After having Austria benefitted the manufacture barrier, the London peace conference toward the Prussia kingdom advantageous aspect develops. On September 1 , 1867, Prussia and Denmark signed the truce treaty. 没有了奥地利制造障碍后,伦敦和会向着普鲁士王国有利的方面发展。1867年9月1日,普鲁士和丹麦签订了停战条约。 Ceding territory does not have the means that Schleswig-Holstein both duchies were eaten in the belly by Prussia, was naturally impossible to spit. 割地是没办法的,石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因两公国都被普鲁士吃到了肚子里,自然不可能吐出来了。 The indemnity did not need to think, the Kingdom of Denmark also had new backstage- Northern European federation. This is still being formed the country, although does not have Prussia Wang Guoqiang to be big, the self-preservation does not have the issue. 赔款就不用想了,丹麦王国又有了新的后台-北欧联邦。这个还在组建中的国家,虽然没有普鲁士王国强大,自保还是没有问题的。 The Swedes have not striven for the Schleswig-Holstein two duchies, mostly was worried that the strength of Denmark is too strong, does not help their control to the country. 瑞典人没有争取石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因两公国,主要是担心丹麦的实力太强,不利于他们对国家的掌控。 Moreover Swedish Charles XV wants to annex Finland, this must stand with the Russia person in the opposite, clashes again with Prussia, the national defense pressure was too big. 另外瑞典卡尔十五世想要兼并芬兰,这就要和俄国人站在对立面,再和普鲁士发生冲突,国防压力太大了。 Even so, Sweden helped Denmark demand likely typical form compensation, about 2 million aegises, considered the mood of Dane. 即便是如此,瑞典还是帮丹麦索要了一笔象征式的补偿款,约合200万神盾,照顾了丹麦人的情绪。 This is the change, the Prussia kingdom does not lack this fund again poorly. To fall the bag as soon as possible is secure, the Berlin government agreed refreshedly. 这都是小钱,普鲁士王国再穷也不缺这点儿资金。为了尽快落袋为安,柏林政府爽快的同意了。 Because has the common enemy Russia person, the Northern European federation that Prussia will soon establish will have many common topics. If not join a group for drawing Denmark, the Swedish government has hit a person when he is down to the Russia person. 因为存在着共同的敌人俄国人,普鲁士即将建立的北欧联邦会有很多共同的话题。如果不是为了拉丹麦入伙,瑞典政府早就对俄国人落井下石了。 From this perspective, Prussia gives up Jutland receiving in exchange for an ally, this business is very worthwhile. 从这方面来说,普鲁士放弃日德兰半岛换取一个盟友,这笔生意还是很合算的。 The Russian Empire background was too thick, even were weakened, still no one dares to despise them. 俄罗斯帝国底子太厚了,即便是受到了削弱,依然没有人敢轻视他们。 If they continue to decline, if again Russia person powerful, the Prussia kingdom bears the brunt. 如果他们继续衰落也就罢了,万一再次俄国人强大了起来,普鲁士王国又是首当其冲。 Providing for a rainy day is necessary, were many a Northern European federation to restrict the Russia person in the north side, the Prussia pressure will be smaller. 未雨绸缪是必要的,多了一个北欧联邦在北边制约俄国人,普鲁士的压力会小很多。 Therefore, Skagerrak( the Jutland channel) the Prussia kingdom has not set the request. 为此,斯卡格拉克海峡(日德兰海峡)普鲁士王国都没有提出要求。 Naturally, Prussia that tiny version navy, urges one of reasons the Berlin government gives up. By their present naval powers, seized uselessly. 当然,普鲁士那支袖珍版海军,也是促使柏林政府放弃的原因之一。以他们现在的海军实力,占领了也没什么用。 ...... …… After pill truce treaty is signed, the Tsar government also made the concession. On September 26 , 1867, Prussia, Poland and Russia signed the truce treaty. 普丹停战条约签订过后,沙皇政府也做出了让步。1867年9月26日,普鲁士、波兰、俄罗斯三国签订了停战条约。 This Russia person is the massive hemorrhage, acknowledged that Poland is independently inevitable, the Tsar government was also forced to accept two countries nearly complete territorial claim. 这次俄国人是大出血,承认波兰独立是必然的,沙皇政府还被迫接受了普波两国近乎全部的领土要求。 The Polish area independent, the Lithuanian area threw, the Latvian area to give up, the Belarus area not defending, Ukraine also to be cut a meat. 波兰地区独立了、立陶宛地区丢了、拉脱维亚地区放弃了、白俄罗斯地区也没保住、乌克兰也被割下了一块肉。 This has surpassed very soon to be the category of Poland, the loss territory total area is close to 790,000 square kilometers, loses the total population to reach as high as 20 million, the industrial total quantity was short about three all of a sudden. 这已经超出了俄属波兰的范畴,损失领土总面积接近79万平方公里,损失总人口高达2000万,工业总量一下子少了近三层。 In the late 18 th century, the Prussia Austria three countries carved up Poland, the Russia person attained the biggest share approximately 460,000 square kilometers, in 1815 in the Congress of Vienna they obtained to be some territories of Poland to compensate.( Warsaw area) 18世纪末,普俄奥三国瓜分波兰,俄国人拿到了最大份约46万平方公里,1815年维也纳会议上他们又获得了普属波兰的部分领土补偿。(华沙地区) These territories add, less than 600,000 square kilometers, now both capital and interest compensated, enough Alexander II anxiety was very long. 这些领土加起来,也不足六十万平方公里,现在连本带利的赔了出去,足够亚历山大二世肉疼很久了。 On ceding territory made the concession, paid compensation the Tsar government naturally not to give. Wanted to depend on the war indemnity to pass Prussia and Poland of financial crisis, this time was miscalculates. 在割地上做出了让步,赔款沙皇政府自然是不会给了。想要靠战争赔款度过财政危机的普鲁士和波兰,这次算是打错了算盘。 The money of Tsar government must be used to suppress the rebellion, this aspect Alexander II does not dare to relax vigilantly. 沙皇政府的钱还要用来镇压叛乱,这方面亚历山大二世可不敢放松警惕。 The threat that Prussia and Poland bring is only the small problem, is similar to the cold cold ; But the threat that the rebellious party brings is the cancer, although is also only early period, the timely treatment is the meeting deceased person. 普鲁士和波兰带来的威胁只是小毛病,和风寒感冒差不多;而乱党带来的威胁就是癌症,尽管还只是早期,不及时治疗是会死人的。 Was satisfactory to both sides to harm to choose the lesser, naturally can only first compromise with. The land will not travel, even if ceded, when they get better to take carry back same. 两全相害取其轻,自然就只能先和普波妥协了。土地又不会跑路,就算是割让了出去,等他们病好一样可以拿回来。 Money was different, in the hand does not have money not to have the means suppression rebellion, does not kill the rule of rebellious party Tsar government to be threatened. 钱就不一样了,手中无钱就没有办法镇压叛乱,不干掉乱党沙皇政府的统治就要受到威胁。 According to the treaty stipulated: The Prussia kingdom will obtain the Lithuanian area and the most areas in Latvian area and Belarus, the total area as high as 286000 square kilometers, total population about 4.7 million. 根据条约规定:普鲁士王国将获得立陶宛地区、拉脱维亚地区、白俄罗斯的大部分地区,总面积高达286000平方公里,总人口约470万左右。 But Poland obtains the remaining areas, the total area approximately 504,000 square kilometers, including Polish core Warsaw area and Belarus some areas and Siwu Krane's most areas, boundary linear extension to the Kiev area. 而波兰则获得剩下的地区,总面积约50.4万平方公里,包括波兰的核心华沙地区、白俄罗斯的部分地区、西乌克兰的大部分地区,边界线延伸到了基辅地区。 Obviously this Russia person lost sent greatly, the Smolensk area lost, here was only 360 kilometers from Moscow. 显然这次俄国人损失大发了,就连斯摩棱斯克地区都丢了,这里距离莫斯科仅有360公里。 In 1611 here was seized by the Pole, was considered as Poland in the negotiations old, contained in the Belarus area. 1611年这里被波兰人占领了,在谈判中被认为是波兰旧地,包含在了白俄罗斯地区。 This is not the Tsar government is weak, but is here is seized by the enemy actually, created the established facts. Only if using force, otherwise cannot take carry back. 这不是沙皇政府软弱,而是这里被敌人实际占领着,造成了既定事实。除非动用武力,不然根本就拿不回来。 Cession land majority is the enemy actually control area, through negotiating them took back many territories, lost too many domains in the winter battle Russian force to the enemy, caused them not to have the energy in the negotiations. 割让的土地大部分都是敌人实际控制区,通过谈判他们收回了不少领土,在冬季会战俄军丢了太多的地盘给敌人,造成了他们在谈判中没有底气。 Just the independent Kingdom of Poland inherited the heritage that Russia left, became the new rise European power, the total population 15 million, were similar to the pre-war Prussia kingdom. 刚刚独立的波兰王国继承了俄国留下的遗产,一跃成为新崛起欧洲大国,总人口一千五百万,和战前的普鲁士王国差不多。 Although the industry is not much, the agricultural base is good. The land basically is the plain area, the farm rushes well-off is not the issue. 工业虽然不怎么样,农业基础还是不错的。土地基本上都是平原地区,种地奔小康不是问题。 However, this cannot make the provisional government be satisfied. Does the sea time, how without the estuary feel all right by the great nation poses as? 然而,这并不能够让临时政府感到满意。海洋时代,没有出海口怎么好意思以大国自居呢？ Good, just obtained the independence, the Pole had started to have the dream of becoming a major power. 好吧,刚刚才取得了独立,波兰人已经开始做大国梦了。 Theoretically, Poland has the foundation of rise. Although the total population is not high, their proportions of births to population are high. 理论上,波兰还是有崛起的基础。人口总量虽然不高,不过他们的人口出生率高。 The commercial scale is not big, was the essential industry system, the Russia person also stayed behind much, conformed with save lots of time. 工业规模不大,可是重要工业体系,俄国人还留下了不少,整合一下可以节省大量的时间。 The local rich resources, can meet the Industrial Revolution earlier need. Certain minerals have abundantly, for example: The silver reserves is very rich, does not need to be worried about the currency problem. 本土资源丰富,可以满足工业革命的前期需求。某些矿产还富足有余,比如说:白银储量就很丰富,不用担心货币问题。 The grain yield has, but can also exit|to speak the receiving in exchange foreign exchange, develops the domestic economy. 粮食产量有余,还可以出口换取外汇,发展国内经济。 This is only theoretically, in fact biggest shortcoming is lacks „talent”. Do not count on that the Tsar government to the intellectual who they leave behind, this group of people basically take the revolutionary road, prepares to flex the muscles politically. 这只是理论上,实际上最大的硬伤是缺“人才”。不要指望沙皇政府给他们留下的知识分子,这帮人基本上都走上革命道路,准备在政治上大展拳脚。 Many intellectuals are spurt the day, to spurt, spurt the universe, the practical ability was sorry that has not trained. 很多知识分子都是喷天、喷地、喷宇宙,实干能力抱歉没有培养出来。 Naturally, occasionally has some exceptions, but were too few. The second Industrial Revolution had started, what a national need has the knowledge, to have the engineer of technology massively. 当然,偶尔也有例外的,但是太少了。第二次工业革命已经开始了,一个国家需要的是大量有知识、有技术的工程师。 In the population quality, currently the German area has the advantage. At present completes the compulsory education the country, centralized in the German area. 在人口素质上,目前德意志地区占据了优势。目前完成义务教育的国家,都集中在德意志地区。 UK , France do not have the compulsory education universal, other country not to mention. Studying is the patent of rich man, the missionary school teaches the civilian knowledge occasionally, but this is far from enough. 英法都没有普及义务教育,别的国家更不用说。读书是有钱人的专利,教会学校偶尔教授一下平民知识,但是这远远不够。 Obtains the country to be independent, the Pole has not fluttered. Because although the issue of estuary is discontented with Prussia, both sides have not torn to pieces the facial skin. 才取得国家独立,波兰人还没有飘起来。尽管因为出海口的问题对普鲁士不满,双方还是没有撕破脸皮。 The Kingdom of Poland also lacks a king now, everyone also has for the issue of king worries. 波兰王国现在还缺少一位国王,大家还有为国王的问题发愁。 According to the tradition of Poland, must certainly look for the king outside, German area's several big king specialized households are alternative. 按照波兰的传统,肯定是要在外面找国王了,德意志地区的几大国王专业户都是备选。 The issue that must consider are too many, the diplomatic contest of various countries, Polish Parliament is in the conniption, Polish king probably wanted the difficult labor. 要考虑的问题太多,还有各国的外交博弈,波兰议会目前处于激烈争吵中,波兰国王或许是要难产了。 At present adds on is Prussia King William I who explicitly the throne competes, once Poland and Prussia Monarch, merge become possible. 目前明确加上王位争夺的就是普鲁士国王威廉一世,一旦波兰和普鲁士共君,普波合并就成为了可能。 Theoretically, forms a federal empire to serve two countries interests. They are under common threat- Russia and Austria benefit. 理论上,组建一个联邦帝国是符合普波两国利益的。他们面临着共同的威胁-俄罗斯和奥地利。 These two enemies are extremely powerful, independent combat they are not an opponent, only then joins up to have with the strength that it resists. 这两个敌人太过强大,单打独斗他们都不是对手,只有联合起来才有与之对抗的实力。 Obviously, this is only theoretically. When who the eldest child is an issue that made one have a headache about, the Polish magnificent history, becomes this alliance biggest hindrance. 显然,这只是理论上的。谁当老大就是一个令人头疼的问题,波兰辉煌的历史,成为了这个联盟最大的阻碍。 Before the Russia person threatens has not vanished, the help of Polish provisional government need Prussian, nearly to the Berlin government compromised, however then international environment did not permit. 在俄国人威胁没有消失前,波兰临时政府需要普鲁士人的帮助,差点儿就向柏林政府妥协了,然而当时的国际环境不允许。 law Austria both countries do not want to see that merged, conducted the severe warning. At the critical moment of war, the Berlin government does not dare to offend law Austria both countries, this plans dead without a sickness. 法奥两国不想看到普波合并,进行了严厉的警告。在战争的关键时刻,柏林政府也不敢得罪法奥两国,这项计划无疾而终。 It was at that time reluctant, now the realistic threat does not exist, the Pole is not willing to become the little brother. 当时都很勉强,现在现实威胁不存在了,波兰人更加不愿意当小弟。 Naturally the call of two countries union has been very high, supporting William I becomes Polish king, the support level in Polish Parliament is not low. 当然两国联合的呼声一直很高,拥立威廉一世成为波兰国王,在波兰议会中的支持率还是不低的。 However this support level highest candidate, was kicked to be eliminated from the beginning. 然而这位支持率最高的候选人,从一开始就被踢出局了。 Simultaneously encountered the law Austria very soon vigorous oppositions, even the Polish Parliament full-price ticket support, William I do not dare to sit this king. 同时遭到了法奥俄三国的强烈反对,就算是波兰议会全票支持,威廉一世也不敢坐这个国王。 If both countries merges, William I also dares adventure to attempt. Altogether Monarch must encounter three big big powers jointly to oppose merely, William I instigates very much. 如果是两国合并,威廉一世还敢冒险尝试一下。仅仅只是共君就要遭到三大列强联合反对,威廉一世还是很怂的。 Not is only his issue, the key is Polish Parliament instigated. Facing the intervention of big powers, they do not dare to conduct to vote by ballots. 不光是他的问题,关键是波兰议会更怂。面对列强的干预,他们不敢进行投票表决。 Naturally, the Berlin government has not completely given up, now in Polish Parliament dispute arguing endlessly, very big reason is they causes. 当然,柏林政府还没有完全放弃,现在波兰议会中争执不休,很大原因就是他们引起的。 This time united the Anti-Russia war, the Prussia kingdom also takes advantage of opportunity to complete the infiltration to Poland, now in the Polish army has over eight officers, was Instructor Prussian trains. 这次普波联合反俄战争,普鲁士王国也顺势完成了对波兰的渗透,现在波兰军队中有八层以上的官兵,都是普鲁士人教官训练出来的。 The Polish domestic pro- Pu-school strength is also strong, although everyone does not want, when Prussia little brother, but was not equal to that everyone repels William I to become Polish king. 波兰国内的亲普派力量也非常强大,尽管大家不愿意当普鲁士的小弟,但是并不等于大家排斥威廉一世成为波兰国王。 Had such big advantage, Prussian naturally must strive. Has not announced diligently admits defeat, is not their attitudes. 拥有这么大的优势,普鲁士人自然要争取了。都没有努力就宣布认输,可不是他们的作风。 The international opposition forces are strong, mainly view Austria both countries. The attitude of Russian Empire almost can disregard now, before they ended the civil war, does not have the time to interfere with the Polish throne the luck of the draw. 国际反对势力强大,主要还是看法奥两国。俄罗斯帝国的态度现在差不多可以无视,在他们结束内战前,是没有功夫干涉波兰王位花落谁家的。 The English have not supported explicitly, can be the neutrality. A European small country big pile, has the opposing opinion mostly, their opinions are unimportant. 英国人没有明确支持和反对,可以算是中立。欧洲小国一大堆,大部分持反对意见,不过他们的意见不重要。 Attains the Polish throne, annexes Poland to be important to Prussia. If cannot take, they rather let the Polish throne first vacancy. 拿到波兰王位,对普鲁士兼并波兰至关重要。如果拿不到手,他们宁愿让波兰王位先空缺着。