GCSAT :: Volume #3

#226: The raw material lithium price rises ....... has what pass/test with me...


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What ghost...... I made into 267 unexpectedly...... 227 chapters 什么鬼......我居然打成了二百六十七......二百二十七章 . . When Huaxia and island country (Japan) for latest battery research and development are producing respectively, but move, in another side of sea, the ugly country strategic analysis office noticed the unusuality of this domain similarly. 在华夏和岛国各自为着最新的电池研发生产而出招的时候,在海的另一边,丑国战略分析办公室同样注意到了这一个领域的异常。 The people in this office also not from H-20 oppresses to extricate, but, because the situation compels, they have to put into a to them completely strange fight. 这间办公室的众人还没有从轰-20的压迫中解脱出来,但是,由于形势所迫,他们又不得不投入到了一场对于他们来说完全陌生的战斗中去。 „......, therefore, you mean, the opposite party has possibly mastered the sulfur lithium battery technology of new generation, and recently ---- You said that within will two weeks issue?” “......所以,你的意思是,对方很可能已经掌握了新一代的硫锂电池技术,并且在近期内----你说的,两周之内就会发布?” Johnson sits well on the chair, his facial expression as always firm and resolute, but if looks carefully, is not difficult several points of exhausted that discovers in his look to disclose slightly. 强森端坐在椅子上,他的神情一如既往地坚毅,但如果细心去看的话,也不难发现他眼神中微微透露出来的几分疲惫。 Yes, this is our preliminary judgments. According to the appraisal in island, the sulfur lithium battery technology that the opposite party grasps at least can promote the current battery energy density to 500 wh / kg above, is equivalent to the quite current most advanced battery also to promote 30, this will have the tremendous blow to our energy source sphere.” “是的,这是我们初步的判断。根据岛国方面的评估,对方掌握的硫锂电池技术至少可以把当前的电池能量密度提升到500wh/kg以上,相当于比较当前最先进的电池还要提升30,这对我们能源领域将会产生巨大冲击。” Very the situation that may have is, after the battery issues, the crude price will happen falls sharply ---- Especially crude oil futures price.” “很有可能发生的情况是,在电池发布之后,原油价格会发生大幅下跌----尤其是原油期货价格。” Logic? Where is the logic at?” “逻辑呢?逻辑在哪?” Johnson is frowning to ask. 强森皱着眉头问道。 The analysts gawked gawked, later started to explain: 分析员愣了一愣,随后开始解释道: Logic is, once this battery issued, not only can enhance the length of electric car directly, is a quite strong signal, that is, Huaxia has mastered extremely strong battery R & D capability, the following battery capability continually will also promote.” “逻辑是,这块电池一旦发布,不仅仅可以直接提高电动车的行驶里程,还是一个相当强的信号,那就是,华夏方面已经掌握了极强的电池研发能力,后续电池性能还会不断提升。” However the promotion of battery capability, means that the new energy further strengthens to the substitution effect of traditional fossil energy, in the future the demand of petroleum will also drop, the price also reduced naturally.” “而电池性能的提升,就意味着新能源对传统化石能源的替代作用进一步加强,未来石油的需求随之下降,价格自然而然地也就降低了。” Listens to analyst's explanation, Johnson nods, later opens the mouth to ask: 听完分析员的解释,强森点了点头,随后开口问道: „Do we need to maintain the international oil price? In the long run, respectively where does the crude price fall to our strengths and weakness is at?” “那我们是否需要维持国际原油价格?从长远来看,原油价格下跌对我们的优势和劣势分别在哪?” Mr. Johnson, in the long run, the crude price falls to us is good, but, in a short time, we must maintain the crude price gear operation.” “强森先生,从长远来看,原油价格下跌对我们是有好处的,但是,在短期内,我们必须要维持原油价格高位运行。” Primary cause has following these three.” “主要原因有以下这三个。” „The first point, boosts to say happily, said is strong happily ; The crude oil by the worldwide basis staple product of saying happy valuation, the crude oil rises, we can pass the burden the domestic inflation to a certain extent ; Second, the crude oil rises to other countries will create the input inflation, hits its other countries' economy ; The third point, our national industry situated in the high-end domain, was affected to be small by the inflation, always realized that increases our favorable economic conditions.” “第一点,提振叨乐,叨乐走强;原油是以叨乐计价的世界性的大宗商品,原油上涨,我们在一定程度上可以转嫁国内的通胀;第二点,原油上涨对其他国家会造成输入性通胀,打击其他国经济;第三点,我们国家产业位于高端领域,受通胀影响较小,总体会增加我们的经济优势。” Moreover, even did not consider that this reason, we are still facing the pressure from domestic enterprise, particularly the pressure of shale oil enterprise.” “另外,即使不考虑这個原因,我们也还面临着来自国内企业的压力,尤其是页岩油企业的压力。” We invested the great quantity resources in the shale oil domain, although at present has yielded certain result, but the distance recoups the cost to achieve the profit also to have very long distance truly. If the international oil price falls, first will jump is that group of shale oil entrepreneurs who causes trouble.” “我们在页岩油领域投入了巨量的资源,目前虽然已经取得了一定的成果,但是距离真正收回成本达成盈利还有很长一段距离。如果一旦国际原油价格下跌,首先会跳起来闹事的就是那帮页岩油企业家。” Mister, you are know that their energies, in fact see compared with our surface in also wants greatly ....... “先生,你是知道的,他们的能量,实际上比我们表面上看到的还要巨大.......” Listened to this saying gloomy, Johnson's complexion. 听完这话,强森的面色阴沉了下去。 He is a smart person, therefore also understands analyst the implication. 他是个聪明人,所以也明白分析员的言外之意。 In fact, that three reasons that he said are the pretences, the real reason, is only in his last few words. 事实上,他所说的那三条理由不过是幌子,真正的原因,只是在他的最后一句话。 The factory of production shale oil will not allow the international oil price to fall, because that will affect them to make money. 生产页岩油的厂家是不会允许国际原油价格下跌的,因为那会影响他们赚钱。 But money, is the first driving influence of this country. 而钱,是这个国家的第一驱动力。 For these merchants the short-term benefit can ignore the long-term development of country completely, but the country has no means to them. 这些商人为了短期的利益可以完全罔顾国家的长期发展,而国家对他们却没有任何办法。 Thinks of here, his slightly cannot check sighs. 想到这里,他微不可查地叹了口气。 Right, he can look through all these, but, how can that? 没错,他可以看破这一切,但是,那又能怎么样呢? He must go to the decision in this direction, must maintain in this country the interests of many business owner. 他仍然要按照这个方向去决策,要维护这个国家中众多企业主的利益。 Silent a moment later, he says: 沉默片刻之后,他开口说道: We think the means control international oil price. Threw a freighter in the past, blocked their harbors.” “那我们就想办法控制国际原油价格吧。扔一艘货船过去,把他们的港口堵住。” The analysts shake the head, replied: 分析员摇了摇头,回答道: Mister, this method is possibly invalid. At the same time, we have used one time, again with the words, the flaw is too big. On the other hand, in any event, the jamming of harbor is only the short-term impact, cannot solve the trend that the crude price falls fundamentally ---- Trend that especially the futures price falls.” “先生,这个方法可能行不通。一方面,我们已经用过一次了,再用出来的话,破绽太大。另一方面,无论如何,港口的堵塞都只是短期影响,不能从根本上解决原油价格下跌的趋势----尤其是期货价格下跌的趋势。” What then your suggestion is?” “那么你的建议是什么?” Johnson is frowning to ask. 强森皱着眉头问道。 Hesitated a moment later, the analyst opens the mouth to reply: 沉吟了片刻之后,分析员开口回答: I think, we can start from the direction of raw material lithium. Huaxia lithium output few pity, trivial the seven, 70 import from the overseas, if we can jack the raw material lithium price, can introduce to jack their battery prices.” “我想,我们可以从原料锂的方向入手。华夏锂产量少的可怜,只有区区的七,有70都是从海外进口,如果我们能抬升原料锂价格,就可以简介抬升他们的电池价格。” So long as the battery price rises to the certain extent, the influence of its technological innovation will be diluted, this can win many time for us.” “只要电池价格上涨到一定程度,其技术革新的影响就会被冲淡,这可以为我们赢得许多的时间。” Why? I remember that the lithium ore reserves of Huaxia isn't low?” “为什么?我记得华夏的锂矿储量并不低吧?” Johnson has doubts asks. 强森疑惑地问道。 Before then he has read some analytical materials, is profound to this information impression. 在这之前他已经看过了一些分析材料,对这条信息印象深刻。 From the world, lithium resources output main centralized in continent, chile, argentina and Huaxia, 4 country proportions are the global ultimate reserves 95, but the Huaxia lithium ore reserves only arranges after chile, accounted for the global 18 reserves. 从全球来看,锂资源产量主要集中在嗷洲、chile、argentina和华夏,四国占比达到全球总储量的95,而华夏锂矿储量仅排在chile之后,占到了全球18的储量。 Such rich reserves, will the raw material lithium need 70 imports? 这么丰富的储量,原料锂怎么会需要70的进口呢? Because the mining difficulty is too big.” “因为开采难度太大。” Is saying, the analyst while the map projection to the screen on, then points above labelling several tilaks saying: 一边说着,分析员一边将地图投影到屏幕上,然后指着上面标注的几个小红点说道: Huaxia lithium resources mainly have the saline lake, spodumene and lithium mica three types, saline lake lithium proportion 83, mainly distributes in clear and west fat ; Spodumene proportion 15, is mainly distributed in Sichuan Shu ; Lithium mica proportion 2, is mainly distributed in Jiangxi.” “华夏锂资源主要有盐湖、锂辉石和锂云母三种,其中盐湖锂占比83,主要分布在清海和西奘;锂辉石占比15,主要分布在川蜀;锂云母占比二,主要分布在江溪。” Their most lithium in the saline lake, occupied about 80, but these saline lakes were distributed in the ecologically fragile area and capital construction non- developed area, the mining difficulty was big.” “他们的大部分锂都是在盐湖中,占到了80左右,而这些盐湖又绝大部分分布在生态脆弱区、基建不发达地区,开采难度非常大。” Is this reason, causing their raw material lithium output to be low.” “就是这个原因,导致了他们的原料锂产量低下。” ....... The capital construction is not developed, why I felt that this reason a little cannot stand firmly. Good, we did not discuss temporarily this issue, I want to ask, we do need to control the international raw material lithium in what way the price?” “.......基建不发达,为什么我感觉这个理由有点站不住脚啊。好吧,我们暂时不讨论这个问题,我想问问,我们需要通过什么方式来控制国际原料锂的价格?” Johnson asked straightforwardly. 强森直截了当地问道。 We can through continent greenbushes Corporation, they be the world's largest raw material lithium suppliers.” “我们可以通过嗷洲greenbushes公司,他们是全球最大的原料锂供应商。” „Can we control them?” “我们可以控制他们吗?” Ok. We can achieve 100 controls, in two weeks, we will be ready, later in previous to 3 days that the opposite party issues, we will start to pull the raw material lithium price, the existing price will pull to over 300.” “可以。我们可以做到100控制,在两周之内,我们会做好准备,随后在对方发布的前一到三天,我们会开始拉高原料锂价格,将现有的价格拉高到300以上。” Perhaps will this have the influence on our other partners?” “这恐怕也会对我们的其他合作伙伴造成影响吧?” The analysts smile, the look said ambiguous: 分析员笑了笑,神色暧昧地说道: Regarding the domestic enterprise, we will inform them to use the stock to lock the raw material lithium price in certain ways ahead of time, but, regarding other countries, that has to make them run its own course......” “对于国内的企业,我们会通过某些方式告知他们使用期货来提前锁定原料锂价格的,但是,对于其他国家,那就只好让他们自生自灭了......” Johnson nods silent, immediately says: 强森沉默地点了点头,随即开口说道: That output report, I will sign.” “那就输出报告吧,我会签字的。” Understood!” “明白!” The analysts turned the head to leave the office, Johnson by pouring on chair, the complexion fluctuated to keep. 分析员转头离开了办公室,强森靠倒在椅子上,脸色变幻不停。 He does not know the decision that oneself make is correct, because this decision will enable one large quantities to suffer the large amount of loss with the ally business, even certain relatively vulnerable manufacturers go bankrupt directly are uncertain. 他不知道自己做的决定是不是正确的,因为这个决定将会使得一大批同盟友商蒙受巨额的亏损,甚至某些相对脆弱的厂商直接破产也不一定。 However, he has to do that because to him, the interests of country is higher than all forever. 但是,他又不得不这么做,因为对他来说,国家的利益永远高于一切。 For this benefit, he rather acts as that the executioner who the blade drops. 为了这个利益,他宁愿去充当那个把刀落下的刽子手。 Even if leaves behind first infamy not to relate. 哪怕留下一世的骂名也没关系。 This flash, an inexplicable heroic feelings emerges in his chest. 这一瞬间,一种莫名的豪情涌现在他的胸膛里。 However he actually does not know completely, his complete worry, is unnecessary. 然而他却完全不知道,他的全部担心,都是多余的。 Because Huaxia this doing battery, is not the sulfur lithium battery, but is the sulfur silicon cell. 因为华夏这次搞的电池,根本就不是什么硫锂电池,而是硫硅电池。 Therefore, pushes up the raw material lithium the price, regarding Huaxia, actually radically is a joke. 所以,推高原料锂的价格,对于华夏来说,其实根本就是一个笑话而已。
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