Your pit I, my pit you, the struggle is the subject of big powers time. 你坑我,我坑你,斗争是列强时代的主题。 The people are involuntary in the rivers and lakes. International politics only has the benefit, the benefit was the friend, the benefit has the conflict consistently is an enemy, the role transferance was the elementary operation eo. 人在江湖身不由己。国际政治上只有利益,利益一致就是朋友,利益发生了冲突就是敌人,角色转变是基本操作。 This aspect English does best, just ally, after moment time, can turn into the enemy, can become the friend again after a while once again. 这方面英国人做的最好,刚刚还是盟友,片刻功夫后就可以变成敌人,再过一会儿又可以再次成为朋友。 To a certain extent, the diplomacy of this age various European countries studies the English. Everyone's bottom line and moral integrity drop lower and lower, the ally relations of close cooperation, only existed before the middle ages. 某种程度上来说,这个年代欧洲各国的外交都是学习英国人的。大家的底线、节操一降再降,亲密合作的盟友关系,只存在于中世纪之前。 Under this situation, the relations of various European countries are one group of messes, cannot narrow differentiates with the enemy and friend. 在这种背景下,欧洲各国的关系是一团乱麻,不能狭义的用敌人和朋友来区分。 For obtains more support Prussia both countries to conduct the diplomatic efforts in the negotiations, responded that the slow Ottoman empire also launched the diplomatic activities, the remaining Central Asia several Khanate and Eastern empire are also at the salt fish condition. 为了在谈判中获得更多的支持普俄两国都在进行外交攻势,反应迟钝的奥斯曼帝国同样也展开了外交活动,就剩下中亚几个汗国和东方帝国还处于咸鱼状态。 The salt fish is the tragedy, the international support under the European rule system has the function very much, even the diplomatic support of small country, similarly still existence value. 咸鱼是悲剧的,在欧洲规则体系下国际支持还是很有作用的,即便是小国的外交支持,同样也存在着价值。 The little brother does not have the foreign diplomatic capability, can only John Bull get up. Perhaps this is also the London government most wants to see that can increase their influences in these countries, gets bigger interests. 小弟没有外交能力,就只能约翰牛自己上了。或许这也是伦敦政府最想看到的,可以增加他们在这些国家的影响力,获得更大的利益。 Franz wants to become eats the melon people, does to tree desiring calm but wind restless, because the relations of suddenly Austria Union, Austria benefitted to be involved. 弗朗茨本想成为吃瓜群众,奈何树欲静而风不止,因为俄奥同盟的关系,奥地利被牵扯了进去。 „The Russia person wants to restore to the pre-war condition, can earn our support?” “俄国人想要恢复到战前状态,要获得我们的支持？” Being beyond control Franz is not surprised, this simply is fantasy story. No matter acknowledged that the Russia person this time is a loser, the loser doesn't want to pay the price to be possible? 由不得弗朗茨不惊讶,这简直就是天方夜谭。不管承不承认俄国人这次都是失败者,失败者不想付出代价怎么可能呢？ Does not shear the small patch of land, does not match one ruble. 不割寸土,不配一个卢布。 Such truce condition, can obtain everyone to agree to be strange. Only if they can convince all European countries to endorse together, otherwise pays the price to be inevitable. 这样的停战条件,能够获得大家同意才怪。除非他们能够说服所有的欧洲国家一起背书,否则付出代价是必然的。 Foreign minister Wessenberg replied: „Yes, your majesty. Minister Russia said that they are not willing to be responsible for this war.” 外交大臣韦森贝格回答道:“是的,陛下。俄国公使就是这么说的,他们不愿意为这次战争负责。” Without a doubt, this involved Tsar government internal politics gambling. The senior government officials no one want to shoulder the responsibility, played the rascal. 毫无疑问,这牵扯到了沙皇政府内部的政治博弈。政府高层没有人想要承担责任,就耍起了无赖。 Franz was mad happily, he being disinclined manages the rotten matter of Russia person, promptly said: „ Replies the Tsar government, if they think is capable of convincing all parties to agree, we have no opinion. 弗朗茨被气乐了,他才懒得管俄国人的烂事,当机立断说道:“回复沙皇政府,如果他们自认为有能力说服各方同意,我们没有任何意见。 If cannot achieve, do not do the matter that these indulge in fantasy, so as to avoid becomes the international laughingstock finally. ” 如果做不到的话,就不要做这些异想天开的事,免得最后成为了国际笑柄。” „International laughingstock” this is shortcoming of Russia person, their diplomatic jokes have almost not broken. Separates for 35 years to come one time, as if not make fun, they cannot grow. “国际笑柄”这是俄国人的硬伤,他们的外交笑话几乎没有断过。隔上三五年就会来一次,仿佛不闹笑话,他们就不能够成长。 Franz is not naturally willing to accompany the Tsar government together hi, works as the fool others, finally will discover that the fool is oneself. 弗朗茨自然不愿意陪着沙皇政府一起嗨了,把别人都当傻子,最后才会发现傻子就是自己。 In the diplomacy establishes in the strength, Russian Empire of heyday has this energy. If the truce one year ago, they also has the strength that does not cede territory does not pay compensation. 外交上建立在实力上的,全盛时期的俄罗斯帝国却是有这份儿底气。如果在一年前停战,他们都还有不割地不赔款的实力。 What a pity the sound of gunfire of Moscow ended all these, the internal threat is the primary problem of Tsar government, the foreign enemy is only the secondary contradiction. 可惜莫斯科的枪声终结了这一切,内部威胁才是沙皇政府的首要问题,外敌只是次要矛盾。 That feared that is the most radical Polish nationalist, cannot think that swallows Russian Empire. In the strength not to mention, can be responsible for outside duties except for the Prussia kingdom after all, several other are fighting the running free war. 那怕是最激进的波兰民族主义者,都不敢想一口吞下俄罗斯帝国。实力上更不用说,除了普鲁士王国毕竟能打外,其它的几家都是在打顺风仗。 The main force of Tsar army was constrained by Prussian, the enemies who everyone faces are the second-class army of Russia person, the battle efficiency completely not in a scale. 沙皇军队的主力都被普鲁士人拖住了,大家面对的敌人都是俄国人的二流部队,战斗力完全不在一个档次上。 Now what tragedy is the principal force of Tsar government consumes completely, the battle efficiency of recruit are most also on second-class, the major fronts were at a disadvantage also proved this point. 现在悲剧的是沙皇政府的主力部队消耗殆尽,新兵的战斗力最多也就二流,各大战线都处于下风也证明了这一点。 Prime Minister Felix analyzes saying: „ Your majesty, the Russia person I thinks that this is the Russia person is probing our standpoints. 费利克斯首相分析道:“陛下,俄国人我认为这是俄国人在试探我们的立场。 The war conducts the present, the Tsar government must know that they could not have hit. 战争进行到了现在,沙皇政府不可能不知道他们已经打不下去了。 The economy of Russian Empire will soon have collapsed, the social contradiction had arrived at the critical point. Did not end the war, the Tsar government must be finished. ” 俄罗斯帝国的经济已经即将崩溃,社会矛盾早就到了临界点。再不结束战争,沙皇政府就要完蛋了。” „Economical collapse and internal disorder and foreign invasion”, Franz conducted saw things in others'shoes, how if oneself are in the position of Alexander II to be dry? “经济崩溃、内忧外患”,弗朗茨进行了换位思考,如果自己处在亚历山大二世的位置上会怎么干？ Quick Franz drew conclusion- after being first steady, changes. No matter so many, first preserve the political power, then uses the foreign pressure on promote the social reform. 很快弗朗茨就得出了结论-先稳后改。甭管那么多,先保住政权,然后再利用外来压力推动社会改革。 Nicholas I won the Near East war, not only covered the social crisis, but also increased the reform difficulty, the ruling clique has not felt the pressure of life and death. 尼古拉一世打赢了近东战争,不仅是掩盖了社会危机,还增加了改革难度,统治集团没有感受到生死存亡的压力。 Now the situation deteriorates, might as well be an opportunity? 现在局势恶化,未尝不是一次机会呢？ Experienced this failure, the strength of post-war reformist rose suddenly inevitably. Alexander II can also investigate that the responsibility of disaster, seizes the chance to clean up part of clothes eating insects. 经历了这次失败,战后改革派的实力必然暴涨。亚历山大二世还可以追究战争失败的责任,趁机清理一部分蛀虫。 If suffices to be ruthless, but can also take the opportunity of suppression rebellion, causes heavy losses to the domestic conservative faction. 如果够狠的话,还可以利用镇压叛乱的机会,重创国内的保守派。 This is the ready-made example, more than ten years ago Austria benefits is because Great Revolution reshuffles, completes the social reform. 这是现成例子的,十几年前奥地利就是因为大革命重新洗牌,才完成社会改革的。 Franz does not doubt the ability of Alexander II, original space and time completed a social reform. During this, naturally must have the bloody violence, otherwise he will not be assassinated by the revolutionary party. 弗朗茨丝毫不怀疑亚历山大二世的能力,原时空这位就完成了一次社会改革。这期间自然也少不了血腥暴力,要不然他也不会被革命党刺杀了。 Assassinates Emperor as Emperor Franz clearly difficultly, without the internal rebel coordinates, the revolutionary party nearby can not the body. 作为皇帝弗朗茨非常清楚刺杀一名皇帝有多难,如果没有内部叛徒配合,革命党根本就近不得身。 How also to throw the bomb? Especially throws after a bomb, when Alexander II examines the cart driver injury time, threw the second bomb to kill him. 又如何投掷炸弹呢？尤其是扔出一枚炸弹过后,等亚历山大二世查看车夫伤势的时候,又扔出了第二枚炸弹才炸死他。 Are the guards the klutzes? Some person of short distances launch the attack, but can also give their second opportunity? 卫兵都是木头人么？有人近距离发动袭击,还能给他们第二次机会？ Among this has the time-gap, throws the bomb to mean that artificially both sides are away from only then dozens meters, in the normal condition the assassin made into the screen either, either was captured alive, simply does not have the second making a move opportunity. 这中间可是有时间间隔的,人为投掷炸弹意味着双方距离就只有几十米,正常情况下刺客要么被打成筛子,要么被活捉,根本没有第二次出手的机会。 Including the surrounding crowd, will be cleared to control immediately. The assassination case covered anything obviously, pure analyzes from the surface is very unreasonable. 包括周围的人群,也会被马上清场控制起来。刺杀案显然掩盖了什么,单纯的从表面上分析就很不合理。 Franz refers to own security ability, can conclude that in the ghost, the assassin is unable to carry the guns and bomb close to him. 弗朗茨参考自身的安保能力,可以断定没有内鬼,刺客根本无法携带枪支、炸弹靠近他。 The peripheral security personnel, will forbid the stranger to approach. Even the political show, can still investigate ancestor several generations with the person of Emperor contact, determined that cannot have the issue to approach. 周边的安保人员,会禁止陌生人靠近。就算是政治作秀,能够和皇帝接触的人也是调查了祖宗好几代,确定不会有问题才有可能靠近。 Lives the strict state in Russian that rank, the civilians are difficult close to the big aristocrats, let alone is the short distance contacts Emperor? 在俄罗斯那种等级生严的国度,平民靠近大贵族都难,何况是近距离接触皇帝呢？ Did not say that the assassin, comes an assassin of group even, may not rush to the near dozens meters. 不说个把刺客,就算是来一个团的刺客,都不一定能够冲到近前几十米。 These issue Franz are disinclined to continue to intertwine, he himself was OK in any case carefully. Even moves in Vienna, that is still several hundred guard accompanying, the police surrounding of four figures move. 这些问题弗朗茨懒得继续纠结,反正他自己小心就可以了。就算是在维也纳活动,那也是几百卫兵随行,还有四位数的警察外围活动。 The safety coefficient absolutely is highest, even after some assassins see this lineup, still can only the little darling retreat. 安全系数绝对是最高的,就算是有刺客看到这份阵容后,也只能乖乖退却。 Does surveys in a quiet way, that does not exist. Sits a horse tire several guards on the monarchy of journey, only exists in the projectile small country. They cannot suspend the ostentation, can only on assembling. 微服私访,那是不存在的。坐着一辆马车带着几名侍卫就出行的君主,只存在于弹丸小国中。他们摆不起排场,只能将就凑合一下。 Franz said with a laugh: „ It seems like Alexander II must have the big movement immediately, perhaps now he indulges the bureaucratic group intentionally, paralysis these people. 弗朗茨笑呵呵的说:“看来亚历山大二世马上就要有大动作了,现在他恐怕是故意放纵官僚集团,麻痹这些人。 The big clean of Tsar government will soon approach, I guess that Alexander II will launch a coup d'etat, of clothes eating insect in government cleaning up, then loses the responsibility of disaster to them. 沙皇政府的大清洗即将来临,我猜亚历山大二世会发动一场政变,把政府中的蛀虫给清理一遍,然后把战争失败的责任丢给他们。 This is answers multiple purpose, not only can clean up in the government the clothes eating insect, but can also take the opportunity to suppress the conservative faction, while convenient to a people confession. 这是一举多得,不但可以清理了政府中蛀虫,还能够借机打压保守派,顺便给民众们一个交代。 The dirty feudal official was cleaned up, the rebellion of rebel army gave a pretext does not have. How long rebel army could not want to be mired in the internal strife, if the revolutionary party did not run a bit faster, perhaps will also be taken to seek undeserved credit and rewards. ” 污臣被清理了,叛军的造反借口就没有了。要不了多久叛军就会陷入内部纷争中,革命党要是不跑快点儿,没准还会被人拿下邀功请赏。” The foundation of revolutionary party was too shallow, do not think that they make the noise to be big, in fact this age Russia any revolutionary party only has 180 people. 革命党的根基太浅了,不要看他们闹得动静不小,实际上这个年代俄国任何一个革命党都只有百八十号人。 In order to seize power provisional joint, if not the strength is too weak, they will not accept „remove evil ministers from beside the throne, executes dirt feudal official” the banner. 为了夺权才临时联合起来的,如果不是实力太弱,他们也不会接受“清君侧,诛污臣”的旗号。 This banner no doubt united many people, similarly also brought an issue. With strength of insurrectionary army team, the revolutionary party lost the controlling force to the army. 这个旗号固然团结了很多人,同样也带来了一个问题。随着起义军队伍的壮大,革命党失去了对军队的控制力。 „Dirty feudal official” was put to death, the people revolt the goal to achieve, many people must withdraw. To put it bluntly, many people participate in the revolt are because the tax revenue is too heavy. “污臣”都被诛杀了,民众们造反目标已经达到,很多人就要退出了。说白了,很多人参加起义就是因为税收太重。 Alexander II several imperial edicts can solve the problem, on toward the bureaucratic group pushes the one of the responsibility, the resentment of people left, Tsar good Tsar. 亚历山大二世几道诏书就可以解决问题,把责任往官僚集团身上一推,民众们的怨气出了,沙皇还是好沙皇。 The popular sentiment turns toward Tsar now, the army also supports Tsar. Aristocrat group reformist, conservative faction everyone has not overturned the meaning of Tsar. 民心现在还是向着沙皇的,军队也是拥护沙皇的。贵族集团无论是改革派,还是保守派大家都没有推翻沙皇的意思。 Including capitalists who just rose, these people also think that keeps Tsar not having Tsar is better. They support the revolution to seize power, did not mean that must really conduct the social revolution. 包括刚刚崛起的资本家们,这些人也认为留着沙皇比没有沙皇好。他们支持革命只是为了夺权,并不是说要真的进行社会革命。 Supports the Tsar country in over 99% person, wants to overthrow the Tsar government, isn't this talks nonsense? 在一个超过百分之九十九的人都拥护沙皇的国家,想要推翻沙皇政府,这不是扯淡么？ From this perspective, Alexander II lived in a good period good place. The Russia revolutionary teacher had not been born, the proletariat revolutionary party could not have seen the shadow, the present bourgeois revolution group does not oppose imperialism. 从这方面来说,亚历山大二世生在了一个好时期好地方。俄国革命导师还没出生,无产阶级革命党还看不到影子,现在的资产阶级革命团体又不反帝。 If the time will push up in the future for 50 years, or was changed France by the background, now already republican. 如果时间往后推上五十年,或者是被背景换到了法兰西,现在早就共和了。 Prime Minister Felix thinks otherwise saying: „ Reform is not easy, the conservative faction strength of Russian Empire is abundant, Nicholas I have not completed the social reform, Alexander II is perhaps more difficult to achieve. 费利克斯首相不以为然道:“改革没有那么容易,俄罗斯帝国的保守派力量非常雄厚,尼古拉一世都没有完成社会改革,亚历山大二世恐怕更难做到。 Now he can do perhaps also conducts the limit to reform, transforms the feudalism of Russian Empire, in a short time enhances the strength. ” 现在他能够做的恐怕也只是进行有限度改革,将俄罗斯帝国的封建制度进行转变,短期内提高实力。” He has the right to speak, the Austria advantage reforms time, the Hungarian aristocrats completely lost the right to speak, Vienna's conservative factions swept into the garbage heap by the rebel army, the Bohemia area conservative faction by the inconsistency that the rebel army attacks. 他是有发言权的,奥地利改革的时候,匈牙利贵族完全丧失了话语权,维也纳的保守派被叛军扫进了垃圾堆,波西米亚地区保守派被叛军冲击的七零八落。 Waits for the Vienna government to announce reform time, the strength of conservative faction ten have not saved one, most people lost the foundation. 等维也纳政府宣布改革的时候,保守派的力量已经十不存一,大部分人都失去了根基。 Even so, in several years struggle of both sides has not been short. 即便是如此,这十几年来双方的斗争都没有少过。 Now the Tsar government may not have the means to clean up the conservative faction by the rebel army, needs Tsar to go forth to battle personally, light/only this wave of hatred made Alexander II have a headache sufficiently. 现在沙皇政府可没有办法靠叛军清理保守派,需要沙皇亲自上阵,光这一波仇恨就足以令亚历山大二世头疼。 This was doomed, in the future reformist and conservative faction also in strength of hatred next for a long time to holding. Even if there is a Tsar support, the strength of reformist still is very in a short time difficult to surpass the conservative faction. 这就注定了,未来改革派和保守派也会在仇恨的力量下长期对持下去。即便是有沙皇支持,改革派的力量短时间内也很难超过保守派。 Without the means that according to the tradition of Europe, cleans up the aristocrat even, Alexander II was impossible to kill. 没有办法,按照欧洲的传统,就算是清理贵族,亚历山大二世也不可能都杀了。 The charge of bribery and corruption was too light, can only be the section owes to the aristocrat. Involves the military cargo, most can only kill several heads. 贪污受贿的罪名太轻了,对贵族来说只能算是小节有亏。牵扯到军用物资,也最多只能杀几个负责人。 Most people will be rushed home, or exiles Siberia. These people lost the right life also , was still a hidden danger. 大部分人只是会被赶回家,或者是流放西伯利亚。这些人丢了权利命还在,仍然是一个隐患。 But the rebel army of Moscow is not powerful, has not promoted the flash news. Absolutely does not have the big aristocrat and big capitalist fate, wants to involve cannot achieve. 而莫斯科的叛军非常不给力,没有搞出大新闻来。根本就没有大贵族、大资本家下场,想要牵连都做不到。 „Removes evil ministers from beside the throne, executes dirty feudal official”, compared with revolting to lower one grade on natural, that feared that to show to show the benevolence of Emperor, Alexander II must issue the offering amnesty command. “清君侧,诛污臣”,在天然上就比造反低了一档,那怕是为了作秀证明皇帝的仁慈,亚历山大二世也要发布招安令。 Withstand/Top the pot is the Revolutionary Party members, the remaining people want intelligently a little, after Alexander II issues the pardon, the decisive choice treachery, are most by the marginalization after the war, the settlement does not exist. 顶锅的都是革命党人,剩下的人只要聪明一点儿,等亚历山大二世发布赦免令后,果断的选择倒戈,战后最多被边缘化,清算是不存在的。 This means that the conservative faction is in unfavorable situation in the political struggle, the itself strength loses is not big. 这意味着保守派只是在政治斗争中失利,本身实力损失并不大。 After all just like the Austria advantage, the Russian Empire army is also the aristocrat leads, Tsar is impossible to violate the game rule. 毕竟和奥地利一样,俄罗斯帝国军队也是贵族主导,沙皇也不可能违背游戏规则。 Franz nods saying: „ To Russian Empire, the limited social reform also created world powers sufficiently. 弗朗茨点了点头说:“对俄罗斯帝国来说,有限度的社会改革也足以缔造一个世界强国了。 They vast in territory, the rich resources, populous, so long as completed the industrialization, is the European power. 他们幅员辽阔、资源丰富、人口众多,只要完成了工业化,就是欧洲大国。 If they really carry out the radical social reform, to us is not a good deed. The development potential in continental Europe above us, only has Russian Empire. ” 他们真要是进行彻底的社会改革,对我们来说也不是一件好事。要知道,在欧洲大陆上发展潜力在我们之上的,就只有俄罗斯帝国。” ...... ……