In a Paris manor, is conducting the aristocrat banquet, in a common small corner, British Foreign Secretary Thomas and Russia foreign minister Carl Syre gathered in one. 巴黎一座庄园内,正在进行贵族宴会,在一个不起眼的小角落里,英国外交大臣托马斯和俄国外交大臣卡尔-渥赛尔聚在了一起。 If this news passed on, the front page headline of Paris newspaper, can first order. 这个消息要是传了出去,巴黎报纸的头版头条,就可以先预订下来了。 Carl Syre is frowning to ask: „Mr. Thomas, you make me to come, to not drink?” 卡尔-渥赛尔皱着眉头问:“托马斯先生,你约我过来,不会就是为了喝酒吧？” Originally he is busy ganging up with the woman of quality in the cocktail party, played just happy, finally was broken by Thomas of walking , the mood can good be strange. 本来他忙着在酒会中勾搭贵妇,玩儿的正欢,结果被找上门来的托马斯打断了,心情能好才怪。 Discussed the matter, Carl Syre does not think that now he and English have anything to be good to chat. This situation is not right, buries head in the sand the security, lets the Austria altruistic discovery radically intentionally. 谈事情,卡尔-渥赛尔不认为现在他和英国人有什么好聊的。况且这个场合也不对,掩耳盗铃般的保密,根本就是故意让奥地利人发现。 Thomas said with a laugh: „Mr. Carl Syre, you did not feel annexes after the Southern Germany will area, did Austria benefit too powerful a little?” 托马斯笑呵呵的说:“卡尔-渥赛尔先生,你不觉得吞并南德意志地区过后,奥地利太强大了一点儿么？” Carl Syre complexion changes, in the Tsar government thought that Austria benefits the too strong person to be many, he is also one of them. One said that in room, now was exposed by the English, he does not dare to acknowledge. 卡尔-渥赛尔脸色一变,沙皇政府中觉得奥地利太强的人不少,他本人也是其中之一。自家在屋里说说也就罢了,现在被英国人揭破了,他可不敢承认。 Who knows that this peripheral does have the informer who Austria benefits, even if no, the English still has the means to make the Austria advantage know the talk content. 谁知道这周边有没有奥地利的眼线,就算是没有,想必英国人也有办法让奥地利知道谈话内容。 Carl Syre's political ability passes an examination, knows that this is the politics that the English digs down falls, naturally cannot meet following the topic downward. 卡尔-渥赛尔的政治能力还是及格的,知道这是英国人挖下的政治陷进,自然不会顺着话题往下接。 At that moment did not say politely: „Mr. Thomas, if this matter, did not fish you to worry, we worked have not been one's turn you to gesticulate.” 当下豪不客气的说:“托马斯先生,如果是这件事情的话,就不捞你操心了,我们做事还轮不到你指手画脚。” Has not paid attention to his unreasonable, Thomas said as before with a laugh: „ Mr. Carl Syre, in this world does not have the eternal friend, so long as the eternal benefit, today you and Austria money pouch allies, will probably turn into the enemy tomorrow. 没有理会他的无理,托马斯依旧笑呵呵的说:“卡尔-渥赛尔先生,这个世界上没有永恒的朋友,只要永恒的利益,今天你们和奥地利是盟友,明天就可能变成敌人。 Now for the ally relations, you tolerates Austria to benefit in the German area expands, tomorrow you can face a unified Central European big empire. 现在为了盟友关系,你们纵容奥地利在德意志地区扩张,明天你们就可以面对一个统一的中欧大帝国。 Ahead of time makes a preparation, guarding in however will always not be wrong. 提前做点儿准备,防范于未然总是不会错的。 suddenly Austria both countries from were too near, after Austria benefits expanding Zhang Zhilu of Europe died of suffocation, they can only toward the Near East area develop, you will have the conflict sooner or later...... ” 俄奥两国距离太近了,当奥地利欧洲的扩张之路被堵死过后,他们就只能往近东地区发展了,你们早晚都会发生冲突……” Does not need Thomas to speak the words, Carl Syre said goodbye to depart directly, he has regretted to contact with the English rashly. 不待托马斯把话说完,卡尔-渥赛尔直接告辞离去,他已经后悔冒然和英国人接触了。 suddenly Austria Union is Russian most important foreign policy, how possibly easily to change, cannot, because possibly exists to threaten gives up the treaty of alliance. 俄奥同盟是俄罗斯最重要的外交政策,怎么可能轻易改变了,不能因为可能存在威胁就放弃盟约。 Such obvious sowing dissension , he if could not look that really has the issue. 这么明显的挑拨离间,他要是看不出来那就真的有问题。 Meeting that this seemingly parts on bad terms, falls to the eyes of person with high aspirations, in fact had had the qualitative change. 这场看似不欢而散的见面,落到有心人的眼里,实际上已经发生了质变。 These issue Carl Syre have not naturally noticed, he has to acknowledge that sowing dissension of English is effective, in the heart deep place he also dreaded that Austria benefits, with the Austria Libyan government dreaded that the Russia person is the same, the ally also needs to guard! 这些问题卡尔-渥赛尔自然没有注意到,他不得不承认英国人的挑拨离间非常有效,在内心深处他也是非常忌惮奥地利的,就和奥地利政府忌惮俄国人一样,盟友也需要防备啊！ This is Thomas's smartness, matter, once were brought to light, thinks not affected difficult. 这就是托马斯的高明之处,事情一旦被挑明了,想不受影响都难。 Must drag that Austria benefits, becomes difficult problem that is placed in front of Carl Syre, this body matter he hesitated greatly. 要不要扯一下奥地利的后腿,成为了摆在卡尔-渥赛尔面前的难题,兹体事大他犹豫了。 Night of sleepless, the congress convenes next day normally, Thomas launches an attack at the scene, Carl Syre cannot help but reduced the speech. 一夜无眠,次日大会正常召开,托马斯当场发难,卡尔-渥赛尔不由自主的减少了发言。 Is brave, suddenly Austria one wave, the French smooths over differences in the one side, Spanish representative is responsible for presiding over the conference, waited to refuse to compromise to stand to declare meeting adjourned. 原本是英普一波、俄奥一波,法国人在一旁和稀泥,西班牙代表负责主持会议,等僵持不下了就站出来宣布休会。 Now the attitude of French transformed, Carl Syre's support is also insufficient, from the beginning Metternich bore the tremendous pressure. 现在法国人的态度变换了,卡尔-渥赛尔的支持度又不够,一开始梅特涅就承受了巨大的压力。 However the negotiations do not look at the person to be many, otherwise draws all countries, opposed the person who the Austria advantage expands are more, the reason does not need to explain. 不过谈判不是看人多,不然把所有的国家都拉进来,反对奥地利扩张的人还更多,理由不需要解释。 Metternich who the diplomatic circles have fought many battles, naturally cannot be daunted, how is spurting of UK , France three countries representative righteousness expressions, in any case I from standing one's ground steadfastly. 外交界身经百战的梅特涅,自然不会就被吓住了,任英法普三国代表如何义正言辞的喷,反正我自岿然不动。 Thomas threatens saying: „Mr. Metternich, if your country is not willing to give up establishing Holy Roman Empire , then various countries must sanction you.” 托马斯威胁道:“梅特涅先生,如果贵国不肯放弃建立神圣罗马帝国,那么各国就要对你们进行制裁了。” Metternich said coolly: „Good, we can make the concession, does not establish Holy Roman Empire , we built the new Holy Roman Empire general headquarters!” 梅特涅面不改色的说:“好吧,我们可以做出让步,不建立神圣罗马帝国,我们建立新神圣罗马帝国总行了吧！” This was evading the important questions for the easy completely, abandoned such big time, to not let the Austria advantage changed a country's name to finish up, but must let the benefit that they gave up. 这完全是在避重就轻了,废了这么大的功夫,可不是为了让奥地利改个国名就完事了,而是要让他们放弃到手的利益。 More further combining threats with inducements, Thomas at the congress will not say, this must communicate in private. Cannot keep off the surface of Russia person, making Austria benefit the treachery? 更进一步的威逼利诱,在大会上托马斯是不会说出来的,这要私下进行沟通。总不能挡着俄国人的面,让奥地利倒戈吧？ The Russia person is not silly, so long as reveals a little spearhead, they will respond immediately, takes the measure. 俄国人又不傻,只要露出一点儿矛头,他们马上就会反应过来,采取措施。 In front of Thomas this series of works, in fact for makes the gap in suddenly Austria, is seperate very soon Austria Union prepares. 托马斯前面的这一系列工作,实际上都只是为了在俄奥之间制造间隙,为拆分俄奥同盟做准备。 The fly does not bite the seamless egg, suddenly Austria two countries , if no gap, the English also starts nowhere! 苍蝇不叮无缝的蛋,俄奥两国双方要是没有间隙,英国人也无处下手啊！ Next is suppresses Austria to benefit, this primary and secondary strategy, Thomas minute/share unusual is clear. Now seems like the effect is very as if good, the inaction of Russia person, becomes Zaire's thorn in Metternich heart obviously. 其次才是打压奥地利,这个主次战略,托马斯分的非常清楚。现在看起来效果似乎很不错,俄国人的不作为,显然成为了一根扎在梅特涅心中的刺。 After the conference ended, without giving Metternich leaves behind the time, Thomas laid cards on the table to him. 会议结束过后,没有给梅特涅留下时间,托马斯就向他摊牌了。 Either gives up suddenly Austria Union, the Austria advantage can taking the benefit swallows down completely ; Either guarantees the Austria union in Russia, eating the benefit spits ; Either greets nine countries to interfere with the allied armies. 要么放弃俄奥同盟,奥地利可以把拿到手的利益全部吞下去;要么保留俄奥同盟,把吃下去的利益吐出来;要么迎接九国干涉联军。 If were the average person is daunted, Metternich was not also quiet, but in the surface has not actually shown slightly the flaw. 如果是普通人早就被吓住了,梅特涅内心同样也不平静,不过表面上却没有露出丝毫破绽。 Ridiculed directly: „ Mr. Thomas, this joke is not funny. Nine Country Allied armies you determined that isn't teasing me? 直接讥讽道:“托马斯先生,这个玩笑并不好笑。九国联军你确定不是在逗我？ Holland and Belgium had the contradiction, Spanish and Portuguese relations also very many, your country and French, if can closely cooperate, the Near East war had ended. 荷兰和比利时有矛盾,西班牙和葡萄牙关系也好不了多少,贵国和法国人要是能够亲密合作,近东战争早就结束了。 If you can make this contradiction numerous allied armies intimate, then I am speechless, the Austria advantage not with the strength that nine countries contend with. ” 如果你们能够让这支矛盾重重的联军变得亲密无间,那么我无话可说,奥地利没有和九国抗衡的实力。” If can achieve this, Thomas did not need here rubbish, the allied armies set out the Austria Libyan government to recognize certainly instigated. 如果能做到这一步的话,托马斯就不用在这里废话了,联军一出动奥地利政府保管认怂。 Everyone is not a fool, must interfere with Austria to benefit must look at the benefit, even if the benefit insufficiently the English draws the same place them forcefully, that is still present at work does not strive. 大家都不是傻子,要干涉奥地利也要看利益啊,利益不够就算是英国人强行把他们拉到一起,那也是出工不出力。 Perhaps, looks like in many people, hitting the Austria advantage was inferior that pig teammate is more cost-effective, at least can murder with a borrowed knife, exhaustes the strength of enemy. 或许,在很多人看来,打奥地利不如坑队友更加划算,起码可以借刀杀人,消耗敌人的实力。 This pig teammate matter, the English does were many, it can be said that they pushed down the moral integrity winding between allies, now everyone follows to study the type, the intimate cooperation has long ceased to exist. 这种坑队友的事情,英国人干的多了,可以说是他们拉低了盟友之间的节操下线,现在大家都跟着学样,亲密无间的合作早就不复存在了。 Was exposed the weakness, Thomas said unhurriedly: These issues that „ Mr. Metternich, you said exist, is nine Country Allied armies even contradictory again big, the advantage in strength is actually not able to be neglected. 被揭破了弱点,托马斯不慌不忙的说:“梅特涅先生,你说的这些问题都存在,可是九国联军就算是矛盾再大,实力上的优势却无法被忽视。 Even so long as law popularization both countries collaborate, your country may not support. 甚至只要普法两国联手,贵国都不一定能够撑住。 Do not suspect our determinations, at the worst the allied armies on withdrawing Crimea Peninsula, so long as Constantinopolis also in our hands, initiative in our hands. 不要怀疑我们的决心,大不了抽回克里米亚半岛上的联军,只要君士坦丁堡还在我们手中,主动权就在我们手中。 If we make certain concession, acknowledged that the seizure of Russia person's basin to Bulgaria and Danube, you felt probability that the Russia person compromises big? 如果我们做出一定让步,承认俄国人对保加利亚和多瑙河流域的占领,你觉得俄国人妥协的几率有多大？ In the face of the benefit, will the Russia person care about suddenly Austria Union? The credibility of Tsar government, everyone is clear, do you need test again? ” 在利益面前,俄国人会顾及俄奥同盟么？沙皇政府的信誉,大家都是一清二楚的,你们有必要再去考验一下么？” Metternich said coolly: „ Mr. Thomas, I acknowledged you said is reasonable. What a pity you can yield to the Russia person, the French is unable to make the concession! 梅特涅面不改色的说:“托马斯先生,我承认你说的非常有道理。可惜你们可以对俄国人让步,法国人无法做出让步啊！ Mr. Thomas, I suggested that you need to go to the street in Paris to walk, has a look at French People's attitude to this Near East war. ” 托马斯先生,我建议你有必要去巴黎的街上走走,看看法国民众对这次近东战争的态度。” Without the means that the French People of this age were constrained completely for a long time, eruption that was just released. 没有办法,这个年代的法国民众完全是被压抑久了,刚刚被释放出来的爆发。 Napoleon III starts to the suddenly war, may not only be only his will, but is the French People is discontented with the failure of anti-France war, wants to take revenge to the Russia person. 拿破仑三世发动对俄战争,可不仅仅只是他个人的意志,而是法国民众不满反法战争的失败,想要向俄国人复仇。 Under this ideological background, making the Paris government make the concession, this is to make Napoleon III get the hell out simply. 在这种思想背景下,让巴黎政府做出让步,这简直就是让拿破仑三世滚蛋。 Related to own interests, even if the English can flicker again, Napoleon III was impossible to compromise. 关系到了自己的利益,就算是英国人再能忽悠,拿破仑三世也不可能妥协。 The future threat, that is the future matter. Now if makes the concession, the French People may not have that long foresight, will immediately make him get the hell out. 未来的威胁,那是未来的事情。现在要是做出让步,法国民众可没有那么长的远见,马上就会让他滚蛋。 Arrived present this step, Near East war Napoleon III can unable to win, but cannot admit defeat absolutely, that fears is in the battlefield the loss of French armed forces is big, he must by one win can conclude. 到了现在这一步,近东战争拿破仑三世可以打不赢,但是绝对不能认输,那怕是战场上法军的损失再大,他也必须要以一场大胜才能够收尾。 Cannot make the Tsar government act in a play, makes a rout intentionally? Nicholas I who this matter soldier comes may be unable to do, that feared that is the benefit greatly is not again good. 总不能让沙皇政府演戏,故意制造一场大败吧？这种事情军人出身的尼古拉一世可干不出来,那怕是利益再大也不行。 The Tsar government could not lose similarly, loses the European hegemon position not to exist, the internal contradiction that was suppressed, will be detonated immediately, the matter of rising above self they may be unable to do. 沙皇政府同样也输不起,输了欧陆霸主的地位不复存在,被压制住的国内矛盾,马上就会被引爆,舍己为人的事情他们可干不出来。 ...... …… St. Petersburg 圣彼得堡 Franz is drifting along with one group of Russia aristocrats, basically every day is the food and drink plays happily, is living very luxurious life. 弗朗茨正在和一帮俄国贵族混日子,基本上每天都是吃喝玩儿乐,过着十分奢侈的生活。 Diplomatic public relation? Except for exchanged both countries with Nicholas I in the future the strategy, politically further communicates outside, the remaining things were the subordinate are responsible for discussing. 外交公关？除了和尼古拉一世交流了一下两国未来战略,在政治上进一步沟通外,剩下的事情都是手下人负责谈了。 About this German unified issue, Franz looked like the typical form raised, Nicholas I was also the reply of formulation, all deferred to the treaty of alliance stipulation office. 关于这次德意志统一的问题,弗朗茨只是象征式的提了一下,尼古拉一世也是公式化的回答,一切按照盟约规定办。 Then, most time that famous suddenly Alexander II will be receiving him in the future, Tsar is also very busy, every day has the official business to process, without so many time coming out waves. 然后,大多数时间都是未来那位大明鼎鼎俄亚历山大二世在接待他,沙皇也是很忙的,每天都有公务要处理,没有那么多时间出来浪。 Tours the scenic spot and historic resort in St. Petersburg, attended the aristocrat banquet, gangs up with the aristocrat young lady while convenient, in brief plays in St. Petersburg Franz. 游览圣彼得堡的名胜古迹,参加贵族宴会,顺便勾搭一下贵族小姐,总之在圣彼得堡弗朗茨玩儿的很嗨。 The aide officer said in the Franz ear in a low voice: „The Paris conference telegram that your majesty, Vienna transfers, please glance.” 侍从官低声在弗朗茨耳边说道:“陛下,维也纳转来的巴黎会议电报,请过目。” Benefits establishment in suddenly Austria Union, to strengthen the communication between two countries, the line telegraphy from St. Petersburg to Vienna connected finally. 得益于俄奥同盟的建立,为了加强两国间的沟通,圣彼得堡通往维也纳的有线电报总算是连通了。 Franz is Emperor that has the sense of responsibility, in St. Petersburg, the domestic matter also has not forgotten to pay attention even, particularly this Paris conference, is the key point of attention. 弗朗茨是一个有责任心的皇帝,就算是远在圣彼得堡,国内的事情同样没有忘记关注,尤其是这次巴黎会议,更是关注的重点。 Received the telegram, initially slightly looked, Franz had a headache, he has not thought that the English had/left the move in the final moment. 接过了电报,初略的看了一遍,弗朗茨就头疼了,他没有想到英国人在最后关头出招了。 Interferes with the allied armies, issue of winning this doesn't hit, but definitely cannot win! 干涉联军,这不是打不打的赢的问题,而是肯定打不赢啊！ This did not fire off one wave even, once the flames of war lit, wanted to stop not by the control of individual will. 这不是打完一波就算了,一旦战火点燃,想要停下来就不受个人意志的控制了。 The difficulty really must with the Russia person bind together, resists the entire continental Europe? This thought just raised, after by the brain of Franz throwing . 难度真的要和俄国人绑在一起,对抗整个欧洲大陆？这个念头刚刚升起,就被弗朗茨抛之脑后。 The Russia person has the geographical advantage, can definitely not instigate, Austria benefits is not good, once started turned into the frontline, lost the main point box lunch, winning is the loss is also serious, is doomed business Franz that lost money not to do. 俄国人有地缘优势,完全可以不怂,奥地利就不行了,一旦开打就变成了前线,打输了要领盒饭,打赢了也是损失惨重,注定亏损的买卖弗朗茨可不会做。 Read the European map, Franz made the decision. 看了看欧洲地图,弗朗茨做出了决定。 „To the domestic returned telegram, suggested that Ministry of Foreign Affairs and French communicate, but can also draw the Russia person together, makes us to carve up the stance of Prussia kingdom, looked how the English deals with.” “给国内回电,建议外交部和法国人沟通,还可以拉着俄国人一起,做出我们瓜分普鲁士王国的架势,看英国人怎么应付。” How does not have a look at the English to deal with, but looked how Prussian deals with. The English can also sit pretty, so long as continental Europe is not one-party rule, they can continue to play balanced. 不是看看英国人怎么应付,而是看普鲁士人怎么应付。英国人还可以稳坐钓鱼台,只要欧洲大陆不是一家独大,他们就可以继续玩儿平衡。 The Prussia kingdom was different, the French and Russian Austria three countries carve up Prussia, this is wanting their lives completely, one to one cannot win, a pair of three this weaponry has no way to hit. 普鲁士王国就不同了,法俄奥三国瓜分普鲁士,这完全就是在要他们的命,一对一都打不赢,一对三这仗根本就没法打。 The French obtain west of the Rhine territory, the Russia person attain to be Poland, the Austria advantage attains Berlin that part, seemingly very perfect. 法国人获得莱茵河以西的领土,俄国人拿到普属波兰,奥地利拿到柏林那一部分,看上去似乎是非常的完美。 No one needs to worry that the Austria advantage does in a big way, France , Russia expanded. By has divided the friendship of loot together, the Near East war can stop, after attaining the Rhineland area, Napoleon III can also have a confession to the people. 谁也不用担心奥地利做大,法俄都扩张了。凭借一起分过赃的交情,近东战争都可以停下来了,拿到了莱茵兰地区后,拿破仑三世也可以向民众们有个交代了。 Franz wants to look that Frederick- William IV receives the expression after this news, cannot attain the Southern Germany will area, makes the compensation with the interests of Prussia kingdom, as if can also accept to the Austria advantage. 弗朗茨非常想看腓特烈-威廉四世收到这个消息后的表情,拿不到南德意志地区,就拿普鲁士王国的利益做补偿,对奥地利来说似乎也可以接受。 The only trouble is the Prussia kingdom is an unyielding person, the Russia person is Poland to be easiest with, the French seizes the Rhineland area is not difficult, the Austria advantage must begin to the Berlin area, must go all out with the Prussia kingdom. 唯一的麻烦是普鲁士王国是个硬骨头,俄国人拿普属波兰最容易,法国人夺下莱茵兰地区也不难,奥地利要对柏林地区动手,就要和普鲁士王国拼命了。 Most troublesome once internecine strife is too intense, in the both sides hand stained the blood of opposite party, then the post-war rule was the hell transcription. 最麻烦的一旦火拼的太激烈,双方手中沾满了对方的鲜血,那么战后统治就是地狱副本。 Can refer to Switzerland specifically, originally is the ancestor place of Habsburg dynasty, is not powerful because of the initial ancestor, has not suppressed the aristocrat rebellion of Switzerland promptly, the time of battle grows the blood that in the both sides hand was stained with be too many, turned into the bitter enemy. 具体可以参考瑞士,本来就是哈布斯堡王朝的祖地,因为最初的老祖宗不给力,没有及时镇压瑞士的贵族叛乱,交战的时间长了双方手上沾的鲜血太多,变成了世仇。