个时期。经济危机爆发,让传统产业危机爆发。 To a certain extent, accelerated the eruption of second Industrial Revolution. Traditional industry enough profit, the capitalists do not have to focus on the emergent industry. 从某种程度上来说,也加速了第二次工业革命的爆发。传统产业没有足够的利润,资本家们就不得不把眼光放在新兴产业上。 Conceivable, how long could not want, the emergent industry that Austria benefitted four sides will blossom. Under this situation, Franz naturally cannot intervene. 可以想象,要不了多久,奥地利的新兴产业就会四面开花。在这种背景下,弗朗茨自然不会干预了。 Pours in the economic crisis the capitalist, can only calculate that they had bad luck. Own investment approach is not good, whom resulted in strangely? 倒在经济危机中资本家,就只能算他们倒霉了。自己的投资眼光不行,怪得了谁？ Considers the new times the sacrificial offering, gave off heat for the second Industrial Revolution illumination. 就当是新时代的祭品,为第二次工业革命发光发热了。