Since receiving the message that the Prussiagovernmentgave, the Austriasenior government officialsfeelingis not instantaneously good.
自从收到了普鲁士政府传递的消息后,奥地利政府高层瞬间就感觉不好了。
Are the Englishcompetentthismatterto come? Everyoneradicallysuspicion, John Bull'smoral integrityonly thensuchhigh.
英国人能不能干出这件事来?大家根本就没有怀疑,约翰牛的节操就只有这么的高。In the previousFrankfurtconference, the Englishput forward the proposal of seperateGermanyfederation. Nowtheytoimplementthisplan, bring the diplomatic pressureon the Prussiakingdom, is completely the normal operation.
在上一次法兰克福会议上,英国人就提出了拆分德意志联邦的建议。现在他们为了实施这一计划,向普鲁士王国施加外交压力,完全是正常操作。Franzalsohas a scare, is really the motive that the Englishcompletelyhasdoes, thisistheirnational policies- Europeanbalancedstrategicdecision.弗朗茨也吓了一跳,实在是英国人完全有这么干的动机,这是他们的国策-欧陆平衡战略决定的。According tothisplan, the Germanfederationbecomesgreat nationsandtwomiddle-gradecountries. Not onlyhascertainstrengthto preventFrance , Russiato continueexpandstoCentral Europe, andhas not donethreatenstheirpositiongreatly the possibility.
按照这项计划,德意志联邦就变成一个大国和两个中等国家。既有一定实力阻挡法俄继续向中欧扩张,又没有做大威胁他们地位的可能。SuchEuropeanpatternis theoretically stablest, noreasoningvery soonwhichcountryexpandstoEurope, will encounterat least the resistance of over twocountries, in additionsupport of Englishisreadyproper.
这样的欧洲格局理论上最稳定的,无论法俄哪个国家向欧洲扩张,都会遭到至少其中两个以上国家的抵制,加上英国人的支持那是妥妥的。Whowantsto unify the Germanarea, mustprepare forselectsEuropeanmajorbig powersonly, thatfeared that was the Austriaadvantageearned the support of Russiaperson, did not have the successfulpossibility.
谁想要统一德意志地区,就必须要做好单挑欧洲各大列强的准备,那怕是奥地利获得了俄国人的支持,也没有成功的可能。
It is not Franzunderestimates itself, Germansmallstate that dispersesisin a state of disunitynothing to be worried, oncetheymergeto become a country, even the wastematerial can still pull out300,000-400,000armiesagain.
不是弗朗茨低估自己,分散开的德意志小邦国是一盘散沙不足为虑,可是一旦他们合并成为一个国家,就算是再废材也可以拉出300,000-400,000军队来。In addition the ginseng/partake of UK , Francegather, only if in the AustriaLillah the Prussiakingdomcarves upthisnewcountrytogether, otherwiseissuddenlyAustriaVSUK , FranceGermanysmallstate, even may also present the armies of otherEuropean countries.
再加上英法的参合,除非是奥地利拉上普鲁士王国一起瓜分这个新生国家,否则的话就是俄奥VS英法普德意志小邦国,甚至还有可能出现其它欧洲国家的军队。Draws the method of allyto the English, Franzdoes not doubt. It is estimated thatBelgiumandHollandwill jointo preventin the Germanareaunifiedranks, perhapsSwitzerlandwill hold the knife that Austriabenefits.
对英国人拉盟友的手段,弗朗茨是毫不怀疑。估计比利时、荷兰都会加入进去阻止德意志地区统一的行列中,没准瑞士都会捅奥地利的刀子。Odds of successwhere? Franzhad not discoveredin any case. Only ifplacesin the battlefieldRussia, can perhaps freeze to death the enemyby the winter.
胜算在哪里?反正弗朗茨是没有发现。除非把战场放在俄罗斯境内,没准可以靠冬天冻死敌人。Naturallydreadsto turn over to dread, the AustriaLibyan governmenthad not instigated.
当然忌惮归忌惮,奥地利政府还是没有怂。
The Russian Empiregood and evil is also Europeanhegemon, in everyone mind the RussiapersonselectsUK , Franceto have no issueon the landonly, the AustriaadvantagelevelsPrussiaandGermanstate can also achieve.
俄罗斯帝国好歹也是欧陆霸主啊,在大家的心目中俄国人在陆地上单挑英法没啥问题,奥地利摆平普鲁士和德意志邦国也是做得到的。In their opinion, onlytroublesomegeographical position. Feared that UK , Franceput the Russiapersonnot to hit, catchesAustriato benefitpunches, thatmustend the calf.
在他们看来,唯一的麻烦地理位置。就怕英法放着俄国人不打,就逮着奥地利往死里揍,那就要完犊子了。Someconfidenceare always good, at leastprovedAustriabenefits the empirenot to degenerate, the arrogance of great nationalso, ifheardthisnewsgovernmentto instigate, thatFranzreallycould not drive.
有信心总是好的,起码证明了奥地利帝国还没有堕落,大国的傲气还在,要是听到这个消息政府就怂了,那弗朗茨就真的带不动了。Metternich'sangrysaying: „Your majesty, the presentsituation, we need to drawPrussiakingdom, so long astheyinsisted, the sinister intention of Englishwas impossibleto realize.”
梅特涅愤怒的说道:“陛下,现在的情况来看,我们有必要拉普鲁士王国一把,只要他们坚持住了,英国人的险恶用心就不可能实现。”Althoughhealsoopposed that expandsbeforeto the Germanarea, butthatisbefore, since suddenlyAustriasecret treatysigns, Metternichchanged the standpointslowly.
虽然他之前也反对向德意志地区扩张,可那是之前,自从俄奥密约签订过后,梅特涅就慢慢的转变了立场。HisclearAustriabenefittedcould not have turned head, besides the expansioninfluence, strengthened the strengthas far as possible, has had no alternative. But the westboundGermanareaisinthisstrategyessentialonepoint.
他清楚奥地利已经回不了头了,除了对外扩张势力,尽可能的壮大自身实力外,已经别无选择。而西进德意志地区又是这项战略中必不可少的一环。Without the population of Southern Germanywillarea, the Austriaadvantagewants the expansion, it is estimated thatlight/onlyimplements the Balkanstrategy, mustspend20-30years of time to digest.
没有南德意志地区的人口,奥地利想要对外扩张,估计光实施巴尔干战略,就要花费20-30年的功夫才能够消化掉。
Such longtime, the strength of various countriesdoes not know that grewwhatsituation. In the age of thislaw of the jungle, oncefalls behindmeans that the dangersoonarrived.
这么长的时间,各国的实力不知道又增长到了什么地步。在这个弱肉强食的年代,一旦掉了队就意味着危险快要降临了。Prime MinisterFelixthinks saying: „ Thisnewsis the Prussiagovernmentputs, perhapstheydo not wantto compromise.
费利克斯首相想了想说:“这个消息是普鲁士政府放出来的,恐怕他们也不想妥协。Mr.Metternichbyyouunderstandingof the Prussiakingdom, ifwepropose that nowcarves up the Germanareajointly, probability that hecomplies withbig? ”
梅特涅先生以你对普鲁士王国的了解,假如我们现在提出联手瓜分德意志地区,他答应的几率有多大?”Metternichanalyzes saying: „ Howthatmustlookcarved up, butIestimated that is very difficultto reach an agreement.
梅特涅分析道:“那要看怎么瓜分了,不过我估计很难达成一致。
The failure of Second Schleswig War, the radical factions of Prussiamilitarycame under the attack, buttheystill have big influence on the government.
普丹战争的失败,普鲁士军方的激进派受到了打击,可是他们对政府依然有很大的影响力。As scheduledwemustannex the Southern Germanywillarea, the northernGermanyareacaneat upmanyto calculatemany, even ifwemake the concessionnow, moststillon the giving upnorthernGermanyarea.
按照原计划我们要吞并南德意志地区,北德意志地区是能吃下多少算多少,就算现在我们做出让步,最多也就放弃北德意志地区。Thesebenefitsare not necessarily ableto force-feed the radical faction of Prussiamilitary, butmanypeople in Prussiagovernmentshouldsatisfy, is noteveryonehas the ambition.
这些利益未必能够喂饱普鲁士军方的激进派,不过普鲁士政府中的很多人应该会满足了,不是所有人都这么有野心。
The pressure that if the Englishbringstothemwas big, perhapsin the Prussiagovernmentsomepeoplewill be compellingFrederick- William IVandwecompromises. ”
如果英国人给他们施加的压力大了,没准普鲁士政府中会有人逼着腓特烈-威廉四世和我们妥协。”Nowrelations of Austriaalsoon, secretlyeveryonemutuallyunderevil behind-the-scenes manipulator, butonhas not torn to pieces the facial skinoutwardly, everyoneis still cooperatinginmanyissuesmutually.
现在普奥的关系还将就,暗地里大家互相下黑手,可是明面上还没有撕破脸皮,在很多问题上大家还在相互合作。According to the plan of English, the Prussiakingdom is almost the woolfishesis less thanone, was expelled the Germanfederationbyothers.
按照英国人的计划,普鲁士王国几乎是毛都捞不到一根,就被人家赶出了德意志联邦。Ifcarves up the Germanareawith the AustriaLibyan governmentjointly, but can also obtain the wealthynorthernGermanarea, simultaneouslymakes the Prussiakingdomincreasehalf ofpopulation.
要是和奥地利政府联手瓜分德意志地区,还可以获得富裕的北德意志地区,同时让普鲁士王国增加一半的人口。Theseharvests can also make the Prussiakingdomgo a step further, stands firmin the big powers, is notpresentsuchawkwardbeing suspended in midair.
这些收获还可以让普鲁士王国更进一步,在列强中站稳脚跟,不在是现在这样尴尬的不上不下。Franzthinks saying: „ Thatfirst and Prussiagovernmentsecretcontacts, the matter of suddenlyAustriasecret treatytheyare not clear.弗朗茨想了想说:“那就先和普鲁士政府秘密接触,俄奥密约的事情他们还不清楚。Even ifcarved up the Germanareanewsto divulge, so long aswerefused stubbornlyto acknowledge, UK , Francenot possiblewehow. ”
就算是瓜分德意志地区消息泄露了出去,只要我们死不承认,英法也不可能把我们怎么样。”LuisArchdukeproposed: „Your majesty, whatifwemakenow, kicksto be eliminatedtaking advantage of the handlePrussiakingdom of English, canbe favorableforus?”路易斯大公提议道:“陛下,如果我们现在做点什么,借英国人的手把普鲁士王国踢出局,会不会对我们更有利一些?”Cankeep everything for oneself, whycantaketo carve up?
可以吃独食,为什么要拿出来瓜分?IfUK , Franceforcejointly, Austriabenefits below evil behind-the-scenes manipulator, perhapsin additionBavariathis25young, the Prussiakingdomwill not really be able to withstand the pressure.
要是英法联手逼迫,奥地利在下黑手,加上巴伐利亚这个二五仔,普鲁士王国没准真的会顶不住压力。ThisRussiapersonwill certainly not supportPrussia, withoutotherreasons, greatTsaryour majestybears a grudge.
这次俄国人肯定不会支持普鲁士,没有其他原因,伟大的沙皇陛下是记仇的。Bybody waste that the Russiabureaucratflatters, will first complete the mattermostly, thenannounced successtoNicholas I.
以俄国官僚拍马屁的屎尿性,多半会先把事情办成了,然后再向尼古拉一世报捷。
The special details, canrefer to the previousChristmasto offer a gift, Russiarepresentscompels the Prussiagovernmentto withdraw troopsbefore the Christmas.
具体情况,可以参考上一次圣诞献礼,俄国代表就逼着普鲁士政府在圣诞节前撤军。Keeping everything for oneselfnaturallywasgood, butmustprepare forby the Prussiakingdombehindis heldpreviousblade. IfcansuppressPrussia, naturallycando.
吃独食自然是好了,只不过要做好被普鲁士王国背后捅上一刀的准备。如果能把普鲁士打压下去,当然可以干。So long asAustriabenefits the empireagainpowerfulsuch1-2 points, Russian Empiredoes not havereallyto degenerate, thenFranzdid not mind that eatsalonefoodtime.
只要奥地利帝国再强大那么1-2,俄罗斯帝国也没有真的堕落,那么弗朗茨不介意吃一次独食。Franzshakes the head saying: „ Withoutis so easy, atthiscritical moment, manyfriend, is better than manyenemy.弗朗茨摇了摇头说:“没有那么容易,在这种关键时刻,多一个朋友,比多一个敌人好。
The Austriaadvantageannexesafter the Southern Germanywillarea, ourstrategic goalshave been achieved, northGermanystategives up, gave up.奥地利吞并南德意志地区过后,我们的战略目的就已经达到了,北部德意志邦国放弃,也就放弃了。Extremelywas being chokedgreedilyeasily. Ourcards in a handaresuddenlyAustriasecret treaties, is the Russiaperson is not so necessarily reliable.
太过贪婪容易被噎着。我们的底牌是俄奥密约,可是俄国人未必有那么可靠。If by some chancetheyare present at workwhen the time comesdo not strive, withoutsuppressing the Prussiakingdom, wewanted the war on two fronts. ”
万一到时候他们出工不出力,没有压制住普鲁士王国,我们就要两线作战了。”Normally, the Prussiagovernmentwill not agreeallocation plan that Austriabenefits, but the news of suddenlyAustriasecret treaty, oncecomes outbrightly, the Prussiagovernmentwill definitely compromise.
正常情况下,普鲁士政府不会同意奥地利的分配方案,可是俄奥密约的消息一旦亮出来,普鲁士政府肯定会妥协。Thisis the reality, thatfeared that UK , Francemakemanypromises, does not have anyfunction.
这就是现实,那怕英法做出再多的许诺,也没有任何作用。Wholets the PrussiakingdomandsuddenlyAustriasuffersis too near? Ifdaresto mixwithUK , Francein the same place, it is estimated thatcannot wait forUK , France'sreinforcements, theymustendahead of time.
谁让普鲁士王国和俄奥挨的太近呢?要是敢和英法搅和在一起,估计等不到英法的援兵,他们就要提前落幕了。
The Northern Europeanthreepalacealliances, in factare the geopoliticsdecisions, AustriabenefittedandRussiacollaborated, the Prussiakingdomdoes not wantto fall into the dangerous situation, can only joininthisalliance.
北欧三宫廷联盟,实际上就是地缘政治决定的,奥地利和俄罗斯联手了,普鲁士王国不想陷入危险境地,只能加入这个联盟中。OtherwiseconcludesaftersuddenlyAustriasecret treaty, the firstresponse of Nicholas Iwill not bewill draw the Prussiakingdomto join union, thiswill not beeveryone'srelations, butwill be the possibility that the Prussiakingdomwill joinis very big.
不然在俄奥密约缔结过后,尼古拉一世的第一反应也不会是拉普鲁士王国入盟,这不是大家的关系好,而是普鲁士王国加入的可能性很大。Because of the Second Schleswig War, the Tsargovernmenthas totemporarilygive upthisattractiveplan, the Russiapersonworried the Prussiagovernmentwill leak the news.
因为普丹战争,沙皇政府不得不暂时放弃这个诱人的打算,俄国人还是担心普鲁士政府会把消息泄露出去。IfcannothitUK , Franceoneto be caught off guard, the strategy of Russiaperson is very difficultto succeed. Ifthere areUK , Franceto transfuse blood, the battle efficiency that the Ottomanempirecanerupt, cannot be underestimated.
如果不能打英法一个措手不及,俄国人的战略是很难成功的。要是有英法输血,奥斯曼帝国能够爆发的战斗力,同样不容小觑。This is also the key that the AustriaLibyan governmentwestboundstrategycansucceed, after alltheyfollowto beginbehind the Russiaperson, wait forUK , Franceto form a teamandRussiapersonPKstart, Austriawill benefitwill act.
这也是奥地利政府西进战略能够成功的关键,毕竟他们是跟在俄国人后面动手,等英法组队过去和俄国人PK开始,奥地利才会行动。Profitsfrom the Viennasystem, the military power of Frenchwas weakenedsignificantly, now their armyismany, but the mobilization systemhas shattered.
受益于维也纳体系,法国人的军事实力被大幅度削弱,现在他们的军队是不少,可是动员机制已经坏掉了。In order toavoid the suppression of various European countries, PhilipEmperor the army that putson the native placeare not many, not to mentionstockpiledmassivereserve duties.
为了避免欧洲各国的打压,菲利普皇帝在本土放的军队都不多,更不用说储备大量的预备役了。
The active army of Frenchalso300,000, oncesendshundreds of thousands and Russiapersongoes to war, theycanintervene the army that Austriabenefits is not many.
法国人的现役陆军也就三十万,一旦派出去十几万和俄国人干仗,他们能够干预奥地利的军队就不多了。
The mass productioncauses the qualitative change, Austriabenefits, so long aspreparesenoughfull, the army that mobilizesare manyenough, if the Frenchintervenes, puncheddirectlyon the line.
量产引起质变,奥地利只要准备的足够充分,动员起来的军队足够多,法国人要是干预,直接揍回去就行了。
The Frenchdefeatedto be basically similaronetime, when the time comesNapoleon IIIfought fireinternallywithout enough time, where could also attend toAustriabenefitting?
法国人败一次基本上就差不多了,到时候拿破仑三世在国内灭火都来不及,哪里还顾得上奥地利?As for the Prussiakingdom, Franzpreparesto actto start, firstputs500,000armiesinAustriaboundary, thenseduces the Russiapersonwith the strategic resources, the army of east line as centralizedas the Prussiaboundary.
至于普鲁士王国,弗朗茨准备行动开始,先放五十万军队在普奥边界上,再用战略物资诱惑俄国人,把东线的军队集中到普俄边界。If the Austriaadvantagekeeps everything for oneself, perhaps the Prussiakingdomwill also conduct the military adventure, comesbrokenaxeto becomeZhoutime. NowbutFranzalsokeeps an advantagetothem, the Prussiagovernment can only compromise.
要是奥地利吃独食,没准普鲁士王国还会进行军事冒险,来一次破斧成舟。可是现在弗朗茨也给他们留了一份好处,普鲁士政府就只能妥协了。Everyonehas the family/hometo haveindustry, leads the Prussiagovernmentis notnaive delinquent, howpossiblyblindadventure?
大家都有家有业,执掌普鲁士政府的又不是中二少年,怎么可能盲目的冒险呢?Even the radical faction, it is estimated that must choosefirsteats the northernGermanareato sayagain. So long asthisbaitwere eaten, the Prussiakingdomalso can only stop the digestionvictory.
就算是激进派,估计也要选择先吃掉北德意志地区再说。只要这个诱饵被吃下去,普鲁士王国也就只能停下来消化战果了。
......
……Originallyhasto intendwith the Prussiagovernment that Austriabenefits the union, naturallycannotrejectthrowing of AustriaLibyan governmentolive branch.
本来就有有意和奥地利联合的普鲁士政府,自然不会拒绝奥地利政府的抛出来的橄榄枝了。Factsshowed, the AustriaLibyan governmentmade a mistakeregarding the judgment of Prussiakingdom, experiencedafter the failure of Second Schleswig War, the strategy of Prussiagovernmentinternalmanypeople'stounifyingGermanylostconfidence.
事实证明,奥地利政府对于普鲁士王国的判断错了,经历了普丹战争的失败过后,普鲁士政府内部很多人对统一德意志的战略丧失了信心。Thisis the sorrowfulplace of small country, cannot withstand the failure. Afterfailure, everyone'sconfidencedid not have.
这是小国的悲哀之处,承受不起失败。失败过后,大家的信心就没了。Mustknow that pilltwo countriestrucetreatysigning, the internal contradictions of Prussiakingdomerupted, the Revolutionary Party memberstages the revoltagain, butrevoltquicklybyarmysuppressing.
要知道普丹两国停战条约一签订,普鲁士王国的内部矛盾就爆发了,革命党人再次发动起义,只不过起义很快被军队给镇压了下去。Under this situation, Frederick- the William IVstablepolitical powerwithout enough time, unifies the strategic planning of Germanarea, had been thrownbeyond the highest heavensbythem.
在这种背景下,腓特烈-威廉四世稳固政权都来不及,统一德意志地区的战略计划,早就被他们丢到了九霄云外。In the history, after the Prussiakingdomplansuffers setbacks, similarlyfell into the ebb tide. Until after the iron chancellormounts the stage, througha series ofstrategic maneuvering, won the secondDanishwar, recalled the morale.
历史上,普鲁士王国计划受挫之后,同样陷入了低潮。直到铁血宰相上台过后,通过一系列的合纵连横,打赢了第二次丹麦战争,才挽回了士气。With the efforts of Bismarck, Prussianhad the courageto initiate the challengeto the Austriaadvantage, after winningAustriawar, the Prussiaarmycompleted the transformation.
在俾斯麦的努力下,普鲁士人又鼓起勇气向奥地利发起了挑战,赢得了普奥战争后,普鲁士军队才完成了蜕变。ManyexpertsthinkPrussiawonafter the war, the Prussiagovernmentlets off the Austriamoney pouchdiplomacylayout, will avoidin the futureFranco-Prussian War, behind the Austriaadvantagewill hold the knife.
很多专家学者认为普鲁士赢得战争过后,普鲁士政府放过奥地利是外交布局,避免未来的普法战争中,奥地利背后捅刀子。AndBismarckwas worried after annexesAustriato benefit, causesinnewGerman EmpireCatholicto increase, triggers the domesticreligious conflict.
以及俾斯麦担心吞并奥地利过后,造成新生的德意志帝国中天主教徒增加,引发国内的宗教矛盾。Franzactuallydid not think so, even ifcannotannexAustriato benefit, cedes territory and pays indemnitiesis not good?弗朗茨却不这么看,就算不能吞并奥地利,难道割地赔款也不行么?Mustknow that the historicalAustriawar, the Austriaadvantagelost the war, the major damagemanifestspolitically, the price in factpayingis not big.
要知道历史上的普奥战争,奥地利输了战争,主要损失还是体现在政治上,实际上付出的代价并不大。Placesthistime, Franzknows that the fiscalsituation in Prussiakingdomis bad. In light ofthensituation, Austriabenefittedhasstrength of the war.
身处这个时代,弗朗茨才知道普鲁士王国的财政情况有多么糟糕。结合当时的情况,奥地利并非没有一战之力。Afterdecisive battlefailure, the mobilization of reserve in Austriabenefit for the nationsoonwas also completed, if the Prussiakingdomdoes not quit when you're ahead, will turn into a protracted war.
决战失败过后,奥地利国内的预备役动员也快要完成了,如果普鲁士王国不见好就收,就会变成一场持久战。Looked atafter the witheredwallet, Bismarcknaturallychosequitting when you're aheaddecisively.
看了看干瘪的钱包过后,俾斯麦自然是果断的选择了见好就收。
The benefitstrivesby the strength, sinceAustriabenefits the strengthstillto save, the price that thenmustpayis not naturally big.
利益都是靠实力争取的,既然奥地利实力犹存,那么要付出的代价自然就不大了。If the AustriaLibyan governmentabandoned something as beyond redemptionat that time, perhaps the choice and Prussiakingdomdiedto knock, anythingdoes not needto pay, waits for the Prussiakingdomnot to havemoneynaturallyto draw back troops.
如果奥地利政府当时破罐子破摔,选择和普鲁士王国死磕到底,没准什么都不用付出,等普鲁士王国没钱了自然就退兵了。
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