EG :: Volume #18

#1730: Shale oil( sought subscription)

LNMTL needs user funding to survive Read More

The international economic situation constantly worsens, the money market comes under the influence to be big, but at this time, stock and gold of energy aspect and other precious metals, price actually unceasing rise. 国际的经济形势不断恶化,金融市场受到影响非常大,但在这个时候,能源类的期货和黄金等贵金属,价格却不断的上涨。 And crude oil price, rose 95 dollar / barrel, and today is still rising. 其中原油的价格,已经涨到了95美元/桶,并且今天还在上涨。 May at this time, many people start anxiously. Because of the crude oil price, must move hundred Yuan line immediately, this is the line of impossible breakthrough many people think. 可在这时候,许多人又开始紧张了。因为原油的价格,马上就要触碰百元线了,这是一条许多人认为的不可能突破的线。 Has the crude oil possibly broken through 100 US dollars this superelevation price? Even if not the rational hype, these international finance speculators, should leave the stage. 原油怎么可能突破过100美元这种超高价格？就算是不理性的炒作,那些国际金融炒家,也该退场了。 Once this line breaks through, then to many crude oil import great nations, loses in a big way. Can these great nations, look at the crude price non- rationality rise helplessly? 这条线一旦突破,那么对于许多原油进口大国来说,损失得有多大啊。那些大国,能眼睁睁的看着原油价格非理性上涨吗？ But they have actually neglected, the late 1970s time, the crude oil broke through 100 US dollars line similarly, but calculates according to the inflation rate, may want tall Taiduo compared with the present price. 可他们却忽略了,上世纪七十年代末的时候,原油同样突破了100美元线,而按照通货膨胀率来计算,可比现在的价格要高太多了。 When for being smaller than asked that the rise in price was in itself normal. This year the crude oil demand itself in the world rose, some OPEC member nations were also same as Iran, have reduced production the crude oil, although Saudi Arabian such main item had not announced that but truly the crude oil fell short of demand. 当供小于求的时候,价格上涨本身就是正常的。今年全世界的原油需求量本身就上涨了,一些OPEC成员国也跟伊朗一样,减产了原油,虽然沙特这样的龙头并未宣布,但确实原油是供不应求的。 Must say that China don't have the oil field? Has, the reserves is not too bad. 要说华夏自己没有油田吗？有,储量也不算太差。 However does not mine like the Japan resources, China many resources, limits mining. Some resources, mainly by import, the resources of our country, are mainly when the related resource price equivalent height increases production, is used to stabilize the domestic price. 但是就像岛国的资源也不开采一样,华夏的许多资源,也是限制开采的。一些资源,主要是靠进口,本国的资源,主要是在相关资源价格虚高的时候增产,用来稳定国内物价的。 In the future, the China crude oil import quantity, will leap to first in the world, pushes the US, because the demand is really too big. But at that time, what means has China adopted? 在未来,华夏的原油进口量,会跃居世界第一,将米国挤下去,因为需求量实在是太大。而那时候,华夏采取了什么办法呢？ Externally establishes the joint capital oil field, is you have the petroleum, we leave the equipment to mine, then gives back to your money, for example in African these places is so. 就是在国外建立合资油田,也就是你们有石油,我们出设备来开采,然后还给你钱,比如在非洲那些地方就是如此。 But at this point, crude oil import quantity of US, but also is still the world first. Because their car have quantity to be biggest, and car of high oil consumption are most, many families, have several car(riage)s. 而在此时,米国的原油进口量,还依然是世界第一呢。因为他们那的汽车存有量最大,且高油耗的汽车最多,很多家庭,都有好几辆车呢。 The crude oil demand is still growing, some petroleums produced the country actually to start to reduce production, in addition the Feng Yu and other large amount fund of pushing were high, the crude price broke through 100 US dollars line, Feng Yu thinks over 50% possibilities. 原油需求量还在增长,一些石油产国却开始减产了,加上冯宇等大宗资金的推高,原油价格突破100美元线,冯宇认为有超过五成的可能。 Reason that only then 50% possibilities, that is because likely is the Rothschild Family like this international speculators, is not necessarily able they to continue to fry with Feng Yu. 之所以只有五成的可能,那就是因为像是罗斯柴尔德家族这样的国际炒家们,未必会跟冯宇他们继续炒下去。 That side Soros, is frying the crude oil at this time, but they have also planned to leave the stage, then entered the gold market. 还有索罗斯那边,此时也在炒原油,但是他们也已经打算退场,然后进入黄金市场了。 When has unceasingly the big fund leaves the stage, the person who follows to fire were also less, does the price also push high? 当不断有大笔资金退场的时候,跟风炒的人也原来越少了,价格还怎么推高？ But this possibility, in the OPEC organization announced in the situation of not reducing production. Once OPEC announced the crude oil under-production, then the crude oil price, definitely will again be pushed high, even if did not have the participation of Soros these people is also same, was only the international idle fund odd dealer, was a huge strength. 但这种可能性,是在OPEC组织宣布不减产的情况下。一旦OPEC宣布原油减产,那么原油的价格,必然会再次被推高,哪怕没有索罗斯那些人的参与也是一样,光是国际游资散户,就是一股庞大的力量。 But will OPEC announce crude oil under-production? The Feng Yu answer is, certain meeting! 而OPEC是否会宣布原油减产呢？冯宇的答案是,一定会！ Because of what? 因为什么呢？ Here the OPEC organization mainly mines petroleum, is the underground originally storage petroleum, well drilling extraction on line. OPEC组织这边主要是开采石油,也就是地下原本储存的石油,钻井提取就行了。 However at this time also has the way of another gain petroleum, that is the synthetic petroleum. 但是此时还有另外一种获取石油的途径,那就是人造石油。 Synthetic petroleum originally, with coal extract synthetic petroleum, or extract synthetic petroleum from asphalt oil sand. 原本的人造石油,是用煤炭提取物来合成石油,又或者是从沥青油砂中的提取物来合成石油。 However now, that side the US plans to start massively a new technology, and is known as already the mature technology, extract from bituminous rock, transformation synthetic petroleum. 但是现在,米国那边打算大规模上马一种新型的技术,并且是号称已经成熟的技术,就是从油页岩中的提取物,转换合成石油。 This way, not too has attached great importance to by OPEC that side before, but when that side US petroleum Corporation announced that after mastered this mature technology, that side OPEC has to attach great importance. 这种方式,之前一直都不太被OPEC那边重视,但当米国那边的石油公司宣布,已经掌握了这种成熟的技术之后,OPEC那边就不得不重视了。 Because the US, Canada, Australia, China, Congo, Brazil and other country of the reserves of bituminous rock are quite rich, Russia and other national also some reserves. 因为米国、加拿大、澳大利亚、华夏、刚果、巴西等国家的油页岩的储量都比较丰富,俄罗斯等许多国家也有一些储量。 Can discover that the US peripheral country reserves are many, once this technology were promoted, then originally definitely will have the heavy impact regarding the crude price. 可以发现,米国周边的国家储量非常多,这个技术一旦被推广开,那么对于原本的原油价格必然会产生重大冲击。 Moreover China and other crude oil import great nations are also studying this technology, is mainly some crude oil Corporation cooperation, even has also included the Shell in Europe wait / etc.. 而且华夏等原油进口大国也都在研究这项技术,主要就是一些原油公司合作,甚至还包括了欧洲的壳牌等等。 The OPEC organization originally when these energy consumption great nations with the natural gas and other substitution crude oil, have the complaint, but the OPEC organization is also the natural gas exporting great nation, therefore has not adopted any extreme method/trick. OPEC组织原本在这些能源消耗大国用天然气等替代原油的时候,就有过怨言,但OPEC组织同时也是天然气出口大国,所以并没有采取什么过激的手段。 Many countries, with coal and other energy minerals, substitutes crude oil and other energy minerals, these will affect the interests of OPEC country. And the non- OPEC oil-producing country, is similarly highly regarded, for example the US, China, Russia , etc., the oil offtake is similarly big. 还有很多国家,用煤炭等其他能源矿产,来替代原油等能源矿产,这些都会影响OPEC国家的利益。并且非OPEC产油国,同样不可小觑,比如米国、华夏、俄罗斯等,产油量同样非常大。 The OPEC oil-producing country has wanted consolidated, and elevates their status, at this time the appearance of shale oil, will affect seriously their status, can they endure? OPEC产油国一直想要巩固并且提升他们的地位,这时候页岩油的出现,会严重影响他们的地位,他们怎么能忍受？ Since US crude oil import, has relied on Saudi Arabia, they also worried that Saudi Arabia affects their strategies with the crude oil, therefore already planned that must discuss with Saudi Arabia, signing to a US more advantageous contract. 米国一直以来的原油进口,都依赖于沙特,他们也担心沙特用原油来影响他们的战略,所以早就打算要跟沙特重新洽谈一番,签订一些对米国更加有利的合同。 Saudi Arabia is not definitely dry, we have not made anything, your US also has no reason to attack me, although your military power, but Russia, China , etc. will not look on absolutely you bully us, therefore Saudi Arabia without hesitation has rejected the request of US. 沙特肯定不干啊,我们没做什么,你米国也没有理由攻打我,虽然你军事实力强,但俄罗斯、华夏等绝对不会坐视你们来欺负我们,所以沙特毫不犹豫的就拒绝了米国的要求。 At this time the shale oil technology of US announced that Saudi Arabia looked for that side the US to discuss in turn. The shale oil cannot mine the production, the reason is inside includes some noxious gas, is very difficult to control. 这时候米国的页岩油技术公布出来,沙特反过来去找米国那边谈了。页岩油不能开采生产,理由是里面含有一些有害气体,很难控制。 However is very difficult to control, is not beyond control, mining of petroleum, itself also has to the pollution of environment is possible. 但是很难控制,并不是无法控制,石油的开采,本身也有对环境的污染可能啊。 The US will accept Saudi Arabian this condition, we studied successfully this technology with great difficulty, and synthetic petroleum cost, was not specially high, why didn't do? If not do, the beforehand investment all didn't owe? 米国怎么会答应沙特这个条件,我们好不容易研究成功了这个技术,并且合成石油的成本,也不不是特别高,为什么不做？如果不做,之前的投入不是全亏了？ The US did not agree that China and other national natures have not paid attention to Saudi Arabia. Must think that we do not produce this, Ok, you sell the petroleum to be good to us cheaply, this Saudi Arabia cannot comply. 米国不同意,华夏等国家自然也根本没理会沙特。要想我们不生产这个,可以啊,你们便宜卖石油给我们就行,这个沙特也不能答应啊。 Now negotiates is also in progress, the US that side manner is ambiguous, but Feng Yu can affirm that eventually that side the US absolutely will not give up the shale oil, but Saudi Arabia to a US lesson, will definitely lead the OPEC oil-producing country collective to announce the under-production, thus creates the fact that the crude oil yield drops substantially. 现在谈判还在进行中,米国那边态度模棱两可,但是冯宇敢肯定,最终米国那边绝对不会放弃页岩油,而沙特为了给米国一个教训,必然会带领OPEC产油国集体宣布减产,从而造成原油开采量大幅下降的事实。 As the matter stands, crude price definitely once more will rise. But obtains this news financial speculator, will be will not let up this good opportunity absolutely. 这样一来,原油价格就必然会再次走高。而得到这个消息的金融炒家,也是绝对不会放过这个好机会的。 At that time, crude price breaks through 100 US dollars to be irresistible! 那时候,原油价格突破100美元就将不可阻挡！ ...... ……
To display comments and comment, click at the button