Berlin 柏林 Austrian movement on a grand scale, absolutely does not have the meaning of security, the Prussia government naturally also received the message. 奥地利大张旗鼓的动作,根本就没有保密的意思,普鲁士政府自然也收到了消息。 Fredrick William IV still in must join to interfere with the allied armies hesitant, now does not need to consider. Does not find the way to deal with, does not wait for the allied armies to establish, the Kingdom of Prussia first turned into the history. 腓特烈-威廉四世还在犹豫要不要加入干涉联军,现在不用考虑了。再不想办法应付,不等联军建立起来,普鲁士王国就先变成历史了。 The foreign minister Andrea analysis said: „ Your majesty, Austrian this is threatening us, Russia , France and Austria carve up us not to have the advantage to them, once we were finished, clamped between Austria in France , Russia is awkward. 外交大臣安德里亚分析道:“陛下,奥地利这是在恐吓我们,俄法奥三国瓜分我们对他们来说并没有好处,一旦我们完蛋,夹在法俄中间的奥地利就尴尬了。 Carves up income that our they can yield, absolutely impossible annexing south Germany area is bigger, but they pay the price to be much bigger. ” 瓜分我们他们能够获得的收益,绝对不可能比吞并南德意志地区更大,而他们付出代价却要大得多。” This is inevitable, carves up the military that Prussia France and Russia can deploy to be limited, the Russian can also set out Unit 200000, the French to support also to put out hundreds of thousands armies, played the main attack the duty definitely to fall on Austria. 这是必然的,瓜分普鲁士法俄两国能够动用的兵力有限,俄国人还可以出动200000部队,法国人撑死也就拿出十几万军队,打主攻的任务肯定落在了奥地利头上。 The military power of Kingdom of Prussia is not weak, in the life and death moment, eruption 500,000-600,000 armies comes out is absolutely possible. 普鲁士王国的军事实力不弱,在生死存亡关头,爆发个500,000-600,000大军出来是完全有可能的。 If this spelled, even did three countries to collaborate, but died knocked, collapses Austrian several teeth not to have the issue. 这要是拼起来了,就算是干不过三国联手,但是死磕的时候,崩掉奥地利几颗牙还是没有问题的。 Pays such big price, the post-war income actually must be walked by the French and Russian minute/share most , without to be Poland and Kingdom of Prussia of Rhineland area, the value may compared with not Upper Austria now already south Germany area that started. 付出这么大的代价,战后的收益却要被法俄分走大半,没有了普属波兰和莱茵兰地区的普鲁士王国,价值可比不上奥地利现在已经入手的南德意志地区。 In addition, the dominant difficulty is also larger, Juhnke aristocrats will not buy the Austrian account, but south Germany local people are welcoming king master. 除此之外,统治难度也要大的多,容克贵族们不会买奥地利账,而南德意志地区当地民众却在喜迎王师。 Fredrick William IV whole face grief and indignation said: „Theoretically yes right, but this threat remains, Austria dares to do so obvious, clearly concluded we do not dare to take risk.” 腓特烈-威廉四世满脸悲愤的说:“理论上是没错,可是这种威胁依然存在,奥地利敢做的如此明显,分明就是断定了我们不敢冒险。” This where is adventurous, is clearly committing suicide. So long as Austria attacks Prussia full power, Russia and France will definitely take advantage. 这哪里是冒险,分明就是在自杀。只要奥地利全力进攻普鲁士,俄法两国肯定会趁火打劫。 Can Austria do that? This answer no one knows. However Fredrick William IV can determine, this is the plan of Austrian simplest collapsing. 奥地利会不会这么做？这个答案没有人知道。不过腓特烈-威廉四世可以确定,这是奥地利最简单的破局之策。 Joseph Von Radowitz thinks saying: „ Your majesty, we can throw this difficult problem to the English, if they cannot assure our securities, then nine countries interfere with the allied armies we not to participate. 约瑟夫-冯-拉多维茨想了想说:“陛下,我们可以把这个难题扔给英国人吧,如果他们不能保证我们的安全,那么九国干涉联军我们就不参加了。 The Austrians also need us to divert the French, if we were finished, they must face directly the threat of French. So long as we withdraw now, they will receive the hand. ” 奥地利人还需要我们牵制法国人,要是我们完蛋了,他们就要直面法国人的威胁。只要我们现在退出,他们就会收手。” This choice question is very good to do, the Prussia government joins to interfere with the army for the benefit, similarly can also withdraw for the benefit. 这个选择题很好做,普鲁士政府是为了利益才加入干涉军的,同样也可以为了利益退出。 Nine Country Allied armies look very powerful, but in fact this inside main force only then France and Prussia, the remaining countries make up the number. So long as law popularization any instigated, the plan of English went bankrupt. 九国联军看上去很强大,可实际上这里面的主力只有法国和普鲁士,剩下的国家都是凑数的。只要普法任何一家怂了,英国人的计划就破产了。 Andrea shakes the head saying: „ Prime minister, perhaps this issue English is unable to accomplish, they can convince the French, does not have the means to convince the Russian. 安德里亚摇了摇头说:“首相,这个问题英国人恐怕无法办到,他们可以说服法国人,却没有办法说服俄国人。 Plan according to Austria, before the allied armies organize completes, first to us makes war, the English does not have the ability to rescue us. 按照奥地利的计划,在联军组织完成前,就先对我们开战,英国人没有能力救援我们。 Has the strength to help our only have the French only, perhaps however for own benefit, the French waits for us to be defeated, then annexes west of our Rhine territory possibility to be bigger. 唯一有实力帮我们的只有法国人,但是为了自身的利益,恐怕法国人坐等我们失败,然后吞并我们莱茵河以西的领土可能性更大。 At this time, we cannot wanting to place on the English. The fact has proven, their commitment most time are far-fetched. 这个时候,我们不能把希望放在英国人身上。事实早就证明了,他们的承诺大多数时间都是不靠谱的。 If unable from interfering with the army gets enough interests, then carves up the German area with Austria jointly, is a good choice. 如果无法从干涉军中获得足够的利益,那么和奥地利联手瓜分德意志地区,也是一个不错的选择。 At the worst joins Russia , Austria Unions, rebuilds the Northern European three palace systems, jointly controls continental Europe, UK and France is incapable of preventing radically. ” 大不了就是加入俄奥同盟,重建北欧三宫廷体系,联合主宰欧洲大陆,英法两国根本就无力阻止。” Fredrick William IV hesitated, Austria annexed south Germany area to cause everyone's dreading, the immediate interest that but brought to various countries lost is not big, in the big powers the benefit lost in a big way should be Prussia, the market changed is small. 腓特烈-威廉四世犹豫了,奥地利兼并南德意志地区引起了大家的忌惮,但是给各国带来的直接利益损失并不大,列强中利益损失最大的应该是普鲁士,市场变小了。 Prussia annexed the northern German area to be different, hit the face of English is only the small issue, the biggest trouble broke the source of income of British capitalist. 普鲁士吞并北德意志地区就不一样了,打了英国人的脸只是小问题,最大的麻烦是断了英国资本家的财路。 In the history, Prussia annexes the northern German area, but after joining free trade system, at that time the industry of Kingdom of Prussia sees significant development, is not afraid the competition of English. 历史上,普鲁士吞并北德意志地区,可是在加入自由贸易体系之后,当时普鲁士王国的工业已经得到了长足的发展,并不害怕英国人的竞争。 Now is different, if this time the Prussia government dares to join the free trade system, the domestic national industries must abort. 现在不一样,这个时期普鲁士政府要是敢加入自由贸易体系,国内的民族工业就要胎死腹中了。 Without the means that this age Kingdom of Prussia competitiveness powerful pillar industry, the industry has not depended entirely on the knockoff English, or entire world in knockoff English. 没有办法,这个年代普鲁士王国并没有竞争力强大的支柱产业,工业全靠山寨英国人,或者说全世界都在山寨英国人。 The Prussia government stands in the opposite of Austria, after in which reason is worried about Austria controls south Germany area, will raise to the import tariff of Prussia commodity, squeezes out the market them with the administrative measure directly. 普鲁士政府站在奥地利的对立面,其中的一个原因就是担心奥地利控制南德意志地区后,会调高了对普鲁士商品的进口关税,直接用行政手段把他们挤出市场。 This likely does not happen, but will definitely happen. To the industrializing Kingdom of Prussia, does not have enough market, means what self-evident. 这不是可能发生,而是肯定会发生。对正在工业化的普鲁士王国来说,没有足够的市场,意味着什么不言而喻。 In northern the issue of Germany, the London government is impossible to yield, otherwise Prime Minister George must leave office ahead of time, cannot do well must throw to go to the ticket of heaven. 在北德意志的问题上,伦敦政府根本就不可能让步,不然乔治首相就要提前下台了,搞不好还要附赠前往天堂的车票。 This also why English takes one of the three points of Germany reasons, the interest of domestic capitalists, urged the action of London government. 这也是为什么英国人要三分德意志的原因之一,国内资本家们的利益,促使了伦敦政府的行动。 Are many regarding the colony of English, market is big, that is the bullshit. This age most colony markets have not developed, staple market also in continental Europe. 至于说英国人的殖民地多、市场大,那就是屁话。这个年代大部分殖民地市场都没有开发出来,主要市场还在欧洲大陆。 The risk of ocean trade, compared in main house gate trade big many, moreover which capitalist will shut out money that oneself make to be many? 远洋贸易的风险,要比在家门口贸易大的多,况且哪个资本家会嫌弃自己赚的钱多？ In comparison south Germany was different, Bavaria is the textile center of German area, this age English biggest export products are the textile, the London government let the Kingdom of Bavaria and Austria leave, has not removed the meaning of competitor. 相比之下南德意志就不同了,巴伐利亚是德意志地区的纺织中心,这个年代英国人最大的出口产品就是纺织品,伦敦政府让巴伐利亚王国和奥地利离开,未尝没有排除竞争对手的意思。 The mid-19 th century international politics, has not just stayed in the politics and military, the impact that the economy had accounted for the proportion is also getting bigger and bigger, particularly British this capital domineering country. 19世纪中期的国际政治,已经不单单停留在政治、军事上,经济带来的影响所占比重也越来越大,尤其是英国这种资本强势的国家。 ...... …… The counter-attack of Austria in expected of English, is unexpected. Originally the London government also thinks that Austria will combine threats with inducements the Prussia government, never expected that the Vienna government direct enlargement incurs. 奥地利的反击既在英国人的意料之中,也在意料之外。本来伦敦政府还认为奥地利会威逼利诱普鲁士政府,没有想到维也纳政府直接放大招。 The big move of effect naturally is very fierce, the Prussia government tactful indicated attitude- does not dare to play. 大招的效果自然是非常厉害的,普鲁士政府已经委婉的表明了态度-不敢玩了。 The reality told the English, sometimes cannot look at the national interest completely, the personal interest of senior government officials, similarly can decide the national politics. 现实告诉了英国人,有时候不能够完全看国家利益,政府高层的个人利益,同样可以决定国家政治。 Determined standpoint of Napoleon III, the Austrian held the loophole of allied armies, can counter-attack unscrupulously. 确定了拿破仑三世的立场,奥地利人就抓住了联军的漏洞,可以肆无忌惮的反击。 „Situation changes, the Prussia government was threatened by Austria, the preparation withdrew. If we do not find the way to prevent, how long Northern European three palace alliances perhaps will unable to reappear Europe.” Prime Minister George Hamilton Gordon said seriously “情况有变,普鲁士政府遭到了奥地利的恐吓,准备退出了。如果我们不想办法阻止,恐怕要不了多久北欧三宫廷联盟会重现欧洲。”乔治-汉密尔顿-戈登首相严肃的说 Russia , Austria Unions have not broken up, if turned into Russia , Austria Union again, that anything do not say, they contracted the influence on return to British Isles to be good again. 俄奥同盟还没有拆散,要是再变成了俄奥普同盟,那什么也不要说,他们再次收缩势力回归英伦三岛好了。 Home secretary Henry thinks saying: „ Prime minister, perhaps a native of Prussia has not set firm resolve, otherwise they should dispatch troops to annex the northern German area at this time, rather than we communicated. 内政大臣亨利想了想说:“首相,普鲁士人恐怕还没有下定决心吧,不然这个时候他们应该出兵吞并北德意志地区,而不是和我们沟通了。 We cannot do to Russia , Austria, but deals with a native of Prussia to have the means that the royal navy blocks North Sea one month, the Kingdom of Prussia domestic economy crisis will break out, they are impossible to neglect this consequence. 我们奈何不了俄奥,但是对付普鲁士人还是有办法的,皇家海军封锁北海一个月,普鲁士王国国内经济危机就会爆发,他们不可能忽视这种后果。 Even if a native of Prussia and Austria carve up the German area jointly, does not mean that the northern German area turned over to them. Perhaps many nations not to the opportunity that they begin, put into the bosom to Austria directly. 就算普鲁士人和奥地利联手瓜分德意志地区,也不意味着北德意志地区都归他们了。恐怕很多邦国都不会给他们动手的机会,就直接投入到奥地利的怀抱了。 This type of situation Prussia government must consider clearly, this expansion does not dispel the crisis, but postponed the crisis. 这种情况普鲁士政府不可能不考虑清楚,这种扩张并不是消除了危机,只是把危机延后了。 East has Russia and west to have France and south to have Austria, remaining side surrounding seas, geographical position of Kingdom of Prussia simply bad to the extreme. 东有俄罗斯、西有法兰西、南有奥地利,剩下一面环海,普鲁士王国的地理位置简直糟糕到了极点。 This point Austria and they look like very much, was clamped by France and Russia in the center. But the Austrian good and evil can develop toward the Italian area and Balkan Peninsula, a native of Prussia can only the overseas colonize. 这一点奥地利和他们很像,都被法俄两国夹在了中央。只不过奥地利好歹可以往意大利地区、巴尔干半岛发展,普鲁士人只能海外殖民了。 This perhaps is the reason that Fredrick William IV does not dare to decide, without our connivance, they can only in dire straits in home, look various countries unceasing grows strong. ” 这恐怕是腓特烈-威廉四世不敢下决心的原因,没有我们的默许,他们只能困死在家中,看着各国不断的发展壮大下去。” This is the core reason that the Northern European three palace alliances collapse, the alliance cannot bring a bigger benefit to the Kingdom of Prussia, must conduct the industrialization unable to leave the overseas market, they must deal with the relations with English. 这是北欧三宫廷联盟崩溃的核心原因,联盟不能给普鲁士王国带来更大的利益,要进行工业化就离不开海外市场,他们必须要处理好同英国人的关系。 After George Hamilton Gordon hesitant moment, made decided: „Told Thomas, this probe plan fail, began using the second plan.” 乔治-汉密尔顿-戈登犹豫了片刻后做出了决定:“告诉托马斯,这次试探计划失败,启用第二套方案。” This is the most ideal plan, is actually not the only plan. The London government does not think that everyone is a fool, naturally prepared the contingency plan. 这是最理想的方案,却不是唯一的方案。伦敦政府不认为大家都是傻子,自然准备了应急预案。 The English use this far-fetched plan, reason very simple, the cost of implementation is low, the income is big! 英国人之所以采用这套不靠谱的方案,原因非常的简单,实施的成本低,收益大！ Succeeding no doubt is happy, failed they not to lose, why to try? 成功了固然是皆大欢喜,失败了他们没有损失,干嘛不试一试呢？ Now are they really defeated? 现在他们就真的失败了么？ Obviously not! 显然不是的！ The English gripped a thorn in Russia , Austria Unions, deteriorated relations, meanwhile stimulated the French, instigated Austria's relations with various European countries. 英国人在俄奥同盟之间扎下了一根刺,又恶化了普奥关系,同时还刺激到了法国人,挑拨了奥地利同欧洲各国的关系。 Payout of English? Is more diligent, keeps in balance the strategy of Austria the foreign minister runs, they completed most probably. 英国人的付出呢？仅仅是外交大臣跑的勤快一些,制衡奥地利的战略,他们就完成了大半。 By influence that the diplomatic situation deteriorates, in the future a long time, Austria must mend the international relations, after all this time annexed south Germany area approach to stimulate everyone's sensitive nerve. 受外交形势恶化的影响,未来很长一段时间,奥地利都必须要修复国际关系,毕竟这次吞并南德意志地区做法刺激到了大家敏感的神经。 ...... …… Paris 巴黎 The Prussia government withdrew interfered with the allied armies, the plan of English naturally also changed, the negotiations opened. 普鲁士政府退出了干涉联军,英国人的计划自然也改变了,谈判重新开起。 Thomas proposed again: „, The stability considering continental Europe, between the great nations must leave behind the cushion, I suggested that makes Budden, Hanover, hamburger and Bremen...... and other German nations form a new country. 托马斯再次提议道:“诸位,考虑到欧洲大陆的稳定,大国之间必须要留下缓冲,我建议让巴登、汉诺威、汉堡、不来梅……等德意志邦国组建一个新的国家。 The consideration actual situation, the Kingdom of Prussia can conduct to trade with this new country, stays behind enough buffer space among the law popularization, law. ” 考虑实际情况,普鲁士王国可以和这个新生国家进行换地,在普法之间、法奥之间留下足够的缓冲空间。” The suggestion of this meeting was more credible, at least Metternich thinks that besides being short of the Budden duchy, other south Germany nation English have not said. 这会的建议靠谱多了,至少梅特涅是这么认为的,除了少了巴登公国外,南德意志其它邦国英国人都没有提出来。 To maintain certain cushion with the French, to obtain everyone's acknowledgment, pays a Budden duchy, can consider in Metternich opinion this price. 为了和法国人保持一定的缓冲,为了获得大家的承认,付出一个巴登公国,在梅特涅看来这个代价也是可以考虑的。 In Metternich ponders, French Representative Auvergne takes the lead to express the support: „Mr. Thomas's proposition is good, the peace and stability for continental Europe, leaves behind the cushion in the great nations necessary.” 正在梅特涅思考的时候,法国代表奥弗涅率先表示了支持:“托马斯先生的提议不错,为了欧洲大陆的和平稳定,在大国之间留下缓冲是有必要的。” The reason naturally is good to everyone's strategic security, the French has not embezzled the world now the aggression, does not have the strength of alone war outstanding heroes. 原因自然是对大家的战略安全都有好处,法国人现在既没有侵吞天下的霸气,也没有独战群雄的实力。 Since does not swallow down, avoidance and great nation as far as possible happened contradictory have the necessity. As one in those with vested interests, a stable continental Europe serves the UK , France interests. 既然吞不下去,尽可能的避免和大国发生矛盾也就有必要了。作为既得利益者中的一员,一个稳定的欧洲大陆是符合英法利益的。 The native place is unstable, even if opens the colony in the overseas, isn't at heart steadfast? Do not look that the English shoulders various European countries to be contradictory repeatedly, in fact they most hope that Europe is stable. 老家不稳定,就算是在海外开辟殖民地,心里也不踏实啊？不要看英国人多次挑起欧洲各国矛盾,实际上他们最希望欧洲稳定的。 Naturally this stability, must establish in various countries' strength evenly matched situation. Clearly, at this time in continental Europe various countries diverted mutually, who impossible one-party rule, was stable to need. 当然这种稳定,必须要建立在各国实力势均力敌的情况下。很明显,这个时候欧洲大陆上各国相互牵制,谁也不可能一家独大,那么稳定下来就有必要了。 And this by English single-handedly leadership new country, politically inevitable closes up to them, increases them the right to speak in continental Europe. 并且这个由英国人一手主导的新生国家,在政治上会不可避免的向他们靠拢,增加他们在欧洲大陆上的发言权。 Meanwhile, but also preserved them in the market of German area, the government can harvest gratitude of a wave of capitalists, answered multiple purpose simply. 同时,还保住了他们在德意志地区的市场,政府可以收获一波资本家们的感激,简直就是一举多得。 ...... …… Carl Syre somewhat is also eager to try, but saw that Metternich has not taken a stand, considering that related to the interests of Austria, is in the treaty of alliance the explicit agreement place, he is not good to open the mouth to support rashly. 卡尔-渥赛尔也有些跃跃欲试,不过看到梅特涅没有表态,考虑到涉及到了奥地利的利益,又是盟约上明确约定的地方,他也不好冒然开口支持。 It‘s nothing quite strange, the Russian present strategy of went south Constantinople, continental Europe could not attend to temporarily, a stable Europe was also they need. 没什么好奇怪的,俄国人现在的战略是南下君士坦丁堡,欧洲大陆暂时顾不上了,一个稳定的欧洲也是他们需要的。 Metternich thinks saying: „This issue, related to the Budden the Palatinate province of duchy and Bavaria, this issue we must give careful consideration.” 梅特涅想了想说:“这个问题,涉及到了巴登公国和巴伐利亚的普法尔茨省,这个问题我们必须要慎重考虑一下。” Sees the Austrian not to oppose, Prussia Representative Rotter Luff could not endure, he knows , if not come out to gain the benefit now, they must owe send greatly. 见奥地利人也不反对,普鲁士代表罗特鲁夫忍不了,他知道要是现在不出来争取利益,他们就要亏大发了。 „It is not good, the Rhineland area is the Kingdom of Prussia most important industrial district, we cannot give up!” “不行,莱茵兰地区是普鲁士王国最重要的工业区,我们不能这么放弃的！” ...... ……