With a gunshot, fell into the chaotic scene, becoming even more to be beyond redemption. 伴随着一声枪响,本就陷入混乱的场面,变得越发不可收拾起来。 „The Russia person killed people!” “俄国人杀人了！” Does not know that was who shouted, detonated the audience directly. The protesting crowd that was in a towering rage, was lit thoroughly. 不知道是谁喊了一声,直接引爆了全场。本就怒气冲天的抗议人群,彻底被点燃了。 The radicalism was topped „radically” two characters, the most major characteristics are: Makes the decision time often is only because hotheaded, never weighs the advantages and disadvantages. 激进主义之所以被冠上“激进”二字,最大的特点就是:做决定的时候往往只是因为头脑发热,从不权衡利弊。 No matter also where, everyone brain is „kills off the Russia person, the bloody battle blood recompenses!” 也不管是什么地方,大家满脑子都是“杀光俄国人,血战血偿！” Not only in thought that put in the practical action. The protesting crowd overthrew the front door and fence, initiated the charge to the embassy. 不光内心想了,更是付出了实际行动。抗议人群推倒了大门和围墙,向使馆内部发起了冲锋。 Facing the crowd of coming in swarms, the Russian force guards conducted resisted courageously, but double fist difficult enemy four, even if there is a spear/gun is not good. 面对蜂拥而至的人群,俄军卫兵进行了奋勇抵抗,怎奈双拳难敌四手,纵使有枪也不行。 After all, here is the consular district. The security problem is mainly under the charge of the Japanese government, the weapon of guard is only restricted to guard against the generation of small night, absolutely does not have the heavy firepower. 毕竟,这里是使馆区。安全问题主要由日本政府负责,卫兵的武器仅限于防备小宵之辈,根本就没有重火力。 The people flushed, will then have what self-evident. Various countries' embassies that the nearby watches the fun in any case, have taken up the camera, to a chaotic scene crazy racket. 人都冲进去了,接下来会发生什么不言而喻。反正附近看热闹的各国使馆,已经拿起了照相机,对着混乱的场面一阵狂拍。 Only regret is the distance is too far, absolutely does not have the picture quality, by the picture can only see that merely the crowd is impacting suddenly Embassy. 唯一遗憾的就是距离太远,根本就没有画质可言,透过照片仅仅只能看到人群在冲击俄使馆。 The police who not far away is responsible for maintaining the public security, have scared at this moment. Outside embassy noisy, with rushing noisily is the completely different two concepts. 不远处负责维护治安的警察,此刻已经吓坏了。在使馆外面闹,和闯进去闹是完全不同的两个概念。 Can look from the chaotic degree, the group of people who rush to are not the rational lord, if makes what irrational matter, that consequence is simply dreadful. 从现场的混乱程度就可以看出来,闯进去的这帮人可不是什么理性的主,万一做出什么不理性的事,那个后果简直不堪设想。 „Sheriff, now what to do?” “警长,现在怎么办？” Stares subordinate who one must frighten to urinate sharp-eyed, middle-aged sheriff indifferent saying of: „ What to do? 瞪了一眼快要吓出尿来的手下,中年警长冷漠的说道:“什么怎么办？ Remembered, village wood. Had the rioter to impact British Embassy a moment ago, we have been intercepting. That side the suddenly Embassy situation, our anything has not seen. ” 记住了,村木。刚才有暴民想要冲击英使馆,我们一直都在拦截。俄使馆那边的情况,我们什么都没看到。” Then, the middle-aged man has brandished the fist, is beating, as if after simulating the rioter attacks the scene. 说完,中年男子已经抡起拳头,对着手下进行拳打脚踢,仿佛是在模拟暴民冲击后的场面。 Makes similar decision not only they, for does not take the rap, on police few that the nearby performs duties is complete. 做出类似决定远不只他们,为了不背黑锅,附近执勤的警察就没几个身上是完好的。 Did not have the means that the scene to lose control, was not their these young privates can stop. Now mixes, can control not to know the aspect, oneself one must be built in any case. 没有办法,场面已经失控了,根本就不是他们这些小卒子能够阻拦的。现在掺合进去,能不能把局面控制下来不知道,反正自己一准得被搭进去。 The society is experienced, knows that first cultivates one's own moral worth. As for other issue that is the above matter, permits the troops on parade in any case close to the suddenly consular district, that is also the order under higher authority. 社会经验丰富的,都知道先独善其身。至于其他问题那是上面的事,反正允许游行队伍靠近俄使馆区,那也是上级下的命令。 Had/Left such big matter, must some people come out to commit hara-kiri is a scapegoat, and this „pot” is also not the average person can carry. 出了这么大的事情,总得有人出来切腹背锅,并且这口“锅”还不是一般人能够背的。 As the young private, should dodge must dodge. So long as does not involve directly, the great people cannot attend to their. 作为小卒子,该闪就得闪。只要不直接牵扯进去,大人物们是顾不上他们的。 ...... …… In the government office building, had just used Prime Minister Shigenobu Ookuma of afternoon tea, at this moment is looking at one bunch of documents to be in a daze, suddenly receives „rioter impacted suddenly consular district” the startled day sad news. 政府办公大楼内,刚刚用过下午茶的大隈重信首相,此刻正望着一堆文件发呆,突然就收到了“暴民冲击俄使馆区”的惊天噩耗。 „Did scene control?” “场面控制住了没有？” „In suddenly Embassy has the personnel casualty?” “俄使馆中有没有人员伤亡？” ...... …… The protest turned over to the protest, the impact consular district. The general public do not know the gravity of matter, but Shigenobu Ookuma is clear. 抗议归抗议,冲击使馆区就过了。普通民众不知道事情的严重性,但是大隈重信还是清楚的。 Since wants „to take off/escape inferior (Asia) to enter Europe”, naturally must understand the political game rule of European, for example generally recognized „international law”. 既然想要“脱亚入欧”,自然要了解欧洲人的政治游戏规则了,比如说大家公认的“国际法”。 Impacts the suddenly consular district, seems like from the surface is only the contradiction between Japan and Russia, otherwise actually. 冲击俄使馆区,从表面上看似只是日俄两国之间的矛盾,实则不然。 Processing is not good, the Japanese government must face scolding of entire international community. don't said that is the international sanctions, is only condemned that suffices the Japanese government to drink a pot. 一个处理不好,日本政府就要面临整个国际社会的责难。莫说是国际制裁,光是谴责就够日本政府喝一壶的了。 Under this situation, does suddenly Embassy have the personnel casualty, becomes especially important. 在这种背景下,俄使馆有没有人员伤亡,就变得格外重要。 If merely is only the property casualties, at the worst compensates a sum of money ; If offends somebody, such good opportunity Russia person will not give up absolutely. 如果仅仅只是财产伤亡,大不了赔上一笔钱;要是伤了人,这么好的机会俄国人绝对不会善罢甘休。 Must know that the present Russian Empire is not a loner, not only there is suddenly Austria Union , one of the others European alliance principal member countries. 要知道现在的俄罗斯帝国可不是孤家寡人,不仅有俄奥同盟在,人家还是欧陆联盟的主要成员国之一。 The reason delivered, the Tsar government did not have the truth not to draw the ally involvement. The international politics does not esteem individual heroic principle, by numerous Ling Guacai is the kingly way. 理由都送上门去了,沙皇政府没有道理不拉盟友介入。国际政治可不推崇个人英勇主义,以众凌寡才是王道。 The staff replied flurriedly: „Scene has lost control completely, the garrison bureau has requested reinforcements to the military, in suddenly Embassy has the personnel casualty, in addition is unknown.” 工作人员慌乱的回答道:“场面已经完全失控,警备署已经向军方求援,俄使馆中有没有人员伤亡尚且不得而知。” Hears this result, Shigenobu Ookuma achieved in the position. The scene lost control to wanting the military involved, must say that what personnel casualties, who dares to believe? 听到这个结果,大隈重信一屁股做到了位置上。场面失控到要军方介入了,要说什么人员伤亡,谁敢信啊？ The present issue does not die many people, but is lies in suddenly Embassy also many people returns alive. In brief, the diplomatic disaster must come. 现在的问题已经不是死了多少人,而是在于俄使馆中还有多少人生还。总之,外交灾难要来了。 ...... …… The appearance of telegram, pulled closer the distance of human. During the daytime Japan has an accident, in the evening Vienna received the message. 电报的出现,拉近了人类的距离。白天日本才出事,晚上维也纳就收到了消息。 As for blocking the passage of information, thinks also on the line. Must know this year the telegram company, but controls in the row skilled person, does not need to buy the account of Japanese government. 至于封锁消息,想想也就行了。要知道这年头的电报公司,可是控制在列强手中,根本就不需要买日本政府的账。 Let alone, cutting off the telegram relation is also useless. Matter happened in the consular district, the distance of various countries' embassy is not far, some so many eyewitness exist, cannot keep secret. 何况,掐断电报联系也没用。事情发生在使馆区,各国使馆的距离又不远,有这么多目击者存在,根本就保不了密。 Can't silence a witness of crime? 总不能杀人灭口吧？ If really various countries' embassy personnel have an accident, the treatment that the Japanese government enjoys, will not compare the next-door neighbor Xinchou period annual variation absolutely. 真要是各国使馆工作人员都出了事,日本政府享受到的待遇,绝对不会比隔壁邻居辛丑年差。 Except for was not clear that outside the concrete personnel casualty in suddenly Embassy, other contents follow telegrams, passed to the all over the world. 除了不清楚俄使馆的具体人员伤亡外,其他的内容都伴随着一封封电报,传到了世界各地。 Looked at in the telegram in hand, Franz was being deep in the deep thought. The Russo-Japanese War he has heard, but the Japanese People attack embassy, he has not really heard. 望着拿在手中的电报,弗朗茨陷入了深深的沉思中。日俄战争他还是听说过的,但是日本民众冲击使馆这一出,他还真没听说过。 Actually was the history to change, some people covered up the truth intentionally, or was dislikes the event is too small, has not caused the mighty waves. 究竟是历史发生了改变,还是有人故意掩盖真相,又或者是嫌事件太小,没有引起波澜。 Franz has crossed the curiosity exuberant age, has not explained the interest that day very soon conflicts thoroughly. 弗朗茨已经过了好奇心旺盛的年纪,没有深入解读日俄冲突的兴致。 „Japanese war party recently suppressed miserable very?” “日本主战派最近是不是被压制的很惨？” Several hundred meters distance, can roughly see that the situation was good, hidden at the gun fire of hidden place, is naturally unknown. 几百米的距离,能够大致看到现场的情况就不错了,隐藏在暗处的枪击事件,自然是不得而知。 Does not know that some people disturb, to having suddenly consular district impact, is defined as „rioter to impact suddenly consular district” directly. 不知道有人从中捣乱,对发生俄使馆区的冲击事件,直接被定义为“暴民冲击俄使馆区”。 In pure Japan , Russia conflict, can do this foolish matter, except that Japanese Military that group of war maniacs, already not others. 在纯粹的日俄冲突中,能够干出这种蠢事的,除了日本军方那帮战争疯子,已经没有别人了。 Generally according to the personal experience inference of Franz, has this extreme case the time, was the Japanese forces war party received the suppression, the extreme method to overturn using. 根据弗朗茨的个人经验推断,一般发生这种极端事件的时候,都是日军主战派受到了压制,为了翻盘采用的极端方式。 Similar event, the original space and time has also happened. For example: Some year of government wants to cut the military expenses, unwilling Japanese Military launched the coup d'etat directly...... 类似的事件,原时空还发生过很多。比如说:某年政府想要削减军费,不甘心的日本军方直接发动了政变…… Frederick: „ Right, in recent years the Japanese government has been cutting the military budget. The military budget accounts for financial revenue 84.7 from the peak, was compressed now 46.2. 腓特烈:“没错,最近几年日本政府一直都在削减军费预算。军费预算从巅峰时期占财政收入的84.7,被压缩到了现在的46.2。 It is said the Japanese government also prepares to continue to reduce the military expenses expenses, prepares the military spending, controls in financial revenue about 35. 据说日本政府还准备继续压缩军费开销,准备将军费支出,控制在财政收入的35左右。 However, what relations this and does the rioter impact the suddenly consular district to have? Cannot, because the discontented military budget proportion reduces,...... ” 不过,这和暴民冲击俄使馆区有什么关系呢？总不能因为不满军费预算比例降低,就……” The military spending occupies the financial revenue the proportion to stay at a high level, this is the characteristics of time. Is the economically underdeveloped country, the proportion of military expenses expenses in the expenditure is higher. 军费支出占财政收入的比例居高不下,这是时代的特性。越是经济落后的国家,军费开销在财政支出中占比越高。 Can the military budget country of control in 40, basically pull open the country of industrialization ; Can the military budget country of control in 25, be able to be the developed country. 能够将军费预算控制在40以内的国家,基本上都是拉开了工业化进程的国家;能够将军费预算控制在25以内的国家,都可以算是发达国家。 From military budget proportion, can look that the Japanese economic development recent is good, otherwise the military budget proportion cannot get down. 从军费预算比例上,也可以看出来日本最近几年的经济发展不错,要不然军费预算比例根本就下不来。 After all, raising the army is very expensive. With the development of military technology, the army routine maintenance expense has been at the rise condition. 毕竟,养军队是非常费钱的。伴随着军工技术的发展,军队日常维护费用一直都处于上涨状态。 In the military establishment invariable situation, every year military expenses expenses will only increase, will not reduce. To reduce the proportion in fiscal budget, only has the financial revenue speed-up to surpass the army maintenance cost speed-up. 在军队编制不变的情况下,每年的军费开销只会增加,不会降低。想要压缩在财政预算中的比例,唯有财政收入增速超过军队维护成本增速。 In the gold standard age, the seigniorage income is far from the later generation being so abnormal, is impossible to become the financial revenue pillar/backbone. The financial revenue of government increases, the tax revenue that mainly the economic development dividend brings grows. 在金本位年代,铸币税收入远没有后世那么变态,根本就不可能成为财政收入的支柱。政府的财政收入增加,主要还是经济发展红利带来的税收增长。 „ Is impossible to happen in other country, however in Japan said that does not permit. To this country, we cannot discuss it by the common sense. “在别的国家不可能发生,但是在日本就说不准了。对这个国家,我们不能以常理来论之。 Traditional philosophy of Bushido, in addition army *** the principle thought that Japanese Military took the radical road of no return from the beginning. 武士道的传统思想,加上军***主义思想,日本军方从一开始就走上了激进的不归路。 Naturally, this possibly is causes to attack one of the suddenly Embassy event numerous factors. The direct blasting fuse, mostly was the little while ago Far East conflict. 当然,这可能是导致冲击俄使馆事件的众多因素之一。直接导火索,多半还是前不久的远东冲突。 Facing Russian Empire , Japanese governments not enough energy. For the domestic development your general situation, the Japanese government can make the concession, was not equal to the radical group that folk will also take the entire situation into account. 面对俄罗斯帝国,日本政府没有足够的底气。为了国内发展你大局,日本政府可以做出让步,不等于民间的激进团体也会顾全大局。 In this world, looked that the issue, worked the person who did not think is too many. If blended the nationalism and extremism again, that was crazier. 在这个世界上,看问题、做事情不动脑子的人太多了。如果再参杂了民族主义、极端主义,那就更疯狂了。 So long as some people instigated, did not have the matter that they did not dare to do. don't said that impacts suddenly Embassy, even slaughters completely the Russia embassy personnel, still possibly has. ” 只要有人从中挑拨一下,就没有他们不敢干的事情。莫说是冲击俄使馆,就算是把俄国使馆工作人员全部屠杀一空,也不是没有可能。” Has the original space and time to make the reference, Franz thought that the normal matter, to Frederick, is comprehensive impacts in three view. 有原时空做参照,弗朗茨觉得正常的事情,对腓特烈来说,就是一种三观上的全面冲击。 „Impact consular district”, already enough shocking, if slaughters the embassy personnel again, then anything also let alone, made war to consider as finished directly. “冲击使馆区”,就已经够骇人听闻的了,要是再屠杀使馆工作人员,那么什么也别说了,直接开战算了。 No great nation, can accept this provocation, let alone is the Russia person of violent temper. 没有任何一个大国,能够接受这种挑衅,何况是暴脾气的俄国人。 Poured the bottom to see great storms, besides initial unbelievable, Frederick quickly restored, said slowly: 倒底还是见惯了大风大浪,除了最初的难以置信外,腓特烈很快就恢复了过来,缓缓说道: „ If really killed off the suddenly embassy personnel, then the Russo-Japanese War was avoidless. However now the Siberia railroad has not been open to traffic, the Russia person should not begin immediately. “如果真的杀光了俄使馆工作人员,那么日俄战争就无法避免了。不过现在西伯利亚铁路还没有通车,俄国人应该不会马上动手。 Judged from the progress of Siberia railroad, the main line estimated is open to traffic next year, the branch railroad wants three to five years probably. 从西伯利亚铁路的进度上来判断,主干线预计在明年通车,支线铁路大概要三到五年。 If as expected, the Russo-Japanese War should break out in the next five to ten year. Then we whether...... ” 如果不出意外的话,日俄战争应该会在未来五到十年内爆发。那么我们是不是可以……” Does not need Frederick to speak the words, Franz hits to block the way: „ This is only the war that considers from the Russia aspect starts the time best, however the eruption of war, is not always decided unilaterally. 不待腓特烈把话说完,弗朗茨就打断道:“这只是从俄国方面考虑的战争最佳发动时机,但是战争的爆发,从来都不是由单方面决定的。 Changing you are Emperor Meiji, you can wait for the Russia person to prepare to hit, accepts a challenge again passively? ” 换你是明治天皇,你会等俄国人准备好了打过来,再被动应战么？” Without the means that this is the erroneous zone in cognition. Japan and Russia power gap is disparate, if limited to the transportation, 35 Japan does not add the insufficient Russia person to hit. 没有办法,这是认知上的误区。日俄两国实力差距非常悬殊,如果不是受限于交通,三五个日本加起来都不够俄国人打的。 If considering discrimination to non-white race at heart, to strength appraisal of both sides, but must be bigger. 如果考虑到对有色人种的歧视心里,对双方的实力评估,还要更大。 The Philippine war is one to the sign, Spain tires the troops on a long expedition can hit half -and-a-half jin (0.5 kg) with Japan two, if were not the distance limited the strength delivery, Japan has defeated. 菲律宾战争就是一个对标,西班牙劳师远征都能够和日本打个半斤半两,如果不是距离限制了力量投放,日本早就战败了。 Uses the issue of French mercenary as for Spain, was given to disregard by everyone directly. Europe has to use the mercenary tradition, can recruit the mercenary to battle that is also one manifestation of strength. 至于西班牙使用法兰西雇佣兵的问题,直接被大家给无视了。欧洲可是有使用雇佣兵传统的,能够招募雇佣兵作战那也是实力的一种体现。 It looks like in many people, the power gap is extremely disparate, the weak one provokes the war on own initiative, that is courting death. 在很多人看来,实力差距太过悬殊,弱者主动挑起战争,那就是在找死。 On the contrary, accepts a challenge passively can also win the international sympathy, the invitation great nation involvement mediation. Similarly defeats, but enjoys the treatment to be entirely different. 相反,被动应战还可以争取国际同情,邀请大国介入调停。同样是战败,但是享受待遇却是截然不同的。 The former lost, not being able to do well is a dead country extinguishes ; Although the latter defeats, actually a slim chance of survival. 前者输了,搞不好就是身死国灭;后者虽然战败,却还有一线生机。 After all, the international community does not look that the Russia person expands unceasingly, stepping is inevitable. 毕竟,国际社会不会看着俄国人不断扩张,出面干涉是必然的。 ...... …… In the Franz father and son in considering how in the Russo-Japanese War benefits as the third party in a dispute, the Tsar government also receives the sad news that Far East transmitted. 就在弗朗茨父子在考虑怎么在日俄战争中渔翁得利的时候,沙皇政府也收到了远东传来的噩耗。 Information that but they receive, is not the embassy transmits, but is retransmitted by the Vienna government. 只不过他们收到的情报,不是自家使馆传来的,而是由维也纳政府转发的。 The ally, this small busy helps. 盟友嘛,这点儿小忙还是帮的。 If did not confirm over and over, embassy in Tokyo had lost the contact, Nicholas II thinks today in the fool's day. 如果不是再三确认,驻东京使馆已经失去了联络,尼古拉二世都以为今天在过愚人节。 A little Japan, dares to provoke great Russian Empire unexpectedly over and over, this clearly bullied their blades to be disadvantageous again. 小小的一个日本,居然敢再三挑衅伟大的俄罗斯帝国,这分明就是再欺负他们的刀不利了。 Receives after the message, Nicholas II held the senior government officials conference at the same night. In this matter, if not retaliate, Russian Empire also internationally does mix? 收到消息过后,尼古拉二世连夜召开了政府高层会议。发生了这种事情,要是不报复回去,俄罗斯帝国还怎么在国际上混？ Prime Minister Sergei Witte: „ Your majesty, the Japanese provokes us to give the strong counter-attack, making them know that Russian Empire is not they can provoke. 谢尔盖・维特首相:“陛下,日本人挑衅我们必须要予以强硬回击,让他们知道俄罗斯帝国不是他们可以招惹的。 The Siberia railroad has not been open to traffic, we are limited in the troops of Far East area, very difficult to hit hard to Japan. 只是西伯利亚铁路尚未通车,我们在远东地区的兵力有限,很难给日本以重击。 With its superficial retaliation, might as well again wait/etc. When we prepared, destroyed completely Japan directly with hate of solution heart. ” 与其不痛不痒的报复,还不如再等等。等我们准备好了,直接灭掉日本以解心头之恨。” Count Sergei Witte is a reason sends the prime minister, is filled with righteous indignation to turn over to be filled with righteous indignation, the anger raises forces not to do absolutely. 谢尔盖・维特伯爵可是一个理智派首相,义愤填膺归义愤填膺,怒而兴师可是万万干不得的。 If not forgotten guide for the future. Recently these years, Russian Empire may suffer „anger raised forces” a lot, must draw the lesson. 前事不忘后事之师。最近这些年,俄罗斯帝国可没有少吃“怒而兴师”的亏,现在必须要吸取教训了。 In the heart deep place, Sergei Witte has decided on the attention, no matter how the Japanese provokes, after must suppress the Siberia railroad to be open to traffic comprehensively . 在内心深处,谢尔盖・维特已经打定了注意,不管日本人如何挑衅,都必须要憋到西伯利亚铁路全面通车之后。 Sane , is not only Sergei Witte, the present Tsar senior government officials basically are the secondary roles that Alexander III leaves behind, uniform sane faction. 理智的不光是谢尔盖・维特,现在的沙皇政府高层基本上都是亚历山大三世留下的班底,清一色的理智派。 Other Eastern Orthodox Church administrative bureau quite Donos fuel/thin husband: „ Prime minister said well, at present is not truly suitable to take the military action. 东正教管理局局长颇别多诺斯柴夫:“首相说得不错,眼下确实不适合采取军事行动。 To Japanese such clown, we do not act either, make a move to deal a fatal blow to shatter with one stroke, can shock the will of the people truly. 对日本这样的小丑,我们要么不出手,出手就必须要一棍子打死,才能够真正震慑人心。 Considering Japan is an island country (Japan), wants to destroy completely them, by imperial navy's current strength, obviously is the strength has. 考虑到日本是一个岛国,想要灭掉他们,以帝国海军目前的实力,明显是力有不及。 On this issue, we can imitate Austria altruistic, first makes comprehensive 20 years of development plans, when prepared fully then destroyed completely the Japanese monkey. ” 在这个问题上,我们可以效仿奥地利人,先制定一个综合性二十年发展计划,等准备充分了再灭掉日本猴子。” Can look, other quite Donos fuel/thin husband is also careless deep „” the essence of say/way, came up is 20 years extinguishes the day plan. 看得出来,颇别多诺斯柴夫也是深得“苟”道之精髓,一上来就是二十年灭日计划。 By the abundant family property of Russian Empire, if really plants 20 years of land with concentration, is great, Japan affirmed that is much cooler. 以俄罗斯帝国的雄厚家底,真要是潜下心来种二十年地,那么没得说,日本肯定凉得彻彻底底。 don't said that was Japan, even the present Great Britain, is still not necessarily able to suppress completes Russian Empire after industrialization. 莫说是日本了,就算是现在的大英帝国,也未必能够压制完成工业化后的俄罗斯帝国。