HRE :: Volume #3

#275: Locking economy


LNMTL needs user funding to survive Read More

The development of colony involved some Vienna government small energy, the present center of gravity was still internally. 殖民地的发展只是牵扯到了维也纳政府一小部分精力,现在的重心仍然是在国内。 After the Near East war ended, properly speaking Austria benefits the rate of economic development to slide, however capitalism free economy market often is non- rational. 近东战争结束后,按理来说地利经济发展速度应该下滑,然而资本主义自由经济市场往往是非理性的。 The economy of entire new Holy Roman Empire like a carriage of out-of-control, at the hurricane, got on the brakes forward at this time could not have held on, can only look that the carriage more rushes in the road of no return is farther. 整个新神圣罗马帝国的经济就像一辆失控的马车,在一路向前狂飙,这个时候刹车已经拉不住了,只能看着马车在不归路上越奔越远。 Government intervention market economy? Franz has not wanted to conduct the back the pot of detonation economic crisis, cannot carry this pot. 政府干预市场经济?弗朗茨还不想背上引爆经济危机的锅,也背不起这个锅。 The capitalist country overall overcapacity, decided that regardless of takes any measure, the economic crisis will break out. 资本主义世界总体产能过剩,就决定了无论采取任何措施,经济危机都会爆发。 Takes the measure only to extend the crisis burst time, then the crisis burst time lengthens is longer, the brought destructive power is bigger. 采取措施只能够延长危机爆发时间,然后危机爆发时间延长的越久,带来的破坏力就越大。 This is not an issue of new Holy Roman Empire country, but involved all capitalist countries, only if everyone intervened the market together, had the possibility steady pass crisis. 这不是新神圣罗马帝国一个国家的问题,而是涉及到了所有资本主义国家,除非大家一起干预市场,才有可能平稳的度过危机。 In Vienna palace economic conference 维也纳宫经济会议上 Franz put out a document to issue the people, said seriously: „ This is the latest economic report, everyone looked carefully. 弗朗茨拿出了一份文件发给众人,严肃的说:“这是最新的经济报告,大家看仔细了。 The situation of our domestic blind investment is serious, many industries presented the overcapacity, a lot of products were piled up. 我们国内盲目投资的情况非常严重,很多产业都出现了产能过剩,大量的产品被积压了起来。 In a short time, we were impossible to find a new market, digested these excess capacities. 短期内,我们不可能找到一个新的市场,把这些多余的产能消化掉。 The newly developed Balkan Peninsula and Africa colonize, although consumed part of capacities. 新开发的巴尔干半岛和非洲殖民,虽然消耗了一部分产能。 But the speed of new market, cannot compare crazy of domestic capital market by far. 可是新增市场的速度,远远比不上国内资本市场的疯狂。 The overseas are also the same, the major capitalist countries presented the degree different overcapacities. At present, is most serious with the situation in US by us. 国外也一样,各大资本主义国家均出现了程度不同的产能过剩。目前,以我们和美国的情况最为严重。 This is in the situation of massive introduction foreign capital, risk that must take. Once the economic crisis breaks out, the UK , France capital will definitely reassign the fund to the field, if we cannot handle properly, causing the consequence will be serious. ” 这是大量引入外资的情况下,必须要承担的风险。一旦经济危机爆发,英法资本肯定会抽调资金离场,如果我们不能妥善处置,造成后果会非常严重。” First Lord of the Treasury Carl said: „ Your majesty, the free flow of capital, we are unable directly to interfere, now the best way directs toward the real economy in them. 财政大臣卡尔说道:“陛下,资本的自由流通,我们无法直接干涉,现在最佳的办法就是把他们往实体经济上引。 After the capital turned into the factories, railroads and infrastructure these real estate, they wanted to leave again are difficult. ” 当资本变成了工厂、铁路、基础设施这些不动产后,他们再想要离开就难了。” When the capital turned into the real estate, wants to leave the field potential necessity to shear the meat, is not valuable in economic crisis period these industries, even could not find the buyer. 当资本变成了不动产,想要离场势必要割肉,在经济危机时期这些产业都不值钱,甚至是找不到买家。 No one takes over a business, the capital that these invest, was locked by the market, wants to solve and other economical return to warmer weather! 没有人接盘,这些投入进去的资本,就被市场套牢了,想要解套等经济回暖吧! But once the economy returns to warmer weather, these industries turned into the premium asset, the capitalist has not abandoned these industrial the necessities. 可是经济一旦回暖,这些产业很多又变成了优质资产,资本家又没有抛弃这些产业的必要了。 Prime Minister Felix is frowning saying: „ Made the future trouble is too big, let more external capital investment real economy, the situation of overcapacity will be more serious. 费利克斯首相皱着眉头说:“这么做后患太大了,让更多的外来资本投资实体经济,产能过剩的情况还会更加严重。 Even if detained these capital, should still intensify the scale of economic crisis, harm that finally brings, must undertake by us. ” 即便是留住了这些资本,也会加剧经济危机的规模,最后带来的危害,还是要由我们承担。” First Lord of the Treasury Carl explained: „ Anything has the dual character, if wants the maximum reduction crisis, then best is to make them invest the urban infrastructure facility. 财政大臣卡尔解释道:“任何事情都有两面性,如果想要最大限度的减轻危机,那么最好就是让他们投资城市基础设施。 For example: Now we promoted the urban security water project and draining water official site reconstruction and urban road construction...... 比如说:现在我们推动了城市安全饮水工程、排水官网改建、城市道路建设…… These industries do not have the overcapacity, new Holy Roman Empire has more than 300 cities. Because of the reason of government finances, we conduct the infrastructure reconstruction in the big city. 这些行业不存在产能过剩,新神圣罗马帝国有三百多座城市。因为政府资金的缘故,目前我们只是在大城市进行基础设施改建。 These areas can hold massive capital, once the economic crisis breaks out, the capitalists funding chain break, will present massive rotten tail projects, needs the government to take over a business. ” 这些地区都可以容纳大量的资本,不过一旦经济危机爆发,资本家们资金链断裂,会出现大量的烂尾工程,还是需要政府接盘。” Asking that Prime Minister Felix cares about: „ Taking over a business is the small issue, the biggest problem is the urban infrastructure construction, all along is the government constructs in the investment, possibility that these projects have not basically gained. 费利克斯首相关心的问:“接盘是小问题,最大的问题是城市基础设施建设,一贯都是政府在出资建设,这些项目基本上没有赢利的可能。 Wish makes the capitalists invest, must first make them see the profit point. The urban security water project , the waterworks can charge the water fee, do other infrastructures gain by what? ” 想要让资本家们投资,首先要让他们看到赢利点。城市安全饮水工程也就罢了,自来水厂可以收取水费,其它的基础设施靠什么赢利呢?” First Lord of the Treasury Carl explained: „ Naturally does not have the profit point. The infrastructure investment was too big, and most projects are the public welfare natures, wants to depend on the project not possibly to make money. 财政大臣卡尔解释道:“当然没有赢利点。基础设施建设投资太大了,并且大部分项目都是公益性质的,想要靠项目本身赚钱根本就不可能。 Therefore side we need conduct circuitously, for example: Tenders to the public, earlier the government only spends small some money, making the capitalists front the capital construction, after the engineering project is completed, was settling account the construction industry through the approval. 所以我们必须要侧面迂回进行,比如说:向社会招标,前期政府只拿出一小部分钱,让资本家们垫资建设,等工程项目完成后通过验收在结清工程款。 These projects cannot be completed in a short time, investment amount very huge, once the economic crisis breaks out, the bank tightened the money market, the economical chains of most capitalists broke. 这些工程都不是短时间内能够完成的,投资数额又非常的庞大,一旦经济危机爆发,银行收紧了银根,大部分资本家们的经济链就断了。 So long as indicates in the contract, presented the rotten tail project we not to pay a bill, can save a lot of funds. 只要在合同上注明,出现了烂尾工程我们是不付账的,就可以节省很多资金。 If these foreign capital following financial groups, are willing the capital to continue to complete these projects, then it would be the best. 如果这些外资后面的财团,肯注资继续完成这些工程的话,那么就最好不过了。 The new capital floods into, these projects can continue to conduct the construction, definitely will drive many industries the economies, this economic crisis also passed. 新的资本涌入,这些项目能够继续进行施工,必然会带动很多行业的经济,这场经济危机也就度过去了。 Money of this infrastructure construction must leave in any case sooner or later, can pass an economic crisis steadily, we gained. ” 反正这笔基础设施建设的钱早晚都要出,能够平稳的度过一场经济危机,我们还是赚了。” Franz at present one bright, isn't this reprint of Roosevelt new economy policy? But the scale is not big, initial fundamental goal to not pass economic crisis, instead for locking foreign capital. 弗朗茨眼前一亮,这不就是罗斯福新经济政策的翻版么?只不过规模没有那么大,最初的基本出发点也不是为了度过经济危机,反而是为了套牢外资。 Right, locks. Infrastructure engineering, so long as money cast went, was locked. Before completion, do not count on that the Vienna government will pay money ahead of time. 没错,就是套牢。基础设施工程,只要钱投进去了,就被套牢了。在没有完工前,不要指望维也纳政府会提前付钱。 Either the capitalists and Austria advantage ride out the storm, everyone has resisted this economic crisis together ; Either shears the meat to the field, the front all investments throw away carelessly. 要么资本家们和地利共渡难关,大家一起抗过这次经济危机;要么割肉离场,前面的所有投资都打了水漂。 The harm in order to reduce the economic crisis bringing, now pull people launching is the best choice. The worst situation, nothing but left behind a place rotten tail project, the Vienna government is responsible for taking over a business. 为了减轻经济危机带来的伤害,现在拉人下水是最好的选择。最糟糕的情况,无非是留下了一地烂尾工程,维也纳政府负责接盘。 Front Franz can make the capitalists jump the railroad construction huge pit, now naturally does not care to make them jump the infrastructure construction again the pit. 前面弗朗茨都可以让资本家们跳铁路建设的巨坑,现在自然不在乎让他们再跳基础设施建设的坑了。 This cannot be the pit, in the economical normal development period, is ready the proper high-quality project, does not have any nature of cheating. 这也不能算是坑,在经济正常发展时期,都是妥妥的优质项目,不存在任何坑人的性质。 After thinking, Franz warned: „ Plan is very good, but must pay attention to grasp that. 想了想后,弗朗茨警告道:“计划很不错,但是必须要注意把握那个度。 Must guarantee is selected competent capitalist, if did not have the strength partner in exchange of improper favors to attain the project by one group, finally the pit arrives was we. 必须要保证中标的都是有实力的资本家,要是被一帮没实力关系户拿到了项目,最后坑到的就是我们自己了。 Detaining the foreign capital is only the method, is not the goal, our ultimate goals were to pass this economic crisis steadily. 留住外资只是手段,不是目的,我们的最终目的是平稳度过这次经济危机。 According to the current situation, the capitalist country presented the serious overproduction, the economic crisis breaks out, is the issues within these 1-2 years. 按照目前的情况,资本主义世界出现了严重的生产过剩,经济危机爆发,也就是这1-2之内的问题。 When necessary, can introduce the earnest money system. Let continue these capitalists of project, first pays the project pension, after the project finishes smoothly, instead. ” 必要的时候,可以引入保证金制度。让承接这些项目的资本家,先缴纳工程保障金,等工程顺利完工后反还。” The economic crisis breaks out, besides the overcapacity, characteristics was in the market is short of money. Everyone's fund centralized to small number of people hand, created the floating capital insufficiency. 经济危机爆发,除了产能过剩外,还有一个特点就是市场上缺钱了。大家的资金集中到了少数人手中,造成了流动资金的不足。 The present is the gold standard age, issues additionally the currency massively is not possible. Only if the economic crisis serious enough to is unable to withstand, Franz will not conduct the currency devaluation. 现在是金本位年代,大量增发货币是不可能的。除非经济危机严重到无法承受,弗朗茨是不会进行货币贬值的。 Then as far as possible kept the home to be important the capital, the compulsive means regulation finance, forbidding the capital to flow out, this was the worst method. 那么尽可能的把资本留在国内就非常重要了,强制手段监管金融,禁止资本流出,这是最糟糕的手段。 Is incapable of changing the rule, then obeys the rule needed, will break the rule to backlash blindly inevitably. 无力改变规则,那么遵守规则就非常的有必要了,盲目打破规则势必要受到反噬。 As the rule system , in vested interest, Franz does not think that breaks the rule the matter to suit Austria to benefit to do. 作为规则体系中,既得利益中的一员,弗朗茨不认为打破规则的事情适合地利来干。 Must detain the foreign capital in the regular range, in this situation Franz does not hope the domestic aristocrat two generations run to disturb, if there is a strength, without money runs the contract project not to injure someone to cause self infliction? 要在规则范围内留住外资,这种情况下弗朗茨可不希望国内的贵族二代们跑出来捣乱,要是有实力也就罢了,没钱跑出来承接项目不是害人害己么? This is not the joke, but is the fact. The aristocrat family has money, was not equal to that each family member has money, many children of the nobility in fact can only divide to small some properties. 这不是笑话,而是事实。贵族家族有钱,并不等于每一个家族成员都有钱,很多贵族子弟实际上都只能分到一小部分财产。 The land, title and core industry, will not take the minute/share, otherwise several generations of time, these families declined. 土地、爵位、核心产业,都是不会拿出来分的,不然几代人的时间,这些家族就没落了。 Eldest son who often inherits the family property, they have enough asset to inherit, will not go out to make do ; Without many second sons of asset, enlivens in the gray area frequently. 往往继承家业的长子,他们有足够的资产继承,不会出去乱搞;没有多少资产的次子们,就常常活跃于灰色地带。 Many that this doing dead youngster, Franz meets. In 1848 Great Revolution, did not know many aristocrat families, because these juniors did, implicated the back family to be finished. 这种作死少年,弗朗茨遇到的多了。1848年的大革命中,不知道有多少贵族家族,因为这些子弟作死,连累了背后的家族完蛋。 Afterward, the major aristocrat families strengthened the binding force to the juniors, that active thinking children of the nobility, encountered the guardians to suppress mostly brutally. 事后,各大贵族家族都加强了对子弟的约束力,那种思想活跃的贵族子弟,大都遭遇了家长们残酷的镇压。 Law-abiding that quite in recent years they display, experienced Great Revolution after all personally, the domestic three points an aristocrat discards the title, half of families therefore decline, everyone had the sense of awe. 最近几年他们都表现的比较安分,毕竟亲自经历了大革命,国内三分一的贵族丢掉爵位,一半的家族因此而没落,大家都有了敬畏之心。 Asking that First Lord of the Treasury Carl has doubts: Your majesty, what is the earnest money system?” 财政大臣卡尔疑惑的问:“陛下,什么是保证金制度?” This is not he is ignorant, but is this age absolutely does not have earnest money system concept, earliest guarantee system that is also 40 years later will appear. 这不是他无知,而是这个年代根本就没有保证金制度这个概念,最早的担保制度那也是四十年后才会出现。 Such advanced concept, could not understand that was normal. Everyone has been used to the Franz thought to be active, often raised some new ideas. 这么超前的概念,理解不了才是正常的。大家已经习惯了弗朗茨的思想活跃,时常提出一些新的理念。 Franz explained: „ Simply is to make the winning bidder pay a sum of money very much, earnest money that acting as the project can successfully complete. 弗朗茨解释道:“很简单就是让中标人缴纳一笔钱,充当项目能够顺利完成的保证金。 Complete the guarantee including the artificial wages payment guarantee and project quality guarantee and engineering project normally. The engineering project finishes smoothly, after the worker wages settle accounts is clear, the government again in full returns the load earnest money. ” 包括人工工资支付担保、工程质量担保、工程项目正常完成担保。工程项目顺利完工,工人工资结算清楚后,政府再全额返还担保金。” Prime Minister Felix asked: Your majesty, does this sum of money deduct from the construction industry is not same?” 费利克斯首相问道:“陛下,这笔钱从工程款中扣除不是一样么?” Franz shakes the head saying: „ Different, deducts from the construction industry, cannot determine the capital strength of capitalist. 弗朗茨摇了摇头说:“不一样的,从工程款中扣除,并不能确定资本家的资金实力。 They take the contract that and government signs completely, goes to look for the bank loan, the loan of dependence bank completes the engineering project. 他们完全拿着和政府签订的合同,出去找银行贷款,依靠银行的贷款完成工程项目。 If there is not related in ordinary period this, will not affect the project normally conducts, but once meets the economic crisis, the bank contracted the money market situation to be different. 如果在平常时期这没有关系,不会影响到项目的正常进行,可一旦遇上经济危机,银行收缩了银根情况就不一样了。 Our present goals are to detain the foreign capital, does not create getting rich opportunity to certain people, once the project rotten tail also wants us to settle. 我们现在的目的是留住外资,不是给某些人制造发财机会的,一旦项目烂尾还要我们来善后。 Collects earnest money, our risks fell the bottom. If the capitalists do not want to bear this loss, then must ride out the storm with us. ” 收取一笔保证金,我们的风险就降到了最低点。资本家们如果不想承担这一笔损失,那么就要和我们一起共渡难关。” This is the psychology issue, the capital of investing are more, is more difficult to drop. The capital of locking is bigger, the interest and Austria of capitalists benefit the bundle is tighter. 这是心理学问题,投入进去的资本越多,就越难让人放手。套牢的资本越大,资本家们的利益和地利捆绑的就越紧。 For the front investment was not thrown away carelessly, the capitalists can only reassign more funds to go to fill the pit, guaranteed project normally conducts. 为了前面的投资不被打水漂,资本家们只能抽调更多的资金进去填坑,保证项目的正常进行。
To display comments and comment, click at the button