Russian Navy erupted to seize the Baltiysk area suddenly, the entire European world was shocked by this news, many people think that the Kingdom of Prussia must be finished. 俄国海军突然爆发占领了波罗的斯克地区,整个欧洲世界都被这个消息惊呆了,很多人都认为普鲁士王国要完蛋了。 Opens the map to know, the coastline of Kingdom of Prussia in Baltic Sea, here is the sphere of influence of Russian Navy. 打开地图就知道,普鲁士王国的海岸线都在波罗地海中,这里是俄国海军的势力范围。 Erupts to start from the war, Danish Navy died of suffocation the maritime transport route of native of Prussia, the strategic resources that UK , France support can only transport from the land. 从战争爆发开始,丹麦海军就堵死了普鲁士人的海上运输通道,英法支援的战略物资只能从陆地上转运。 Earlier czar the government neglected the function of navy, without attacking coastal area of Prussia, purely resists on the land, the strength of Kingdom of Prussia also war. 前期沙皇政府忽略了海军的作用,没有袭击普鲁士沿海地区,单纯的在陆地上对抗,普鲁士王国还有一战之力。 Now was different, on the land is unable to break through, the Russian looked at the sea, attacked the Kingdom of Prussia using the navy advantage. 现在不一样了,陆地上迟迟无法突破,俄国人把目光转向了海上,利用海军优势打击普鲁士王国。 This is the non-solution difficult problem, the Russian can in any one fire in bursts the landing operations, but Prussia is actually not able to achieve the comprehensive defense. 这是无解的难题,俄国人可以在任何一点发起登陆作战,而普鲁士却无法做到全面防守。 ...... …… The Vienna palace, foreign minister Wesenberg said: „Yesterday afternoon, Russian minister proposed to us new mortgage application, they prepare to be the Saxony area to make the mortgage with, loans 30 million aegises.” 维也纳宫,外交大臣韦森贝格说道:“昨天下午,俄国公使向我们提出了新的贷款申请,他们准备用普属萨克森地区做抵押,贷款3000万神盾。” Acts as the collateral loan with the territory of enemy, this can also do on the czar government. It is not right, this perhaps is not the mortgage, likely buys and sells. 拿敌人的领土充当抵押品贷款,这也就沙皇政府干得出来。不对,这或许不是抵押,很可能是买卖。 By the fiscal situation of czar government, can on time the repayments is likely, finally sells out the possibility that repays a debt to be big collateral. 以沙皇政府的财政情况,能够按时还款的可能性非常小,最后把抵押品卖掉还债的可能性非常大。 The prerequisite was the Russian won this war, and tore down this meat from the Kingdom of Prussia. 前提条件是俄国人打赢了这一仗,并且从普鲁士王国身上撕下了这一块肉。 Asking that Franz cares about: „What opinion is the Saxony government? Are they interested, disburses money to buy back this lands?” 弗朗茨关心的问道:“萨克森政府是什么意见？他们有没有兴趣,出钱买回这片土地？” Was the Saxony area is in 1815 in the Congress of Vienna delimits to Prussia. Now the Kingdom of Saxony is an member in new Holy Roman Empire, if some lands return, naturally must give back to the Kingdom of Saxony. 普属萨克森地区是1815年维也纳会议上划给普鲁士的。现在萨克森王国是新神圣罗马帝国的一份子,这部分土地如果回归,自然是要还给萨克森王国的。 Was the Saxony area to occupy the Kingdom of Saxony 40% territories, the Kingdom of Saxony has wanted to receive. In the past they joined the new god Luo empire in the past time, Prime Minister Felix has made the promise. 普属萨克森地区占据了萨克森王国百分之四十的领土,萨克森王国一直都想收回来。当年他们当年加入新神罗帝国的时候,费利克斯首相就做出过许诺。 Now the opportunity came, can the Saxony government be able to bear? 现在机会来了,萨克森政府能够忍得住么？ Franz's unusual suspicion. 弗朗茨非常的怀疑。 If the Saxony government could not bear, then the Vienna government does not have the means to stop in this issue, after all Franz must consider the popular sentiment. 如果萨克森政府忍不住了,那么维也纳政府也没有办法在这个问题上阻拦,毕竟弗朗茨也是要考虑民心的。 30 million aegis prices, to the economically developed Kingdom of Saxony, are unable to withstand. So long as they are willing to try to find the solution, can collect. 3000万神盾这个价格,对经济发达的萨克森王国来说,并不是无法承受。只要他们愿意想办法,就能够筹集起来。 Prime Minister Felix replied: „The Saxony government should favor investing to purchase to be the Saxony area, Prime Minister Fresel will arrive in Vienna this afternoon.” 费利克斯首相回答道:“萨克森政府应该是倾向于出资购买普属萨克森地区的,弗雷塞尔首相今天下午就会抵达维也纳。” Franz thinks saying: „ First comforts them. Now these lands in the Prussia hand, Russian's commitment could not have made the number. 弗朗茨想了想说:“先安抚住他们。现在这些土地还在普鲁士手中,俄国人的承诺根本就做不了数。 We must have other collateral, reduces credit risk. 我们必须要有其它抵押品,来降低贷款风险。 Can the government make the commitment to the Saxony, authorizing this Russia , Austria to loan the prerequisite that is- Russian agreed that sells to be the Saxony area, and must decide the good price ahead of time. ” 可以给萨克森政府做出承诺,批准这次俄奥贷款的前提条件是-俄国人同意出售普属萨克森地区,并且要提前约定好价格。” This matter is troublesome, can say that the Russian chose a good time. 这件事情非常麻烦,可以说俄国人选择了一个好时机。 Now most people think that the Russian will win the war, at this time was the Saxony area to make the bait with, was beyond control the Vienna government to reject. 现在大部分人都认为俄国人会赢得战争,这个时候用普属萨克森地区做诱饵,就由不得维也纳政府拒绝。 The loan mortgage is false, the real motive of czar government is to raise the fund , to continue this war. 贷款抵押是假,沙皇政府的真实目的是想要筹集资金,继续这场战争。 So long as the news passed on, the Saxony People will request to buy back this land, the Saxony government is impossible to reject, Vienna also has to coordinate. 只要消息传了出去,萨克森民众就会要求买回这块土地,萨克森政府不可能拒绝,维也纳也不得不配合。 Franz is not willing to be this fool. If the Russian had won the war, then do not say 30 million aegises, even 50 million aegises he can still leave. 弗朗茨可不愿意当这个冤大头。如果俄国人已经赢得了战争,那么不要说3000万神盾,就算是5000万神盾他也会出。 But the present is only an unknown. If by some chance the czar government defeats, or has not ceded this lands from the Prussia hand, then this loan might throw away carelessly. 可是现在只是一个未知数。万一沙皇政府战败,或者是没有从普鲁士手中割让这片土地,那么这笔贷款很可能会打了水漂。 The mortgage loan and sell are two concepts. Now czar is short of money fiercely, to collect the military expenses, naturally does not dare to have a lion's share, so as to avoid ran away in fear the donor, in the future will be uncertain. 况且,抵押贷款和出售是两个概念。现在沙皇缺钱厉害,为了筹集军费,自然不敢狮子大开口,免得吓跑了金主,未来就不一定了。 When the time comes primary and secondary transposes, takes back using the people eagerly is the Saxony area at heart, hasn't sold a sky-high price to come out? 到时候主次易位,利用民众们急于收回普属萨克森地区的心里,还不卖一个天价出来？ Foreign minister Wesenberg said heavyheartedly: „Your majesty, Russian, since ejected to be the Saxony area, I worried that they had the possibility the Rhineland area promise to the French, to receive in exchange to loan.” 外交大臣韦森贝格忧心忡忡的说:“陛下,俄国人既然抛出了普属萨克森地区,我担心他们有可能将莱茵兰地区许诺给法国人,以换取贷款。” Franz complexion changes, this does not have the possibility, but has the possibility. 弗朗茨脸色一变,这不是有可能,而是非常有可能。 Was short of money, can't czar government what matter do? 缺钱了,沙皇政府什么事情干不出来？ Is generous others the indignance. Once the French received the seduction, then the Paris government will also do one's best to support the Kingdom of Prussia? 况且,还是慷他人之慨。一旦法国人受到了诱惑,接下来巴黎政府还会这么尽心尽力支援普鲁士王国么？ The same condition Berlin government may be unable to promise, is not everyone is Bismarck, dares to write the bounced check to the French. 同样的条件柏林政府可许诺不出来,不是每个人都是俾斯麦,敢对法国人开空头支票。 In the diplomacy cannot promise carelessly, if not Bismarck wrist/skill is strong, luck is also good enough enough, the original space and time Rhineland area fell into a native of France hand. 外交上不能够胡乱许诺,如果不是俾斯麦手腕够强、运气又足够好,原时空莱茵兰地区就落入法国人手中了。 Rhineland as part of German area, had been regarded as the 's in the bag by the Vienna government, how possibly readily to help the French obtain? 莱茵兰作为德意志地区的一部分,早就被维也纳政府视为了囊中之物,怎么可能轻易让法国人获得呢？ The destruction, must destroy the French and Russian transaction! 破坏,必须要破坏法俄交易！ This is the Franz's first response, along with and him had a headache, how should destroy the French and Russian transaction that possibly has. 这是弗朗茨的第一反应,随及他又头疼了起来,该怎么破坏可能存在的法俄交易。 „ Holds the news to the English, although the Rhineland area the recent years developed slowly, was the local rich resources and industrial infrastructure also, once will fall into a native of France hand quick to result in the qualitative change. “把消息捅给英国人,莱茵兰地区虽然最近几年发展慢了起来,可是当地丰富的资源和工业基础还在,一旦落入了法国人手中很快就会引发质变。 France is very powerful, expands again, the London government must unable to sleep. ” 法兰西已经很强大了,再壮大下去,伦敦政府就要睡不着觉了。” This is west the source of trouble directs. Russia , Austria Unions also , the matter that aims at the Russian, the Vienna government non- aspect does. 这是祸水西引。俄奥同盟还在,很多针对俄国人的事情,维也纳政府不方面去干。 Prime Minister Felix proposed: „Your majesty, we must push, makes the Russian lose this war simply?” 费利克斯首相提议道:“陛下,我们要不要推一把,干脆让俄国人输掉这场战争？” Wants the Russian to lose the war to be very simple, so long as Austria conducted the commodity to embargo suddenly is OK. Now the strategic resources of frontline Russian force, most probably are Austrian production. 想要俄国人输掉战争很简单,只要奥地利突然进行物资禁运就可以了。现在前线俄军的战略物资,大半都是奥地利生产的。 Even if the czar government wants to go to other place to buy, in the time without enough time, they could not find the customer let alone. 就算是沙皇政府想去别的地方买,时间上也来不及,更何况他们还找不到买主。 Europe has this productivity, only then UK , France and Austria. If can pull down from the overlord position the Russian, UK , France possibly do reject? 欧洲有这个生产能力的,只有英法奥三国。如果可以将俄国人从霸主位置上拉下来,英法怎么可能拒绝呢？ The French and Russian compromise, that also establishes in foundation that in the czar government has victory in the hand. Napoleon III will not help the Russian win the war, the hegemony of consolidated enemy. 法俄妥协,那也是建立在沙皇政府胜券在握的基础上。拿破仑三世可不会帮着俄国人赢得战争,巩固敌人的霸权。 This is also various countries dreaded that the reason of Russia , Austria Union, both countries formed an alliance to conduct the resources to be supplementary, strength that can erupt already 112. 这也是各国忌惮俄奥同盟的缘故,两国结盟进行了资源互补,能够爆发出的实力已经112。 Franz shakes the head saying: „ It is not good, at this time we cannot make a move. 弗朗茨摇了摇头说:“不行,这个时候我们不能出手。 Natives of Prussia still strength of the war, so long as UK , France again natural a little, letting a native of Prussia the nation young arms, the Russian is not necessarily able to win. 普鲁士人仍然有一战之力,只要英法再大方一点儿,让普鲁士人把全国的青壮都武装起来,俄国人未必能够获得胜利。 You discovered that the reform of Alexander II had suspended, after the war ended, is the czar government also capable of continue reform? ” 你们有没有发现亚历山大二世的改革已经暂停了,战争结束过后,沙皇政府还有能力继续改革么？” In order to support this war, Alexander II has to compromise with the domestic conservative faction, guarantees the domestic stability. 为了支撑这场战争,亚历山大二世不得不和国内的保守派进行妥协,保证国内的稳定。 This compromise, will want to reform in the future again is difficult. At least when facing similar issue, the reform difficulty dramatically increases. 这一妥协,未来再想要改革就难了。至少在面对同样的问题时,改革难度大幅度增加。 From the perspective of long-term development, this very soon war has achieved the strategic target. A reform imperfect Russian Empire, is Austria needs. 从长远发展的角度来看,这次普俄战争已经完成了战略目标。一个改革不完善的俄罗斯帝国,才是奥地利需要的。 Since the strategic goal has been achieved now, naturally does not need to continue to aim at the Russian. Russia , Austria Unions have not arrived at the conclusion time, the matter that draws the hatred can only make others do. 既然现在战略目的已经达到,自然就没有必要继续针对俄国人。俄奥同盟还没有到结束的时候,拉仇恨的事情只能让别人干。 ...... …… The plan cannot catch up forever changes quickly, the czar government during the negotiations with Austria, started and French's negotiations similarly. 计划永远赶不上变化快,沙皇政府在同奥地利谈判的时候,同样也开启了和法国人的谈判。 Palace of Versailles, to the olive branch that the czar government tosses, Napoleon III hesitated. 凡尔赛宫,对沙皇政府抛出来的橄榄枝,拿破仑三世犹豫了。 The European overlords can only have one, on this issue, Russian Empire is French biggest competitor. 欧洲霸主只能有一个,在这个问题上,俄罗斯帝国是法兰西最大的竞争对手。 Now loans to the czar the government, without doubt is supporting the enemy. 现在贷款给沙皇政府,无疑是在资敌。 In Napoleon III opinion, must obtain the Rhineland area, biggest difficult problem not militarily, but politically. 在拿破仑三世看来,要获得莱茵兰地区,最大的难题不在军事上,而在政治上。 Annexes the Sadin kingdom enough, various European countries aimed at them to do a joint defense circle, if the military force annexed the Rhineland area, must lead to the intervention of various countries inevitably. 吞并撒丁王国够,欧洲各国就针对他们搞出了一个联合防御圈,如果武力吞并莱茵兰地区,势必要引发各国的干预。 At this time, the French needed the ally. With mortgaging is the Saxony area loan to be different, the commitment that the czar government offers is: Supports the French to annex the Rhineland area. 这个时候,法国人就需要盟友。和抵押普属萨克森地区贷款不一样,沙皇政府给出的承诺是:支持法国人吞并莱茵兰地区。 This is the geopolitics decision, no matter the czar is fierce, is impossible to span the German federation to seize the Rhineland area, the mortgage is naturally out of the question. 这是地缘政治决定的,不管沙皇多厉害,也不可能跨越德意志联邦占领莱茵兰地区,抵押自然就无从谈起。 Had the support of czar government, France will not fall into the isolated state politically. Carries on some benefit exchanges with various countries again, annexes the success ratio of Rhineland area to be high. 有了沙皇政府的支持,法兰西在政治上就不会陷入孤立状态。再和各国进行一些利益交换,吞并莱茵兰地区的成功率非常高。 Foreign minister Abraham proposed: „ Your majesty, must to the czar the government loan, I think that the key must look at the final outcome of this war. 外交大臣亚伯拉罕提议道:“陛下,要不要给沙皇政府贷款,我认为关键是还要看这场战争的最终结果。 Now the odds of success of Russian is big, I cannot think how a native of Prussia overturns. Even without our loans, the czar government can still raise the fund from elsewhere. 现在俄国人的胜算非常大,我想不到普鲁士人怎么翻盘。就算是没有我们的贷款,沙皇政府也可以从别处筹集到资金。 Such being the case, might as well carve up the Kingdom of Prussia with the Russian simply, lets our maximum benefits. ” 既然如此,不如索性和俄国人瓜分普鲁士王国,让我们的利益最大化。” First Lord of the Treasury Alan opposes saying: „ It is not good, the prestige of Russian is too bad, is incapable of repaying this loan by their fiscal capacities radically. 财政大臣艾伦反对道:“不行,俄国人的信誉太差,以他们的财政能力根本就无力偿还这笔贷款。 Our money are not the gale blow, cannot such waste in vain. Must carve up the Kingdom of Prussia, does not give the Russian to provide the loan, similarly can also achieve. 我们的钱不是大风刮来的,不能就这么白白的浪费掉。要瓜分普鲁士王国,不给俄国人提供贷款,同样也可以做到。 Once the Kingdom of Prussia defeats, we can with demanding the debt are the excuses, temporarily acts as an agent the Rhineland area, creates the established facts. 一旦普鲁士王国战败,我们可以用索要债务为借口,暂时代管莱茵兰地区,造成既定事实。 Then public relations slowly, conduct the benefit exchange with various countries, making them acknowledge our seizure to Rhineland area on the line. 然后慢慢的公关,和各国进行利益交换,让他们承认我们对莱茵兰地区的占领就行了。 The support of Russian radically immaterial, has them to support us to trade with various countries, even the czar government opposed, they do not have the ability to intervene. 俄国人的支持根本就无关紧要,有没有他们支持我们都要和各国进行交易,就算是沙皇政府反对,他们也没有能力干预。 Why can spend this wasted money? ” 何必要花这笔冤枉钱呢？” Foreign minister Abraham refuted: „ Count Alan, this is not the wasted money. Has the support of Russian, we obtain various countries' default to want easy many. 外交大臣亚伯拉罕反驳道:“艾伦伯爵,这可不是什么冤枉钱。有俄国人的支持,我们获得各国默认要容易的多。 Without the Russian supports, when the time comes various European countries opposed, we ate up the Rhineland area even, finally spits. ” 如果没有俄国人支持,到时候欧洲各国都反对,我们就算是吃下了莱茵兰地区,最后还是吐出来。” The support of various European countries is perhaps unimportant, but the great nation support must have. 欧洲各国的支持或许不重要,但是大国支持必须要有。 The European five big big powers, in Spain besides civil strife can disregard, in remaining several at least needs to gain a support. 欧洲五大列强,除了内乱中的西班牙可以无视外,剩下的几家中至少要取得一家的支持。 The lesson of history had told the French, the individual farming is incorrect, rash is not better. 历史的教训已经告诉了法国人,单干是不行的,莽撞更加不行。 ...... ……