By the end of 1860, the total population of US has achieved 31.6 million. And the northern Vrystaat population approximately 18.7 million, the south livestock slave province has the population 12.9 million, the slave achieved 5 million. 截止到1860年末,美国的总人口已经达到了3160万。其中北方自由州人口约1870万,南方畜奴州拥有人口1290万,其中奴隶就达到了500万。 The Franz butterfly effect played the role, the relative strengths of north and south happened changed slightly, but north was unable to change the strong south weak fact. 弗朗茨的蝴蝶效应还是发挥了作用,南北双方的实力对比发生了略微变化,不过还不能改变北强南弱的事实。 In the Austria Libyan embassy in Washington, the UK , France Austria Xisi country representatives are assemble. Austria Libyan ambassador to US Drukker took the lead saying: „ Today asks everyone to come, mainly to discuss south independent issue. 奥地利驻华盛顿使馆中,英法奥西四国代表齐聚一堂。奥地利驻美大使德鲁克率先开口说:“今天请大家过来,主要是为了商议南方独立的问题。 At the critical moment of this change in situation, we need are consistent, so that better safeguard everyone's interest. ” 在这种变局的关键时刻,我们有必要保持一致,以便更好的保障大家的利益。” Does not know when from starts, everyone discovered the advantage of big powers consistency principle, so long as usually did, everyone can gain full. 不知道从什么时候开始,大家就发现了列强一致原则的好处,通常只要是这么干了,大家都可以赚个盆满钵满。 The people are lost in thought that seems the income jointly is big in the balance, is the individual farming income is higher. 众人陷入了沉思中,仿佛是在权衡是联手的收益大,还是单干的收益更高。 As for the waste slave or not, is not in everyone's consideration range. Do not look at earth-shaking that various European countries „waste slave” slogan shouted, in fact everyone is holding the thoughts of watching the fun. 至于废奴与否,根本就不在大家的考虑范围之内。不要看欧洲各国“废奴”口号喊的惊天动地,实际上大家都是抱着看热闹的心思。 Recently the year, the US the air flush ball speed inflated, raised the worries of many, US deterrence theory in Europe is also the hot topic. 最近一些年,美国以吹气球般的速度膨胀,还是引发了很多人的担心,美国威胁论在欧洲也是热门话题。 In order to attract immigration, the propaganda that the American carries out, under person with high aspirations's guidance, turns into the evidence that the US threatened. 为了吸引移民,美国人搞出来的宣传,在有心人的引导下,都变成了美国威胁的证据。 Because the communication is invariable, adverse impact that in the public opinion brings, the US government is beyond control radically. Want to guide the public opinion several times, instead got the handle, does in an extremely difficult situation. 因为通信不变,舆论上带来的不利影响,美国政府根本就鞭长莫及。几次想要引导舆论,反而被抓住了把柄,搞得狼狈不堪。 British representative Mark Oliver says: „ Our four countries have the large amount of trade with the US, stable Americas serve our benefits. 英国代表马克奥立弗开口说道:“我们四国都和美国有巨额的贸易往来,一个稳定的美洲更加符合我们的利益。 Everyone intervenes jointly, avoids the US civil war erupting, being beneficial to the world peace to be stable. ” 大家联手干预,避免美国内战爆发,有利于世界和平稳定。” Attitude this of English does not sound queer, Great Britain cannot leave the inexpensive industrial material that the American provides, particularly cotton. 英国人的态度这并不令人奇怪,大英帝国离不开美国人提供的廉价工业原材料,尤其是棉花。 Not is only the English, the law Austria western three countries is the cotton big import countries. Even the cotton harvest of West Africa, Austria benefitted still can only achieve merely reluctantly self sufficient. 不光是英国人,法奥西三国都是棉花进口大国。即便是西非的棉花丰收了,奥地利也仅仅只能做到勉强自足。 Spanish Representative Francisco added: „ To safeguard the world peace, a US of fission is necessary. 西班牙代表弗朗西斯科补充道:“为了维护世界和平,一个分裂的美国很有必要。 From 1783 to the present, the territory area of US expanded about 8 million square kilometers from 800,000 square kilometers, if did not contain, how long entire Americas could not want to be able them gradually to nibble. 从1783年到现在,美国的领土面积从八十万平方公里扩张到了近八百万平方公里,如果不加以遏制的话,要不了多久整个美洲都会他们逐渐蚕食掉。 Everyone is the US passes, should be clear about the development potential of this country. According to their development speeds, could not need 50 years to catch up with Europe, then surpassed us by their huge mass. 大家都是美国通,应该清楚这个国家的发展潜力。按照他们的发展速度,要不了五十年就会追上欧洲,然后靠他们庞大的体量超过我们。 Our four countries put together, the native place does not arrive at 1/3 of US. Their almost anything resources did not lack, want to limit them unable to find from where start. 要知道,我们四国加在一起,本土都不到美国的三分之一。他们几乎什么资源都不缺,想要限制他们都找不到从何处下手。 The present is the only opportunity, if made the US solve the internal problem, future world hegemon will order. ” 现在是唯一的机会,要是让美国解决了内部问题,未来的世界霸主就预订了。” Francisco's view, is almost the reprint of US deterrence theory. With the development of US, in recent years in the unceasing expansion, Spain is the biggest victim. 弗朗西斯科的说法,几乎就是美国威胁论的翻版。随着美国的发展,近些年里不断的对外扩张,西班牙就是最大的受害者。 Especially the American put in Cuba the hand, attempts to capture another colony of Spain, stimulated hostility of Spanish. 尤其是美国人又把手伸进了古巴,企图夺取西班牙的又一块殖民地,更是激发了西班牙人的仇视。 The expansion movement of American, besides has minimal impact on the Austria advantage, the British legally constituted authority one is benefit damage. The French were bought Louis Anna area by, the place that the English throws were more. 美国人的扩张运动,除了对奥地利影响不大外,英法统一是利益受损者。法国人被强买了路易安娜地区,英国人丢的地方就更多了。 French Representative Jarhl Furry must ridicule: „This said things just to frighten people, can the US become world hegemon?” 法国代表亚尔弗里得讥讽道:“这太危言耸听了吧,美国能够成为世界霸主？” Austria benefitted on behalf of Drukker said with a laugh: „ This who knows? However these year of American development speeds are obvious to all, they are taking the blood of Europe unceasingly. 奥地利代表德鲁克笑呵呵的说:“这谁知道呢？不过这些年美国人发展速度是有目共睹的,他们在不断吸食着欧洲的血。 Everyone wants to immigrate toward the colony transportation, by American truncation reckless many? Every year has hundreds of thousands of European immigration US, this means anything, everyone is clear! 大家想要往殖民地输送移民,都被美国人截胡了不少吧？每年都有数十万欧洲人移民美国,这意味着什么,大家都清楚吧！ If made the northern government succeed, they had the world's richest resources, the most inexpensive industrial material, a large number of labor forces, quick will complete the industrialization. 假如让北方政府成功了,他们拥有世界上最丰富的资源,最廉价的工业原材料,还有大量的劳动力,很快就会完成工业化。 In the commodity market, we increased a competitor. How long perhaps could not want, Americas is flooding US manufacture. 在商品市场上,我们又增加了一个竞争对手。或许要不了多久,美洲地区都充斥着美国制造。 The capital borderless, perhaps many capitalists have moved to come to the US in the consideration. If these people also ran over, then our advantages technically did not exist. 资本无国界,或许很多资本家已经在考虑搬家来美国了。要是这些人也跑过来了,那么我们在技术上的优势也就不复存在了。 They also caught our industrial material, for example- cotton. 要知道,他们还卡住了我们的工业原材料,比如说-棉花。 Even if everyone found the new raw material habitat, is still very difficult to be lower than the US in the production cost, the capitalists go to the US to put up a factory are also fair. ” 就算是大家找到了新的原材料产地,在生产成本上也很难比美国更低,资本家们跑到美国建厂也是合情合理的。” Drukker's words are intent have referred to obviously, in several of sitting is the ruling classes of various countries, is those with vested interests, no one wants to look that own national interest is affected. 德鲁克的话显然是意有所指,在坐的几位都是各国的统治阶级,属于既得利益者,没有人想要看着自己的国家利益受损。 The Mark Oliver complexion big change, he can guarantee, if this accomplish nothing, after returning to homeland, decided that can encounter the retaliation of domestic capitalist. 马克奥立弗脸色大变,他敢保证如果这次自己无所作为的话,回国之后,决定会遭到国内资本家的报复。 Capitalist immigration US? This in fact is only the patent of big capitalist and financial group, the young capitalist rushes to a being unfamiliar with the people and place place, was not swallowed cleanly even lucky. 资本家移民美国？这实际上只是大资本家、财团的专利,中小资本家跑到一个人生地不熟的地方,不被人吞噬干净就算是幸运的了。 The true capital borderless, but must waits for the order to establish, everyone becomes the attention table manners, comes about. 真正的资本无国界,还要等秩序建立起来过后,大家都变得注意吃相了,才得以实现。 Drukker's goal reminded everyone buttocks to sit positively, do not collect the money of northern government, in the political stand favored the American. 德鲁克的目的还是提醒大家屁股要坐正,不要收了北方政府的钱,政治立场上就倾向美国人。 Returned to normal the mood, Mark Oliver said with a laugh: „ The US was too indeed powerful, weakens good. 平复了心情,马克奥立弗笑呵呵说:“美国的确太强大了一些,还是削弱一下的好。 I remember that " Declaration of Independence " on States of Germany has the right of withdrawal, since the southern 7 provinces are now independent, then we recognized their position! ” 我记得《独立宣言》上美国联邦州有退出的权利,既然现在南方七个州已经独立了,那么我们就承认他们的地位吧！” This is fatal, once various European countries recognized the independent position of southern government. The American Civil War no longer is the US civil war, but is wars between two independent nations. 这才是致命的,一旦欧洲各国承认了南方政府的独立地位。南北战争就不再是美国内战,而是两个独立国家之间的战争。 Politically, to the northern government without doubt is the deathblow. Once established the legal status of southern government, in the future various countries wanted to interfere with the excuse of this war to be easy to look. 在政治上,对北方政府无疑是致命的打击。一旦确立了南方政府的合法地位,未来各国想要干涉这场战争的借口就好找了。 If everyone wants, so long as the south government sends an invitation, everyone can the military intervention mediation. 如果大家愿意,只要南方政府发一张邀请函,大家就可以武力介入调停。 The northern government attempts in the pressure with waste slave create public opinion, cuts off various European countries to the south government-backed plan, just started to be defeated. 北方政府企图用废奴制造舆论上的压力,断绝欧洲各国对南方政府支持的计划,刚刚开始就失败了。 The English make this decision, the back also involved the Canadian issue. The US unceasing expansion, the English is discontented. After war of independence, the UK-US conflict has not stopped. 英国人做出这个决定,背后还涉及到了加拿大问题。美国不断的扩张,英国人早就不满了。独立战争过后,英美冲突也没有停过。 In 1812, resigned President Jefferson said the brave words: „This year must...... expel the American mainland the Canadian area annexation the British influence finally thoroughly!” 1812年,已经卸任的杰弗逊总统放出豪言:“今年要将加拿大地区兼并……最终将英国势力彻底逐出美洲大陆！” The quick American launches the attack to the Canadian area, attempts to lord over the American mainland. 很快美国人就向加拿大地区发起进攻,企图独霸美洲大陆。 John Bull who the anger launches a psychological attack, immediately took the military action, making the American feel anything to be called the iron fist of Great Britain. Looks for the tooth in the American who in the battlefield attacks everywhere, but also burnt down the White House. 怒火攻心的约翰牛,立即采取了军事行动,让美国人感受到了什么叫做大英帝国的铁拳。在战场上打的美国人满地找牙,还火烧了白宫。 The time is the best weapon, the terrifying of English fades from the memory by the American gradually. In 1844, the campaign slogan of 11 th president James Polk was: „( Britain ) hands over Oregon either, either makes war!” 时间是最好的武器,英国人的恐怖逐步被美国人淡忘。1844年,第十一届总统詹姆斯-波尔克的竞选口号就是:“(英国)要么交出俄勒冈,要么开战！” This time US already not in small and weak, because was not easy to hit. 这个时候的美国已经不在弱小,不在是那么好打了。 At that time the London government weighed the advantages and disadvantages after the advantages, recognized instigated that gave up Oregon Territory, but this one breath also suppressed. 当时伦敦政府权衡利弊了利弊过后,就认怂放弃了俄勒冈地区,可是这一口气也就憋了下来。 The air/Qi can suppress, however the threat English in US also felt. But the capitalists for the self-interest, exerted the influence on Congress, compromising brave and beautiful was contradictory. 气可以憋,但是美国的威胁英国人也感受到了。只不过资本家们为了自身利益,对国会施加了影响力,调和了英美矛盾。 How saying that the enmity remembered. Mark Oliver discovered after Austria west anti-US stance, immediately decides to knock an American staggering blow. 无论是怎么说,仇还是记下来了。马克奥立弗发现了奥西两国的反美立场过后,立即决定敲美国人一记闷棍。 French Representative Jarhl Furry must oppose saying: „Directly interferes in the US internal affairs is not good, the European public opinion supports the waste slave, we do that are very easy to cause the trouble.” 法国代表亚尔弗里得反对道:“直接干涉美国内政不好吧,欧洲舆论都是支持废奴的,我们这么做很容易引起麻烦。” The benefit decided the standpoint, the French is few in the interests of North America, they naturally cannot mind that the US does in a big way. In any case, after the US makes the serious offense, what bearing the brunt is the English. 利益决定了立场,法国人在北美的利益已经很少了,他们自然不会介意美国做大。反正,美国做大过后,首当其冲的是英国人。 The Austria advantage represents the explanation of Drukker righteousness expression: „ This is only the small issue, the south government can abolish the slavery similarly, now they are inviolable in protection private property sacred Rome. 奥地利代表德鲁克义正言辞的解释道:“这只是小问题,南方政府同样可以废除奴隶制,现在他们在保护私有财产神圣罗马不可侵犯。 Withdraws from the US federation , is completely the legal act. In the United States Constitution not the stipulation that forbids various provinces to withdraw from, we must observe the contract spirit! 退出美国联邦,也完全是合法行为。美国宪法上可没有禁止各州退出的规定,我们要遵守契约精神！ To put it bluntly, south-north contradiction primary cause or tariff issue. The northern government enhances the position of tariff, had seriously harmed the trade fairness principle! ” 说白了,南北矛盾的主要原因还是关税问题。北方政府提高关税的主张,已经严重损害了贸易公平性原则！” The trade fairness is false, but infringed everyone's interest is real. Once the American raises the tariff, not only everyone lost the inexpensive raw material habitat, but also lost a commodity market. 贸易公平性是假,不过损害了大家的利益是真。一旦美国人提高关税,大家不但丧失了廉价的原材料产地,还丢掉了一个商品市场。 Even if supports the US still to acknowledge to the French who the English adds to the chaos, the practice of north government infringed their interest. 即便是支持美国给英国人添乱的法国人也不得不承认,北方政府的做法损害了他们的利益。 This is also the French government to the beautiful issue , the policy often changes the reason. Every so often, they do not know how should handle. 这也是法国政府内部在对美问题上,政策时常发生变化的原因。很多时候,他们自己也不知道该怎么办好。 French Representative Jarhl Furry unbelievable asking: „Your excellency has not cracked a joke, will the south government abandon the slavery?” 法国代表亚尔弗里得难以置信的问:“阁下没有开玩笑吧,南方政府会废奴隶制？” Underwent the propaganda of northern government, looks like in many people, the south government is the evil slave trader. The plantation Lord is the dependence exploited the slave to make a profit, how possibly to give up the source of wealth in hand? 经过了北方政府的宣传,在很多人看来,南方政府就是邪恶的奴隶贩子。种植园主们本来就是依靠剥削奴隶而获利,怎么可能放弃手中的财源呢？ Drukker replied confidently: „ Nothing is impossible, the plantation Lord can learn/study the business model of capitalist similarly. 德鲁克胸有成竹的回答道:“没有什么不可能的,种植园主们同样可以学习资本家的经营模式。 In this world, is only payment few wage, are the black heart capitalist who even does not pay the wage many? 这个世界上,只是支付少量薪水,甚至是不付薪水的黑心资本家不少吧？ In name truly gave the slave the free status, wage that but in fact they pay, enough these people survive merely. 名义上确实给了奴隶自由身份,可实际上他们支付的薪水,也仅仅够这些人生存。 If were old, got sick, will also drive out to run its own course. Is it possible that transformed a way, the cost will really increase? 如果是老了、病了,还会被赶出去自生自灭。莫非转化一种方式,成本就会真的增加了？ The plantation Lord is worried nothing but is the slave obtains after the free status, these people will leave. This issue, can be solved by the employment contract. ” 种植园主们担心的无非是奴隶获得自由身份过后,这些人会离开。这个问题,可以靠雇佣合同来解决。” What Drukker said is the social reality of this age, various European countries are so. In name everyone abolished the serfdom, in fact the life of grass-root people have not obtained many improvements. 德鲁克说的是这个年代的社会现实,欧洲各国都是如此。名义上大家废除了农奴制,实际上底层民众的生活并没有获得多少改善。 In the surface, turned into the worker everyone to attain the wage from now on, the level of living increase. In fact, this is everyone to increase the labor to trade. 表面上,变成工人过后大家拿到了薪水,生活水平提高了。实际上,这是大家以增加劳动量换来的。 Came across the economic crisis, said that the unemployment is unemployed. The workers are sick cannot govern, governs is with one's family broken up and decimated, the security does not have. 遇到了经济危机,说失业就失业。工人有病不能治,一治就是家破人亡,一点儿安全保障都没有。 Mark Oliver echoes saying: „ Good, from the cost, changing an employment way is also a good choice. Labor services exporting company so many of US, the plantation Lord will not lack the labor force. 马克奥立弗附和道:“不错,从成本上来说,换一种用工方式也是一种不错的选择。美国的劳务输出公司那么多,种植园主们根本就不会缺劳动力。 The leader as civilized world, we have the duty to help the southern government, abolishes the evil slavery gradually, joins in civilized society big family. ” 作为文明世界的引领者,我们有义务帮助南方政府,逐步废除邪恶的奴隶制,加入文明社会这个大家庭中。” Solved the problem of slavery, French representative was not opposing. Does the southern government abolish the slavery is not unimportant, so long as they make a stance that intends to abolish the slavery on line. 解决了奴隶制的问题,法国代表也不在反对。南方政府废不废除奴隶制不重要,只要他们做出一个有意废除奴隶制的姿态就行了。 Spanish representative proposed: „To soon abolish evil slavery, for the peace and stability of the world, then we must convince more livestock slave province to join the southern government now.” 西班牙代表提议道:“为了早日废除邪恶奴隶制,为了世界的和平与稳定,那么我们现在就要说服更多的畜奴州加入南方政府。” To balance the strengths of north and south obviously, said from the politician mouth, became pompous. 明明是为了平衡南北双方的实力,从政客嘴中说出来,就变得冠冕堂皇了起来。 Can accept everyone's good intention as for the southern government, does not need to consider, they must accept. 至于南方政府会不会接受大家的好意,根本就不用考虑,他们必须会接受。 A political posture, is not to take action immediately. Makes a show merely, can obtain the acknowledgment of international community, who has the courage rejection? 一个政治姿态而已,又不是马上就要采取行动。仅仅只是做一场秀,就可以获得国际社会的承认,谁有勇气拒绝呢？ French Representative Jarhl Furry must say: „This is a good proposition, France is willing to help these slaves gain the freedom.” 法国代表亚尔弗里得说道:“这是一个不错的提议,法兰西愿意帮助这些奴隶获得自由。” ...... …… On February 11 , 1861, the UK , France Austria Xisi country ignored the opposition of northern government, jointly the issue diplomacy announced, recognized the independence of southern government, and established the formal diplomatic relations. 1861年2月11日,英法奥西四国不顾北方政府的反对,联合发布外交公告,承认南方政府的独立,并且建立正式外交关系。