EG :: Volume #18

#1729: Also is the god forecast?

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No matter the real cause is anything, the yacht quantity that but China imported for these years are truly getting more and more. China have the yacht, but the brand did not say not much, product design anything also truly not. 不管真正原因是什么,但是华夏这几年进口的游艇数量确实越来越多。华夏自己也不是没有游艇,但品牌不怎么样不说,产品设计什么的也确实不咋地。 If can buy overseas vanguard technology and design proposal, then regarding promoting the yacht profession of China, has the enormous advantage. 如果能够买到国外的先进技术和设计方案,那么对于提升华夏的游艇行业,也是有着极大的好处。 The import substitution, is in itself China at this time one of roads attempts to walk. 进口替代,本身就是华夏此时尝试走的路之一。 Feng Yu must open the shipyard, Committee Member Bao approves of very much. Not can only the replace import product, meanwhile be able to open 1-2 shipyards, the exciting provincial economy, this absolutely is the good deed. 冯宇要开造船厂,鲍委员是很赞同的。不但能替代进口产品,同时还能开设一两家造船厂,刺激地方经济,这绝对是好事啊。 Celebrated the new year, Committee Member Bao should also retire. Can before the retirement, do a matter again, he also very much wants. 过了年,鲍委员也该退休了。能在退休之前,再多做一点事,他也是很愿意的。 Actually in this year, Committee Member Bao has also been responsible for several important matters, for example the national capital invests the gold, reported the country institute time, was Committee Member Bao is responsible. 其实这一年,鲍委员也主抓了几件大事,比如国资投资黄金,上报到国院的时候,就是鲍委员负责的。 But the national capital increased crude oil reserve quantity, even for this reason ahead of time payments fund, is he operates personally. The beginning of the year time looks like, probably a little suffered a loss. 而国资增加了原油储备量,甚至为此提前支付资金,也是他亲自操作的。年初的时候看起来,好像是有点吃亏了。 However to the present, the price increase scope of crude oil close two-thirds, from more than 50 US dollars, turned into more than 90 US dollars, initially ahead of time paid payment for goods signing the contract, but was priceless. 但是到了现在,原油的价格涨幅接近2,从50多美元,变成了90多美元,当初提前支付货款签订的合同,可就价值连城了。 At that time Feng Yu said that the crude oil can rise is fierce, over 80 US dollars, they have organized the expert discussion, nobody believed. 那时候冯宇说原油会上涨非常猛,超过80美元,他们组织了专家讨论,没有一个人相信的。 If not Zhang Ruiqiang supports with him vigorously, perhaps will not sign the contract that at that time looked like suffered a loss. 如果不是张瑞强跟他极力支持,恐怕也不会签订当时看来那么吃亏的合同。 Zhang Ruiqiang is to the Feng Yu unusual trust, approves the Feng Yu results analysis. But he is looked that the investment of Feng Yu direction national capital in gold has gained, the money, from that time's point of view sufficiently made up for the loss that the crude price invariable or the drop incurred. 张瑞强是对冯宇非常的信任,认同冯宇的分析结果。而他则是看冯宇指点国资在黄金上的投资赚了很多,赚到的钱,在当时看来足以弥补原油价格不变或者下降所带来的损失了。 Therefore Committee Member Bao has also supported this decision, and finally obtains the approval of above leadership, carried out successfully. 所以鲍委员也支持了这个决定,并且最终获得上头领导的认可,成功执行了。 Forecast regarding the Feng Yu god that Committee Member Bao believes firmly now does not doubt. 对于冯宇的神预测,鲍委员现在是确信不疑的。 Feng Yu said after gold rate possibly slightly lowers , to continue to rise, in fact now is this. 冯宇说黄金价格可能稍微下挫之后继续上涨,事实上现在就是这样。 Feng Yu said that crude price will rise sharply in fluctuation, the country should store up one in large numbers, avoids the national crude oil demand rising sharply to create the economic pressures. 冯宇说原油价格会在波动中大涨,国家应该储备一大批,避免国家原油需求量大涨而带来经济压力。 The country has stored up, but the crude oil price, really also rose sharply. 国家储存了,而原油的价格,果然也大涨了。 Feng Yu added that initially Buffett invested the China petroleum, this year definitely in the year undersells. Now the fact truly so, Buffett has almost also dumped up the China petroleum stock, can make a profit of approximately three One billion US dollars, the profit is six times! 冯宇还说,当初巴菲特投资华夏石油,今年肯定会在年中的时候抛售。现在事实也确实如此,巴菲特已经几乎抛售光了华夏石油的股票,据悉能够获利约三十亿美元,利润为六倍！ Initially less than two Hong Kong dollar China oil shares, now the price has surpassed ten Wugang coins. If not underselling of Buffett, perhaps now already over 18 Hong Kong dollars. 当初不到两港币的华夏石油股票,现在价格已经超过了十五港币。如果不是巴菲特的抛售,恐怕现在已经超过18港币了。 Feng Yu said that any US dollar will depreciate this year, RMB may be forced to appreciate, above should pay attention. 还有冯宇说什么美元今年会贬值,RMB有可能会被迫升值,上头应该注意。 Finally, US dollar really depreciated. They changed into the euro many foreign exchange reserves fortunately, making above avoid not the small loss. 结果呢,美元果然贬值了。还好他们将许多外汇储备换成了欧元,让上头避免了不小的损失。 1 trillion US dollars foreign exchange, if dollar devaluation 5%, then the purchasing power quite in the beforehand 950 billion US dollars, the direct 50 billion US dollars wealth evaporated, that is equal to a very big transnational listing Corporation market value. 1000000000000美元的外汇,如果美元贬值5,那么购买力就相当于之前的950000000000美元,直接50000000000美元的财富就蒸发了,那可是相当于一家非常大的跨国上市公司市值呢。 Said that any real estate takes the pillar industry the malpractice, at that time actually many people in their country institute disdained, the real estate takes the pillar industry, this is the successful experiences of many countries. 还有说什么房地产作为支柱产业的弊端,当时其实他们国院的很多人是非常不屑的,房地产作为支柱产业,这是多个国家的成功经验啊。 Naturally , the real estate markets in many countries have crashed, has caused not the small losses. Even China also has takes the pillar industry at the real estate the city, similarly caused the real estate to crash. 当然,也有许多国家的房地产市场崩盘了,造成了不小的损失。甚至就连华夏也有一些以房地产作为支柱产业的城市,同样引起了房地产崩盘。 But above will the careful regulation, have these matters to occur? 可是上头小心的调控,会有那些事情发生吗？ Feng Yu said that at that time the real estate of US will be the same with the late 1990s, crashes once more, was snorted at that time also contemptuously by many experts. 还有冯宇那时候说米国的房地产会跟上世纪九十年代末一样,再次崩盘,当时也被很多专家嗤之以鼻。 That is the US, global economy best country. Initially their real estate markets crashed, how long this crossed, they do not know that drew the lesson? 那可是米国啊,全球经济最好的国家。当初他们的房地产市场崩盘,这才过了多久,难道他们不知道吸取教训吗？ Moreover afterward the real estate market in Asia crashes, does not warn once again. Will the real estate market in US, how crash once more? 而且随后亚洲的房地产市场崩盘,不是又一次警示。米国的房地产市场,怎么会再次崩盘？ However the realistic result, the real estate market in US, meets at the beginning of this year coldly, then falls suddenly once more. 但是现实结果呢,米国的房地产市场,在今年初的时候就遇冷,然后再次暴跌。 Feng Yu ahead of time has told them, they have dumped these related bonds and stocks, perhaps now was locked, that must lose how much money. 要不是冯宇提前跟他们说过,他们抛售了那些相关的债券和股票,恐怕现在就被套牢了,那得损失多少钱啊。 It can be said that each forecast of Feng Yu, is accurate incomparable. 可以说,冯宇的每一次预测,都是精准无比。 Naturally, afterward Committee Member Bao also knows that originally Feng Yu in the money market, has and formidable influence unexpectedly. 当然,后来鲍委员也才知道,原来冯宇在金融市场,居然也有及其强大的影响力。 This US dollar falls, the crude oil rises, has certain relations with Feng Yu. Even the gold rate rises, a little relates with Feng Yu. 这个美元下跌,原油上涨,跟冯宇也有一定的关系。甚至黄金价格上涨,也跟冯宇有点关系。 Committee Member Bao has not known, Feng Yu does, not only so, stockmarket of US falls, the sub-prime loan crisis becomes even more serious, there is a Feng Yu form. 只是鲍委员还不知道,冯宇做的不只是如此,米国的股市下跌,次贷危机变得愈发严重,也有冯宇的身影。 These situations, even if no Feng Yu to meddle, will occur, but will not become such stern. 这些情况,哪怕没有冯宇插手,也会发生,只是不会变得这么严峻罢了。 But Feng Yu makes the situation worsen, not only can make the money, but can also hit the economy of US, attacks the image of US, thus helps China quickly and US reduction disparity. 而冯宇让形势恶化,不只是能够赚一大笔钱,还能打击米国的经济,打击米国的形象,从而帮助华夏更快的与米国缩小差距。 China was richer, then can have many funds to arm the military aspect, thus true makes China the world top great nation, the powerful nation, not only an economic giant. 华夏更有钱了,那么就能有更多的资金来武装到军事方面,从而真正的让华夏成为世界顶尖的大国,强国,而不只是一个经济大国。 Like Japan, the economy is quite formidable, is next to the US. In late last century, but also had once surpassed the US. But the result, they are unable or threaten through the military attack, realize the politics and economical intention, instead their countries always come under the military influence of US, the right to independence is extremely bad. 就像岛国一样,经济极为强大,仅次于米国。在上世纪末,还一度超过了米国呢。但结果呢,他们根本无法通过军事打击或者威胁,实现政治和经济意图,反而他们的国家总是受到米国的军事影响,自主权极差。 Like in the US forces that side Japan is stationed, once exposed the scandal repeatedly. The ideological education of US that side main strength, may be inferior to China. 就像在岛国那边驻扎的美军,曾多次曝出丑闻。米国那边大兵的思想教育,可远不如华夏这边。 This time US soldier, was stationed in Japan particularly, they regard an occupation, after retiring, with big compensatory payment, can help them live very good life. 这时候的米国大兵,尤其是驻扎在岛国的,他们就是当成一种职业,退役后拿一大笔补偿金,可以让他们过上很不错的生活。 These main strength, many slackly have been used , after Japan, comes under the influence of that culture, can not have unable to bear? 这些大兵,许多都自由散漫惯了,到了岛国后,受到那种文化的影响,能没有一些忍不住的？ But these matters, had not been pressed. Because Japan was the defeated nation of World War II, therefore received the restrictions of some treaties, cannot develop the military power frankly and uprightly . Moreover the Japan domain was too small, could not undergo devastates. 可这些事,还不都被压下去了。岛国由于是二战的战败国,所以受到一些条约的制约,根本不能光明正大的发展军事实力,而且岛国的地盘太小了,根本经受不起摧残。 Therefore to the present, Japan can be called the great nation, the powerful nation, but front must add on the economical two characters. In other words, their this great nation and powerful nation, are founded under economical condition. 所以到现在,岛国可以被称之为大国,强国,但前面要加上经济二字。也就是说,他们这个大国、强国,是在经济这个条件下才成立的。 Only by military power, their might as well south flannel. 单论军事实力,他们还不如南洋呢。 Feng Yu also chatted something with Committee Member Bao, sets out to plan to leave. Just before leaving before, he said to Committee Member Bao: „Crude price will rise after a period of time also suddenly, but should not be worried that quick will fall.” 冯宇跟鲍委员又聊了一些事情,起身打算离开。临走之前,他对鲍委员说道:“原油价格过段时间还会暴涨,不过别担心,很快就会跌下去的。” Committee Member Bao is startled, is this god forecast of Feng Yu? 鲍委员一怔,这又是冯宇的神预测？ ...... ……
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