Midsummer Vienna, is still cool. 盛夏的维也纳,依旧凉爽。 Schonbrunn Palace 美泉宫 Metternich said: „Your majesty, the Russia person proposed to us the request of arms purchase production line, from the pistol to the artillery is almost all-embracing.” 梅特涅说道:“陛下,俄国人向我们提出了购买武器生产线的要求,从手枪到火炮几乎是无所不包。” Franz knows that the Austria advantage snatched the interest of Russia arms group, this group of people will definitely have an action to perform, has not actually thought that their means unexpectedly are the arms purchase production lines. 弗朗茨知道奥地利抢了俄国军火集团的利益,这帮人肯定会有所动作,却没有想到他们的办法居然是购买武器生产线。 Thinks also right, what this age mechanical device technology is strongest is the English, Austria benefits and France follows, Belgium and Prussia industrial system does not improve is next again. 想想也对,这个年代机械设备技术最强的是英国人,奥地利和法国紧随其后,比利时和普鲁士工业体系不完善再次之。 The mechanical device that Russia person make, the maintenance cost did not say high, the equipment performance also can only say can use reluctantly, the production efficiency does not have the means and peer compares, purchases the overseas production line also to be compelled. 俄国人自己生产出来的机械设备,维护成本高不说,设备性能也只能说是勉强能用,生产效率也没有办法和同行比,购买国外的生产线也是被逼出来的。 UK , France are making war with the Russia person, even if can buy from UK , France to production line, they do not dare to use. The weapon production equipment is very sensitive, was not the civilian goods, the smuggling also smuggles. 英法正在和俄国人开战,就算是能够从英法买的到生产线,他们也不敢使用。武器生产设备还是非常敏感的,不是民用物资,走私也就走私了。 If purchases from Prussia and Belgium, is not. Austria weapon weapon that such a, frontline these expeditionary forces equip, the future maintenance they will unable to make. 如果从普鲁士、比利时购买,也不是不可以。只是这么一来,前线那些远征军装备的奥械武器,未来的维护他们就做不成了。 By the financial resource of Tsar government, do not count on that they can discard the value several million rubles weaponry, these equipment every year maintenances are also over a million rubles business. 以沙皇政府的财力,不要指望他们能够将价值几千万卢布的武器装备丢弃,这些设备每年的维护也是上百万卢布的生意。 The capitalists will unable to pass with money, for the maximum benefit, purchases the weapon production line that Austria benefits is very normal. 资本家不会和钱过不去,为了利益最大化,购买奥地利的武器生产线也很正常。 Franz said indifferently: „Selling to them was good. Even the same equipment, in the weaponry that in the Russia person hand makes, the quality must drop a scale.” 弗朗茨无所谓的说:“卖给他们好了。就算是同样的设备,在俄国人手中生产出来的武器装备,质量都要下降一个档次。” This is not he despises the Russia person, but is the fact. Because of the relations of government embezzlement and corruption, to gain bigger profit capitalists will definitely cheat on labor and materials. 这不是他鄙视俄国人,而是事实。因为政府贪污腐败的关系,为了获取更大的利润资本家们肯定会偷工减料。 According to Franz, rubbish weaponry that the Russia person native place purchases, in the price compared with international market is high. Making to might as well buy, comes. 据弗朗茨所者,俄国人本土采购的破烂货武器装备,比国际市场上的价格还高。造不如买,就是这么来的。 Weaponry that imports from the Austria advantage, the domestic budget compared with the actual import price, increase 20 ~ 50. This concrete proportion, must look to handle the moral integrity and ability of officials. 从奥地利进口的武器装备,国内预算要比实际进口价格,增加了20~50。这个具体比例,就要看经手官员们的节操和能力了。 Metternich reminded: „Your majesty, is to limit? If the Russia person attained the complete set production line, in the future to us is also a trouble.” 梅特涅提醒道:“陛下,是不是要限制一下？要是俄国人拿到了全套生产线,未来对我们也是一个麻烦。” Although this age does not have the view of technological embargo, is in the defense domain, is not the weaponry can buy, let alone weapon production cotton suiting? 尽管这个年代没有技术封锁的说法,可是在军工领域,也不是什么武器装备都能够买到的,更何况还是武器生产线呢？ Franz shakes the head saying: „ Doesn't matter, the technological change changes with each new day now. These equipment also calculate in ten years do not save, if after more than ten years, must be eliminated. 弗朗茨摇了摇头说:“没有关系,现在技术变革日新月异。这些设备在十年之内还算不存,要是十几年过后,恐怕又要被淘汰了。 Since the Russia person is willing to buy , helping them. Should better turn into the long-term customer them, advances our military industry technology upgrade with the profit that the transaction gets. ” 既然俄国人愿意买,就成全他们。最好把他们变成长期客户,用交易获得的利润来推进我们的军工产业技术升级。” Russia indeed is worth dreading, however the industrial technology of Russia really does not need extremely to care, under the rule of decayed Tsar government, their industries wants the great development is not not possible. 俄罗斯的确值得忌惮,但是俄罗斯的工业技术真没有必要太过在乎,在腐朽沙皇政府的统治下,他们的工业想要大发展都不可能。 Metternich continues saying: „ Your majesty, the Russia person also handed in the mortgage application. 梅特涅继续说道:“陛下,俄国人还提出了贷款申请。 According to the commercial trade, in the second quarter of 1852 and in the third quarter, we grew more than two times with the volume of trade of Russia person. 根据商业贸易来看,1852年第二季度和第三季度,我们同俄国人的贸易额增长了近两倍多。 Total trade volume of both sides Gundam/reaches as high as 292 million shield, our gross import 88 million shield, export amount 204 million shield, trade surplus 116 million shield. 双方的贸易总额高达2.92亿盾,其中我们进口总额8800万盾,出口总额2.04亿盾,贸易顺差1.16亿盾。 This some trade surpluses, are mainly the munitions and strategic resources exit|to speak, light/only these two export amounts reach as high as 83 million shield. 这部分贸易顺差,主要是军火和战略物资出口,光这两项的出口额就高达8300万盾。 Remaining is the civilian goods trade, because the relational UK , France commodity of war withdrew from the Russia market significantly, created the opportunity to us. 剩下的才是民用物资贸易,因为战争的关系英法商品大幅度退出了俄国市场,给我们创造了机会。 We provide to the loan of Russia person, they have used was similar. The strategic resources that earlier purchases, this battle will basically also consume from now on completely. 我们提供给俄国人的贷款,他们已经用的差不多了。前期购买的战略物资,这次会战过后基本上也就消耗殆尽。 If cannot obtain to win, perhaps next year the military expenses expenses of present Tsar government, will also continue to increase. ” 如果不能取得大胜,明年现在沙皇政府的军费开销,恐怕还会持续增加。” Franz calculated, this age everyone likes doing business with the Russia person, because they do not use the paper money, pays money with gold and silver directly.( Paper ruble was abandoned, international trade only uses gold ruble and silver ruble-settled) 弗朗茨盘算了起来,这个年代大家都喜欢和俄国人做生意,因为他们不用纸币,直接用金银付款。(纸卢布被弃用了,国际贸易只用金卢布和银卢布结算) The trade between suddenly Austria two countries, created immediate consequence, was massive gold and silver flows in Austria to benefit the state treasury, then turned into the paper money inflow market. 俄奥两国间的贸易,造成的直接后果,就是大量的金银流入了奥地利国库,然后变成了纸币流入市场。 From the perspective of currency, the inflows of some gold and silver, Franz makes the Central Bank stamp the paper money the risk, had been digested by the market.( Paper money and gold and silver are not 1 : 1 release, according to economic condition establishment lever) 从货币的角度上来说,这部分金银的流入,弗朗茨让中央银行加印纸币的风险,已经被市场消化掉了。(纸币和金银不是1:1发行的,根据经济情况设置杠杆) Franz thinks saying: „ With the Russia person discussed slowly do not worry, tells them, our financial resource are not wealthy, no ability provides the huge loan to them. 弗朗茨想了想说:“和俄国人慢慢谈不要着急,告诉他们,我们的财力也不富裕,没有能力给他们提供巨额贷款。 Reduces the loan amount as far as possible, delays the loan time, making the Russia person put out many Jin Yinlai to pay money, do not raise in the loan interest too requests, the supplemental condition can also give up. 尽量压低贷款数额,拖延贷款时间,让俄国人拿出更多的金银来付款,在贷款利息上不要提太多要求,附加条件也可以放弃。 We can also help them distribute part of debt volumes, must be the government debt volume, best the collateral, the war debt volume estimate won't sell, this interest rate makes Russia person decide, can sell on the line. ” 我们还可以帮他们发行一部分债卷,必须是政府债卷,最好有抵押品,战争债卷估计卖不动,这个利率让俄国人自己定,能销售出去就行。” If before the Near East war breaks out, both countries are also in the equal standing, is with the eruption of war, the initiative that Austria benefits is getting bigger and bigger. 如果说近东战争爆发前,两国还处在平等地位,可是随着战争的爆发,奥地利的主动权越来越大。 Now because of the relations of war, massive gold and silver flowed, created in the Austria benefit for the nation the abnormal boom of economy, this prosperous back still has very big hidden danger. 现在因为战争的关系,大量的金银流入,造成了奥地利国内经济的畸形繁荣,这繁荣的背后还存在着很大的隐患。 If the Austria advantage provides too many loans to Russia now, either reassigns fund in the domestic market, either issues additionally continues the currency. 如果现在奥地利向俄国提供太多的贷款,要么抽调国内市场上的资金,要么增发继续货币。 The former does not favor Austria benefitting the economic development, the latter is easy to create the inflation. This is the economical mass creates, is so big by the economic output that Austria benefits, stamps some money markets to digest, once crossed the quantity, that digestion. 前者不利于奥地利经济发展,后者容易造成通货膨胀。这是经济体量造成的,以奥地利的经济总量就这么大,加印部分货币市场可以消化,一旦过了量,那就消化不了了。 The best way first makes the Russia gold and silver flow , the reserve of state treasury increased, the expansion of market, then stamped the currency not to have the inflation. 最好的办法就是先让俄国的金银流入,国库的储备金增加了,市场扩大了,再加印货币就不存在通货膨胀了。 Metternich reminded: „Perhaps your majesty, we can requests the Russia person to pay the payment for goods the time, puts out some Jin Yinlai, can reduce our risks.” 梅特涅提醒道:“陛下,或许我们可以要求俄国人支付货款的时候,拿出一部分金银来,就可以降低我们的风险。” Franz shakes the head saying: „ Temporarily has not needed, our risks also in controllable range. Urgently do not remind the Russia person, now their gold and silver flows in the speed of our country, is very quick. 弗朗茨摇了摇头说:“暂时还不需要,我们的风险还在可控范围内。不要急着去提醒俄国人,现在他们金银流入我国的速度,可是非常的快。 The rapid growth of our domestic economy, depended may, not only this war. 我们国内经济的高速发展,靠的可不只是这场战争。 Mr. Metternich, you have not possibly noticed, recently in six months the UK , France capital flooded into Austria to benefit crazily, the total investment was more than doubled compared with the same period last year. In market that in fact Austria benefits, does not lack gold and silver. 梅特涅先生,你可能没有注意到,最近半年内英法资本疯狂涌入奥地利,投资总额较去年同期增长了一倍多。实际上奥地利的市场上,已经不缺金银了。 According to the past convention, the Russo-Turkish War will continue long time, these capitalists counted on that makes one's own way by this war, benefits the investment to put up a factory in Austria. 按照以往的惯例,俄土战争都会持续很长时间,这些资本家都指望靠这次战争发家致富,纷纷在奥地利投资建厂。 Because the information not unimpeded relations, they do not know that recently increased many peers, has not considered the demand of Russia person commodity to commodity, is not infinite. 因为信息不畅通的关系,他们都不知道最近增加了多少同行,更没有考虑到俄国人物资对物资的需求量,也不是无限的。 The market is insane, Carl that fellow soon scared, for fear that the economic crisis breaks out, has formulated several sets of contingency plan. 市场已经疯了,卡尔那家伙都快要吓坏了,生怕经济危机爆发,已经制定了好几套应急预案。 From capitalist market economy rule, once the war ended, Austria benefits the economy to face the transformation difficult issue immediately. 从资本主义市场经济规律来看,一旦战争结束,奥地利经济马上就会面临转型难的问题。 The capitalists who earlier enter the stadium are good, they got the profit, can support them to transform. The capitalist who later comes was miserable, they have not made money, must face the transformation, the bankrupt tide must have. 前期入场的资本家们还好,他们获得了利润,可以支撑他们转型。后期进来的资本家就惨了,他们还没赚到钱,就要面临转型,破产潮是少不了的。 At this time, helping the Russia person digest part of debt volumes, fell warm to the fiery market, was a good choice. ” 这个时候,帮俄国人消化一部分债卷,给火热的市场降一下温,也是一个不错的选择。” Since knows the economic crisis, why the Austria Libyan government hasn't stopped? Answer unusual reality, for couple of child-bearing age, to pick up domestic development speed. 既然知道经济危机,奥地利政府为什么还不制止呢？答案非常的现实,为了增加财政收入,为了加快国内的发展速度。 If this economical upsurge continues, only takes after 2-3 years, the economic output that Austria benefits can surpass France. Even bubble burst, these capital left behind a lot of family properties to the Austria advantage similarly. 如果这种经济热潮持续下去,只需要2-3年过后,奥地利的经济总量就可以超越法国。就算是泡沫破灭,这些资本同样给奥地利留下了大量的家底。 Money throws easily, wanted to pull out to be difficult. Once turned into the workshop and mechanical device this real estate, wanting the realization is not easy. 钱投进来容易,想要抽出去就难了。一旦变成了厂房、机械设备这中不动产,想要变现可不容易。 These by the capitalist of locking, were continued the development that is Austria benefits to make the contribution either, either shears the meat to leave, historically the US develops. 这些被套牢的资本家,要么继续为奥地利的发展做贡献,要么割肉走人,历史上美国就是这么发展起来的。 So long as gained enough advantage in this war, increased the market absorption capacity, can minimize the influence of economic crisis. When the time comes Franz did not mind makes the government interfere with the market, compulsion makes the economy land. 只要在这次战争中获得了足够的好处,增加了市场容量,就可以把经济危机的影响降到最低。到时候弗朗茨不介意让政府干涉市场,强制让经济着陆。 Did to meet the pit dead many capitalists, may not relate with Franz, he was not Holy Mother. 这么干会坑死了多少资本家,可和弗朗茨没有关系,他又不是圣母。 The investment has the risk, entering the market is discrete. 投资有风险,入市需谨慎。 ...... …… When the Near East war captures the attention, suddenly Austria both countries made a large amount of deal silently, has not aroused the least bit mighty waves. 在近东战争吸引外界目光的时候,俄奥两国悄然无声的达成了一笔巨额交易,没有激起半点儿波澜。 The arms trade is the unusual sudden and huge profits, particularly sells the weapon production line, and transfer production technology time, but must add on the value good, sudden and huge profits. 军火贸易是非常暴利的,尤其是卖武器生产线、和转让生产技术的时候,还要加上产品附加值,就更加暴利了。 The large amount of profit, made Austria Libyan government high and low unusual satisfaction. 巨额的利润,令奥地利政府上下都非常的满意。 This is not the one-off business, if the relations of two countries have continued to get down in a friendly way, relatives with same surname's moral integrity, they likely pack the following promotion business as a means of together to Austria benefit. 这还不是一次性生意,如果两国的关系一直持续友好下去,以资本家们的节操,他们很可能把后续的升级业务一起打包给奥地利。 „Making to might as well buy” basic reason, is researches and develops, the production cost is too high. Why later generation so many enterprises crave in the import, don't they know the independently developed advantage? “造不如买”的根本原因,就是研发、制造成本太高。为什么后世那么多企业热衷于进口,难道他们不知道自主研发的好处么？ The most essential point is the research and development invests, harvests and pays often is not proportional, not only need spend lots of time, but also was full of the uncertainty. 最关键的一点就是研发投入,收获和付出往往都是不成正比的,不但要消耗大量时间,还充满了不确定性。 To craving capitalist of money-making, large amount of invests in this aspect, really cannot the maximum benefit. If the luck is not good, dropped down in the eve of harvest. 对热衷于赚钱的资本家来说,在这方面巨额投入,真的不能利益最大化。要是运气不好,在收获的前夜就倒下了。 The weapon research and development are so, but also needs the necessary industrial system. The Russia person fell behind in these aspects, the enterprise independently developed risk was bigger. 武器研发更是如此,还需要配套的工业体系。俄国人在这些方面落后了,企业自主研发的风险就更大了。 If some military enterprise makes the research and development, does not wait for them to do the achievement to come, the population import production line went into production. 如果某一家军工企业做研发,不等他们搞出成果来,人口进口生产线都投产了。 How will the Tsar government choose? To army equipment technology mature equipment, performance indefinite product that waits for them to research and develop? 沙皇政府会怎么选择？给军队装备技术成熟的先进装备,还是等他们研发的性能不确定产品？ The Austria advantage relaxed all weapons exports limits, no matter what Russia person self selection production line, Tsar government naturally very happy, this opportunity may be rarely seen. 奥地利放开了所有的武器出口限制,任俄国人自由挑选生产线,沙皇政府自然是非常的高兴,这种机会可不多见。 Must know various European countries to limit the Russia person, is primarily the end product in the defense domain exit|to speak, regarding the production line exit|to speak is very discrete. 要知道欧洲各国为了限制俄国人,在军工领域出口以成品为主,对于生产线出口都是非常谨慎的。 If purchases the end product, in the event of the war was blocked, is unable to continue to obtain these weaponry, the Tsar government supports the domestic military enterprise. 如果只是购买成品,一旦发生战争被封锁,就无法继续获得这些武器装备,沙皇政府才扶持国内的军工企业。 The production line did not have this type to be worried, this year Russia military enterprise most equipment was the imported goods, they did not mind that continued to import, so long as can safeguard the munitions supply on the line. 生产线就没有这种担心了,这年头俄国军工企业大半的设备都是进口货,他们不介意继续进口下去,只要能够保障军火供应就行。 The future matter, everyone could not consider that was so far. Theoretically so long as the overall industrial technology came up, the defense system naturally also came up, both are complement one another. 未来的事情,大家考虑不了那么远。理论上只要总体工业技术上去了,军工体系自然也就上去了,两者是相辅相成的。 In the history the development of Russia military technology, is when deterioration with the western world relations, more fierce that both sides resist, their technology advancements are also faster. 历史上俄国军工技术的发展,都是在与西方世界关系的恶化的时候,双方对抗的越厉害,他们的技术进步也就越快。 The present is the wartime years, no one considered so many, even if some people saw the crisis that possibly had, is unable to oppose. 现在是战争年代,更没有人考虑那么多了,就算有人看到了可能存在的危机,也无法反对。 From the perspective of development, there is an off-the-shelf equipment that Austria benefits to disassemble the learn/study, their technology advancement speed will be faster, can knockoff come out again badly. 从发展的角度上来说,有奥地利的现成设备可以拆卸学习,他们的技术进步速度还会更快,再不济也可以山寨出来。 ...... ……