Coreindustrial developmentwhat that Austriabenefits?奥地利的核心产业发展什么?In the Franzheartdid not have the answer, Austriabenefits the resources of empireisveryrich, is almost anythingdoes not lackin the initial stage of industrialization.弗朗茨心中还没有答案,奥地利帝国的资源还是很丰富的,在工业化的初级阶段几乎是什么也不缺。In the history, benefitsfromAustriatoAustro-Hungarian Empirehas not initiatedcolonizingto expandoutward, has the relationswith the rich resources of native place.
历史上,从奥地利到奥匈帝国都没有对外发起殖民扩张,就和本土的资源丰富有关系。Naturallythisonlylimited toearly period, iffrom the perspective of development, the resources in Austriabenefit for the nationis insufficient.
当然这仅限于前期,如果从发展的角度来看,奥地利国内的资源就不够用了。Takingsteel industryfor instance, invarious countries'steelannual outputten thousandtonsand100,000tonsand1 milliontonsage, the Austriamoney pouchdoes not lack the resources, ten milliontonstimecanfollowreluctantly, onceentered several milliontons, evenisover a hundred milliontonstime, was very difficultto continue.
以钢铁行业为例,在各国钢铁年产量万吨、十万吨、百万吨的年代,奥地利是不缺资源,千万吨时代勉强能够跟上,一旦进入了几千万吨、甚至是上亿吨的时代,就很难持续下去了。Thisis the long-termissue, at least in several years, Franzdoes not need a headacheforthisissue.
这是长远的问题,至少在数十年内,弗朗茨不需要为这个问题而头疼。Theoretically, overwhelming majorityindustriescanbecome the pillar industry that Austriabenefits, for example: Agricultureandventure in agroindustry, metallurgy, machine manufacture, war industry, railroad, shipbuildingandtextile......
理论上来说,绝大部分行业都可以成为奥地利的支柱产业,比如说:农业和农产品加工业、冶金、机械制造、军工、铁路、造船、纺织……Thisis the backgroundthickadvantage, has not discardedbeforeLombardyandVenice, the industrialmass and French who Austriabenefitsare close.
这是底子厚实的好处,在伦巴第和威尼斯没有丢掉前,奥地利的工业体量和法国人很接近。Does not have anyquitestrange, thisage the assembly of Austriamoney pouchAustria-HungaryhalfItaly, LombardyVenicewithstand/top the first halfItaly.
没有什么好奇怪的,这个年代的奥地利是奥匈半个意大利的组合体,伦巴第威尼斯就顶得上半个意大利。Franzwill not sayfoolish talk that eachindustryadvances in unison, thisworldcompetitionis so fierce, if the governmentcannot conduct the policyinclinetocertainindustries, youcanguaranteedefeated the competitor?弗朗茨不会说各个行业齐头并进的蠢话,这个世界竞争这么激烈,如果政府不能够对某些行业进行政策倾斜,你能够保证的了击败竞争对手?Do not say that Austriabenefits, the English'sinonlyindustrialized countryas the world, theydo not have the full scale development, the emphasis pointin the financial industry, ship-building industry and textile industry.
不要说奥地利,就连英国人作为世界上唯一的工业国,他们都没有全面发展,侧重点在金融业、造船业、纺织业。Thischoice questionis not goodto do, oncemade the choice, islasted several years the invariablenational policy, the domesticeconomic developmentwill therefore change.
这个选择题不好做,一旦做出了选择,就是长达数十年不变的国策,国内的经济发展都将因此而改变。Decided that the nationalpillar industry the factorare many, including: Resources, marketandsuperior industry, interest groupandnationaldevelopment directionandinternational situation......
决定国家支柱产业的因素很多,包括:资源、市场、行业优势、利益集团、国家发展方向、国际局势……Free economy? Market economy?
自由经济?市场经济?Thesesaid that was good, does not believe it, otherwisepreparesto cry.
这些说说就行了,千万不要当真,不然就准备哭吧。Anysuccessfulcountry, the pillar industryreceived the policysupport, for example: Cuts taxandappearsto help the policy of industry growth......
任何一个成功的国家,支柱产业都受到了政策性的扶持,比如说:减税、出台有利于行业发展的政策……Schonbrunn Palace
美泉宫Franzis taking a walkwithFelixsquareintogether, is discussing the development direction that Austriabenefitswhile convenient.弗朗茨正和费利克斯一起广场上散步,顺带着探讨奥地利的发展方向。„Prime minister, youthink where Austriadoes benefit the futurestrategic center of gravity?”Franzasked
“首相,你认为奥地利未来的战略重心在哪里?”弗朗茨问道Thisis an age of law of the jungle, the expansionis the subject of thistime. Was broken since the Viennasystem, various European countriesenterto the newroundcompetition.
这是一个弱肉强食的年代,扩张是这个时代的主题。自从维也纳体系被打破过后,欧洲各国都进入到新一轮的竞争中。
The small countrydoes not haveto choose, can only drift with the current; The great nationwantsto develop, the boat sailing against the current, if unable to move forward , one will inevitably lag behind.
小国没得选择,只能随波逐流;大国想要发展,逆水行舟,不进则退。Austriabenefitted the empirein factto be in intersection, choosingsuddenlyAustriaformed an allianceis the firststrategic choice that Austriabenefitted, what thischoicewas the ally.奥地利帝国实际上已经处在了十字路口上,选择俄奥结盟就是奥地利的第一次战略抉择,不过这次选择的是盟友。Whyin the history can Austro-Hungarian Empirestep onBalkanthispowder keg? Reallyis the expertscommented- strategic decisionmistake?
历史上奥匈帝国为什么要去踩巴尔干这个火药桶?真的是专家学者们评论的-战略决策失误么?Franzalsothinks, experienced personallyheto discoverfrom now onwrong.弗朗茨原本也是这么认为的,身临其境过后他发现错了。
The Austriaadvantagehas the opportunities of manyexpansion, theybore, finally the choicesteps onBalkanthisthunder, is notrulerwantsabsolutely.奥地利有很多次对外扩张的机会,他们都忍住了,最后选择踩巴尔干这颗雷,绝对不是统治者自己愿意的。So long asthinks that at that time the international environment, Franzunderstood, thisis the choice of having no recourse.
只要想想当时所处的国际环境,弗朗茨就明白了,这是迫不得已的选择。
The struggle of bigworld, the big powersallin the expansioninfluence, onlyAustriabenefitandSpainare marking, has not caught up witheveryone'sstep.
大世之争,列强皆在扩张势力,唯独奥地利和西班牙在原地踏步,没有跟上大家的步伐。Thismeansin the pack of wolvesmixed intwosheep, if not wantto be eaten, thatat leastneedsto camouflageto become a wolfoneself.
这意味着在狼群中混入了两只羊,如果不想被吃掉,那至少要把自己伪装成为一只狼。
The Austriaadvantageseized the Bosnia, ownpacksto become a wolf, tradedseveralyears of peace;Spanishanythinghas not done, the Americandiscoveredthisfatsheep, then the Spanish-American Warbroke out.奥地利占领了波黑地区,把自己包装成为了一只狼,换来了几年的太平;西班牙什么也没有干,美国人发现了这只肥羊,然后美西战争就爆发了。Prime MinisterFelixrepliedwithout hesitation: „Germanarea!”
费利克斯首相毫不犹豫的回答道:“德意志地区!”„Reason?”Franzasked
“理由?”弗朗茨问道Prime MinisterFelixthinks saying: „ Annexesafter the Southern Germanywillarea, webordered onwith the Frenchdirectly, do not look that nowlawAustriarelateswell, but the thoughts of FrenchEuropeanhegemonyhave existed, wehave toconsider the defense of west line.
费利克斯首相想了想说:“兼并南德意志地区过后,我们就和法国人直接接壤了,不要看现在法奥关系不错,可是法国人欧陆霸权的心思一直都存在,我们不得不考虑西线的防御。
The Prussiakingdomalsohas toguard, toavoidinterference of various countries, whileweunifySouthern Germanywillstate, theywill also annex the northernGermanarea, creates the fact of twopoints of Germany.
还有普鲁士王国也不得不防,为了避免各国的干涉,在我们统一南德意志邦国的同时,他们也会兼并北德意志地区,造成两分德意志的事实。Unifiesafter the northernGermany, the strength of Prussiakingdomwill at least promotefour, the threatening naturegreatlyto be enhancedcompared with the present, the most important thing isthey have the ambition of unificationentireGermanyarea. ”
统一北德意志过后,普鲁士王国的实力至少会提升四层,威胁性比现在就大大增强了,最重要的是他们还有统一整个德意志地区的野心。”„Ifwestoursource of troubledirects?”Franzasked
“假如我们祸水西引呢?”弗朗茨问道Austriabenefitssuchbig fellow, seeming like not affable, onceannexedSouthern Germanywillstate, thatis less affable.奥地利这么大块头,看上去就不好惹,一旦兼并了南德意志邦国,那就更加不好惹了。In comparison, Belgium, LuxembourgandHollandare the fruit cakes, is the fruit cake of fatclass/flowoil.
相比之下,比利时、卢森堡、荷兰都是软柿子,还是肥的流油的软柿子。
The industry of Belgiumis developed, the seafaring of Hollandis developed, a bigstretch of colony, Luxembourg this very tiny area, that is also the country of steel.
比利时的工业发达,荷兰的航海业发达,还有一大片殖民地,卢森堡这个弹丸之地,那也是钢铁之国。„Perhapsyour majesty, Prussian has a mindto be incapable, wantsto expandto the west side, the Frenchthatclosesthem unable to pass, the Englishwill not comply.”Felixthinksto say
“陛下,恐怕普鲁士人是有心无力,想要向西边扩张,法国人那一关他们就过不去,英国人也不会答应。”费利克斯想了想说Inaverage manopinion, Prussiandoes not have the courageto challenge the French.
在常人看来,普鲁士人是没有胆子去挑战法国人的。As for the attitude of English, so long asin factPrussiacanturn the Frenchdry/does, withoutgoon, theywere helpless, at the worstwas blockedseveralyears of sea route.
至于英国人的态度,实际上只要普鲁士能够干翻法国人,没有了打手过后,他们就无能为力了,大不了被封锁几年海路。
The Frenchis not affable, butwithstrengtheningAustria of versionbenefitscompared withRussianthiscombination, was betterto cope withsome.
法国人是不好惹,可是和加强版的奥地利俄罗斯这个组合相比,又要好对付一些了。„Thatwants the Prussianambition, French's interest in Rhinelandarea, so long assatisfies a point, thiswarcandetonate.”Franzconfidentsaying
“那就要普鲁士人的野心,还有法国人对莱茵兰地区的兴趣了,只要满足其中一点,这场战争就可以引爆。”弗朗茨信心十足的说道Without the means that othercountryis the countryhas the army, butPrussiais the armyhas the country. The nationalismawakened, when the time comesreceiveda littlestimulation saying that burntburns.
没有办法,别的国家都是国家拥有军队,而普鲁士是军队拥有国家。民族主义又觉醒了,到时候受到一点儿刺激说燃就燃。Iftheydo not have the courageto provoke the war, doesn't haveAustriato benefit? At the worstAustriacollaboratesmethodLancy, does not believePrussian to resist the seduction.
如果他们没有胆子挑起战争,不是还有奥地利么?大不了普奥联手干法兰西,不信普鲁士人能够抵御诱惑。
The pieeats, in the futurethey can only dieto knock, the braveroadjointlywith the Frenchalsobrokewhile convenient, threesovereignunionscontrol the political system of continental Europeto establishagain.
馅儿饼吃了下去,未来他们就只能和法国人死磕到底,顺带英普联手的路也断了,三皇同盟主宰欧洲大陆的政治体系再次建立。Cando? Franzhas doubtsvery much. It seems likethispattern, mostis favorablefor the Russiaperson.
要不要这么干呢?弗朗茨很疑惑。貌似这种格局,对俄国人最有利。Austriabenefitsharvests a stablerear area, mostsnatched the colonies of severalFrench, the Russiaperson'spathtoseaopens access.奥地利只是收获一个稳定的后方,最多抢几块法国人的殖民地,俄国人通往海洋的道路就畅通无阻了。Felixsmiles: „ Your majesty, Ibelieves that Prussianwill be interestedtothisproposition, buttheyhavethisstrength, does swallowthisbait?
费利克斯笑了笑说:“陛下,我相信普鲁士人对这个提议会非常有兴趣,可是他们有这个实力,一口吞下这个诱饵么?Belgium, HollandandLuxembourg, although is also the German nationcountry, buttheydid not acknowledge, the resistancemustat risk of life.
比利时、荷兰、卢森堡虽然也是德意志民族国家,可是他们自己不承认,拼死抵抗是必须的。Even ifPrussiabeat the Frenchwithourhelp, doesn't have the Englishto supportinbehind?
就算是普鲁士在我们的帮助下击败了法国人,不是还有英国人在后面支持么?Cannot eat, will not have the secondopportunity. So long asPrussianandUK , Franceget angry, wewill not supportthemagain. ”
一口吃不下去,就不会有第二次的机会了。只要普鲁士人和英法翻了脸,我们就不会再支持他们了。”
A languageawakens the dreamboat, the Prussiakingdomis notGerman Empire of later generation, massdisparity of both sidesis disparate, howpossiblyeruptionsimilarstrength?
一语惊醒梦中人,普鲁士王国又不是后世的德意志帝国,双方的体量差距悬殊,怎么可能爆发同样的实力呢?
The Dutchpopulationapproximately3.06 million, the Belgianpopulationapproximately4.4 million, the Luxembourgpopulationapproximately200,000, inthesepeopleare primarilyCatholicfalling that the Prussiakingdompopulationapproximately13 million, theydigest?
荷兰人口约306万,比利时人口约440万,卢森堡人口约20万,这些人中又以天主教徒为主,普鲁士王国人口约1300万,他们消化的掉么?In the economic output the three countriesadd, is also almost the samecompared with the Prussiakingdom.
经济总量上三国加起来,比起普鲁士王国来说也相差无几。Naturallythisis only the relative strength of presentboth sides, in the futurewill definitely change, whatchangeregardless has, annexes the country that a nationalismrises is not easy.
当然这只是现在双方的实力对比,未来肯定会发生变化,不过无论发生什么样的变化,吞并一个民族主义崛起的国家都不容易。Franzevenbelieves,Prussiaannexesthesethreecountriesto annex the Balkan Peninsulacompared with the Austriaadvantage, probablydream of a fool.弗朗茨甚至认为,普鲁士吞并这三个国家比奥地利吞并巴尔干半岛,更加像是痴人说梦。Good, in factwasthinksto be OK.
好吧,实际上都是想想就可以了。Without the exogenic process, slowlynibblespossiblyrealizes. Ifswallows, does not killrivers of blood, was chokedwhile still alive.
没有外力作用,慢慢蚕食都是可能实现的。要是一口吞下,不是杀个血流成河,就是被活活噎死。Such being the case, Franzknows how shoulddo.
既然如此,弗朗茨就知道该怎么做了。
The Austriamoney pouchcannot compete with the English, at least intheirthreecoreindustries, Austriabenefitspossiblyis nottheiropponents. Doesn't matter, English the road of Austriaadvantage of developmentis too difficult to learn.奥地利是竞争不过英国人的,至少在他们的三个核心产业上,奥地利不可能是他们的对手。没有关系,英国人的发展之路奥地利学不来的。
It looks like the coreindustryto bumpinFranzhardlyis bestto suppress the method, ahead of timestarts the layoutto beat the coreindustry of Prussian, thentheywere only a military power.
在弗朗茨看来核心产业硬碰是最好打压手段,提前开始布局击垮普鲁士人的核心产业,那么他们就只是一个军事强国了。Franzmade and Prussiasimilarchoice, gives priority to the armyindustry, railroad and manufacturing industry, competitive industry that in additionAustriabenefits- venture in agroindustry.弗朗茨做出了和普鲁士同样的选择,优先发展军工业、铁路、制造业,再加上奥地利的优势产业-农产品加工业。Building a railroad to by the government investment, withencouraging the private investment, commercial competitionthat is also internalissue; The armyindustry also allocates fundsby the government, thisageinternational market can only beslightlymakes up, Russian bear of next dooris a goodcustomer.
修铁路要靠政府投资,和鼓励民间投资,商业竞争那也是内部的问题;军工业同样也是靠政府拨款,这个年代国际市场只能算是小补,隔壁的毛熊就是一个不错的客户。
The manufacturing industry can only put together the international market, butFranzwas not worried,hassacredRomanUnionbigmarket, Russian bearthisgoodally, too more than historicalPrussia.
制造业就只能拼国际市场了,不过弗朗茨并不担心,有神圣罗马同盟这个大市场,还有毛熊这个好盟友,比历史上的普鲁士强了太多。
The venture in agroindustrywas needless saying that had almost no competitor, AustriabenefitsbiggestcompetitorRussia and OttomanempireinEurope Grain Market, was the direct exportgrain.
农产品加工业不用说,几乎就没有什么竞争对手,奥地利在欧洲粮食市场上最大的竞争对手俄罗斯和奥斯曼帝国,都是直接出口粮食。In the history, the Russiapersonexternal tradewheat, imports the bread flourfromoutsidesimultaneously, thisis not the piece in network, butreallyexistsinthisage.
历史上,俄国人对外出口小麦,同时又从外面进口面粉,这不是网络上的段子,而是在这个年代真的存在。Noquitestrange, the shiptransported the grain, coming backwas an empty ship, but must use the stoneballastbottom. The astutemerchantdiscovers the bread flourprice in Russiamarketto be good, the discoveryis profitable, bought backto the Russiaperson.
没有啥好奇怪的,船把粮食运出去了,回来的时候就是空船,还要用石头压仓底。精明的商人发现俄国市场上的面粉价格不错,发现有利可图,又返销给了俄国人。Thisalsomeans,in the competitor who thisdomainAustriabenefitsis the food processingenterprise in grainimporter, both sidesspread outincostfrom the beginning.
这也就意味着,在这一领域奥地利的竞争对手是粮食进口国的食品加工企业,双方在一开始的成本上就拉开了距离。Thistypehas the advantagenot to need many industries of investment, naturallymustfocus on developing, historically the Austro-Hungarian Empireperiod, HungaryisEuropeanbiggestbread floursupplier.
这种有优势不需要多少投入的产业,自然要重点发展了,历史上奥匈帝国时期,匈牙利就是欧洲最大的面粉供应商。As forattached great importance tobyinnumerablecrossing over, evenis considered as the steel industry that the national strengthmanifests, whydoesn't develop the core?
至于被无数穿越者重视,甚至被认为是国力体现的钢铁业,为什么不是发展核心?So long ashas a look atthisage, in the marketto the demand of steelhadslightlyknows.
只要看看这个年代,市场上对钢铁的需求量有多小就知道了。Austriabenefitted the empireevery yearsuch20,000-30,000tonsoriginalsteel, a Russiatalentseveral thousandtonsoriginalsteel, the Englishalsoverymany, annual outputless than100,000tonsoriginalsteel.奥地利帝国每年就那么20,000-30,000吨原钢,俄国人才几千吨原钢,英国人也好不了多少,年产量不足十万吨原钢。Without the means that the market demand is so big. Thatfeared that adds on the pig iron, thisdemand is also no higher, everyonehas not topped1 milliontonsin any case.
没有办法,市场需求就这么大。那怕是加上生铁,这需求量也高不到哪里去,反正大家都没有突破百万吨大关。Iftook the coreindustry the steel industry, afterhow manymonths believes that in the market that Austriabenefitswill presenta lot ofsteelto be unsalable?
要是把钢铁产业作为了核心产业,信不信几个月过后,奥地利的市场上就会出现大量的钢铁滞销?When the time comestosolvetheseunsalablesteel, the governmenthas toinvestso muchfundsinotherindustry, finally the surpriseddiscoverysteel industryhas not developed, the industrial crisisinsteadfirstcame.
到时候为了解决这些滞销钢铁,政府又不得不投入大量的资金在别的产业上,最后惊讶的发现钢铁产业没有发展起来,工业危机反而先来了。Withitso, might as welldevelop the railroad and armyindustryto drive the consumption of steel, has the market demandto have the production, thisis the market discipline.
与其如此,不如发展铁路、军工业带动钢铁的消耗量,有市场需求就会有生产,这才是市场规律。Focusing on developing the steel industrywas advanced, the high-tech industrywas needlessto say. Except for the armyindustry, an economic type of countryis the prospect of marketdecisionindustrial development.
重点发展钢铁产业都超前了,高科技产业就更加不用说了。除了军工业,一个国家的经济模式都是市场决定产业发展的前景。Thisageis the wilderness of high tech, manyepoch-makingproducts, even ifdidin the laboratory, sameis unable to promote.
这个年代是高科技的荒漠,很多划时代的产品,就算是在实验室搞了出来,一样无法推广出去。Thisadvanceddomain, is not goodas a coreindustry of country, astimefocuses on developing the object, ahead of time conducts the technological strength.
这种超前的领域,作为一个国家的核心产业不行,作为次重点发展对象,提前进行技术储备还是可以的。
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