HRE :: Volume #3

#280: Reconsideration


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After the Central Asia war breaks out, the Persian government discovered that by the Russia person pit, in the bureaucrats by Tsar government was or given the pit. 中亚战争爆发过后,波斯政府才发现被俄国人坑了,或者说是被沙皇政府中的官僚给坑了。 The so-called aid truly gave, slow was so just little in the action, gave a discount in the quantity. 所谓的援助确实是给了,只不过在行动上慢了那么一点点,在量上打了一个折扣。 The ordinary period common small issue, in time of war became the major problem, because the support is not powerful, in the battlefield the Persian army was being pressed hitting by the English from the beginning. 平常时期不起眼的小问题,战争时期就变成了大问题,由于的支援不给力,战场上波斯军队一开始就被英国人压着打。 For own security, the Persian government decides to introduce the third country influence, balances the influence of Britain , Russia, quickly ended this war. 为了自身的安全,波斯政府决定引入第三国势力,平衡英俄的势力,尽快结束这场战争。 It is a pity that the government official brain is not miraculous, first found the American, attempts to use balance power UK and Russia of American. 遗憾的是波斯政府官员脑子不怎么灵光,第一时间找到了美国人,企图利用美国人的力量平衡英俄两国。 What a pity this age US, is not the US that the later generation roars flamboyant, in the American issue possibly also a little right to speak, who knew them to Central Asia? 可惜这个年代美国,还不是后世牛逼哄哄的美国,美洲问题上可能还有点儿话语权,到了中亚谁认识他们啊? Sees the British and Russian attitude to force, the American but who wants to share the privilege, naturally instigated immediately. Naturally, does not instigate also no one hear of they. 见英俄态度强行,只是想要分享特权的美国人,自然在第一时间就怂了。当然,不怂也没有人听他们的。 Be forced, the Persian government will look at continental Europe again, seeks the help to law Austria both countries. 迫于无奈,波斯政府再次将目光投向了欧洲大陆,向法两国寻求帮助。 Vienna 维也纳 Metternich gave Franz a document, said: Your majesty, this is the note diplomatique that the Persian government sends, hopes that we can mediate this Central Asia war.” 梅特涅将一份文书递给了弗朗茨,说道:“陛下,这是波斯政府发来的外交照会,希望我们可以调停这次中亚战争。” Surmounted after one, Franz shakes the head saying: Rejects the Persian government, we do not have the ginseng/partake to gather the necessity of Persian regional issue temporarily.” 翻越了一遍过后,弗朗茨摇了摇头说:“拒绝波斯政府吧,我们暂时没有参合波斯地区事务的必要。” Vienna government also wish makes UK and Russia die to knock in Central Asia, at this time ran to mediate, didn't eat to the full was supporting? 维也纳政府还想要让英俄两国在中亚地区死磕,这个时候跑过去调停,不是吃饱了撑着么? As for economic interest of Persian government promise, in fact to the Austria advantage, unusual weak. At present Austria benefits the unmatchable product in international trade is the agricultural product of precision work, exit|to speak few manufactured products and mechanical devices. 至于波斯政府许诺的经济利益,实际上对地利来说,也非常的鸡肋。目前地利在国际贸易中的拳头产品是精加工的农产品,也出口少量的工业产品和机械设备。 The grain of Persian can be self-sufficient, cannot afford Austria to benefit the precision work agricultural product. The Persian traditional feudal dynasty, is not big to the manufactured products and mechanical device demand, must you compete faced with the English, absolutely does not have many profits. 波斯人的粮食可以自给自足,买不起地利精加工农产品。波斯人还是传统的封建王朝,对工业产品和机械设备需求量不大,又要面临英国人你竞争,根本就没有多少利润。 Has not dug up before the Suez Canal, Franz does not prepare the ginseng/partake to gather the business of Persian area. If there is a that time, he might as well infiltrates to the Arabian Peninsula, at least has Sinai Peninsula as the foothold. 在苏伊士运河还没有挖通前,弗朗茨都不准备参合波斯地区的事务。要是有那功夫,他还不如向阿拉伯半岛渗透,起码有西奈半岛作为据点。 Yes, your majesty!” Metternich replied “是,陛下!”梅特涅回答道 Obviously, he in interfering with the Persian business has no interest. Perhaps was old, became kept, perhaps was pure in view of benefit. 显然,他对干涉波斯事务也没有兴趣。或许是年纪大了,变得保守了,又或许是单纯的从利益角度出发。 These are unimportant, in constantly advances under the big background that reforms, Franz also needs the conservative faction drawing brake, otherwise the wind advances all of a sudden is miserable. 这些都不重要,在不断推进改革的大背景下,弗朗茨还需要保守派出来拉刹车,不然一下子飙出了线就惨了。 Many established empires are quicker, the primary cause that the reform often dies has not grasped that. Under the need the potent drug, that was half-dead, fighting to win or die. 很多老牌帝国越是改革往往死的越快,主要原因就是没有把握住那个度。需要下猛药的,那是已经半死不活了,才进行的背水一战。 Obviously, new Holy Roman Empire has not arrived in that share, the Ottoman empire's of next door under potent drug to really need, since losing the Balkan Peninsula, suffocated. 显然,新神圣罗马帝国还没到那个份儿上,隔壁的奥斯曼帝国到是真的需要下猛药了,自从丢失了巴尔干半岛后就奄奄一息了。 Minister of the navy Fircks proposed: „ Your majesty, the branch floating island usually had the name of Venice gateway, does not take here Adriatic Sea unable to be the true security. 海军大臣菲尔科斯提议道:“陛下,科浮岛素来有威尼斯门户之称,不拿下这里亚得里亚海就不能算是真正的安全。 Although the English integrates the protectorate he/she Austria Narnia islands, has not stationed a large force, but the potential threat remains, we must wait for an opportunity to take here. ” 尽管英国人只是把伊尼亚群岛纳入保护地,并没有驻扎重兵,可是潜在的威胁依然存在,我们必须要伺机拿下这里。” The strength forever is the best energy, with the service of Frederick, Austria benefitted the navy to start unable to repress, wanted to take the place of gateway. 实力永远是最好的底气,随着腓特烈号的服役,地利海军已经开始按耐不住了,想要拿下门户之地。 Franz nods saying: „ This issue processes now, but also is somewhat troublesome, but Ministry of Foreign Affairs can first contact with the English, can look sell to us. 弗朗茨点了点头说:“这个问题现在处理起来,还有些麻烦,不过外交部可以先和英国人接触一下,看看可不可以卖给我们。 As far as I know, seems like the local resident to the English unusual does not catch cold, the puppet government that supports in the area and can not the popular sentiment, when necessary can plan the local residents rebellion. ” 据我所知,貌似当地的居民对英国人非常的不感冒,他们在当地扶持的傀儡政府并不得民心,必要的时候可以策划当地民众暴动。” Can the English drop, Franz was not worried. Once India rebels to erupt, the British government thinks that uncompromising is not good. 英国人会不会放手,弗朗茨并不担心。一旦印度叛乱爆发,英国政府想不妥协都不行。 But the fish and bear's paws cannot have both, attained here, did not have the means conducts the benefit exchange in other areas and English. 只不过鱼与熊掌不可兼得,拿到了这里,就没有办法在其他地区和英国人进行利益交换了。 Metternich replied: „ Your majesty, if only a branch floating island, the English will drop mostly, they also worried that we take advantage to the Ottoman empire. 梅特涅回答道:“陛下,如果只是一个科浮岛,英国人多半会放手,他们还担心我们对奥斯曼帝国趁火打劫。 Recently British Ministry of Foreign Affairs and French frequent contact, they had are greatly possibly winning over the French very much, prevented us in Mediterranean expansion influence. ” 最近英国外交部和法国人频繁接触,他们有很大可能在拉拢法国人,阻止我们在地中海扩张势力。” The Kuwait floating island is only one in he/she Austria Narnia islands, to the Austria advantage very important, is British also such. 科浮岛只是伊尼亚群岛中的一员,对地利来说非常的重要,可是对英国人来说也就那样。 Since in 1815 won the local protection power, the London government has not had the large army on the island. On the one hand for does not stimulate Austria to benefit, on the other hand really does not need. 自从1815年获得当地的保护权后,伦敦政府就没有在岛上驻扎过重兵。一方面是为了不刺激地利,另一方面是真的没必要。 As for surrounding Austria benefits? In Malta, is in the Straits of Gibraltar, why can run main house gate? 至于围堵地利?无论是在马耳他,还是在直布罗陀海峡都可以,何必要跑去家门口呢? Every time increases a military base, along with large amount of military expenses expenses. The London government is filthy rich, but they are not silly. 每增加一个军事基地,都伴随着巨额的军费开销。伦敦政府是财大气粗,但是他们不傻。 Prime Minister Felix said: „ Mediterranean region many places cannot expand, the remaining areas are not the domains in UK , France, is the sphere of influence of Ottoman empire. 费利克斯首相说道:“地中海地区已经没有多少地方可以扩张了,剩下的地区不是英法的地盘,就是奥斯曼帝国的势力范围。 The Vienna system was just established, but also very frail, at this time our any action, was careful. ” 维也纳体系刚刚建立,还非常的脆弱,这个时候我们的任何行动,都必须要小心谨慎。” Minister of the navy Fircks analyzes saying: „ The Egyptian area cannot bump, this is we agreement that reaches with UK , France, cannot violate. 海军大臣菲尔科斯分析道:“埃及地区不能碰,这是我们和英法达成的协议,不能够违反。 Morocco we had given up, Algeria is the 's in the bag of French, Tunisia was regarded as the meat on cutting board by Napoleon III similarly, if not want to clash with the French, these areas cannot move. 摩洛哥我们已经放弃了,阿尔及利亚是法国人的囊中之物,突尼斯同样被拿破仑三世视为案板上的肉,如果不想和法国人发生冲突,这些地区都不能动。 Ottoman empire not to mention, if really defeated them, only the cheap Russia person, to us is the gain does not equal the loss. 奥斯曼帝国的本土更不用说,真要是打垮了他们,只会便宜俄国人,对我们来说是得不偿失。 Remaining most has the place of strategic value is Island of Crete. Seized here, our spheres of influence extended Aegean Sea, but also increased in the right to speak of Mediterranean Sea. ” 剩下的最有战略价值的地方就是克里特岛。占领了这里,我们的势力范围就延伸到了爱琴海,还增加了在地中海的话语权。” Has the strategic value as for Cyprus to the Ottoman empire now, probably wants to the Austria advantage in the next century in the mid and late part, can see the strategic value. 至于塞浦路斯现在只是对奥斯曼帝国拥有战略价值,对地利来说或许要下个世纪中后期,才能够看到战略价值。 Libya not to mention, the country of desert did not have unearned reputation, the total population on 500,000-600,000 nomadic nations, UK , France has not expanded to here, is not because does not have the strength, mainly does not have the value. 利比亚就更不用说了,沙漠之国可不是浪得虚名,总人口也就500,000-600,000游牧民族,英法都没有向这里扩张,不是因为没有实力,主要是没有价值。 The elite of same time, everyone's vision is similar, UK , France looked at the place that did not glance, the Vienna government naturally have no interest. 同一个时代的精英,大家的眼光都差不多,英法看不上眼的地方,维也纳政府自然也没有兴趣了。 Franz said calmly: „ The finance of Ottoman empire is bad, if did not sell to the French the Balkan Peninsula remaining domains, it is estimated that their interest cannot return. 弗朗茨若无其事的说:“奥斯曼帝国的财政非常糟糕,如果不是将巴尔干半岛剩下的地盘卖给了法国人,估计他们连利息都还不上。 Now Sultan government is reforming, unusual being short of money, Ministry of Foreign Affairs can contact with them, the purchase or is rents Island of Crete and Cypriot area. 现在苏丹政府正在改革,想必非常的缺钱,外交部可以和他们接触一下,购买或者是租借克里特岛和塞浦路斯地区。 If they are willing to sell the suzerainty in Libyan area, can take. Perhaps in the future we can cultivate/repair a railroad, connects Gulf of Guinea from Libya, this is helpful to our consolidated local rules. ” 如果他们肯卖利比亚地区的宗主权,也可以拿下来。未来没准我们可以修一条铁路,从利比亚连通到几内亚湾,这对我们的巩固当地的统治非常有帮助。” Said other is useless, anything knew in advance that in the future, strategic vision, that is the matter that the brain can do remnantly. Without the lead halo, is exactly three volumes of that. 说别的都没有用,什么预知未来、战略性眼光,那都是脑残才会干的事情。没有主角光环,都是活不过三集的那种。 Is used for the flickering average person, tricks the elite of this time, do not have a dream. Others will only draw a Conclusion Emperor was insane! 用来忽悠普通人还可以,忽悠这个时代的精英,还是不要做梦了。人家只会得出一个结论-皇帝疯了! Directly with the benefit speech that everyone can see, is most effective. If cannot make everyone believe that acts recklessly forcefully, that prepares to be the loner, that type is possibly deserted by friends and allies momentarily. 直接拿大家看得到的利益说话,才是最管用的。要是不能让大家信服,就强行去蛮干,那就准备做孤家寡人吧,还是那种随时可能众叛亲离的。 It looks like the present, Franz thinks that Congo Basin is Austria benefits the most valuable colony, but the Vienna government thinks Gulf of Guinea is Austria benefits the most valuable colony. 就像是现在,弗朗茨认为刚果盆地才是地利最有价值的殖民地,而维也纳政府则认为几内亚湾才是地利最有价值的殖民地。 Knows to turn over to know, but Franz has not prepared to convince everyone. 知道归知道,可是弗朗茨没有准备说服大家。 The interests of Gulf of Guinea are able to see, crossed for 1-2 years to gain again, but a Congo Basin 35 years of continued investment, could not have seen the return. 几内亚湾的利益是看得到的,再过1-2就可以赢利了,而刚果盆地没有三五年的持续投入,都看不到回报。 Said that in the future will most talk nonsense, the international situation is ever changing, in the future the ownership of colony will be the unknown, what prospects for development will discuss? 说未来是最扯淡的,国际形势千变万化,未来殖民地的归属都是未知数,谈什么发展前景? The European countries treat the attitude of colony to be similar, colony that in a short time can gain, that is unable to yield the income well local that is the waste land. 欧洲各国对待殖民地的态度都差不多的,短期内能够赢利的殖民地,那就是好地,无法获得收益的地区那就是烂地。 The Luis Archduke opposition said: „ Your majesty, we do not need to put in the too big energy in Mediterranean region, besides Kuwait floating island other local unusual weak. 路易斯大公反对道:“陛下,我们没有必要在地中海地区投入太大的精力,除了科浮岛外别的地区都非常鸡肋。 Not only without many strategic values, and cannot see the economic value. Might as well seize the chance to develop the influence on Pacific, a short time ago the Far East area also spread the news, UK , France prepared to carry out a big action, we can also participate. ” 既没有多少战略价值,又看不到经济价值。不如趁机向太平洋地区发展势力,前不久远东地区还传来了消息,英法准备搞一次大行动,我们也可以参加进去。” Franz shakes the head saying: „ Follows behind UK , France, how many advantage can we receive? 弗朗茨摇了摇头说:“跟在英法后面,我们能够拿到多少好处? Perhaps the navy toward Far East area one back and forth, one year on the past, the war time, needed two years in addition. 海军往远东地区一个来回,一年时间就过去了,加上战争时间,没准要两年。 If there is this time, was inferior that we continue to open the colony in the African continent. The front draws too long does not have the advantage to us, the been able to defend benefit is the real benefit. ” 要是有这功夫,不如我们继续在非洲大陆上开辟殖民地。战线拉的太长对我们没有好处,守得住的利益才是真的利益。” This reason is not compelling, but actually very to everyone's appetite. Vienna Cabinet does not have the radical faction, Franz to think oneself are radical enough, if in the Vienna government increases several radical factions again, then must have an accident. 这个理由并不充分,不过却很对大家的胃口。维也纳内阁没有激进派,弗朗茨认为自己已经够激进了,要是维也纳政府中再增加几位激进派,那么就要出事了。 Looks over the world history, the country that any radical faction rule, is the tragedy ends finally. Even succeeds, that is still only the temporary success, finally cannot avoid compensation of both capital and interest in go out. 纵观世界历史,凡是激进派执政的国家,最后都是悲剧收场。就算是成功,那也只是一时的成功,最终免不了连本带利的赔出去。 It looks like the present, if the radicals director, who will use the diplomatic means that direct has come up headstrongly. 就像是现在,如果是激进分子主政,谁会用外交手段,早就直接莽上去了。 It looks like in many people, bullies the Ottoman empire, does not need to be worried completely. 在很多人看来,欺负奥斯曼帝国而已,完全不需要担心。 In fact? While expands unceasingly seizes the land, the number of enemy are also getting more and more, each successful back, was nearer a point from the failure. 实际上呢?在不断扩张攫取土地的同时,敌人的数量也越来越多,每一次成功的背后,都距离失败都更近了一分。 The tolerance of various countries has the bottom line, historically the First World War, absolutely is not only because various countries saw the threat of Germany, launched the war. 各国的容忍都是有底线的,历史上第一次世界大战,绝对不仅仅是因为各国看到了德国的威胁,就发动了战争。 What are more is the German unceasing expansion, provoked the nerve of various countries, the interests that involves one time twice are not big, everyone also endured, after ten eight times, but also there is anything saying that naturally punches his him. 更多的还是德国不断的扩张,挑动了各国的神经,一次两次涉及的利益不大,大家也就忍了,十次八次过后,还有什么好说的,当然是揍他丫的了。 If the William II administration can bear, does not stimulate the English, how many year of grandsons installs, will the situation be so bad? 如果威廉二世政府能够忍住,不去刺激英国人,多装几年孙子,情况还会那么糟糕么? The answer is: Cannot! 答案是:不会! So long as the German does not expand the navy blindly, drawing Italy is not embarking anxiously. Then the outside world looks like, virtue Austria Union and French and Russian agreement are evenly matched, stemming from the continental Europe balanced strategy, John Bull is impossible to be out personally. 只要德国人不盲目扩充海军,不急着拉意大利上船。那么外界看来,德同盟和法俄协约就是势均力敌,出于欧洲大陆平衡战略,约翰牛也不可能亲自下场。 Other situation cannot guarantee, strives for ten years to achieve. 别的情况不敢保证,多争取十年时间还是可以做到的。 What do ten years mean? This means that the German national strength can go a step further, the population can increase 10 million, will be more obvious to the advantage of salt fish France, the west line consumption tactical rules people cannot hit. 十年意味着什么?这意味着德国国力可以更进一步,人口可以增加一千万,对咸鱼法国的优势将更加明显,西线消耗战法国人根本就打不起。 Similarly means that Russian Empire declines, the internal contradictions are more intense, the pressure of east line changed is also small. 同样意味着俄罗斯帝国更加衰落,内部矛盾更加激烈,东线的压力也变小了。 Under increases reduces, even if cannot gain the complete victory, can still defeat France and Russia, forcing the English to compromise, common share world supremacy. 一增一减之下,就算是不能够取得完全的胜利,也可以打垮法俄两国,逼迫英国人妥协,共同分享世界霸权。 History not, if, the radical Junker aristocrats accomplished the magnificence of Germany second empire single-handedly, similarly also buried this empire. 历史没有如果,激进的容克贵族们一手造就了德意志第二帝国的辉煌,同样也一手埋葬了这个帝国。
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