HRE :: Volume #2

#144: Had a headache strategy


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The difficult problem in Franz eye, looks like in the person of this age is not the issue. 弗朗茨眼中的难题,在这个年代的人看来都不是问题。 Analyzes from the construction cost, the maximum disparities between these four sets of standards 1.2, in other words the construction cost of railroad is not the primary factor that the influence decides. 从建设成本上分析,这四套标准之间的最大差距不过1.2,也就是说铁路的建设成本不是影响决定的主要因素。 Thinks also right, the gauge of railway track of this age is quite generally big, the first bar iron rail of Russia person away 1829 mm, afterward bureaucrats to make money, listened to American engineer's suggestion to change to 1524 mm. 想想也对,这个年代的铁路轨距普遍都比较大,俄国人的第一条铁路轨距还是1829mm的,后来官僚们为了捞钱,才听了美国工程师的建议改为了1524mm。 Reduces from six feet to five feet, how many costs saved? 从六英尺缩小到五英尺,节省了多少成本? Saved 3 in the budget, naturally with the attitude of Tsarist Russia bureaucrats, finally definitely is province not under how much money. 在预算上节省了三,当然以沙俄官僚们的作风,最后肯定是省不下多少钱的。 The standard gauge is the English sells to the entire world, John Bull since 1846 released the law, the 1435 mm system starting from this time, becomes the standard gauge of Britain and colony. 标准轨距是英国人向全世界推销的,从1846年开始约翰牛就出台了法律,从这个时候开始1435mm体系,就成为了英国本土和殖民地的标准轨距。 However, quick India becomes the exception, the standard gauge is unable to meet their movement requirements, the English is practical is not good enlarges, therefore the railroad majority of India is the 1676 mm standard, other at sixes and sevens gauge railroads naturally also many. 不过,很快印度就成为了例外,标准轨距无法满足他们的运输要求,英国人是务实的不行就放大,所以印度的铁路大部分都是1676mm标准,其它乱七八糟的轨距铁路自然也不少。 Passed through an English about hundred years of effort, became the international standard gauge to the mid-20 th century 1435 mm system, the goal of initial small snail is to promote the British technical system. 经过了英国人近百年的努力,到了20世纪中期1435mm体系才成为国际标准轨距,最初的牛牛的目的是为了推广英国技术体系。 Has the goal of limit mainland country cargo capacity, this is unknown, Franz does not believe John Bull to be able in any case such good intention. 有没有限制大陆国家货运能力的目的,这个就不得而知,反正弗朗茨不信约翰牛会这么好心。 By the mid-19 th century technology, the broad-gauge railroad transported goods volume was to surpass the narrow-gauge railway, and security and speed wanted high many, this and 21 st century was completely different. 以19世纪中期的技术,宽轨铁路货运量是超过窄轨铁路的,并且安全性和速度都要高的多,这和21世纪完全不一样。 The later generation solved the stability problem of train by the science and technology, the cargo capacity and speed of narrow-gauge railway is promoted, this time could not achieve. 后世靠科技解决了列车的稳定性问题,窄轨铁路的货运能力、速度都被提升了上去,这个时代是做不到的。 Railroad maintenance cost, in fact similar. After the railroad completes, constructs is completely same, the disparity is only the railroad tie length, the narrow-gauge railway maintenance simple view, has not acted according. 铁路维护成本,实际上都差不多。铁路建成后构造完全一样,差距只是枕木长短,窄轨铁路维护简单的说法,是没有根据的。 The issue of area, that was talking nonsense completely, by the railroad of which family/home does not keep the isolation strip, can make use of the train following land? 占地面积的问题,那就完全是在扯淡了,谁家的铁路两边不留隔离带,难道还要利用火车下面的土地么? ......( Does not pull, became popular science quickly) ……(不扯了,都快成科普了) Your majesty, since wants the uniform standard, then might as well let the sacred Roman Union together uniform standard, calls everyone, formulates a shared standard to be perhaps better.” Metternich proposed “陛下,既然要统一标准,那么不如让神圣罗马同盟一起统一标准,把大家召集起来,制定一个共同的标准或许更好。”梅特涅提议道 Time, have our railroads started to construct with enough time?” Asking that Prime Minister Felix cares about “时间来得及么,我们的铁路已经开始施工了?”费利克斯首相关心的问道 Did not have the issue, the railroad construction just to start, made the decision in one year, will not affect to construct.” Minister of Railways Stein replied “没有问题,铁路施工才刚刚开始,在一年之内做出决定,都不会影响施工。”铁道部长施泰因回答道 The railroad construction of this age is very slow, now starts to relocate, ended later this/should digging of digging, this/should filling of filling, 1-2 years of time could not have arrived at the roadbed construction. 这个年代的铁路施工真的很慢,现在才开始拆迁,完了之后该挖的挖,该填的填,没有1-2的功夫都到不了路基施工。 Then everyone is doing on drawing together, Railways Ministry is responsible for selecting a synergy, as our opinions, convinced everyone to carry out as far as possible together. “那就拉着大家一起搞,铁道部负责选出一项最优方案,作为我们的意见,尽量说服大家一起推行。 If dispute arguing endlessly, takes these sets of standards, making everyone vote, these plans suit Austria to benefit in any case. ” Franz indifferent saying 如果争执不休,就把这几套标准拿出来,让大家进行投票,反正这些方案都适合地利。”弗朗茨无所谓的说道 Then on 1676 mm, this standard has been able to meet our needs, the security also has the safeguard.” Stein gave the answer rapidly “那就1676mm吧,这个标准已经可以满足我们的需求了,安全性也有保障。”施泰因迅速给出了答案 As for the railroad international standard, does this age have this thing? Who acknowledged? 至于铁路国际标准,这个年代有这个东西么?谁承认啊? Must know the English, when cultivating western railway, because the relations of technology found that their standards systems are unable to assure the security, changed to the broad gauge, attained a designated standard to the late 19 th century technology, overthrows the reconstruction. 要知道英国人在修西部铁路的时候,因为技术的关系发现他们的标准体系无法保证安全,都改用了宽轨,到了19世纪末期技术达标了,才推倒重建的。 Once sacred Roman Union established the new standard, perhaps then the international railway gauge standard will turn into two sets in the future. 一旦神圣罗马同盟建立了新的标准,那么未来国际铁路轨距标准或许就变成了两套。 If nothing else, the Southern Germany will state railroad standard unified, does Prussia follow up not to follow up? 别的不说,南德意志邦国铁路标准统一了,普鲁士跟进还是不跟进? If not follow up, economically both sides on were cut ; If follows up, Central Europe and Southern Europe unified the standards system, the created influence is without doubt huge. 要是不跟进的话,在经济上双方就被切割开了;要是跟进的话,中欧、南欧就统一了标准体系,造成的影响力无疑是巨大的。 As Emperor, a lot have to consider the political military. For example now, will let Austro-Hungarian Empire and bandit unified railroad standard, Franz will instigate immediately. 作为一名皇帝,很多事情都不得不考虑政治军事。比如说现在,让奥匈帝国和毛子统一铁路标准,弗朗茨马上就会怂。 The reason did not say knows, any country and Russian bear are the neighbor, is careful. That feared that everyone is the ally, this/should protection must guard. 原因不说都知道,任何国家和毛熊做邻居,都必须要小心谨慎。那怕大家是盟友,该防备的还是要防备。 This time, the appearances of European major big powers somewhat outwardly strong but inwardly weaks, the Austria advantage is in fact no exception, the social reform just started, has not transformed as the national strength with enough time. 这个时期,欧洲各大列强实际上都有几分外强中干的样子,地利也不例外,社会改革才刚刚开始,还没有来得及转化为国力。 The national strength of English also has not achieved the peak, India did not have to be eaten by them completely, Australia and New Zealand have the indigenous influence, South Africa only built some footholds in the coastal area, Southeast Asia colonizing was underway, Egypt or the French were in control, the big colonial empire has not completed the puzzle. 英国人的国力同样没有达到巅峰,印度还没有完全被他们吃下去,澳大利亚和新西兰都还有土著势力,南非只在沿海地区建立了一些据点,东南亚殖民正在进行中,埃及还是法国人占主导,大殖民帝国还没有完成拼图。 The French were busy the internal struggle, the Russia person internal contradictions are pressed, only treated by the external force is detonated. 法国人忙着内部斗争,俄国人内部矛盾只是被压下去了,只待被外力引爆。 The Prussia kingdom must shift the social contradiction by the external war, the domestic reform only started, in the surface the military power is good, is the domestic economy is not powerful. 普鲁士王国还要靠对外战争转移社会矛盾,内部改革才刚刚起步,表面上军事实力不错,可是国内经济不给力。 Spain continues to decline, the social reform has not started ; The US on the side of ocean, this age was also only a population just crossed 20 million agricultural country, the main economic income was the export cotton, the south-north contradiction had presented the spearhead. 西班牙继续没落中,社会改革还没有启动;远在大洋一边的美国,这个年代还只是一个人口刚过两千万的农业国,主要经济收入是出口棉花,南北矛盾已经出现了矛头。 Thought of here, Franz appeared suddenly a thought that can find an opportunity to do South Africa? 想到了这里,弗朗茨猛然间浮现出了一个念头,要不要找个机会去搞一下南非? South Africa is so big, the English established the colonial rule in the coast, the inland area or without owner place, besides the Cape of Good Hope, other local English has not attached great importance. 南非那么大,英国人只是在沿海建立了殖民统治,内陆地区还是无主之地,除了好望角外,别的地区英国人根本就没有重视。 Now the English is very busy, but also cannot attend to African more areas, breakthrough point so many, if joins now, perhaps can also divide a meat. 现在英国人很忙,还顾不上非洲更多的地区,切入点那么多,要是现在加入进去,没准还可以分一块肉。 Really is not good starts from Namibia, occupies Botswana again, plays an edge ball ; From Tanzania, occupies Zambia and Zimbabwe, is entered the center of South Africa by the inland. 实在不行就从纳米比亚入手,再占领博茨瓦纳,打个擦边球;或者是从坦桑尼亚入手,占领赞比亚、津巴布韦,由内陆杀入南非的腹地。 Theoretically is good, the actual operation is not seemingly credible, the African continent of this age is not cute, the disease and poisonous insect beast of prey one pile, must colonize here first to prepare to withstand the ultra-high mortality rate. 理论上都挺不错的,实际操作起来貌似不怎么靠谱,这个年代的非洲大陆一点儿都不可爱,疾病、毒虫猛兽一堆,要殖民这里先准备承受超高的死亡率。 Theoretically is not very high, so long as careful a little, the mortality rate control in 10%, does not have the issue probably. 理论上也不算很高,只要小心一点儿,把死亡率控制在百分之十以内,大概是没有问题的。 This saying said that if really will implement will discover that everyone is actually not brave, live well who is willing to pass adventure? 这话说说还可以,真要是去实施了就会发现大家其实没有那么勇敢,活的好好的谁愿意过去冒险呢? Has the benefit to stimulate is an exception, for example the gold ore of South Africa was discovered, then everyone all of a sudden became brave, the disease, poisonous insect and beast of prey were not anything. 有利益刺激除外,比如说南非的金矿被发现了,那么大家一下子就变得勇敢了起来,疾病、毒虫、猛兽都不算啥。 Regrettably, when the gold was discovered, was not one's turn Austria to benefit. Only if seizes ahead of time, then collaborates with the Boers, otherwise cannot snatch the English. 令人遗憾的是,等黄金被发现了,就轮不到地利了。除非是提前占领,然后和布尔人联手,不然根本就抢不过英国人。 The reason turns over to the reason, this thought comes out, Franz could also hardly be removed again. 理智归理智,这个念头一出来,弗朗茨就再也挥之不去了。 From South Africa discovered in any case the time of gold is long, at the worst supports the domestic African colonizing faction, making them first build the foothold in the past. 反正距离南非发现黄金的时间还长,大不了支持一下国内的非洲殖民派,让他们先过去建立据点。 When the British arrange/cloth war breaks out time, Austria benefitted hero to get up probably, when the time comes supported the Boers to add to the chaos to John Bull, the ginseng/partake gathered to carve up one, needed the standpoint. 等英布战争爆发的时候,地利大概已经雄起了,到时候无论是支持布尔人给约翰牛添乱,还是参合进去瓜分一份,都需要立足点。 The begun time must elect, best is the English cannot take care of oneself, suddenly starts creates the established facts. 动手的时机必须选好,最好是英国人自顾不暇的时候,突然发动造成既定事实。 The international principle of this age, the place of without owner, who first occupied even whose, the prerequisite is to be able to preserve. 这个年代的国际法则,无主之地,谁先占了就算是谁的,前提条件是要能够保得住。 The time early, has not used anxiously beginning. Franz is not the person of blind action, now looked like must promote the Suez Canal construction. 时间还早,不用急着动手。弗朗茨不是盲目行动的人,现在看来还是要推动苏伊士运河建设了。 Lords over this canal, Austria advantage not that ability, but agitates, turns into the condominium canal to achieve. 独霸这条运河,地利没有那个能耐,但是鼓动一下,变成国际共管运河还是有可能做到的。 In the history excavates the Suez Canal time, the British government opposed full power, they think this canal will threaten their marine transportation hegemon position. 历史上开凿苏伊士运河的时候,英国政府可是全力反对的,他们认为这条运河会威胁到他们的海运霸主地位。 The British People think that this canal is unable the passing through large ships, the stock of canal company almost nobody will ask in Britain. 英国民众认为这条运河无法通行大型船舶,运河公司的股票在英国几乎是无人问津。 Good that sold in France, the canal company midway also presented the underfunded work suspension on the contrary, nearly turned into the rotten tail project, finally under socializing of family in Ross finished smoothly. 反倒是在法国卖的不错,运河公司中途还出现了资金不足停工,差点儿变成烂尾工程,最后在罗斯才尔德家族的周旋下才顺利完工的。 In the history the canal navigation is in 1869, navy also almost a little weight/quantity that such long time, Austria benefits. 历史上运河通航已经是1869年了,这么长的时间,地利的海军也差不多有点儿分量了。 Other cannot guarantee, becomes the shareholders in canal to achieve. 别的不敢保证,成为运河的股东还是可以做到的。 In the history France cannot shoulder the pressure of English, the finance has the problem to be forced to give up, if turns into law Austria jointly to lead the Suez Canal, was finally different. 历史上法国扛不住英国人的压力,还有财政出现问题才被迫放弃的,要是变成法联合主导苏伊士运河,那么结果就不一样了。 How to operate specifically, Franz on headache. The relations between big powers are complex, everyone is not only has the cooperation, and is holding mutually the knife. 具体怎么操作,弗朗茨就头疼了。列强之间的关系非常复杂,大家是既有合作,又在互相捅刀子。 Today here collaborates, tomorrow changes place everyone to make a war. 今天在这里联手,明天换个地方大家又干一仗。 To reduce the contradiction, only if thinks that suddenly Austria secret treaty such, everyone accords to his need, ahead of time is clear the sphere of influence agreement. 想要减少矛盾,除非想俄密约那样,大家各取所需,提前把势力范围约定清楚。 So long as imagines is impossible, the Austria advantage can make the concession to Russia, that is everyone's core strategy does not conflict. 只要想象就不可能,地利可以对俄罗斯做出让步,那是大家的核心战略不冲突。 Franz also knows that the strategic start of Russia person, must encounter ganging up to surround and beating up of UK , France Ottoman three countries', the Russian bear national strength is unable to support this long-term battle of attrition, the failure is inevitable. 弗朗茨还知道俄国人的战略一启动,就要遭到英法奥斯曼三国的围殴,毛熊的国力无法支持这种长期的消耗战,失败是必然的。 Only if UK , France invade Russia on own initiative, Austria will benefit is affected to be dragged into the war by the treaty of alliance. But opens the map to know, only if the Russia leadership kills, otherwise UK , France want to attack Russia to be difficult. 除非英法主动入侵俄国,地利才会受盟约影响被拉入战争。只不过打开地图就知道,除非是俄国主导杀出来,不然英法想进攻俄国都难。 Obviously this matter cannot come the second time, Austria to benefit can only choose a great nation to make the ally, 25 young of vacillation are very easy to be patted. 显然这种事情不能来第二次,地利只能选择一个大国做盟友,左右摇摆的二五仔很容易被拍死的。
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